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The Bum's 2016 NCAA Basketball News-Trends-Picks !

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  • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Odds to win this year’s World Series:

    19-5— Chicago Cubs

    7-1— Cleveland Indians, Los Angeles Dodgers

    8-1— Boston Red Sox

    12-1— Houston Astros, New York Mets, Washington Nationals

    14-1— San Francisco Giants

    30-1— Detroit, Bronx, Seattle, St Louis, Texas, Toronto

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

    13) Gonzaga 83, Xavier 59— Would be a fun night to be in Spokane, with Gonzaga making the Final Four for the first time. Clock struck midnight for Xavier, which went further than they should have, considering their point guard last played on January 29. Gonzaga made 12-24 on the arc, and when the favorite makes their 3’s, they often win big.

    This is first time since 2002 a double digit seed made regional finals and didn’t cover the spread; they’re now 3-3 SU, 5-1 vs spread in last six tries.

    12) Oregon 74, Kansas 60— Wherever Bill Walton watched this game, he had to be gushing; the Ducks were up 11 at the half- they made 11-25 on the arc, Kansas was 5-25. Jordan Bell blocked eight shots, was dominant inside. Jayhawks played only six guys (a 7th guy played 4:00)- this was the fewest points they scored in a game all season.

    Must be fun to play for Oregon; tons of free sneakers when your #1 booster is Phil Knight.

    11) It bothers me to type this because the guy is one of the best coaches ever, but Bill Self is now 2-7 in Elite 8 games; he’s been a #1-seed in the tournament seven times, and made the Final Four once in those seven years. He’s also won the Big X regular season 13 years in a row, which no other coach has ever done in any league, not even John Wooden.

    When you don’t win the national championship there will always be naysayers, and Kansas has won “only” one national title under Self, but for the love of God, Kansas is lucky to have him.

    10) Devin Booker scored 70 points Friday night in the Suns’ loss in Boston, their 7th loss in a row and first of the seven losses where they even covered the spread. They’re a very young NBA team that is obviously looking forward to the season ending.

    After the game, the team took a pic in the locker room, celebrating Booker’s 70-point night, which is one of the best scoring nights in NBA history, but did all the players have to look so damn happy? Does winning/losing even matter? They’re all young, they’re all rich- I’m just wondering what veteran NBA people think about all that. The pic just didn’t look right. Winning and losing should always matter.

    9) I’m curious when NBA scouts are watching a game like Kentucky-UCLA Friday night, and De’Aaron Fox scores 36, how much (if at all) does that one game move the needle as far as their opinion of that player, or the players they were playing against?

    8) Indiana hired Dayton’s Archie Miller as its new basketball coach; looks like the AD is trying really hard to distance the Hoosiers from their past, if he didn’t hire Steve Alford, who is beloved in Indiana. Reality is that Alford isn’t as good a coach as Archie Miller.

    7) Michael Porter Jr makes the expected move and signs with Missouri, because they hired his father as an assistant coach. My questions are these:

    When Michael Jr jumps to the NBA after next season, does Michael Sr get to keep his job?
    Why sign with Cuonzo Martin? He had an NBA player in Leon Rabb this year and didn’t make the NCAA’s; he had Rabb and Jaylen Brown last year and lost to Hawai’i in the first round- what makes you think he is the best guy to coach your son?

    6) Rough couple of days on the Las Vegas Strip; some genius robbed a jewelry store at Bellagio last night; he actually parked in the parking garage and was nabbed. Then Saturday, there was a shooting on a bus. Get the nonsense out of your system— I’ll be out there soon!!!

    5) Minnesota Timberwolves have lost nine games this year that they led by 15+ points, the most in the NBA this season.

    4) Apparently TV networks are now in the race to sign Tony Romo, who if he keeps this up much longer might become a candidate for the 2020 Presidential race- everyone seems to want the guy, but not enough to trade a draft pick for him.

    3) When ESPN broadcast a Gonzaga game this season, ESPN’s Jay Bilas told Gonzaga big man Przemek Karnowski that he would grow a beard if the Zags made the Final Four, so now he has to grow a beard. Hopefully during next season, not during the summer, when he isn’t on TV.

    2) Foul or defend? When your team is up 3 in last 0:15 of a game, this is a genuine gray area of coaching. Some of the best coaches in the country differ on this- there is no right answer.

    People say Florida messed up when they didn’t foul Wisconsin when they were up 3 Friday- the Badgers hit a 3-pointer, sent the game to OT, but Florida won, so how did they mess up? Not everyone believes fouling there is the correct play.

    What if you foul, and they miss the free throw and get the rebound? It has happened. If you believe in fouling, it has to be practiced. I’ll be very curious to see what Florida does in these situations next season.

    There used to be a guy on Twitter, Steve Finamore, a high school coach in Michigan, who tracked as many of these situations as he could. Reaction was mixed on what proper strategy is.

    1— One of my favorite parts of Saturday’s regional finals? Mark Few and Dana Altman were the winning coaches; neither one of them played Division I college basketball. Playing and coaching are different things that require different skills. Non-players can be excellent coaches.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Sunday, March 26


      IPFW @ TX-Corpus Christi

      Game 727-728
      March 26, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      IPFW
      53.377
      TX-Corpus Christi
      56.705
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      TX-Corpus Christi
      by 3 1/2
      165
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      IPFW
      by 1 1/2
      161 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      TX-Corpus Christi
      (+1 1/2); Over

      Liberty @ MD-Baltimore Co


      Game 725-726
      March 26, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Liberty
      45.678
      MD-Baltimore Co
      53.326
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      MD-Baltimore Co
      by 7 1/2
      150
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      MD-Baltimore Co
      by 3
      145 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      MD-Baltimore Co
      (-3); Over

      Kentucky @ North Carolina


      Game 723-724
      March 26, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Kentucky
      70.574
      North Carolina
      75.783
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      North Carolina
      by 5
      154
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      North Carolina
      by 2 1/2
      159 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      North Carolina
      (-2 1/2); Under

      South Carolina @ Florida


      Game 721-722
      March 26, 2017 @ 2:20 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      South Carolina
      73.667
      Florida
      74.345
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Florida
      by 1
      130
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Florida
      by 3 1/2
      134 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      South Carolina
      (+3 1/2); Under





      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, March 26


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      S CAROLINA (25 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (27 - 8) - 3/26/2017, 2:20 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLORIDA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
      FLORIDA is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
      S CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      S CAROLINA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA is 2-2 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      FLORIDA is 2-2 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      KENTUCKY (32 - 5) vs. N CAROLINA (30 - 7) - 3/26/2017, 5:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      N CAROLINA is 293-240 ATS (+29.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
      N CAROLINA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
      N CAROLINA is 165-130 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      N CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
      KENTUCKY is 86-59 ATS (+21.1 Units) in March games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LIBERTY (21 - 13) at MD-BALT COUNTY (20 - 12) - 3/26/2017, 2:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      IUPU-FT WAYNE (20 - 12) at TEXAS A&M CC (22 - 11) - 3/26/2017, 3:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games this season.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games this season.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more this season.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      IUPU-FT WAYNE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, March 26


      In last 30 years, there have been four regional finals with 4-seed vs 7-seed- they’ve all come since ’05, with underdogs covering three of four- Michigan State was only favorite to cover, but they needed OT to do it. Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in all regional finals. Home side won both South Carolina-Florida games this season; Gamecocks beat Florida 57-53 Jan 18 (Gators were 0-17 on arc), then lost rematch 81-66 Feb 21 (Florida was 9-19 on arc). South Carolina held Baylor to 0.76 pts/possession Friday; their two senior stars were only guys to play more than 29:00. Florida played four starters 32:00+ in its wild win late Friday night.

      Malik Monk scored 47 points in Kentucky’s 103-100 win over North Carolina in Las Vegas back in December; Wildcats outscored UNC 8-2 over last 1:37 of game- they made 10-18 on arc for the game. Tar Heels made 9-17 on arc in game they trailed by 12 in first half. Calipari is 4-1 in regional finals at Kentucky, beating Carolina in this round in ’11. Tar Heels won nine of last 11 games, Kentucky won its last 14 games- their last loss was Feb 4. Both teams won fairly easily Friday night; Wildcats played four guys 32:00+. UNC played had a stress-free game vs Butler. Underdogs covered four of last five regional finals that featured a 1-seed and a 2-seed.

      Sunday’s extra basketball tournaments
      UMBC finished 5th in America East, the #26 league; they’re #159 experience team playing #53 pace. Retrievers are 11-4 out of conference- they scored 88-87 points in first two tourney games; they’ve been off for eight days. UMBC made 25-59 on arc (42.4%) in last two games. Liberty finished 3rd in Big South, the #27 league; Flames are #294 experience team playing pace #342- they won 14 of last 18 games, but lost last two true road games, at Winthrop/NC-Asheville. Liberty’s last game was on Monday.

      Fort Wayne upset Indiana in November, was 14-4 at one point, then went 6-8 rest of the way. Mastodons are #94 experience team playing pace #35— they’re 9-3 out of conference, but haven’t played in 11 days, when they beat Ball State at home. A&M-Corpus Christi lost its conference title game in OT; Islanders won 13 of last 15 games after starting season 9-9- they’re 4-4 in D-I games outside Southland. Corpus Christi is 1-3 vs teams in top 150, with only win over Georgia State 11 days ago. Islanders are #127 experience team playing #155 pace.




      NCAAB

      Sunday, March 26


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      2:20 PM
      SOUTH CAROLINA vs. FLORIDA
      No trends available
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games
      Florida is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

      5:05 PM
      KENTUCKY vs. NORTH CAROLINA
      No trends available
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games
      North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NCAAB

        Sunday, March 26


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        NCAA Tournament Elite Eight betting preview and odds: South Carolina vs Florida
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        The Gamecocks and Gators split their regualr season meetings, with each team winning and covering on their home court. The rubber match has the Gators -3 with a Final Four spot on the line.

        South Carolina Gamecocks vs Florida Gators (-3, 134.5)

        Game to be played at Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

        The third time really will be the charm for SEC rivals South Carolina and Florida, who split their regular-season series and meet in a rubber match Sunday afternoon in the NCAA Tournament East Region at Madison Square Garden with a spot in the Final Four on the line. To say the teams took different paths from the Sweet 16 to the Elite Eight would be an understatement.

        Seventh-seeded South Carolina used an 18-0 first half run to back another strong defensive performance, forcing 16 turnovers while holding Baylor to 30.4 percent shooting to grind out a surprisingly lopsided 70-50 upset of the third-seeded Bears on Friday. "We've been doing it all season," senior guard Sindarius Thornwell, the SEC Player of the Year, said after scoring a game-high 24 points and grabbing six rebounds. "Now, y'all gave us the stage to do it, and we're just showcasing what we've been doing all season." Fourth-seeded Florida advanced with a dramatic 84-83 overtime victory over No. 8 seed Wisconsin, winning on junior guard Chris Chiozza's buzzer-beating 3-pointer five minutes after guard Zak Showalter capped a late 12-point Badgers comeback with a dramatic leaping, one-legged 3-pointer of his own to force overtime. "I don't know how it happened, I just know it went in,"Chiozza said. "Now, we have another game to play."

        TV:
        2:20 p.m. ET, CBS

        LINE HISTORY:
        The Gators opened up as 3.5-point chalk over the Gamecocks and by Saturday night that number was down half point to an even 3. The total hit the board at 134.5 and has yet to move off that number.

        ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA:
        Despite garnering SEC Player of the Year honors, the 6-5, 211-pound Thornwell was still somewhat under the radar on a national level before the NCAA Tournament but made the most of the big stage, averaging 25.7 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 2.0 steals per game while also connecting on 10-of-22 3-pointers. "He's had an unbelievable year," Gamecocks coach Frank Martin said adding, "I'm happy he's getting the recognition he deserves." Sophomore guard PJ Dozier (13.7 per game this season), senior guard Duane Notice (10.3) and 6-9 sophomore forward Chris Silva (10.1) join Thornwell (21.4) in averaging double figures for the Gamecocks, who try to advance to the Final Four for the first time.

        ABOUT FLORIDA (27-8):
        Chiozza, who finished with eight points, five assists and four rebounds, will be remembered for his dramatic game-winner but it was the play of sophomore guard KeVaughn Allen that carried the Gators for most of the game. Allen, who leads the team in scoring (14.1), finished with 35 points against Wisconsin, a school record for an NCAA Tournament game. Senior guard Canyon Barry (11.6), son of NBA Hall of Famer Rick Barry, and junior forward Devin Robinson (11.3) also average in double-digits for the Gators, who managed to adjust after losing top rebounder John Egbunu (7.8 points, 6.6 boards) to a torn left ACL in a Feb. 14 victory at Auburn.

        TRENDS:


        * Gamecocks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. Southeastern.
        * Gators are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite.
        * Under is 10-2 in Gamecocks last 12 neutral site games as an underdog.
        * Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
        * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

        CONSENSUS:
        Fifty-six percent of picks of are siding with the underdog Gamecocks, while Under is picking up 54 percent of the totals wagers.


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        NCAAB

        Sunday, March 26


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        NCAA Tournament Elite Eight betting preview and odds: Kentucky vs North Carolina
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Two of the country's most storied programs meet in the South Region final when Kentucky takes on UNC for a spot in the Final Four.

        Kentucky Wildcats vs North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5, 158)

        Game to be played at FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

        Two of the most successful programs in college basketball history meet Sunday in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight at FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn., and the South Region game between top-seeded North Carolina and No. 2 seed Kentucky also serves as a rematch of one of the best games this season. The Wildcats beat North Carolina 103-100 on Dec. 17 in a one-day showcase in Las Vegas as Malik Monk scored 47 points, a freshman record at Kentucky, hitting the go-ahead 3-pointer with 16.7 seconds left.

        Both teams faced challenging roads to this point - especially Kentucky, which beat third-seeded UCLA in the Sweet Sixteen 86-75 on Friday night, getting 39 points from freshman guard De'Aaron Fox and some redemption after the Bruins went to Kentucky and beat the top-ranked Wildcats earlier this season. Kentucky also won games by single digits over Northern Kentucky and Wichita State in the first two rounds of the tournament, so the Wildcats should be prepared for a close battle against North Carolina. The Tar Heels beat fourth-seeded Butler 92-80 in the Sweet Sixteen and their two leading scorers, Justin Jackson and Joel Berry II, came through with big games, scoring 24 and 26 points, respectively. Kentucky is well aware of the duo as Jackson, a 6-8 junior forward, scored a career-high 34 points against the Wildcats in December, and Berry, a 6-foot junior guard, scored 23.

        TV:
        5:05 p.m. ET, CBS

        LINE HISTORY:
        The Tar Heels opened as 2.5-point chalk over the Wildcats and that line has held firm in the first few hours. As for the total, it hit the betting board at 158 and like the spread hasn’t moved off the opening number.

        ABOUT KENTUCKY:
        The Tar Heels start four forwards that measure 6-6, 6-8, 6-9 and 6-10, so the Wildcats need to counter that with their superior guard play. Kentucky still needs strong performances in the middle from 6-10 freshman forward Bam Adebayo and 6-9 senior forward Derek Willis, their only two starters down low. They didn't hold up well against UCLA's size, combining for 10 points and 12 rebounds, and the Wildcats didn't receive any help up front off the bench.

        ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA:
        Like many of the high school All-Americans who sign with North Carolina, Kennedy Meeks wasn't expected to stick around for four years, but the senior forward made the decision to keep coming back and might be the biggest difference-maker in this game. Meeks is not only 6-10, but weighs 260 pounds and should be able muscle his way loose down low against the Wildcats. He played only 20 minutes before fouling out in the earlier meeting against Kentucky, but still scored 12 points and grabbed seven rebounds, numbers that figure to improve if he can stay on the court.

        TRENDS:


        * Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
        * Under is 7-0 in Wildcats last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
        * Under is 13-3 in Wildcats last 16 games following a straight up win.
        * Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 games following a ATS win.
        * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

        CONSENSUS:
        Fifty-six percent of users are taking the chalk with the Tar Heels and the Over is picking up 70 percent of the totals wage
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • SUNDAY, MARCH 26

          GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

          LIB at UMBC 02:00 PM

          UMBC -3.5

          U 145.5

          SCAR at FLA 02:20 PM

          SCAR +3.0

          U 136.5

          IPFW at AMCC 03:00 PM

          IPFW -2.0

          O 161.5

          UK at UNC 05:05 PM

          UK +2.5

          U 160.5
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Monday’s six-pack

            Odds to win National League MVP this season:

            5-2– Kris Bryant

            7-2– Bryce Harper

            4-1– Nolan Arenado

            6-1– Corey Seager

            10-1– Giancarlo Stanton, Yoenis Cespedes

            12-1– Anthony Rizzo

            **********************

            Monday’s List go 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….


            13) South Carolina 77, Florida 70— Before last weekend, South Carolina’s last win in NCAA tournament was in 1973. They have some basketball tradition: Alex English, John Roche, Mike Dunleavy Sr played there, Frank Maguire coached there, but not a lot of winning.

            Until this month. Now the Gamecocks are headed to the Final Four. Congrats.

            12) Gamecocks are first team since VCU in 2011 to get to the Final Four without being favored in any of their first four tournament games.- VCU had to win a play-in game, so they weren’t favored in any of their first five tournament games. South Carolina was pick ‘em in their first round game with Marquette last weekend.

            11) South Carolina coach Frank Martin was once both a high school teacher and a bouncer in a nightclub; imagine him getting mad at some drunk guy and tossing him out the door?

            10) North Carolina 75, Kentucky 73— Mailk Monk scored 47 against Carolina in December, out in Las Vegas; he had nine points here. This was a terrific ballgame that would’ve made a great national title game. Tough push if you had the Tar Heels -2.

            9) What do you think of Chris Webber as a TV analyst? He talks more X’s and O’s than most analysts (good), he is passionate about the game (good) but he doesn’t seem to like anyone except players (not good).

            Referees are competing to advance in the tournament too; I’m guessing Webber knows this, but doesn’t seem to care (not good). Coaches get fired if they lose; I mean, Bill Self is taking grief today- Webber definitely doesn’t seem to care about that (bad). I think he is mostly good; if only he would stop yelling when guys dunk— it is two points. Relax.

            8) Odd coincidence that going into Saturday, Xavier/Gonzaga were tied with 27 tournament wins, most of any school that had never been in a Final Four. Now Xavier owns that unfortunate mark, with Boston College in second with 22 wins.

            7) Not often the SEC wins more NCAA tournament games than bowl games. SEC is 8-3 in NCAA tournament games this year; they were 6-7 in bowl games.

            6) I’m guessing the Mets have already been informed, but it hasn’t been made public how long Jeurys Familia’s suspension for domestic violence will be. He is their closer, so they would need to know to plan contingency plans.

            5) Since 2006, Saints/Seahawks have drafted only two QB’s each, least in NFL.

            4) This is the fifth year in a row a team seeded 7th or lower made the Final Four:
            2016— Syracuse, a 10-seed lost to UNC in semi-finals
            2015— Michigan State, a 7-seed, lost to Duke in semi-finals
            2014— UConn, a 7-seed, beat Kentucky, an 8-seed, for the national title
            2013— Wichita State, a 9-seed, lost to Louisville in semi-finals

            3) This is only second time since 2009 that two or more 1-seeds made the Final Four— three of them made it in 2015, two made it this year.

            2) Of the 18,797,085 brackets on ESPN.com‘s contest, only 657 had North Carolina, Oregon, Gonzaga and South Carolina in the Final Four.

            1— Gonzaga is a 6.5-point favorite over South Carolina Saturday in Arizona. North Carolina is a 5-point favorite over Oregon in the nightcap.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Monday, March 27



              Wyoming @ Coastal Carolina

              Game 743-744
              March 27, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Wyoming
              56.766
              Coastal Carolina
              53.227
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Wyoming
              by 3 1/2
              148
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Wyoming
              by 1
              154
              Dunkel Pick:
              Wyoming
              (-1); Under





              NCAAB
              Long Sheet

              Monday, March 27


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              WYOMING (21 - 14) at COASTAL CAROLINA (19 - 17) - 3/27/2017, 7:30 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              WYOMING is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
              WYOMING is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
              WYOMING is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
              WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
              WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
              WYOMING is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
              WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



              NCAAB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, March 27


              Long road trip from Wyoming to Coastal Carolina; this is a best-of-3 series that resumes in Laramie Wednesday. Wyoming is 11-3 outside Mountain West; they beat Troy State of Sun Belt 72-66 in Laramie Dec 19. Cowboys won four of last five games overall but lost last three true road games- their last true road win was Feb 4 at Air Force. Coastal Carolina is 6-8 outside the Sun Belt; they’ve won last four games overall. Chanticleers are ##117 experience team that plays pace #135. Wyoming is #138 experience team that plays pace #14.




              NCAAB

              Monday, March 27


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              8:30 PM
              WYOMING vs. COASTAL CAROLINA
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games on the road
              Wyoming is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              No trends available
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Final Four lines hit the board and early betting action causes adjustments

                North Carolina is back in the Final Four for the second straight year, getting there with a thrilling victory Sunday in the South Region final.

                We’ve got a fascinating Final Four on tap, with one blueblood and a whole lot of new blood. Patrick Everson checks on the opening lines for Saturday’s national semifinals, with insights from Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at The Mirage on the Las Vegas Strip, and Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

                No. 7 South Carolina Gamecocks vs. No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)

                For all the years Gonzaga has been in the NCAA Tournament, often as a high seed, this will mark its first trip to the Final Four. The Bulldogs (36-1 SU, 23-9-2 ATS) have a nearly perfect record on the floor, and for much of the season were the best team against the oddsmakers. The Zags rate No. 2 now, cashing more than 71 percent of the time.

                Mark Few’s squad had tough second- and third-round games, fending off No. 8 seed Northwestern and No. 4 seed West Virginia. But the Zags had no such issues with tourney upstart and No. 11 seed Xavier in the Elite Eight, pummeling the Musketeers 83-59 as an 8.5-point favorite Saturday.

                South Carolina is also making its first trip to the Final Four, and a surprising one at that, when one looks at how Frank Martin’s team entered the tournament. The Gamecocks (26-10 SU, 15-16-2 ATS) went 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in seven games prior to the NCAAs, but have caught fire the last week and a half.

                South Carolina drubbed No. 10 Marquette by 20 in the tourney opener, then upset No. 2 seed Duke 88-81 as a 6.5-point underdog. Another 20-point win followed in the Sweet 16, over No. 3 Baylor, and the Gamecocks sealed their trip to Glendale, Ariz., by outlasting SEC rival and fourth-seeded Florida 77-70 as a 3-point ‘dog in the East Region final Sunday.

                Bookmaker.eu opened the Zags -7 but quickly dropped that number to 6.5.

                “We’ve seen early action on the Gamecocks,” Cooley said. “We've received a handful of limit bets from smart players. We could see South Carolina closing at +6 or less.”

                Offshore books moving to 6.5 made it natural for The Mirage and MGM Resorts sportsbooks to open Gonzaga -6.5.

                “That was basically the number out there, and that’s what we hung,” Stoneback said of the line for Saturday’s first semifinal, which tips at 6:09 p.m. ET. “South Carolina-Gonzaga is obviously not gonna be the marquee matchup, but as a basketball fan, I think it’s a really good matchup. We’ll see how Gonzaga handles a red-hot South Carolina team.”


                No. 3 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)

                North Carolina is back in the Final Four for the second straight year, getting there with a thrilling victory Sunday in the South Region final. The Tar Heels (30-7 SU, 19-15-2 ATS) went back-and-forth with No. 2 seed Kentucky over the last few minutes, but got the dagger bucket in the last second to notch a 75-73 win and push as a 2-point favorite.

                Carolina reached the national championship game last year, where it had a similar back-and-forth with Villanova as the Heels lost on a last-second 3-pointer, 77-74 giving 2 points.

                Oregon played in the very first Final Four, in 1939, and ended up winning it all. But the Ducks hadn’t been back since then before breaking through this year. Oregon (33-5 SU, 21-15-1 ATS) lost 6-foot-10 forward Chris Boucher (11.8 ppg, 6.1 rpg) during the Pac-12 tournament, but recovered quite well in winning the Midwest Region.

                Dana Altman’s troops had a couple tight victories in the second and third rounds, rallying to beat No. 11 seed Rhode Island and hanging on against No. 7 Michigan. But in Saturday’s regional final against No. 1 seed Kansas, Oregon rolled to a 74-60 upset catching 6.5 points.

                Cooley said this second semifinal, with an 8:49 ET start Saturday night, also received some limit bets early on from sharp bettors. And the total was already on the move, after opening at 148.5.

                “The over is seeing respected money, and we've moved that up 1.5 points to 150,” Cooley said.

                The Mirage opened North Carolina at -5.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Final Four Openers
                  March 26, 2017


                  The 2017 NCAA Tournament started with 68 schools and after two weeks, the field is down to four. This year’s final quartet will feature three schools making the Final Four for the first time since the tournament expanded.

                  Also, it will have an East Coast vs. West Coast feel as Gonzaga and Oregon will look to knock off South Carolina and North Carolina respectively.

                  The University of Phoenix Stadium at Phoenix, Arizona will host the semifinals on Saturday Apr. 1 with the winners meeting in the championship game on Monday Apr. 3.

                  Listed below is the latest future numbers from the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book, plus the odds on each school when they opening in April of 2016 and their pre-tournament odds.

                  ODDS TO WIN NCAA 2017 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

                  (Seed) School Opening Odds (4/5/16) Pre-Tournament Odds (3/12/17) Final Four Odds (3/26/17)

                  (1) Gonzaga 80/1 10/1 7/5
                  (1) North Carolina 15/1 6/1 8/5
                  (3) Oregon 20/1 25/1 4/1
                  (7) South Carolina 200/1 200/1 8/1

                  NCAA Championship Game History | Final Four History

                  No. 1 Gonzaga vs. No. 7 South Carolina

                  Opening Odds: Gonzaga -6.5, Total 138


                  Gonzaga
                  Bid: Automatic
                  Conference: WCC
                  SU Record: 35-1
                  ATS Record: 23-9-2
                  O/U Record: 15-16

                  South Carolina
                  Bid: At-Large
                  Conference: SEC
                  SU Record: 26-10
                  ATS Record: 15-17-1
                  O/U Record: 14-17-1

                  How They Got Here

                  Gonzaga
                  Defeated No. 16 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 66-46 (Bulldogs -23.5, Total 157)
                  Defeated No. 8 Northwestern Wildcats 79-73 (Bulldogs -10.5, Total 140.5)
                  Defeated No. 4 West Virginia Mountaineers 61-58 (Bulldogs -3, Total 150)
                  Defeated No. 11 Xavier Musketeers 83-59 (Bulldogs -8.5, Total 145.5)

                  South Carolina
                  Defeated No. 10 Marquette Golden Eagles 93-73 (Pick 'em, Total 143.5)
                  Defeated No. 2 Duke Blue Devils 88-81 (Gamecocks +6.5, Total 145.5)
                  Defeated No. 3 Baylor Bears 70-50 (Gamecocks +3, Total 135.5)
                  Defeated No. 4 Florida Gators 77-70 (Gamecocks +3, total 136)

                  Betting Notes - Gonzaga

                  -- Gonzaga has gone 2-1-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament

                  -- The 'under' is 3-1 in the four games for the Bulldogs

                  -- The Bulldogs have only allowed 59 points per game

                  -- Northwestern was the only school to score more than 40 points in a half against Gonzaga through the first four games

                  Betting Notes - South Carolina

                  -- South Carolina has gone 4-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament

                  -- The Gamecoks have watched the 'over' go 3-1

                  -- South Carolina trailed at halftime in three of the first games of the tourney

                  -- The Gamecocks have outscored their first four opponents by a combined 52 points in the second-half

                  No. 1 North Carolina vs. No. 3 Oregon

                  Opening Odds: North Carolina -5, 149.5


                  North Carolina
                  Bid: At-Large
                  Conference: ACC
                  SU Record: 31-7
                  ATS Record: 18-16-3
                  O/U Record: 13-23-1

                  Oregon
                  Bid: At-Large
                  Conference: Pac-12
                  SU Record: 33-5
                  ATS Record: 22-15
                  O/U Record: 17-18

                  How They Got Here

                  Oregon
                  Defeated No. 14 Iona Gaels 93-77 (Ducks -15.5, Total 157)
                  Defeated No. 11 Rhode Island Rams 75-72 (Ducks -5, Total 144.5)
                  Defeated No. 7 Michigan Wolverines 69-68 (Pick 'em, Total 148)
                  Defeated No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks 74-60 (Ducks +6.5, Total 158)

                  North Carolina
                  Defeated No. 16 Texas Southern Tigers 103-64 (Tar Heels -26.5, Total 157)
                  Defeated No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks 72-65 (Tar Heels -11.5, 165.5)
                  Defeated No. 4 Butler Bulldogs 92-80 (Tar Heels -7, Total 155)
                  Defeated No. 2 Kentucky Wildcats 75-73 (Tar Heels -2, Total 161)

                  Betting Notes - Oregon

                  -- Oregon has gone 3-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament

                  -- The 'over/under' has produced a 2-2 mark during this event

                  -- The Ducks have held double-digit leads in three of their four games

                  -- Oregon has only allowed 32 PPG in the second-half of the tourney, with Iona (40) having the most success

                  -- The Ducks have scored more points in the first-half in all four of their wins

                  -- Oregon hasn't had a very productive effort at the free throw line, hitting 64.7 percent (46-of-71)

                  Betting Notes - North Carolina

                  -- North Carolina has gone 2-1-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament

                  -- The 'over/under' has produced a 2-2 mark during this event

                  -- The Tar Heels have built halftime leads in their four games

                  -- UNC only surrendered 32.5 in the first-half of those games
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • TIPPING OFF: Final Four welcomes trio of 1st-time coaches
                    March 27, 2017
                    By The Associated Press


                    RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Frank Martin never got caught up in wins and losses, the highs and the lows, as he worked to build South Carolina into a contender for conference championships.

                    Gonzaga's Mark Few dismissed questions of whether his Bulldogs would be a failure as long as they failed to get to a Final Four after so many great regular seasons. And Oregon's Dana Altman focused on turning one deep NCAA Tournament run into something more.

                    Whatever their differences in personality, playing style and approach, that trio now shares something in common after all that work: each is headed to his first Final Four. It's the first time since 2006 that the Final Four will feature three first-time coaches there.

                    ''Anyone that's in sports dreams of moments like this,'' Martin said after Sunday's win against Florida in the NCAA Tournament's East Region final. ''It's not something that you start dreaming it the year you win 25 games. You dream it every single day.''

                    South Carolina and North Carolina both won regional finals Sunday, sending them to Phoenix along with Gonzaga and Oregon after their wins a day earlier.

                    This is nothing new for the Tar Heels and Hall of Fame coach Roy Williams, who is in his fifth Final Four with UNC and ninth overall dating to his time with Kansas. For everyone else, this is a breakthrough moment.

                    Gonzaga (36-1), the West's No. 1 seed, had been to five Sweet 16s and one Elite Eight under Few before this season. This time, the Zags eked past Northwestern and West Virginia before routing Xavier in the regional final.

                    ''I've been there 28 years. My first year on staff we won four Division I games,'' Few said Saturday of his time as an assistant. ''And I mean this wasn't even possible. And each year we got better and better, and then we got really, really good. ... And our culture is just so strong. And this was a culture win and a culture statement and (I) couldn't be prouder.''

                    Oregon (33-5), the No. 3 seed in the Midwest, secured the program's first trip to the national semifinals since the 1939 ''Tall Firs'' won the first NCAA Tournament. Altman, in his seventh year, led the Ducks to last year's Elite Eight before falling to Oklahoma but came back to beat top-seeded Kansas in Kansas City, Missouri, to secure the program's first Final Four since that '39 title.

                    Then there's Martin, whose seventh-seeded Gamecocks (26-10) upset East No. 2 Duke - the preseason No. 1-ranked team - and No. 3 seed Baylor before Sunday's win against Florida in New York. Martin had coached in a regional final at Kansas State in 2010.

                    And with Gonzaga facing South Carolina in the first semifinal, at least one of the newcomers will coach for a national championship on the final night of the season.

                    Here are things to know after the regional rounds and entering the Final Four:

                    THE SCHEDULE:
                    Gonzaga and South Carolina will be Saturday's first semifinal, tipping off at 6:09 p.m. EDT. Oregon and UNC will tip off roughly 40 minutes after the conclusion of that game.

                    RECORD HAUL: UNC, the South Region's No. 1 seed, earned a record 20th Final Four berth on Luke Maye's last-second shot to beat Kentucky 75-73 in Memphis, Tennessee. That also sent UNC (31-7) back to the national semifinals a year after losing to Villanova on a last-second 3-pointer in the title game - which formed the basis of a season-long rallying cry to get back and try again.

                    UNFAMILIAR FOES: The semifinalists haven't met often. Gonzaga and South Carolina have never played. Meanwhile, UNC and Oregon have played four times, with the Tar Heels winning all four - the last coming in the 2008 Maui Invitational.

                    CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN: The Southeastern Conference fell short in its bid for multiple Final Four teams after getting three to the Elite Eight. Now four conferences each have one team: the SEC (South Carolina), the West Coast (Gonzaga), the Pac-12 (Oregon) and the Atlantic Coast (North Carolina).

                    The SEC has the most wins of any league (11-4) in this year's field of 68, followed closely by the Pac-12 (10-3).
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • South Carolina: The surprise of the Final Four
                      March 27, 2017
                      By The Associated Press


                      NEW YORK (AP) Gonzaga is in its first Final Four but the Zags had knocked on the door a few times. South Carolina, meanwhile, enters its first Final Four having never been close to this deep a run.

                      The Gamecocks reached their first national semifinals the same season they reached their first Sweet 16, coming in as the seventh seed from the East.

                      South Carolina guard Duane Notice said his team's run is no surprise.

                      ''Everybody's always picking against us,'' Notice said Sunday after his team beat fourth-seeded Florida 77-70 at Madison Square Garden. ''We're focused as a team, we're focused on the next game ahead every time. The way we play defense, you can put any school - big or small - against us.''

                      They were a slight favorite against Marquette in the opening round but were a decided underdog against second-seeded Duke in the round of 32.

                      That was the first of three games where the Gamecocks, who will face Gonzaga in the Final Four, showed their mettle.

                      ''We're not going to settle for this and we still feel, like, we got one more game,'' regional MVP Sindarius Thornwell said with one of the nets draped around his neck. ''We're still going into that game thinking we can win. Why not? Why not us? Why not go win it all?''

                      If Thornwell keeps playing like the SEC player of the year as voted by the coaches, anything might be possible. He is averaging 25.8 points in the tournament and he has come up with every big play the Gamecocks have needed as they have rallied from three halftime deficits during their run.

                      ''That's why we're sitting here right now, because they don't pay attention to that nonsense,'' coach Frank Martin said of the non-believers. ''They believe in each other. They're completely invested into each other. Not winning. Each other, which then allows you to win. And they're powerful kids, man, powerful kids.''

                      They have been powerful enough to take South Carolina to its first Final Four. And then we'll see what happens.

                      ''These last two weeks, when we got our name in, (Martin) said we been listening to him all season and don't stop now because we got our name on the board,'' Thornwell said. ''So when he said that, we all locked in and didn't listen to any outsiders, didn't listen to anybody else but Coach.

                      '' We trusted in him in everything,'' Thornwell said. ''We had this thing where don't let go of the rope, no matter what happens, no matter the outcome of anything, don't let go of that rope.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Heels have experience edge at Final Four
                        March 26, 2017
                        By The Associated Press


                        PHOENIX (AP) Consider North Carolina the tour guide at this year's Final Four. The Tar Heels will be making their record 20th trip, and most of the players on this year's roster were on hand last season to find out all about the agony of coming oh-so close to winning it all.

                        For the rest of the guests, it's all uncharted territory.

                        Gonzaga finally parlayed two decades of excellence into its first trip to college basketball's showcase.

                        South Carolina's entire history in the NCAA Tournament could've been compiled on a cocktail napkin.

                        And Oregon? Well, the Ducks have been to the tournament before and won it all. But that was back in 1939, the first year of the event, and decades before the phrase ''Final Four'' became as common as ''dribble,'' ''pass,'' or ''shoot.''

                        ''It's been a long time coming,'' said Oregon coach Dana Altman, the 10th man to hold that job since Howard Hobson, who doubled as the school's baseball coach, led the title team called the Tall Firs eight decades ago. ''Now we just need to go and continue to play well.''

                        Gonzaga opened as a 6 1/2-point favorite against South Carolina in the opening game next Saturday night at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. According to ESPN Stats & Info, it's the first meeting between Final Four first-timers since 1973. In the second game, North Carolina opened as a 4 1/2-point pick over Oregon.

                        For South Carolina - coached by the equal-parts angry and effervescent Frank Martin - being an underdog at this point is a good thing. It means there's still a chance, which is something Gamecocks basketball never really had before Martin arrived. Before this season, South Carolina hadn't posted a win in the NCAA Tournament since 1973.

                        ''Personally, I didn't know where this program could go,'' Gamecocks sophomore P.J. Dozier said after his team's 77-70 win over Florida. ''But I know that when Frank Martin stepped foot on campus, you just got this vibe that the ball was rolling.''

                        It's been rolling at Gonzaga since Mark Few took over in 1999. Problem is, there was seemingly always a bigger team from a bigger conference standing in the way of that program - from a campus of 7,400 in Spokane, Washington - taking the final step. Last year, the Bulldogs lost a 3-point heartbreaker to Syracuse in the Sweet 16. Seeded second the year before, Gonzaga couldn't hang with No. 1 Duke and lost by 14 in the Elite Eight.

                        Led by tenacious guards Nigel Williams-Goss and Josh Perkins and 7-foot-1 center Przemek Karnowski, the Bulldogs broke through big time this year, beating Xavier 83-59 on Saturday night.

                        ''I've been there 28 years,'' Few said, counting his first nine seasons as an assistant. ''My first year on staff we won four Division I games. And, I mean, this wasn't even possible. And each year we got better and better, and then we got really, really good.''

                        North Carolina has been good for decades, and has more than enough history to make up for the other teams. Luke Maye made the winning jumper with 0.3 seconds left for a 75-73 victory over Kentucky. This will be the Tar Heels' fifth trip to the Final Four under the guidance of coach Roy Williams, and their second straight.

                        They have spent the last year seeing their nightmare finish to the 2016 tournament replayed on an endless loop of highlight shows and March Madness videos. Villanova's Kris Jenkins hit a shot at the buzzer in the title game, only seconds after Tar Heels guard Marcus Paige made a double-clutch 3 to tie it.

                        ''I just think about it all the time,'' said Joel Berry II, one of three current Tar Heels who were on the floor when Jenkins hit the game-winning shot. ''Four seconds made a difference in my life. I wish I could get those 4 seconds back, but I can't.''
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • MONDAY, MARCH 27

                          GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                          WYO at CCAR 07:30 PM

                          CCAR +1.0

                          U 153.5
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NCAAB
                            Dunkel

                            Tuesday, March 28



                            TCU @ UCF

                            Game 779-780
                            March 28, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            TCU
                            66.024
                            UCF
                            61.649
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            TCU
                            by 4 1/2
                            139
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            TCU
                            by 2 1/2
                            132 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            TCU
                            (-2 1/2); Over

                            CS-Bakersfield @ Georgia Tech


                            Game 777-778
                            March 28, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            CS-Bakersfield
                            60.282
                            Georgia Tech
                            56.721
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            CS-Bakersfield
                            by 3 1/2
                            128
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Georgia Tech
                            by 2
                            122 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            CS-Bakersfield
                            (+2); Over





                            NCAAB
                            Long Sheet

                            Tuesday, March 28


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CS-BAKERSFIELD (25 - 9) vs. GEORGIA TECH (20 - 15) - 3/28/2017, 7:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            GEORGIA TECH is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
                            GEORGIA TECH is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                            GEORGIA TECH is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                            GEORGIA TECH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
                            GEORGIA TECH is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            TCU (22 - 15) vs. UCF (24 - 11) - 3/28/2017, 9:30 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            TCU is 163-219 ATS (-77.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                            TCU is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                            TCU is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
                            UCF is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            UCF is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                            UCF is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                            UCF is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                            NCAAB
                            Short Sheet

                            Tuesday, March 28


                            CS Bakersfield at Georgia Tech, 7:00 PM ET
                            CS Bakersfield: 9-1 ATS as an underdog
                            Georgia Tech: 7-20 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days

                            TCU at Central Florida, 9:30 PM ET
                            TCU: 2-10 ATS in road games off a home win
                            C Florida: 7-1 ATS in all tournament games




                            NCAAB
                            Armadillo's Write-Up

                            Tuesday, March 28


                            NIT’s Final Four has three coaches who are in their first year at that school.

                            Rod Barnes is in his 6th year at Bakersfield; his Roadrunners won a 4OT game in semis of WAC conference tourney, then understandably lost final to New Mexico State. Bakersfield won road games at Cal/Colorado St/Tex-Arlington to get here- they’re first #8-seed to make it to the Final Four of NIT. Roadrunners are 9-6 outside WAC; they start three seniors, two juniors- they’re #14 experience team. Georgia Tech lost five of last seven games before 3-0 run in NIT, with two home wins and 74-66 win at Ole Miss. Jackets is #121 experience team that has #19 eFG% defense. WAC teams are 6-1 vs spread this postseason; ACC teams 6-15-1, 4-11-1 if favored. a Tech was in NYC three weeks ago, in Brooklyn, for ACC tournament.

                            Central Florida coach Dawkins won NIT twice when he was at Stanford; his Knights won nine of last ten games, are 12-3 outside AAC. UCF is 1-4 vs top 40 teams, with losses by 5-11-10-10 points; they have a 7-6 center, hold teams to 39.7% inside arc, best in country, but they also turn ball over 22.1% of time (#339). UCF is #51 experience team that plays pace #276. TCU is 14-1 outside Big X, with only loss at SMU of AAC by 15- they won five of last six games overall, after losing last seven regular season games. Horned Frogs are #208 experience team that plays pace #234. AAC teams are 3-3 vs spread this postseason; Big X teams are 11-5-1, 9-3 when favored.




                            NCAAB

                            Tuesday, March 28


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Trend Report
                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            7:00 PM
                            CS BAKERSFIELD vs. GEORGIA TECH
                            No trends available
                            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games
                            Georgia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

                            9:00 PM
                            TCU vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
                            No trends available
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

                              REGION 1 - CALIFORNIA


                              Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                              Mar. 14 CSU Bakersfield (+6.5, ML+240) at California 73-66 Underdog-Over (125)
                              Mar. 14 College of Charleston at Colorado State (-4.5) 81-74 Favorite-Over (136)
                              Mar. 15 Texas-Arlington (+5.5, ML +220) at Brigham Young 105-89 Underdog-Over (166.5)
                              Mar. 15 Akron (+7.5, ML +300) at Houston 78-75 Underdog-Over (144)
                              Mar. 20 CSU Bakersfield (+4.5, ML +170) at Colorado State 81-63 Underdog-Over (135.5)
                              Mar. 20 Akron at Texas-Arlington (-5) 85-69 Favorite-Under (157)
                              Mar. 22 CSU Bakersfield (+4, ML +240) at Texas-Arlington 80-76 Underdog-Over (143.5)

                              REGION 2 - SYRACUSE


                              Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                              Mar. 15 UNC Greensboro at Syracuse (-12) 90-77 Favorite-Over (146)
                              Mar. 14 Mississippi (+1) at Monmouth 91-83 Underdog-Over (167)
                              Mar. 14 Indiana at Georgia Tech (+2.5, +125 ML) 75-63 Underdog-Under (143)
                              Mar. 15 Belmont (+5, ML +180) at Georgia 78-69 Underdog-Under (147.5)
                              Mar. 18 Mississippi (+7.5, ML +290) at Syracuse 85-80 Underdog-Over (158.5)
                              Mar. 19 Belmont at Georgia Tech (-4) 71-57 Favorite-Under (138.5)
                              Mar. 21 Georgia Tech (+5.5, +220 ML) at Mississippi 74-66 Underdog-Under (144)

                              REGION 3 - ILLINOIS STATE

                              Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                              Mar. 14 Boise State (+12, +575 ML) at Utah 73-68 Underdog-Under (156)
                              Mar. 14 Valparaiso at Illinois (-9) 82-57 Favorite-Over (138.5)
                              Mar. 15 UC Irvine at Illinois State (-10) 85-71 Favorite-Over (130.5)
                              Mar. 15 Colorado at UCF (-3.5) 79-74 Favorite-Over (139)
                              Mar. 20 Boise State at Illinois (-8.5) 71-56 Favorite-Under (145.5)
                              Mar. 20 UCF (+5.5, ML +190) at Illinois State 63-62 Underdog-Under (128)
                              Mar. 22 Illinois at UCF (-4) 68-58 Favorite-Under (130)

                              REGION 4 - IOWA


                              Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                              Mar. 14 Richmond (+8, +315 ML) at Alabama 71-64 Underdog-Under (139)
                              Mar. 14 Oakland (+10.5, +525 ML) at Clemson 74-69 Underdog-Under (157)
                              Mar. 15 South Dakota at Iowa (-11) 87-75 Favorite-Under (164)
                              Mar. 15 Fresno State at Texas Christian (-8.5) 66-59 Underdog-Under (145)
                              Mar. 19 Oakland at Richmond (-4.5) 87-83 Underdog-Over (159)
                              Mar. 19 Texas Christian (+3, ML +130) at Iowa 94-92 (OT) Underdog-Over (155)
                              Mar. 21 Richmond at Texas Christian (-8) 86-68 Favorite-Over (149)

                              SEMIFINALS & FINALS

                              Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                              Mar. 28 Georgia Tech vs. CSU Bakersfield - -
                              Mar. 28 Texas Christian vs. UCF - -
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • TUESDAY, MARCH 28

                                GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                                CSB at GT 07:00 PM

                                CSB +3.5

                                O 124.5


                                TCU at UCF 09:00 PM

                                UCF +2.5

                                O 132.0
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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