Cnotes College Hoops Picks,Trends News 2018-2918 !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 28

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PURDUE (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (31 - 5) - 3/28/2019, 7:29 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (25 - 12) vs. VIRGINIA (31 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 9:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
OREGON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in March games this season.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
OREGON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
OREGON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (29 - 7) at GONZAGA (32 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 7:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games this season.
GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
GONZAGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
GONZAGA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (28 - 6) at MICHIGAN (30 - 6) - 3/28/2019, 9:39 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 138-185 ATS (-65.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, March 29

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LSU (28 - 6) vs. MICHIGAN ST (30 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 100-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (26 - 8) vs. DUKE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2019, 9:39 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 136-104 ATS (+21.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (33 - 3) vs. KENTUCKY (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 9:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
HOUSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (28 - 9) vs. N CAROLINA (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:29 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
N CAROLINA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
N CAROLINA is 182-142 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 88-56 ATS (+26.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
N CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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651Purdue -652 Tennessee
TENNESSEE is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

653Oregon -654 Virginia
OREGON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in March games in the current season.

655Florida St -656 Gonzaga
GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

657Texas Tech -658 Michigan
TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

667Lsu -668 Michigan St
MICHIGAN ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the current season.

669Virginia Tech -670 Duke
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

671Houston -672 Kentucky
KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

673Auburn -674 N Carolina
N CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 28


Florida State @ Gonzaga

Game 655-656
March 28, 2019 @ 7:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
76.117
Gonzaga
79.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 3
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 7
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+7); Over

Purdue @ Tennessee

Game 651-652
March 28, 2019 @ 7:29 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
71.274
Tennessee
75.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 4 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1); Under

Texas Tech @ Michigan

Game 657-658
March 28, 2019 @ 9:39 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
76.752
Michigan
75.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 1
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 2
126 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+2); Over

Oregon @ Virginia

Game 653-654
March 28, 2019 @ 9:59 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
69.640
Virginia
79.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 10
115
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 7 1/2
119
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-7 1/2); Under



Friday, March 29


LSU @ Michigan State

Game 667-668
March 29, 2019 @ 7:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
72.251
Michigan State
75.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 3
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 6
149
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(+6); Over

Auburn @ North Carolina

Game 673-674
March 29, 2019 @ 7:29 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
74.595
North Carolina
81.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 7 1/2
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 5
162
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-5); Over

Virginia Tech @ Duke

Game 669-670
March 29, 2019 @ 9:39 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
72.326
Duke
76.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 4
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 8
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+8); Over

Houston @ Kentucky

Game 671-672
March 29, 2019 @ 9:59 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
71247
Kentucky
77.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 6
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 2 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-2 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CCAR at WVU 07:00 PM
CCAR +10.0
O 157.5

UVU at USF 07:00 PM
UVU +2.5
U 146.0

LONG at DEP 08:00 PM
LONG +14.5
U 155.0

TXSO at UTRGV 08:00 PM
TXSO +6.0
U 162.5

CSB at SUU 08:30 PM
CSB +2.0
O 146.5

NORF at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -14.0
U 147.0

BRWN at LMU 10:00 PM
BRWN +7.0
U 138.5

[StarDust Bum]

1 NCAA tournament bracket stays perfect into Sweet 16

https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball...sweet-16-first

[StarDust Bum]

CBB MARCH MADNESS RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/25/2019 8-6-0 57.14% +7.00
03/24/2019 12-12-2 50.00% -6.00
03/23/2019 8-14-0 36.36% -37.00
03/22/2019 12-15-0 44.44% -22.50
03/21/2019 15-12-1 55.56% +900
03/20/2019 10-14-0 41.67% -27.00
03/19/2019 9-14-1 39.13% -32.00
03/18/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals..............76-87-4......46.62%.....-98.50


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

03/25/2019.............5 - 1.....................+19.50.................2 - 3...................-6.50...............+13.00
03/24/2019.............6 - 2.....................+19.00.................4 - 5...................-7.50...............+11.50
03/23/2019.............3 - 6......................-18.00.................4 - 5...................-7.50................-25.50
03/22/2019.............5 - 6......................-8.00...................5 - 6...................-8.00................-16.00
03/21/2019.............6 - 3......................+8.50..................3 - 7...................-23.50..............-15.00
03/20/2019.............3 - 7......................-23.00.................1 - 1...................-0.50................-23.50
03/19/2019.............5 - 5......................-2.50...................2 - 6..................-23.00...............-25.50
03/18/2019.............1 - 0......................+5.00..................1 - 0..................+5.00..............+10.00


Totals....................34 - 30.....................+0.50................22 - 33................-71.50..............-71.00

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Dell Match Play Championship this week:

10-1— Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson

14-1— Justin Thomas

18-1— Jon Rahm

20-1— Day, DeChambeau, Fleetwood, Koepka, Rose

25-1— Casey, Molinari, Woods

30-1— Finau, Poulter, Schauffele, Watson

Tweet of the Day
“To us, when it’s your player and he’s played for you and you know exactly what he is, we feel more comfortable paying our own players. Is that to say we don’t want to sign a player in free agency? No. But it’s got to be at a price point that we think is beneficial for both parties.”
Colts’ GM Chris Ballard

Tuesday’s quiz
Who is the oldest player in the major leagues right now?

Monday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a Big 14 basketball team won the national championship, when Michigan State won. Maryland won in 2002, but they were in the ACC back then.

Sunday’s quiz
In 1990, Michigan lost 149-115 to Loyola Marymount, the year after it won the national championship, the worst loss ever by a defending national champ.


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Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Duke beat Central Florida by a point Sunday. In the 25:00 Tacko Fall played, UCF was +16; they were -17 in the 15:00 he didn’t play. Pretty telling stat.

12) Denver Broncos suggested the NFL borrow the AAF’s version of onside kicks where a team can go for an “onside kick” by running a 4th-and-12 play from their own 28-yard line after a score, if they’re down by 17+ points, or trailing with 5:00 or less left in the game.

After the 4th-and-12 play, the game just continues from there.

NFL competition committee voted 7-1 in favor of this rule; Giants’ owner John Mara was the one vote against it, saying “What are we, the Arena Football League?”

24 of the 32 owners would have to vote “Yes” for it to become an actual rule.

11) From MetsMerizedOnline.com:

Mets owner Fred Wilpon is buying back a 12% stake of the team for about $180M, which values the Mets at about $1.5B, a lot less than the $2.1B Forbes magazine valued it at last year. If these numbers are right, thats a 28% decrease in value, in only one year.

The Wilpons now own 68% of the team, which is bad news for Mets fans everywhere.

10) Bears-Packers will be the Thursday night game in Week 1 of the NFL this season; this is the NFL’s 100th season, and Green Bay-Chicago is the league’s oldest rivalry.

New England will open at home on Sunday Night Football.

9) Milwaukee Brewers are playing couple of exhibition games against the Blue Jays in Montreal this week, but Ryan Braun forgot his passport, so he won’t be there. Whoops.

8) Ron Darling was talking on the Mets’ game the other day about how the Seattle Mariners have it worse than any other baseball team, as far as travel goes, since Seattle is way up thee in the Pacific Northwest, pretty far away from all their opponents, except Oakland.

He was talking about Robinson Cano being 36 years old and how many games he will play this season. Darling said Cano should still be able to play 140 or so games, since the Mets’ travel will be a lot less arduous than the Mariners’ was.

7) Showtime has a 4-part series called Action airing this month, about the growth of legalized gambling. In the first show, a well-known professional gambler named Bill Krackomberger is profiled; they show him betting thousands of dollars ($3,300 a game) on several NFL games, yet he says that he probably cannot name 15 players in the NFL.

A friend confirmed that this is probably true. I’ve known of this guy for years as a sharp bettor; it is amazing to me that a guy can win betting the NFL but can’t at least name every starting QB int the league.

6) Johnny Manziel made his AAF debut for Memphis Sunday, going 3-5 for 48 yards passing, and running ball twice for 20 yards in his backup role. Starter Brandon Silvers won the game for Memphis, though, leading the game-tying drive in the last minute of regulation, then

Silvers, who played college ball at Troy, was 24-35 for 266 yards and two TDs.

That was the first overtime game in AAF history, by the way.

5) One thing I won’t miss about spring training ending; games where both teams are wearing the same color jersey.

4) When a player breaks his bat in a major league game, they actually sell the bat at concession stands in the stadium, and broken bats ain’t cheap.

I was in Philadelphia couple years ago, and was looking at the game-used items they sell there; jerseys, baseballs, bats, bases. Made the mistake of grabbing a bat by the barrel and got pine tar all over my hands. Sticky stuff.

3) In the last two weeks, Auburn won six games, counting the SEC tournament and then their two NCAA tournament wins. In the previous 13 years combined, Auburn had won a total of seven postseason games.

2) Jazz 125, Suns 92— Devin Booker scored 59 points in this one-sided game; Jimmer Fredette went 1-10 in 14:00 off the bench in his first NBA game in three years.

Booker stayed in the game in the last 0:20 with the Suns down 33, trying to get 60 points, but Utah fouled someone else intentionally so that he couldn’t get the chance.

1) If you follow comments that Celtics players/coaches have made this season, sounds like they’re all having a miserable season. Boston is 43-31, right now they’re the #5-seed in the East but you get the impression they won’t be too unhappy when the season ends, and they can all go their separate ways.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
March 25, 2019
By David Schwab

Filling the gap before the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 Round later this week is a trio of games on Tuesday night’s schedule in the NIT and CIT postseason competitions.

Starting in the NIT, No. 6 Wichita State will be on the road against No. 1 Indiana followed by No. 2 Creighton going on the road to face No. 1 TCU. The top matchup in the CIT pits Presbyterian on the road against Marshall in the quarterfinals.


National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

No. 6 Wichita State Shockers at No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Indiana -5 ½, 138

Betting Matchup

The Shockers started their run in the NIT with a 76-70 road victory against Furman as 4 ½-point underdogs. They closed as 6 ½-point underdogs on the road in Sunday’s 63-55 upset over Clemson.

Their only straight-up loss in the last nine games was to Cincinnati in a tight 66-63 setback as five-point underdogs in the semifinals of the AAC Tournament. Wichita State is 5-0 against the spread in its last five contests and the total has gone OVER in three of those games.

Indiana bowed out of the Big Ten Tournament in its first game with a 79-75 loss to Ohio State as a two-point favorite. The Hoosiers hammered St. Francis-Pennsylvania 89-72 in the NIT opener as heavy 16 ½-point home favorites.

They advanced to this round with a 63-60 victory against Arkansas as 5 ½-point home favorites. This was just the second time they failed to cover in their last nine games. Guard Devonte Green scored 18 points with 11 records to help pace Saturday’s win against Arkansas.

Betting Trends

-- The Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games with the total going OVER in their last six games against the Big Ten.

-- The Hoosiers have covered the closing number in five of their last six home games and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games at home.

-- Wichita State won the only previous meeting SU with the total going OVER the closing line


No. 2 Creighton Bluejays at No. 1 TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: TCU -3 ½, 151 ½

Betting Matchup

Creighton was a one-and-done in the Big East Tournament with a 63-61 loss to Xavier as a three-point favorite. Closing as eight-point favorites in their NIT opener, the Bluejays got past Loyola-Chicago by nine points to cover.

Facing Memphis at home last Friday, they came away with a 79-67 victory as 5 ½-point favorites. Creighton heads on the road for this matchup at 4-2 ATS in its last six road games. Mitch Ballock and Marcus Zegarowski combined to score 28 points in Friday’s win.

As the top seed in their section of the NIT bracket, the Horned Frogs rolled over Sam Houston State 82-69 to cover as 12-point home favorites ahead of Sunday’s 88-72 rout of Nebraska as 4 ½-point favorites at home.

TCU is still just 3-5 ATS over its last eight games with the total going OVER in its last four outings while averaging 76 points per game. Desmond Bane went off for 30 points against Nebraska. JD Miller (15 points) was one of six players in double figures in the Horned Frogs’ NIT opener.

Betting Trends

-- The Bluejays have covered in four of their last five nonconference games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last six games on the road.

-- The Horned Frogs are a perfect 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games outside the Big 12. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight nonconference games.

-- The two split a pair of previous meetings SU with TCU going 2-0 ATS.


College Insider Tournament (CIT)

Presbyterian Blue Hose at Marshall Thundering Herd (7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Marshall -4 ½, 168

Betting Matchup

Playing out of the Big South, Presbyterian went 9-7 SU in conference play. Going on the road for its first two CIT games, the Blue Hose upset Seattle 73-69 as five-point underdogs before knocking off Robert Morris 77-70 on Sunday as slight one-point favorites.

They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games with the total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in three of those games. Francois Lewis and freshman Adam Flagler each scored 19 points in Sunday’s win. Cory Hightower had the hot hand against Seattle with 18 points.

Marshall was tied for second in Conference USA at 11-7. Following last Tuesday’s 78-73 victory against IUPUI as 7 ½-point home favorites, the Thundering Herd received a bye to the CIT quarterfinals as one of the top three seeds.

That earlier win boosted their record to 7-1 SU over their last eight games while going 5-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games. Marshall’s CJ Burks scored 25 points against IUPUI with Jon Elmore adding 22 more points to the winning cause.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Hose are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a nonconference opponent and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games following a SU win.

-- The Thundering Herd have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games coming off a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four home games.

-- Marshall won the only previous meeting SU with no posted betting lines.

[StarDust Bum]

Hot & Not Report
March 25, 2019
By YouWager.eu

Who's Hot and Who's Not

Week of March 25th

Now that the excitement and intensity of the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is in the rear-view mirror, it's time to take a step back during these next 48 hours or so and look at the bigger picture. The first four days of the NCAA Tournament saw underdogs rule the day ATS-wise in the opening round, but favorites came storming back on the weekend with a perfect 16-0 straight up record for the chalk, the first time that's ever happened since the field was expanded for this event in the mid-1980's.

While the outright success of the favorites is the freshest thing in the minds of many, heck, someone out there even still has a perfect bracket alive entering the Sweet 16 for the first time ever, it's not the only thing to keep in mind.

Now that it's Sweet 16 time, those of you who are fans of seeding trends – like the #12 to upset #5 which connected three times this year – history can provide us with some perspective that maybe the rest of this tournament may not be as chalky as the Round of 32 was.

Who's Hot

Playing 'Over' the total in Sweet 16 games involving #1 seeds – 61% blind the last six years (11-7 O/U)

All four of the #1 seeds have moved on to the Sweet 16 this year, and if you points and backing 'overs', it's the games involving these teams that you probably want to look at for Thursday/Friday action.

Starting with the 2013 NCAA tournament, blindly betting the 'over' in Sweet 16 games has cashed at a 61% clip, and for those of you that are futures bettors, you may want to wait until this Sweet 16 round is done to further your position in that sense.

That's because each of the past four years, a No. 1 seed that cashed an 'over' ticket in the Sweet 16 went on to at least make the championship game, with the past two seasons (Villanova in 2018, UNC in 2017) seeing these top-seeded teams cut down the nets.

(2016 saw UNC go 'over' in their Sweet 16 game and lose in the title game, and it was the same story in 2015 with Wisconsin).

Given that this year's tournament features three of the four No. 1 seeds being offense-first teams (Duke, UNC, Gonzaga), chances are we see at least one 'over' from these top seeds again – there has been at least one 'over' cash in this scenario every year since 2013 – and even a sub-120 total for the Virginia/Oregon game could have a shot at sailing above their number.

Backing 'unders' is something I tend to look for in the Elite Eight as it is, as programs feel that enormous pressure of trying to make the Final Four, and whether part of this 'over' run for top teams comes from a bit of relief on making it through the first week – Duke fans are still probably exhaling today – going above these totals is something to look for as the work week comes to a close.

So, come Friday evening, it might be best to take an assessment of the futures odds with who's remaining – if at least a few No. 1 seeds advance – as them cashing an 'over' ticket in the Sweet 16 may provide a nice little historical edge to your handicapping.

Who's Not

Backing ALL of the higher seeds to get through the Sweet 16 round – Only happened once in last 11 years

As chalky as the Round of 32 was this year with the favorites going 16-0 SU and the higher seed winning 15 of those 16 games (only No. 5 Auburn beat No. 4 Kansas), I'm not sure we see that kind of run for the higher seeds advancing to the Elite Eight.

That's because only the 2016 NCAA tournament saw all eight of the higher seeds in the Sweet 16 games move on to the Elite Eight over the past 11 years, with nine of those 10 years seeing at least two lower seeds getting through this round and having a shot at getting to the Final Four.

Last year we had No. 3 Texas Tech knock off No. 2 Purdue, No. 9 Florida State beat No. 4 Gonzaga (a rematch this year), No. 9 Kansas State beat No. 5 Kentucky, and the darling No. 11 Loyola-Chicago edge out No. 7 Nevada. That was the second time in the last five NCAA tournaments where four lower seeds in the Sweet 16 advanced, with the peak during this span being five squads back in 2011.

Since that 2008 NCAA tournament that started this run for lower seeds in the Sweet 16, 27 of the 88 teams that came into that game as the lower seed have advanced, and with all eight lower seeds this year – Purdue, Florida State, Texas Tech, Oregon, LSU, Auburn, Virginia Tech, and Houston – opening up as underdogs in some capacity (Purdue is now listed as a pick'em in some places), backing a few of these underdogs SU and ATS should prove fruitful.

With at least two of these lower seeds moving on in nine of the past 11 years, and in conjunction with the topic above regarding No. 1 1 seeds hopefully advancing through 'over' games, it may be best to look hard at those Sweet 16 underdogs that aren't up against a top seed. That would consist of backing teams like Purdue, Texas Tech, LSU, and Houston this week, and with three of those four games having spreads of +3 or lower, oddsmakers expect things to be tight in these contests as well.

[StarDust Bum]

Future Bets - Sweet 16
March 25, 2019
By Bookmaker

by Kyle Markus

NCAA Tournament Odds

The Duke Blue Devils entered the NCAA Tournament as the prohibitive favorite, but their March Madness run nearly ended in the Round of 32. Duke held off a masterful game from UCF and squeaked into the Sweet Sixteen with a one-point win. The Blue Devils’ struggles haven’t turned off the oddsmakers as they are still the clear favorite to come away with the title.

The close call was a reminder how quickly the dream can end, and it’s why other teams still alive should be studied closely in case Duke does fall. There haven’t been a lot of upsets in this year’s tournament, as all four No. 1 seeds, No. 2 seeds and No. 3 seeds are still alive. The Oregon Ducks are a No. 12 seed and are the only real Cinderella remaining in the field.

The odds have been updated to win the championship, and there are certainly some teams that deserve consideration in NCAA men’s basketball gambling.

The NCAA Tournament began March 19th and will run through April 8th, 2019. The NCAA Tournament championship game will be held at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota and will be nationally televised on CBS.

We'll have NCAA basketball odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NCAA basketball season.

Odds Analysis

Despite the close call last time out, Duke is still the team to beat the rest of the way. The Blue Devils’ odds to claim the national championship are set at +225. Duke has the best player remaining in March Madness in Zion Williamson, but UCF showed last time out that the Blue Devils are far from unbeatable when they aren’t playing well.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs entered with the second-best odds to win the title and have acquitted themselves well thus far. Gonzaga has a tough game next time out against Florida State, and then would need to beat either Texas Tech or Michigan to make it to the Final Four. Gonzaga’s odds are listed at +550.

The Virginia Cavaliers started slowly, and it looked like they may actually lose to a No. 16 seed for the second straight year. However, Virginia straightened things out on Friday and cruised to a win over Oklahoma on Sunday. The Cavaliers have a great defense and a strong body of work. The path is one of the easier ones and Virginia’s odds to win the championship is set at +500.

The North Carolina Tar Heels are the other No. 1 seed still alive. They will face off against Auburn in the Sweet Sixteen, with a possible matchup against second-seeded Kentucky in the Elite Eight. UNC has a talented team but it has been up and down this year. The Tar Heels’ odds are listed at +800.
Michigan State has the best odds among No. 2 seeds at +900, followed by Kentucky and Michigan at +1200 and Tennessee at +1500. Purdue is listed at +1800, followed by Texas Tech and Florida State at +2200. Auburn’s title odds are listed at +2800, followed by Houston at +3000.

Free NCAA Basketball ATS Picks

Gonzaga doesn’t get a lot of love because it is a mid-major program, but this is clearly one of the most talented teams in the tournament. The Bulldogs could need to beat Duke in the Final Four to simply make the national championship game, but if they did so they would likely be the favorites to win it all.

Duke’s odds are not favorable enough to roll with them, as UCF exposed some weaknesses in the Round of 32. Gonzaga is the pick to win the national championship as its odds are much more palatable in March Madness wagering.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs to win NCAA men’s basketball tournament at +550 odds

[StarDust Bum]

Heartbreak for UCF dad Dawkins and son
March 25, 2019
By The Associated Press

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) The coach's son was having the game of his life in the biggest game of his dad's life. Down 1, UCF's Aubrey Dawkins pushed a miss back up with his right hand with 2.5 seconds left. The ball bounced once, twice and then rolled off the rim.

Overall No. 1 NCAA Tournament seed Duke survived to reach the Sweet 16. Dawkins, the son of UCF coach Johnny Dawkins who shot hoops with his dad on the Blue Devils home court when Johnny was a Duke assistant, hung his head as his teammates hit the floor.

''Heartbreak. That's the only way to sum it up.'' Aubrey Dawkins quietly recalled 20 minutes later to reporters.

Nothing left to do but console his teammates, sprawled across the floor after the 77-76 loss where UCF led 76-73 with 14 seconds left when Duke's Zion Williamson drove right at UCF's 7-foot-6 Tacko Fall. The superstar Williamson hit the layup while drawing the big man's fifth and final foul. R.J. Barrett put back Williamson's miss for the winning basket.

B.J. Taylor drove on UCF's last chance, but the short jumper came off the glass just a little too hard. Dawkins swooped in and...

''It was up there forever, I felt like, in slow motion. Once I saw it go past the midpoint and roll out, it was, at that point, nothing left to do,'' he said.

Dawkins was the only reason UCF had a chance at the end. He scored 32 points - matching Williamson - on 12 of 18 shooting, including 5 of 7 on 3-pointers. He also had four assists and two offensive rebounds, including the putback he rolled off the rim. After the miss, he sank to his knees next to the frame supporting the basket.

''Aubrey was the best player on the court today. He was magnificent,'' said Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski, who told reporters he was close to tears, heartbroken for the opposing coach who helped build Duke into a powerhouse in the mid-1980s and the boy he watched grow up in shooting sessions after practice with his dad in Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Johnny Dawkins, who addressed his sobbing players in an emotional locker room speech after the loss, was the point guard for Krzyzewski's first Final Four team.

''Proud of you man, proud of you,'' Johnny Dawkins said, hugging his son. ''I know it's hard. I know it's hard.''

Aubrey Dawkins wanted to go to Stanford and play for his dad, but the school didn't admit him, saying he didn't meet their academic standards.

Johnny Dawkins said Saturday that may have been a blessing in disguise. He loved his son, but wasn't sure he could coach him after spending so much time with him on the court through the boy's childhood.

Aubrey Dawkins spent his first two seasons at Michigan, but after his dad left Stanford for the Knights, the son decided to join him at UCF. Just before the 2017-18 season started, Aubrey Dawkins suffered a season-ending injury.

He came back and averaged 15 points this season, but maybe more importantly, Aubrey Dawkins said he got to play for his dad.

''Having the chance to be around him at this stage in my life and my career in basketball has just been priceless. That's what I love most, just going every day next to him and learning from him and us getting closer as a father and son and also as a player and coach,'' Dawkins said.

And the father said his son playing like he did in the most important game of their lives meant a lot to him, too.

''Aubrey was terrific. He's capable of having moments like that, and he had one tonight on one of the biggest stages you could have it on,'' Johnny Dawkins said. ''He couldn't have picked a better time for that.''

[StarDust Bum]

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 26


Wichita State @ Indiana

Game 617-618
March 26, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wichita State
63.885
Indiana
73.844
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 10
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Under

Presbyterian @ Marshall

Game 629-630
March 26, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Presbyterian
48.434
Marshall
56.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 8
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 4 1/2
168
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-4 1/2); Over

Charleston Southern @ Hampton

Game 631-632
March 26, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charleston Southe
52.164
Hampton
56.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 4 1/2
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 2
157
Dunkel Pick:
Hampton
(-2); Over

FIU @ Green Bay

Game 633-634
March 26, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
47.488
Green Bay
45.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 1 1/2
179
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
176 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+4); Over

Creighton @ TCU

Game 619-620
March 26, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Creighton
68.702
TCU
74.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 6
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 4
151
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-4); Over




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 26

Wichita State won 13 of its last 16 games after starting season 8-11; Shockers are experience team #274 that played three guys 35:00+ in Sunday’s win at Clemson. Wichita’s bench plays minutes #139; they’ve won last five true road games. Indiana won six of its last seven games after a 1-12 stretch; Hoosiers played four starters 35:00+ in Saturday’s home win vs Arkansas. Indiana is 11-2 outside Big 14, losing to Duke and at Arkansas in first meeting in November.

Creighton won seven of its last eight games after starting Big East play 4-9; Bluejays are 11-4 outside Big East- they lost by 13 at Oklahoma in their only Big X game. Creighton is experience team #283 that shoots 38.2% on arc (#23). TCU won four of its last five games after a 1-6 skid; Horned Frogs are 13-1 outside Big X, with only loss at home to Lipscomb. TCU scored 82-88 points in their last two games; they played on Sunday, Creighton last played on Friday.

Presbyterian was down 13 at half at Robert Morris Sunday but won by 7, outscoring Colonials 46-26 in second half. Blue Hose played three guys 32:00+- they won three of last four games, are experience team #285 that is 7-7 outside the Big South. Marshall hasn’t played in a week; they won seven of last eight games, are 8-6 outside C-USA. Thundering Herd plays 5th-fastest tempo in country; they force turnovers 21.5% of time (#32).

Hampton beat Charleston Southern 94-82 at home Jan 10, rallying back from down 12 early in second half. Both teams finished 9-7 in Big South, in middle of league’s pack. CharSo is 12-4 in its last 16 games after starting season 7-11; they’re experience team #309 that forced turnovers 21.1% of time (#41). Hampton won six of its last seven games; they’re #8 experience team that won its last four home games.

Florida International won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-4 outside C-USA, winning by 3 over Milwaukee of the Horizon League. Panthers are experience team #76 that plays fastest tempo games in country; they’re forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#7). Green Bay won last 102-94 at East Tennessee; they play #10 tempo games in country. Phoenix split its last six games; they’re experience team #104 that is 5-7 outside Conference USA.




NCAAB

Tuesday, March 26

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Trend Report
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Wichita State @ Indiana
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Wichita State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Presbyterian @ Marshall
Presbyterian
No trends to report
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Marshall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Florida International @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
Florida International
Florida International is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Florida International is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Creighton @ TCU
Creighton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Creighton's last 5 games on the road
Creighton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
TCU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games at home
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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617Wichita St -618 Indiana
WICHITA ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

619Creighton -620 Tcu
TCU is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

625Lipscomb -626 Nc State
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

625Lipscomb -626 Nc State
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

629Presbyterian -630 Marshall
MARSHALL is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in the current season.

631Charleston So -632 Hampton
HAMPTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games in the current season.

633Fla International -634 Wi Green Bay
WI-GREEN BAY is 112-77 ATS (27.3 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 26

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WICHITA ST (21 - 14) at INDIANA (19 - 15) - 3/26/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in March games this season.
WICHITA ST is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CREIGHTON (20 - 14) at TCU (22 - 13) - 3/26/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CREIGHTON is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
TCU is 119-159 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 119-159 ATS (-55.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TCU is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TCU is 193-242 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 119-157 ATS (-53.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PRESBYTERIAN (20 - 15) at MARSHALL (20 - 14) - 3/26/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
PRESBYTERIAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games this season.
PRESBYTERIAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road lined games this season.
PRESBYTERIAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MARSHALL is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
MARSHALL is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARSHALL is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when the total is 160 to 169.5 this season.
MARSHALL is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MARSHALL is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHARLESTON SO (18 - 15) at HAMPTON (16 - 16) - 3/26/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMPTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all home games this season.
HAMPTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
HAMPTON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
HAMPTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMPTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
CHARLESTON SO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLESTON SO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLESTON SO over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 1-0 straight up against CHARLESTON SO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (20 - 13) at WI-GREEN BAY (18 - 16) - 3/26/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Udog]

Current betting stats (as of Tuesday morning) for other college basketball post-season tournaments:

NIT
Favorites: 17-7 SU & 10-14 ATS
O/U: 13-11

CIT
Favorites: 8-7 SU & 5-10 ATS
O/U: 9-6-1

CBI
Favorites: 11-1 SU & 6-6 ATS
O/U: 8-4

[Udog]

Betting Stats for Sweet 16 Teams (ATS & O/U Full Season):

South Region
(1) Virginia 24-10 ATS & 15-19 O/U
(12) Oregon 22-15 ATS & 12-24-1 O/U
(3) Purdue 19-14-1 ATS & 18-16 O/U
(2) Tennessee 17-17-1 ATS & 21-14 O/U


Midwest Region
(1) North Carolina 22-11-2 ATS & 15-20 O/U
(12) Auburn 19-16-1 ATS & 20-16-0 O/U
(3) Houston 23-12-1 ATS & 15-20-1 O/U
(2) Kentucky 19-16 ATS & 12-23 O/U


East Region
(1) Duke 18-17-1 ATS & 10-24-2 O/U
(4) Virginia Tech 17-15-1 ATS & 16-16-1 O/U
(3) LSU 19-14-1 ATS & 19-14 O/U
(2) Michigan St. 25-11 ATS & 15-20-1 O/U


West Region
(1) Gonzaga 22-13 ATS & 17-18 O/U
(4) Florida St. 17-18-1 ATS & 16-18-2 O/U
(3) Texas Tech 17-16-1 ATS & 14-19 O/U
(2) Michigan 21-15 ATS & 14-21 O/U