The Bum's 2016 NCAA Basketball News-Trends-Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time

11:00 pm 12/16/2016
(527) LONG BEACH ST @(528) OREGON ST
Play AGAINST OREGON ST in the first half in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses this season (-8.8 units)
BET NOW!

11:00 pm 12/16/2016
(527) LONG BEACH ST @(528) OREGON ST
Play AGAINST OREGON ST in the first half in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses this season (-8.8 units)
BET NOW!

9:00 pm 12/16/2016
(533) N DAKOTA ST @(534) N DAKOTA
Play AGAINST N DAKOTA ST in the first half in All games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses for the last two seasons (-8.8 units)
BET NOW!

9:00 pm 12/16/2016
(533) N DAKOTA ST @(534) N DAKOTA
Play AGAINST N DAKOTA ST in the first half in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.5 units)
BET NOW!

8:30 pm 12/16/2016
(525) S DAKOTA @(526) PORTLAND
Play ON PORTLAND in the first half in All games in December games.
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.8 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(531) SAMFORD @(532) S ALABAMA
Play ON SAMFORD in the first half in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 16 Wins and 4 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.6 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(523) TX-ARLINGTON @(524) BRADLEY
Play ON TX-ARLINGTON in the first half in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 13 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.9 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(523) TX-ARLINGTON @(524) BRADLEY
Play ON TX-ARLINGTON in the first half in Road games after a non-conference game.
The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 12/16/2016
(529) DREXEL @(530) RIDER
Play AGAINST RIDER in the first half in Home games on Friday nights.
The record is 8 Wins and 25 Losses since 1997 (-19.5 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 12/16/2016
(521) FLA ATLANTIC @(522) MIAMI
Play AGAINST MIAMI in the first half in All games when the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5.
The record is 5 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (-22.5 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Half Time Under

7:00 pm 12/16/2016
(521) FLA ATLANTIC @(522) MIAMI
Play UNDER MIAMI on the first half total in Home games after scoring 80 points or more.
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the last three seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!

---------------------------------

BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Over

11:00 pm 12/16/2016
(527) LONG BEACH ST @(528) OREGON ST
Play OVER LONG BEACH ST on the total in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 15 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!

11:00 pm 12/16/2016
(527) LONG BEACH ST @(528) OREGON ST
Play OVER LONG BEACH ST on the total in Road games after a non-conference game.
The record is 15 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!

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BASKETBALL BETTING TRENDS
Under

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(531) SAMFORD @(532) S ALABAMA
Play UNDER SAMFORD on the total in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 13 Overs and 34 Unders since 1997 (+19.7 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(531) SAMFORD @(532) S ALABAMA
Play UNDER SAMFORD on the total in Road games after a non-conference game.
The record is 9 Overs and 33 Unders since 1997 (+23.1 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(523) TX-ARLINGTON @(524) BRADLEY
Play UNDER TX-ARLINGTON on the total in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 12/16/2016
(523) TX-ARLINGTON @(524) BRADLEY
Play UNDER TX-ARLINGTON on the total in Road games in non-conference games.
The record is 2 Overs and 12 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.8 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 12/16/2016
(529) DREXEL @(530) RIDER
Play UNDER RIDER on the total in All games in all games.
The record is 17 Overs and 38 Unders for the last three seasons (+19.3 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 12/16/2016
(529) DREXEL @(530) RIDER
Play UNDER DREXEL on the total in All games in December games.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

DAILY PLAYS RECORD:

12/01/2016 7-7-0 50.00% -350
12/02/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
12/03/2016 40-38-1 51.28% -900
12/04/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/05/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/06/2016 16-17-1 48.48% -1350
12/07/2016 22-19-0 53.66% +550
12/08/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
12/09/2016 2-1-0 66.67% +450
12/10/2016 43-39-3 52.44% +50
12/11/2016 12-9-0 57.14% +1050
12/12/2016 2-4-0 33.33% -1200
12/13/2016 8-5-0 61.54%+1250
12/14/2016 13-7-0 65.00%+2650
12/15/2016 7-6-0 53.85% +200

WLT Pct Units

ATS Picks 421-409-13 50.72% -14450

O/U Picks 89-78-2 53.29% +1600

DAILY BEST BETS:

12/14/16: 5 - 3 - 0

DEC- RECORD

ATS - 78 - 58 - 0 + 7850
TOTALS - 16 - 13 - 0 +850

OCT-NOV BEST BET RECORD
ATS Picks 124 -113- 1 52.32 % - 150
O/U Picks 14 - 17 - 3 45.16% - 2336

NOVEMBERS BIG PLAYS GO 13 - 7

DECEMBERS BIG PLAYS - 21 - 18- 1

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 16

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FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 2) - 12/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TX-ARLINGTON (8 - 3) at BRADLEY (5 - 5) - 12/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TX-ARLINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA (8 - 4) vs. PORTLAND (5 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONG BEACH ST (2 - 10) vs. OREGON ST (3 - 7) - 12/16/2016, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DREXEL (4 - 5) at RIDER (6 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 8-33 ATS (-28.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
RIDER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAMFORD (6 - 3) at S ALABAMA (6 - 4) - 12/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N DAKOTA ST (7 - 4) at N DAKOTA (5 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 2-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND ST (4 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 1) - 12/16/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-117 ATS (-46.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 16

Miami is 7-2 with two losses vs top 30 teams (Iowa St/Florida); Hurricanes are #268 experience team playing #266 pace- they’re 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with three wins by 30+ points and a 74-57 win over Wofford. Florida Atlantic is 2-5 vvs D-i teams but upset Ohio State in OT in its last game 10 days ago; Owls made 10-25 on arc in that game, are making 38.1% of their 3’s for season- they have four losses to teams ranked outside the top 200. ACC home favorites are 29-19 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 21-19.

Tex-Arlington won its last five D-I games with last four of those on road; Mavericks are #15 experience team but still turn ball over 23.2% of time, which is way too much. UTA blasted Bradley by 11-36 points last two years; they made 17-40 on arc in LW’s win. Bradley is 5-5 this year vs schedule #303; they’re 3rd-least experienced team in country, with no seniors in their rotation. Braves are 2-2 at home, losing to Delaware/Nevada by 14-22 points. Sun Belt road favorites are 4-3 vs spread; MVC home underdogs are 3-2.

First game in 11 days for Portland, after they beat Rio Grande in double OT last game; Pilots are 4-3 vs D-i foes under new coach Porter- they’re shooting 37.9% on arc (#72) and are #58 experience team. South Dakota is 6-4 vs schedule #231; Coyotes are #294 experience team that got put together for first time this year. USD has #308 eFG%, making just 44.9% inside arc. South Dakota is 1-2 on road, with only win by 5 at Drake. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22.

Long Beach State is a road favorite despite being 1-10 vs D-I opponents, with only win by 9 over Pepperdine nine days ago. 49ers over scheduled again; they’ve played 2nd-hardest schedule in America so far, but thats because guarantee $$ helps pay their coach’s inflated salary. Oregon State has ton of injuries, with Tinkle/Dew/N’diaye all out hurt. Beavers have already lost at home to Lamar and Savannah State, no bueno. Big West favorites are 2-3 away from home; Pac-12 home underdogs are 1-2.

Rider is 6-3 vs schedule #301; they’ve #96 experience team playing #43 pace. Broncs are shooting 29% on arc (#327), 60.5% on foul line (#337) but they have #43 eFG% defense so that helps. Drexel has new coach, is 4-5 vs schedule #249; they lost by point to St Joe’s in last game after leading by 11 with under 15:00 left. Dragons start two frosh, two juniors; they’re #223 experience team. Rider Rider is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. MAAC home favorites are 1-3 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 13-8.

South Alabama won in double OT at Samford LY, after being down 10 with 7:48 left in regulation; both teams were under 60% on foul line. USA lost four of its last five games after a 4-0 start; Jags are shooting just 28.5% on arc (#333)- they force turnovers 23.7% of time (#19). Samford is 5-3 vs schedule #316; Bulldogs are making 38.8% of 3-pointers, despite being #320 team in experience. This is Samford’s first D-I game in twelve days. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-6 vs spread; SoCon road underdogs are 15-12.

North Dakota State was 1-20 on arc in 74-56 home loss to North Dakota nine days ago in Fargo; Bison beat UC Davis by 4 since then; they’re 2-2 in true road games, 1-4 vs top 200 teams, with only win in opener vs Arkansas State. North Dakota is 2-3 vs D-i teams with losses by 1-4-8 points (and three non-D-I wins). Fighting Hawks had lost by 2-29 points in last couple series games. Big Sky home favorites are 3-8 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22 against the spread.

San Francisco is 7-1 vs easiest schedule in America up to now; every team they’ve played is rated #235 or lower, with only loss by 6 at #239 Eastern Washington. Dons are making 40.7% of their 3’s, have #4 eFG% in country- they hammered Portland State 77-40 in last meeting couple years ago. Vikings are 2-4 but they did win 91-85 at Pepperdine of WCC, their only win in five true road games- they lost by 16 at LMU. PSU has #344 eFG% defense in country. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 24-26.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Friday, December 16

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. FURMAN
No trends available
Furman is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Furman is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. MIAMI
Florida Atlantic is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida Atlantic's last 14 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

7:00 PM
DREXEL vs. RIDER
Drexel is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MILLIGAN vs. WILLIAM & MARY
No trends available
William & Mary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
William & Mary is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. HIGH POINT
UNC Wilmington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas State is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. BRADLEY
Texas-Arlington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games on the road
Bradley is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
Bradley is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN vs. LAMAR
Texas-Pan American is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Lamar
Texas-Pan American is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

8:05 PM
MONTANA TECH vs. IDAHO STATE
No trends available
Idaho State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Idaho State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

8:05 PM
SAMFORD vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
Samford is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
South Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
CAL STATE-EAST BAY vs. STANFORD
No trends available
Stanford is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Stanford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA STATE vs. NORTH DAKOTA
No trends available
North Dakota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:00 PM
BETHESDA vs. CS NORTHRIDGE
No trends available
CS Northridge is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of CS Northridge's last 9 games

10:00 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Portland State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

11:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Long Beach State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 16

Portland St @ San Francisco

Game 535-536
December 16, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
48.238
San Francisco
58.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 10 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 8 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-8 1/2); Under

North Dakota St @ North Dakota

Game 533-534
December 16, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
48.300
North Dakota
60.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota
by 12 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota
by 5 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota
(-5 1/2); Over

Samford @ South Alabama

Game 531-532
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
52.345
South Alabama
51.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
by 1
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
by 2 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(+2 1/2); Over

Drexel @ Rider

Game 529-530
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drexel
53.235
Rider
49.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drexel
by 3 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 5 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+5 1/2); Under

Long Beach St @ Oregon State

Game 527-528
December 16, 2016 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
46.753
Oregon State
50.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon State
by 4
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Long Beach St
by 3 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+3 1/2); Under

South Dakota @ Portland

Game 525-526
December 16, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota
53.383
Portland
51.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
147
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
(+4); Over

TX-Arlington @ Bradley

Game 523-524
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Arlington
64.190
Bradley
50.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Arlington
by 14
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Arlington
by 11 1/2
143
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Arlington
(-11 1/2); Under

Florida Atlantic @ Miami-FL

Game 521-522
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
51.870
Miami-FL
73.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 21 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 19
137
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-19); Over

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 16

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

FAU at MIA 07:00 PM

FAU +21.0

O 135.0 *****

DREX at RID 07:00 PM

RID -3.5

U 148.0

UTA at BRAD 08:00 PM

UTA -9.5 *****

SAM at USA 08:05 PM

USA -3.5

U 140.0

SDAK at PORT 08:30 PM

PORT -3.0

NDSU at UND 09:00 PM

UND -5.5

PRST at SF 10:00 PM

PRST +9.0 *****

O 160.0 *****

LBSU at ORST 11:00 PM

LBSU -4.5 *****

U 135.0

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s six-pack

NFL trends for Week 15 games

— Baltimore is 1-5-1 in last seven games vs NFC teams.

— Panthers are 14-6 in last 20 games as a road dog.

— Texans are 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten divisional games.

— Vikings covered nine of last ten as a home favorite.

— New England covered nine of its last 12 games.

— Redskins are 13-4 vs spread in their last 17 games.

Saturday’s List of 13: Random thoughts on a damn cold day

13) NBA has a problem on their hands; teams are routinely sitting stars when they play back/back games, and fans who are paying serious money to watch these games aren’t happy. I’m not talking about players who are legitimately injured, I’m talking about guys being given nights off to “rest”. Rest from what?

Seems like most teams try to rest their stars on the road, so their fans don’t get screwed out of seeing the hometown heroes play, but what about when the Cavaliers or Warriors or Rockets go on the road?

People pay a LOT OF MONEY to see Lebron play or Steph Curry or James Harden play and if they don’t play, thats bad for future business. Bad for current business, too.

“I never thought this would happen in our sport.” Allen Iverson said that about players resting during Friday night’s Lakers-Philly broadcast.

12) Gregg Popovich is the man most responsible for implementing this practice, but the media won’t call him on it because he’s won a lot and he’s a grumpy human on a good day.

But I remember walking into the Mandalay Bay sportsbook just before Christmas 2012 and there was a kerfuffle because the Spurs were on TNT that night and Parker/Duncan/Ginobili weren’t playing.

Spurs won anyway that night and now that practice has spread all over the league. Guys who played 2-3 games a day in their teen/AAU years can’t play a game one night, get on a private plane and fly to another city to play again the next night, its too much for them.

I sound like the old guy telling kids to get off his lawn but I’m right; modern NBA players make a bleeping fortune and they sit out games when they’re not hurt and it sucks.

11) I didn’t even mention people like myself who pay $200 for the Full Court package on TV; I want to watch ball, if a star sits out, I’ll just put another game on, so it isn’t as big a deal as if you go buy game tickets, then travel to the arena for that one game.

But when the average salary in the NBA is set to jump to $9M (AVERAGE!!!!) pretty soon, you’d think guys would suck it up and actually play in all the games, so people who drove 300 miles and use their savings to let their kid see Lebron or Dwyane Wade play wouldn’t go home disappointed.

10) There is a big mess up in Minnesota; 10 Golden Gopher football players were suspended for their bowl game, after an investigation into an alleged sexual assault at an off-campus apartment in September was re-opened. That opened a huge can of worms.

As a result of the investigation being re-opened, the rest of the Gophers are boycotting football activities, which puts their Holiday Bowl game with Washington State in jeopardy.

There is the potential for a lot of collateral damage here; bowls generally benefit charities, so that would be bad, Washington State would be negatively impacted, the people who work at Qualcomm Park and at ESPN would lose work.

There is the chance Minnesota could drop out of the bowl and be replaced by another team, but plans have been made and it would be cumbersome for another team to re-gather and begin bowl prep. Curious to see how this one plays out.

9) Elsewhere in Minnesota, Adrian Peterson will play this week against the Colts, coming back a little earlier than expected from his knee surgery.

8) This from Mr Bill Deacon on the Interweb:

“…..At the age of 52, Bill Wyman, Sir Mick (Jagger)’s former bandmate, married an 18-year-old called Mandy Smith. A few years later, Wyman’s grown-up son from a previous marriage married Mandy’s mother.

Which meant that Wyman’s mother-in-law was also his daughter-in-law.”

7) Louisville suspended its offensive coordinator as a result of the Wake Forest scandal, where a disgruntled former coach leaked gameplay info to Demon Deacon opponents.

I’ll say this, whether I’m right or wrong who knows, but it is how I feel: if a friend of yours does this and contacts you with gameplay info, no one on this planet is turning his friend in. You may ask him if anything is wrong, you may take the info and toss it away, but who would rat out their friend? It is unrealistic to think that would happen. A “friend” would not do that.

6) Austin Wiley, a top-20 basketball prospect in the class of 2017, has enrolled at Auburn and will be immediately eligible; this means the kid gave up his senior year of high school to play college hoop right now. Decisions like this are tough; you’re giving up a piece of your normal childhood, but for what?

Chances are he is a lot younger than his new teammates; from a social standpoint, is it a positive? He has to leave home; hopefully this turns out to be a good decision for the player, and is not a reaction to two Auburn players being suspended earlier this week after they got busted by the cops with weed.

5) Good news: Rod Carew is expected to make a full recovery from his heart/kidney transplants that took place Thursday night into Friday- whole thing took 13 hours. Medicine is an amazing thing.

4) Former NBA player Darius Miles is 35 years old; he made $62M in his 11-year playing career, which ended seven years ago. Unfortunately, Miles has declared for bankruptcy; this week his sports memorabilia was auctioned off near St Louis. You make $62M in 11 years, you shouldn’t be broke seven years later. Guys need to learn how to handle their money.

A guy like Shaquille O’Neal has been brilliant with his money; he owns close to 100 fast-food places and some car washes, plus she still banks a fortune each year doing commercials. Junior Bridgman owns 70 or 80 Wendy’s, but most athletes squander their money and that is a tragedy.

3) North Carolina is 8-4 vs Kentucky when they’ve played, with both teams in the top ten.

2) We will never see anything like this, but would love to hear a President’s candid thoughts (any President) after he leaves office.

— Was it what he thought it would be like?
— Did the time fly by?
— Did he enjoy it at all?
— Did he miss being able to drive his own car?
— Would he do it all over again, if he could?
— What advice would he give to future Presidents?

1) Nothing brings out hostility in people like getting stuck in traffic jams at Christmastime, when everyone is in a hurry to do the same thing; where I live, traffic jams are uncommon, but there was one today around 1:45 in the afternoon and people were salty about it. Horns blaring, near-accidents, people cutting off other cars, great fun.

Guy in lane next to me in a red Mercedes banged his horn so hard it looked like he might’ve hurt his hand. Why? Because the car in front of him let someone cut in front of them from a parking lot. Hey buddy, you drive a Mercedes, you’re probably rich. Chill. Merry Christmas!!!

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s best 13 games

Georgetown beat Syracuse 78-72 at home LY; they led by 21 early in second half. Hoyas won three of last four series games, winning two of last three visits to Carrier Dome. Georgetown won last four games, all vs stiffs; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 1-16-27 points and win over Oregon. Syracuse is 6-0 at home, 0-3 elsewhere, but Monmouth is only top 100 team they’ve played at home. Georgetown is in bottom 30 of country in defensive rebounding. Big East underdogs are 9-7 against the spread away from home.

Oklahoma lost two of last three games with four new starters this year; Sooners made 11-26 on arc, won 84-78 at Memphis LY, outscoring Tigers 13-4 over last 3:14 of game. Oklahoma is 1-3 vs top 100 teams with losses by 6-20-3 points and win over Clemson. Memphis is also 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with win over Iowa- they lost at home to Monmouth Tuesday. Tigers are making just 30.1% of their 3-pointers, 61.7% on foul line- they start three sophomores. Big X home favorites are 20-13 vs spread; AAC road underdogs are 7-12.

Wichita State is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Louisville/Michigan State; they beat Oklahoma by 3 in last game. Shockers have #3 eFG% defense in country- they don’t start any seniors. Oklahoma State is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by point to Maryland, 32 to UNC; Cowboys split two true road games, with games decided by total of five points- they’re forcing turnovers 26.6% of time, #3 in country. Big X underdogs are 8-4 vs spread away from home; MVC home favorites are 17-9 vs spread.

VCU outscored Middle Tennessee State 18-7 over last 6:34 in 62-56 win LY; Rams shot only 31.7% from floor for game. Rams are 2-2 vs top 100 teams this year, beating LSU/Princeton, losing to Baylor by 8, Illinois by 18. VCU is turning ball over 21.2% of time, not good. MTSU is 10-1 vs schedule #91, with wins at Ole Miss, Vandy, Belmont. Blue Raiders won their last eight games; they’re 3-0 vs top 100 teams, with only loss at home to Tennessee State. Conference-USA road underdogs are 21-19 vs spread; Atlantic-14 home favorites are 15-25.

Texas A&M is 7-2 but losses are to USC/UCLA, Pac-12 rivals of Arizona. Aggies are #297 in experience; they’re shooting only 29.9% on arc, 62.4% on foul line- their only top 100 win in three tries was by 3 over Va Tech. Arizona is thin/young; they beat stiffs in last three games, are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Michigan State, losing to Butler by 4, Gonzaga by 7. Aggies are playing pace #337; their first true road game isn’t until January 3. SEC home favorites are 23-23 vs spread; Pac-12 road underdogs are 7-6.

Arkansas-Texas was a big rivalry when they were both in same league- this game is in Houston, a semi-neutral site. Razorbacks are 8-1 this season, with only loss by 13 at Minnesota, their only game away from home. Arkansas is #32 experience team that is deep; they’re grabbing 40.6% of own misses (#6 in country). Texas lost four of last six games; they’re 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with best win by 9 over Alabama- three of Longhorns’ five wins are vs teams outside the top 200. Texas is shooting 28.6% on arc, and not forcing turnovers like Smart’s VCU teams did.

Purdue is 8-2 with both losses top 10 teams (Villanova/Louisville); they lost by 31 to Notre Dame in last meeting two years ago. Boilers are making 44.1% of their 3’s (#5) this year, have #4 eFG% in country.- they’re 2-2 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Arizona State/Auburn. Notre Dame was 9-0 before 8-point loss to Villanova last week; Irish are #59 experience team thats played schedule #294- they’re #1 in country on foul line and at protecting ball. ND is 3-1 vs top 100 teams with wins over Iowa/Northwestern of Big 14.

Indiana beat Butler 82-73 in last meeting two years ago; Bulldogs beat IU in OT in previous meeting in 2013. Hoosiers are 8-1 vs schedule #333 (they’ve beaten Kansas/UNC); they’re #312 in experience but play lot of guys- their one loss was in OT at Fort Wayne. Butler is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#23); they’ve got five top 100 wins but lost by point at #161 Indiana State. Bulldogs beat Vandy/Arizona on neutral floor in Las Vegas. Big 14 favorites are are 6-3 vs spread on neutral floors. Big East underdogs are 5-5 vs spread on neutral floors.

UCLA is an offensive juggernaut so far; they’re 11-0 vs schedule #257, scoring 100+ points in five games. Bruins beat Nebraska by 11/Michigan by 18 in games vs Big 14 foes- they’re making 45.3% on arc (#1), 62.8% inside arc (#1) at pace #13. This game is in Las Vegas, just second game they’ve played outside of California (won at Kentucky). Ohio State is 8-2 with both losses by a basket but one of them was at home to Fla Atlantic. Buckeyes have #38 eFG% defense; they’re 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Providence/UConn. Interesting game.

North Carolina is 8-4 vs Kentucky in meetings when both teams were in top 10- they lost 84-70 to Wildcats in last meeting two years ago. Tar Heels are #135 experience team playing pace #40 with a deep bench. UNC is 10-1 with only loss by 9 at Indiana- they’re 5-1 vs top 100 teams but struggled in last game, beating Tennessee 73-71. Kentucky is #347 experience team that is 9-1 vs schedule #187 while playing pace #11. Wildcats are 3-1 in top 100 games, with wins over Michigan State-Valparaiso-Arizona State. This is Kentucky’s 4th neutral court game already.

Northwestern is 8-2 vs schedule #299; if they want to make NCAAs for first time, would be good idea to win this game. Wildcats are 2-2 in top 100 games, but wins are over Texas/Wake Forest- they lost to Butler/Notre Dame by total of six points. Dayton is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Nebraska/St Mary’s; Flyers are #69 experience team but they’ve been thinned by injuries. Wildcats had surprisingly tough 68-64 home win over #329 Chicago State in their last game. This game is at United Center, a virtual home game for Northwestern.

Illinois is #44 experience team that will get its coach fired if they don’t make NCAAs; Illini is 8-3 vs schedule #163- they won last four games, including wins over NC State/VCU- they turn ball over 20.6% of time, a little high for a team playing pace #227. BYU is 7-3 vs schedule #248; they played #3 tempo so far, are 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Princeton/Colorado, losing to USC by Valparaiso by 3, both on neutral floors. Cougars are #298 experience team but their team is little older than most because lot of their players go on Mormon missions.

Chattanooga is 8-2 vs schedule #181; they split pair of top 100 games, losing to North Carolina by 40, beating Tennessee by 13. Mocs are #36 experience team that forces turnovers 24.1% of time (#12)- they’re 3-1 in true road games. Vanderbilt has new coach, is 5-5 vs schedule #108; Commodores are 0-5 vs teams ranked #130 or higher, with losses to Middle Tennessee and Bucknell. Vandy makes 41.4% outside arc (#13) but only 44.5% inside arc (#290). SEC home favorites are 23-23 vs spread; SoCon road underdogs are 15-12.

[StarDust Bum]

DAILY PLAYS RECORD:

12/01/2016 7-7-0 50.00% -350
12/02/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
12/03/2016 40-38-1 51.28% -900
12/04/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/05/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/06/2016 16-17-1 48.48% -1350
12/07/2016 22-19-0 53.66% +550
12/08/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
12/09/2016 2-1-0 66.67% +450
12/10/2016 43-39-3 52.44% +50
12/11/2016 12-9-0 57.14% +1050
12/12/2016 2-4-0 33.33% -1200
12/13/2016 8-5-0 61.54%+1250
12/14/2016 13-7-0 65.00%+2650
12/15/2016 7-6-0 53.85% +200
12/16/2016 3-8-2 27.27% -2900

WLT Pct Units

ATS Picks 424-413-14 50.66% -15150

O/U Picks 89-82-3 52.05% -600

DAILY BEST BETS:

12/15/16: 2 - 2 - 1

DEC- RECORD

ATS - 80 - 59 - 0 + 9400
TOTALS - 16 - 14 - 1 +300

OCT-NOV BEST BET RECORD
ATS Picks 124 -113- 1 52.32 % - 150
O/U Picks 14 - 17 - 3 45.16% - 2336

NOVEMBERS BIG PLAYS GO 13 - 7

DECEMBERS BIG PLAYS - 21 - 18- 1

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GTWN at SYR 12:00 PM

U 139.5 *****

TAM at ARIZ 12:00 PM

TAM -3.0 *****

EKY at LOU 12:00 PM

EKY +26.5

O 146.0 *****

MEM at OKLA 12:30 PM

MEM +11.0

O 152.5

TTU at RICH 12:30 PM

TTU -6.0 ******

SBON at NIAG 01:00 PM

SBON -14.0

O 154.5 *****

SCAR at USF 01:00 PM

USF +12.0

JMU at APP 01:00 PM

U 142.0

CIT at VT 01:00 PM

VT -30.5 *****

MAN at FSU 01:30 PM

FSU -23.5 *****

WKU at DETU 02:00 PM

U 145.0

PUR at ND 02:00 PM

PUR -2.5 *****

CLEVST at OHIO 02:00 PM

OHIO -11.5 *****

CHS at DEP 02:00 PM

DEP -12.5

ETSU at MORE 02:00 PM

ETSU -6.5

O 148.5

ARK at TEX 02:30 PM

ARK -3.0

[StarDust Bum]

OSU at UCLA 03:00 PM

UCLA -9.0 ***** ( FAVORITE OF THE DAY )

UNCO at DEN 03:00 PM

DEN -8.0

KSU at CSU 03:00 PM

CSU +5.5 ***** ( DOG OF THE DAY )

O 134.5

UMES at MICH 03:00 PM

MICH -26.5 *****

U 137.5

WIU at MILW 03:00 PM

WIU +7.5

EIU at MIZZ 03:30 PM

MIZZ -8.0 *****

CAN at BUFF 03:30 PM

BUFF -6.0

L-IL at UIC 04:00 PM

UIC +8.0

SCU at WSU 04:00 PM

SCU +3.5 *****

CHAR at FLA 04:00 PM

FLA -19.5 *****

RMU at UVA 04:30 PM

RMU +31.0

IOWA at UNI 04:30 PM

IOWA +3.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

MURR at SDST 05:00 PM

SDST -5.0

SIUE at SLU 05:00 PM

SIUE +3.5 *****

BUT at IND 05:00 PM

IND -2.5 *****

UNC at UK 05:45 PM

UK +0.0 *****

COR at WYO 06:00 PM

COR +10.5 *****

DEL at HALL 06:00 PM

HALL -21.0 *****

SEMO at MOSU 06:00 PM

MOSU -15.5 *****

PV at UTAH 06:00 PM

UTAH -25.5

INDPU at SUU 06:00 PM

INDPU -6.0 *****

TXSO at LSU 06:00 PM

LSU -10.5

[StarDust Bum]

KU at DAV 07:00 PM

KU -15.5 *****

MTU at VCU 07:00 PM

MTU +4.0

NIU at FIU 07:00 PM

NIU -1.0

DRKE at ISU 07:00 PM

ISU -22.5 *****

OKST at WICH 07:00 PM

OKST +7.5 *****

RICE at PITT 07:00 PM

RICE +10.5 *****

DAY at NW 07:00 PM

NW +1.0

U 140.5

MRSH at AKR 07:30 PM

MRSH +7.0 *****

O 166.0 *****