Kaptains CFB and Rare Write Up

[Kaptain]

Very rarely do I do a write up on a game, cause I play so many, but these are the attributes I use when capping a game...Very time consuming......only 1 game today, so I'll do the write up.........

Canes and Noles
Canes - 3 1/2 and total is 39 1/2.......

#1 Early Line was Canes 6 1/2 and 40 1/2

#2 I researched numerous sites, Including ours, and some services and came out with
87 1/2% on the Noles
92.3 % on the Under

#3 Neither team has a superstar so to speak, or super play maker........both are steady and solid...

#4 Both good Coaches

#5 Trends---favor Dog---I personally don't like trends, and don't use em...

#6 Statistics---this is the Bulk of my decision making

#7 Home Field advantage---I put a lot of weigh in this...

SYNOPSIS
#1 Oddsmaker made Canes 6 1/2 fav, public bet it down to 3 1/2........don't go against oddsmakers......Canes

#2 go against Public.......Canes

#3 Canes return 5 Off, and 6 Def, Noles 5 and 5.....Canes (last year) avgd 27 ppg, and yielded 14, Noles 28 and 22...Both have QB's returning...I think TE for Canes (olsen), and Strong Safety (Phillips) make the difference in this game......Canes

#4 Both good head coaches, but Asst coaches are in favor of Canes....Olson (off co-ord) is gonna re energize this offense....Canes

#5 Dog has covered 4 of last 5...Noles

#6 See #3 answer and Fla St rushed for just 94 ypg, Canes 137......Passing ypg goes to Noles 282-215...TO margin Noles -4, and Canes +5...Miami D #4 in scoring, #23 rushing, #1 passing, #4 total....Noles D #28, 18, 33, 14 respectively......Canes

#7 Canes at home, one hell of a tough place to pull out a victory....Canes

Canes last year 9-3 and let 6 coaches go, cause they didn't meet expectations........6 new assts....could be a downfall, but they were carefully picked, and Canes have pure talent (they do every year).....I can only see improvement and Canes are hungry for Championship...Noles 8-5 last year, started out 7-1 and finished out 1-4.......Canes started out 7-1 then finished 2-2. Both lost their Bowl Game......

On Defense returnees with sacks are , for the CANES (2), Brown (3 sks), and Pata (3sks)....for the NOLES (1), Timmons (3 sks).........Noles have a new ROVER and FS.......could hurt em.....Canes

IN ESSENCE----

I'm playing the following...........

*********************************************
CANES - 3...bought down....-116............10* POD

7 pt teaser Canes +3 1/2 and OVER 32 1/2.....3*

*********************************************

GL to all who may follow, and GL to those that differ....kapt

[TMAC951]

I LOVE it!! As u already replied in my thread you know im taking the same play with ya.. I will also throw a little on that teaser as well..

[wayne1218]

Good Luck Kaptain and thanks for the write up!

[Kaptain]

wayne1218

Good Luck Kaptain and thanks for the write up!

you know that I'm long winded, and a write up for all the friggin games I play, would take me 12-15 hrs a day.......These are all attributes I look at, try and keep em in my head, and make my picks............Thanks, wish I could type up, and try to explain/justify my picks, just can't........

Enjoy the write up---they're rare, the Old Kapt usuallky just says heres the fvkn plays

sail or not

lets hope after all this, that I'm right.......this also goes against my new METHOD for Dogs, that is 8-2 right now........

[weazel079]

good luck to us Kapt. Lets bring in this winner.

[VegasLefty]

Arrgh Kapt...this goes against the SEASON picks for all dogs thread you posted earlier. Are ye shure ya makes it a 10 STARRRRRRGGGGGH....

[griffey_mojo]

GL today Kapt!

[birdog]

good luck kapt

[thesandman]

kapt. I had no idea on this game, now I do. Thanks. Did you take all the Miami suspensions into consideration or are they all reserves. Where did you find the returning starters info. That's important early on. Good Luck.

[Meg30]

i'll follow along....best of luck to you kapt!!

[***THA FIX***]

Good Luck!!!

[TheRook]

Good luck young man.

Awesome write up

[jcindaville]

BOL KMann

[screwtape]

Very rarely do I do a write up on a game, cause I play so many, but these are the attributes I use when capping a game...Very time consuming......only 1 game today, so I'll do the write up.........

Canes and Noles
Canes - 3 1/2 and total is 39 1/2.......

#1 Early Line was Canes 6 1/2 and 40 1/2

#2 I researched numerous sites, Including ours, and some services and came out with
87 1/2% on the Noles
92.3 % on the Under

#3 Neither team has a superstar so to speak, or super play maker........both are steady and solid...

#4 Both good Coaches

#5 Trends---favor Dog---I personally don't like trends, and don't use em...

#6 Statistics---this is the Bulk of my decision making

#7 Home Field advantage---I put a lot of weigh in this...

SYNOPSIS
#1 Oddsmaker made Canes 6 1/2 fav, public bet it down to 3 1/2........don't go against oddsmakers......Canes

#2 go against Public.......Canes

#3 Canes return 5 Off, and 6 Def, Noles 5 and 5.....Canes (last year) avgd 27 ppg, and yielded 14, Noles 28 and 22...Both have QB's returning...I think TE for Canes (olsen), and Strong Safety (Phillips) make the difference in this game......Canes

#4 Both good head coaches, but Asst coaches are in favor of Canes....Olson (off co-ord) is gonna re energize this offense....Canes

#5 Dog has covered 4 of last 5...Noles

#6 See #3 answer and Fla St rushed for just 94 ypg, Canes 137......Passing ypg goes to Noles 282-215...TO margin Noles -4, and Canes +5...Miami D #4 in scoring, #23 rushing, #1 passing, #4 total....Noles D #28, 18, 33, 14 respectively......Canes

#7 Canes at home, one hell of a tough place to pull out a victory....Canes

Canes last year 9-3 and let 6 coaches go, cause they didn't meet expectations........6 new assts....could be a downfall, but they were carefully picked, and Canes have pure talent (they do every year).....I can only see improvement and Canes are hungry for Championship...Noles 8-5 last year, started out 7-1 and finished out 1-4.......Canes started out 7-1 then finished 2-2. Both lost their Bowl Game......

On Defense returnees with sacks are , for the CANES (2), Brown (3 sks), and Pata (3sks)....for the NOLES (1), Timmons (3 sks).........Noles have a new ROVER and FS.......could hurt em.....Canes

IN ESSENCE----

I'm playing the following...........

*********************************************
CANES - 3...bought down....-116............10* POD

7 pt teaser Canes +3 1/2 and OVER 32 1/2.....3*

*********************************************

GL to all who may follow, and GL to those that differ....kapt

GL Kapt.

One note: Oddsmakers did not open this game Canes -6.5, at least not the ones you should be paying attention to. If memory serves me correctly Pinnacle opened -3.5.
The public did not bet this game down.

[seaofred]

gl KAPT

seaofred