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Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, January 20
Akron won its last eight games, is 5-0 in MAC, with home wins by 5-7-15 points. Bobcats are shooting 58.3% inside arc, 39.5% outside arc in MAC games. Eastern Michigan won five of its last six games, winning MAC road games, at Ohio/Bowling Green. Eagles won last two games by 4-6 points. EMU has 44.2% eFG% in MAC games, best in league so far. Akron won seven of last eight games with EMU, winning last three visits here, by 30-4-4 points. MAC single digit home favorites are 10-7 vs spread this season.
Oakland lost its last two games (both at home) after starting season 14-3; Grizzlies are 2-0 on Horizon road, winning at UIC/Valpo by 1-12 points. Oakland is shooting only 26.7% on arc in league games. Northern Kentucky is 3-3 in Horizon, beating Cleveland St/Youngstown St in their two home games; they’re shooting 39.9% on arc in Horizon play, best in league. Norse lost 76-65 at Oakland New Year’s Eve; game was tied at half; teams split pair of games LY, with Oakland winning 85-74 in their visit here. Horizon road favorites are 6-2 vs spread.
Wright State won six of last seven games with Detroit, winning first meeting this year 85-72 in Motor City Dec 31- Raiders made 12-21 on arc in that game. Titans lost last three visits here, by 4-1-13 points. Detroit scored 93-87 points in winning its last two games after a 2-14 start; Titans are 2-4 in Horizon, 1-2 on road, with losses by 14-7 points. Wright State is 3-3 in Horizon, 1-1 at home, losing by 5 to Youngstown. Raiders are turning ball over 22% of time in league, too much for a veteran team. Horizon home favorites of 7+ points are 6-4 vs spread.
Yale won six of last eight D-I games; they split Penn/Princeton trip last week. Bulldogs have mostly a new team from LY’s league champs; they’re shooting 39% on arc (#32)- they’re 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Brown lost three of last four games, with losses by 3-2-31 points; they’re best team in country at getting to foul line but do turn ball over 20.9% of time while playing pace #50. Yale is 11-2 in its last 13 games with Brown, winning last four, three by 9+ points. Bulldogs won last two visits here, by 18-24 points.
Cleveland State upset Oakland last game, snapping 4-game skid; Vikings are just 2-5 in league play, 1-2 on road, with losses by 4-8 points. Milwaukee lost nine of last ten games, is 1-5 in Horizon, with only win over Northern Kentucky- their home loss was by 3 to Wright State. Cleveland beat Milwaukee 62-53 at home New Year’s Eve; game was only 25-16 at half. Win snapped Vikings’ 3-game skid vs Milwaukee, which won last two series games here by 6-34 points. Horizon home favorites of 3 or less points are 0-5 vs spread.
Green Bay won first meeting 90-77 at Youngstown Dec 31; they’ve won eight of last nine games with Youngstown State, winning last 14 games played here, last three all by 15+ points. Phoenix won six of its last seven games; they’re 3-0 at home in Horizon, winning by 6-9-17 points. Green Bay is playing #9 pace in country. Youngstown lost its last three games, by 16-3-16 points; they are 1-2 on Horizon road, losing by 13-16 points with an upset over Wright State. Double digit favorites are against the spread 2-2 in Horizon League this season.
Home side won five of last six Fairfield-Iona games; Stags lost last nine visits to New Rochelle, last two by 16-24 points, but Fairfield beat Iona 93-87 in first meeting this season Jan 2, making 14-34 on arc. Stags lost last three games overall, all at home, by 14-9-14 points; Fairfield is 2-1 on MAAC road, losing by 7 at Siena, winning at Rider/Manhattan. Iona is 4-4 in MAAC, 2-1 at home, with only loss to Niagara. Gaels haven’t won consecutive games since before Christmas. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 3-8 against the spread.
Canisius is 5-3 in MAAC; they’re 0-3 vs Iona/Monmouth, 5-0 vs everyone else. Griffins force turnovers 20.9% of time in MAAC games but have worst eFG% defense in league. Canisius is 5-2 in MAAC games with Quinnipiac; road team won four of the seven games. Griffins won last two visits here, by 2-10 points. Four of last five series games were decided by 6 or less points. Bobcats are 4-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with only home loss to Monmouth. Quinnipiac is rebounding 36% of its own missed shots. MAAC road favorites of 4 or less points are 4-2.
Monmouth survived Buffalo trip last weekend, has won four games in row; Hawks are 3-1 at home in MAAC, winning by 6-18-7 points, with only loss to Rider. Manhattan is 2-6 in MAAC, 0-3 on road, with losses by 14-2-9 points. Jaspers are turning ball over 18.3% of time in league games, way better than their non-conf %age. Monmouth is holding foes to 40.3% inside the arc. Jaspers shoot only 31.2% on arc. Manhattan is 5-1 in MAAC games with Monmouth, losing 79-70 here LY. Double digit favorites are 2-4 in MAAC games this season.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, January 20
Akron won its last eight games, is 5-0 in MAC, with home wins by 5-7-15 points. Bobcats are shooting 58.3% inside arc, 39.5% outside arc in MAC games. Eastern Michigan won five of its last six games, winning MAC road games, at Ohio/Bowling Green. Eagles won last two games by 4-6 points. EMU has 44.2% eFG% in MAC games, best in league so far. Akron won seven of last eight games with EMU, winning last three visits here, by 30-4-4 points. MAC single digit home favorites are 10-7 vs spread this season.
Oakland lost its last two games (both at home) after starting season 14-3; Grizzlies are 2-0 on Horizon road, winning at UIC/Valpo by 1-12 points. Oakland is shooting only 26.7% on arc in league games. Northern Kentucky is 3-3 in Horizon, beating Cleveland St/Youngstown St in their two home games; they’re shooting 39.9% on arc in Horizon play, best in league. Norse lost 76-65 at Oakland New Year’s Eve; game was tied at half; teams split pair of games LY, with Oakland winning 85-74 in their visit here. Horizon road favorites are 6-2 vs spread.
Wright State won six of last seven games with Detroit, winning first meeting this year 85-72 in Motor City Dec 31- Raiders made 12-21 on arc in that game. Titans lost last three visits here, by 4-1-13 points. Detroit scored 93-87 points in winning its last two games after a 2-14 start; Titans are 2-4 in Horizon, 1-2 on road, with losses by 14-7 points. Wright State is 3-3 in Horizon, 1-1 at home, losing by 5 to Youngstown. Raiders are turning ball over 22% of time in league, too much for a veteran team. Horizon home favorites of 7+ points are 6-4 vs spread.
Yale won six of last eight D-I games; they split Penn/Princeton trip last week. Bulldogs have mostly a new team from LY’s league champs; they’re shooting 39% on arc (#32)- they’re 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Brown lost three of last four games, with losses by 3-2-31 points; they’re best team in country at getting to foul line but do turn ball over 20.9% of time while playing pace #50. Yale is 11-2 in its last 13 games with Brown, winning last four, three by 9+ points. Bulldogs won last two visits here, by 18-24 points.
Cleveland State upset Oakland last game, snapping 4-game skid; Vikings are just 2-5 in league play, 1-2 on road, with losses by 4-8 points. Milwaukee lost nine of last ten games, is 1-5 in Horizon, with only win over Northern Kentucky- their home loss was by 3 to Wright State. Cleveland beat Milwaukee 62-53 at home New Year’s Eve; game was only 25-16 at half. Win snapped Vikings’ 3-game skid vs Milwaukee, which won last two series games here by 6-34 points. Horizon home favorites of 3 or less points are 0-5 vs spread.
Green Bay won first meeting 90-77 at Youngstown Dec 31; they’ve won eight of last nine games with Youngstown State, winning last 14 games played here, last three all by 15+ points. Phoenix won six of its last seven games; they’re 3-0 at home in Horizon, winning by 6-9-17 points. Green Bay is playing #9 pace in country. Youngstown lost its last three games, by 16-3-16 points; they are 1-2 on Horizon road, losing by 13-16 points with an upset over Wright State. Double digit favorites are against the spread 2-2 in Horizon League this season.
Home side won five of last six Fairfield-Iona games; Stags lost last nine visits to New Rochelle, last two by 16-24 points, but Fairfield beat Iona 93-87 in first meeting this season Jan 2, making 14-34 on arc. Stags lost last three games overall, all at home, by 14-9-14 points; Fairfield is 2-1 on MAAC road, losing by 7 at Siena, winning at Rider/Manhattan. Iona is 4-4 in MAAC, 2-1 at home, with only loss to Niagara. Gaels haven’t won consecutive games since before Christmas. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 3-8 against the spread.
Canisius is 5-3 in MAAC; they’re 0-3 vs Iona/Monmouth, 5-0 vs everyone else. Griffins force turnovers 20.9% of time in MAAC games but have worst eFG% defense in league. Canisius is 5-2 in MAAC games with Quinnipiac; road team won four of the seven games. Griffins won last two visits here, by 2-10 points. Four of last five series games were decided by 6 or less points. Bobcats are 4-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with only home loss to Monmouth. Quinnipiac is rebounding 36% of its own missed shots. MAAC road favorites of 4 or less points are 4-2.
Monmouth survived Buffalo trip last weekend, has won four games in row; Hawks are 3-1 at home in MAAC, winning by 6-18-7 points, with only loss to Rider. Manhattan is 2-6 in MAAC, 0-3 on road, with losses by 14-2-9 points. Jaspers are turning ball over 18.3% of time in league games, way better than their non-conf %age. Monmouth is holding foes to 40.3% inside the arc. Jaspers shoot only 31.2% on arc. Manhattan is 5-1 in MAAC games with Monmouth, losing 79-70 here LY. Double digit favorites are 2-4 in MAAC games this season.
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