The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 16


Orlando @ Golden State

Game 711-712
March 16, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
113.638
Golden State
132.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Denver

Game 709-710
March 16, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
125.284
Denver
121.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-1 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ New York

Game 707-708
March 16, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
111.798
New York
119.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-3 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
March 16, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.764
Atlanta
118.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4); Over

Oklahoma City @ Toronto

Game 703-704
March 16, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
119.960
Toronto
124.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2 1/2); Under

Utah @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
March 16, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
118.388
Cleveland
129.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 11
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-6 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 16

Utah won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Five of their last seven games went over total. Cavaliers lost four of last six games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 9-3 in their last twelve games. Home side won eight of last nine Utah-Cleveland games; Jazz lost last four visits to Ohio (1-3 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Toronto won eight of last 11 games, won last four at home, covering last three. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Road team won six of last eight Raptor-Thunder games; OKC won three of last four visits to Canada. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Grizzlies won last two games after losing five in row before that; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Atlanta won three of last four games, are 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last five games went over. Hawks won four of last five games with Memphis; five of last six series games stayed under. Grizzlies lost three of last four visits here, losing by 12-10-11 points.

Brooklyn lost five of last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last seven games went over. New York lost five of last seven games, is 2-6 vs spread in last six away games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Knicks won three of last four games with Brooklyn, but lost to Nets Sunday at Barclays. Three of last four series games stayed under. Nets lost last three visits here (0-3 vs spread)

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, March 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. CLEVELAND
Utah is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Utah is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. TORONTO
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. NEW YORK
Brooklyn is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
New York is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. ATLANTA
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DENVER
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games on the road
Denver is 15-4 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Denver is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Clippers

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Golden State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (43 - 25) at CLEVELAND (44 - 22) - 3/16/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 29) at TORONTO (39 - 28) - 3/16/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 173-125 ATS (+35.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 183-226 ATS (-65.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (38 - 30) at ATLANTA (37 - 30) - 3/16/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (12 - 54) at NEW YORK (27 - 41) - 3/16/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (40 - 28) at DENVER (32 - 35) - 3/16/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (24 - 44) at GOLDEN STATE (53 - 14) - 3/16/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 77-57 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 79-110 ATS (-42.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 16

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

OKC at TOR 07:00 PM

OKC +2.5

O 207.5

UTA at CLE 07:00 PM

CLE -7.0 *****

U 207.5

BK at NY 07:30 PM

NY -4.5

MEM at ATL 07:30 PM

O 203.0

LAC at DEN 09:00 PM

O 220.5

ORL at GS 10:30 PM

ORL +14.0

U 218.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Kind of cheesy of Indiana to fire Tom Crean about 90 seconds after the NCAA tournament started. Will they go after native son Steve Alford?

— Clippers actually gave Blake Griffin his birthday off; he didn’t go to Denver for LA’s game last night. Oy.

— North Dakota hoop coach Brian Jones makes $100,000 a year. Not a lot for a D-I coach.

— Dwayne Wade is out for the year with a fractured elbow.

— Friend of mine who works at a sports book in Las Vegas wrote 867 betting tickets in just over nine hours Wednesday night. This is a great week to be in the desert.

— Virginia is only team in NCAA tournament with only one player averaging double figures.

**********

Armadillo: Wrapping up the first real day of March Madness

Night games
Xavier 76, Maryland 65— When Xavier’s kids sat down to watch TV at 5:30 Sunday, they had to nervous as to whether they were in the field of 68 or not. Now they’ve advanced to the round of 32. Terrapins won a lot of games with an extremely young nucleus held together by junior PG Trimble; that wasn’t enough here, as Xavier big man O’Mara had a career night, scoring 18 points.

Villanova 76, Mt St Mary’s 56— Wildcats dozed thru first half, led 30-29, then did what they had to do in second half to advance. Villanova needs to step up its game Saturday. Over last seven years, #1 seeds are 23-5 SU in second round games, but they did lose five times, as favorites of 11.5-8-6.5-4.5.9.5 points. Wildcats were last of those five teams, losing to NC State in 2015.

Purdue 80, Vermont 70— Game was only 37-36 at half, but Boilermakers win/cover- Vermont didn’t score in last 1:16 as Purdue covered on a FT with 0:28 left America East teams are now 6-7 vs spread in this round the last 13 years- Albany 5-1, rest of the league 1-6.

St Mary’s 85, VCU 77— Announcer on A-14 tournament last weekend said this: “If VCU plays a team with experienced guards, they could be in trouble in NCAA’s.” That is exactly what went on here. Gaels ran a clinic on half-court offense and move on to play Saturday.

Florida State 86, Florida Gulf Coast 80— Not often a game starts 2-2 with both baskets on dunks, but this one did. This game was like a fierce playground battle between arch-rivals; teams combined to go 10-41 on the arc, but Seminoles got to foul line 39 times. Bacon had 25 for FSU; you could say he was…..sizzling.

Wisconsin 84, Virginia Tech 74— Badgers made 13-31 on arc, will next play Villanova, which could be a good game— Wisconsin starts four seniors who’ve played a lot of ball together. Bronson Koenig was 8-17 behind the arc; thats a lot of 3’s for one guy to take.

Iowa State 84, Nevada 73— Wolf Pack only played six guys in this game; difficult to play as hard as they do and not sub much— their legs go late in game, which shows in their shooting. When Nevada has better depth next year, they’re going to be a handful.

Good trivia; Nevada player Jordan Caroline’s dad is Simeon Rice, who was a really good player in the NFL. His granddad is JC Caroline, who played 10 years for the Bears and intercepted Johnny Unitas’ first career pass and ran it back for a touchdown.

Arizona 100, North Dakota 82— Fighting Hawks went right at Arizona and got their butts kicked, but what a year they had, making NCAA’s for first time. In 2018-19 they move to the Summit League, which is a better league, so they’ll need to upgrade their recruiting. Video from this game won’t hurt, at least the offensive part of it.

Arizona-St Mary’s Saturday will be an interesting game.

Afternoon games
Notre Dame 60, Princeton 58— Tigers had a wide-open 3-pointer to take lead with 0:05 but Cannady missed, and Irish survive/advance. Cannady grew up five minutes outside South Bend. Princeton won Ivy title on Sunday; thought noon Thursday game was a tough draw for them, but they played well- too bad they were 8-31 on arc.

Virginia 76, NC-Wilmington 71— Seahawks led by 14 in first half, but Cavaliers used big run to grab 30-29 lead at half- Virginia held UNCW off in second half. Hard to believe Kevin Keatts will still be Seahawks’ coach next year; he’s done great work there, and the $$$ leagues should come calling this week or next.

Butler 76, Winthrop 64— Bulldogs outscored Winthrop 20-5 on foul line; Woodson made 6-10 on arc for Butler. Big South is now 2-6 vs spread in this round the last nine years. This was Eagles’ first trip to NCAA’s since 2010, when Gregg Marshall was their coach— terrific year for them.

Gonzaga 66, South Dakota State 46— Zags were only up 26-22 at half, but they methodically pulled away in second half and won easily- they held Jackrabbits’ star Daum to 17 points. Zags might’ve covered spread had they not gone 8-18 on foul line. There will be pressure on Gonzaga Saturday, when they play Vandy-Northwestern winner to get to Sweet 16.

West Virginia 86, Bucknell 80— Mountaineers were up 27-12 eight minutes in; there was a few minutes when Bucknell couldn’t get ball over half-court, but then Bison got gritty and hung in there- they got within five points a few times in second half. West Virginia-Notre Dame is a high quality second round game Saturday.

Florida 80, East Tennessee State 65— Game was 33-32 at half, but Gators outscored ETSU 21-6 on foul line, got lot of run-out hoops after Bucs’ turnovers to pull away in second half. Second round game with Virginia will be a much different style game.

Middle Tennessee State 81, Minnesota 72— Last two seasons, Blue Raiders are 5-0 vs SEC/Big 14 teams, winning by average of 12.6 pts/game. This was a 12-seed beating a 5-seed, but not an upset. MTSU was favored by a point. Richard Pitino lost his poise, got T’d up near the end when Gophers were down nine- -they were already going to lose, but not his finest moment.

Northwestern 68, Vanderbilt 66— Vandy scored with 0:17 left to take lead, then one of their best guys screwed up, fouling on purpose— did he think a) they were behind? b) they were up 3? c) they had a foul to give? Whatever, it was a colossal screw-up.

Northwestern makes their foul shots and advances, so we get 120 more shots of the Seinfeld lady on TV Saturday (her son is a sub on Northwestern).

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 17


Milwaukee @ LA Lakers

Game 815-816
March 17, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
120.428
LA Lakers
110.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 6 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-6 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Phoenix

Game 813-814
March 17, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
114.813
Phoenix
113.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+3 1/2); Over

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 811-812
March 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.342
New Orleans
120.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Miami

Game 809-810
March 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.390
Miami
124.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4 1/2); Under

Boston @ Brooklyn

Game 807-808
March 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
125.911
Brooklyn
115.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-9); Under

Toronto @ Detroit

Game 805-806
March 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
119.422
Detroit
116.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4); Over

Chicago @ Washington

Game 803-804
March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.781
Washington
125.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 17
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
N/A

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 801-802
March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.349
Philadelphia
109.813
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (29 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 43) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 478-401 ATS (+36.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 317-264 ATS (+26.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (32 - 36) at WASHINGTON (41 - 26) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (39 - 29) at DETROIT (33 - 35) - 3/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (43 - 25) at BROOKLYN (13 - 54) - 3/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (28 - 39) at MIAMI (33 - 35) - 3/17/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (47 - 21) at NEW ORLEANS (27 - 41) - 3/17/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (24 - 45) at PHOENIX (22 - 46) - 3/17/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (33 - 34) at LA LAKERS (20 - 48) - 3/17/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 354-424 ATS (-112.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 250-306 ATS (-86.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 168-214 ATS (-67.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 17

Mavericks won seven of last ten games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. 76ers lost five of last six games but covered last four; they are 13-2 vs spread in last 15 home games. Three of their last four home games stayed under. Dallas won its last eight games with Philly (4-4 vs spread); they won last three visits here, but Sixers covered all three. Three of last four series games went over total.

Chicago lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Washington won five of last seven games; they’re 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight home games- their last eight games went over total. Wizards won three of last four games with Chicago (under 3-1); Bulls lost last three games in this building (1-2 vs spread). Chicago lost six of its last seven games; seven of their last eight games stayed under. Bulls

Raptors lost three of last four games, are 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Pistons won seven of last 11 games, are 11-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Under is 9-5 in their last fourteen games. Toronto is 6-4 in its last ten games with Detroit; Raptors won three of last five games in Motor City. Eight of last ten series games went over total.

Boston won three of last four games, is 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Nets split their last six games, are 7-3 vs spread in last ten; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Seven of last eight Brooklyn games went over. Celtics won six of last eight games with Brooklyn; they won four of last five games in Barclays’ Center. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Minnesota lost its last three road games; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight games overall, 7-5 vs spread in last 12 on road. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Heat won five of last six games; they’re 13-2 vs spread in last 15 home games. Under is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Road team won seven of last ten Minnesota-Miami games; Wolves teams split last four series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Houston won five of last seven games; they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Pelicans split their last eight games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 11-3 in their last fourteen games. Rockets won seven of last eight games with New Orleans; they won three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Last three series games stayed under total.

Magic lost six of last seven games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Phoenix lost four of last five games, is 0-3-1 vs spread in last four home games- their last three games stayed under total. Suns won six of their last seven games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread); teams split last four games played in desert. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Milwaukee won seven of last eight games, is 5-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Lakers lost 11 of last 12 games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last five games went over total. Lakers won three of last four games with Milwaukee; four of last five series games went over total. Bucks lost three of last four series games played here.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Dallas

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 20 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Houston's last 17 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing Houston

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHOENIX
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games
LA Lakers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA notebook: Bulls' Wade out for rest of season
March 16, 2017

Chicago Bulls guard Dwyane Wade will miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right elbow, the team announced.

Wade underwent an MRI exam after sustaining the injury in the fourth quarter of Wednesday's 98-91 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. The results of the MRI showed a sprain in addition to a small fracture in the elbow.

The injury comes at a pivotal time for the Bulls (32-36), who reside a game behind the Detroit Pistons (33-35) and Wade's former team -- the Miami Heat (33-35) -- for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

Wade, 35, is averaging 18.6 points, 4.5 assists and 3.9 rebounds this season after signing a two-year, $47.5 million deal over the summer.

--Cleveland Cavaliers All-Star forward Kevin Love will play and start Thursday night against the Utah Jazz after missing the last 13 games following knee surgery.

Love had "loose bodies" removed from his left knee on Feb. 14 and hasn't played in a game since Feb. 11. He's averaging 20 points and 11.1 rebounds for the Cavs this season.

Coach Tyronn Lue said Love would be on a minutes restriction and might not be able to play on consecutive nights.

--Phoenix Suns point guard Eric Bledsoe will miss the rest of the season due to knee soreness.

Coach Earl Watson termed it as a "management decision," and implied it wasn't his call.

Bledsoe has experienced knee issues in the past and played in just 31 games in 2015-16 when he required season-ending surgery on his left knee.

Bledsoe, 27, set career bests by averaging 21.1 points and 6.3 assists this season.

--Boston Celtics guard Isaiah Thomas has been ruled out of both contests on the team's two-game road trip this weekend due to a right knee bone bruise, the team announced.

Thomas will miss Friday's game against the cellar-dwelling Brooklyn Nets (12-54) and Sunday's matinee with the Philadelphia 76ers (24-43).

--The Charlotte Hornets signed forward Johnny O'Bryant to a multi-year contract, the team announced Thursday.

The 6-foot-9 O'Bryant had signed 10-day contracts with Charlotte on Feb. 24 and March 6 after spending much of the season in the NBA Development League.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, MARCH 17

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHI at WAS 07:00 PM

CHI +8.0

O 212.0

DAL at PHI 07:00 PM

DAL -5.5

U 204.5

BOS at BK 07:30 PM

BK +8.0

O 215.0

TOR at DET 07:30 PM

DET -3.5

U 202.0

MIN at MIA 08:00 PM

MIA -4.5 **********

U 206.0

HOU at NO 08:00 PM

HOU -6.5

O 228.0

ORL at PHO 10:00 PM

PHO -2.5

U 220.5

MIL at LAL 10:30 PM

MIL -7.5

O 213.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— NC State hired UNCW coach Kevin Keatts as its new hoop coach.

— Tom Crean got $4M to leave Indiana, so hard to feel too bad for the guy……

— Miguel Cabrera, Martin Prado both have minor injuries at WBC; I’m sure the major league teams that pay them millions are thrilled with that news.

— Josh Donaldson has a calf injury, hasn’t played in a sprint training game yet.

— The flagrant foul called against Seton Hall at the end of their game lacked common sense. Correct by the book, but a wrong call.

— One of Kansas Jayhawks’ subs spent LY as a practice player for the women’s team. Lot of women’s teams utilize male students to practice against.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Friday of basketball……..

Michigan 92, Oklahoma State 91— Wolverines made 16-29 on arc and win by only one; they played four starters 38:00+. Cowboys are one of best teams ever that lost their last four games of the season, with three of the four losses by 5 or less points. Evans was 10-26 for the day, stuck a 3 at the buzzer to cover the spread, a big win for Las Vegas sportsbooks.

Baylor 91, New Mexico State 73— First 10:00 of this game had James Naismith turning over in his grave, but reality set in and Bears move on to second round for the first time in three years. WAC games are rarely on TV, but with Grand Canyon eligible for NCAA’s next year, and Aggies, Bakersfield really moving up the power ratings, maybe ESPN should show them some love.

Arkansas 77, Seton Hall 71— Razorbacks took only seven 3-pointers (3-7) the whole game; they were -14 on boards, but held Seton Hall to 39.2% inside arc. This was just 4th win for SEC teams in their last 18 games against the Big East. You wonder whats up with Seton Hall; supposedly Kevin Willard tried to get the South Florida job, and they didn’t hire him.

Oregon 93, Iona 77— This was a terrible game; Iona had no answers and stopped trying for a while midway thru second half. Ducks led 55-37 at half, looked bored for most of last 15:00. Final score doesn’t tell story here; Jordan Washington played his butt off for Iona, but he was by himself in that regard.

Louisville 78, Jacksonville State 63— Gamecocks beat spread by going 10-19 on arc; they had a great season, making NCAA’s for first time. Louisville now has an interesting game coming up with Michigan, which extended his starters big time in their game. If I’m Rick Pitino, I’m glad we’re playing Michigan and not Oklahoma State.

USC 66, SMU 65— Mustangs had every advantage in this game; Trojans had to play a day game after playing late game in Dayton Wednesday night- SMU had revenge motive, after USC beat them in LA in December and Mustangs are more experienced team. Problem is, USC has great athletes across board— they shot 76% inside arc in this game- they attacked the basket.

North Carolina 103, Texas Southern 64— Tar Heels missed 44 shots, rebounded 20 of them in this mismatch. Since 2007, UNC is 6-3 vs spread in second round games, losing back/back to Kansas/Iowa St in ’13/’14- they beat Arkansas 87-78 in 2nd round two years ago, forcing 21 turnovers while going 29-37 on foul line. They play Razorbacks again on Sunday.

Rhode Island 84, Creighton 72— Rams won ninth game in row; they shot 59% inside arc, made 28-31 foul shots and had a fairly easy time with a Creighton team that went 7-9 once their PG got hurt- they were 18-1 when he got hurt. Rams’ game with Oregon Sunday will be fun to watch.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, March 18


Milwaukee @ Golden State

Game 515-516
March 18, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
113.758
Golden State
129.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 16
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11 1/2); Over

Houston @ Denver

Game 513-514
March 18, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
131.012
Denver
123.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
245
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2
238
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-2); Over

San Antonio @ Memphis

Game 511-512
March 18, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
128.667
Memphis
117.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-3 1/2); Under

Utah @ Chicago

Game 509-510
March 18, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
115.257
Chicago
119.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
193
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Under

Cleveland @ LA Clippers

Game 507-508
March 18, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
122.852
LA Clippers
121.081
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Washington @ Charlotte

Game 505-506
March 18, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.727
Charlotte
119.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Portland @ Atlanta

Game 503-504
March 18, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.975
Atlanta
121.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
214
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-3); Under

Sacramento @ Oklahoma City

Game 501-502
March 18, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.661
Oklahoma City
128.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 15 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-12 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 18

Sacramento won its last two games after losing eight in row before that; they’re 7-4-1 vs spread in last 12 road games. Oklahoma City won/covered their last four games; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last five games went over. Thunder/Kings split their last eight games; Sacramento lost three of last four visits here, but covered three of the four. Last five series games went over total.

Trailblazers won six of their last eight games, are 3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Atlanta lost five of last eight games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last six games went over total. Hawks won their last five games with Portland, which lost its last two visits here, by 6-9 points. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Wizards lost last two games, are 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Last eight series games went over total. Hornets lost four of last five games, are 2-10 vs spread in last dozen home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Washington won six of last eight games wth Charlotte; home side won six of last seven series games. Teams split last four games played here. Four of last five series games went over.

Cleveland won three of last four games; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Clippers lost last three games, are 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games went over. Clippers lost four of last five games with Cleveland; six of their last eight series games stayed under total. Cavaliers won three of last four series games in Staples Center.

Jazz won six of last eight games; they’re 6-4-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Chicago lost seven of last eight games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Bulls won seven of their last ten games with Utah; eight of last nine series games stayed under total. Jazz lost four of last five visits to Chicago (2-3 vs spread).

San Antonio won 11 of last 13 games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Grizzlies won/covered last three games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Memphis; they won four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under.

Houston won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Denver won seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Nuggets won three of last four games with Houston; over is 4-2 in last six series games played here, with teams splitting those six games.

Bucks won eight of last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 10-1-1 in their last dozen games. Golden State is 4-5 in its last nine games, 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 9-2 in their last eleven games. Warriors won six of last seven games with Milwaukee; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Bucks lost last three visits to Oakland, but covered last five games here.