Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

531PHOENIX -532 LA CLIPPERS
PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 30






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 30

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Suns (lead series 3-2)
— Suns starters were minus-86 in Game 3, +23 in Game 4, minus-66 last game.
— Phoenix won 14 of their last 18 games.
— Suns are 5-2 ATS in road playoff games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95-92-102 points in its three playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Chris Paul shot 19-60 from floor last three games.

Clippers
— Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
— Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
— Paul George was 15-20 from floor, scored 41 in Game 5.
— LA shot 66.7% inside the arc last game.
— Kawhi Leonard is out for this game
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 5-4 ATS in home playoff games.

— Teams combined to shoot 28-107 on arc in Games 4-5.
— Clippers won seven of last 11 series games.
— Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four road series games.
— Under is 8-3 in last 11 series games.




NBA

Wednesday, June 30
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Trend Report

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Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home


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[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHO at LAC 09:00 PM
PHO +1.0
U 214.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/30/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.....-0.50
06/29/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.....-0.50
06/28/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00% ....-11.00
06/27/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
06/26/2021.......1-1-0...50.00%.......-0.50
06/25/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/24/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%......-0.50
06/23/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/22/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............42-48-1.......46.46%.....- 25.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/30/2021...............1 - 1 - 0............- 0.50
06/29/2021...............1 - 1 - 0.............- 0.50
06/28/2021...............0 - 2 - 0............- 11.00
06/27/2021...............0 - 2 - 0.............-11.00
06/26/2021...............1 - 1- 0..............- 0.50
06/25/2021...............2 - 0 - 0............+10.00
06/24/2021...............1 - 1 - 0.............- 0.50
06/23/2021...............2 - 0 - 0............+10.00
06/22/2021...............0 - 2 - 0...........- 11.00
06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:...................39 - 41 - 1..............-- 32.50

[Udog]

Thurday’s 6-pack
Top states in sports betting handle in May 2021:
$814M— New Jersey
$478M— Nevada
$447M— Pennsylvania
$258M— Michigan
$254M— Indiana
$249M— Colorado

Quote of the Day
“I really feel like I have a new passion for the game. I’ve been the high, I’ve been injured, I’ve been, now, benched, I’ve been traded, I’ve kinda seen a lot in five years, so whatever the game throws at me I’m ready. It’s given me a new level of excitement….It’s reinvigorated my passion for the game.”
Carson Wentz

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league team once hosted “Disco Demolition Night”, where they blew up a vat of disco records in between games of a doubleheader, but right field caught on fire and they had to forfeit the second game of the twinbill?

Wednesday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres last time they played in a World Series; he later won three World Series managing the Giants.

Tuesday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers came to be in 1970, after spending their first season in existence in another city. In 1969, the Brewers were the Seattle Pilots.

*******************************************

Thursday’s Den: Pac-12 football knowledge:

Arizona:
— New coach Fisch has been an assistant to both Bill Belichick, Sean McVay.
— Arizona hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2017.
— Since 2013, Wildcats are 7-21 ATS as a road underdog.
— Pete Carroll’s son Brennan is Arizona’s offensive coordinator.

Arizona State:
— ASU is 15-13 SU under Herm Edwards, with a +32 turnover ratio.
— Under Edwards, Sun Devils are 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 9-4 as an underdog.
— ASU has a QB with 16 career starts; their OL has four starters back.

California
— Coach Wilcox is 18-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Cal is 0-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012. Golden Bears are 19-36 ATS coming off a loss.

Colorado
— As a head coach, Dorrell is 23-9-2 ATS at home, 13-15 on road.
— Last four years, Colorado is 6-12-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Buffs lost last four bowls, last two by 38-8/55-23 scores.

Oregon:
— Since 2016, Ducks are 12-20-1 ATS coming off a win.
— HC Cristobal is 12-18 ATS as a home favorite, 12-7 as a road favorite.
— QB Brown started 28 games at Boston College.

Oregon State
— Last winning season: they went 7-6 in 2013.
— HC Smith is 3-9-1 ATS as a home underdog, 11-3 as a road dog.
— Last two years, 10 of their 22 games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

USC
— Trojans were +5 in turnovers LY, after going -10/-10 previous two years.
— Last four years, USC is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012, they’re 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Allowed 37.4 ppg in last five bowls, going 2-3 (wins were 45-42/52-49).

Stanford
— Since 2016, Stanford is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite, 8-4-1 as road faves.
— Cardinal started 0-2 LY, won their last four games by total of 10 points.
— Stanford’s last three bowl games were decided by total of 5 points (2-1)

UCLA
— Since 2015, UCLA is 8-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bruins are 4-16-1 ATS in last 21 non-conference games.
— UCLA’s last bowl was in 2017; in their last three bowls, they allowed 35-37-35 points.

Utah:
— Last four years, Utah is 14-5 ATS as home favorites.
— Utes are 23-9-1 ATS in last 33 games as a favorite.
— Last three years, Utah is 2-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— HC Whittingham is 11-3 SU in bowls, but lost his last two.

Washington:
— Last five years, Washington is 43-15 SU.
— Last three years, Huskies are 6-11 ATS at home.
— Since 2013, Washington is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Washington State
— In 2019; Wazzu blew a 49-17 lead to UCLA, losing 67-63; they were 3-0 coming into that game, are 4-10 since that day.
— Last two years, Coogs are 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Wazzu is 0-4 ATS in its last four bowls.
— QB Jarrett Guarantano started 30 games at Tennessee.

[Udog]

[Udog]

541ATLANTA -542 MILWAUKEE
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 1






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 1

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Hawks
— Trae Young (foot) is questionable for this game.
— Atlanta starters were combined +104 in Game 4
— Hawks won 17 of last 24 games (15-9 ATS).
— Under is 15-3-1 in their last 19 games.
— Hawks are 6-3 ATS in road playoff games.
— Atlanta shot 64% inside arc in Game 4.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

Bucks (series 2-2)
— Antetokounmpo (knee) is listed as doubtful for this game.
— Bucks won six of their last nine games SU.
— Milwaukee is 4-2-1 ATS in home playoff games.
— Milwaukee shot 8-39 on the arc in Game 4
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 12-6-1 in last 19 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks subs were a combined +43 in Game 3, minus-25 in Game 4.
— Holiday/Middleton both shot 6-17 from floor in Game 4.

— Bucks won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.




NBA

Thursday, July 1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta


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[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, JULY 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at MIL 08:30 PM
ATL +2.5
U 215.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA July Playoff Record:

07/01/2021 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00

[Udog]

Friday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in hits:
103— Nick Castellanos, Cin
101— Adam Frazier, Pitt
100—Trea Turner Wash
99— Cedric Mullins, Balt
96— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
95— Xander Bogaerts, Bos

Quote of the Day
“People forget my birthday, but no one forgets July 1. I get more texts and calls that day than any other during the year.”
Bobby Bonilla

Friday’s quiz
Bobby Bonilla hit 287 major league homers, playing for 8 teams. What did team did he hit the most home runs for?

Thursday’s quiz
Back in July 1979, Chicago White Sox hosted “Disco Demolition Night”, where they blew up a vat of disco records in between games of a doubleheader, but right field caught on fire and they had to forfeit the second game of the twinbill.

Wednesday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres last time they played in a World Series; he later won three World Series managing the Giants.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13) Hopefully every had a good day Thursday. It was:
a) Canada Day— Our neighbors to the north celebrated the anniversary of Canadian Confederation which occurred on July 1, 1867. Unfortunately the Blue Jays are still playing home games in Buffalo, but hopefully soon they’ll be back in Toronto.

b) Bobby Bonilla Day— Every July 1, Bobby Bonilla gets a check for $1,193,248.20 from the New York Mets, as he will every July 1 until 2035.

Back in 2011, instead of paying Bonilla a $5.9M buyout right there and then, the Mets agreed to make annual payments of nearly $1.2M for 25 years starting July 1, 2011, including a negotiated 8% interest. Hopefully Bonilla buys his agent a nice gift every year.

12) Orioles-Astros game Wednesday night, CB Bucknor behind the plate and Brent Strom, the Astros’ pitching coach, gets tossed after the second batter of the game. Not good.

Bucknor is widely known to be one of the worst umpires, but you don’t see a guy get tossed after two batters very often.

11) Reds’ 1B Joey Votto got his 1,000th career RBI Wednesday, and he did it the right way, by hitting a home run against San Diego. Votto should get his 2,000th career hit later this summer.

10) Seattle Mariners won 12 of their last 16 games; their 9-1 in extra innings this year.

9) In their last 21 games, Baltimore Orioles have zero wins from starting pitchers, as in, none.

Orioles are 5-16 in those 21 games, but relievers got all five of the wins.

8) Miami’s Adam Duvall has homered in consecutive games six times this season, more than any other player in the big leagues.

7) Congrats to Mississippi State on winning the College World Series, their first national title in any team sport. Bulldogs lost Game 1 of the finals to Vanderbilt, but then swept the last two.

6) White Sox’ rookie Gavin Sheets hit his first big league homer Wednesday night; can’t imagine how great a feeling that must be. Young man couldn’t stop grinning.

5) Hallmark Channel is running Christmas movies 24/7 this week and next; people must watch this stuff or else they wouldn’t do it, but why watch a Christmas movie in July?

4) Chris Paul has played in the NBA for 16 years, played in 123 playoff games, but this is the year he finally made it to the NBA Finals for the first time, scoring 41 points in the decisive Game 6 win over the Clippers. Congrats to him.

3) Fernando Tatis Jr will be the first position player from the Padres to start an All-Star Game since Tony Gwynn, in 1998.

2) Wednesday, Cubs scored 7 runs in the first inning, but lost 15-7 in Milwaukee; they were the first team since 1976 to score 7+ runs in the first inning, then lose by 7+ runs- the Giants also did that April 26, 1976. Those are the only two times that has happened in the last 100 years.

1) Thursday was also the first day rules allowing college athletes to benefit from their name, image and likeness went into effect. We’ll see how this works out; there are usually unintended consequences that pop up when stuff like this happens, but I’m guessing lot of college QB’s are going to be driving really nice cars this fall.

[Udog]

[Udog]

561MILWAUKEE -562 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.










Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Milwaukee is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

[Udog]

Saturday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big X in football this fall:
7-5— Oklahoma
5-2— Iowa State
6-1— Texas
10-1— Oklahoma State
12-1— TCU
15-1— West Virginia
50-1— Baylor
60-1— Kansas State
75-1— Texas Tech
500-1— Kansas

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Saturday’s quiz
Which team did Trevor Bauer break into the majors with?

Friday’s quiz
Bobby Bonilla hit 287 major league homers, playing for 8 teams; he hit the most home runs (114) playing for Pittsburgh.

Thursday’s quiz
Back in July 1979, Chicago White Sox hosted “Disco Demolition Night”, where they blew up a vat of disco records in between games of a doubleheader, but right field caught on fire and they had to forfeit the second game of the twinbill.

*****************************************

Saturday’s Den: ACC football knowledge

Boston College:
— BC is 24-9-1 ATS in last 34 games as an underdog.
— Last four years, Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, BC is 24-9-1 ATS in ACC games.
— Eagles lost three of last four bowls (beat Maryland 36-30 in ’16).

Clemson
— Since 2012, Clemson is 111-14 SU.
— Offensive coordinator is in 6th year there; DC is in his 9th year.
— Tigers lost last two bowl games, 42-25/49-28.
— Clemson is 27-17-1 ATS in last 45 games as a favorite.

Duke
— Last 2 years, Blue Devils are 7-16 SU, with minus-30 turnover ratio.
— Under Cutcliffe, Duke is 8-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Blue Devils scored 43 ppg in last five bowls, winning last three.
— Last three years, Duke is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Florida State
— Last three years, Seminoles are 14-20 SU.
— This is first time in five years they’ve had same OC two years in row.
— FSU covered once in its last ten non-conference games.
— Since 2016, Seminoles are 10-15 ATS as home favorites.

Georgia Tech
— Last 2 years, Tech was 6-16 SU, transitioning from option to spread attack.
— HC Collins is 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite, 4-1-1 as road favorite.
— Last three years, Yellow Jackets are 5-12-1 ATS at home.
— Last three years, Tech is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Louisville
— Last three years, Louisville is 14-22 SU, with minus-25 turnover ratio
— Last three years, Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Louisville is 6-14 ATS coming off a win.
— As head coach, Satterfield is 31-24-1 ATS when favored, 9-14-3 as a dog.

Miami
— As head coach, Diaz is 6-9 ATS when favored, 4-1 as an underdog.
— Last four years, Miami is 12-17 ATS coming off a win.
— Miami lost its last four bowls, scoring only 15.3 ppg.
— From 2015-17, Hurricanes were +34 in turnovers; last three years, +6.

North Carolina
— Tar Heels are 15-10 last two years, after going 5-18 in 2017-18.
— Last three years, Carolina is 5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNC lost four of last five bowl games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
— QB has 25 career starts, offensive line has 116 career starts.

NC State
— Under Doeren, State is 14-23-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Wolfpack is 8-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Last three years, State is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Favorites covered four of their last five bowls.

Pittsburgh
— Last six years, Pitt is 8-15-2 ATS as home favorite, 22-11 ATS on road.
— Last four years, Panthers are 14-9 ATS off a loss.
— Pitt lost four of last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
— Pitt has a senior QB with 36 career starts.

Syracuse
— Syracuse was outgained by 199 yards/game last year.
— Orange OL has 120 career starts returning.
— Syracuse won its last four bowls; last loss was in 2004.
— Syracuse has played in only one bowl since 2013.

Virginia
— Last years, Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS at home.
— Virginia is 8-3 ATS in last 11 non-conference games.
— Cavaliers lost four of last five bowls, were underdog in all five.
— Virginia’s OL has 132 returning starts this season.

Virginia Tech
— Last year was first time in 28 years Hokies didn’t go to a bowl.
— Last three years, Virginia Tech is only 19-18 SU.
— Last five years, Hokies are 5-12 ATS as home favorites.
— Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.

Wake Forest
— Last 5 years, Wake is 3-2 in bowls; first time ever they played in 5 straight bowls.
— Since 2015, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorites, 15-7 as road dogs.
— Over their last 22 games, Wake Forest is +18 in turnovers.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense; their QB has 19 career starts.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 3

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Bucks (lead series 3-2)
— Four Milwaukee starters scored 22+ points in Game 5.
— Bucks won seven of their last ten games SU.
— Milwaukee is 4-4 ATS in road playoff games.
— Brook Lopez shot 14-18 from floor, scored 33 points in Game 5
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 12-7-1 in last 20 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks subs were a combined +43 in Game 3, minus-25 in Game 4
— Holiday/Middleton shot combined 12-34 from floor in Game 4, 19-40 in Game 5.

Hawks
— Atlanta starters were combined +104 in Game 4, minus-71 in Game 5.
— Hawks won 17 of last 25 games (15-10 ATS).
— Under is 16-3-1 in their last 20 games.
— Hawks are 4-3 ATS in home playoff games.
— Atlanta shot 64% inside arc in Game 4, 50% in Game 5.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

— Check status here for both Antetokounmpo (knee), Trae Young (foot)
— Bucks won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.