The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 24

76ers won five of last seven games with Minnesota; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Wolves are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Minnesota won four of last six games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 2-6 on road if they played night before. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Philly won its last five games; they’re 13-3 in last 16 games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

Home side won last six Chicago-Detroit games; Bulls are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Chicago lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 games as road underdogs, 1-3 on road if they played night before. Three of last four Bulls games went over. Pistons lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 4-3 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Road team won six of last seven Phoenix-Orlando games; Suns covered their last four visits to Orlando. Three of last four series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last ten games (2-8 vs spread); they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Magic lost eight of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 as home favorites this year. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won six of last seven Memphis-Laker games; LA is 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Memphis. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Lakers lost their last four games; they’re 1-1 as road favorites this year. Four of their last five games stayed under. Memphis lost 22 of its last 23 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as home underdogs. Five of their last six games went over the total.

Rockets won seven of last nine games with New Orleans; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Houston. New Orleans won its last four games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Rockets won their last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Dallas/Charlotte split their last ten games; under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Hornets covered three of their last four visits to Dallas. Charlotte won its last two games after a 2-6 skid; over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Hornets are 6-3 as road favorites this season. Mavericks lost their last four games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home underdogs. Last four Dallas games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, March 24

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Trend Report
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MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

CHICAGO @ DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games

PHOENIX @ ORLANDO
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Orlando's last 22 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games

LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

CHARLOTTE @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Dallas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Charlotte

[StarDust Bum]

Pro Basketball Trend Report

MINNESOTA (42 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 30) - 3/24/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 367-432 ATS (-108.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (24 - 48) at DETROIT (32 - 40) - 3/24/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX (19 - 54) at ORLANDO (21 - 51) - 3/24/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS (31 - 40) at MEMPHIS (19 - 53) - 3/24/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW ORLEANS (43 - 30) at HOUSTON (58 - 14) - 3/24/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHARLOTTE (32 - 41) at DALLAS (22 - 50) - 3/24/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 408-333 ATS (+41.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, MARCH 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at PHI 06:00 PM
MIN +7.5
U 223.0

PHO at ORL 07:00 PM
PHO +7.0
O 216.0

CHI at DET 07:00 PM
CHI +13.0
U 210.5

LAL at MEM 08:00 PM
LAL -6.5
U 215.5

NO at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU -7.5
O 225.0

CHA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +2.5
U 214.5

[StarDust Bum]

Simmons has triple-double, 76ers beat Timberwolves
March 24, 2018

PHILADELPHIA (AP) Ben Simmons had a triple-double, Joel Embiid dazzled while getting the better of Karl-Anthony Towns, and the Philadelphia 76ers inched closer to their first playoff berth in six years with a 120-108 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday night.

Simmons had 15 points, 12 rebounds and 13 assists for the 10th triple-double of his rookie season. Embiid scored 19 points, and had a left-handed block of Towns, a 3-pointer and a windmill dunk in the Sixers' 20-4 run to start the third quarter.

Dario Saric added 18 points as the Sixers (42-30) won their sixth straight game, ensured a winning season and moved within one win or Detroit loss from their first postseason appearance since 2012.

Andrew Wiggins scored 16 points, and Towns had 15 points and 11 rebounds, but shot just 3 of 15 from the field. Minnesota had won two in a row.

ROCKETS 114, PELICANS 91

HOUSTON (AP) - James Harden scored 27 points in three quarters and Houston routed New Orleans Pelicans for its eighth straight victory.

The NBA-leading Rockets improved to 59-14 to overtake the 1993-94 championship team for the most wins in franchise history.

Houston never trailed and already had a huge lead to start the fourth before scoring seven straight points early in the period to make it 92-63 with 10 minutes remaining. Clint Capela had four points and a steal to lead Houston in that stretch. Capela finished with 18 points, 16 rebounds, three steals and tied a career high with six blocks.

Anthony Davis, who also sat out the fourth quarter with the game out of reach, led New Orleans with 25 points and had eight rebounds and four blocks.

PISTONS 117, BULLS 95

DETROIT (AP) - Anthony Tolliver scored 25 points, and Detroit made 13 3-pointers in the first half to rout Chicago.

The Pistons have won three of four, with the only loss in that span in overtime at Houston, but Detroit still trails Milwaukee by 5 1/2 games for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

Andre Drummond had 15 points and 20 rebounds for Detroit. It was his 16th game this season with at least 20 rebounds and the 50th of his career.

Denzel Valentine led the Bulls with 18 points. They have lost five straight.

HORNETS 102, MAVERICKS 98

DALLAS (AP) - Dwight Howard had 23 rebounds and 18 points to cap an eventful four days and Charlotte held off Dallas for it third straight victory.

Howard had a career-high 30 rebounds and scored 32 points against Brooklyn on Wednesday night, then served a one-game suspension for his 16th technical foul of the season as Charlotte beat Memphis 140-79 on Thursday night. Kemba Walker had 24 points for the Hornets.

Harrison Barnes had 18 points for Dallas.

LAKERS 100, GRIZZLIES 93

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Kyle Kuzma scored 15 of his 25 points in the fourth quarter and had 10 rebounds, and Los Angeles overcame a slow start to beat Memphis.

Julius Randle added 20 points and 11 rebounds to help the Lakers end a four-game losing streak. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored 18 points, and Lonzo Ball had 12 points and 10 assists.

Andrew Harrison led the Grizzlies with 20 points and nine assists.

MAGIC 105, SUNS 99

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Aaron Gordon had 29 points and 11 rebounds in Orlando's victory over Phoenix.

Nikola Vucevic added 24 points and nine rebounds, and D.J. Augustin nearly had his first triple-double of the season with 15 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. The Magic had lost three in a row.

Phoenix has lost 11 straight and 26 of 28. Josh Jackson led the Suns with 18 points, Alex Len had 15, and Tyler Ulis and former Magic guard Elfrid Payton added 14 apiece.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MARCH 25, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
1:00 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
3:30 PM San Antonio Spurs Milwaukee Bucks BMO Harris Bradley Center
5:00 PM Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
6:00 PM Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
6:00 PM Los Angeles Clippers Toronto Raptors Air Canada Centre
6:00 PM New York Knicks Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
7:00 PM Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Chesapeake Energy Arena
8:00 PM Atlanta Hawks Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:30 PM Utah Jazz Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


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Sunday’s 6-pack

Over/under totals for pitching wins this year:

16.5 Max Scherzer

15.5 Justin Verlander

14.5 David Price

13.5 Kyle Hendricks

13.5 Noah Syndergaard

12.5 Johnny Cueto

Quote of the Day
“I really think it could be a record-type thing, this could be another 10 years. Coach (Saban) is extremely healthy, he takes care of himself and you know, people are supposed to lose things as they get up there in age but he doesn’t at all. He doesn’t slow down. He drives himself — he works harder than anyone in the building, regardless of whether it’s a 25-year-old or not. I think him stopping would only be because… by choice he wanted, not for any other reason. He ain’t going to slow down.”
Lane Kiffin, talking about Nick Saban

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the last offensive player the Jets drafted in the first round?

Saturday’s quiz
Lance Alworth, the great WR from the Chargers, was the first player from the AFL inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Friday’s quiz
Kevin Bacon played the losing lawyer in the climactic scene of A Few Good Men.

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Sunday’s List of 13: Random weekend stuff…..

13) Loyola, Chi 79, Kansas State 62— Much like #11-seeds George Mason in 2006 and VCU in 2011, who both came from the CAA, Ramblers come from the relative obscurity of the MVC to make the Final Four. No one saw this coming.

Not only has Loyola won four NCAA tourney games, they had to win the MVC tournament or they would’ve been playing in the NIT.

Ramblers didn’t have to play #2-seed Cincinnati after the Bearcats blew a 22-point lead to Nevada. #1-seed Virginia lost to a damn #16-seed, and Loyola took advantage of all that.

Loyola’s first three NCAA tournament wins were by total of four points:
— Ramblers were down 60-55 with 2:46 left in first round vs Miami.
— Loyola needed a lucky bounce on a jumper with 0:03.6 left to nip Tennessee, 63-62
— Loyola was down 20-8 early against Nevada, hung on at the end of its 69-68 win.

12) By way of comparison, two of George Mason’s four NCAA tourney wins in 2011 were by double figures- they were an underdog in three of the four games.

VCU had to win an additional play-in game, but four of their five NCAA tourney wins were by double figure margins- they were an underdog in all five of those wins.

11) A final question on the George Mason/VCU thing; does Porter Moser jump for bigger money? He’ll be in demand. Neither coach at Mason/VCU bolted right away.

In 2006, Jim Larranaga was coach at George Mason; he went 107-59 at Mason the next five years, then jumped to Miami, the ACC and a lot more money.

In 2011, Shaka Smart was VCU’s coach; he went 109-35 the next four years before going to Texas and the big $$$ of the Big X.

10) Michigan 58, Florida State 54— Seminoles went 8:00 without a basket down stretch, then made some questionable decisions on who to foul in last 1:30.

Unusual stat; in the West Region final the last 21 years, underdogs are 17-4 vs spread.

9) I love a good coincidence; USC just hired an assistant basketball coach who has two sons, both of whom are 6-10 or taller and are both in high school. Go figure.

Trojans hired Eric Mobley, an AAU coach for the last 11 years. From ESPN.com:

“His oldest son, Isaiah, is a 6-foot-10 high school junior and the No. 44-ranked prospect in the Class of 2019, while his youngest son, Evan, is 6-foot-10 and considered one of the top players in the country in the Class of 2020.”

I wonder where they’ll go to college?

8) Steph Curry is out with Grade 2 MCL sprain; he might be back for the start of the playoffs.

7) Ferris State 71, Northern State 69— Fun game to watch, for the D2 national title.

Ferris State’s president played the clarinet in the school band during this game. I’m guessing the university president at Kentucky or Duke doesn’t still play in the school band.

Ferris State’s mascot is a bulldog; I’m disappointed they’re not the Ferris Wheels.

6) Dustin Johnson hit a golf ball 489 yards Friday; seriously, he was on a 573-yard par-5 and was 84 yards from the hole for his second shot.

5) It bothers me when baseball teams shift and leave third base totally uncovered; they’re just giving up a base hit to anyone with the basic ability to bunt.

I can see doing it against powerful lefties like Bryce Harper or Freddie Freeman, but against guys who aren’t so great, to me it is just overthinking something that is fairly simple. Maybe the analytics people are trying to justify their position by micromanaging too much.

4) Apparently it costs $30 to park at A’s games this season; for their four home games with the Giants, it’ll cost $50 to park unless you say “Go A’s!!!” at the gate. Trolling Giants’ fans seems a little immature. Paying $30 to park seems a bit excessive.

3) There are rumors around that Gonzaga will be jumping from the WCC to the Mountain West as early as next season, which would give the MW an even dozen teams. Gonzaga is supposed to announce their decision in the next two weeks.

2) #1-seed Kansas is an underdog to Duke today; the previous nine #1-seeds who got points in the regional final went 2-7 SU, 3-6 against the spread.

1) Few years ago, I was at an AAU basketball tournament at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas; I’m sitting in bleachers watching this game when one of the coaches takes his cellphone out while play was going on, looks at a text message, then glares at the couple sitting in front of me and says:

“If you text me again, he’ll never get in!!!!”

Can’t make stuff like that up.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 25

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CLEVELAND (43 - 29) at BROOKLYN (23 - 50) - 3/25/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-40 ATS (-30.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (43 - 30) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 34) - 3/25/2018, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (39 - 34) at INDIANA (42 - 31) - 3/25/2018, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 87-64 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (49 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 49) - 3/25/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (26 - 47) at WASHINGTON (40 - 32) - 3/25/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (38 - 34) at TORONTO (54 - 19) - 3/25/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 218-274 ATS (-83.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 193-242 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (44 - 28) at OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 30) - 3/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in March games this season.
PORTLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-42 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (21 - 52) at HOUSTON (58 - 14) - 3/25/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (41 - 32) at GOLDEN STATE (54 - 18) - 3/25/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 95-65 ATS (+23.5 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 25

Cavaliers won six of last seven games with the Nets; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Cleveland won its last four games, covered its last three; they’re 3-12 vs spread in last 15 games as road favorites. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Brooklyn lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as home dogs. Four of last five Net games went over.

Road side won five of last six Spur-Buck games; San Antonio covered four of its last five visits to Milwaukee (over 3-2). Spurs won/covered their last six games, which were all at home; they lost seven of their last eight road games. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Milwaukee lost three of its last five games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine games, 3-2 in last five at home. Bucks’ last seven games went over total.

Miami won six of last eight games with the Pacers; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Last three series games went over the total. Heat won three of their last four games; they’re 5-1-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Indiana lost three of its last five games; they covered last seven games as home favorites. Nine of their last ten games stayed under total.

Celtics won four of last five games with Sacramento; home side won nine of last 10 series games. Celtics are 2-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Boston won three of its last four games; they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five games as road favorites. Three of last four Celtic games went under. Kings won four of last six home games; they’re 4-10 in last 14 games as home underdogs. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Knicks lost their last eight games with Washington (1-7 vs spread); they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games in this arena. Seven of last nine series games went over total. New York lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Wizards lost four of their last six games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.

Clippers lost five of last seven games with Toronto; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Canada (over 3-2). Clippers lost five of their last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over the total. Raptors won eight of their last ten games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

Portland won/covered its last five games with the Thunder; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oklahoma, three of which went over total. Trailblazers lost their last two games after a 13-game win streak; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Oklahoma City won seven of its last eight games; they’re 3-1-1 in last five games as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Rockets lost seven of last eight games with Atlanta, which is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under. Hawks lost eight of their last nine games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as road underdogs. Last three Atlanta games stayed under. Houston won 24 of its last 25 games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.

Golden State won eight of last ten games with Utah; four of last five series games went over the total. Jazz is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Utah won eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Golden State is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re home underdog for first time all year, with Curry-Thompson-Durant all out. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, March 25

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Trend Report
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CLEVELAND @ BROOKLYN
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Brooklyn is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

SAN ANTONIO @ MILWAUKEE
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

MIAMI @ INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 13 games

BOSTON @ SACRAMENTO
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

NEW YORK @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Washington
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New York

LA CLIPPERS @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

PORTLAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

ATLANTA @ HOUSTON
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

UTAH @ GOLDEN STATE
Utah is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Utah is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Utah

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 25


Cleveland @ Brooklyn

Game 701-702
March 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
120.120
Brooklyn
116.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7
228
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+7); Over

San Antonio @ Milwaukee

Game 703-704
March 25, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
00.000
Milwaukee
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio

Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
( );

Miami @ Indiana

Game 705-706
March 25, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
118.724
Indiana
124.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-3); Over

Boston @ Sacramento

Game 707-708
March 25, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.313
Sacramento
113.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6); Under

New York @ Washington

Game 709-710
March 25, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.787
Washington
118.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10
217
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+10); Under

LA Clippers @ Toronto

Game 711-712
March 25, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.723
Toronto
122.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
226
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+9); Under

Portland @ Oklahoma City

Game 713-714
March 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
120.768
Oklahoma City
126.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-2); Over

Atlanta @ Houston

Game 715-716
March 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
00.000
Houston
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta

Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
( );

Utah @ Golden State

Game 717-718
March 25, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.579
Golden State
121.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+4 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, MARCH 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CLE at BK 01:00 PM
BK +6.5
U 228.5

SA at MIL 03:30 PM
SA -2.5
U 205.0

MIA at IND 05:00 PM
MIA +4.0
U 205.5

NY at WAS 06:00 PM
NY +9.5
O 217.0

LAC at TOR 06:00 PM
TOR -8.5
O 225.5

BOS at SAC 06:00 PM
BOS -6.5
U 199.0

POR at OKC 07:00 PM
POR +3.5
O 216.0

ATL at HOU 08:00 PM
ATL +12.5
U 217.0

UTA at GS 08:30 PM
UTA -5.5
O 201.5

[StarDust Bum]

Cavaliers top Nets for 5th straight win
March 25, 2018

HOUSTON (AP) James Harden had a triple-double with 18 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds in three quarters and the Houston Rockets rolled to their 60th victory, beating the Atlanta Hawks 118-99 on Sunday night.

It was the second straight game where the Rockets never trailed after a rout of New Orleans on Saturday night that set a franchise record for wins in a season. The NBA-leading Rockets have won nine straight and became the 18th team in NBA history to reach 60 wins in the 74th game of the season.

Houston was up by 24 at halftime and the Hawks cut into the lead with a solid third quarter, but never really threatened, allowing Harden to watch the final quarter from the bench for the second night in a row.

Taurean Prince scored 28 and Isaiah Taylor had 26 for the Hawks, who have lost three in a row and nine of their last 10.

Harden, who had 12 assists by halftime, had his fourth triple-double this season and the 35th of his career.

CAVALIERS 121, NETS 114

NEW YORK (AP) - LeBron James had 37 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Brooklyn Nets for their fifth straight victory.

James kept up his latest sensational stretch by going 14 for 19 from the floor. He reached 2,000 points in a season for the 10th time, joining Karl Malone and Michael Jordan as the only players in NBA history to do that.

Kevin Love added 20 points and 15 rebounds for the Cavaliers, who came in averaging 122.5 points during the streak and just about reached that even with a slow start.

Former Cavs guard Joe Harris scored a career-high 30 points for the Nets, who lost their third straight.

BUCKS 106, SPURS 103

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo returned from an ankle injury to score 25 points, and the Milwaukee Bucks held on in the final few minutes after building a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter against the San Antonio Spurs.

Antetokounmpo added 10 rebounds to pick up his 37th double-double of the season.

The Spurs trailed by 15 points with 8 minutes left before rallying to get within three with 35 seconds left on Pau Gasol's putback. Eric Bledsoe missed a 3-pointer on the other end for the Bucks. San Antonio rushed down court to get one last shot off, but Milwaukee's Khris Middleton blocked Dejounte Murray's 3-point attempt from the right wing with 3.7 seconds left.

The loss snapped the Spurs' six-game winning streak. LaMarcus Aldridge scored 34 points.

CELTICS 104, KINGS 93

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) - Terry Rozier scored a season-high 33 points and nearly matched the Celtics' franchise record for 3-pointers, Jaylen Brown made consecutive buckets to break open a close game in the fourth quarter, and Boston held on to beat the Sacramento Kings.

Making his sixth start in place of injured All-Star point guard Kyrie Irving, Rozier shot 12 of 16, including 8 of 12 on 3s, in the rookie's most impressive game of the season. Rozier, who had been averaging 16.2 points in Irving's absence, also had five rebounds and three assists. The eight 3s were one shy of the Celtics' single-game record of nine shared by Isaiah Thomas and Antoine Walker.

Brown had 19 points in his return after missing two weeks with a concussion.

Buddy Hield scored 24 points for Sacramento.

JAZZ 110, WARRIORS 91

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Rudy Gobert had 17 points and 15 rebounds and the Utah Jazz pulled away from the undermanned, injury-plagued Golden State Warriors in the third quarter on the way to a victory.

Quinn Cook had 17 points and eight assists as defending champion Golden State played without its four injured All-Stars and was forced to use yet another makeshift starting lineup. Before the game, Warriors coach Steve Kerr ruled out Stephen Curry for the first round of the playoffs because of a sprained left knee - while Curry vowed to do everything in his rehab power to prove Kerr wrong and return sooner.

Donovan Mitchell scored 21 points for the Jazz, coming off a four-point overtime loss at San Antonio on Friday. Joe Ingles added 14 points with four 3-pointers, eight assists and six rebounds.

PACERS 113, HEAT 107, OT

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - Victor Oladipo had 23 points and five assists to help the Indiana Pacers clinch a playoff berth.

Thaddeus Young had 22 points, nine rebounds and five steals, and Bojan Bogdanovic added 18 points and eight rebounds for the Pacers, who secured their seventh appearance in the postseason in the last eight seasons.

Tyler Johnson made five 3-pointers and finished with 19 points, James Johnson had 15 points and nine rebounds, and Bam Adebayo added 14 points for the Heat, who split the four-game season series.

Miami coach Erik Spoelstra missed the first game of his career, leaving Indianapolis on Saturday after learning his wife Nikki was entering labor. Assistant coach Dan Craig filled in and Spoelstra is expected to return for Miami's home game against Cleveland on Tuesday.

KNICKS 101, WIZARDS 97

WASHINGTON (AP) - Trey Burke scored 19 points in his first start in exactly three years, leading eight players in double figures as the New York Knicks defeated the wavering Washington Wizards.

Courtney Lee added eight of his 13 points in the fourth quarter to send the Wizards to a third straight loss. It's the second three-game skid of the season for Washington and both have come in the latter portion of a 26-game stretch without All-Star point guard John Wall, who underwent surgery on his left knee in late January. Wall returned to full-contact practice on Saturday.

Bradley Beal scored 14 points, but shot just 5 of 17 for Washington, which led only once after the early stages of the second quarter. Otto Porter Jr. added 13 points and 10 rebounds as the Wizards remained in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, but lost for the eighth time in their last 12 games.

CLIPPERS 117, RAPTORS 106

TORONTO (AP) - Lou Williams scored 26 points against his former team, Tobias Harris had 20 and the Los Angeles Clippers overcame an 18-point first-quarter deficit to beat the Toronto Raptors.

Montrezl Harrell scored 19 points and Milos Teodosic had 15 as the Clippers boosted their playoff hopes by winning for the second time in seven games and snapping a three-game losing streak north of the border. Austin Rivers scored 11 points and DeAndre Jordan had 14 rebounds to help the Clippers wrap up a four-game road trip on a winning note. Los Angeles went 2-2 on the trip, and has won 13 of 20 on the road.

Jonas Valanciunas had 16 points and 10 rebounds for the Raptors, who dropped to 30-7 at home, the best mark in the NBA. It was a tough night for Toronto All-Stars DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry. DeRozan scored 11 points, making three of 12 field goal attempts. Lowry had 11 points and eight assists, shooting 4 for 9.

TRAIL BLAZERS 108, THUNDER 105

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - C.J. McCollum scored 34 points to help the Portland Trail Blazers edge the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Damian Lillard scored 24 points, and Jusuf Nurkic added 17 points and 12 rebounds for the Trail Blazers, who swept all four games with the Thunder this season. Portland doubled its lead to games over the Thunder for third place in the Western Conference.

Russell Westbrook led the Thunder with 23 points, nine assists and eight rebounds. Steven Adams had 18 points and 10 rebounds, and Jerami Grant added 17 point.

Oklahoma City got possession trailing by two with 18.5 seconds remaining. Oklahoma City's Carmelo Anthony got trapped in the corner and forced his way through before turning the ball over. Westbrook fouled Portland's Al-Farouq Aminu with 7 seconds to play. Aminu made the first free throw and missed the second, giving the Thunder one more chance. Anthony missed a 3-pointer as time expired.

[StarDust Bum]

CHEDULE FOR MONDAY MARCH 26, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Denver Nuggets Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
7:00 PM Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
7:00 PM New York Knicks Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center
8:00 PM Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Target Center
10:00 PM Boston Celtics Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena

*********************

March NBA Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/25/2018 5-12-1 29.41% -41.00
03/24/2018 5-7-0 41.67% -13.50
03/23/2018 4-15-1 21.05% -62.50
03/22/2018 10-2-0 83.33% +39.00
03/21/2018 8-7-1 53.33% +1.50
03/20/2018 9-5-0 64.29% +17.50
03/19/2018 10-6-0 62.50% +17.00
03/18/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
03/17/2018 9-13-0 40.91% -26.50
03/16/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
03/15/2018 5-13-0 27.78% -46.50
03/14/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00


Totals...........163 - 182......47.24%....- 96.00

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack

How low-seeded teams have done in national semi-finals:

2006: George Mason (11-seed) lost 73-58 to Florida (-6)
2011: VCU (11-seed) lost 70-62 to Butler (-2.5)
2016: Syracuse (10-seed) lost 83-66 to North Carolina (-9.5)
2013; Wichita St (9-seed) lost 72-68 to Louisville (-10)
2000: Wisconsin (8-seed) lost 53-41 to Michigan St (-8)
2000: North Carolina (8-seed) lost 71-59 to Florida (-5)
2011: Butler (8-seed) beat VCU 70-62 (-2.5)
2014: Kentucky (8-seed) beat Wisconsin 74-73 (+1)

Quote of the Day
“Hopefully, I prove what coach said was wrong and put myself in position to get back as soon as possible,. But right now, who knows? Just try to do my job in the rehab process and get back as soon as I can.”
Stephen Curry, hoping to return before the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs

Monday’s quiz
Where did Klay Thompson play his college basketball?

Sunday’s quiz
QB Mark Sanchez (2009) was the last offensive player the Jets drafted in the first round.

Saturday’s quiz
Lance Alworth, the great WR from the Chargers, was the first player from the AFL inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

***********************

Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Kansas 85, Duke 81 OT— Jayhawks were 13-36 on arc in this game, 17-33 inside the arc; Newman scored 32 points and Kansas is headed to the Alamo for the Final Four.

Grayson Allen went 3-13 in his last college game; Mavin Bagley was 5-9 in 44:00- if you’re coaching Duke, you’re sick that Bagley got only nine shots in a game this close, especially since he’ll never play for Duke again.

12) Villanova 71, Texas Tech 59— Wildcats were 29-35 on foul line; Tech was 14-18 in game where teams combined to go 9-44 on arc. Villanova is in Final Four for second time in three years; they’re 11-1 in last 12 NCAA tournament games.

11) Final Four pointspreads:
Michigan (-5.5) over Loyola-Chicago
Villanova (-5) over Kansas

10) Since 1987, when two #1-seeds play in the national semifinals, the underdogs are 8-2 against the spread.

9) Was thinking about Gonzaga’s potential move to the Mountain West; I have no idea why they would do that. Gonzaga doesn’t have football, so their TV deal for basketball would only net them an additional $375,000 a year— not much at all.

Mountain West is a better league, but hardly a power league; only reason they got two teams in the NCAA’s this year is because Nevada got beat in the conference tournament. Gonzaga is the king of the WCC; its good to be the king- they’re like UNLV was in the Big West during the peak years of Jerry Tarkanian’s coaching tenure in Las Vegas.

To me, adding Gonzaga would really help the Mountain West, not sure how it helps Gonzaga.

8) Saturday night, Florida State was down 58-54 in the last 0:15; they missed a 3-pointer, then didn’t foul in the last 10 or 11 seconds, and Michigan ran out the clock.

The non-foul occurred right in front of the FSU bench; it seemed like someone on the bench told the Seminole player not to foul, so they let the game end, despite a foul giving them a (very small) chance to win the game. A small chance is still a chance; it happens. Ask Louisville.

As you know, I spend a ridiculous amount of time watching college basketball; can’t remember a situation like this happening before, especially a team whose season ends with a loss. Why give up?

Leonard Hamilton wasn’t happy when he was asked about it after the game. If I was the AD at Florida State, I’d be asking him about it again when we met back in Tallahassee.

7) Duke was down five with 0:11 left in OT Sunday; unlike Florida State, they fouled.

6) Atlanta Braves cut P Scott Kazmir, eating $16M he is owed this year. Kazmir had a rough outing Saturday, blamed it on a 90-100 bullpen session he threw Wednesday, saying he didn’t know he’d be pitching Saturday. Now he is out of a job, though he still gets paid.

5) Phillies gave 2B prospect Scott Kingery a 6-year, $24M contract, which eliminates service time as an issue in making Kingery a major leaguer right now.

Lot of teams delay bringing their prospects up to the majors, to delay their arbitration years from kicking in.

4) Then there is Arizona, which sent OF Yasmany Tomas down to AAA, despite owing him $46M over the next three years. RF Stephen Souza is on the DL and they still sent Tomas down, which tells us they’re pretty sour on him.

3) Twins’ coach Howard Johnson, the old Mets’ 3B, broke bones in his face this weekend when he was hit by a foul ball in the Minnesota dugout. Hope he is feeling better soon.

2) I’m still wondering why the Red Sox fired Terry Francona; Boston averaged 93 wins a year under Francona, winning two World Series with no losing seasons- they were 90-72 his last year, albeit with some off-field hijinx that had people saying Francona ran too loose a ship.

They’ve won one World Series in six years since he left and now have an entry-level manager in Alex Cora. Curious decision.

1— Mets manager Mickey Callaway is the 49th major league pitcher who later became a major league manager. Pitching is obviously the most essential element of baseball; you’d think more former pitchers would’ve become managers.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 26


LA Lakers @ Detroit

Game 731-732
March 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.854
Detroit
119.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4 1/2); Under

New York @ Charlotte

Game 733-734
March 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.428
Charlotte
117.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 3
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 11 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+11 1/2); Over

Denver @ Philadelphia

Game 735-736
March 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.845
Philadelphia
125.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-5 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Minnesota

Game 737-738
March 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
00.000
Minnesota
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis

Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
( );

Boston @ Phoenix

Game 739-740
March 26, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
00.000
Phoenix
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston

Dunkel Pick:
Boston
( );




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 26

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LA LAKERS (32 - 40) at DETROIT (33 - 40) - 3/26/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 144-184 ATS (-58.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
DETROIT is 114-162 ATS (-64.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (27 - 47) at CHARLOTTE (33 - 41) - 3/26/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (40 - 33) at PHILADELPHIA (42 - 30) - 3/26/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-6 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 54) at MINNESOTA (42 - 32) - 3/26/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (50 - 23) at PHOENIX (19 - 55) - 3/26/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 26

Lakers lost three of last four games with Detroit; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Lakers lost four of their last five games; they’re 0-4 in last four games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Pistons won three of their last four games; they’re 4-3 in last seven games as home faves. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

Home side won nine of last ten Knick-Hornet games; New York is 2-2 vs spread in last four trips to Charlotte. Six of last seven series games went over. Knicks won three of last five games; they are 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Charlotte won/covered its last three games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Road team won seven of last nine Denver-Philly games; Nuggets are 2-1-1 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Three of last four series games stayed under. Denver is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as road underdogs. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. 76ers won last six games, covered last four; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Five of their last six games went over.

Grizzlies won four of last five games with Minnesota; Memphis is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Twin Cities. Three of last four series games stayed under. Grizzlies lost 23 of their last 24 games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Timberwolves lost three of their last five games; they’re 10-2 in last dozen games as a home favorite. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Celtics won five of their last six games with Phoenix; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Five of last seven series games went over. Boston won four of its last five games; they covered last six games as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under. Suns lost their last ten games; they’re 2-10 in last 12 games as a home underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under.




NBA

Monday, March 26

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Trend Report
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LA LAKERS @ DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
LA Lakers is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

DENVER @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Denver's last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

MEMPHIS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

BOSTON @ PHOENIX
Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games