SEC Trends and Angles
March 8, 2017
Venue: Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, Tennessee
Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 1-1
Over/Under: 1-1
Thursday, March 9
SECOND ROUND
Matchup Records Skinny Projection
No. 8 Georgia
Overall: 18-13 SU, 14-13 ATS
Totals: 16-11 O/U
No. 9 Tennessee
Overall: 16-15 SU, 15-14 ATS
Totals: 10-17-1 O/U
No. 8 Georgia vs. No. 9 Tennessee (SECN, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Georgia has a slim shot at making the NCAA Tournament at 18-13, as the Bulldogs need a solid run in the SEC Tournament. The first test for UGA is Tennessee, as the Volunteers lost five of their final seven games of the regular season. Tennessee snapped a three-game skid by overcoming a 16-point deficit to shock Alabama in the regular season finale, 59-54 as 2 ½-point favorites. In spite of losing their season finale at Arkansas, Georgia posted a 9-2 ATS record as an underdog in SEC play, but put together a 1-6 ATS mark as a conference favorite. Tennessee looks to avenge a 76-75 home loss to Georgia as 4 ½-point favorites in mid-February, as the Bulldogs have won three straight meetings with the Volunteers.
Georgia 71
Tennessee 69
No. 5 Alabama
Overall: 17-13 SU, 13-15 ATS
Totals: 10-18 O/U
No. 12 Mississippi State
Overall: 16-15 SU, 17-11 ATS
Totals: 15-13 O/U
No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 12 Mississippi State (SECN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Mississippi State picked up consecutive wins for the first time in nearly two months after knocking out LSU on Wednesday, 79-52 in the opening round of the SEC tournament. The Bulldogs face Alabama, looking to beat the Crimson Tide for the first time in three tries this season after losing the first two meetings by 10 and 9 points. The Tide jumped out to an impressive 6-2 record to begin SEC play, but Alabama put together a choppy finish by losing six of its final 10 games. Alabama’s defense has played well down the stretch by allowing 60 points or less in five of the past six contests, resulting in five UNDERS.
Alabama 64
Mississippi State 62
No. 7 Vanderbilt
Overall: 17-14 SU, 18-11 ATS
Totals: 13-15 O/U
No. 10 Texas A&M
Overall: 16-14 SU, 11-16 ATS
Totals: 12-14 O/U
No. 7 Vanderbilt vs. No. 10 Texas A&M (SECN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Vanderbilt began SEC play at 3-5, but the Commodores won seven of their final 10 conference games to own a 10-8 league record. The Commodores pulled off a sweep of Florida, while covering their final six contests. Vandy faces an underachieving Texas A&M squad as the Aggies finished at 8-10 inside the conference following a 13-5 record last season. The Aggies won three of their final five games, but the season was capped off by a 71-63 defeat to regular season league champion Kentucky. Vandy pulled off the season sweep of A&M, including a 14-point rout as 4 ½-point underdogs at College Station in late January.
Vanderbilt 70
Texas A&M 67
No. 6 Mississippi
Overall: 19-12 SU, 17-13-1 ATS
Totals: 17-13-1 O/U
No. 14 Missouri
Overall: 8-23 SU, 13-13-2 ATS
Totals: 15-13-2
No. 6 Mississippi vs. No. 14 Missouri (SECN, 9:30 p.m. ET)
Missouri wasn’t ready to end its tumultuous season as the Tigers erased a late six-point deficit in overtime to stun Auburn, 86-83 as seven-point underdogs. The Tigers look for consecutive wins for the first time since December as they face Mississippi, a team Mizzou hung with twice in close losses. The latest matchup came in Oxford in late February as Ole Miss edged Missouri, 80-77 as 11-point home favorites. The Rebels won seven of their final 10 games, although all three of those losses came away from Oxford. Mississippi has lost in each of its last SEC tournament openers, while facing Mizzou in this tournament for the first time since a 64-62 victory in 2013.
Mississippi 77
Missouri 68
March 8, 2017
Venue: Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, Tennessee
Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 1-1
Over/Under: 1-1
Thursday, March 9
SECOND ROUND
Matchup Records Skinny Projection
No. 8 Georgia
Overall: 18-13 SU, 14-13 ATS
Totals: 16-11 O/U
No. 9 Tennessee
Overall: 16-15 SU, 15-14 ATS
Totals: 10-17-1 O/U
No. 8 Georgia vs. No. 9 Tennessee (SECN, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Georgia has a slim shot at making the NCAA Tournament at 18-13, as the Bulldogs need a solid run in the SEC Tournament. The first test for UGA is Tennessee, as the Volunteers lost five of their final seven games of the regular season. Tennessee snapped a three-game skid by overcoming a 16-point deficit to shock Alabama in the regular season finale, 59-54 as 2 ½-point favorites. In spite of losing their season finale at Arkansas, Georgia posted a 9-2 ATS record as an underdog in SEC play, but put together a 1-6 ATS mark as a conference favorite. Tennessee looks to avenge a 76-75 home loss to Georgia as 4 ½-point favorites in mid-February, as the Bulldogs have won three straight meetings with the Volunteers.
Georgia 71
Tennessee 69
No. 5 Alabama
Overall: 17-13 SU, 13-15 ATS
Totals: 10-18 O/U
No. 12 Mississippi State
Overall: 16-15 SU, 17-11 ATS
Totals: 15-13 O/U
No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 12 Mississippi State (SECN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Mississippi State picked up consecutive wins for the first time in nearly two months after knocking out LSU on Wednesday, 79-52 in the opening round of the SEC tournament. The Bulldogs face Alabama, looking to beat the Crimson Tide for the first time in three tries this season after losing the first two meetings by 10 and 9 points. The Tide jumped out to an impressive 6-2 record to begin SEC play, but Alabama put together a choppy finish by losing six of its final 10 games. Alabama’s defense has played well down the stretch by allowing 60 points or less in five of the past six contests, resulting in five UNDERS.
Alabama 64
Mississippi State 62
No. 7 Vanderbilt
Overall: 17-14 SU, 18-11 ATS
Totals: 13-15 O/U
No. 10 Texas A&M
Overall: 16-14 SU, 11-16 ATS
Totals: 12-14 O/U
No. 7 Vanderbilt vs. No. 10 Texas A&M (SECN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Vanderbilt began SEC play at 3-5, but the Commodores won seven of their final 10 conference games to own a 10-8 league record. The Commodores pulled off a sweep of Florida, while covering their final six contests. Vandy faces an underachieving Texas A&M squad as the Aggies finished at 8-10 inside the conference following a 13-5 record last season. The Aggies won three of their final five games, but the season was capped off by a 71-63 defeat to regular season league champion Kentucky. Vandy pulled off the season sweep of A&M, including a 14-point rout as 4 ½-point underdogs at College Station in late January.
Vanderbilt 70
Texas A&M 67
No. 6 Mississippi
Overall: 19-12 SU, 17-13-1 ATS
Totals: 17-13-1 O/U
No. 14 Missouri
Overall: 8-23 SU, 13-13-2 ATS
Totals: 15-13-2
No. 6 Mississippi vs. No. 14 Missouri (SECN, 9:30 p.m. ET)
Missouri wasn’t ready to end its tumultuous season as the Tigers erased a late six-point deficit in overtime to stun Auburn, 86-83 as seven-point underdogs. The Tigers look for consecutive wins for the first time since December as they face Mississippi, a team Mizzou hung with twice in close losses. The latest matchup came in Oxford in late February as Ole Miss edged Missouri, 80-77 as 11-point home favorites. The Rebels won seven of their final 10 games, although all three of those losses came away from Oxford. Mississippi has lost in each of its last SEC tournament openers, while facing Mizzou in this tournament for the first time since a 64-62 victory in 2013.
Mississippi 77
Missouri 68
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