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The Bum's NBA Playoff Trends,News,Picks !

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  • The Bum's NBA Playoff Trends,News,Picks !

    Monday’s 6-pack

    Most career regular season home runs in Dodger Stadium:


    130- Eric Karros

    123- Ron Cey

    118- Steve Garvey

    117- Matt Kemp

    106- Andre Ethier

    92- Mike Piazza


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,895
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “In the end, Mitch won the job and I think that’s very important for him, for us, for everybody to understand that he worked really hard to get to this point. We know that we all — in a lot of different areas — struggled in 2019. What I think was most impressive from the end of the season until this past weekend was to be able to see some of the growth in practice and off the field that Mitch had.”
    Bears coach Matt Nagy

    Monday’s quiz
    What team did Lou Brock begin his major league career with?

    Sunday’s quiz
    Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies in their only World Series appearance.

    Saturday’s quiz
    Houston Astros were originally the Houston Colt 45’s in their first few years as a major league franchise.


    ******************************

    Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) This is baseball, 2020:
    In the Miami-Tampa Bay game Sunday, the Marlins’ 41st game this year:
    — Miami’s Trevor Rogers threw 100 pitches.
    — Tampa Bay’s Tyler Glasnow threw 105 pitches.

    It was the first time this season, in Miami’s 41 games, that both starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches in the same game.

    12) Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman hit two grand slams in the last three games; in 10 years in the major leagues before this weekend, Freeman had never hit a grand slam.

    11) Umpire Joe West threw Washington Nationals’ GM Mike Rizzo out of the game Sunday; the thing is, Rizzo was sitting in a luxury box in the third level of the stadium. With no fans in the ballpark, umpires can hear a lot more of what their critics think of them.

    Rizzo got a 3-year contract extension Saturday, so he can afford the fine he’ll get.

    10) Astros-Angels played a doubleheader Saturday; it was 109 degrees in Anaheim when the first pitch was thrown. Tough weekend for the catchers in Orange County- it was 106 degrees for Sunday’s game in Anaheim.

    9) Toronto leads the Bronx Bombers by a game in the race for 2nd place in the AL East; they play 10 of their last 20 games against each other, starting Monday in Buffalo.

    8) Interesting conversation on the YES Network Sunday; top of 7th inning, Orioles led New York 4-1, but the visitors have two men on, with catcher Erik Kratz at bat, tying run at the plate.

    Kratz is a career backup, but Gary Sanchez is having a dreadful season, so he’s been benched; if they pinch-hit for Kratz, they pretty much had to put Sanchez in the game, which they obviously didn’t want to do.

    The three TV guys then discussed why this was happening, and how manager Aaron Boone isn’t making all the decisions as far as who plays and who doesn’t, the type of manager/front office issues we saw in the movie Moneyball.

    It was an unusually frank discussion, and it was good stuff.

    7) Sunday was the 25th anniversary of Cal Ripken Jr surpassing Lou Gehrig’s record for most consecutive games played, with 2,131.

    Longest current active streak of consecutive games played? Whit Merrifield, 288 games.

    6) SMU 31, Texas State 24— Imagine being Texas State and being on ESPN Saturday at 4:30, the only televised football game at that time? What a recruiting bonanza for the Sun Belt’s Bobcats, who hung in with SMU but couldn’t spring the upset- they got good exposure, though, and that sure helps their recruiting.

    5) Villanova basketball coach Jay Wright made it known that he doesn’t want to be the 76ers’ head coach. He already has a lucrative gig with more job security.

    4) They opened a new sportsbook in the Treasure Island casino in Las Vegas, one of the few strip casinos I’ve never been in. I look forward to seeing it someday.

    3) Pittsburgh Steelers cut QB Devlin Hodges, who started six games for them LY and brought back QB Josh Dobbs, who had been a backup in Jacksonville.

    2) From Ralph Michaels:
    Since 2014 in the NFL, Week 1 divisional underdogs are 21-5-1 ATS.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Colorado, Mia/SF
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    RECORD AT THE START OF SEPT>

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail

    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail

    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail

    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail

    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail

    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA public betting, line movement September 7
      Patrick Everson

      Jayson Tatum and Kyle Lowry renew hostilities when the Celtics and Raptors meet Monday in Game 5. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Toronto -1, but the line flipped to Boston -1 Sunday.

      NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a couple of Monday conference semifinal playoff games. The Toronto Raptors meet the Boston Celtics in a pivotal Game 5, followed by the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets tangling in Game 3.

      The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s matchups.

      NBA line movement

      Toronto lost Games 1 and 2 against Boston, but bounced back to tie the series by winning the next two matchups, including Saturday’s 100-93 Game 4 victory. The defending NBA champion Raptors opened -1 for Game 5 at The SuperBook, but the line flipped to Celtics -1 Sunday morning. Game time is 6:30 p.m. ET.

      After getting thumped 120-97 in Game 1, Denver rebounded with a 110-101 Game 2 victory over Los Angeles on Saturday night. The SuperBook opened the Clippers -7.5 for Game 3, and that line stretched to -9 Sunday afternoon, spurred by news that Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is questionable with a right wrist injury. Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET.

      NBA public betting

      The Consensus indicated two-way play on Celtics-Raptors, with a lean toward Toronto, which was landing 56 percent of picks through Sunday night. Jokic’s status notwithstanding, the Nuggets were drawing 63 percent of early Consensus picks.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        701BOSTON -702 TORONTO
        BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the current season.

        703LA CLIPPERS -704 DENVER
        DENVER is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.




        NBA
        Dunkel

        Monday, September 7


        Boston @ Toronto

        Game 701-702
        September 7, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Boston
        126.600
        Toronto
        127.105
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Toronto
        by 1
        207
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Boston
        by 2
        212
        Dunkel Pick:
        Toronto
        (+2); Under

        LA Clippers @ Denver


        Game 703-704
        September 7, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Clippers
        129.720
        Denver
        113.234
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        LA Clippers
        by 16 1/2
        230
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        LA Clippers
        by 9
        219
        Dunkel Pick:
        LA Clippers
        (-9); Over





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Monday, September 7


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (54 - 26) vs. TORONTO (59 - 21) - 9/7/2020, 6:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TORONTO is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
        BOSTON is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
        BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a division game this season.
        BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 156-116 ATS (+28.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
        BOSTON is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        BOSTON is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        BOSTON is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        TORONTO is 228-279 ATS (-78.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 9-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA CLIPPERS (54 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 31) - 9/7/2020, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA CLIPPERS are 45-34 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 79-64 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 76-62 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 6-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 6-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA

        Monday, September 7


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Boston @ Toronto
        Boston
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
        Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

        LA Clippers @ Denver
        LA Clippers
        LA Clippers is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
        Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Game 5 Odds: Celtics vs. Raptors
          Michael Crosson

          The Eastern Conference semifinals will continue on Monday and the 2-3 matchup between Toronto and Boston has now become a best-of-three series with the pair locked up at 2-2.

          The third-seeded Celtics captured the first two games before the Raptors have rebounded with back-to-back wins. Even though these games are playing in the NBA Bubble from Orlando, the designated road team is now 4-0 in this series.

          Betting Resources

          Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 5
          Second Round: Series tied 2-2
          Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
          Location: Orlando, Florida
          Date: Monday, Sept. 7, 2020
          Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
          TV: TNT

          The Raptors stepped up defensively in their Game 4 victory, holding the Celtics to a playoff-low of 93 points. (AP)
          Betting Odds - Celtics vs. Raptors

          Line Movements

          After watching Boston combine consecutive victories with consecutive losses, Vegas decide to lean with the Raptors heading into this Game 5 bout, setting the opening spread at Toronto -1. Early action on the Celtics (65%) though, has led to the line swinging to Boston -1.

          The Raptors and Celtics have split the first two games of this series SU 2-2, but the same can’t be said for the ‘over-under’ as this series has been all about defense, cashing ‘under’ tickets in all four games. The total for Game 5 sits more than three points lower than any ‘over-under’ we have seen so far in this series – OU 212.

          The series price for Boston advancing to the next round soared all the way up to -500 following its back-to-back victories against Toronto to open the Eastern Conference Semis, but has now fallen all the way back down to -120 as these teams begin what has become a best of three series between inner-conference rivals.

          Spread: Boston -1
          Money-Line: Boston -110 Toronto -110
          Total: 212
          Updated Series Price: Boston -120, Toronto +100

          Game 4 Recap

          The Celtics were just a couple ticks on the clock away from going up 3-0 on the second-seeded Raptors in the Eastern Conference Semis, but OG Anunoby was there to save the day with a game-winning buzzer beater in Game 3, which was followed up with a 100-93 victory on Saturday to knot up this series 2-2 heading into the fifth contest of this series.

          Game 4 was a bit of a roller coaster ride as Toronto came out on top in the first and third periods of the contest and the Celtics caught the edge in the second and fourth stanzas.

          Boston’s edge was not enough though as the Raptors rumbled to a 12-point advantage in the periods in which they were victorious compared to the Celtic’ five-point margin. This series has been a hard-nosed, defensive-minded battle so far as the ‘under’ has easily cashed in all four contests.

          It will be interesting to see if these teams let up a little on defense on Monday, with a sixth matchup between these teams guaranteed now.

          Game 4 Betting Results

          Game 4 was a tale of two quarters as Toronto scored 31 and 32 points in the first and third respectively and those efforts helped the Canadian club cash tickets.

          While it looked like we would finally see an 'over' ticket in this series, a combined 40 and 39 points scored in the second and fourth quarters helped the 'under' improve to 4-0 in the first four games.

          Outcome: Raptors 100 Celtics 93

          Game: Raptors Win, Raptors Cover Cover (+2), Under (215.5)
          First Quarter: Raptors Win (31-27), Raptors Cover (PK), Over (54.5)
          First-Half: Tied (49-49), Raptors Cover (+1), Under (108.5)
          Second-Half: Raptors Win (51-44), Raptors Cover (+1.5), Under (105)

          Celtics Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Bubble: 11-5 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, 5-10-1 O/U
          Playoffs: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 1-7 O/U

          A stunning four-game sweep of the defending champs appeared to be hanging in the balance as Brad Stevens’ group possessed a 2-0 series advantage, leading Toronto 103-102 during the closing seconds of Game 3 and in what felt like a blink of an eye, a two-game advantage became none.

          The Celtics looked like the clear-cut, better unit in the first two games of this matchup, winning Games 1 and 2 by an average of 10.5 points per game, and controlled the pace/flow for the majority of Game 3 only to be nabbed at the last second.

          Boston shot 7 of 35 from downtown in its Game 4 loss, and the odds of an efficient team on offense like the Celtics shooting at that clip in consecutive contests is not very likely – No need to sweat if you are a Celtics series bettor unless they drop another one here.

          Raptors Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Bubble: 13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS, 4-11-1 O/U
          Playoffs: 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U

          When Kawhi Leonard walked away from the Raptors this past off-season, many thought he would be leaving behind an empty shell of what was once a championship lineup.

          And while that is true to an extent, Toronto clearly still has the swagger on defense of a title-contender, holding the Celtics to an average of 98 points per game in its last two contests.

          Nick Nurse’s team might not have the quick-strike ability on offense that his championship unit from last season possessed, but if they can guard Boston tight on the perimeter and hold them to 20% shooting from deep like the Raptors did in Game 4, there is no reason Toronto shouldn’t be able to complete the full comeback in this series.

          Key Injuries

          Boston


          PG Tremont Waters: Knee - Out
          C Vincent Poirier: Personal - Out
          SG Javonte Green: Knee - Out
          SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle - Out

          Toronto

          SF Oshae Brissett: Knee - Out
          SF Patrick McCaw: Knee - Out

          The Celtics are still without small-forward, Gordon Hayward, who has missed this series in its entirety with an ankle injury. He is not likely to return to the lineup before the conclusion of this round, but if Boston advances to the Eastern Conference Finals, look out for news regarding his status.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


            BOS at TOR 06:30 PM
            TOR +1.5
            U 212.0
            +500 +500

            LAC at DEN 09:00 PM
            LAC -9.0
            O 220.5
            +500 +500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

              09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
              09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
              09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
              09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
              09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
              09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
              09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail

              Sept Totals.....11-17-0.......39.28%.....-38.50
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Tuesday’s 6-pack

                Over/under win totals for NFL teams:


                Arizona— 7.5

                Atlanta— 7.5 (under -120)

                Baltimore— 11.5 (under -140)

                Buffalo— 9 (over -120)

                Carolina— 5.5 (over -140)

                Chicago— 8 (-135)


                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,941
                Please wear a mask when you go out.


                Tweet of the Day
                “Dustin is one of the greatest Chiefs of all-time and I’m grateful I had the opportunity to coach him these past seven years. The longevity of his career here in Kansas City shows you just how consistently he has performed at a high level. Beyond his impact on the field, he was a great teammate and leader. I will always be a huge Dustin Colquitt fan.”
                Chiefs’ coach Andy Reid, who signed with the Steelers Monday

                Tuesday’s quiz
                In the 70’s, a guy named Ray Kroc owned the McDonald’s hamburger chain; which major league team did he also own?

                Monday’s quiz
                Lou Brock began his major league career with the Chicago Cubs.

                Sunday’s quiz
                Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies in their only World Series appearance.

                *************************************

                Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

                13) Southern Mississippi’s football team lost its first game last week, 32-21 to South Alabama as a 13-point home favorite; no idea what happened behind the scenes, but Jay Hopson is out as the Golden Eagles’ head coach. After one game.

                12) When Freddie Freeman hit his first career grand slam Friday, it came on his 232nd career home run; only Sammy Sosa waited longer to hit his first grand slam— his first one was on his 246th career homer.

                11) Jacob deGrom got 35 swings/misses from the Phillies Sunday, tied for most by any pitcher since they started keeping track of such things in 2008.

                Danny Duffy (2016), Clayton Kershaw (2015) also got 35 whiffs in a game.

                10) Eagles signed 41-year old Josh McCown as their emergency QB for this season; he’ll bank $204,000 for that task, all while he lives in Texas. If something happens and the Eagles need him, he’ll take a private plane to Philly; until then, he’ll participate in Zoom meetings with the Eagles’ offense and do his film study at home in the Lone Star State.

                9) Toronto 12, Bronx 7— Blue Jays trailed 6-2, then scored 10 runs in the bottom of the 6th inning; they’re two games up in the battle for 2nd place in the AL East.

                8) Celtics 111, Raptors 89 (Boston leads 3-2)
                — Game was 62-35 at the half, so not much of a game at all.

                7) Clippers 113, Nuggets 107 (LA leads 2-1)
                — Clippers outscored Denver 29-19 in 4th quarter.
                — Lou Williams was +20 in 28:00 off the bench.

                6) Washington Redskins named Dwayne Haskins their starting QB.

                5) Duke Blue Devils named Chase Brice their starting QB; the last two years, Brice was Trevor Lawrence’s backup at Clemson.

                4) Josh Rosen signed on as a backup QB with Tampa Bay, where he re-unites with Byron Leftwich, who was his OC with the Arizona Cardinals.

                3) When this baseball season started, no one figured that Kyle Tucker would be the Astros’ best player, but it is September 8th, and here we are. Tucker is a very good hitter.

                2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
                AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
                AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
                AL West- Oakland, Houston
                AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

                NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
                NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
                NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
                NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

                1) RIP to the great Lou Brock, who passed away over the weekend; he was one of the great leadoff hitters of all time, stole over 900 bases, won two World Series rings with St Louis. He was also the all-time stolen base leader, until Rickey Henderson passed him. RIP, sir.

                RIP to poker Hall of Famer Mike Sexton, a recognizable face on TV who also passed away this weekend. Sexton won a bracelet at the 1989 World Series of Poker, won over $6M in tournaments; he was one of the TV voices of poker for the last 20 years. RIP, sir.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA public betting, line movement September 8
                  Patrick Everson

                  LeBron James and the Lakers meet Jeff Green and the Rockets on Tuesday in Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. The SuperBook opened Los Angeles 5.5-point chalk and moved to -5.

                  NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs roll on with a pair of conference semifinal games on the Tuesday docket. The Los Angeles Lakers meet the Houston Rockets in a prime-time Game 3, preceded by Game 5 of the Miami Heat-Milwaukee Bucks series.

                  The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.

                  NBA line movement

                  After getting dumped by 15 in Game 1, the Lakers fended off the Rockets 117-109 in Game 2 to draw even in the best-of-7 series. For Game 3, Los Angeles opened as a 5.5-point favorite, the line ticked to -5 Monday morning and stuck there through Monday night at The SuperBook. The total opened at 224 and reached 225.5 in fairly short order before dialing back to 225 late Monday night.

                  Milwaukee lost Giannis Antetokounmpo to a sprained ankle in the first half of Sunday’s Game 4, yet stunningly avoided a series sweep. The Bucks forced overtime against the Heat and ultimately prevailed 118-115 to move within 3-1 in the best-of-7 series.

                  Antetokounmpo is questionable for Tuesday’s 6:30 p.m. ET start, but the line movement would indicate bettors and oddsmakers expect him to play. The SuperBook opened at Heat -3, initially moved to -3.5, then dialed down to -2 by Monday night.

                  NBA public betting

                  The Consensus, often a good indicator of public betting, is once again on the Rockets, with Houston landing 60 percent of early picks against the Lakers. Heat-Bucks was almost dead two-way late Monday evening, with a slight lean to Miami, which was grabbing 52 percent of Consensus picks.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    705MIAMI -706 MILWAUKEE
                    MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

                    707LA LAKERS -708 HOUSTON
                    HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.




                    NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Tuesday, September 8


                    Miami @ Milwaukee

                    Game 705-706
                    September 8, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Miami
                    121.861
                    Milwaukee
                    120.952
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Miami
                    by 1
                    226
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Miami
                    by 3
                    217
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Milwaukee
                    (+3); Over

                    LA Lakers @ Houston


                    Game 707-708
                    September 8, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Lakers
                    119.306
                    Houston
                    119.964
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Houston
                    by 1
                    216
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Lakers
                    by 5
                    224 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Houston
                    (+5); Under





                    NBA
                    Long Sheet

                    Tuesday, September 8


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MIAMI (51 - 30) vs. MILWAUKEE (61 - 21) - 9/8/2020, 6:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MIAMI is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 99-76 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 80-62 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 78-61 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                    MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
                    MIAMI is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 224-274 ATS (-77.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                    MILWAUKEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MIAMI is 9-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                    MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    LA LAKERS (57 - 21) vs. HOUSTON (49 - 32) - 9/8/2020, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA LAKERS are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
                    HOUSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                    HOUSTON is 9-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                    NBA

                    Tuesday, September 8


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Trend Report
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Miami @ Milwaukee
                    Miami
                    Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                    Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                    Milwaukee
                    Milwaukee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
                    Milwaukee is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home

                    LA Lakers @ Houston
                    LA Lakers
                    The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
                    LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                    Houston
                    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
                    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

                      GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                      MIA at MIL 06:30 PM
                      MIA -4.0
                      U 218.5

                      +500 +500

                      LAL at HOU 09:00 PM
                      HOU +4.5
                      O 222.0

                      +500 +500
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        SEPT NBA DAILY DAILY RECORD

                        DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


                        09/08/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
                        09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
                        09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
                        09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
                        09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
                        09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
                        09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
                        09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail


                        Sept Totals.....13-19-0.......40.62.......-39.50
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Wednesday’s 6-pack

                          Over/under win totals for NFL teams:


                          Cincinnati— 5.5 (over -150)

                          Cleveland— 8.5

                          Dallas— 10

                          Denver— 7.5 (over -130)

                          Detroit— 7 (over -130)

                          Green Bay— 8.5 (-120)


                          Americans who have died from COVID-19: 189,323
                          Please wear a mask when you go out.


                          Tweet of the Day
                          “For the first time in my life, I really have a quarterback……”
                          Leonard Fournette, who recently signed with Tampa Bay

                          Wednesday’s quiz
                          What team did Kevin Durant begin his NBA career with?

                          Tuesday’s quiz
                          In the 70’s, a guy named Ray Kroc owned the McDonald’s hamburger chain; he also owned the San Diego Padres for a while.

                          Monday’s quiz
                          Lou Brock began his major league career with the Chicago Cubs.


                          *****************************

                          Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

                          13) Have to be some basketball coaches, both in college and the NBA, who are a little queasy about their jobs today; Billy Donovan won’t be coming back to the Oklahoma City Thunder next year. Thunder went 243-157 under Donovan, 18-23 in playoff games, but may be headed towards a rebuild, so someone else will coach their team going forward.

                          If Donovan announced he wants to go back to college coaching, how many schools wouldn’t fire their coach to bring him in? His Florida teams are the last back/back NCAA champs.

                          12) Nigel Richards is a man from New Zealand who memorized every French word in the French scrabble dictionary and won the French Scrabble Championship without being able to speak any French. Why would you even attempt that, and how long did it take him?

                          Is there big money in Scrabble? Hope the guy made a fortune.

                          11) Sounds like college basketball could begin this season with a series of events in bubbles around the country, much like the NBA has done in Orlando, giving teams a few games to play out of conference before Christmas.

                          I’ve heard Mohegan Sun in Connecticut, Sioux Falls SD, Houston as potential bubble sites.

                          10) It snowed in Colorado, South Dakota this week; it is freakin’ September 9 and it snowed. No bueno.

                          Denver Broncos had to practice indoors and right before the end of practice, their star LB Von Miller hurt his ankle and is probably out for the season.

                          9) Orioles 11, Mets 2— This has obviously been a weird season, but right now Baltimore is only a half-game out of a playoff spot in the American League. They lost 115, 108 games the last couple of seasons, but now they’re vastly improved at 20-21.

                          Random observations; Orioles have very nice hats. Also, their utility guy Pat Valaika is 8-12 against the Mets this season.

                          8) Padres 14, Rockies 5— If you bet over 8.5, you got to go to bed early; game was 5-3 after the first inning, 10-3 after the second. San Diego won 1-0 Monday night; they scored 10 runs in first two innings of this game.

                          7) September 7, 1993, guy on the Cardinals named Mark Whiten hit four home runs in one game, knocked in 12 runs. Imagine going up against him in fantasy that week? Quite a night.

                          I bring this up because two of the four home runs that night were hit against a Reds’ pitcher named Mike Anderson, who was making his major league debut.

                          Mike Anderson is the brother of Brian Anderson, who is now the play-by-play guy for the Milwaukee Brewers; he also does NBA games on TNT. Brian Anderson was talking about that game with Stan Van Gundy on the NBA broadcast the other night; they were laughing, but if Mike was listening at home, maybe he wasn’t.

                          6) Marlins 8, Braves 0— Rookie Sixto Sanchez threw six shutout innings; Miami is 19-18 and would be in the playoffs if they started today.

                          5) NBA Draft was pushed back to October 16; no way the next NBA regular season starts before Christmas, maybe not even until Martin Luther King Day in January.

                          4) NBA players apparently bring their own food to the bubble every day; Celtics’ star Jayson Tatum brings his lunch in a Lion King lunchbox, the square, metal kind of lunchbox we all used when we were kids. Pretty cool.

                          I had a Volkswagen bus lunchbox back in the day; they opened a new VW dealership near my house and they were giving them away.

                          3) Miami 103, Milwaukee 94 (Heat wins 4-1)
                          — Giannis Antetokounmpo sat this one out with a bad ankle.
                          — Miami’s four subs were a combined +68.

                          2) Lakers 112, Houston 102 (LA leads 2-1)
                          — Kuzma/Rondo shot a combined 15-21 off the bench.
                          — Rockets’ starters other than Harden/Westbrook shot combined 7-19.
                          — Houston scored 64 points in first half, 38 in second half.

                          1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
                          AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
                          AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
                          AL West- Oakland, Houston
                          AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

                          NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
                          NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
                          NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
                          NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NBA public betting, line movement September 9
                            Patrick Everson

                            Kyle Lowry and Jaylen Brown collide when the Raptors meet the Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals Wednesday. The SuperBook opened Boston -2.5 and moved to -3.

                            NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs continue Wednesday in a pair of conference semifinal games. The Boston Celtics can punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals with a win over the Toronto Raptors, and the Los Angeles Clippers aim to take control of their series against the Denver Nuggets.

                            The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s matchups.

                            NBA line movement

                            Boston rolled over Toronto 111-89 in Monday’s Game 5 to take a 3-2 lead in the best-of-seven series, so the defending NBA champion Raptors must win Wednesday night to keep their season going. The SuperBook opened the Celtics -2.5 Tuesday morning and moved to -3 a few hours later, where the line remained through Tuesday night. Tipoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET.

                            Los Angeles fended off Denver 113-107 Monday to take a 2-1 series lead in the West semis. The Clippers opened -7.5 at The SuperBook and inched to -8 early Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET Wednesday start.

                            NBA public betting

                            The Consensus reveals the public isn’t overwhelmingly high on Boston, but expects Team Green to finish off this series. Through Tuesday night, the Celtics were attracting 62 percent of picks against the Raptors. However, in the late game, the underdog Nuggets were drawing 74 percent of picks against the Clippers.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              709TORONTO -710 BOSTON
                              BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the current season.

                              711LA CLIPPERS -712 DENVER
                              LA CLIPPERS are 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




                              NBA
                              Long Sheet

                              Wednesday, September 9


                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              TORONTO (59 - 22) vs. BOSTON (55 - 26) - 9/9/2020, 6:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              TORONTO is 228-280 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                              BOSTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
                              BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
                              BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
                              BOSTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                              BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                              BOSTON is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                              BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                              BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                              BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                              TORONTO is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.

                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              BOSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                              BOSTON is 10-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                              11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              LA CLIPPERS (55 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 32) - 9/9/2020, 9:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                              DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                              LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              DENVER is 7-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                              LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                              7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                              NBA

                              Wednesday, September 9


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Trend Report
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Toronto @ Boston
                              Toronto
                              Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
                              Boston
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

                              LA Clippers @ Denver
                              LA Clippers
                              LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                              LA Clippers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                              Denver
                              Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                              Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                              NBA
                              Dunkel

                              Wednesday, September 9


                              Toronto @ Boston

                              Game 709-710
                              September 9, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Toronto
                              123.105
                              Boston
                              130.600
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Boston
                              by 7 1/2
                              206
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Boston
                              by 2 1/2
                              210
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Boston
                              (-2 1/2); Under

                              Denver @ LA Clippers


                              Game
                              September 9, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Denver
                              113.283
                              LA Clippers
                              129.671
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              LA Clippers
                              by 16 1/2
                              228
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              LA Clippers
                              by 8
                              220 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              LA Clippers
                              (-8); Over
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment

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