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Another good day on Wednesday. 4-0 on rated plays, and winning most small personal plays since the easy winner on Sunday night. Hey, Braves already up 1-0.
Baseball Plays (55-53, +6.93*) - Huge card (for me)
Toronto Blue Jays -129 (Halladay/Mussina)
130 is the most I lay in a baseball game, but this is a scenario where it just makes sense. The best pitcher in baseball over the past couple seasons starts at home against a Yankees team that is traditionally a terrible underdog. The Yankees are winning a lot lately, but Toronto's offense is at least as good as theirs.
The Jays are just killing teams at home, especially at night, where the average score is BLUE JAYS 6.6, OPPONENT 4.2. At $100 a game, the Yankees are
-$650 against RHP, and the Jays are +$440.
Toronto is 9-1 in Halladay's 10 home starts, and 16-3 overall in his starts. The Yankees numbers with Mussina are only a little worse (14-6), but at this point in his career he is nowhere near the pitcher Doc is. Toronto routed NYY in his only start against them this season, and he has owned the Yankees throughout his career. The same can't be said for Mussina against the Jays, though the Yanks have won both of his starts against them this season.
Houston Astros +124 (Pettite/Zambrano)
Pettite caught fire the second half of last season, going 11-2 with a 1.69 ERA, and he is showing signs that he will make a similar run this year. He has only given up 6 total ER his last four starts, and last time out, he struck out 10 and gave up 5 hits in 7 scoreless innings.
The Cubs are at their worst against left handed pitching - 4.0 rpg, 12-21 overall, including 6-12 at home. They also have struggled in day games, for whatever reason. Specifically, in day games at home, they are 8-21, with the average score OPPONENT 6.6, CUBS 4.3.
Zambrano's the best the Cubs have to offer, but he isn't enough to make them more than the slightest of favorites in this spot.
Small personal play:
Rangers +197 - Simply too high a price to lay on a team in an offensive funk. The Red Sox have had next to no success against left-handed pitching, and they might struggle a bit with a Rangers team that has been very good away from home.
Good luck guys!
Baseball Plays (55-53, +6.93*) - Huge card (for me)
Toronto Blue Jays -129 (Halladay/Mussina)
130 is the most I lay in a baseball game, but this is a scenario where it just makes sense. The best pitcher in baseball over the past couple seasons starts at home against a Yankees team that is traditionally a terrible underdog. The Yankees are winning a lot lately, but Toronto's offense is at least as good as theirs.
The Jays are just killing teams at home, especially at night, where the average score is BLUE JAYS 6.6, OPPONENT 4.2. At $100 a game, the Yankees are
-$650 against RHP, and the Jays are +$440.
Toronto is 9-1 in Halladay's 10 home starts, and 16-3 overall in his starts. The Yankees numbers with Mussina are only a little worse (14-6), but at this point in his career he is nowhere near the pitcher Doc is. Toronto routed NYY in his only start against them this season, and he has owned the Yankees throughout his career. The same can't be said for Mussina against the Jays, though the Yanks have won both of his starts against them this season.
Houston Astros +124 (Pettite/Zambrano)
Pettite caught fire the second half of last season, going 11-2 with a 1.69 ERA, and he is showing signs that he will make a similar run this year. He has only given up 6 total ER his last four starts, and last time out, he struck out 10 and gave up 5 hits in 7 scoreless innings.
The Cubs are at their worst against left handed pitching - 4.0 rpg, 12-21 overall, including 6-12 at home. They also have struggled in day games, for whatever reason. Specifically, in day games at home, they are 8-21, with the average score OPPONENT 6.6, CUBS 4.3.
Zambrano's the best the Cubs have to offer, but he isn't enough to make them more than the slightest of favorites in this spot.
Small personal play:
Rangers +197 - Simply too high a price to lay on a team in an offensive funk. The Red Sox have had next to no success against left-handed pitching, and they might struggle a bit with a Rangers team that has been very good away from home.
Good luck guys!
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