Announcement

**Udog** · 11-04-2017, 08:01 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

More college football trends with Week 9 upon us…….

— UCF covered four of last five games as a road favorite.

— Kansas State is 20-6 in its last 26 games as a road underdog.

— Virginia is 20-12 in its last 32 games as an underdog.

— Texas coach Herman covered his last eight games as an underdog.

— Maryland is 5-11 vs spread in its last sixteen games.

— East Carolina is 2-8-1 in its last 11 games as a road underdog.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend

13) Drew Stanton-CJ Beathard is the QB match-up for Cardinals-49ers Sunday; I’m guessing 49ers will start Jimmy Garoppolo after their bye week.

Arizona is 3-4, with wins by 3-3-5 points; they lost two of their three true road games. Cardinals are 1-4 when they allow 28+ points, 2-0 when they allow less.

12) Oklahoma-Oklahoma State should be a fun game; Sooners are 12-2 in last 14 series games, 5-1 in last six visits to Stillwater, but Cowboys may have the better team this time around.

11) Way back in 1960, the Chiefs franchise started out as the Dallas Texans; now Tony Romo and the Chiefs make their return to Dallas, Romo in the CBS broadcast booth. Ezekiel Elliott is back in the lineup now; did they plan for him to play this week, or do they need to make last-minute changes?

10) Florida State is 2-5; they’re favored by only 4.5 points at home against Syracuse. Seminoles looked that they quit a little bit in Boston last week- they just need a win for their own mental health. Syracuse is 4-4 and fighting to get into a bowl.

9) Brock Osweiler starts at QB for the Broncos, who are on the road for the third week in a row. Denver drafted Paxton Lynch last year, but he just got healthy enough to play and obviously they don’t think that much of him right now.

8) How is 0-8 Baylor an 8-point road favorite? Is Kansas that bad? Neither team has beaten a I-A opponent this season— Baylor lost at home to I-AA Liberty.

7) Sports are fun because unusual things happen; who would’ve thought that Kyle Kuzma would be the Lakers’ best rookie so far this young season? (No one). The Utah alum is scoring 14 ppg through Lakers’ first eight games.

6) TCU has pounded on Texas the last three years, winning by a combined score of 129-26. Texas is 4-4, but only one of the Longhorns’ four losses was by more than five points.

5) Buccaneers are struggling at 2-5; New Orleans won its last five games. Bucs got their first-ever win in the Superdome, 39 years ago, after starting out their franchise history 0-26.

4) Unbeaten Miami is a pick ’em at home with Virginia Tech; favorites covered last three series games– even spread says Tech is the better team here. Hokies are 4-3 SU in their last seven visits to Miami.

3) Lions are 1-22 in their last 23 visits to Green Bay, plus three more losses in Milwaukee before that; they’re a road favorite in Lambeau, but with Brett Hundley at QB for the Packers. Green Bay was outscored 28-3 in second half of the two games since Rodgers got hurt.

2) Arizona covered five of its last six visits to USC; Wildcats lost their last four games with USC, but 3 of those 4 losses were by 8 or less points.

1) There was great joy in Houston Wednesday night, when the Astros won the World Series, then Deshaun Watson tore his ACL in practice Thursday, which effectively ended the Texans’ season. Expectations are low for Tom Savage’s return to the lineup; the line for this game dropped from 14 to 7 within hours of Watson’s injury becoming public.

**Udog** · 11-04-2017, 08:36 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 4

Memphis @ LA Clippers

Game 501-502
November 4, 2017 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
124.270
LA Clippers
121.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
N/A

Sacramento @ Detroit

Game 503-504
November 4, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.961
Detroit
117.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 5
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 9
197
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+9); Over

New Orleans @ Chicago

Game 505-506
November 4, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
123.920
Chicago
113.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 10
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-6); Over

Dallas @ Minnesota

Game 507-508
November 4, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
105.542
Minnesota
124.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 19
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 13 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-13 1/2); Over

Golden State @ Denver

Game 509-510
November 4, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.883
Denver
119.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-8 1/2); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 4

Clippers won seven of last nine games with Memphis, covering four of last five. Last three series games went over total. Grizzlies are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games played here. Memphis is 5-3 to start season, splitting two road games. Under is 6-1-1 in Memphis games. Clippers are 5-2 to start season, but both losses were at home (3-2 SU, 3-1 as HF). Five of their seven games stayed under the total.

Kings won three of last four games with Detroit; home side won four of last five series games. Sacramento is 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Kings lost their last six games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four road games. Under is 5-3 in their games this season. Detroit won four of last five games; three of their last four stayed under the total. Pistons are 2-1 as home favorites.

Bulls won their last six games with New Orleans, covering four of last five; Pelicans are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City (under 3-2). New Orleans is 3-2 in its last five games, 3-2 on road, 1-0 as a road favorite. Over is 2-3 in their road games. Bulls are 2-5 to start the season; their last four games stayed under the total. Chicago is 1-1 as a home underdog.

Dallas won eight of last ten games with Minnesota (7-3 vs spread); they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Mavericks lost nine of their first 10 games; they’re 1-3 as road underdogs. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Minnesota won its last three games, by 3-3-6 points; over is 6-1-1 in their games. Underdogs covered all three of their home games (0-2 as HF).

Golden State won six of last eight games with Denver, but Nuggets covered four of last five; last nine series games went over total. Warriors won five of their last six games; they covered last three road games. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Denver beat Miami by a point Friday; they won four of last five games, are 3-1 at home, with only loss by 5 to Washington. Three of their last four games went over.

NBA

Saturday, November 4

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Trend Report
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MEMPHIS @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

SACRAMENTO @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Detroit's last 14 games at home

NEW ORLEANS @ CHICAGO
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

DALLAS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

GOLDEN STATE @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Golden State

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**Udog** · 11-04-2017, 11:06 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 4

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MEMPHIS (5 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 2) - 11/4/2017, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (1 - 7) at DETROIT (6 - 3) - 11/4/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 158-200 ATS (-62.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DETROIT is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 111-158 ATS (-62.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 5) at CHICAGO (2 - 5) - 11/4/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 261-315 ATS (-85.5 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 124-170 ATS (-63.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 60-96 ATS (-45.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 9) at MINNESOTA (5 - 3) - 11/4/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 381-316 ATS (+33.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 483-408 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 266-218 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (6 - 3) at DENVER (5 - 4) - 11/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 171-220 ATS (-71.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/4

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/4

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