Sunday Trends and Indexes 10/15

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Sunday, October 15

Good Luck today!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football

Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 427-428: Boise State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 109.797; New Mexico State 67.124
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 26; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-26); Under

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football (Sunday, Monday)

Dunkel Index - NFL

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 403-404: Cincinnati at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 133.628; Tampa Bay 123.951
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: Tennessee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 117.705; Washington 127.492
Dunkel Line: Washington by 10; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 10; 39
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 407-408: Houston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.795; Dallas 131.443
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 13; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 409-410: Buffalo at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.245; Detroit 123.217
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 40
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1); Under

Game 411-412: Seattle at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 130.674; St. Louis 123.961
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 7; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under

Game 413-414: NY Giants at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 128.634; Atlanta 133.904
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under

Game 415-416: Philadelphia at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 134.828; New Orleans 127.720
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Under

Game 417-418: Carolina at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.299; Baltimore 132.773
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Over

Game 419-420: Miami at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.313; NY Jets 123.423
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 38
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over

Game 421-422: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.639; San Francisco 120.103
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 10; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-10); Over

Game 423-424: Kansas City at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.957; Pittsburgh 133.815
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 39
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+7); Over

Game 425-426: Oakland at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 116.210; Denver 134.174
Dunkel Line: Denver by 18; 37
Vegas Line: Denver by 15; 36
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 429-430: Chicago at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 139.637; Arizona 122.480
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 17; 42
Vegas Line: Chicago by 10; 37
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10); Over

[djmauiboy]

Game 427-428: Boise State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 109.797; New Mexico State 67.124
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 26; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-26); Under


I think they are playing this game on sunday since it was ppd on Sat. Here's the info just in case

Game 323-324: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 77.128; Buffalo 64.391
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 13; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 8 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-8 1/2); Over

[djmauiboy]

Boise State at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST ESPN
Boise State: 41-13 ATS off a conference game
New Mexico State: 0-9 ATS vs. conference opponents

Miami OH at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Miami OH: 6-2 ATS off a home conference loss
Buffalo: 5-1 Under off an ATS loss

[djmauiboy]

Sunday's Game
Boise State (-33) crushed New Mexico State 56-6 last year, outgaining Aggies 524-176 (303-61 on ground), but Boise is just 3-5 vs spread in last eight WAC road games.. New Mexico State has yet to beat I-A foe under Mumme, but they're improving; his Aggies are 2-3, with losses by 6-6-8 points. Aggies covered just five of last 17 conference home games. Average total in last six series games is 72. Boise is 6-0, winning last two games 36-3/ 55-14.


Miami of Ohio won last eight games vs Buffalo by average score of 38-8, but Red Hawks are 0-6 this season, allowing 25 ppg. Bulls lost last four games, last three by 18,31,30 pts.

[djmauiboy]

BOISE ST (6 - 0) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-13 ATS (+26.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI OHIO (0 - 6) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[djmauiboy]

Sunday, October 15th

Cincinnati at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS in road games
Tampa Bay: 13-4 Under vs. NFC North opponents

Tennessee at Washington, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 8-1 Over off an Under
Washington: 11-3 ATS off a division game

Houston at Dallas, 1:00 EST
Houston: 1-9 ATS off a home win
Dallas: 13-4 ATS off a division loss by 10+ points

Buffalo at Detroit, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 18-7 Under as a road underdog of 3 points or less
Detroit: 9-1 ATS at home off 5+ losses

Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Seattle: 8-1 ATS off a road game
St. Louis: 7-2 Over off a road win by 3 points or less

NY Giants at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
NY Giants: 24-10 Over off a win by 14+ points
Atlanta: 1-10 ATS at home off a home win by 10+ points

Philadelphia at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
Philadelphia: 16-6 Over away after scoring 30+ points
New Orleans: 15-5 ATS at home off a division win

Carolina at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
Carolina: 11-3 ATS as an underdog
Baltimore: 14-5 Under in home games

Miami at NY Jets, 4:15 EST
Miami: 2-12 ATS vs. division opponents
NY Jets: 7-0 Over off 5+ Overs

San Diego at San Francisco, 4:15 EST
San Diego: 10-2 ATS in October
San Francisco: 12-4 Over off an ATS win

Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 4:15 EST
Kansas City: 0-7 ATS away off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Pittsburgh: 9-0 Over as a home favorite

Oakland at Denver, 8:15 EST NBC
Oakland: 0-7 ATS vs. division opponents
Denver: 5-1 Under as a favorite of 10+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


Monday, October 16th

Chicago at Arizona, 8:30 EST ESPN
Chicago: 1-9 ATS off BB games scoring 25+ points
Arizona: 21-7 ATS at home off 3+ losses

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[djmauiboy]

NFL - Week 6

Bengals (3-1) @ Buccaneers (0-4)-Tampa averaged 6.6 yards per pass attempt in Gradkowski's first NFL start, after averaging 3.1/ 5.8/5.6 in Simms' three starts, so Toledo rookie passed his first test, but Bucs have given up 24+ points in three of four games, and have been outscored 61-17 in first half this season. Bengals off bye; they already have wins at Arrowhead and Heinz, two of NFL's toughest places to win, and have picked off seven passes in four games. Red flag for Cincy is 406 rushing yards they allowed in last two games. Bucs ran ball for 187 yards in loss at Saints, after running ball for total of 130 yds in first three games.

Titans (0-5) @ Redskins (2-3)-Tennessee scoring just 12 ppg, but they've had chance to win/tie in last 2:00 in three of their five losses- they held Colts scoreless in first half last week. Portis could have big day vs Titan run defense that allowed 192.8 rushing yds per game last four weeks, but with erratic nature of Redskin offense (31,36 pts in wins; 16,10,3 in losses), hard to tell if Brunell can make plays passing if Titans stack the run. In five games, Tennessee has been outscored 27-0 on first drive of third quarter, allowing very poor 60.2 yds/drive. This will be first time this year Redskins face a mobile QB.

Texans (1-3) @ Cowboys (2-2)-Houston got first win in last game before their bye, but have allowed 13 TDs on 35 drives (37.1%, worst) and forced just three turnovers, so chance for Bledsoe to silence critics who want Romo in game despite never having seen him play. Dallas has run ball for 167 yds/game over last three games, so they have balance; Cowboys allowed 10,14 pts in their wins, 24,38 in losses. Texans averaging 16.5 ppg, and got drilled 43-24 in only road game so far (@ Indy). Houston yet to gain 300+ yards in game, while allowing 441+ total yards in three of their four games; they've been outscored 24-0, outgained 247-68 on first drive of second half.

Bills (2-3) @ Lions (0-5)-Detroit already -5 in turnovers, so small improvement in offense (nine TDs on 38 drives in last three games) tempered by lack of ball security that typifies a Martz offense (seven TO's in last two games). Buffalo allowed 6,12 points in their two wins, 19-28-40 in losses; they split their two road games. Still doubt Losman's ability to make plays (10-37 on 3rd down last three games) but backing Millen Lions is like asking Devil Rays to win AL East. Last week, Detroit had 17-3 lead at Minnesota, defense held Vikings to one TD, but offense coughed up two TDs in last quarter. Detroit has yet to have edge in average field position this season and have only one sack in last four games.

Seahawks (3-1) @ Rams (4-1)-St Louis tied for NFL lead in turnover margin (+10, +8 in two home games) but lost to 49ers only time they didn't have turnover edge, pretty big red flag. Seattle off a bye and spanking in Chicago, have seven giveaways in last three games, and are probably still without Alexander here. Hawks allowed 64 points in last three halves, still hard to gauge if they have Super Bowl hangover, or how much they miss key OL Hutchinson, who left via free agency (he visits Seattle with Vikings next week). Bad stat for Rams is that they've scored eight offensive TDs, while attempting 21 FGs; good news is that despite failing often in red zone, they're still 4-1.

Giants (2-2) @ Falcons (3-1)- Think Atlanta has advantage in non-division games, as unique style of Vick's running easier to contain when you see it twice a year- they scored 32 pts in only non-division game so far, after scoring 20-14-3 vs NFC South foes. Giant defense shored up in first game after bye (held Redskins to 164 total yards, 3-11 on third down) after allowing 58.7% of third down plays to work in first three games. Atlanta surprisingly bad 16-56 on 3rd down (28.6%), but they've run ball for 252-306-262 yards in their three wins (117 in loss at Saints) and outscored foes 46-10 in two home wins. Giants have had fairly stout run defense so far (allowing 86.5 yds/game). Sandwich game for Giants, in between Redskin/Cowboy tilts.

Eagles (4-1) @ Saints (4-1)-Philly scored 38-31-38 points last three games; they've scored 3+ offensive TDs in all five games and outscored last two foes 45-3 in second half. Gritty Saints finding ways to win; four of their five games were decided by seven or less pts, but they've allowed 354 rushing yards in last two games, a red flag. Good sign for Saints is that they've yet to have edge in average starting field position, but they're 4-1; they've scored special teams TD in each of their home games. Eagles have 23 sacks in five games. Will Eagle WR Stallworth (hamstring) return to play against team that cut him this summer? Saints 3-0 vs spread as underdog this season.

Panthers (3-2) @ Ravens (4-1)-Defensive struggle expected as offensively-challenged Panthers (0-11 on 3rd down in win last week) visit Baltimore (scored 34 points total in last three games). Carolina not making plays (11-59 on 3rd down) but still won last three games; they scored 6,13 in their two losses, 26-21-20 in wins. No one has scored more than 14 on Ravens yet this year, but Baltimore playing on short week after Monday night loss in Denver. Raven OC Fassel, Panther HC Fox worked together with Giants, so some level of familiarity there. Baltimore was +10 in turnovers in first three games, are -4 in last two, as McNair tossed four picks vs Chargers, Denver.

Dolphins (1-4) @ Jets (2-3)-Tough times on both sides; Jets allowing 164.3 rushing yards per game last four weeks; they gave up 72 points in losing last two games (-7 TO ratio in those two games), and had just 45 passing yards in 41-0 loss last week. Miami scoring 12.2 ppg in awful start, with only win 13-10 at home vs 0-5 Titans; they've converted just 34% on third down, have only five TDs on 53 drives, and actually think Harrington gives them their best chance to win at QB, so you know they're grasping at straws. Dolphins are tied for best black zone defense, allowing only one TD on 19 opponent drives that started 80+ yds from goal line, but they haven't had edge in field position since Week 1.

Chargers (3-1) @ 49ers (2-3)- Marty better turn Rivers loose in this game; 49ers allowed 34-38-41 points in their losses, 13-20 in wins. 49ers scoring 26 ppg in three home games (2-1, with only loss 38-24 to Eagles). Norv Turner has helped Smith become NFL QB; Niners are 12th in NFL in TD %age (11-56). Trap game for Bolts, off Steeler win Sunday night, with Chiefs on deck; Chargers have two INT's in each of last three games; they've been + in TO's in all four games, and are allowing just 25% conversions on third down (11-44). SF defense still struggling, ranked last in NFL in red zone defense; only Jets (16) have allowed more TDs than 15 49ers gave up.

Chiefs (2-2) @ Steelers (1-3)-Pittsburgh struggling badly, losing last three games; Roethlisberger has no TD passes, seven picks this year, as effects of appendectomy linger- he isn't as big or strong as last year, and Pitt is just 13-38 on third down in his three starts. Steeler defense has already allowed four TD drives of 80+ yards, while offense already has 10 giveaways. Chiefs scored 64 points in winning two post-bye games; they rallied from 14-0 down to win at Arizona last week, but Johnson hurt neck in that game, not sure of status here. Steelers outscored
39-13 in second half of last three games; they have been -5 or worse in average starting field position every game so far. QB Green still out for Chiefs, who are quickly more of a defensive team under Edwards.

Raiders (0-4) @ Broncos (3-1)- Fifteen points in divisional rivalry game is lot to spot, but you look at Oakland offense vs Bronco defense, and, it doesn't look that big anymore. Denver defense has dominated this year, allowing one TD on 41 enemy drives, which helped them survive an offense that scored one TD in its first two home games (9-6/13-3). Broncos have won 63.3% of all third down plays this year, and have yielded only one TD in opponents' ten red zone drives. Oakland is mess, allowing 28.3 ppg, going 3/out over half (52.2%) the time, with just four TDs on those 46 drives, and a -9 TO ratio. In second half of their first four games, once-proud Raiders have been outscored 64-10, sign of a team with no hope.

Chicago (5-0) @ Arizona (1-4)-Lot of transplanted Chicagoans in desert, so should be decent amount of Bear fans at rare Monday night Cardinal home game. Leinart did well enough (22-35/222 passing) in his first start, but now gets stiff test from Bear defense that has allowed only two TDs on 54 opponent drives, while forcing 15 turnovers, 18 3/outs. Grossman has emerged as passing threat (6.5+ yds/pass attempt in four of five games) which has opened up rushing game (298 yds in last two games). Loss of WR Fitzgerald (hamstring) hurts potentially explosive Cardinal offense; their QBs have been sacked 17 times in five games, but turnovers were down (1) in Leinart's first start.

[djmauiboy]

Pro Football Trend Report
CINCINNATI (3 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 4) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




TENNESSEE (0 - 5) at WASHINGTON (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




HOUSTON (1 - 3) at DALLAS (2 - 2) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




BUFFALO (2 - 3) at DETROIT (0 - 5) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




SEATTLE (3 - 1) at ST LOUIS (4 - 1) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) in October games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NY GIANTS (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 1) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PHILADELPHIA (4 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 1) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CAROLINA (3 - 2) at BALTIMORE (4 - 1) - 10/15/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MIAMI (1 - 4) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN DIEGO (3 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




KANSAS CITY (2 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in October games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




OAKLAND (0 - 4) at DENVER (3 - 1) - 10/15/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CHICAGO (5 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 4) - 10/16/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[djmauiboy]

OUT PLAY FACTOR FOR SUNDAY NFL

Sun - 10/15 (413) NY GIANTS: 4.9
1:00 PM (414) ATLANTA: 8
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -3.1, Edge: ATLANTA - 0.1

Sun - 10/15 (405) TENNESSEE: -11.5
1:00 PM (406) WASHINGTON: 2.5
Actual Line: -10 OF Line: -14, Edge: WASHINGTON - 4

Sun - 10/15 (407) HOUSTON: -9.3
1:00 PM (408) DALLAS: 11.5
Actual Line: -13 OF Line: -20.8, Edge: DALLAS - 7.8

Sun - 10/15 (417) CAROLINA: -1.1
1:00 PM (418) BALTIMORE: 10.1
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -11.2, Edge: BALTIMORE - 8.2

Sun - 10/15 (409) BUFFALO: -1.8
1:00 PM (410) DETROIT: -3.3
Actual Line: +1 OF Line: +1.5, Edge: BUFFALO - 0.5

Sun - 10/15 (403) CINCINNATI: 4.3
1:00 PM (404) TAMPA BAY: -1.5
Actual Line: +6 OF Line: +5.8, Edge: TAMPA BAY - 0.2

Sun - 10/15 (415) PHILADELPHIA: 7.1
1:00 PM (416) NEW ORLEANS: 6.3
Actual Line: +3 OF Line: +0.8, Edge: NEW ORLEANS - 2.2

Sun - 10/15 (411) SEATTLE: 0.9
1:00 PM (412) ST LOUIS: 0.3
Actual Line: +3 OF Line: +0.6, Edge: ST LOUIS - 2.4

Sun - 10/15 (423) KANSAS CITY: 5.1
4:15 PM (424) PITTSBURGH: 5.7
Actual Line: -7 OF Line: -0.6, Edge: KANSAS CITY - 6.4

Sun - 10/15 (419) MIAMI: -11.9
4:15 PM (420) NY JETS: -2.8
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -9.1, Edge: NY JETS - 6.1

Sun - 10/15 (421) SAN DIEGO: 10.1
4:15 PM (422) SAN FRANCISCO: -4.5
Actual Line: +10 OF Line: +14.6, Edge: SAN DIEGO - 4.6

Sun - 10/15 (427) BOISE ST: 19.1
8:00 PM (428) NEW MEXICO ST: -8
Actual Line: +26.5 OF Line: +27.1, Edge: BOISE ST - 0.6

Sun - 10/15 (425) OAKLAND: -13.6
8:15 PM (426) DENVER: 14
Actual Line: -15 OF Line: -27.6, Edge: DENVER - 12.6

Mon - 10/16 (429) CHICAGO: 18.7
8:30 PM (430) ARIZONA: -0.8
Actual Line: +10.5 OF Line: +19.5, Edge: CHICAGO - 9

[djmauiboy]

Week 6 line moves



Oakland at Denver (-16 ½ to –14)

Here’s a treat. The Denver Broncos are averaging only 12.3 points per game this year but are favored by over 14 ½. A mathematician would be confused but Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club consulting service in Las Vegas, doesn’t think the line is unreasonable.

That’s how bad the Oakland Raiders are this year.

”Oakland has a matador defense,” he says. “[Denver’s] going to break out soon and this looks like the perfect opportunity.”

Korner, whose group originally pegged this line at –15, also points out that Denver head coach Mike Shanahan always takes games against his former employer seriously and won’t mind running up the score.

”Look, if you’re going to put money on Oakland, God bless you!” Korner says.

Buffalo at Detroit (-1 ½ to +1)

Korner and the rest of the Las Vegas Sports Consultants struggled to establish an early favorite with this game.

”Off the top we had this one as a pick,” Korner says. “We went with the home team as a slight favorite.”

Incoming money has changed the Detroit Lions to home dogs.

Perhaps bettors are comparing both teams’ varying performances against the Vikings. The Lions should have covered in Minnesota last week but threw it away, while just one week earlier the Buffalo Bills covered as home favorites against the Vikings.

Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (+6 ½ to +4 ½)

The Cincinnati Bengals have had two weeks to mull over their drubbing at the hands of the Patriots and that certainly played a part in the opening line.

”Coming off a bye with a loss, two weeks thinking about it doesn’t sit well with a team,” Korner says.

”We set Cincinnati as a 6 ½-point favorite thinking that it’ll outscore Tampa Bay.”

Bettors, on the other hand, may have been won over by Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Bruce Gradkowski. The rookie couldn’t lead the Bucs to a win over the Saints last week, but he played well enough to let his team cover the 7-point spread.

Tennessee at Washington (-10 to –10 ½)

”If we were putting together spreads for this game two weeks ago it’s at –13, easy,” Korner says. Instead, his group established an opening line of –10 to compensate for last week’s performances, always the freshest in the bettors minds.

The Tennessee Titans threw a serious scare into the Colts last week and easily covered as 17-point dogs. The Washington Redskins put in their weakest performance of the year with a 19-3 loss at Giants Stadium.

While most books have only bumped the line to 10 ½, 5 Dimes has gone a full point and a half further to –12.

San Diego at San Francisco (+7 to +9 ½)

The San Francisco 49ers have surprised a couple of teams and other than their 41-0 embarrassment in Kansas City a couple of weeks ago, they’ve been in every game.

”If San Fran can get up early they seem to do well,” Korner says. He doesn’t see it happening, however, citing the San Diego Chargers’ defense as too powerful to let the Niners score early and often.

”Alex Smith doesn’t know how to come from behind yet,” Korner says, and the bettors who have pushed the spread into double digits seem to agree with the consultant’s assessment.

[GrandPa]

Great reads, as always. If I could only read the tea-leaves correctly--that's the trick

Thanks a million

[Udog]

GrandPa: "If I could only read the tea-leaves correctly--that's the trick"

LOL!!!!!!!! It sure is! Good luck today, guys!!!!!

[Udog]

MLB

Pro Baseball Trend Report

NY METS (101 - 67) at ST LOUIS (88 - 80) - 8:15 PM
OLIVER PEREZ (L) vs. ANTHONY REYES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PEREZ is 6-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PEREZ is 6-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 101-67 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 52-27 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY METS are 15-8 (+7.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
NY METS are 48-35 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 20-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY METS are 99-66 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 76-46 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 45-26 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 18-7 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PEREZ is 9-0 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 88-80 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 33-37 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ST LOUIS is 88-80 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-60 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-34 (-22.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 99-91 (-27.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 5-4 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



OLIVER PEREZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PEREZ is 2-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.437.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.4 units)



ANTHONY REYES vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.