The Bum's 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Jazz at Rockets – 8:05 PM EST

Although it is a long season, both Houston and Utah have started slow by owning 1-2 records heading into Wednesday’s matchup at the Toyota Center. The Jazz have won their only road game at Sacramento, but dropped a pair of home contests to the Warriors and Grizzlies. In last Friday’s setback to the defending champions, Utah squandered a 16-point third quarter lead in a 124-123 loss, but managed to cover as 2 ½-point underdogs. However, Memphis shut down Utah in Monday’s 92-84 home defeat as hefty 10 ½-point favorites, while Donovan Mitchell scored 14 points in spite of shooting 6-of-17 from the floor.

The Rockets were blitzed by the high-scoring Pelicans in the season opener, 131-112, as Houston trailed by as many as 29 points in the third quarter. Houston traveled to Los Angeles for a pair of games against the Lakers and Clippers, splitting the two. The opener against the Lakers proved to be an entertaining game that featured Chris Paul and Rajon Rondo scuffling and getting ejected, resulting in Paul serving a two-game suspension. The Rockets defeated the Lakers, 124-115 as 3 ½-point favorites, but were tripped up the next night by the Clippers without CP3 in a three-point setback.

Paul will be serving the second game of his suspension on Wednesday, as he will be denied an encore performance against Utah in which he scored 41 points in the second round series clincher this past spring. Houston eliminated Utah in five games, while finishing 8-1 against the Jazz in nine matchups last season.

Is Tonight the Night?

The Lakers (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) have yet to pick up a victory in the LeBron James era, losing to the Blazers, Rockets, and Spurs. Those are three playoff teams from a year ago, but Los Angeles wasn’t expected to wait until its fourth game to pick up its first victory. The Lakers travel to Phoenix as a short favorite, trying to rebound from a tough overtime loss to the Spurs on Monday.

In spite of erasing an eight-point deficit with 70 seconds left in regulation, the Lakers couldn’t hold onto a late five-point lead in overtime as James missed a pair of game-clinching free throws in a 143-142 defeat. Rondo continues his three-game suspension following his dust-up with the Rockets last Saturday night, as second-year guard span style="font-weight: bold;">Lonzo Ball scored 14 points and dished out six assists in the San Antonio loss.

The Suns (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) crushed the Mavericks in the season opener, but lost back-to-back road contests at Denver and Golden State. Not surprisingly, Phoenix closed as double-digit underdogs in both away games and lost by over 20 points each time, but cashed the UNDER each time. Although the Lakers have made sweeping changes to their roster, they still have owned the Suns recently by winning three of four matchups last season.

Buck it Up

The Central division is wide-open this season as the Bucks and Pacers are expected to fight it out for the top spot. Milwaukee (3-0 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) has jumped out to a strong start, including a 17-point home blowout of Indiana last weekend. The Bucks have outrebounded all three opponents, while All-Star Giannis Anetetokounmpo put up 31 points and 15 rebounds in a 124-113 victory over the Knicks on Monday.

Milwaukee welcomes in Philadelphia (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS), as the 76ers play with no rest following Tuesday’s 133-132 overtime loss at Detroit. Joel Embiid led Philadelphia with 33 points, as Ben Simmons sat out due to a back injury. Simmons is questionable for tonight’s contest as the Sixers and Bucks split four meetings last season with the home team winning each time.

Road Woes

The Pacers (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) have dominated in both home contests this season by pounding the Grizzlies and Nets at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Indiana hasn’t fared as well away from the Hoosier State by losing double-digit decisions at Milwaukee and Minnesota. The Pacers led the Wolves by one going into the fourth quarter on Monday, but Minnesota outscored Indiana, 29-18 to win 101-91.

Indiana travels to San Antonio (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) as the Spurs return home after splitting a pair of road contests against the Blazers and Lakers. span style="font-weight: bold;">LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan combined for 69 points in Monday’s overtime triumph at Los Angeles, as the Spurs have hit the OVER in all three games this season. The Pacers swept the Spurs last season as both contests easily finished UNDER the total.

Breaking Through

The Wizards (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) finally reached the win column in Monday’s 125-124 overtime triumph at Portland as five-point underdogs. Washington fell short in home losses to Miami and Toronto before the win two days ago as the Wizards continue their five-game road swing at Golden State tonight. The Wizards have lost four straight visits to Oracle Arena, while dropping seven of the past eight meetings with Golden State since 2015.

The Warriors (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) covered for the first time this season in Monday’s 123-103 blowout of Phoenix as 12 ½-point favorites. Golden State went through a pair of close-shaves in a one-point win at Utah and a two-point defeat at Denver this past weekend. The defending champions hit the road out east for three games starting Friday at New York as Golden State tries to improve on a 3-9 ATS mark in October the last two seasons.

Fighting for Five

The Raptors (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) are looking to become the first team to reach five wins on the young season. All three of Toronto’s home wins have come by 12 points or more, including Monday’s 127-106 rout of Charlotte. The Raptors are scoring in bunches by putting up 113 points or more in all four wins, as offseason acquisition Kawhi Leonard is averaging 25.7 points per game. Toronto has knocked down 42 three-pointers in three games at Air Canada Center, while going 4-0 to the OVER.

Minnesota (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) heads north of the border trying for its first road win of the season. The Wolves rallied past the Pacers on Monday, while limiting Indiana to 91 points after getting burned for 140 points by Dallas last Saturday. Minnesota has covered in five of the last six meetings with Toronto, including twice as an underdog last season.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- Since the start of the 2016 season, the Charlotte Hornets are 18-0 ATS as a rested favorite after playing as a road dog when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.45.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Washington Wizards are 0-13 ATS off a win as a road dog that was tied more than five times. The

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Wizards are 16-0 OU as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which they scored less than 15.25% of their points from free throws.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Spurs are 0-12 OU (-15.42 ppg) with less than two days rest when the line is within 3 of pick and they are off a road game in which they recorded 30-plus assists.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BK at CLE 07:00 PM
BK +3.0
U 226.5

DAL at ATL 07:00 PM
ATL +2.0

NY at MIA 07:30 PM
NY +8.0
U 220.5

MIN at TOR 07:30 PM
MIN +8.0
O 229.0

UTA at HOU 08:00 PM
UTA +1.5
U 217.0

CHA at CHI 08:00 PM
CHA -5.0
O 230.5

IND at SA 08:30 PM
IND +1.5
U 210.5

PHI at MIL 09:30 PM
PHI +5.5

LAL at PHO 10:00 PM
O 238.5

MEM at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +3.0
O 220.0

WAS at GS 10:30 PM
WAS +10.0
U 236.0

[StarDust Bum]

Leonard scores 35; Raptors beat T'Wolves
October 24, 2018
By The Associated Press

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Stephen Curry just shrugged and grinned as he kept lighting up the floor, scoring 51 points and finishing with 11 3-pointers in only three quarters of the Golden State Warriors' 144-122 victory over the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night.

Kevin Durant added 30 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, and Draymond Green had 11 of his 12 assists in the first half to help two-time defending champions finish with 37 after dishing out 35 assists in a 20-point victory against Phoenix on Monday.

But this was all Curry's show. No. 30 knocked down his 11th 3 of the night late in the third from 32 feet back and shrugged like no big deal whatsoever.

He scored 31 in the first half and finished with his sixth career 50-point game and made 10 or more 3s for the 10th time. The 51 points matched his most at Oracle Arena.

Bradley Beal bruised his sternum early then returned late in the first half and wound up with 23 points. Kelly Oubre Jr. scored 17 points off the bench for Washington.

JAZZ 100, ROCKETS 89

HOUSTON (AP) - Donovan Mitchell scored 38 points to lead the Utah over Houston in a game James Harden left with tightness in his left hamstring.

Harden headed to the locker room midway through the third quarter and didn't return. He missed seven games last season with a Grade 2 hamstring strain and said this was not the same type of injury as that one.

With Harden out of the game after the Rockets pulled within five, the Jazz regained control, scoring the next 10 points to make it 94-79 and cruise to the victory.

Harden scored 29 points and Carmelo Anthony had a season-high 22 for the Rockets. Chris Paul finished up a two-game suspension for his role in a fight with the Lakers last week, and fellow starter James Ennis sat out with a strained right hamstring.

LAKERS 131, SUNS 113

PHOENIX (AP) - Short-handed Los Angeles gave LeBron James his first victory as a Laker with the romp over Phoenix.

James flirted with what would have been his 74th career triple-double, finishing with 19 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds before sitting out the fourth quarter. Lance Stephenson had 23 points, eight rebounds and eight assists, and JaVale McGee added 20 points.

The Suns' Devin Booker had 23 points, seven rebounds and seven assists but left in the third quarter with a strained left hamstring. No. 1 overall pick Deandre Ayton had 22 points and 11 rebounds.

Los Angeles was without Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram for their roles in an altercation with the Houston Rockets on Saturday night. Wednesday night was the first of a three-game suspension for Rondo and a four-game suspension for Ingram.

RAPTORS 112, TIMBERWOLVES 105

TORONTO (AP) - Kawhi Leonard scored a season-high 35 points, Kyle Lowry had 13 points and 10 assists, and Toronto beat Minnesota to improve to 5-0 and match the best start in franchise history.

Jonas Valanciunas scored 16 points, Serge Ibaka had 15 and Norman Powell added a season-high 10. The Raptors also won five straight to start the 2015-16 season.

Toronto won its 15th straight home game against Minnesota, extending its franchise record for consecutive home victories over a single opponent.

Jimmy Butler scored 23 points for Minnesota.

NETS 102, CAVALIERS 86

CLEVELAND (AP) - D'Angelo Russell scored 18 points, Joe Harris added 16 and Brooklyn beat Cleveland, keeping the Cavaliers winless this season.

Trying to move on without LeBron James, the Cavaliers are 0-4 for the first time since losing their first five games in 2003-04 when James was a rookie.

Brooklyn outscored Cleveland 38-17 in the third quarter, forcing Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue to use four timeouts in the period. Kevin Love, Jordan Clarkson and Collin Sexton had 14 points for Cleveland.

HAWKS 111, MAVERICKS 104

ATLANTA (AP) - Kent Bazemore scored 32 points, including a thunderous slam with just over a minute to go, and Atlanta overcame a 26-point deficit to stun Dallas.

Trae Toung added 17 points on a tough shooting night, bouncing back in the fourth quarter to help the youthful Hawks complete their comeback in a rookie showdown with Luca Doncic of the Mavericks.

Doncic finished with 21 points, but hit only 3 of 10 shots over the final two quarters.

The Hawks made it a night to remember at newly rechristened State Farm Arena, which hosted its first game after a $192.5 million renovation that was largely completed over the last two offseasons.

BUCKS 123, 76ERS 108

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo had a triple-double with 32 points, 18 rebounds and 10 assists to lead Milwaukee past Philadelphia.

The Bucks improved to 4-0 for the first time since the 2001-02 season. Khris Middleton had 25 points, and Brook Lopez added 21. Joel Embiid scored 30 points for Philadelphia.

HEAT 110, KNICKS 87

MIAMI (AP) - Hassan Whiteside had 22 points and 14 rebounds, Josh Richardson added 21 points and Miami rolled past New York with a 45-point third quarter.

Rodney McGruder added 19 points on only eight shot attempts, and Goran Dragic had 13 points. Miami outscored New York 76-38 in the middle two quarters. Damyean Dotson led New York with 20 points.

BULLS 112, HORNETS 110

CHICAGO (AP) - Zach LaVine made two free throws with 0.5 seconds left to give Chicago its first victory of the season.

LaVine finished with 32 points for his fourth straight 30-point game to start the season. Cameron Payne scored all of his career-high 21 points in the second half, going 7 for 11 on 3 pointers for Chicago in the opener of the home-and-home set with the Hornets.

Kemba Walker had 23 points on 5-for-14 shooting for Charlotte.

PACERS 116, SPURS 96

SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Victor Oladipo had 21 points and Indiana led for all but the opening seconds.

Indiana led by 29 points at one point while handing San Antonio its first home loss.

DeMar DeRozan had 18 points to lead the Spurs, his lowest total since joining the team in an offseason trade from Toronto.

KINGS 97, GRIZZLIES 92

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) - De'Aaron Fox scored 21 points including a leaning, one-handed dunk as part of a pivotal run late in the fourth quarter, and Sacramento beat Memphis.

Buddy Hield had 23 points, Willie Cauley-Stein added 15 points and 10 rebounds, and Nemanja Bjelica had 11 points and 11 boards for the Kings.

Mike Conley scored 27 points while Jaren Jackson had 14 points and seven rebounds for Memphis. Wayne Selden added 13 points.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY OCTOBER 25, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
7:05 PM Portland Trail Blazers Orlando Magic Amway Center
8:05 PM Boston Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder Chesapeake Energy Arena
10:35 PM Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Staples Center


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NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets

DATE W-L-T % UNITS

10/24/2018 10-9-0 52.63% +0.50
10/23/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
10/22/2018 6-9-0 40.00% -19.50
10/21/2018 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50
10/20/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -4.50
10/19/2018 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

Totals..............57-55-0.....50.89%.....-17.50


*************************************

Best Bets:

DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL

10/24/2018.............4 - 3...................+3.50................3 - 4 .................-7.00...............-3.50
10/23/2018.............1 - 2....................-6.00................1 - 2..................-6.00...............-12.00
10/22/2018.............0 - 4....................-22.00..............5 - 2..................+14.00.............-8.00
10/21/2018.............4 - 0...................+20.00..............3 - 1..................+9.50..............+29.50
10/20/2018.............2 - 2.....................-1.00................3 - 4..................-7.00...............-8.00
10/19/2018.............2 - 3.....................-6.50................2 - 5.................-17.50..............-24.00
10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................-11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50

Totals.....................18 - 18.................-9.00..............23- 25................-22.50.................-31.50

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Interesting trends for Week 8 in the NFL:

— Steelers are 1-5 in last six games as a divisional home favorite.

— Eagles are 2-7-1 in last ten games as a favorite.

— Saints covered five of their last six games.

— Bengals covered six of their last nine games.

— Colts covered their last five pre-bye games.

— Jaguars are 4-19 in last 23 games vs NFC teams.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…..

13) Cam Newton’s Sunday in Philadelphia:
Quarters 1-3: 9-of-17, 68 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, not much of anything
4th quarter: 16-22, 201 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs— He looked like Dan Fouts

Once he got hot, the Panthers were unstoppable, but it was like someone flipped the on-switch and he started playing better.

12) Denver Broncos released backup QB Chad Kelly after he was arrested on trespassing charges Monday night. He was forcibly removed from the players’ Halloween party before he entered another person’s home where he didn’t belong.

11) There are whispers coming out of Ohio that at this time next year, Urban Meyer could be coaching the Cleveland Browns. We’ll see about that; not sure how Meyer would do dealing with the losing NFL coaches do, much more than college coaches.

10) College basketball starts November 6; on Opening Night, 52 D-I teams play a non-D-I opponent, which is embarrassing. Last year, D-I teams went 453-11 against non-D-I teams.

9) Darius Bazley is a young man who signed to play basketball at Syracuse this winter, but he won’t do that or play in the G-League, instead he is going to train on his own— he has signed an endorsement contract with New Balance, which will play him at least $1M.

Bazley will also intern at the company’s marketing, digital, footwear and apparel departments from January to March. Chances are he will go from April 2018 to July 2019 without playing in a competitive basketball game. Not sure how that is a good idea for his development as a player, but good luck to him.

8) Raiders supposedly turned down a 2nd round pick from the Eagles for Amari Cooper, before dealing him to the Cowboys Monday; Jon Gruden talked to the team Wednesday about the trade, but that seems kind of late, no? The trade was Monday.

7) Los Angeles Angels hired former Tiger skipper Brad Ausmus as their next manager.

6) This is just the third World Series where all four starting pitchers in Games 1-2 were lefty:

1963 – Koufax vs Ford, Podres vs Downing
1973 – Matlack vs Holtzman, Koosman vs Blue
2018 – Kershaw vs Sale, Ryu vs Price

5) James Harden left Houston’s 100-89 loss in Utah Wednesday with a hamstring issue that he says “isn’t serious). Harden missed seven games LY with a similar injury.

4) Nets 102, Cavaliers 86— Cleveland coach Tyrone Lue coached in the NBA Finals the last two years, but the Cavs are 0-4 already and Lue might get fired before Christmas. Losing to the Nets by 16 at home isn’t a good sign.

3) Red Sox 4, Dodgers 2— None of LA’s top four home run hitters have started a game in this WS yet, because they’re all lefty and God forbid a lefty hitter face a lefty pitcher.

2) Rams signed WR Austin Proehl to the practice squad, which sounds like an obscure note, except if you’re a Ram fan, the Phoehl name is royalty— Austin’s dad Ricky Proehl caught the game-winning TD pass in the 2000 NFC title game the year the Rams won the Super Bowl, and he also caught a TD pass in the Super Bowl two years later.

1) According to Psychology Living magazine, being sarcastic on a regular basis can add up to three years to your life, which means you’re stuck with me for three more years than you thought you were. Sarcasm is extremely healthy for the mind. Ha!!!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 25

Cleveland is 0-4 (1-3 vs spread, 1-1 as AU). Over is 3-1 in their games. Detroit won its first three games (over 2-1); they’re 1-1 as home favorites. Home side won seven of last eight Cleveland-Detroit games; Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread in last five trips to the Motor City. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

First road game for 2-1 Portland (over 3-0) team that lost in OT to the Wizards Monday. Magic split their first four games (under 3-1); they split two home games. Trailblazers won their last three games with Orlando; under is 5-1 in last six series games. Portland won its last two visits here, by 9-7 points.

Oklahoma City lost its first three games (over 2-1); they lost only home game to the Kings. Boston split its first four games (under 3-1); they split two road games (0-2 vs spread). Thunder won seven of last ten games with Boston, but lost last two; Celtics are 3-0-1 vs spread in their last four visits here. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Denver won/covered its first four games (under 3-1); they won only road game by 9 over the Clippers in this building. Lakers got their first win (1-3) last night (over 4-0); they’re 0-2 at home, allowing 124-143 points (0-2 vs spread). Home side won last six Nugget-Laker games; Denver lost last three series games played here, by 4-18-9 points. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.




NBA

Thursday, October 25

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Trend Report
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Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Portland
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland


Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Oklahoma City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Boston
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


Denver Nuggets
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Denver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver


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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, October 25


Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 701-702
October 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
115.458
Detroit
114.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 8
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+8); Under

Portland @ Orlando

Game 703-704
October 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.550
Orlando
117.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
216
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+4); Over

Boston @ Oklahoma City

Game 705-706
October 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
117.964
Oklahoma City
118.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Under

Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 707-708
October 25, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.533
LA Lakers
122.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
239
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4); Under


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 25

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CLEVELAND (0 - 4) at DETROIT (3 - 0) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-63 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (2 - 1) at ORLANDO (2 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 72-93 ATS (-30.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (2 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 0) at LA LAKERS (1 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 139-97 ATS (+32.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
October 25, 2018
By Chris David

The 2018 NBA regular season is nine days old and bettors are certainly watching a different game with less dunks and a ridiculous amount of 3-pointers. Through yesterday’s action, 20 of the 30 teams are averaging 30-plus attempts from 3-point land compared to just 10 last season. The number of fouls being called is up as well, from 19.9 to 23.1 per team a game and that certainly has helped the scoring boost.

The oddsmakers have done a nice job of adjusting their totals and we’ve already started to see the numbers balance out. The ‘over’ was hitting at a 69 percent (27-12) clip through last Sunday but the ‘under’ has posted a 13-10 mark the last three days and that includes a 7-4 record to the low side on Wednesday.

Even though favorites have gone 42-20 straight up this season, underdogs have gone 32-30 against the spread.

Thursday’s card has four games on tap, including a nationally televised double-header on TNT.

Cleveland (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Detroit (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)

The post-LeBron James era in Cleveland hasn’t started out well as the Cavaliers have lost their first four games of the season. The latest setback occurred last night as the Cavs dropped a 102-86 decision to the Nets as three-point home favorites.

Cleveland will now be playing on no rest Thursday and the oddsmakers have the club listed as a seven-point road underdog at Detroit. Most books have pushed the number to Pistons (-8) as of Thursday morning. While the Cavs are winless, the Pistons have started with a perfect 3-0 mark but the three victories came by a combined six points.

On Tuesday, Detroit captured a 133-132 overtime win over Philadelphia as a one-point underdog. Blake Griffin led the pace for the Pistons with 50 points, which included a game-wining layup and free throw. While the number on the Pistons might seem a tad inflated, they’ve won seven straight games (5-2 ATS) when listed as home favorites going back to last season.

Cleveland went 3-1 both SU and ATS against Detroit last season but those numbers were with LeBron and should definitely be taken lightly.

Portland (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Orlando (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)

After beginning the season with a 2-1 record at the Moda Center, the Trail Blazers (-3) begin a four-game road trip as favorites against Orlando on Thursday. Portland was a solid bet in this role last season, going 12-5 SU and 10-7 ATS when laying points on the road. Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ went 13-4 in those games.

Orlando will enter this game with confidence after upsetting Boston 93-90 on Monday as an 11-point road underdog. Including this game, the Magic have been listed as an underdog in every matchup this season and they haven’t been able to win back-to-back games yet. Through four games, the defense has carried them in the wins (96.5 PPG) but has been missing in the losses (118 PPG).

The Trail Blazers swept the Magic last season and that included a 95-88 win as a 4 ½-point road favorite last December in Orlando. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of the last six encounters between the pair.

I’ve often identified Portland as a bully team and its 25-7 record against teams below .500 certainly helps that status. The Blazers went 18-12 last season versus the East and that includes an 8-7 record on the road. Meanwhile, Orlando was 10-20 vs. the West but seven of the wins came at home.

Boston (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Oklahoma City (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Oddsmakers sent out winless Oklahoma City as a 1 ½-point road favorite and I thought that line was a tad confusing. The number is now Boston -1 at most betting shops as of this morning.

The Celtics owned the third best road record (28-13 ATS) in the league last season but they haven’t looked like the same team, despite being healthy this season. Boston was stunned by Orlando 93-90 on Monday as an 11-point home favorite. The offense (99.8 PPG) is ranked last in the league and they can’t buy a shot from 3-point land (31.2%). Fortunately for coach Brad Stevens, the defense is ranked first (98.5 PPG).

The Thunder were run out of their own building on Sunday as they dropped a 131-120 decision to the Kings as an 11-point home favorite. Russell Westbrook made his debut for OKC and he put up solid numbers (32 points, 12 rebounds, 8 assists) but he did miss six free throws. Similar to Boston, the Thunder have struggled from distance as well and the team is ranked last in shooting (23.9%).

Boston got the better of OKC last season, winning and covering both meetings. The ‘under’ went 2-0 as the Celtics held the Thunder to 99 and 94 points.

The total on this game opened 209 and was pushed up to 212 ½, which is the lowest number on the board. The Celtics (3-1) and Thunder (2-1) have both leaned to the ‘under’ so far.

Tip-off is set for 8:05 p.m. ET and TNT will provide national coverage.

Denver (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)

The Nuggets just missed out on the playoffs last season but they’re showing everybody that they should be in the mix again next April. Denver remains unbeaten through four games on the hardwood and at the betting counter.

Monday’s wire-to-wire 126-112 win over Sacramento helped the club sweep their three-game homestand. While beating the Kings and Suns was expected, a 100-98 victory over the Warriors last Sunday from the Pepsi Center was very impressive.

Oddsmakers opened Denver as a 3 ½-point road favorite over Los Angeles, who will be looking to win its first home game of the season on Thursday. The Lakers earned their first win of the season last night with a 131-113 victory over the Suns as 5 ½-point road favorites. The ‘over’ connected and the high side is a perfect 4-0 for the Purple and Gold.

It’s still early in the season but Denver is currently ranked second in scoring defense (99.8 PPG) and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 3-1. While the Nuggets have been strong defensively, the Lakers enter this game with the worst defense (127 PPG) in the league.

Tonight’s total is hovering between 237 and 238 points. One factor that could have you leaning low is the 3-point shooting percentages for the Lakers (30.2%) and Nuggets (29.8%), ranked 27th and 28th respectively.

Denver has only played one road game, which occurred at Thursday’s venue. The club defeated the Clippers 107-98 on opening night as 2 ½-point road favorites. The Lakers have gone 0-2 at the Staples Center, dropping decisions to the Rockets and Spurs.

Different faces on these squads but the recent meetings have watched the ‘over’ cash in eight of the last 10 encounters and the home team has won and covered the last six matchups.

Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo remain ‘out’ for the Lakers due to serving suspensions.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

POR at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +4.0
O 214.0

CLE at DET 07:00 PM
DET -9.5
U 216.5

BOS at OKC 08:00 PM
BOS -1.0
U 218.0

DEN at LAL 10:30 PM
DEN -3.0
O 234.5

[StarDust Bum]

Lillard nets 41 points, Blazers beat Magic
October 25, 2018
By The Associated Press

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) Jayson Tatum scored 24 points, and the Boston Celtics rallied from a 16-point halftime deficit to beat the winless Oklahoma City Thunder 101-95 on Thursday night.

Marcus Morris added 21 points, Al Horford had 19 and Kyrie Irving 15.

Paul George scored 22 points for Oklahoma City, but shot just 7 of 22. Russell Westbrook had 13 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists, but he shot 5 for 20. The Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers are the only winless teams in the NBA.

Morris hit a 3-pointer with 27 seconds left to give the Celtics a 98-95 lead, and they held on.

Oklahoma City led 50-34 at halftime. Boston shot just 32 percent in the first half and missed all 11 of its 3-point attempts.

TRAIL BLAZERS 128, MAGIC 114

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Damian Lillard scored 34 of his 41 points in the second half to help Portland beat Orlando.

CJ McCollum added 22 points, and Jusuf Nurkic had 18 points and 10 rebounds.

Nikola Vucevic led Orlando with 24 points and 11 rebounds. Terrence Ross had 21 points.

Lillard and McCollum re-entered the game with 7:54 left after Orlando cut a 13-point deficit to three at 102-99 on Gordon's second 3-pointer of the quarter. The guards combined to score 22 of Portland's final 26 points to seal the win. Lillard had 19 points in the third quarter.

PISTONS 110, CAVALIERS 103

DETROIT (AP) - Andre Drummond had 26 points and 22 rebounds, and Detroit improved to 4-0 and dropped Cleveland to 0-6 for the first time since 2003-04 - when LeBron James was a rookie.

Blake Griffin scored 26 points in his first game since a 50-point night against Philadelphia on Tuesday. Reggie Jackson added 16 points.

Kyle Korver led Cleveland with 21 points. Kevin Love missed the game because of a sore left foot.

LAKERS 121, NUGGETS 114

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY OCTOBER 26, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center
7:35 PM Dallas Mavericks Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
7:35 PM Golden State Warriors New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
8:05 PM Brooklyn Nets New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
8:05 PM Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:05 PM Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves Target Center
10:05 PM Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center


**********************


NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets

DATE W-L-T % UNITS

10/25/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
10/24/2018 10-9-0 52.63% +0.50
10/23/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
10/22/2018 6-9-0 40.00% -19.50
10/21/2018 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50
10/20/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -4.50
10/19/2018 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

Totals..............62-58-0.....51.66%.....-9.00


*************************************

Best Bets:

DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL

10/25/2018.............1 - 1....................-0.50................4 - 0..................+20.00............+19.50
10/24/2018.............4 - 3...................+3.50................3 - 4 .................-7.00...............-3.50
10/23/2018.............1 - 2....................-6.00................1 - 2..................-6.00...............-12.00
10/22/2018.............0 - 4....................-22.00..............5 - 2..................+14.00.............-8.00
10/21/2018.............4 - 0...................+20.00..............3 - 1..................+9.50..............+29.50
10/20/2018.............2 - 2.....................-1.00................3 - 4..................-7.00...............-8.00
10/19/2018.............2 - 3.....................-6.50................2 - 5.................-17.50..............-24.00
10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................-11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50

Totals.....................19 - 19.................-9.50..............27- 25.................-2.50.................-12.00

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s six-pack

College football trends for Week 8:

— Washington State is 15-5 in last 20 games as a road underdog.

— Home side covered 7 of last 10 Wisconsin-Northwestern games.

— Pitt is 8-15-1 vs spread in its last 24 home games.

— Kansas covered once in its last six games as a home underdog.

— New Mexico covered only two of last nine conference games.

— North Carolina covered six of its last eight games vs Virginia.

Tweet of the Day
“I was playing my job of man, so I didn’t really know what was going on. But, shoot, I’ve seen a replay and it was obviously a false start. We’ve been having a lot of things like that this whole entire year, so we’ve grown accustomed to it. I don’t think that made or broke this game, but at the end of the day we’ve just got to overcome any type of adversity, because it seems like don’t nobody want to see us succeed.”
Browns’ safety Damarious Randall, after officials missed an obvious false start against the Chargers Sunday- LA scored a TD on that play. The official who missed it was fired this week.

Friday’s quiz
Where did Brock Osweiler play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Long time ago, the Sacramento Kings were based in Cincinnati, and called the Royals; they moved to Kansas City, became the Kings, then later moved to Sacramento.

Wednesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

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Friday’s List of 13: Random facts on a fall Friday

13) Thru seven weeks, NFL teams are 35-59 (59.3%) on 2-point conversions.

12) Kerryon Johnson ran for 158 yards Sunday for the Lions, the best day for a Detroit RB in seven years; Lions drafted Johnson with a pick they got from New England on draft day- the pick was originally the 49ers’ pick, but San Francisco traded that pick to New England in the Jimmy Garoppolo deal.

Funny how the Patriots trading Garoppolo wound up benefitting Detroit.

11) Ravens have allowed only one TD on the opening drive of a half this year, and that came on a 6-yard drive by Denver after a blocked punt. In their last four games, Baltimore has forced three turnovers on their opponents’ first drive of the game.

10) Last year, the Eagles converted 51.4% of 3rd down plays in the red zone, which was the 3rd best %age in the NFL. This year they are at 21.1%, ranking second-last in the NFL.

9) Dallas traded for WR Omari Cooper because their offense needs a jolt; in their seven games this season, Cowboys have gone 3/out on their first drive five times. Maybe Cooper can make their offense more explosive, allow them to get off to better starts.

8) In Buffalo Bills’ last four games: they were outscored 56-7 in first half. Bills had the ball 42 times in those games; they scored two TD’s, turned ball over 12 times.

7) Atlanta Falcons converted 32 of their last 55 third down plays.

6) 54 teams have led a World Series 2-0; 43 of them went on to win that World Series.

5) Best ppp in red zone this season:
Seattle 5.73 (15 drives), Baltimore 5.65 (26 drives), Kansas City 5.61 (33 drives)

4) Best ppp on drives that started 75+ yards from end zone:
Kansas City 3.05, New Orleans 2.86, Atlanta 2.72

3) Thru first nine days of the NBA season, home favorites were 24-20 vs spread, home underdogs 14-5.

Teams playing 2nd consecutive night are 9-5 vs spread; 3-3 when favored, 6-2 as dogs. 10 of those 14 games went over the total.

2) Cleveland Browns have played four OT games already this season; only one of their seven games was decided by more than four points. How many games does Hue Jackson have to win to keep his job?

NFL teams with a +2 or better turnover margin are 36-3-1 this season; Cleveland is 1-1-1, and everyone else is 35-2.

1) Since 2012, Denver Broncos have drafted five quarterbacks; none of those five guys is still on the Broncos.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, October 26


Chicago @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
October 26, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
103.925
Charlotte
123.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 19
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 9
227
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-9); Under

Dallas @ Toronto

Game 503-504
October 26, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
108.239
Toronto
122.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 14 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 10 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-10 1/2); Under

Golden State @ New York

Game 505-506
October 26, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.108
New York
118.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
229
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+12); Under

Brooklyn @ New Orleans

Game 507-508
October 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
117.408
New Orleans
123.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6 1/2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 9 1/2
237
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+9 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Houston

Game 509-510
October 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
112.500
Houston
122.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Under

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Game 511-512
October 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
121.889
Minnesota
116.855
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
234
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-1 1/2); Under

Washington @ Sacramento

Game 513-514
October 26, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.741
Sacramento
111.513
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 9
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
237 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, October 26

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CHICAGO (1 - 3) at CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) - 10/26/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 71-91 ATS (-29.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 2) at TORONTO (5 - 0) - 10/26/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 412-337 ATS (+41.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 503-426 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 186-141 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (4 - 1) at NEW YORK (1 - 4) - 10/26/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (2 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 10/26/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 3) - 10/26/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 109-144 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (4 - 0) at MINNESOTA (2 - 3) - 10/26/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 268-323 ATS (-87.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 135-173 ATS (-55.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 54-100 ATS (-56.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 3) at SACRAMENTO (2 - 3) - 10/26/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 153-202 ATS (-69.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 26

Home side won seven of last nine Bull-Hornet games; Charlotte lost by a hoop in Chicago two nites ago. Bulls lost three of first four games (over 2-2); they’re 0-2 as road underdogs, losing by 19-6 points on road. Charlotte lost its two home games by total of three points; over is 3-2 in their games. Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits here. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Dallas split its first four games, losing road games (favored in both) by 21-7 points (over 2-2); they scored 115+ in their wins, 100-104 in losses. Toronto is off to a 5-0 start (over 3-1-1); they’re 3-1 as home favorites. Raptors won five of last six games with Dallas; under is 5-2 in last seven games. Mavericks covered three of last four visits to Canada.

Warriors are off to a 4-1 start, splitting two road games that were decided by total of 3 points (0-2 as AF). Under is 3-2 in their games. New York lost its last four games but covered three of them; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Golden State won its last eight games with the Knicks, but NY covered three of last four. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Warriors are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan.

New Orleans won/covered its first three games, scoring scoring 132 ppg (over 3-0); winning their home games by 20-7 points. Brooklyn split its first four games (under 3-1); they’re 2-1 as road underdogs, losing road games by 3-20, with win in Cleveland. Pelicans won eight of last nine games with Brooklyn (7-2 vs spread, over 7-2). Nets are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Bourbon Street.

Rockets star Harden (hamstring is probably out; Chris Paul returns). Clippers split their first four games (under 3-1), losing by 7 in New Orleans in their only road game. Houston lost three of its first four games (over 3-1), losing both home games, by 19-11 points. Clippers won four of last six games with Houston (5-1 vs spread); they covered three of last four visits here. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Milwaukee is off to a 4-0 start (over 4-0), winning only road game by point in Charlotte. Minnesota is off to a 2-3 start (over 4-1); they won both their home games. Home side won last five Milwaukee-Minnesota games; Bucks lost by 17-19 points in their last two visits to Minnesota. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Washington lost three of its first four games (over 4-0); they split two road games, with totals of 249-266. Sacramento is off to a 2-3 start (over 4-1), splitting pair of home games (2-0 as HU). Wizards won their last four games with Sacramento; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in their last five visits here. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.