Cnotes College Hoops Picks,Trends News 2018-2918 !

[Udog]

Monday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

As the college basketball regular season continues to grind to a close in anticipation of this year’s conference tournaments, there are a trio of games on Monday night in both the ACC and the Big 12 that could have a big impact on the final standings.

Getting things started as part of ESPN’s Big Monday, the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers will be on the road against Syracuse. Later that night in Lubbock, No. 11 Texas Tech will play host to the Texas Longhorns in the first Big 12 clash. As a bonus betting game in that same conference, No. 16 Kanas State will be on the road against TCU.

No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers at Syracuse Orange (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -7, Total 121

Betting Matchup

The Cavaliers head into the final week of the regular season tied with North Carolina for the lead in the ACC at a straight-up 14-2. They started their current six-game winning streak with a eight-point win against the Tar Heels on Feb. 11 as one-point road underdogs. Virginia (26-2 SU, 21-7 ATS) is 5-1 against the spread during this same span with the total staying UNDER in four of the six games. By holding Pittsburgh to just 49 points in Saturday’s 24-point win at home, the Cavaliers’ points-allowed average stands at 54.1.

With Saturday’s 79-54 romp over Wake Forest as a 7 ½-point road favorite, Syracuse moved to 10-6 SU in ACC play as part of a 19-10 record overall. The Orange have covered the closing spread in four of their last six games with the total staying UNDER in five of those contests. They have a 4-2 record ATS in their last six home games. Junior guard Tyrus Battle scored 21 points against Pitt on Saturday and the defense did the rest to secure the win. He leads the team in scoring with 17.7 points per game.
Betting Trends

-- The Cavaliers have gone 18-7-1 in their last 26 games played on Monday. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

-- The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win with the total staying UNDER in four of their last five home games.

-- The underdog has covered the closing spread in four of the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in the last four meetings in Syracuse.

Texas Longhorns at No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -8, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Texas moved to 5-4 SU in its last nine games with Saturday’s 86-69 upset against Iowa State as a slight one-point home underdog. The Longhorns have gone 8-1 ATS during this same span with the total going OVER in five of their last seven games. They are an even 8-8 SU in Big 12 play as part of an overall record of 16-13. Texas is 6-3 ATS this season on the road. Back on Jan. 12, it lost to Texas Tech at home 68-62 as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jase Febres put up a career-high 26 points in Saturday’s win with the Longhorns’ leading scorer Kerwin Roach II out of the lineup due to an ongoing suspension.

The Red Raiders are tied with Kansas State for the lead in the Big 12 at 12-4. They have won their last seven games SU while going 6-1 ATS with Saturday’s 81-66 victory against TCU as four-point road favorites. The total has gone OVER in Texas Tech’s las four outings. It is 24-5 SU (13-15-1 ATS) overall with a SU six-game winning streak on its home court. Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver is averaging a team-high 17.9 PPG and he has exceeded that average in four of his last five games.

Betting Trends

-- The Longhorns are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and the total has gone OVER in their last four games coming off an ATS win.

-- The Red Raiders have a 4-1 record ATS in their last five home games with the total going OVER in four of those games.

-- The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two.

No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Kansas State -1, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Kansas State (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS) remains in contention for the Big 12 regular season title with Saturday’s 66-60 victory at home against Baylor. The Wildcats failed to cover as 6 ½-point home favorites to slip to 2-3 ATS over their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 127 points in that win and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests. Dean Wade had the hot hand against Baylor with 20 points with senior guard Barry Brown Jr. adding 10 points to the winning cause. Brown leads the Wildcats in scoring with 15.1 PPG, but he has only scored a combined 24 points in his last three starts.

The Horned Frogs only have one win (SU and ATS) in their last six games after coming up well short in Saturday’s loss to Texas Tech. They are 6-10 SU in conference play with a 5-11 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of TCU’s last 10 games overall and it is 1-4 ATS in its last five games at home. Coming into this game, it is 18-11 SU overall with a 14-15 record ATS. The Horned Frogs are averaging 75.5 PPG, but they are giving up an average of 70.9 points on defense. Last week, they gave up 104 points in an overtime loss to West Virginia.

Betting Trends

-- The Wildcats have covered in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five Monday games.

-- The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games played on Monday.

-- Kansas State won the first meeting this season 65-55 as a four-point home favorite to improve to 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four matchups.

[Udog]

Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams

We're winding down the regular season, and the pressure isn't too much for some teams, while a few other Top 25 teams have been wilting in a big way. One of those previously highly-ranked teams that are in freefall is Nevada (26-3 SU, 16-11-1 ATS) was humming right along until Feb. 20 at San Diego State (19-10 SU, 16-12 ATS). They lost that game by eight, and lost again this past week against Utah State (24-6 SU, 16-13 ATS) in Logan over the weekend. The Wolf Pack are suddenly looking mortal away from home, and they have failed to cover each of the past four. A lack of defense is particularly concerning, as they have yielded 77.0 points per game (PPG) over the past two, more than 10 points over their season average (66.7 PPG). They have a rematch with the Aztecs coming up this week, and probably could use a big win before heading into the postseason.

Maryland (21-9 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) has dropped two in a row, and three of the past five. A pair of losses to Michigan (26-4 SU, 17-13 ATS) is no embarrassment, but a 17-point loss at Penn State (12-17 SU, 13-14-2 ATS) certainly isn't going to wow the NCAA Tournament committee when it's time to dole out seedings. The Terps are just 5-6 SU in their past 11 games overall, and 2-5 SU/ATS in the past seven games either on the road or on a neutral-site court. Also in the Big Ten, Wisconsin (20-9 SU, 14-14-1 ATS) has been a .500 team over the past six outings, and they're 0-5-1 ATS during the span. They'll meet the equally disappointing Hawkeyes of Iowa (21-8 SU, 12-17 ATS), who have suddenly forgotten how to cover a spread. The Hawkeyes are 1-3 SU over the past four outings, and they have failed to cover six straight and eight of the past 10 contests.

Marquette (23-6 SU, 18-11 ATS) is feeling the pressure of March, falling to a mediocre Creighton (16-13 SU, 14-14 ATS) side for their second consecutive loss and non-cover. The Golden Eagles are crumbling, going just 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS across the past seven outings, too. The only thing that has been consistent for Marquette has been the 'under', hitting in six of the past eight contests.

Cincinnati (25-4 SU, 12-17 ATS) has won five in a row since a 65-58 loss at Houston (27-2 SU, 19-9-1 ATS) on Feb. 10. The Bearcats failed to cover in that game, however, and that touched off an 0-6 ATS skid heading into the new week. The 'under' has connected in four in a row for Cincy, however, and the under is 6-1 across the past seven. Houston lost to UCF (25-4 SU, 12-17 ATS), as the Golden Knights have squeezed into the picture for a potential at-large NCAA Tournament bid. The Cougars had no answers for 7-foot-6 Tacko Fall, and the Knights will now set their sights on Cincinnati this week.

One team not struggling straight-up or against the number is Wofford (26-4 SU, 16-11 ATS) of the SoCon, as they have wrapped up the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament, and could have done enough in the regular season to nail down an at-large bid even if they stumble next week and fail to lock down an automatic bid. The Terriers went 18-0 on conference play, and they have covered eight of their past nine outings. The only losses for the Terriers came against North Carolina (24-5 SU, 17-10-2 ATS) in the season opener Nov. 6, at Oklahoma (18-11 SU, 18-8-3 ATS) on Nov. 18, at Kansas (22-7 SU, 13-16 ATS) on Dec. 4 and at Mississippi State (21-8 SU, 15-14 ATS) on Dec. 19. That loss to the Bulldogs was their last setback. They also have resume-building wins at South Carolina (14-15 SU, 12-16 ATS), as well as a pair of wins by an average of 29.5 points vs. UNC Greensboro (26-5 SU, 13-15-1 ATS), a team ranked 33rd in RPI, as well as a sweep against Wofford (24-6 SU, 11-16 ATS), a SoCon team which previously appeared in the Top 25.

[Udog]

Tournament Time
Jim Feist

My head is spinning, and I’m loving it!

It’s time for six weeks of madness….

Many times, over the last four or five decades this has been a very profitable time.

Let’s break it down. There are four post season tournaments. The CBI, CIT, NIT and of course the granddaddy of them all the NCAA Men's Tournament.

Before we get to all of that, the madness begins with the Conference Tournaments. This is where teams that play the teams involved have played each other, for the most part for the last six to eight weeks. By having that mix, we get to analyze different aspects to handicapping than we will in the season ending tournaments mentioned above.

Those aspects of handicapping are mostly focused on history and familiarity. When teams play each over often, players get to know each other and get to learn each other’s strengths and weaknesses. In turn, us handicappers get to use that information in our analysis.

The first element of handicapping I use is to make my own line, and believe me that is much easier to do, when teams that play each other have been playing in very similar power rating ranges, which is what happens when they have been playing similar opponents in their own conference.

Revenge is a tool that is used often by cappers. It can be a very effective tool but can be overused. Some cappers have used it effectively, but they are the cappers that use it selectively. Just because team A beat team B by 20 pts does not mean team B will be able to turn the tables in the next meeting. Sometimes one team is just too good for the other and unless the superior team doesn’t show up, the weaker team will not be able to turn the tables.

Style matters. Pace matters. There are so many things to be aware but too much info can lead to paralysis by analysis. Therefore putting together a strong database throughout the season gives you a solid foundation.

Here it is late February/early March and the madness, so to speak has already begun. In the last few weeks, we have seen the potential No. 1 NBA draft choice, Zion Williamson of Duke go down with injury. We have also seen an increasing number on underdogs not only cover but also win outright, over high-ranking opponents. Yes, the Madness has already begun and I Love It.

What has already begun as well is the annual debate over, who’s in and who’s out. Unfortunately, the committee will never get this right, wherein they will satisfy everyone. No one can ever satisfy everyone.

Let’s begin with a look at the Conference Tournaments and move on from there.

ACC: This is one of the very top conferences. Clearly Duke is the team to beat. If they are absent Zion, they still have enough weapons to be very dangerous. North Carolina and Virginia also stand out, but this is a very strong conference, so there are a few others that could catch fire. I believe the strongest outsider team is Florida State. My Conference Pick is Duke if Zion plays and North Carolina if he does not.

American Athletic: Don’t sleep on these teams. Both Houston, who is having a remarkable season, and Cincinnati are very capable to move on and do some damage if they get in the Big Dance. Central Florida with their 7’6” center is also very capable. I don’t see all three in the Big Dance, but it could happen. My Conference Pick is Houston

Atlantic 10: No one in this league looks to be able to go to the next level but one may. The winner of their tournament has a shot to get in. Davidson, Dayton or Virginia Commonwealth are the top dogs to consider. My Conference Pick is Virginia Commonwealth.

Big 12: This Conference is very tight. When a conference is this tight top to bottom, upsets are very likely to happen. Kansas State and Texas Tech look the best to me with just about everyone else having a shot, except for West Virginia and Oklahoma State. Multiple teams will make the Big Dance. My Conference Pick is Texas Tech

Big East: The best team in this Conference right now is Marquette. Defending National Champion Villanova is still a force but while Marquette is getting better Villanova is declining. This is a very balanced league with several dangerous clubs, with St John’s having shown signs they can beat anyone on a given day. My Conference Pick is Marquette

Big Ten: Top teams are Michigan State, Michigan and Purdue. A few others, Maryland and Wisconsin, follow closely and can upset the top group on any given day. My Conference Pick Michigan State.

Big West: I’m sure this conference tournament will be very competitive. The talent level is very thin, but Cal-Irvine and Cal State Fullerton should come out on top. My Conference Pick is Cal-Irvine.

Colonial: Like all the Conference Tourneys, the players want to win, and this will be no exception. Hofstra has played well all season as has College of Charleston and Northeastern. My Conference Pick is Hofstra.

Conference USA: Another small conference that will bring lots of excitement. This should be exciting but tough to handicap before it starts. This is where watching as many games as possible during tournament play will bring dividends. You could throw a blanket over about five teams to win this one. My conference Pick Old Dominion.

Horizon: Northern Kentucky and Wright State have the advantage here, but upsets can happen here with teams like Oakland and Illinois Chicago lurking. My conference Pick Wright State.

MAC: Buffalo is the clear choice here but could falter if they don’t come prepared. There are several speed bumps that could cause trouble from the other 11 teams in this group. Look out for Toledo and Bowling Green. My conference Pick Buffalo.

Missouri Valley: Remember last year’s Tournament darling? That was Loyola Chicago and the magic that Sister Jean brought to the event. That was exciting and really brought a lot of fans back for more. This year Loyola will need a little more help as they are not quite the same group. There are a few teams that could derail Loyola, especially Drake, who has been a bettor’s gold mine this year. Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois are close as well. Should be a battle for the title. My Conference Pick Northern Iowa.

Mountain West: As with all of these conferences, there are multiple land mines for the leaders to get past. Nevada is the clear choice here, but San Diego State, Fresno State and Utah State all have the talent to upset the Wolfpack. Nevada has the better talent by far. My conference pick is Nevada.

PAC-12: What a disappointment this conference has been this year. Usually we get better quality out of the PAC-12. Washington stands out but a few others can surprise. There should only be one team going to the Big Dance from here. Arizona State, Colorado and Oregon are worth mentioning but my conference pick is Washington.

SEC: Like the ACC and Big 10, this league is loaded. Kentucky, LSU and Florida stand out to me. Others could easily be in the mix. Tennessee was for a time ranked #1 but their weak non-conference slate did not toughen them up enough. It will be a tough battle for the title and several teams will make the Big Dance, but my conference pick is Kentucky.

Sun Belt: Texas State is a hard team to prepare for, but these teams do know each other well. Georgia State also plays a tough brand of ball and Georgia Southern is very good. Not many hoop fans know about these clubs but beware, if they get to the Big Show, they can knock someone off. My conference pick is Texas State.

West Coast: It’s all Gonzaga as it usually is for this conference. The lack of big game experience could derail the Zags as it has in the past. Be that as it may, the Zags are one of the very best teams in the nation. My conference pick is Gonzaga.

The following Conferences I will just mention who I pick.

Big Sky: Montana

MAAC: Quinnipiac

Ohio Valley: Belmont

Southern: NC Greensboro

Summit: South Dakota State

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4

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VIRGINIA (26 - 2) at SYRACUSE (19 - 10) - 3/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (22 - 7) at TCU (18 - 11) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TCU is 165-211 ATS (-67.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TCU is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TCU is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
TCU is 190-240 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 116-155 ATS (-54.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TCU is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 4-2 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (16 - 13) at TEXAS TECH (24 - 5) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 4-3 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ARIZONA (9 - 19) at MONTANA (21 - 7) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
MONTANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 3-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 4-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (14 - 13) at MONTANA ST (13 - 14) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (16 - 12) at IDAHO ST (9 - 17) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 3-1 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 3-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 4

Virginia won its last six games, is 14-2 in ACC, winning its last five road games. Cavaliers are shooting 40.8% on arc in ACC play; how will they do in a dome? Syracuse is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 10-6 in ACC, splitting last four home games, with losses to Florida St/Duke. Virginia won five of its last seven games with Syracuse, winning two of three visits here- they won 59-44 here LY. Virginia is 12-2 in its last 14 games as an ACC road favorite, 5-1 this year; last five years, Orange is 5-6-1 as a home underdog, 0-1 this year.

Kansas State won seven of its last nine games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning four of last five road games. TCU lost five of its last six games; they’re 6-10 in Big X, 5-3 at home- they lost two of last three home tilts. Horned Frogs were -11 in turnovers (18-7) in its65-55 loss at Kansas State Jan 19; Wildcats won six of last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Ft Worth. K-State covered four of last five tries as a Big X road favorite (2-0 this year); under Dixon, Horned Frogs are 4-3 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-1 this year.

Texas lost three of last five games; they’re 8-8 in Big X, losing seven of last eight road games, including a loss at SEC doormat Georgia. Texas Tech won its last seven games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning last six home games with four wins by 19+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 22.2% of time in Big X tilts. Tech won 68-62 at Texas Jan 12; Red Raiders won four of last six series games. Texas lost its last three visits to Lubbock, by 8-10-2 points. Texas is 5-0-1 vs spread this season as a Big X road underdog; Tech is 5-2 this season as a home favorite.

Northern Arizona lost six of its last eight games; they’re 7-11 in Big Sky, losing three of last four road games. Montana is 14-3 in Big Sky; two of their three losses came at home. Montana shot 68% inside arc, won first meeting 86-73 in Flagstaff Dec 29; NAU led by point at the half. Montana won last eight series games; Lumberjacks lost last three visits to Missoula, by 7-18-18 points. NAU is 15-10 in its last 25 games as a road underdog, 3-4 this year; Montana is 10-7 vs spread in its last 17 games as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.

Southern Utah is 5-3 in its last eight games, 9-9 overall in Big Sky, losing last three road games, by 11-9-16 points. Montana State won five of its last seven games; they’re 10-7 in conference, winning last three home games, by 8-14-11 points. MSU made 13-26 on arc, crushed Southern Utah 92-62 in Cedar City Dec 29; Bobcats won five of last six series games. SUU is 0-5 in Bozeman, losing by 8-5-14-7-3 points. Thunderbirds are 8-15-2 in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-6 this year; MSU is is 5-1 vs spread this season as a Big Sky home favorite.

Weber State lost six of its last nine games after starting 7-1 in league; Wildcats lost four of their last five road games. Idaho State lost five in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 5-12 in Big Sky, losing five of their last six home games. Weber shot 72% inside arc, whacked ISU 76-59 at home Jan 17; Wildcats won seven of last nine series games. Weber won its last two trips to Pocatello, by 12-7 points. Weber is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road favorite, 4-3 this year; Bengals are 4-12 in last 16 games as a home underdog, 0-2 this year.

Atlantic Sun tournament
Home side won both NJIT-Florida Gulf Coast games this year; NJIT won first meeting by 12, then lost rematch by hoop 19 days ago. Highlanders lost six of last eight games, but lost at league kingpins Lipscomb/Liberty by only 4-6 points last week; they’re 3-5 on ASun road. FGCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-1 at home in A-Sun, upsetting Lipscomb Feb 20. Eagles are 4-13 vs teams ranked in top 200. NJIT is 0-3 in this event, losing first round games by 15-31-4 points; Eagles are 8-1 in this event the last three years, losing in Finals LY.

North Alabama lost seven of its last nine games; this is their first year in D-I. Lions lost five of their last six road games; they’re shooting 30.3% on arc in A-Sun games. North Florida won its last six games; they’re 9-7 in A-Sun despite turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Ospreys won their last three home games, by 23-5-10 points. UNF swept NAU this season, winning by 29 here, by 9 on road. This is North Alabama’s first A-Sun tourney; UNF won its first round game the last four years, by 14-23-3-4 points.

Jacksonville lost its last four games, with three of those losses by 4 or fewer points or in OT; Dolphins lost three of last four road games, losing by 13-9-14 points. J’ville is shooting only 64.4% on line in A-Sun games. Liberty won seven of its last eight games; they won their last four home games. Flames went 2-5 in last five Big South tourneys since last trip to NCAA’s, in 2013. Liberty swept Jacksonville this year, winning by 16 here, by 10 on road. Jacksonville is 1-5 in this event last five years, winning first round game LY; Liberty is in its first A-Sun tourney.

Kennesaw State is 3-13 in A-Sun; two of their wins were by one point. Owls went 0-8 on road in A-Sun play, losing their last three away games by 23-22-17 points. KSU is shooting 39.5% inside arc in league games. Lipscomb beat SMU, TCU, lost by 4 at Louisville; Bisons are 14-2 in A-Sun, only 3-2 in last five games. Lipscomb is making 40.7% of its 3’s in conference games. KSU is 1-3 in first round games, with losses by 36-10-19 points; Lipscomb won this tourney LY; they won last four first round games, by 3-3-31-16 points.

[Udog]

NCAAB

Monday, March 4

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Trend Report
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Virginia @ Syracuse
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home

Kansas State @ TCU
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU
TCU is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas
Texas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Southern Utah @ Montana State
Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Southern Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Montana State
Montana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Utah

Northern Arizona @ Montana
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games when playing Montana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 10 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Montana is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Weber State @ Idaho State
Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Weber State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Idaho State
Idaho State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games when playing at home against Weber State


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 4


Weber State @ Idaho State

Game 873-874
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Weber State
45.308
Idaho State
47.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
by 2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Weber State
by 4
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(+4); Under

Southern Utah @ Montana State

Game 871-872
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
46.940
Montana State
50.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 4
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
by 6
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(+6); Over

Northern Arizona @ Montana

Game 869-870
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
44.639
Montana
56.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 12
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 15
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+15); Under

Texas @ Texas Tech

Game 867-868
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
72.370
Texas Tech
76.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 4
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 8 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+8 1/2); Over

Kansas State @ TCU

Game 865-866
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
71.331
TCU
62.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 8 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 1 1/2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-1 1/2); Over

Virginia @ Syracuse

Game 863-864
March 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
79.050
Syracuse
70.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 8
114
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 6 1/2
124
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-6 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

— Virginia 79, Syracuse 53— Cavaliers went into a dome, made 18-25 on the arc. Wow.

— NJIT 83, Florida Gulf Coast 78— Minor upset in Atlantic Sun tourney.

— Heat 114, Hawks 113— Dwyane Wade scored 23 points off the bench.

— Spurs 104, Nuggets 103— San Antonio leads #9 seed Sacramento by three games.

— Grad transfer QB Nick Starkel jumps from Texas A&M to Arkansas.

— Looks like Rams, Cowboys are playing a preseason game in Hawai’i this summer.

Quote of the Day
“To a degree, he’s hurt the game. And what I mean by that is I go into these high school gyms, I watch these kids and the first thing they do is run to the three-point line. You are not Steph Curry.”
ESPN’s Mark Jackson, back in 2015.

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Tony Bennett coach before moving to Virginia?

Monday’s quiz
There no World Series because the baseball players were on strike in 1994.

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Ewing played with the Knicks for 15 years; he finished his career with the Orlando Magic.

************************************************** ***************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Stephen Zimmerman is 6-foot-11 and 22 years old; he plays an average of 19.8 mpg for the Knicks’ G-League team and scores 8.2 ppg. He’s played in 85 G-League games over three years.

Here’s the thing; Mr Zimmerman was the 41st player taken in the 2016 NBA Draft; if he had stayed in college, he would be a senior at UNLV right now. Would he be better off had he stayed in school? I don’t know the answer to this question, but he is playing only 19.8 mpg now, it doesn’t seem like he is that close to getting a call back to the NBA.

You stay in college, you work harder on your game in practices, plus you can get a college degree that could prove useful if the basketball thing doesn’t work out.

12) I look at his free throw percentage and it has been right around 62% for all three of his years in the G-League, so in three years as a pro, he hasn’t improved that part of his game. He is grabbing 8.9 rebounds a game, so that number has improved, but he’s also played for three teams in three years. If the lowly Knicks don’t bring him up, then what?

Kids have to decide between staying in college and practicing more, as opposed to going pro, getting paid and playing more games while practicing less, but it is a cruel world out there, and if you’re not ready, teams move on pretty quickly. Hopefully Zimmerman will keep improving and find his way back to the NBA.

11) Was pretty sad listening to a 2:16 clip of NBA commish Adam Silver talking about so many NBA players being genuinely unhappy, because they’re isolated in the world.

Sounds like your basic first-world problem, but if you’re in your 20’s and banking a 7 or 8-figure income and you ain’t happy, I’m not sure how you fix that. I’m approaching 60 years old and am a retired government employee, but I’m pretty damn happy despite not being rich.

Maybe part of the solution for future kids is that staying in college longer would give you friendships that could propel you into adulthood with a support system, I’m not really sure, but I am pretty adamant that more kids would be better off staying in school longer, to grow up more.

10) Paul Goldschmidt doesn’t look right wearing a Cardinals’ uniform.

9) Sounds like Nick Foles is headed to the Jacksonville Jaguars next season.

8) ESPN found an excellent new basketball analyst when it hired former NBA player Caron Butler, who is at ease behind the mike- he is fun to listen to.

7) ESPN.com ran an article that is highly critical of Phoenix Suns’ owner Robert Sarver. Since the departure of coach Mike D’Antoni from the Suns in 2008, Phoenix has had four general managers and seven head coaches, not exactly a blueprint for success.

6) An 85-year old guy in Texas ran a mile this weekend in 7 minutes, 47 seconds. At age 85.

Seriously, if I drive 10 miles in my car, I’m looking for the drive-thru window at a Wendy’s. Running is no longer an option, not that it ever was. Kudos to this gentleman, who ran college track for Texas before I was born, back in the 50’s.

5) In the AAF over the weekend, on its first drive of the game, San Antonio ran 21 plays for 78 yards on a drive that took 9:34, but they kicked a FG, didn’t score a TD. Not sure I’ve ever seen that before, a 21-play drive, and for it not to end in a TD or a turnover, thats weird, especially since it was a 38-yard FG, they weren’t even that close to the goal line.

4) Announced attendance at the four AAF games this past weekend:
— San Diego @ Memphis: 13,621
— Orlando @ Salt Lake City: 9,302 (was snowing there)
— San Antonio @ Birmingham: 6,539
— Atlanta @ Arizona: 8,865

No idea what their attendance goals are, or if these numbers are good or bad, but they get 90,000 in Tuscaloosa for Alabama’s spring game. 6,539 in Birmingham can’t be good.

3) Generally speaking, an agent’s take is 3% of the athlete’s salary, so Scott Boras’ take from the Bryce Harper bonanza figures to be $9.9M.

2) Phillies, by the way, sold 200,000 game tickets the day they announced the Harper signing.

1) The ruckus after the Nevada-Utah State game Saturday apparently was related to students storming the court after the game ended. Court storming needs to be stopped, before something really bad happens, with a player slugging someone or a huge brawl breaking out.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 5


Illinois-Chicago @ Green Bay

Game 649-650
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois-Chicago
51.399
Green Bay
49.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 1 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3
154
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois-Chicago
(+3); Over

IUPUI @ Wright State

Game 647-648
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IUPUI
49.383
Wright State
58.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 9 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 8
141
Dunkel Pick:
Wright State
(-8); Under

Nevada @ Air Force

Game 645-646
March 5, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
65.897
Air Force
45.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 20
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 12 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(-12 1/2); Over

Auburn @ Alabama

Game 643-644
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
67.475
Alabama
68.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 1
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 2 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(+2 1/2); Under

Mississippi State @ Tennessee

Game 641-642
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
71.311
Tennessee
76.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 5
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 8
148
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(+8); Over

Kentucky @ Ole Miss

Game 639-640
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
70.032
Ole Miss
70.266
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ole Miss
Even
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 5 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Ole Miss
(+5 1/2); Under

East Carolina @ Wichita State

Game 637-638
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
49.972
Wichita State
61.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wichita State
by 11 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wichita State
by 14 1/2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+14 1/2); Over

Utah State @ Colorado State

Game 635-636
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
65.849
Colorado State
56.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 9 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 6 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-6 1/2); Under

Kansas @ Oklahoma

Game 633-634
March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
71.638
Oklahoma
66.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
by 4 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 1
142
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(-1); Over

North Carolina @ Boston College

Game 631-632
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
81.111
Boston College
62.201
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 19
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 10 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-10 1/2); Over

Purdue @ Minnesota

Game 629-630
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
75.868
Minnesota
65.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 10 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 5
140
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(-5); Under

Pittsburgh @ Miami-FL

Game 627-628
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
57.842
Miami-FL
61.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 3 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 6 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+6 1/2); Under

VA-Commonwealth @ George Mason

Game 625-626
March 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VA-Commonwealth
56.992
George Mason
56.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
VA-Commonwealth
by 1
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
VA-Commonwealth
by 5
138
Dunkel Pick:
George Mason
(+5); Over

South Carolina @ Texas A&M

Game 623-624
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
58.119
Texas A&M
64.993
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 7
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 4 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-4 1/2); Over

Bowling Green @ Akron

Game 621-622
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
51.131
Akron
63.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 12
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 3
137
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-3); Under

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan

Game 619-620
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
51.764
Central Michigan
50.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 1 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 4 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+4 1/2); Under

Ball State @ Eastern Michigan

Game 617-618
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
53.579
Eastern Michigan
48.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 5 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 1 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+1 1/2); Over

Western Michigan @ Toledo

Game 615-616
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
44.257
Toledo
62.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 18 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 15 1/2
143
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-15 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Ohio

Game 613-614
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
70.246
Ohio
56.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 14
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 11 1/2
154
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-11 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Miami-OH

Game 611-612
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
56.888
Miami-OH
55.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-OH
by 4
140
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+4); Over

Virginia Tech @ Florida State

Game 609-610
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
71.984
Florida State
72.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 1
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 4 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+4 1/2); Under

Nebraska @ Michigan State

Game 607-608
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
60.209
Michigan State
76.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 16
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 13 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-13 1/2); Under

Wake Forest @ Duke

Game 605-606
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
52.441
Duke
80.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 28 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 26 1/2
154
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-26 1/2); Over

Rhode Island @ St Joseph's

Game 603-604
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
55.382
St Joseph's
54.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 1
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Joseph's
by 1 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Rhode Island
(+1 1/2); Over

Xavier @ Butler

Game 601-602
March 5, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Xavier
67.666
Butler
62.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Xavier
by 5 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 4
138
Dunkel Pick:
Xavier
(+4); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


XAVIER (16 - 13) at BUTLER (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
XAVIER is 252-201 ATS (+30.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 4-2 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 4-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RHODE ISLAND (14 - 14) at ST JOSEPHS (13 - 16) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RHODE ISLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 2-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
RHODE ISLAND is 3-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAKE FOREST (11 - 17) at DUKE (25 - 4) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
DUKE is 227-168 ATS (+42.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 3-2 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 5-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (15 - 14) at MICHIGAN ST (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 99-139 ATS (-53.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 99-139 ATS (-53.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 106-144 ATS (-52.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA TECH (22 - 6) at FLORIDA ST (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENT ST (20 - 9) at MIAMI OHIO (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BUFFALO (26 - 3) at OHIO U (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
OHIO U is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO U is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (8 - 21) at TOLEDO (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 3-2 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALL ST (15 - 14) at E MICHIGAN (14 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
BALL ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BALL ST is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
BALL ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 125-166 ATS (-57.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-2 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (13 - 16) at C MICHIGAN (20 - 9) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
N ILLINOIS is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (20 - 9) at AKRON (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 3-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S CAROLINA (14 - 15) at TEXAS A&M (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VA COMMONWEALTH (23 - 6) at GEORGE MASON (16 - 13) - 3/5/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE MASON is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
GEORGE MASON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 4-2 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-1 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (12 - 17) at MIAMI (12 - 16) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MIAMI is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (22 - 7) at MINNESOTA (18 - 11) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (24 - 5) at BOSTON COLLEGE (14 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 323-261 ATS (+35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (22 - 7) at OKLAHOMA (18 - 11) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games this season.
KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
OKLAHOMA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 4-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (24 - 6) at COLORADO ST (12 - 17) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
COLORADO ST is 135-173 ATS (-55.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 3-2 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E CAROLINA (10 - 18) at WICHITA ST (15 - 13) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 164-211 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 156-199 ATS (-62.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 228-185 ATS (+24.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (24 - 5) at OLE MISS (19 - 10) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
OLE MISS is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
OLE MISS is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 91-62 ATS (+22.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (21 - 8) at TENNESSEE (26 - 3) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 129-89 ATS (+31.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (20 - 9) at ALABAMA (17 - 12) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 4-2 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 4-2 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (26 - 3) at AIR FORCE (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEVADA is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 3-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 4-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPUI (16 - 15) at WRIGHT ST (19 - 12) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPUI is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IUPUI is 2-1 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-1 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IL-CHICAGO (16 - 15) at WI-GREEN BAY (16 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-3 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 5

Xavier won its last five games, is 8-8 in Big East- they won their last three road games. Musketeers beat Butler 70-69 at home Jan 13, after trailing by 10 with 4:03 left in game. Butler lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-10 in big East, losing three of last five home games. Big East teams are shooting 53.4% inside arc vs Butler this year. Musketeers are 10-3 vs Butler in Big East meetings, splitting last four visits to Hinkle. Xavier is 7-4 in its last 11 games as a road underdog, 4-3 this year; Butler is 17-15 in its last 32 games as a home favorite, 3-5 this year.

Florida State won 10 of its last 11 games, including six in row at home; they’re 11-5 in ACC, 7-1 at home, with a loss to Duke. Virginia Tech won four of its last five games, is 11-5 in ACC, winning four of last five road games. FSU won its last three games with Tech, by 15-6-9 points; Hokies lost their last four visits to FSU, by 1-11-20-18 points. Tech is 12-13-1 in its last 26 games as a road underdog, 1-3 this year; Seminoles are 15-8-1 in last 24 games as a home favorite, 3-4 this year. Tech PG Robinson missed the last eight games; they need him back for NCAA’s.

VCU won its last ten games; they’re 14-2 in A-14, winning their last five road games. Rams are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time in A-14 games. George Mason is 3-5 in its last eight games, but they’ve won five of last six home games. Mason was 2-19 on arc in 79-63 loss at VCU Feb 2, game that was tied with 10:40 left; Rams won 11 of last 13 series games- they won last two visits to Fairfax, by 9-13 points. Under Rhoades, VCU is 6-4 vs spread as a road favorite, 2-2 this year; 11-18 in its last 29 games as a home dog, 0-0 this year.

Purdue won five in row, 13 of last 14 games; they’re 15-3 in big 14, winning five of last six road games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games; they’re 8-10 in Big 14, splitting last four home games. Purdue beat Minnesota 73-63 at home Feb 3, in brickfest where teams combined to go 7-40 on arc; Boilermakers won six of last eight series games, winning last two visits here, by 4-34 points. Purdue is 8-13 in its last 21 games as a road favorite, 3-2 this year; Gophers are 6-8 in last 14 games as a home underdog, 1-1 this year.

North Carolina won five in row, 12 of last 13 games; they’re 14-2 in ACC, winning all eight road games. Tar Heels are shooting 38.2% on arc in league games. Boston College is 5-11 in ACC but they won last three home games, with win over Louisville. Two of Eagles’ last three losses came in OT. UNC won its last 11 games with BC (2-3-1 vs spread in last six), winning last five visits to Boston by 32-12-11-3-8 points. UNC is 18-13 in its last 31 games as a road favorite, 4-1 this year; Eagles are 7-3 in last 10 games as a home underdog, 3-2 this year.

Kansas won five of last six games overall but lost five of last seven road games. Jayhawks are 11-5 in Big X; they’re turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Oklahoma won three of last four games as they struggle to stay on bubble- they’re 6-10 in Big X, splitting their eight home games. Kansas beat Oklahoma 70-63 at home Jan 2; they won six of last seven series games. Teams split last six meetings in Norman. Jayhawks are 2-6 vs spread on road in Big X this year; Oklahoma is 13-12-1 in last 26 home games, 3-5 this year.

Utah State made 12-25 on arc, beat Colorado State 87-72 at home Jan 19; Aggies are 7-4 in last 11 series games, winning two of last three visits to Moby Arena. USU won six in row, 13 of last 14 games; they’re 14-3 in MW, winning six of last seven road games. CSU won three of last four games but lost three of last four home games; Aggie win clinches at least tie for first in Mountain West. Aggies are 4-3 vs spread this year as a Mountain West road favorite; Rams 3-8-1 in last dozen games as a home underdog, 2-3 this year.

Kentucky is 4-2 in its last six games after starting out 21-3; Wildcats are 13-3 in SEC, 6-2 on road, losing at Alabama/Tennessee. Ole Miss lost three of its last four games; their last three games were all decided by either 1 or 2 points. Rebels are 9-7 in SEC; they split their last six home games. Kentucky won its last nine games with Ole Miss, winning last three visits to Oxford, 13-14-23 points. Wildcats are 7-8-1 in last 16 games as a road favorite, 3-2-1 this year; Ole Miss is 5-4 in last nine games as a home underdog, 2-0 this year.

Mississippi State won five of its last six games; they’re 9-7 in SEC, winning three of last four road games (lost by 5 at Auburn). Tennessee is 3-2 in last five games after starting 11-2; they won all eight SEC home games. Vols are shooting 55.9% inside arc in conference games. Tennessee won four of last five games with MSU; teams split last four meetings here. Under Howland, Bulldogs are 13-15-2 as an SEC road underdog, 1-2-1 this year; under Barnes, Tennessee is 13-12-1 as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.

Auburn made 13-22 on arc, forced 21 turnovers (+8), waxed Alabama 84-63 at home Feb 2; Tigers are 5-3 in last eight series games, but they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games in Tuscaloosa. Auburn won four of its last five games; they’re 9-7 in SEC, 3-5 on road- they’re shooting 40.1% on arc in SEC games. Bama lost four of its last six games; they’re 8-8 in SEC, 5-3 at home. Auburn is 7-5 in its last dozen games as a road favorite, 2-3 this year; under Johnson, Crimson Tide is 5-5 vs spread as a home underdog, 1-1 this year.

Nevada star Caroline (hand) is ?able here. Wolf Pack lost at Utah State Saturday, will probably be #2 seed in MW tourney. Air Force won its last three games, is 8-8 in MW, 5-3 at home. Nevada forced 21 turnovers (+8), beat Air Force 67-52 at home Jan 19- Falcons led 24-20 at half- teams combined to go 11-49 on arc. Nevada won six in row, 10 of last 12 series games, winning last three visits here, by 23-19-11 points. Wolf Pack is 13-9 in its last 22 games as a road favorite, 4-4 this year; Air Force is 8-3 in last 11 games as a home underdog, 3-2- this year.

Horizon Conference tourney
Wright State won seven of last eight games, tied for 1st in Horizon; they won their last eight home games- they force turnovers 20.5% of time in Horizon tilts. IUPUI lost six of its last eight games; they lost their last four road games, but by 2-3-2-11 points. Wright beat IUPUI twice this year, by 8-5 points; Jaguars were 10-44 on arc in those two games. Raiders are 7-2 in this event last three years, winning it LY. Wright is 3-1 vs IUPUI in Horizon play. Last seven years, Jaguars are 1-7 in whatever conference tournament they were in.

Green Bay beat Ill-Chicago twice this year, by 1-5 points; UIC led both games by double digits but lost both- they led last meeting by 19 early in second half, lost by point, shooting 3-21 on arc. Flames lost three of last five games; they’re 10-8 in Horizon- they’re 3-2 in last five road games. Green Bay won six of last nine games; they’re 10-8 in Horizon, winning five of their last six home games. Phoenix won 12 of last 15 series games, are 4-2 in last six first round games in this event. Flames are 3-3 in first round in last six Horizon tourneys.

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 5

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Xavier @ Butler
Xavier
Xavier is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Xavier is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Butler
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 6 games when playing Xavier
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games

Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's
Rhode Island
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rhode Island's last 8 games
Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Joseph's's last 6 games when playing at home against Rhode Island

Bowling Green @ Akron
Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games when playing Akron
Bowling Green is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
Akron
Akron is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
Akron is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Bowling Green

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan
Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Northern Illinois's last 14 games
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Central Michigan is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

Buffalo @ Ohio
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games
Ohio is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

South Carolina @ Texas A&M
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina's last 8 games when playing Texas A&M
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Texas A&M
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 8 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 7 games at home

Nebraska @ Michigan State
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State's last 8 games at home

Wake Forest @ Duke
Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

Ball State @ Eastern Michigan
Ball State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ball State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Kent State @ Miami-Ohio
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games on the road
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Miami-Ohio
Miami-Ohio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 6 games at home

Western Michigan @ Toledo
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Toledo
Toledo is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toledo's last 8 games at home

Virginia Tech @ Florida State
Virginia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games when playing Florida State
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

VCU @ George Mason
VCU
VCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
VCU is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing George Mason
George Mason
The total has gone OVER in 7 of George Mason's last 8 games
George Mason is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Purdue @ Minnesota
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Purdue

North Carolina @ Boston College
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
Boston College
Boston College is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

IUPUI @ Wright State
IUPUI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of IUPUI's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of IUPUI's last 6 games
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

UIC @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
UIC
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UIC's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UIC's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against UIC
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Mississippi State @ Tennessee
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games

Auburn @ Alabama
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 9 games when playing on the road against Alabama
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games
Alabama is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Auburn

Kentucky @ Mississippi
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Kansas @ Oklahoma
Kansas
Kansas is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Oklahoma
Kansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing Kansas
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

East Carolina @ Wichita State
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games
Wichita State
Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wichita State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Utah State @ Colorado State
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home

Nevada @ Air Force
Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Air Force
Nevada is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Air Force
Air Force is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Duke has been money with this trend and this week's NCAA basketball odds and best bets
Monty Andrews

Big Spread, Strong Trend

The Blue Devils have been nearly automatic when facing a gigantic point spread – but not in the way you might think. Duke hosts Wake Forest in its final regular-season home game of the year, and will hope to put on a rousing show for the local fans before traveling to North Carolina to face the Tar Heels on Saturday. While the Blue Devils (-26.5) have gone a decent 9-6 ATS in their past 15 games as favorites of 25 points or more, there's an even stronger trend at work in those games, with Duke finishing below the total seven straight times and 12 of the past 14 when giving away at least 25 points.

Take the Tigers/Total Tandem

Teams that fare well on the road are the ones to truly be reckoned with at this time of the year – and road warriors don't come much more fierce than the LSU Tigers, who travel to Florida for a Wednesday night encounter with the Gators. Not only are the Tigers a sizzling 8-1 SU on the road this season, they're 7-2 ATS – and that's not the only trend bettors should consider in this one. LSU is 7-2 ATS and 6-3 O/U in its previous nine games overall, with the win/Over combo connecting four times in that span. Bettors should take a long look at the win/Over vs. a Gators side that is just 9-5 SU and 3-11 ATS at home.

Golden Opportunity

Marquette would love nothing more than to strengthen their record heading into the postseason – and they're in good position to do that as the Golden Eagles take on the host Seton Hall Pirates on Wednesday night. The Golden Eagles have been a tough opponent away from Fiserv Forum, having gone 6-1 ATS in their previous seven road games; that's part of a longer stretch of cover success that has seen them go 14-6 ATS in their past 20. And this series has seen the road team dominate against the spread, boasting a 19-5-1 ATS mark over the previous 25 encounters.

Their Name is Rio (Grande)

There are plenty of big-name schools among the top cover options in the country – Virginia, Michigan State and Oklahoma among them. But a handful of smaller programs have also made their mark as terrific ATS plays – and few stand out more than Texas Rio Grande Valley, who enter Thursday's home date with California Baptist with a scintillating 21-8-1 ATS mark that ranks third best in all of Division I. The Vaqueros have been particularly strong of late, going 9-2 ATS in their previous 11 lined games; they covered by a half-point in an 81-74 victory the last time they met California Baptist back on Jan. 5.

Mid-Major to Watch: Belmont Bruins (25-4 ATS, 18-9-1 ATS, 16-12 O/U)

Few teams have been as pleasant a surprise as the Bruins, who open the Ohio Valley Conference tournament Wednesday as the top-seeded team. The Bruins take on Southeast Missouri State in the opening round, and aren't expected to have much trouble after beating the Redhawks by a combined 44 points in their two regular-season meetings while covering in both. And given how potent the Belmont offense is, it's safe to say they have much bigger aspirations.

Few teams can hope to keep up with Belmont, which averages 88.3 points per game – behind only Gonzaga among Division I programs. And a trio of stars are responsible for the bulk of the scoring, with Dylan Windler (21.1 ppg), Kevin McClain (16.2) and Nick Muszynski (15.0) leading the way. It doesn't hurt, either, that five of the Bruins' top six options in terms of minutes played are shooting better than 37 percent from 3-point range, with three also shooting above 50 percent from the field.

Betting Trends

Late-season dedication to defense has resulted in even more Under conversions, with more than 53 percent of all games falling below the total over the previous seven days. That falls right in line with totals trends over the previous 30 days (52.5 percent), while the season trend sees the Under finishing with a dominant 52.0-percent edge.

Oddsmakers will be cracking open the bubbly before long, having kept bettors from gaining any discernible season-long edge when it comes to spreads. Favorites are at 50.03 percent for the season, while road teams have an ever-so-slight 50.17-percent advantage ATS. And road faves and home underdogs are split right down the middle (649-649-24).

Congratulations are in order for the Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds, who enter Tuesday with a Division I-high 21 Over conversions – an incredible feat considering the league has trended toward the Under. The Greyhounds are one of only three teams with 20 or more Overs to date, a list that includes VMI (20-7 O/U) and Purdue Fort Wayne (20-8 O/U).

[Udog]

Kentucky at Ole Miss
Brian Edwards

Kentucky (24-5 straight up, 16-13 against the spread) will be in bounce-back mode tonight when it invades Oxford to take on an Ole Miss team that can bolster in its resume with a notable win over the Wildcats, who were listed as 5.5-point road favorites early this morning. The total for ‘over/under’ wagers was 140.5 points, only to drop all the way down to 138 in only about an hour this a.m. The Rebels were +190 on the money line (risk $100 to win $190).

John Calipari’s team owns a 7-2 SU record and a 6-3 ATS mark in nine road assignments this season. On the flip side, Ole Miss (19-10 SU, 21-8 ATS) is 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS at home.

After getting trounced 71-52 on Saturday afternoon at Tennessee, UK is 13-3 in SEC play and one game back of the league’s co-leaders, LSU and UT, who are both 14-2 in conference action. Since the Wildcats split with the Volunteers and lost their only head-to-head meeting with the Tigers, they need to sweep their last two games at Ole Miss and vs. Florida. Also, the Wildcats need LSU to lose Wednesday at Florida and at home vs. Vandy this weekend. UT hosts Mississippi St. tonight (more on this game below in Bonus Nuggets) and closes Saturday at Auburn.

The chances of those three scenarios coming through are slim, especially considering how the Commodores remain winless in SEC play. Therefore, there’s a good chance that UK will be a No. 3 seed at the SEC Tournament in Nashville next week (which isn’t necessarily a bad thing). What’s more important (or costly depending on your mind set) is that a potential showdown with UT in Nashville could determine a No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament (unless that potential meeting comes in the SEC semifinals and the winner falls in the finals).

In Joe Lunardi’s latest edition of ‘Bracketology’ filed this morning to ESPN.com, Kentucky is still on the one line in the Midwest Region facing Sam Houston St. in its NCAA opener in Columbus. OH., for the right to square off against the Texas-UCF survivor of an 8/9 matchup. Kermit Davis’s squad was listed as a No. 10 seed set to take on seventh-seeded Cincinnati in Columbia, S.C., with the winner advancing to most likely face second-seeded North Carolina. In other words, Ole Miss will be in precarious position going into Nashville for the SEC Tournament if it loses to UK tonight and takes another defeat in Saturday’s regular-season finale at Missouri.

Kentucky jumped out to a 6-0 lead at UT on Saturday, but it was all Vols the rest of the way. UT led 37-24 at halftime and the ‘Cats never got closer that 13 in the second half. P.J. Washington was UK’s only double-figure scorer with 13 points thanks to 9-of-13 shooting at the free-throw line. He was only 2-of-6 from the field and had twice as many turnovers (four) as assists (two). Nick Richards had eight points, seven rebounds and three blocked shots, but Tyler Herro was 1-of-11 on FGAs, 0-for-5 on launches from 3-point land and committed five turnovers.

Tennessee had a 15/5 assist-to-turnover ratio, but UK had 11 assists compared to 16 turnovers. The ‘Cats got to the FT line more often, making 19-of-29 FTAs compared to 9-of-14 for UT, and held a 37-34 rebounding advantage. But terrible shooting (31.8% from the field and 26.3 percent from downtown) and too many turnovers were way too much to recover from.

Although UK has struggled to 2-4 spread record in its past six outings, it has still won 17 of its last 20 games while compiling a 13-7 ATS mark. UK is No. 5 in the NCAA’s new NET metrics and No. 9 at KenPom.com. The Wildcats are 9-3 against K-Pom Top-50 opponents and 14-5 against the Top 100. They have Top-30 scalps at Louisville, at Florida, at Auburn and at Mississippi St. in addition to a neutral-court triumph over UNC. The ‘Cats have home victories over Auburn, MSU, Kansas and UT.

Washington has emerged as a first-team All-SEC candidate as a sophomore. He is averaging 14.9 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, in addition to draining 43.5 percent of his treys and blocking 33 shots. Herro (13.9 PPG) is hitting 36.7 percent of his 3-balls and 93.4 percent of his FTAs. Keldon Johnson averages 13.4 points and 5.8 RPG.

Ole Miss has the nation’s third-best ATS record. The Rebels have lost back-to-back games, but they’ve covered the number in both defeats that were by four combined points. They dropped a 73-71 decision to Tennessee last Wednesday as 4.5-point home underdogs before losing 74-73 at Arkansas as 2.5-point ‘dogs on a day in which the Razorbacks celebrated the 25th anniversary of their 1994 national-title team led by Scotty Thurman, Corey Beck, Clint McDaniel, Al Dillard (best range in college hoops history) and Corliss ‘Big Nasty’ Williamson.

In the loss to the Hogs at Bud Walton Arena on Saturday, Arkansas snapped a six-game losing streak thanks to Jalen Harris’s game-winning layup with 5.9 seconds remaining. Ole Miss had led by eight several different times in the first half, but the game would feature 21 lead changes. Breein Tyree, who paced the Rebels with a team-best 20 points, buried a 3-pointer to put his team up 73-70 with 1:07 left.

Bruce Stevens, Devontae Shuler and Terence Davis scored 12 points apiece for Ole Miss in the losing effort. Shuler had six rebounds and four assists, while Davis pulled down five boards and handed out three helpers. The Rebels have lost three of their past four games, sneaking in a 72-71 non-covering win over Georgia as 10-point home ‘chalk.’

Ole Miss is ranked No. 37 in the NET metrics and No. 44 at K-Pom. Davis’s squad has a 4-6 record against K-Pom Top-50 foes and a 7-10 mark versus the Top 100. The Rebels’ best wins are a season sweep of Auburn, at Mississippi St. and a neutral-court scalp of Baylor. The only bad loss is at South Carolina (K-Pom #94).

Tyree averages a team-high 18.3 PPG thanks to 40.3 percent shooting from 3-point territory and an 83.2 percent rate of marksmanship from the charity stripe. Davis (15.5 PPG) paces the Rebels in assists (3.4 APG) and rebounding (5.7 RPG), while Shuler (9.8 PPG) has 89 assists and 52 steals.

Ole Miss has been a home underdog three times, going 2-1 ATS with one outright win over Auburn.

Kentucky has won nine consecutive games in this rivalry while going 6-3 ATS. The ‘Cats have covered in three straight wins that have come by margins of 18, 23 and 22 points. The ‘over’ is on a 6-2 roll in the past eight head-to-head encounters.

UK senior power forward Reid Travis, a grad transfer from Stanford, has missed three straight games with a knee injury and is ‘questionable’ tonight. Travis averages 11.3 points and 6.9 RPG.

The ‘under’ is 18-11 overall for the Rebels, 9-6 in their home games. They’ve watched the ‘under’ connect in four consecutive games and seven of their past eight.

The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight UK games and is on an 8-1 run to improve to 19-10 overall and 6-3 in its road contests.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- As of this morning, most spots had Tennessee listed as an eight-point home favorite vs. Mississippi State. The Bulldogs, who are 21-8 SU and 15-14 ATS, have posted a 5-4 record both SU and ATS in nine road assignments. They’ve lost by more than five points only once all season in a 76-55 defeat at Kentucky, but that was a three-point game with 12 minutes left. UT is unbeaten in 17 home games with a 7-8-1 spread ledger. The Volunteers fall into a bit of flat spot after trouncing UK at home on Saturday afternoon. This game will tip at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

-- Speaking of potential letdown scenarios, Utah State (24-6 SU, 16-13 ATS) is off a monster home win over Nevada that provided an enormous boost to its profile that more than likely ensures the Aggies of an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament if they can avoid a bad loss moving forward. However, a defeat at Colorado State tonight could put Craig Smith’s team back in danger in terms of its at-large hopes (Lunardi currently has Utah St. as a No 11 seed facing sixth-seeded Villanova in Salt Lake City). This non-televised tilt in Ft. Collins will come off the board at 9:00 p.m. Eastern. Utah St. was favored by eight points at most books this morning and the total was 144.5. The Aggies are 8-4 SU and 5-7 ATS on the road, while CSU is 8-7 SU and 6-8 ATS at home.

-- Alabama, a team that’s right there with Utah State as a No. 11 seed in Lunardi’s latest projection with a first-round with No. 6 Nevada, plays host to Auburn tonight as a 2.5-point home underdog that’s +125 to win outright. Bruce Pearl’s squad is an abysmal 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in nine road assignments this year. The Tigers are slated as a seventh seed by Lunardi that would face North Carolina St., with the survivor most likely getting No. 2 Michigan in a Round-of-32 showdown. The SEC Network will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

-- ICYMI last week: South Carolina’s A.J. Lawson is ‘out’ indefinitely with an ankle injury. Lawson was averaging 13.9 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.0 APG for the Gamecocks, who are 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS on the road going into tonight’s game at Texas A&M. The Aggies were favored by 4.5 points with a total of 142 this morning. Frank Martin’s club has lost three games in a row both SU and ATS, while the Aggies are 6-2 both SU and ATS in their past eight games. This game will tip at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

-- Duke star Zion Williamson (knee) is ‘doubtful’ for tonight’s home game vs. Wake Forest on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. Eastern. The Blue Devils are 26-point ‘chalk.’

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the MVC tournament in St Louis this weekend:

— Loyola 8-5

— Drake 4-1

— Southern Illinois 9-2

— Missouri State 11-2

— Bradley 8-1

— Northern Iowa 12-1

— Illinois State 16-1

— Indiana State 20-1

— Valparaiso, Evansville 50-1

Quote of the Day
“You can say what you want to about size, but when you’re the most dangerous person on the court, it doesn’t matter. Size was never a factor growing up. College, I faced the same criticism. In the NBA, same thing.”
Trae Young

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Draymond Green play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Bennett went 69-33 as coach at Washington State before moving to Virginia.

Monday’s quiz
There was no World Series in 1994, because the baseball players were on strike.


************************************************** ****


Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) Last year, five NFL teams drafted a QB in the first round; four of those teams traded up to get their guy, which leads me to believe that there will be trading near the top of the draft again this year, especially if Arizona doesn’t draft Kyler Murray with the #1 pick.

If Arizona doesn’t take Murray, you have to think they’re trading the #1 pick, because there has to be SOMEONE out there who is enamored with Murray, and Arizona could net a couple extra picks to replenish other parts of their team.

12) Good move by Major League Baseball; looks like starting next year, rosters will increase to 26 players per team, while September rosters will be capped at 28, instead of 40, the way it is now. Now if they can just get the DH in both leagues as soon as possible.

11) Minnesota 73, Purdue 69— Carsen Edwards was 7-31 in this game, 3-15 on the arc- he had one assist. Purdue only took 68 shots; rest of the team was 17-37. Big win for Golden Gophers’ NCAA hopes.

If you go 7-31, do you have to soak your arm after the game?

10) Kentucky 80, Ole Miss 76— Rebels lost four of their last five games.

9) Duke 71, Wake Forest 70— Blue Devils were favored by 26.5 points; this score will have seeding repercussions if Zion Williamson doesn’t come back.

8) Florida State 73, Virginia Tech 64 OT— Hokies tied game on 3-pointer with 0:13 left, but FSU won/covered in OT. Bad beat for Tech backers. Seminoles clinch a double-bye in ACC tourney.

7) Oklahoma 81, Kansas 68— Jayhawks lost six of their last eight road games, and for first time in over a decade, they won’t win/share Big X regular season title.

6) Auburn 66, Alabama 60— Tigers trailed this game by 13, rallied for a win, but they haven’t been playing very well.

5) Bronx pitching ace Luis Severino was scratched from his spring training start with shoulder issue, and may not be ready for Opening Day.

Twins’ 3B Miguel Sano has undergone two debridement procedures on his lower right Achilles since injured the heel during a team celebration in winter league back in January. His foot is in a boot and Sano isn’t likely to play ball for the Twins until May.

4) Texas Rangers’ OF Nomar Mazara is the son of a high-ranking official in the Dominican Navy. He played against the Dodgers Sunday; LA broadcaster Nomar Garciaparra said that both his dad and Mazara’s dad are named Ramon, and Nomar, obviously, is Ramon spelled backwards.

3) Clemson football coach Dabo Swinney took batting practice with the St Louis Cardinals over the weekend; in the clips I saw, he was making a lot of contact.

2) New England Patriots had to replace five assistant coaches from last year, after five of last year’s assistants moved on to other NFL jobs. Lot of turnover for a winning team, as Tom Brady continues to make people he works with wealthier.

1) Santa Anita racetrack in southern California suspended racing indefinitely after the 21st horse death there since the winter meet began December 26.