Cnotes 2019-2020 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 3

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SAN ANTONIO (25 - 34) at CHARLOTTE (21 - 39) - 3/3/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (26 - 33) at BOSTON (41 - 18) - 3/3/2020, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (41 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 23) - 3/3/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 236-296 ATS (-89.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (17 - 42) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 34) - 3/3/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (13 - 48) at DENVER (41 - 19) - 3/3/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 71-91 ATS (-29.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-85 ATS (-30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-79 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-73 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DENVER is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (42 - 18) at PHOENIX (24 - 37) - 3/3/2020, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (37 - 24) at LA LAKERS (46 - 13) - 3/3/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 152-196 ATS (-63.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (22 - 37) at SACRAMENTO (26 - 34) - 3/3/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-65 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 3


San Antonio @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
March 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
113.077
Charlotte
115.454
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3
212
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3); Under

Brooklyn @ Boston

Game 503-504
March 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
116.071
Boston
122.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 6
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+9); Over

Minnesota @ New Orleans

Game 507-508
March 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
108.295
New Orleans
123.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 15 1/2
240
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 11 1/2
247
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-11 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City

Game 505-506
March 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
125.756
Oklahoma City
118.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 7 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
227
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-3); Over

Golden State @ Denver

Game 509-510
March 3, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
105.857
Denver
123.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 18
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 15 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-15 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Phoenix

Game 511-512
March 3, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.448
Phoenix
111.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers

Game 513-514
March 3, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
116.798
LA Lakers
123.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 6 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 12 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+12 1/2); Over

Washington @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
March 3, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
115.775
Sacramento
117.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 5 1/2
233
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+5 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Tuesday's NBA Betting Tip Sheet - March 3
Kevin Rogers

Spurs (-3, 212) at Hornets – 7:05 PM EST
SA: 25-33 SU, 24-33-1 ATS, 35-22-1 O/U
CHA: 21-39 SU, 30-30 ATS, 28-32 O/U

Last 10 games:
SA: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U
CHA: 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Hornets swept the season series from the Spurs last season, but San Antonio picked up revenge in the first matchup back on February 1 with a 114-90 blowout as 8 ½-point home favorites.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Spurs have lost seven of their past nine road games, while allowing at least 120 points five times in this span.

-- Charlotte has dropped 10 of its previous 12 home contests, as both the wins have come against New York. Since the start of December, the only teams the Hornets have beaten at home are the Knicks, Wizards, Kings, and Warriors.


Nets at Celtics (-9, 221 ½) – 7:35 PM EST
BKN: 26-33 SU, 28-31 ATS, 29-29-1 O/U
BOS: 41-18 SU, 37-20-2 ATS, 27-32 O/U

Last 10 games:
BKN: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U
BOS: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The home team has dominated this series recently by winning each of the past eight games since April 2018. The two division rivals split a pair of meetings in late November, as the Celtics knocked off the Nets, 121-110.

Two days later at Barclays Center, Brooklyn rebounded for a 112-107 victory as 4 ½-point underdogs, while both contests sailed ‘over’ the total.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Nets have covered in four of the last five opportunities as an underdog, but Brooklyn has gone 2-7 in its past nine games away from Barclays Center.

-- Since losing at home to Phoenix on January 18, the Celtics own a 14-4 ATS record in the last 18 games, including a 7-1 ATS mark at TD Garden.


Clippers (-3 ½, 227) at Thunder – 8:05 PM EST
LAC: 41-19 SU, 32-28 ATS, 28-31-1 O/U
OKC: 37-23 SU, 38-22 ATS, 28-31-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
LAC: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U
OKC: 7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The home team has captured each of the two meetings this season, as the Clippers last won at Oklahoma City in November of 2016. Los Angeles edged OKC, 90-88 in mid-November at Staples Center as 7 ½-point favorites, while the Thunder outlasted the Clippers, 118-112 as one-point home favorites on December 22.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Clippers are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five games in the role of a road favorite, while three of those wins have come by double-digits.

-- The Thunder have covered in seven of 11 games as a home underdog, but OKC has won only four times in this situation.


Timberwolves at Pelicans (-11 ½, 247) – 8:05 PM EST
MIN: 17-42 SU, 20-37-2 ATS, 34-25 O/U
NO: 26-34 SU, 30-28-2 ATS, 34-26 O/U

Last 10 games:
MIN: 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS, 8-2 O/U
NO: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

This series was owned by the home team from January 2018 until February 2019 (6-0) until the Pelicans won at Minnesota, 107-99 on December 18 as 3 ½-point underdogs.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wolves are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games, but all three covers by Minnesota in this stretch have come as an double-digit underdog.

-- Since Zion Williamson entered the Pelicans lineup on January 22, the Pelicans have cashed in only three of nine home contests.


Warriors at Nuggets (-15 ½, 218) – 9:05 PM EST
GS: 13-48 SU, 28-33 ATS, 27-34 O/U
DEN: 41-19 SU, 28-28-4 ATS, 29-30-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
GS: 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS, 3-7 O/U
DEN: 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-2-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Nuggets outlasted the Warriors, 134-131 in overtime at Chase Center in San Francisco on January 16. Denver failed to cash as 3 ½-point road favorites, marking the fourth consecutive cover by Golden State in the series.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- In spite of going through a horrific season, the Warriors have been money on the road of late by posting a 7-3 ATS record in its last 10 games away from the Bay Area.

-- The Nuggets are 5-0-1 to the ‘over’ the last six home contests, while topping the 127-point mark four times in this span.


Raptors (-5, 225 ½) at Suns – 9:05 PM EST
TOR: 42-18 S, 33-27 ATS, 31-28-1 O/U
PHX: 24-37 S, 27-33-1 ATS, 30-31 O/U

Last 10 games:
TOR: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U
PHX: 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:

These teams met right after the All-Star break in Toronto as the Raptors defeated the Suns, 118-101 as 8 ½-point home favorites. Phoenix had covered the previous nine matchups between the squads, but Toronto has won five straight in the series.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Raptors are looking to avoid their second four-game losing streak of the season. The last time Toronto dropped three consecutive games back in December, the Raptors defeated the Bulls, 93-92, but failed to cover as six-point road favorites.

-- The Suns have not fared well for bettors at home since January as Phoenix is 1-12 ATS the last 13 games at Talking Stick Resort Arena. Nine of those defeats did come in the role of a home favorite, while the only cover came as an underdog against Houston on February 7.


76ers at Lakers (-12 ½, 220 ½) – 10:05 PM EST
PHI: 37-24 S, 26-31-4 ATS, 30-30-1 O/U
LAL: 46-13 S, 32-26-1 ATS, 29-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
PHI: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U
LAL: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The 76ers dominated the Lakers at Wells Fargo Center on January 25 as 4 ½-point underdogs, 108-91. Philadelphia has captured five of the past six meetings with Los Angeles, while winning in its last three matchups at Staples Center.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The 76ers are one of the worst road teams in the league at 9-22, but Philadelphia isn’t even a good bet in the away underdog role. In its last 10 opportunities as a road ‘dog, the Sixers are 1-8-1 ATS.

-- The Lakers are 5-2 SU/ATS in their last seven home games as a double-digit favorite, but the two non-covers came in straight-up losses to the Blazers on January 31 and the Magic on January 15.


Wizards at Kings (-5 ½, 233) – 10:05 PM EST
WSH: 22-37 SU, 30-27-2 ATS, 35-23-1 O/U
SAC: 26-34 SU, 31-28-1 ATS, 30-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
WSH: 5-5 SU, 6-3-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
SAC: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Kings traveled to D.C. in late November and took care of the Wizards, 113-106 as 2 ½-point underdogs. That marked the fifth consecutive ‘under’ in the series, while snapping a three-game winning streak by the home teams.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wizards are 0-7 this season off a road win, while failing to cover in their last five opportunities in this situation.

-- Sacramento has slumped to a 2-8 ATS record in its last 10 games in the role of a home favorite, which includes the non-cover in Sunday’s six-point victory over Detroit.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BK at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -6.0
U 219.0

LAC at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +5.0

MIN at NO 08:00 PM
U 247.5

GS at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -16.0

TOR at PHO 09:00 PM
U 224.0

WAS at SAC 10:00 PM
O 235.5

PHI at LAL 10:00 PM
LAL -12.0

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA knowledge for a Wednesday night in March:
— Celtics are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Oklahoma City is 14-4 ATS in last 18 road games.
— Six of last seven Miami games went over the total.
— Utah is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games.
— Under is 5-1 in last six Memphis road games.
— Minnesota is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games.


Quote of the Day:
“It’s amazing what people put out [on social media]. Really, if you’re our fans, don’t do that. Come on, man. These kids are 18 and 19 years old. You can question my coaching and what the hell. And when you do question it, by the way, just come into Cameron and look up in the ceiling and find out if you should question that. But don’t do anything with our players. Just support them.”
Mike Krzyzewski

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NBA team did John Calipari once coach?

Tuesday’s quiz
When he was a college student, Will Ferrell had a work-study job in the SID’s office at USC.

Monday’s quiz
Seven NHL teams are located in Canada.

************************************************** *********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Michigan State 79, Penn State 71— Spartans were down 19 with 3:44 left in first half, but this game is an example of why college basketball has become so difficult to handicap:

— 1st half: Penn State was 10-17 on the arc
— 2nd half: Penn State was 0-13 on the arc

People who run college basketball want more scoring, but they moved the 3-point arc back, making teams more erratic and swings in games more extreme. Go figure.

12) Rutgers 78, Maryland 67— Scarlet Knights will be in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1991; good for them. Strong defensive team, not so much on offense.

11) Texas 52, Oklahoma 51— Lefty on Texas banked in a running 3-pointer with 0:00.4 left, giving the Longhorns their fifth win in a row.

10) Nets 129, Celtics 120 OT— Brooklyn was down 17 after third quarter, then they scored 51 points in the 4th quarter. Caris LeVert scored 51 points for the Nets.

9) If you owned the Brooklyn Nets, how would you feel about Kevin Durant playing in the Olympics this summer, assuming the Olympics take place?

Durant hurt his achilles tendon last spring; he missed all of this season, but is still getting paid $37,199,000 by the Nets, his new team. The 4-year contract will wind up paying him $164.25M for four years; should he risk another injury by playing in the Olympics?

It is his right to play in the Olympics, if he wants to; Lord knows the NBA has been pushing international competition, but doesn’t he owe it to his employers to be as healthy as possible when next season starts?

8) DePaul 69, Marquette 68— Bad loss for Golden Eagles, who lost for fifth time in six games.

Under Steve Wojciechowski, Marquette at end of the season:
2015: 3-13 in their last 16 games
2016: 4-6 in their last ten games
2017: 5-7 in their last 12 games
2018: 7-3 in their last 10 games
2019: 1-6 in their last seven games
2020: 1-5 in their last six games

7) Upsets:
— Vanderbilt (+13.5) 87, Alabama 79
— Tennessee (+9) 81, Kentucky 73
— Arkansas State (+8) 76, Georgia Southern 75
— Maine (+7.5) 71, Hartford 65
— Texas (+6.5) 52, Oklahoma 51
— Purdue (+5.5) 77, Iowa 68
— Duquesne (+5) 80, VCU 77

6) South Carolina 83, Mississippi State 71— At South Carolina home games, if an opponent goes to the foul line and misses both free throws, everyone in the crowd gets a free chicken sandwich the next day at some takeout place.

Would that make it the fowl line?

5) Cincinnati 79, South Florida 67— Bearcats were down 13 with 13:09 left, but stormed back to win and avoid a terrible loss, which likely would’ve knocked them off the bubble.

4) Miami Heat are only team that has beaten Milwaukee twice this season.

3) Random baseball trivia: Giants P Jeff Samardzija met his wife backstage at a Pink Floyd concert.

2) It should be a rule that an NFL writer can only write one mock draft; when you do more than one, you’re just making stuff up to attract attention.

1) RIP James Lipton, 93, the man who hosted “Inside the Actors Studio” for years on TV.

I accidentally found his show on TV late one night, and am glad I did; the man was totally prepared and asked good questions, while making his guest feel at home. He had his notes on index cards; I’m a big fan of index cards. RIP, sir.

[Udog]

517BOSTON -518 CLEVELAND
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

519OKLAHOMA CITY -520 DETROIT
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

521ORLANDO -522 MIAMI
ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

523UTAH -524 NEW YORK
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

525MEMPHIS -526 BROOKLYN
MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

527CHICAGO -528 MINNESOTA
CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

529NEW ORLEANS -530 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

533WASHINGTON -534 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 28-13 ATS (13.7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 4

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BOSTON (41 - 18) at CLEVELAND (17 - 44) - 3/4/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 23) at DETROIT (20 - 42) - 3/4/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (27 - 34) at MIAMI (39 - 22) - 3/4/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (38 - 22) at NEW YORK (19 - 42) - 3/4/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 68-53 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 47-62 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (30 - 31) at BROOKLYN (26 - 33) - 3/4/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 59-45 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (21 - 40) at MINNESOTA (17 - 42) - 3/4/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (26 - 34) at DALLAS (37 - 25) - 3/4/2020, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (37 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (52 - 9) - 3/4/2020, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (22 - 37) at PORTLAND (27 - 35) - 3/4/2020, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

527 CHICAGO @ 528 MINNESOTA
Play Against MINNESOTA using the Money Line in Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 4 Wins and 15 Losses This Season(-17.85 units)
4.7 out of 5

519 OKLAHOMA CITY @ 520 DETROIT
Play On OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 32 Wins and 11 Losses This Season(23 units)
4.7 out of 5

519 OKLAHOMA CITY @ 520 DETROIT
Play On OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in Road games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses This Season(13.55 units)
4.7 out of 5

523 UTAH @ 524 NEW YORK
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 290 Wins and 703 Losses All Time(384 units)
4.5 out of 5

527 CHICAGO @ 528 MINNESOTA
Play Against MINNESOTA using the Money Line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 3 Wins and 7 Losses This Season(-17.7 units)
4.5 out of 5

533 WASHINGTON @ 534 PORTLAND
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 43 Wins and 15 Losses This Season(26.5 units)
4.4 out of 5

529 NEW ORLEANS @ 530 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses This Season(14.2 units)
4.4 out of 5

529 NEW ORLEANS @ 530 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 26 Wins and 7 Losses This Season(18.3 units)
4.2 out of 5

525 MEMPHIS @ 526 BROOKLYN
Play On MEMPHIS using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 28 Wins and 19 Losses This Season(25.95 units)
4.1 out of 5

519 OKLAHOMA CITY @ 520 DETROIT
Play On DETROIT using the Money Line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 19 Wins and 4 Losses This Season(14.6 units)
3.9 out of 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 4


Boston @ Cleveland

Game 517-518
March 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
120.425
Cleveland
111.761
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Detroit

Game 519-520
March 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
120.357
Detroit
109.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
211
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7); Over

Indiana @ Milwaukee

Game 531-532
March 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
115.234
Milwaukee
130.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 15 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 11
222
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-11); Under

Orlando @ Miami

Game 521-522
March 4, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
114.254
Miami
117.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 7 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Brooklyn

Game 525-526
March 4, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
121.298
Brooklyn
117.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 3 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 1 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+1 1/2); Under

Utah @ New York

Game 523-524
March 4, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.788
New York
113.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 4
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8
219
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+8); Over

Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 527-528
March 4, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.567
Minnesota
111.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
247
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Dallas

Game 529-530
March 4, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
113.864
Dallas
123.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9 1/2
241
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 5 1/2
238 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-5 1/2); Over

Washington @ Portland

Game 533-534
March 4, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
110.474
Portland
121.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 11
243
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
240 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-7 1/2); Over

[Udog]

Wednesday's NBA Betting Tip Sheet - March 4
Kevin Rogers

Boston Celtics (-2, 216) at Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse – 7:05 p.m. ET
BOS: 41-19 SU, 37-21-2 ATS, 28-32 O/U
CLE: 17-44 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 34-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
BOS: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U
CLE: 4-6 SU, 6-3-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Celtics seek the season sweep of the Cavaliers after winning each of the first three matchups, including a pair of double-digit victories at TD Garden. Boston has captured the last seven meetings, while owning a 4-2-1 ATS mark in those wins.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Boston has covered four consecutive road games and eight of its last 11 away from TD Garden.

-- The Cavaliers are riding a 9-3 run to the ‘over’ in their last 12 home contests, including a 7-1 ‘over’ mark in the last eight home games with totals of 230 or less.


Oklahoma City Thunder (-7 ½, 211) at Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena – 7:05 p.m. ET
OKC: 37-24 SU, 38-23 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U
DET: 20-42 SU, 24-37-1 ATS, 36-25-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
OKC: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U
DET: 2-8 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Thunder held off the Pistons, 108-101 as 13-point home favorites on February 7. That marked the fourth straight win by Oklahoma City over Detroit since January 2018, but the Pistons picked up their first cover after three consecutive ATS defeats.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Oklahoma City has won nine of its last 10 road games with the only loss coming at Milwaukee last Friday night. Only two of those games came with no rest, an overtime victory against the Nets on January 7 and the 133-86 rout at the hands of the Bucks on February 28.

-- The Pistons are 2-7 SU/ATS in their last nine home games, but Detroit has covered in seven of its past 10 contests against Western Conference opponents.


Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks (-11, 222)
Fiserv Forum – 7:05 p.m. ET
IND: 37-24 SU, 32-27-2 ATS, 32-28-1 O/U
MIL: 52-9 SU, 35-26 ATS, 29-31-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
IND: 6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U
MIL: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

Milwaukee dominated Indiana in the first two meetings this season with victories by 19 and 26 points. The Pacers took care of the Bucks in their last matchup prior to the All-Star break, 118-111 at home, but MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out for Milwaukee.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Pacers have lost their last four games in the role of a road underdog, while covering only once in a one-point defeat at Toronto on February 5 as 5 ½-point ‘dogs. Indiana has one outright victory as a road ‘dog of four points or more, which came at Orlando on November 10.

-- The Bucks have yet to lose consecutive games this season by posting an 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS record off a defeat.


Orlando Magic at Miami Heat (-7 ½, 219)
American Airlines Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET
ORL: 27-34 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 29-29-3 O/U
MIA: 39-22 SU, 32-27-2 ATS, 37-23-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
ORL: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 8-1-1 O/U
MIA: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:

These Sunshine State rivals are meeting for the final time in the regular season as the Heat have won the last two meetings after Orlando dominated Miami by 20 points in their first matchup. All three games have been decided by double-digits and have each finished ‘under’ the total.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Magic have drilled the ‘over’ in eight consecutive games, while their last road ‘under’ came in a 113-92 loss at Miami on January 27 on a 207 ½ total.

-- The Heat own a 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS off an outright win as an underdog with the only win coming over the Knicks, 129-114 on December 20 after winning at Philadelphia two nights prior.


Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets (-1 ½, 223)
Barclays Center – 7:35 p.m. ET
MEM: 30-31 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 29-32 O/U
BKN: 27-33 SU, 29-31 ATS, 30-29-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
MEM: 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U
BKN: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Grizzlies shocked the Nets with a buzzer-beating three-pointer in a thrilling 134-133 overtime triumph on October 27 as four-point home underdogs. Brooklyn is 4-2 in the last six meetings with Memphis as the two wins by the Grizzlies have come in overtime.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- In the last three instances off consecutive wins, the Grizzlies are 3-0 to the ‘over,’ with all three of those games coming away from FedEx Forum.

-- The Nets shocked the Celtics in overtime last night after erasing a 17-point fourth quarter deficit, but Brooklyn has not fared well without rest this season by going 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS.


Utah Jazz (-8, 219) at New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden – 7:30 p.m. ET
UTA: 38-22 SU, 29-29-2 ATS, 32-28 O/U
NY: 19-42 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
UTA: 6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
NY: 4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Jazz rolled past the Knicks, 128-104 in Salt Lake City as 14-point favorites on January 8 for their third consecutive win in the series. The ‘over’ has hit in eight straight matchups since January 2016, but tonight’s total is the highest during this stretch.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Since January 27, Utah has been one of the worst ATS teams in the league by posting a 4-10-1 ATS mark the last 14 games, which includes 2-10-1 ATS record in the role of a favorite.

-- The Knicks have actually been profitable at home recently by covering seven of the last 10 games at Madison Square Garden, although only two of those victories came outright as an underdog.


Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves (-3 ½, 229 ½)
Target Center – 8:05 p.m. ET
CHI: 21-40 SU, 27-33-1 ATS, 33-28 O/U
MIN: 18-42 SU, 21-37-2 ATS, 35-25 O/U

Last 10 games:
CHI: 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U
MIN: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 8-2 O/U
Head-to-Head:
The Bulls took care of the Timberwolves, 117-110 at United Center on January 22, snapping a three-game skid to Minnesota dating back to February 2018.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Chicago doesn’t win back-to-back games often, coming off the two-point victory over Dallas on Monday. The Bulls are 1-8 in their last nine contests off a win, while managing only two covers against Milwaukee and Oklahoma City in losses.

-- Since covering four straight games in early January, the Wolves are 0-6 ATS in their last six games off an ATS win after knocking off New Orleans last night, 139-134 as 11-point ‘dogs.


New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks (-5 ½, 238 ½)
American Airlines Center – 9:35 p.m. ET
NO: 26-35 SU, 30-29-2 ATS, 35-26 O/U
DAL: 37-25 SU, 33-26-3 ATS, 38-24 O/U

Last 10 games:
NO: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U
DAL: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Mavericks seek the season sweep of the Pelicans tonight, but top pick Zion Williamson didn’t play in any of those losses for New Orleans. The last two wins for Dallas came by 21 and 46 points, as the Mavericks avenged a 3-1 season series loss from last season.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- New Orleans owns a 7-3-1 ATS record in its last 11 games as a road underdog, but the Pelicans lost by 35 points the last time they played on the highway with no rest at Boston on January 11.

-- The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games off an ATS defeat, while their last four wins in this situation have come by double-digits.


Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers (-7 ½, 239 ½)
Moda Center – 10:05 p.m. ET
WSH: 22-38 SU, 30-28-2 ATS, 36-23-1 O/U
POR: 27-35 SU, 25-35-2 ATS, 35-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
WSH: 4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
POR: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Trail Blazers dominated the Wizards in D.C. on January 3 as 7 ½-point favorites, 122-103, marking the sixth straight victory by the road team in this series since 2017.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wizards are 7-1 ATS this season on the second end of a back-to-back, coming off last night’s loss at Sacramento. Washington is also riding an 8-1 run to the ‘over’ in its past nine road contests.

-- The Blazers have won seven of their last eight games in the favorite role, but Portland has covered the spread only four times in this span.

[Udog]

NBA Hoop Trends Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 14-0 ATS (10.68 ppg) off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Pistons are 0-14 ATS (-10.36 ppg) when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Jazz are 13-0 OU (15.38 ppg) on the road coming off a 10+ point road win.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Magic are 0-11 OU (-13.91 ppg) as a dog coming off a loss as a favorite.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

OKC at DET 07:00 PM
OKC -9.0
O 209.5

MEM at BK 07:30 PM
O 222.5

CHI at MIN 08:00 PM
O 231.0

NO at DAL 09:30 PM
O 240.5

WAS at POR 10:00 PM
O 243.0

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the XFL championship:
+$160— Houston Roughnecks
+$225— St Louis BattleHawks
+$500— Dallas Renegades
+$800— DC Defenders, New York Guardians
+$1200— Los Angeles Wildcats
+$2200— Tampa Bay Vipers
+$4000— Seattle Vipers


Quote of the Day:
“Senior Nights are hard. It’s much more taxing on the home team.”
Jay Wright

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the San Diego Padres’ manager the last time they played in a World Series?

Wednesday’s quiz
John Calipari coached the Nets from 1996-99.

Tuesday’s quiz
When he was a college student, Will Ferrell had a work-study job in the SID’s office at USC.

************************************************** **********

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Doug Shows is a college basketball referee; he worked the Arkansas-LSU game last nite, the 74th game he’s worked this season. Thats 74 games, in 121 days.

Here is Mr Shows’ last few days:
— Saturday: North Carolina @ Syracuse
— Sunday: Xavier @ Georgetown
— Monday: NC State @ Duke
— Tuesday: Mississippi State @ South Carolina
— Wednesday: LSU @ Arkansas

Lot of travel. Lot of money he’s making, too.

12) Observation; No load management for college hoop refs; they run the whole game, and guys in their 40’s/50’s go five nights in a row. No private jets, am assuming they handle their own luggage. They don’t work, they don’t get paid.

11) Armadillo World HQ got a new furnace installed Wednesday; three guys worked for 4.5 hours, replacing my 22-year old furnace with a new one. Guys worked their butts off, while I sat on the couch and did basketball research while watching the Brewers-Padres game.

You live in upstate New York, furnaces are important. Pretty expensive, too 🙁

10) Mountain West tournament kicked off in Las Vegas, with two upsets in three games; Air Force (+5.5) ended Fresno State’s season 77-70, then Wyoming (+10.5) upset Colorado State 80-74, sending the Rams to the NIT, CBI or CIT.

9) Villanova 79, Seton Hall 77— High-level game, with Villanova surviving 9-16 shooting on foul line to ruin Senior Night for the Pirates, who still lead the Big East by a game.

8) Texas A&M 78, Auburn 75— Tigers lost four of last six games, after starting season 22-2; they’re in a 3-way tie for 2nd in SEC, with Florida and slumping LSU, which lost six of its last nine games, after a 17-4 start.

7) Upsets:
— Texas A&M (+12.5) 78, Auburn 75
— Wyoming (+10.5) 80, Colorado State 74
— Fordham (+6.5) 63, George Washington 52
— Quinnipiac (+5.5) 69, Iona 68
— Charlotte (+4) 56, North Texas 43

6) Virginia 46, Miami 44— Hurricanes won their 7th game in row, with six of those wins by 3 or fewer points. Tony Bennett is a great freakin’ coach; Cavaliers are tied for 3rd with Duke in the ACC. On January 20, they were 4-4 in ACC play; they’re 10-1 since then.

5) Steph Curry is going to play tonight for first time since he broke his left hand October 30, so thats good news for the Warriors, or at least for the fans who play lot of $$$ to watch games.

4) Keith Dambrot is 56-37 in three years coaching Duquesne, which was 60-97 the five years before he got there; Dambrot made the NCAA’s three times in 13 years coaching Akron, so he is well established as a good mid-major college coach.

Here’s the thing: Dambrot is way more famous for the job he had before he became a college coach; he was Lebron James’ high school coach, at St. Vincent-St. Mary HS in Akron.

3) Siena 77, Niagara 55— Saints finish 14-0 at home, but the MAAC tournament is in Atlantic City this year, just 11th time since 1990 the MAAC tourney isn’t in Albany.

Siena last won the MAAC tournament ten years ago.

2) NEC tournament started Wednesday, with home team winning all four games, which were played on campus sites. Three of the four games were decided by 1 or 2 points; only favorite to cover was St Francis PA, which whacked Bryant 87-61.

1) You would think that owning the New York Knicks would be a pretty good gig; you sit back, watch a lot of basketball, host a lot of celebrities, and count all your money. A smart person would hire the best basketball minds they could find, and root like hell for them to win.

But the Knicks are owned by James Dolan, a 64-year old guy whose father got really rich when he founded Cablevision. Dolan is a terrible owner; the Knicks haven’t made the playoffs since 2013, haven’t made the finals since 1999, last won a title since ‘73.

Now Dolan has sparked a feud with movie mogul Spike Lee, who has had Knicks season tickets for 30 years; couple years ago it was ex-Knick Charles Oakley, who might be the last person on this planet I would want to be mad at me (he is very, very large).

Frustrating for fans when your team has a terrible owner; I know, I root for the Rams, who once had Georgia Frontiere as their owner. Just because you’re rich doesn’t mean you’re smart.

[Udog]

NBA Betting Essentials, Odds and Angles for Thursday, March 5
Tony Mejia

Top Game: L.A. Clippers at Houston Rockets (-1, 237)
Toyota Center – 8:05 p.m. ET, TNT
LAC: 42-19 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U
HOU: 39-21 SU, 29-30-1 ATS, 27-33 O/U

Last 10 games:
LAC: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U
HOU: 7-3 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the fourth and final meeting between these Western Conference powers, who haven’t seen one another since Houston’s 122-117 win at Staples Center back on Dec. 19. Russell Westbrook scored 40 points to help overcome a 34-point night from Paul George, who missed the first meeting between the teams in L.A. The Rockets and Clips each won November games on their home floor, but Houston led L.A. by five points in the final minute in its lone loss, squandering the advantage. The last two contests have each surpassed the posted total.

Essentials to Know:
-- Houston has ranked 10th in the NBA in defensive efficiency over the past 15 games since trading for Robert Covington and adopting a “microball” approach without a traditional center.

-- The Clippers own the NBA’s longest winning streak at five games, winning four by double-digits and scoring at least 124 points in three of the wins. They’ve posted an average margin of victory of 17.4 points and own a 16.4 net rating.

-- L.A. is looking for its third consecutive road win. It has won more than two road game in succession only once all season, putting together a four-game streak from Dec. 8-13. Houston has won seven of its last eight home games, including the last three they’ve hosted.

-- The Clippers are a perfect 8-0 when working with a completely healthy roster and dodged a bullet with reserve center Montrezl Harrell avoiding the injury report despite suffering an ankle sprain in Tuesday’s 109-94 win at Oklahoma City. The Rockets also enter this game with a clean bill of health.


Denver Nuggets at Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center – 7:05 p.m. ET
DEN: 41-20 SU, 29-29-3 ATS, 29-31-1 O/U
CHA: 21-40 SU, 30-29-2 ATS, 28-33 O/U

Last 10 games:
DEN: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U
CHA: 5-5 SU, 7-3 ATS, 2-8 O/U

Head-to-Head:
The Nuggets handled business at home against the Hornets on Jan. 15, posting a 100-86 win despite being outrebounded. Charlotte, which ranks last in the league in scoring, got 20 points and nine assists from guard Terry Rozier but barely shot 40 percent. Rookie Michael Porter, Jr. led Denver with 19 points but hasn’t been playing as much of late. The Nuggets have won three of the last four meetings between these teams but haven’t won in the Queen City since 2016, losing in their last three visits.

Essentials to Know:
-- Charlotte has been held under 90 points in four of its last nine games, riding with a youth movement that has slowed down the pace and locked in defensively. The ‘under’ is on 8-1 run in games involving the Hornets.

-- This is the first in a stretch of nine roadies over 11 games that Denver must play between now and March 25. The Nuggets are 17-12 away from home but have lost their last two by a combined 41 points at the Thunder and Clippers. Their last five visits to Eastern Conference cities have resulted in a 5-0 run for the ‘over.’

-- Nikola Jokic was held to just 12 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists by Charlotte in the season’s only meeting. Charlotte guard Devonte’ Graham missed Tuesday’s 104-103 loss to the Spurs after twisting his ankle over the weekend. He’s not expected to play if not 100 percent, which would leave second-year guard Joe Chealey, just signed to a second 10-day contract, in line for backup minutes running the show behind Rozier.


Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings (-4.5, 222)
Golden 1 Center – 10:05 p.m. ET
PHI: 37-25 SU, 28-33-1 ATS, 31-30-1 O/U
SAC: 27-34 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 31-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
PHI: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U
SAC: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:
Philadelphia held off the Kings 97-91 when these teams played on Nov. 27 and can count Sacramento as one of its victims in compiling the NBA’s top home record (28-2). The Sixers are a putrid 9-23 on the road and have come up empty in their last three visits to California’s capital city, last winning on Dec. 30, 2015. Kings point guard De’Aaron Fox missed the only meeting this season and Buddy Hield shot 9-for-24 in the loss. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons combined for 43 points and 29 rebounds. Neither will suit up tonight.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Kings have matched a season-best three-game winning streak but are 0-3 in attempts to pick up a fourth straight win. Their 6-1 record over the last seven games is by far their most prosperous run of the season and has pulled them within 3.5 games of Memphis for the West’s final playoff spot. Sacramento has won nine of 12 since Feb. 3 and carries a six-game home winning streak into this one, last losing on its home floor against the Lakers on Feb. 1. They’ve covered in five of those six wins.

-- Philly is attempting to avoid dropping a 10th straight road game, last winning in Brooklyn on Jan. 18. The Sixers have only one ATS win during that stretch, playing the Clippers tough to open this four-game swing through California that ends with Friday’s visit to San Francisco. They were in position to cover a 12-point spread against the Lakers on Tuesday before a rough final minute.

-- While Simmons (back) and Embiid (shoulder) remain sidelined, there’s a chance that starting shooting guard Josh Richardson could clear concussion protocol in order to return here. Fox has been playing through a number of ailments and scored 31 points in Tuesday’s win over Washington. Power forwards Marvin Bagley III (foot) and Richaun Holmes (shoulder) remain out, leaving Nemanja Bjelica, Harry Giles and the newly acquired Alex Len as Sacramento’s primary bigs.


Toronto Raptors (-7.5) at Golden State Warriors
Chase Center – 10:35 p.m. ET, TNT
TOR: 43-18 SU, 33-26-2 ATS, 32-28-1 O/U
GSW: 14-48 SU, 29-32-1 ATS, 27-35 O/U

Last 10 games:
TOR: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U
GSW: 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:
These teams haven’t played since June 13, when Toronto made history by winning its first championship, wrapping up the 2019 NBA Finals with a 114-110 win that clinched the series 4-2. Kawhi Leonard was named MVP, the injured Kevin Durant signed with Brooklyn and Klay Thompson began his own rehabilitation after suffering a torn ACL against the Raptors, so this “rematch” won’t be much of a reunion. Golden State will visit Toronto on March 16 to wrap up the season series.

Essentials to Know:
-- Stephen Curry will play in his first game since Oct. 30, returning from a broken hand that is now fully healed. He scrimmaged with Golden State’s G League affiliate earlier in the week. Expect him to be brought along slowly with no sense of urgency considering the Warriors’ record this season.

-- The Warriors come off an enormous upset in Denver as a 16-point underdog, riding a scrappy defensive effort led by Andrew Wiggins in 116-100 win. They’ve dropped nine straight home games but should have additional juice in the building given Curry’s return. Golden State is 1-8 ATS at Chase Center in that span and hasn’t returned to its home locker room to celebrate a win since beating Orlando on Jan. 18. Draymond Green (knee) and Kevon Looney (hip) are hoping to return alongside Curry after missing the past few games, but are listed as questionable. Marquese Chriss and rookie Eric Paschall would see increased minutes if they’re unable to return.

-- This is the third stop on Toronto’s five-game Western swing that continues in Sacramento and Utah over the weekend. The Raptors lost in Denver but rallied from a halftime deficit to win and cover in Phoenix on Tuesday. Centers Serge Ibaka (knee) and Marc Gasol (hamstring) are likely to miss another game, while starting guard Fred Van Vleet (shoulder) will probably also sit out. The ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run in games involving Golden State and is 5-2 over the last seven featuring the Raptors.

[Udog]

535DENVER -536 CHARLOTTE
DENVER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

537LA CLIPPERS -538 HOUSTON
LA CLIPPERS are 33-18 ATS (13.2 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

539PHILADELPHIA -540 SACRAMENTO
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

541TORONTO -542 GOLDEN STATE
TORONTO is 52-32 ATS (16.8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 5

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DENVER (41 - 20) at CHARLOTTE (21 - 40) - 3/5/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (42 - 19) at HOUSTON (39 - 21) - 3/5/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 237-296 ATS (-88.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (37 - 25) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 34) - 3/5/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 78-64 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (43 - 18) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 48) - 3/5/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 72-91 ATS (-28.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-79 ATS (-27.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Thursday, March 5

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Trend Report
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541 TORONTO @ 542 GOLDEN STATE
Play On TORONTO using the Money Line in Road games in non-conference games
The record is 21 Wins and 7 Losses Last 2 Years(20.8 units)
4.5 out of 5

539 PHILADELPHIA @ 540 SACRAMENTO
Play Against PHILADELPHIA using the Money Line in All games in road games
The record is 9 Wins and 23 Losses This Season(-22.55 units)
4.3 out of 5

541 TORONTO @ 542 GOLDEN STATE
Play On TORONTO using the Money Line in All games in all games
The record is 43 Wins and 17 Losses This Season(25.9 units)
4.3 out of 5

537 LA CLIPPERS @ 538 HOUSTON
Play On LA CLIPPERS using the Money Line in All games in March games
The record is 15 Wins and 2 Losses Last 2 Years(14 units)
4.1 out of 5

537 LA CLIPPERS @ 538 HOUSTON
Play On HOUSTON using the Money Line in All games in the second half of the season
The record is 63 Wins and 19 Losses Last 3 Years(38.75 units)
3.8 out of 5

537 LA CLIPPERS @ 538 HOUSTON
Play On LA CLIPPERS using the Money Line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 7 Wins and 26 Losses Last 2 Years(18.3 units)
3.4 out of 5

539 PHILADELPHIA @ 540 SACRAMENTO
Play On SACRAMENTO using the Money Line in All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 18 Wins and 42 Losses This Season(22.2 units)
3.4 out of 5

539 PHILADELPHIA @ 540 SACRAMENTO
Play On SACRAMENTO using the Money Line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 25 Losses This Season(16.2 units)
3.4 out of 5

537 LA CLIPPERS @ 538 HOUSTON
Play On LA CLIPPERS using the Money Line in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 5 Wins and 20 Losses Last 2 Years(14.5 units)
2.8 out of 5

537 LA CLIPPERS @ 538 HOUSTON
Play On HOUSTON using the Money Line in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game
The record is 18 Wins and 5 Losses This Season(12.5 units)
2.7 out of 5


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