The Bum's College Basketball Best Bets/Trends/ News Thru The Madness !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 19

Oakland won 8 of its last 11 games; they’re 5-3 on Horizon road, with four of five wins by 8+ points. IUPUI is 6-9 in its first Horizon season, but 4-2 at home, losing to UIC by 5, Youngstown by 4. Jaguars are turning ball over 21.8% of time in conference games, worst in league. Oakland beat IUPUI 82-74 at home Feb 4, outscoring Jaguars 25-14 on foul line. IUPUI covered six of last seven games as home underdogs; Oakland is 17-8 in last 25 games as road favorites, 3-3 this year. Horizon home underdogs are 14-14 vs spread.

Miami lost its last three games after an 18-5 start; ‘canes 3-4 on ACC road, 5-6 vs top 50 teams. Notre Dame won three of its last four games; they’re 3-2 since PG Farrell got back in lineup- he was 10-12 on arc in Saturday’s win over BC. Miami/Notre Dame split their six ACC meetings, splitting pair in South Bend; underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games. Hurricanes are 5-7 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 1-2 this year. Notre Dame is 12-9 in last 21 games as home favorites, 3-3 this year. ACC home favorites are 33-31 vs spread.

Northwestern led Michigan State by 27 Saturday, by 22 at half, but lost, their third loss in row. Maryland never trailed in 73-57 home win over Northwestern nine days ago; Terps won five of six Big 14 meetings, winning by 13-10 points in two visits to Evanston. Terrapins haven’t won consecutive games since Jan 2; they lost their last seven road games- their last road win was Dec 3rd at Illinois. Maryland is 12-11-1 vs spread on Big 14 road, 3-5 this year; Wildcats are 8-7-1 in last 16 home games, 4-3 this year. Big 14 home teams are 56-44 vs spread.

Northern Kentucky made 10-19 on arc in 95-85 win in Youngstown Feb 1; Norse won three of four Horizon meetings- they beat YSU 83-70 here LY. NKU is 12-3 in Horizon, 6-2 at home; their last three games were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Youngstown won two of last three games; they’re 2-6 on Horizon road, winning in Cleveland, at IUPUI by total of 7 points. Norse is 10-10 as a Horizon home favorite, 3-5 this year; Penguins are 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs this season. Horizon home favorites are 18-30 vs spread.

Cleveland State was 14-32 on arc in 77-74 upset win over Wright State Feb 1, snapping Wright’s 4-game series win streak. Vikings lost last two visits to Dayton, by 17-4 points. CSU split its last six games; they’re 1-6 on Horizon road, with four losses by 13+ points. Raiders won 13 of their last 16 games; their last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points. Vikings are 9-4-1 in last 14 games as road underdogs, 5-2 this year; Wright is 5-7-1 in last 13 games as home favorites, 1-4 this year. Horizon home favorites are 18-30 vs spread.

Ill-Chicago won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 4-2 at home in Horizon, but they lost last home game to Cleveland St. Detroit lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 1-7 on Horizon road, winning at Youngstown Friday for their only conference road win this season. UIC won 78-69 at Detroit Feb 4, holding Titans to 4-27 on arc. Flames won last three series games, by 14-5-9 points. UIC is 7-5 as home favorites under McClain, 4-1 this year; Detroit is 19-14-1 in last 34 games as road underdogs, Horizon home favorites are 18-30 vs spread.

Minnesota lost its last eight games, losing last two by 24-30 points; they’re 1-6 on Big 14 road, with lone win in OT at Penn State. Wisconsin lost nine of last 12 games but they upset Purdue here in last game. Badgers are 3-4 at home in Big 14 games. Wisconsin won its last seven games with Minnesota; Gophers lost last six visits to Madison, by 8-7-1-8-10-17 points. Under Pitino, Minnesota is 13-22-1 as road underdogs, 2-5 this year; Badgers are 11-8 in last 19 games as home favorites, 2-3 this year, 4-4 this year. Big 14 home favorites are 35-29 vs spread.

Oklahoma lost its last five games, allowing 75+ points in all five; Sooners lost their last seven road games. Kansas won 14 of its last 18 games overall. Sooners outscored Kansas 20-6 on foul line in 85-80 home win over Kansas Jan 23; Jayhawks are 7-2 in last nine series games; Sooners lost their last 10 visits to Lawrence, but three of last four losses here were by 8 or fewer points. Kansas is 3-13 in last 16 games as home favorites, 1-6 this year; Sooners are 9-6-1 in last 16 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year. Big X home favorites are 24-25.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, February 19

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Trend Report
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MIAMI @ NOTRE DAME
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games at home
Notre Dame is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

OAKLAND @ IUPUI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
IUPUI is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of IUPUI's last 5 games

MARYLAND @ NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Maryland's last 10 games
Maryland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games

CLEVELAND STATE @ WRIGHT STATE
Cleveland State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wright State
Wright State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wright State's last 9 games at home

YOUNGSTOWN STATE @ NORTHERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Youngstown State's last 5 games when playing Northern Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Youngstown State's last 6 games

DETROIT @ UIC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing UIC
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UIC's last 5 games when playing Detroit
UIC is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

MINNESOTA @ WISCONSIN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Kansas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

B]NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 19[/B]


Oakland @ IUPUI

Game 701-702
February 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
54.327
IUPUI
45.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 9
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 5 1/2
151
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-5 1/2); Under

Miami-FL @ Notre Dame

Game 703-704
February 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
63.187
Notre Dame
70.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 7 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 4
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-4); Under

Maryland @ Northwestern

Game 705-706
February 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
68.525
Northwestern
65.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 3 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
Pick
133
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
Over

Youngstown St @ Northern Kentucky

Game 707-708
February 19, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
44.523
Northern Kentucky
57.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 13
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 17
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Youngstown St
(+17); Over

Cleveland State @ Wright State

Game 709-710
February 19, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
46.525
Wright State
56.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 10
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 14
136
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
(+14); Over

Detroit @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 711-712
February 19, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
46.737
Illinois-Chicago
55.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 9
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 10 1/2
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+10 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Wisconsin

Game 713-714
February 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
56.735
Wisconsin
64.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 8
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 6 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-6 1/2); Under

Oklahoma @ Kansas

Game 715-716
February 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
64.237
Kansas
74.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
by 10 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 8 1/2
167 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(-8 1/2); Under

Howard @ NC Central

Game 717-718
February 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Howard
35.562
NC Central
45.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
by 10
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC Central
by 7
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(-7); Under

Alcorn State @ Alabama State

Game 719-720
February 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alcorn State
39.236
Alabama State
41.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama State
by 2 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama State
Pick
142
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama State
Under

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, February 19

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NCAAB Game of the Day: Oklahoma at Kansas betting preview and odds
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Trae Young snapped a streak of 20 consecutive missed 3-pointers on Saturday and is averaging 23.6 points per game during the Sooners' current five-game losing skid.

No. 23 Oklahoma Sooners at No. 13 Kansas Jayhawks (-8.5, 166.5)

Before focusing on a Big 12 first-place showdown with Texas Tech next weekend, 13th-ranked Kansas must take care of business Monday when slumping No. 23 Oklahoma and Trae Young come calling. The Jayhawks escaped at home against West Virginia on Saturday and drew even atop the conference standings when Baylor knocked off the Red Raiders later that night.

Kansas closed out West Virginia with a 19-3 run as Udoka Azubuike scored 21 points and Devonte' Graham contributed 15 points while the defense stepped to the challenge as the Jayhawks put themselves in a position to challenge for a 14th consecutive regular-season championship. "It keeps us in a position to play for something," Kansas coach Bill Self told reporters afterward. "It was big for our guys' confidence, probably." The Sooners dropped their fifth straight game Saturday, 76-66 to Texas, shooting a season-low 30.8 percent with Young continuing to struggle. The 6-2 guard scored 26 points but shot 7-of-21 from the field and is 18-for-58 over his last three games, including 4-of-27 from the arc.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The first place Jayhawks opened as 8.5-point home favorites and that number has yet to move. The total hit betting boards at 167 and has been dropped slightly to 166.5.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (16-10 SU, 8-17 ATS, 16-9 O/U): Young (29.0 points, 9.2 assists), who added seven assists and five rebounds against Texas, snapped a streak of 20 consecutive missed 3-pointers on Saturday and is averaging 23.6 points per game during the losing skid. "I'm getting guarded like nobody else in the country is being guarded, scouted on like no one else in the country," Young told reporters after the game. “It's a lot tougher for me to score now than it was in the beginning.” Christian James (12.3 points) was held to 11 points after scoring at least 20 in his previous two games and Brady Manek (11.0 points) connected on 3-of-13 after entering the game shooting 61.7 percent at home.

ABOUT KANSAS (21-6 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 11-15 O/U): Azubuike (14.1 points, 7.0 rebounds) made 7-of-8 shots from the field against West Virginia to lift his shooting percentage to 76.9, and the 7-foot sophomore sank 7-of-10 from the free-throw line to raise his season percentage to 44.7. Azubuike is shooting 78 percent from the field in conference play and 86 percent over his last six games. Lagerald Vick (12.8 points) has scored 29 points in his last two games after after reaching double figures in four of his previous 12 contests.

MATCHUP CHART:



TRENDS:

* Sooners are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Jayhawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 8-2 in Jayhawks last 10 vs. Big 12.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

TIP-IN BETTING TIDBITS:

- Kansas is 146-67 all-time against Oklahoma, but the Sooners got 26 points on just nine field-goal attempts from Young on Jan. 23 to post an 85-80 victory.

- Graham has played 40 minutes in 10 straight games.

- Kansas has won at least 10 league games in 24 consecutive seasons.

CONSENSUS: Consensus numbers show 65 percent of contest players like the road underdog Sooners to cover the spread.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Best Bet
February 19, 2018

Monday College Basketball Best Bet

Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

As the regular season in college basketball winds down we see smaller and smaller CBB betting boards during the weekdays and tonight's only of those occurrences. In total there are just 10 games on the board, but only four of them involve teams from a Power Five conference.

And while the Oklahoma/Kansas rematch between two Top 25 teams will dominate storylines, it's the critical matchup in the ACC that I'm investing in tonight.

Notre Dame (-4.5); Total set at 140.5

This is the one and only meeting of the regular season between the Hurricanes (18-8 SU) and Fighting Irish (16-11 SU) as both teams jockey for positioning in the upcoming ACC Tournament. The first goal is to stay out of the bottom six so you at least get one bye to begin the proceedings, a goal both teams are in jeopardy of failing to reach.

Notre Dame is in a tougher position in that regard being in 12th place at 6-8 SU in conference play, but Miami holds that coveted 9th spot (and a 1st round bye) at just 7-7 SU in the conference. With each team having just a few games remaining, there is no question these are must win games for both sides, and the Irish have to be thankful that they are at home.

Home court usually means good things for talented college programs, but the 9-4 SU record the Irish have on their home floor leaves a bit to be desired. Granted, the ACC is loaded with great teams at the top, but with conference home losses to UNC, Virginia Tech, and Louisville, the latter two having basically identical SU records to the Hurricanes, the Irish will have to be at their best tonight.

A win on their home floor is far from a certainty this year for Notre Dame, and with Miami being one of just five teams in the conference with a winning record in true road games (6-4 SU), the Hurricanes will be ready to put up a fight.

Miami comes into this game as the colder of the two squads having lost three in a row both SU and ATS. Saturday's 62-55 loss at home against Syracuse was a little surprising given Miami closed at -4 for the game, but the money-burning Hurricanes (2-8 ATS last 10) have just not been kind to bettors since the calendar flipped over to 2018. That's part of the reason they are catching multiple possessions here, as along with Notre Dame going 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games overall, the majority of bettors have more faith in this Irish squad.

VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers currently show more than 80% of the early action on the Irish so far as they are the home team, playing better basketball at the moment, and in more desperate need of a win. However, we aren't likely to see another 37-point effort from Notre Dame's Matt Farrell like he had on Saturday as he's been alternating great games with poor ones his last few outings. Farrell (along with Temple Gibbs) is the go-to guy for Notre Dame, but prior to his 37-point effort on Saturday on 12 of 17 shooting, he was coming off a 3-for-18 game (1-for-12 from three) against UNC where he had just nine points.

Prior to that outing it was another great night against FSU as Farrell had 28 points on 10-for-15 shooting from the field (6-for-10 from three) as consistency has been something he's lacked all year. That pattern could easily continue tonight against Miami's stout defense which is one of the better ones in the conference, and when Notre Dame is held to under 70 points the Irish losses tend to follow.

Miami only gives up 66.1 points per game on the year, and they'll look to that defense to dictate the pace and tempo tonight. I understand the lack of trust many bettors will have with the Hurricanes at the moment given their recent results, but the last three times they have been road underdogs (all of +5 or less) they are 2-1 SU and ATS with the only loss coming in OT against Florida State.

Recent form for both sides has influenced this line too much in my opinion, as Miami's not only got a great shot at keeping this one within this number, I consider them a live underdog to win this game outright as well. The road underdog has won SU the last two times these two have met and I would not be surprised to see tonight's game follow suit.



Best Bet: Miami +4.5

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MY BEST BETS FOR MONDAY

HOW at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -7.5

MIA at ND 07:00 PM
ND -4.5

MD at NW 07:00 PM
NW -1.5

OAK at INDPU 07:00 PM
OAK -6.0

YSU at NKU 07:30 PM
YSU +15.5

CLEVST at WRST 07:30 PM
CLEVST +13.5

DETU at UIC 08:00 PM
UIC -10.0

OKLA at KU 09:00 PM
KU -8.5

MINN at WIS 09:00 PM
MINN +7.0

ALCN at ALST 09:00 PM
ALCN +1.0

[StarDust Bum]

TOP 25 THIS WEEK: Blue Raiders play with 1st AP ranking
February 20, 2018

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Middle Tennessee has upset power-conference teams in the past two NCAA Tournaments and reached 20 wins for the third straight season. Now the Blue Raiders have another milestone: their first appearance in the AP Top 25 poll.

Middle Tennessee checked in at No. 24 in Monday's latest poll and will play as a ranked team for the first time Saturday at home against UAB as part the week's national Top 25 schedule.

''The sustainability part is what you strive for,'' coach Kermit Davis said in an interview with The Associated Press. ''I just think it's the culture of it. Since I've been here, you're just striving to kind of get your brand like a Gonzaga or a Butler or schools that just kind of do it every year.''

The Blue Raiders (22-5, 14-1 Conference USA) are certainly doing that these days.

Two seasons ago, they won 25 games and pulled the biggest upset of the NCAA Tournament by beating Final Four favorite and second-seeded Michigan State in the opening round. They followed that by winning 31 games last year and beating fifth-seeded Minnesota in the first round in 2017.

Along the way, Middle Tennessee has gone 23-3 in road games over two seasons, including a 12-1 mark after Saturday's win at Louisiana Tech.

The Blue Raiders are led by Alabama graduate transfer Nick King, who started his career at Memphis. The 6-foot-7 forward is averaging 21.4 points and 8.4 rebounds.

Middle Tennessee is trying to maintain its hold on the Conference USA lead with Old Dominion and Western Kentucky sitting a game back in the loss column. The Blue Raiders have three home games left, including March 1 against the Hilltoppers.

Davis said he doesn't think that the ranking will be a distraction - ''If we get beat, that's not going to be the reason why,'' he said - but it is something Davis said the Blue Raiders plan to savor with a few days off before playing again.

''It's great for our players, it's great for our fan base,'' Davis said. ''You're trying to grow your fan base, so it is (important). We all understand that we've got a lot of work ahead of us and big games. But you better believe it, the Middle Tennessee faithful around the country will love seeing their name in the AP poll.''

VIRGINIA'S MARCH

Top-ranked Virginia (24-2, 13-1) can wrap up the Atlantic Coast Conference regular-season race this week. They lead fifth-ranked Duke by three games in the loss column and own the head-to-head tiebreaker from their win at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Jan. 27 , so they can clinch at least a share of the regular-season title and the No. 1 seed for the ACC Tournament in Brooklyn by beating Georgia Tech on Wednesday.

Win that one, and they travel to Pittsburgh - now 0-15 in the league - to claim the regular-season race outright Saturday.

WEEKEND TESTS

There's a top-10 matchup in the Big 12 this week with No. 8 Kansas visiting No. 6 Texas Tech on Saturday, with the Jayhawks seeking to avenge an 85-73 home loss to the Red Raiders on Jan. 2.

That's part of a test-filled weekend for some top-tier teams, with No. 2 Michigan State (at Wisconsin), No. 3 Villanova (at Creighton) and No. 6 Gonzaga (at BYU) all playing on the road.

WATCH LIST

Baylor (17-10, 6-7 Big 12) has vaulted itself into NCAA Tournament contention with five straight wins. Now the Bears are on the edge of the AP Top 25 with a couple of chances to play their way into next week's poll - and strengthen that postseason resume.

The Bears host No. 21 West Virginia on Tuesday then travel to TCU - which has been ranked earlier this season - on Saturday.

And in the Southeastern Conference, both Kentucky and Arkansas are within reach of the rankings entering Tuesday's matchup. The Razorbacks also visit Alabama on Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday's Results + Feb. Results

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

02/19/2018 3-7-0 30.00% -2350

02/18/2018 6-6-1 50.00% -300

02/17/2018 27-19-1 58.70% +3050

02/14/2018 21-15-1 58.33% +2250

02/11/2018 3-8-0 27.27% -2900

02/10/2018 51-58-2 46.79% -6400

02/09/2018 4-8-1 33.33% -2400

02/07/2018 11-18-1 37.93% -4400

02/01/2018 29-28-1 50.88% -900

TOTALS.........155 - 167......48.13%...-143.50

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Six more baseball over/under win totals for this season:

San Francisco 81.5

St Louis, 81.5

Toronto 81

Tampa Bay 77.5

Pittsburgh 73

San Diego 69.5

Quote of the Day
“I think wide receiver. Exceptional athlete. Exceptional ability to make you miss. Exceptional acceleration. Exceptional instinct with the ball in his hand — and that’s rare for wide receivers. This guy is incredible in the open field. Great ability to separate. Short and a little bit slight and clearly, clearly not the thrower the other guys are.”
Former NFL GM Bill Polian, on Louisville’s QB Lamar Jackson, who is 6-3, by the way

Tuesday’s quiz
How many major league baseball teams call California home?

Monday’s quiz
Baltimore Colts drafted John Elway, then traded him to Denver.

Sunday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant, then traded him to the Lakers for Vlade Divac.

*******************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) NBA should have an “ABA Day” once a year, a Friday night with a full schedule where all the games are played with red, white and blue basketballs and the four teams who came from the ABA (Nets-Pacers-Spurs-Nuggets) wear throwback uniforms from the mid-70’s.

12) One thing I saw on the Interweb when I was in Las Vegas but forgot to mention here; when the Eagles had their victory parade after winning the Super Bowl, a guy named Dennis who was 50 or so was there watching the parade while holding a metal urn.

Turns out the urn held the ashes of Dennis’ late wife, who was an avid Eagle fan.

“She was a diehard Eagles fan. I had to make sure she was here for this.” Pretty cool.

11) Pretty good weekend for golfer Bubba Watson; he played in the celebrity basketball game at the All-Star Game Friday night, then won the Genesis Open Sunday, his 10th PGA Tour win. Watson joins Phil Mickelson as the only lefties with 10+ Tour wins.

Watson’s wife played in the WNBA, therefore the connection to basketball; he lost 45 pounds last year with an undisclosed illness, dropped out of the top 100 ranking but obviously is doing better this year.

10) Bill Walton was saying on ESPN Saturday night that 27,000 people apply for the 800 spots in UCLA’s School of Engineering; you have to have a perfect 4.0 GPA to have a shot to get in.

9) St Mary’s PG Emmett Naar sprained his ankle in Portland Saturday night, didn’t play in the second half. If he cannot play, Gaels will have a short March, but one thing in their favor is the two weeks off they’ll have between the WCC tourney and the NCAA’s.

8) This from ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian:
Hank Aaron his 755 home runs but never hit 50 in a season.
Eddie Murray hit 504 homers but never hit 40 in a season.
Al Kaline hit 399 homers but never hit 30 in a season.
Ron Fairly hit 215 homers but never hit 20 in a season.

7) Memphis Tigers are last team to go undefeated in conference play two seasons in a row; they did it from 2007-09.

6) Looks like Seattle is going to get an NHL franchise; they never should’ve lost their NBA team, they got screwed over by the league because they wouldn’t be extorted into building a new arena, so the team moved to Oklahoma.

5) Six top 10 college basketball teams lost to unranked teams this past weekend. Strange season.

4) JD Martinez finally signs with the Red Sox for $22M a year for five years. Hope he can get by on that paltry sum.

3) Good news: there is spring training baseball on TV Friday. In three days.

2) How great a job is NBA commish Adam Silver doing? With all the issues the NFL had with national anthem-related issues, somehow the NBA kept all that under wraps and dodged that controversy. Has to be an interesting story behind how he did all that.

1— There are people on the Interweb who want teachers to carry guns: in 10th grade, I had a biology teacher who threw erasers at kids who weren’t paying attention (I’m old enough that I went to school when chalkboards were still a thing).

One day, the teacher throws an eraser at a kid named Nick who was screwing around, but instead he drills the girl sitting next to him, who breaks into tears as everyone else either laughed or stared in disbelief.

Would I have wanted this genius to have been packing heat? Ummmm……no.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s college hoop

NC State won five of its last seven games, working its way on bubble; Wolfpack is 4-2 in ACC home games, losing to Miami/UNC. Boston College is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 1-5 on ACC road, with only win at winless Pittsburgh. Home side won last five BC-NC State games; Eagles lost their last six visits to Raleigh, losing by 5-12-14-18-1-10 points. BC is 10-12-1 in last 23 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; Wolfpack is is 9-7 in last 16 games as home favorites, 2-0 this year. ACC home favorites are 33-32 vs spread.

West Virginia was +10 (21-11) in turnovers, made 10-25 on arc in 57-54 home win over Baylor Jan 9; WV shot just 9-36 inside arc. Mountaineers won four of last five series games; they’re 2-3 in Waco in Big X games. West Virginia lost four of its last five road games, winning at Oklahoma by a hoop. Baylor won its last five games after a 12-10 start, winning their last two games by total of three points. Bears are 8-12 in last 20 games as home favorites, 3-1 this year; WVU is 6-4 in last 10 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Big X home favorites are 25-25 vs spread.

URI had its 16-game win streak snapped Friday; Rams are 6-1 on A-14 road, with four wins by 13+ points. Home team won LaSalle’s last 11 games; Explorers won their last four home games, with three wins by 7+ points. Explorers turned ball over 19 times, lost 74-62 at Rhode Island Jan 3; Rams won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits to LaSalle, by 3-17-11 points. LaSalle is 3-7 in last 10 games as home underdogs, 0-1 this year; URI is 10-4 in last 14 games as road favorites, 4-3 this year. A-14 home underdogs are 10-12 vs spread.

Creighton shot 67.6% inside arc in 85-76 home win over Butler Jan 9, Bluejays’ third straight series win. Teams split four Big East meetings in Hinkle Fieldhouse. Creighton lost three of last four games overall, three of last five on road; they’re 3-4 on Big East road, beating three worst teams on road. Butler lost three of last four games overall; they’re 5-3 at home in league, losing two of last three at home. Butler is 13-10 in last 23 games as home favorites, 4-3 this year; Creighton is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs this season. Big East home favorites are 22-19.

Texas A&M is 5-2 vs Mississippi State in SEC play, winning all three meetings here, by 20-4-2 points. Bulldogs won five of last seven games, but lost last two road games by total of 5 points, at Mizzou/Vandy. A&M is just 6-8 in SEC but they won their last five home games, with wins over Arkansas/Kentucky. Under Howland, MSU is 11-12-1 as road underdogs- they covered last three tries. A&M is 6-9 in last 15 games as home favorites, but they did cover last four home games. SEC home favorites are 39-30 against the spread.

Toledo won 11 of its last 13 games but lost last game at Ball State; Rockets are shooting 40.9% on arc in MAC games. Eastern Michigan is best defensive team in MAC, forcing turnovers 20.6% of time; they won four of last five games, are 4-3 in MAC home games, winning last two. Toledo is 6-5 in last 11 games with EMU, sweeping Eagles by 16-4 points LY. Rockets lost three of last four visits to Ypsilanti. Eagles are 4-11-1 vs spread in last 16 MAC home games, 2-4-1 this year; Toledo is 10-6 in last 16 road games, 5-2 this season. MAC home teams are 44-36 vs spread.

Nebraska won six of its last seven games but is just 6-7 vs top 100 teams; they’re a bubble team. Huskers are 7-0 in Big 14 home games, Indiana won its last four games after starting 5-7 in Big 14 games; Hoosiers are 3-4 on Big 14 road, but wins were at Iowa, Rutgers, Minnesota, nothing too impressive. Nebraska is 5-3 vs Indiana in Big 14 games; Hoosiers lost three of four visits to Lincoln. Indiana is 4-8-1 in last 13 games as road underdogs, 1-4-1 this year; Nebraska is 17-9-1 in last 27 games as home favorites, 4-1 this year. Big 14 home favorites are 35-30 vs spread.

Saint Louis outscored Dayton 20-9 on foul line in 75-65 home win over the Flyers Jan 27, first series win for Billikens in last eight series games- they lost last three visits to Dayton, by 16-36-21 points. SLU won three of its last four road games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games overall. Dayton lost six of its last nine games, but they did win their last three home games. Dayton is 8-5 in last 13 games as home favorites, 2-2 this year; Billikens are 10-4-1 in last 15 games as road underdogs, 4-2 this year. A-14 home favorites are 31-25 vs spread.

This is first game for Ole Miss’ interim coach; Rebels lost their last seven games, are 0-9 in true road games this season. Missouri won five of its last six games, winning last three home games, by 9-4-4 points. Missouri made 10-23 on arc, won 75-69 at Ole Miss Feb 6, just 2nd win in 11 SEC games in this series. Rebels won their last three visits to Columbia, by 20-3-4 points. Mizzou is 4-2 vs spread this season as home favorites; Ole Miss is 9-12 in last 21 games as road underdogs, 3-4 this season. SEC home favorites are 39-30 vs spread.

Arkansas won four in row, seven of last nine games; they won last six home games, last three by 16-18-19 points. Kentucky lost four of its last five games overall, losing last three road tilts, by 9-11-10 points. Hogs are shooting 39% on arc in SEC play; Kentucky defends arc well (26.3% in SEC play). Arkansas lost its last five games with Kentucky, but won three of last four series games played here. Over last six years, Kentucky is 1-9-1 as road underdogs, 0-4 this year; Arkansas is 12-9 in last 21 games as home faves, 3-4 this year. SEC home favorites are 39-30.

Vanderbilt won three of last four games; they’re 0-7 on SEC road, with four of last six road losses by 11+ points. LSU won three of its last five games; they won last four home games, three by 8+ points. LSU lost 77-71 at Vanderbilt Jan 20, Commodores’ 2nd straight series win after five losses. Vandy won four of last six visits to Baton Rouge. LSU is 2-4-1 in last seven games as home favorites, 2-2-1 this year; under Drew, Vandy is 11-4 as road underdogs, 4-3 this season. SEC home favorites are 39-30 against the spread.

New Mexico made 10-24 on arc, survived 20 turnovers (-2) in 75-66 home win over Wyoming Jan 10. Teams split last six series games; Lobos lost last two visits to Laramie, by 1-11 points. New Mexico lost three of last five games; they’re 2-5 on MW road, winning at UNLV/San Jose. Cowboys are 5-2 at home in conference, losing to Colorado State/Fresno State. Lobos are 10-14 in last 24 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; under Edwards, Wyoming is 5-7 as home favorites, 1-3 this year. Mountain West home favorites are 29-19 vs spread.

NC-Greensboro won 10 of last 12 games, with two losses by total of 5 points; they’re 5-3 on SoCon road. Wofford is 7-1 at home in SoCon, with only loss by 13 to East Tennessee State. Wofford lost 71-67 in Greensboro Dec 30, after leading by 14 early in second half. Spartans won four of last five series games, but lost last three visits to Wofford, by 15-11-19 points. UNCG is 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 3-2 this year; Wofford is 4-2 in last six games as home underdogs, 1-1 this year. SoCon home underdogs are 12-20 vs spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 20


Boston College @ NC State

Game 501-502
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
57.643
NC State
68.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 11
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 8
159
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-8); Under

West Virginia @ Baylor

Game 503-504
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
69.398
Baylor
73.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 4 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 1
143
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-1); Under

Rutgers @ Ohio State

Game 505-506
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
58.734
Ohio State
71.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 13
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 16
128
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+16); Over

Rhode Island @ LaSalle

Game 507-508
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
62.334
LaSalle
58.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 4
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rhode Island
by 7
147
Dunkel Pick:
LaSalle
(+7); Over

Creighton @ Butler

Game 509-510
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Creighton
66.122
Butler
67.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 1
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 5
157
Dunkel Pick:
Creighton
(+5); Under

Northern Illinois @ Ball State

Game 511-512
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
49.735
Ball State
54.627
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 5
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 10
149
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+10); Over

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan

Game 513-514
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
50.512
Western Michigan
57.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 7
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 5 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-5 1/2); Under

Toledo @ Eastern Michigan

Game 515-516
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
54.326
Eastern Michigan
57.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 3
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
Pick
141
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
Under

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M

Game 517-518
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
64.221
Texas A&M
73.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 9
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 6 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-6 1/2); Under

Illinois @ Michigan State

Game 519-520
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
58.104
Michigan State
75.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 17 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 15 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-15 1/2); Under

Akron @ Bowling Green

Game 521-522
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
48.434
Bowling Green
50.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 2 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+7); Over

Buffalo @ Miami-OH

Game 523-524
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
57.197
Miami-OH
53.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
151
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(+6); Over

Kent State @ Ohio

Game 525-526
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
53.447
Ohio
53.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
Even
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 4
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+4); Over

Indiana @ Nebraska

Game 527-528
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
67.823
Nebraska
66.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 4
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+4); Over

St Louis @ Dayton

Game 529-530
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Louis
52.449
Dayton
60.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 8
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 5
135
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-5); Under

Ole Miss @ Missouri

Game 531-532
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ole Miss
57.423
Missouri
68.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 11 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 8 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-8 1/2); Under

Kentucky @ Arkansas

Game 533-534
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
66.297
Arkansas
71.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 5 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 3 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(-3 1/2); Under

Vanderbilt @ LSU

Game 535-536
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
60.235
LSU
67.108
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 7
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 4 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-4 1/2); Under

New Mexico @ Wyoming

Game 537-538
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
56.734
Wyoming
57.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 1
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 4 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+4 1/2); Over

Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso

Game 539-540
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
55.244
Valparaiso
54.137
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Iowa
by 1
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 4
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Iowa
(+4); Over

The Citadel @ E Tenn State

Game 541-542
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
42.219
E Tenn State
64.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 22
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State
by 20
164
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(-20); Under

NC-Greensboro @ Wofford

Game 543-544
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Greensboro
56.737
Wofford
51.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 5 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC-Greensboro
(-2); Under

Western Carolina @ Mercer

Game 545-546
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Carolina
46.723
Mercer
54.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 8
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 11 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Western Carolina
(+11 1/2); Over

VMI @ Furman

Game 547-548
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
42.564
Furman
59.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Furman
by 17
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Furman
by 20 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
VMI
(+20 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON COLLEGE (16 - 11) at NC STATE (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NC STATE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W VIRGINIA (19 - 8) at BAYLOR (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 4-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RUTGERS (13 - 16) at OHIO ST (22 - 7) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 4-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RHODE ISLAND (21 - 4) at LASALLE (11 - 16) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RHODE ISLAND is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
LASALLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
RHODE ISLAND is 4-1 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CREIGHTON (19 - 8) at BUTLER (18 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all home games this season.
BUTLER is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
BUTLER is 163-127 ATS (+23.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 220-176 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 4-1 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 4-1 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ILLINOIS (11 - 15) at BALL ST (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BALL ST is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


C MICHIGAN (16 - 11) at W MICHIGAN (15 - 12) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (19 - 8) at E MICHIGAN (16 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
TOLEDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 113-154 ATS (-56.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSISSIPPI ST (19 - 8) at TEXAS A&M (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 3-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ILLINOIS (13 - 15) at MICHIGAN ST (26 - 3) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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AKRON (11 - 15) at BOWLING GREEN (16 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
AKRON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-3 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 5-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUFFALO (20 - 7) at MIAMI OHIO (13 - 14) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KENT ST (13 - 14) at OHIO U (11 - 15) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 85-55 ATS (+24.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 87-58 ATS (+23.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
KENT ST is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-2 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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INDIANA (16 - 12) at NEBRASKA (20 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 113-150 ATS (-52.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all home games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAINT LOUIS (15 - 12) at DAYTON (12 - 14) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
DAYTON is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 3-2 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 4-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OLE MISS (11 - 16) at MISSOURI (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OLE MISS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
OLE MISS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MISSOURI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 4-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 5-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KENTUCKY (18 - 9) at ARKANSAS (19 - 8) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 3-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VANDERBILT (11 - 16) at LSU (15 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW MEXICO (13 - 14) at WYOMING (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
WYOMING is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
WYOMING is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-2 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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N IOWA (13 - 15) at VALPARAISO (14 - 15) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N IOWA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
N IOWA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
N IOWA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
N IOWA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games this season.
N IOWA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N IOWA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
N IOWA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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THE CITADEL (9 - 18) at E TENN ST (23 - 5) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
E TENN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
E TENN ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
THE CITADEL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-2 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UNC-GREENSBORO (21 - 7) at WOFFORD (19 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 3-3 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-2 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W CAROLINA (12 - 16) at MERCER (15 - 13) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MERCER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus MERCER over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against MERCER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VMI (8 - 18) at FURMAN (19 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
FURMAN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
FURMAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 5-0 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
FURMAN is 5-0 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 20

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Trend Report
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ILLINOIS @ MICHIGAN STATE
ILLINOIS

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Illinois's last 9 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Illinois's last 18 games on the road
MICHIGAN STATE

Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan State is 23-1 SU in its last 24 games at home
RUTGERS @ OHIO STATE
RUTGERS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 9 games
OHIO STATE

Ohio State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games
BOSTON COLLEGE @ NORTH CAROLINA STATE
BOSTON COLLEGE

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games
NORTH CAROLINA STATE

North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College
North Carolina State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston College
CREIGHTON @ BUTLER
CREIGHTON

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 8 games when playing Butler
Creighton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Butler
BUTLER

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Butler's last 8 games when playing Creighton
Butler is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
RHODE ISLAND @ LA SALLE
RHODE ISLAND

Rhode Island is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
Rhode Island is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against La Salle
LA SALLE

La Salle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of La Salle's last 9 games at home
AKRON @ BOWLING GREEN
AKRON

Akron is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Bowling Green
Akron is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
BOWLING GREEN

Bowling Green is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ BALL STATE
NORTHERN ILLINOIS

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 8 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
BALL STATE

Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Northern Illinois
BUFFALO @ MIAMI-OHIO
BUFFALO

Buffalo is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
MIAMI-OHIO

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami-Ohio's last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Miami-Ohio is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Buffalo
CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
CENTRAL MICHIGAN

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Michigan's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
WESTERN MICHIGAN

Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
TOLEDO @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
TOLEDO

Toledo is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Toledo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
EASTERN MICHIGAN

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toledo
KENT STATE @ OHIO
KENT STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Ohio
OHIO

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing Kent State
THE CITADEL @ EAST TENNESSEE STATE
THE CITADEL

The Citadel is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against East Tennessee St
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of The Citadel's last 5 games when playing East Tennessee State
EAST TENNESSEE STATE

No trends to report
VMI @ FURMAN
VMI

No trends to report
FURMAN

Furman is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing VMI
Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing VMI
WESTERN CAROLINA @ MERCER
WESTERN CAROLINA

Western Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mercer
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Carolina's last 8 games when playing Mercer
MERCER

No trends to report
UNC GREENSBORO @ WOFFORD
UNC GREENSBORO

UNC Greensboro is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
WOFFORD

Wofford is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Wofford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against UNC Greensboro
WEST VIRGINIA @ BAYLOR
WEST VIRGINIA

West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games
BAYLOR

Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TEXAS A&M
MISSISSIPPI STATE

Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas A&M
TEXAS A&M

Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
SAINT LOUIS @ DAYTON
SAINT LOUIS

Saint Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saint Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
DAYTON

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 5 games
Dayton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saint Louis
INDIANA @ NEBRASKA
INDIANA

Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Nebraska
NEBRASKA

Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
KENTUCKY @ ARKANSAS
KENTUCKY

Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
ARKANSAS

Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing Kentucky
VANDERBILT @ LSU
VANDERBILT

Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing LSU
LSU

The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
MISSISSIPPI @ MISSOURI
MISSISSIPPI

Mississippi is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Missouri
MISSOURI

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games when playing Mississippi
Missouri is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NORTHERN IOWA @ VALPARAISO
NORTHERN IOWA

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games
Northern Iowa is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
VALPARAISO

Valparaiso is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Valparaiso's last 11 games at home
NEW MEXICO @ WYOMING
NEW MEXICO

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing Wyoming
WYOMING

Wyoming is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico

[StarDust Bum]

Defense a better barometer for ATS success in college basketball
Ashton Grewal

The Virginia Cavaliers owe their 17-5-1 ATS record, and top spot in the AP poll, to their unrivaled defense this season. The Cavaliers allow 4.4 fewer points per game than any other team in the country.

The best defense is a good offense or so the saying goes in sports - although the Oklahoma Sooners are putting that theory to test.

The Sooners are first in the nation in points per game (87.5) and their freshman point guard Trae Young leads the country in scoring and assists. And yet Oklahoma is one of the worst bets in college basketball with an ugly 9-17 ATS record heading into Monday’s matchup with Kansas.

The Sooners are 0-5 straight up in their last five games and 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games after an outright loss at home to Texas on Saturday as 6.5-point favorites. OU fans downplaying their team’s poor run would fit perfectly in a meme featuring a house fire and a talking dog seating at the kitchen table claiming everything is fine.

Meanwhile, Virginia, the best defensive team in college hoops, is first in the AP Poll rankings and is covering the spread at a 77 percent rate. The Cavaliers aren’t the only D-orientated team making money for their backers this season. Michigan, Texas Tech and Cincinnati are a combined 43-30-2 ATS and all near locks to receive invites to the NCAA Tournament.

Team Points Per Game Season ATS
Oklahoma 87.5 8-17
Villanova 87.4 18-9
Duke 87.4 16-9
Gonzaga 85.2 11-14-11
Creighton 85.1 12-13
Xavier 85.1 19-9
Auburn 84.7 18-7
UNLV 84.7 12-14-1
Savannah State 84.5 0-1
TCU 84.4 13-12-1

What does this mean to college basketball bettors? Which dominant trait (offense or defense) is a more profitable one when it comes to betting on college basketball? The 10 teams allowing the fewest points per game this season are covering the spread at a 56.7 percent clip while the 10 squads averaging the most points are winning ATS at 54.7 percent.

Team Points Allowed Per Game Season ATS
Virginia 52.7 17-5-1
Cincinnati 57.1 13-10-1
Central Florida 60.3 13-8
Old Dominion 62 11-13
Texas Tech 62.5 13-10
Southern Methodist 63.1 7-13-2
Syracuse 63.4 11-14
Michigan 63.5 17-10-1
Loyola-Chicago 63.5 16-7-1
Grand Canyon 63.8 1-1

Looking at the top 10 in offense and defense in college basketball in each of the last five seasons we found the slight wagering edge goes to elite defenses over high-quality offenses. Top-10 defensive teams in points per game are covering the spread in 55.2 percent of their games since the beginning of the 2012-2013 campaign whereas top-offenses own a 53.7 percent ATS win rate.

“There’s a high variance in 3-point shooting which makes it difficult to predict from a game-to-game basis,” Covers Expert Steve Merril says. “I prefer to lean on slow-paced defensive teams like Virginia rather than the up-tempo, 3-point shooting teams like North Carolina and Duke."

The strategy shouldn’t be followed on the way to the futures book. Eight of the last 10 national champions have ranked inside Ken Pomerory’s adjusted offensive efficiency. North Carolina won last season with the ninth highest-scoring offense and the 127th ranked defense in points allowed per game.

Teams like Virginia might be better for regular season betting but come tournament time it’s important to identify sides that can score against solid defensive teams.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Wagers
February 20, 2018

**West Virginia at Baylor**

-- Baylor (17-10 straight up, 13-7 against the spread) has won five consecutive games and has covered the number in six straight outings. The Bears edged Texas Tech 59-57 as one-point underdogs Saturday in Waco. Terry Maston scored two of his game-high 24 points on the go-ahead jumper with 1:29 remaining. Maston missed six games earlier in the season, but he is coming on strong at the perfect time. The senior forward has scored at least 23 points in three of his team’s past five games. Manu Lecomte went 3-of-14 from the field and was held to 10 points without an assist. Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. finished with seven points, eight rebounds, three assists, three blocks and one assist against the Red Raiders, who saw their star Keenan Evans leave the game with a toe injury late in the first half.

-- The Westgate SuperBook opened Baylor as a 1.5-point favorite.

-- Scott Drew’s team owns a 13-3 SU record and a 6-3 ATS mark at home this year.

-- Lecomte paces Baylor in scoring (16.5 points per game) and assists (3.5 APG), and the senior guard has drained 39.3 percent of his 3-pointers and 87.3 percent of his free-throw attempts. Lual-Acuil (14.2 PPG) leads the Bears in rebounding (9.2 RPG) and blocked shots (1.8 BPG), while Maston is averaging 10.6 points and 5.7 RPG. Jake Lindsey (4.9 PPG) leads his team in steals (28) and has a 91/33 assist-to-turnover ratio.

-- Baylor is No. 46 in the RPI Rankings, going 2-5 versus the RPI Top 25, 3-7 against the Top 50 and 8-10 versus the Top 100. The Bears have home wins over Kansas, Texas Tech, Texas, Oklahoma State and Iowa State, in addition to a neutral-court triumph over Creighton. They have road wins at Oklahoma State and at Texas.

-- In Joe Lunardi’s latest edition of ‘Bracketology’ posted to ESPN.com early Monday, Baylor was a part of his Last Four In. Lunardi had the Bears slated to face St. Bonaventure in a First Four showdown in Dayton. The winner would take on sixth-seeded Kentucky in Nashville. As for West Virginia, it was slotted as a fifth-seed in San Diego (East Region, though) facing Louisiana for the right to advance and play the 4/13 Ohio State-East Tennessee State survivor.

-- When these teams met in Morgantown on Jan. 9, West Virginia (19-8 SU, 11-12 ATS) captured a 57-54 win but failed to cover the spread as a 10-point home ‘chalk.’ The 111 combined points resulted in a thunder ‘under’ (148 points) to improve to 3-1 in the past four head-to-head meetings between these Big 12 adversaries. Daxter Miles Jr. and Lamont West scored 12 points apiece for the winners, who were outrebounded 43-32 but forced Baylor into 21 turnovers. Sagaba Konate produced eight points, 12 rebounds, seven blocked shots and one steal. Lecomte scored 13 points and grabbed six rebounds for Baylor, while Lual-Acuil finished with 11 points, 10 boards and five blocks.

-- Bob Huggins had every right to be furious in the aftermath of his team’s 77-69 loss Saturday at Kansas as a four-point underdog. West Virginia shot 14-of-26 from 3-point land (53.8%), but it somehow went to the free-throw line merely two times. On the flip side, Kansas went to the charity stripe 35 times. KU made 26 FTs compared to one for WVU. That’s insane and should never happen in a basketball game. Ever!

-- Miles scored 22 points on 6-of-9 shooting from 3-point land at KU. Jevon Carter added 15 points, seven assists, six rebounds and a pair of steals, while Lamont West finished with 11 points.

-- West Virginia is No. 31 in the RPI with its 3-6 record against the Top 25, a 6-6 mark versus the Top 50 and an 11-8 ledger against the Top 100. The Mountaineers have home victories over the likes of Virginia, Oklahoma, Baylor, TCU, Texas and Kansas State, in addition to neutral-floor wins over Missouri and UCF (when Tacko Fall was healthy). They also have road scalps at OU, at Oklahoma State and at K-State.

-- WVU is 4-4 both SU and ATS in eight road assignments.

-- The ‘under’ is 12-7-1 overall for Baylor, 5-4 in its home contests.

-- The ‘under’ is 13-10 overall for WVU, 5-3 in its eight road assignments.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**Kentucky at Arkansas**

-- Arkansas (19-8 SU, 14-13 ATS) extended its winning streak to four games both SU and ATS with Saturday’s 94-75 victory over Texas A&M as a three-point home favorite. Jaylen Barford was the catalyst with 21 points, five rebounds and five assists compared to only one turnover. Daryl Macon had 20 on 4-of-6 shooting from long distance, while Daniel Gafford contributed 18 points, six rebounds and two blocks.

-- As of early this morning, most spots had Arkansas installed as a four-point favorite.

-- Mike Anderson’s team has won 14 of its 15 home games at Bud Walton Arena, compiling a 9-6 spread record.

-- Barford is averaging team-bests in scoring (18.6 PPG) and steals (1.1 SPG). The senior guard is averaging 3.9 rebounds and 2.9 APG, in addition to draining 44.3 percent of his treys. Gafford (11.7 PPG) leads the Hogs in rebounding (6.1 RPG), FG percentage (62.3%) and blocks (2.0 BPG), while Daryl Macon (17.0 PPG) is making 43.4 percent of his 3’s and 87.8 percent of his FTAs. Macon has scored at least 20 points in eight his team’s last nine games. The senior guard has handed out 4.0 APG and made 1.1 SPG.

-- Arkansas is ranked 26th in the nation in scoring (82.8 PPG), 29th in FG percentage (48.4%) and 22nd in 3-point accuracy (39.9%).

-- Arkansas is No. 25 in the RPI with its 3-4 record against the Top 25, a 4-4 record versus the Top 50 and a 10-8 ledger when facing Top-100 opponents. Anderson’s bunch has home scalps over Tennessee, Missouri, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State, South Carolina, Vandy, Fresno State and Bucknell. The Razorbacks have a neutral-court victory over Oklahoma, but that one isn’t aging very well. They have only one road win of note, beating UGA in double overtime at Stegeman Coliseum.

-- Kentucky (18-9 SU,11-16 ATS) ended its four-game winning streak by beating Alabama 81-71 Saturday at Rupp Arena. UK took the cash as a four-point home favorite behind P.J. Washington’s 16 points and five rebounds, while Kevin Knox had 13 points and five boards. Quade Green added 12 points and four assists without a turnover, and Jarred Vanderbilt finished with 11 points, nine boards and two rejections.

-- John Calipari’s team has struggled to a 3-5 record both SU and ATS in eight road assignments.

-- Kentucky is No. 18 in the RPI despite a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 25. UK is 4-7 versus the Top 50 and 13-9 against the Top 100. The ‘Cats own home wins over Louisville, Texas A&M, Va. Tech, Georgia, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Vermont and East Tennessee State. They have road victories at West Virginia, at LSU and at Vandy.

-- Knox leads Kentucky in scoring (15.1 PPG) and rebounding (5.5 RPG). Shad Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 12.7 points, 4.5 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game, while Hamidou Diallo is averaging 11.1 points and 4.0 RPG.

-- Kentucky has won five straight games in this rivalry both SU and ATS, winning by margins of 14 points or more each time. The ‘under’ has cashed in the last four meetings.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (13-13) for the Razorbacks, with the ‘over’ going 8-6 in their home games. They’ve seen the ‘under’ hit at a 5-2 clip in their past seven outings.

-- The ‘over’ is 14-12 overall for the ‘Cats, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 5-3 in their eight road contests.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Nebraska saw its incredible 16-1 ATS run hit a speed bump Sunday at Illinois. Brad Underwood’s team halted a six-game winning streak for Tim Miles’s squad by rallying from a five-point second-half deficit to win a 72-66 decision. Illinois led by seven at intermission, but Nebraska went on a 16-4 roll to start the second half. The Illini covered as a one-point home favorite. With the loss, the Cornhuskers were left as a part of Lunardi’s First Four Out. They return to action tonight vs. Indiana at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the Big Ten Network. The Hoosiers have ripped off four straight outright wins, five consecutive covers and are on a remarkable 11-2 ATS run. Also, they’ve watched the ‘under’ go 12-3-1 in their past 16 games. As of early this morning, most books had Nebraska favored by four points. The Cornhuskers are 14-1 SU and 11-2 ATS at home this season.

-- Devonte’ Graham erupted for 23 points, seven assists, five rebounds and two steals to lead Kansas to Monday’s 104-74 win over Oklahoma as a nine-point home favorite. KU avenged a January loss in Norman thanks in large part to Malik Newman, the Mississippi State transfer who produced 20 points, three rebounds, two steals and five assists without a turnover. OU’s Trae Young was limited to 11 points and nine assists with five turnovers. The soon-to-be lottery pick hit just 3-of-13 FGAs and 1-of-5 from downtown.

-- LSU will play host to Vanderbilt at 9:00 p.m. Eastern tonight on the SEC Network. The Commodores are winless in nine road games with a 3-6 ATS record. Bryce Drew’s club has won five home games in a row, but it still hasn’t been able to get over the hump outside of Nashville. Vandy was a 4.5-point underdog early this morning. LSU will be looking to avenge a 77-71 loss to the ‘Dores as a two-point road underdog on Jan. 20. The 148 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 144.5-point total. Riley LaChance dropped 26 points on the Tigers and had six rebounds and three assists without a turnover. LaChance had 21 points, five assists and four boards in Saturday’s 71-68 come-from-behind win over Florida. The senior guard has been in double figures in eight of Vandy’s past nine games, producing 19 points or more in five of those. LSU is 11-4 SU and 8-4 ATS at home.

-- Auburn’s dream season took a major blow in Saturday’s loss at South Carolina. Anfernee McLemore, the team’s rim protector who leads the SEC in blocked shots (2.7 BPG), was lost to a season-ending injury that’ll keep him out 4-6 months. McLemore was averaging 7.4 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. The Tigers return to action Wednesday at home vs. Alabama.

-- Minnesota backers took a brutal Bad Beat in last night’s 73-63 loss at Wisconsin in overtime. The Badgers miraculously covered the number as 7.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Richard Pitino’s team has lost nine in a row while going 1-8 ATS. The Gophers haven’t tasted a victory since an OT triumph at Penn State on Jan. 15.

-- Texas Tech star Keenan Evans is ‘questionable’ (toe) for Wednesday’s game at Oklahoma State. Evans is averaging 18.2 points, 3.3 assists, 2.9 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game.

-- Nevada incurred a big loss during its 77-72 win over Boise State at Taco Bell Arena on Valentine’s Day. Lindsey Drew, the junior guard out of Fairfax High School in Encino, went down with a season-ending Achilles injury. Drew was averaging 8.1 points, 4.3 assists, 4.1 rebounds and 1.0 steals per game.

-- After his Ole Miss team was blown out Saturday at Mississippi State, Andy Kennedy announced that he would start his resignation immediately. Kennedy, who won 20 games nine times during his 12-year tenure in Oxford, initially announced his resignation to be effective at the end of the season last Monday.

-- Mississippi State has covered the spread in seven consecutive games. As of early this morning, Ben Howland’s squad was listed as a 6.5-point underdog for tonight’s crucial game at Texas A&M. The Bulldogs have won at South Carolina, lost in OT at Missouri in controversial fashion and been beaten at the buzzer by Vandy it their past three road outings. The Aggies are 12-2 SU and 5-6 ATS at home. MSU might without Aric Holman, who was ‘questionable’ this morning after leaving Saturday’s 79-62 win over Ole Miss with a leg injury. Holman is averaging 11.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.4 blocked shots per game.

-- Texas A&M’s Duane Wilson, the grad transfer from Marquette, is ‘out’ for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Wilson was averaging 9.0 points, 4.0 assists and 2.1 rebounds per game.

-- Already down Martin Krampelj to a season-ending injury, Creighton lost Jacob Epperson for the rest of the year during Saturday’s rare home loss to Marquette. Krampelj was the Bluejays third-leading scorer (11.9 PPG), top rebounder (8.1 RPG) and had a team-best 67.1 FG percentage. Epperson missed the first 2.5 months of the season before returning in the last six games. He was starting to hit his stride in the last two games, scoring with 29 points in only 26 minutes of playing time. As of early this a.m., Greg McDermott’s team was listed as a 4.5-point underdog tonight at Butler.