The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 3

Oklahoma City @ Golden State

Game 709-710
November 3, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
121.070
Golden State
134.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 14
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Milwaukee

Game 707-708
November 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
115.607
Milwaukee
115.703
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
Even
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Minnesota

Game 705-706
November 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
114.610
Minnesota
122.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-3 1/2); Under

Boston @ Cleveland

Game 703-704
November 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
123.029
Cleveland
129.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 9 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+9 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 3, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.306
Orlando
117.166
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+1 1/2); Under




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 3

Orlando won three of last four games with Sacramento; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Road team is 7-3 in last ten series games; Kings won three of last four visits to Orlando (over 3-1). Sacramento lost three of last four games, losing OT game in Miami Tuesday; they’re 1-2 as road underdogs. Under is 3-2 in Kings’ games. Orlando is off to a 1-3 start (over 2-2); they lost only home game, to Miami.

Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Boston (5-2 vs spread); under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Celtics lost three of last four visits here; they’re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to Cleveland. Cavaliers are off to a 4-0 start, winning home games by 29-6-8 points (1-2 as home favorite). Boston beat the Bulls by 7 last night; they’re off to a 3-1 start (over 2-2).

Road team won six of last seven Denver-Minnesota games; Nuggets won last three meetings, by 3-12-4 points. Denver won its last five visits here (under 3-2). Timberwolves are 1-2 (over 2-1), winning only home game by 36 over Memphis. Nuggets lost their last two games by total of five points; all three of their games (1-2) went over the total.

Road team won six of last nine Indiana-Milwaukee games; Pacers won four of last five visits here, with three of last four staying under the total. Indiana split its first four games (over 3-1), losing first two road games by 9-17 points. Bucks also split their first four games (over 3-1); they’re 0-2 vs spread at home (1-1 SU) this season.

Golden State rallied from down 3-1 to nip Thunder in 7 games in playoffs last spring; now Durant is on Warriors, facing his old team for first time. Thunder won/covered once in last six visits to Oakland; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Golden State won its last three games, all on road, by 8-6-23 points (over 3-1). They lost only home game, to San Antonio. Thunder had tough game vs Clippers in LA last night; they’re 4-0, with three wins by 6 or less points.




NBA

Thursday, November 3

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. ORLANDO
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MILWAUKEE
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Indiana is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games at home

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Oklahoma City is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 3

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SACRAMENTO (2 - 3) at ORLANDO (1 - 3) - 11/3/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 71-91 ATS (-29.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 150-189 ATS (-57.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (3 - 1) at CLEVELAND (4 - 0) - 11/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 11/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 190-236 ATS (-69.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (2 - 2) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 2) - 11/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 0) at GOLDEN STATE (3 - 1) - 11/3/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 116-90 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 106-81 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-43 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, November 3

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Thursday's NBA Game of the Day: Thunder at Warriors
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Kevin Durant is averaging 28.5 points and shooting 57.4 percent from the floor through four games with his new team.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors (-10.5, 225.5)

Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook square off as adversaries for the first time in their NBA careers when Durant’s new team, the Golden State Warriors, host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Durant departed the Thunder as a free agent in the offseason and tension is high as he faces his former teammates for the first time.

Golden State rallied from a 3-1 deficit in the Western Conference finals to defeat Oklahoma City and then Durant opted to join the Warriors on July 4. Durant once again denied earlier this week that he is at odds with Westbrook but has confessed the strong relationship they had when they became teammates in 2008 had changed over the years. “You don’t hang out with your 19-year-old buddies no more every day, if you’re growing up and doing your own thing,” Durant told reporters. “Our personalities, my interests, went another way, and his went another way, and I respected that.” Westbrook has led Oklahoma City to a 4-0 start to begin the post-Durant era and he hit the winning jumper in Wednesday’s 85-83 road victory over the Los Angeles Clippers.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 11-point home favorites and that line was bet down to -10.5 by Thursday morning. The total hit the board at 226.5, dropped immediately to 224.5, and crept back up to 225.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Westbrook signed a three-year, $85 million extension after Durant’s departure and he has embraced the opportunity to finally be viewed as the face of a franchise. He had 35 points in the victory over the Clippers and is averaging 37.8 points, 10.5 rebounds and 10 assists but refused to answer any questions about Durant in the postgame session with reporters. But he did have this to say shortly after Durant left: “We’ve been together eight years. You don’t throw that away. Obviously, he’s now with a new team. But we definitely will talk. Eventually.”

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Durant is averaging 28.5 points and shooting 57.4 percent from the floor through four games with his new team. Coach Steve Kerr said Durant has seamlessly meshed with his new teammates — “he’s perfect for what we already do,” Kerr said — and the coach understands that the meeting with the Thunder is important to Durant. “Every player is excited when he plays against his former team,” Kerr told reporters. “It’s a little different for Kevin, because he’s a superstar and the spotlight is on him. Everybody’s going to be asking him questions and the TV cameras will be on him and Russ.”

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
* Warriors are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.
* Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 road games.
* Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Thunder are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Golden State.

CONSENSUS: The public is backing the Thunder as huge road underdogs at a rate of 58 percent and 58 percent of the totals wagers have been on the Over.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 3

Sacramento at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Sacramento: 7-19 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
Orlando: 18-6 OVER in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Boston at Cleveland, 8:05 PM ET
Boston: 54-35 ATS after playing a game as favorite
Cleveland: 18-8 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents

Denver at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Denver: 25-13 ATS as a road underdog
Minnesota: 11-23 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

Indiana at Milwaukee, 8:05 PM ET
Indiana: 13-4 ATS vs. division opponents
Milwaukee: 1-9 ATS after a game with 30 or more assists

Oklahoma City at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Oklahoma City: 10-26 ATS off a road win by 3 points or less
Golden State: 33-18 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SAC at ORL 07:00 PM

ORL +1.0 *****

O 198.0

IND at MIL 08:00 PM

IND -3.0 *****

DEN at MIN 08:00 PM

DEN +3.5

O 205.0 *****

BOS at CLE 08:00 PM

BOS +10.5 *****

U 207.0 *****

OKC at GS 10:30 PM

GS -11.5 *****

U 222.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Capsules
November 4, 2016

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Kevin Durant matched his career high with seven 3-pointers and scored 39 points, coolly knocking down long jumpers while thoroughly embarrassing Russell Westbrook and his old Oklahoma City team in Golden State's 122-96 rout of the Thunder on Thursday night.

This rematch of the Western Conference Finals won by the Warriors in seven games quickly turned into the KD show at sold-out Oracle Arena, where OKC (4-1) took its first loss to leave LeBron James and the champion Cavaliers as the league's lone unbeaten team.

So much for this one being just like any other game for Durant. Even he knew it would certainly mean more once the ball was tipped, a matchup circled on calendars everywhere from the moment he joined the Warriors in July.

Westbrook was held to 20 points - yes, that's right - after coming in as the NBA's leading scorer averaging 37.8 points.

Stephen Curry added 21 points and seven assists while Klay Thompson emerged from his 3-point funk to make four from long range on the way to 18 points in the Warriors' fourth straight win.

CAVALIERS 128, CELTICS 122

CLEVELAND (AP) - LeBron James scored a season-high 30 points and the reigning NBA champion Cavaliers stayed undefeated, beating the Celtics.

James moved within two points of passing Hakeem Olajuwon for 10th place on the NBA's all-time scoring list. Olajuwon had 26,946 points, a total James will likely surpass Saturday night in Philadelphia.

The Cavaliers are 5-0 for the first time since 1976-77 when they started 8-0.

Kevin Love scored 26 points, also a season high, while Kyrie Irving added 23 for the Cavaliers. Tristan Thompson recorded a double-double in the first half, finishing with 15 points and 14 rebounds.

Isaiah Thomas scored 30 points and Avery Bradley had 26 for the Celtics, who played without two starters, center Al Horford (concussion) and forward Jae Crowder (sprained left ankle).

BUCKS 125, PACERS 106

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jabari Parker each had 27 points to lead the Bucks past the Pacers.

Paul George scored 23 points, reserve C.J. Miles added 19, Jeff Teague had 16 and Myles Turner 15, but it wasn't enough as the Pacers slipped to 0-3 on the road.

When Parker hit from in close and then from beyond the arc to open the fourth quarter, it looked like the Bucks would coast to their third win of the season.

Indiana had other ideas and closed with a flurry led by George who hit a 3-pointer with 9:28 to go, cutting the deficit to 95-82. When Turner made two free throws and Thaddeus Young hit a basket, the Bucks' lead was nine.

MAGIC 102, KINGS 94

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Evan Fournier scored 29 points and Serge Ibaka added 17 to lead the Magic to a victory over the Kings.

In one of their better offensive games this season, the Magic had five players score in double figures with Aaron Gordon contributing a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds, while reserve Jeff Green scored 15 points. The Magic (2-3) won back-to-back games for the first time this season as they returned home from a three-game trip.

DeMarcus Cousins led all scorers with 33 points, while Rudy Gay added 16 for the Kings (2-4), who have lost three straight on their current five-game road swing.

NUGGETS 102, TIMBERWOLVES 99

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Danilo Gallinari scored 19 points and Jusuf Nurkic added 18 to help the Nuggets outlast the Timberwolves.

Wilson Chandler added 19 points to lead an impressive performance by Denver's second unit to erase a 15-point second-quarter deficit. The Nuggets outscored Minnesota 45-23 off the bench and shot 48 percent for their second win of the season.

Karl-Anthony Towns had 32 points and 14 rebounds and Andrew Wiggins scored 25 for the Timberwolves, who gave away a lead of at least 15 points for the third time in four games this season. Nemanja Bjelica scored 10 of his 14 points in the fourth quarter, but his 3-pointer at the buzzer went in and out.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
11/02/2016 9-10-1 47.37% -1000
11/03/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 30-31-2 49.18% -2050

O/U Picks 27-34-0 44.26% -5200

BEST BETS:

ATS: 18 - 10 - 1

O/U: 12 - 18 - 0

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s six-pack

Football trends for Week 9….

— Cincinnati Bearcats are 8-4 in last 12 games as a home dog.

— Kansas is 2-10 vs spread in its last 12 road games.

— Virginia Tech is 4-10 in last 14 games as a road favorite.

— Fresno State is 1-9 in its last ten games as a home dog.

— Iowa Hawkeyes covered 15 of their last 18 road games.

— Home side is 7-1-1 vs spread in Wisconsin-Northwestern series.

Friday’s List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend……

13) Lot of eyes will be on Minnesota Sunday, with Vikings’ OC Norv Turner quitting during the week after two consecutive losses. Minnesota hosts the Lions, a game they’re expected to win.

12) Miami Hurricanes haven’t lost four games in a row very often over the last 30 years; they’ve lost four in a row after a 4-0 start, and are only a 3.5-point favorite over the Pitt Panthers Saturday.

11) Eagles’ offense has struggled since their bye, with five TDs in last four games; they visit Swamp Stadium with Giants coming off their bye. Winner stays close to Dallas in NFC East race.

10) Watching the Showtime reality series on Florida State this fall, can’t help but like the Seminoles, both players/coaches, but at 5-3, they are not having a typical FSU season. Seminoles are in Raleigh this weekend to face NC State Saturday- they’re 2-3 in last five visits there (0-5 vs spread).

9) Steelers-Ravens are both coming off a bye; seven of last ten series games were decided by 3 or less points. Will Big Ben be back from his injury? Ravens lost last four games, but win here gets them right back in AFC North race- division is down this year.

8) Notre Dame won its last five games with Navy- they’re 16-3 in last 19 series games. Middies can run ball but gave up 412 rushing yards to USF last week. This game is in Jacksonville, could be interesting if Irish struggle defending the option.

7) Titans fired Ken Whisenhunt as coach midway thru last year; now he is the Chargers’ OC and San Diego is scoring 31 pts/game at home. This is Chargers’ last game before the election, where the fate of their new stadium could be determined.

6) Oregon spent most of last five years crushing USC, scoring 49 pts/game, winning last two visits here, 62-51/53-32, but now Trojans are the better team. Favorites covered eight of last ten series games.

5) Road team won six of last seven Jet-Dolphin games, with Gang Green winning last three visits to Miami. Dolphins won their last two pre-bye games; did the bye cost them their momentum?

4) Memphis gave up 101 points in losing its last two games, and a Tiger WR’s car got shot up few hours he had an argument with a teammate in practice- no bueno. Memphis are at SMU this week, with 4-4 Mustangs coming off consecutive wins.

3) Cam Newton whined last week about taking late hits with no flags; Panthers are in LA this week, where Gregg Williams’ defense has a rep for being…..aggressive. Both teams need a win to get back into contention. Will Jared Goff play for LA?

2) Alabama-LSU in Baton Rouge will be quite an event Saturday night; Tide won last four series games. LSU’s interim coach Ed Orgeron needs to win to get the full-time gig.

If you ever read the book Meat Market, about recruiting which centers around the Orgeron era at Ole Miss, you realize they’d probably be crazy to hire him, but strange things happen all the time. Just ask Cub fans.

1— Seattle QB Russell Wilson has a sprained left knee, a sprained right ankle and a pectoral injury. Seahawks already had their bye week, so Wilson has to gut it out until the injuries heal, or until the season ends.

Buffalo lost its last two games, need win here to have winning record heading into their bye week.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s games

Hawks won six of last eight games with Washington; four of last five series games went over. Atlanta won three of last four visits here; underdogs covered five of last seven series games. Hawks won three of last four games (over 2-2); they won only road game at Philly. Wizards lost first three games (over 3-0), losing only home game by 10 to Toronto.

Hornets won last four games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered four of last five in series; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Charlotte won three of first four games (over 3-1), winning both road games, at Miami/Milwaukee. Brooklyn is 2-3, 2-1 at home (over 3-2); they’re 4-1 vs spread so far this season.

Toronto ousted Heat from playoffs in seven games LY; Miami lost its last three games here by 4-8-27 points. Last three series games went over total. Heat split their first four games (over 3-1) this season, winning only road game by 12 at Orlando. Raptors won three of their first four games (over 3-1).

Rose/Noah return to Chicago here, on same day Cubs have their victory parade. New York won three of last four games against the Bulls, but lost four of last five visits to Windy City (2-3 vs spread). Knicks are off to 1-3 start, losing last two games by 13-19 points; three of their four games stayed under total. Chicago are off to 3-1 start, covering both games as a home favorite.

Home side won seven of last ten Phoenix-New Orleans games; three of last four went over total. Suns lost three of last four visits (over 3-1) to Bourbon Street, with losses by 4-15-6 points; they’re off to a 1-4 start, 1-1 as a road underdog. Three of last four Phoenix games went over total. Pelicans lost their first five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 0-2 as a home favorite. Over is 3-2 in New Orleans games.

Clippers won four of last five games with Memphis but Grizzlies covered six of last eight series games; five of last six series games stayed under total. Clippers lost three of last four visits to Memphis, with losses by 11-16-6 points. Grizzlies are 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road (over 3-2); their last two wins were both in OT. Clippers are off to 3-1 start, winning only road game, at Portland.

Dallas won three of last four games with Portland (over 3-1); Trailblazers lost last four visits to Dallas, by 12-16-10-5 points. Three of last six series games went to OT. Portland lost three of last four games; they’ve split pair of OT games on road- all five of their games have gone over total. Dallas lost its first four games, losing only home game to Houston by 8- their last three games stayed under.

Spurs won four of last five games with Utah, but loss was 106-91 Jazz win in Alamo Tuesday night; last three meetings in Utah stayed under the total. San Antonio is 4-1 this season (over 3-2), 3-0 on road, 1-0-1 as a road favorite. Utah beat Lakers/Dallas in its two home games; they are 3-2 overall, 1-1 as home favorite. Three of last four Jazz games stayed under total.

Former Golden State assistant Walton is now Lakers’ coach. Golden State won eight of last ten games with LA (7-3 vs spread); Warriors lost two of last three against the Lakers here. Last four series games stayed under total. Golden State had “big game” with Thunder last night; they’ve won four games in row, but are 1-2 as road favorites. Lakers are 2-3 this season, 4-1 vs spread; they upset Rockets in only home game so far.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, November 4

Golden State @ LA Lakers

Game 517-518
November 4, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
125.978
LA Lakers
117.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+11); Over

San Antonio @ Utah

Game 515-516
November 4, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
128.927
Utah
121.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
182
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
186 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-3 1/2); Under

Portland @ Dallas

Game 513-514
November 4, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
120.160
Dallas
117.100
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 3
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
206
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1); Under

LA Clippers @ Memphis

Game 511-512
November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.834
Memphis
119.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
Even
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
198
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+6); Under

Phoenix @ New Orleans

Game 509-510
November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.199
New Orleans
116.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-3); Over

New York @ Chicago

Game 507-508
November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
115.908
Chicago
118.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 3
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+6 1/2); Under

Miami @ Toronto

Game 505-506
November 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
121.877
Toronto
125.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+7 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
November 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
123.611
Brooklyn
109.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 14
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
206
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Under

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 501-502
November 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
121.156
Washington
119.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, November 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Brooklyn is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CHICAGO
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against New York

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Memphis is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. DALLAS
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
San Antonio is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
LA Lakers are 5-17 SU in their last 22 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, November 4

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ATLANTA (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 364-433 ATS (-112.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 99-141 ATS (-56.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 138-182 ATS (-62.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 168-210 ATS (-63.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 88-123 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (3 - 1) at BROOKLYN (2 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (2 - 2) at TORONTO (3 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 112-147 ATS (-49.7 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (1 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 245-295 ATS (-79.5 Units) first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (1 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 5) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (3 - 1) at MEMPHIS (3 - 2) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (2 - 3) at DALLAS (0 - 4) - 11/4/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 349-284 ATS (+36.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (4 - 1) at UTAH (3 - 2) - 11/4/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 958-834 ATS (+40.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 196-137 ATS (+45.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (4 - 1) at LA LAKERS (2 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-90 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 107-81 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at WAS 07:00 PM

ATL +1.5 *****

O 205.5 *****

CHA at BK 07:30 PM

O 202.5

MIA at TOR 07:30 PM

TOR -6.5

O 203.5

LAC at MEM 08:00 PM

LAC -5.5 *****

U 198.0 *****

PHO at NO 08:00 PM

O 211.5 *****

NY at CHI 08:00 PM

CHI -7.5

O 210.5

POR at DAL 08:30 PM

POR -2.0 *****

SA at UTA 09:00 PM

UTA +3.5 *****

U 184.0 *****

GS at LAL 10:30 PM

GS -11.0 *****

U 229.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Capsules
November 5, 2016

LOS ANGELES (AP) Lou Williams scored 10 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter, and the Lakers snapped Stephen Curry's NBA-record streak of 157 games with a 3-pointer in a 117-97 victory over Golden State on Friday night.

Julius Randle had 20 points and 14 rebounds for the rebuilding Lakers, who pulled off their second straight shocking home upset of the mighty Warriors with an impressive effort from their exciting young roster.

Lakers coach Luke Walton also won his first meeting with his former team and his coaching mentor, Steve Kerr.

Curry scored 13 points while going 0 for 10 from 3-point range, ending several incredible long-distance streaks. He had hit a 3-pointer in every regular-season game since March 14, 2015.

Including the postseason, Curry had at least one 3 in 196 straight games, and he had also hit in 116 straight regular-season road games - both NBA records.

The Lakers jumped to a 21-point lead in the third quarter and fought off Golden State's challenge in the fourth quarter with huge games from Williams and Randle. D'Angelo Russell added 17 points, and rookie Brandon Ingram had 12.

WIZARDS 95, HAWKS 92

WASHINGTON (AP) - Bradley Beal scored 20 of his 28 points after halftime, and Washington finally gave new coach Scott Brooks his first victory with the team.

Beal averaged only 14 points during Washington's 0-3 start, never getting more than 15, and Brooks said before facing Atlanta he considered that his fault for not giving his young shooting guard enough opportunities.

John Wall had 21 points, 10 rebounds and six assists for Washington.

Dwight Howard led the Hawks with 20 points and 12 rebounds, and Dennis Schroder also scored 20.

An aggressive Beal made 13 of 14 free-throw attempts and hit three 3-pointers.

Atlanta cut the deficit to 95-92 and inbounded the ball after a timeout with 11.7 seconds left, but Kyle Korver air-balled a 3-point try with 3.6 seconds left with Markieff Morris in his face. Korver finished 1 for 9 from the field, including 1 for 6 on 3s.

SPURS 112, PELICANS 111, OT

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Devin Booker scored 38 points, including an improbable jumper that tied the as regulation expired and Phoenix kept New Orleans winless on the season.

T.J. Warren added 18 points on 4-of-17 shooting for the Suns, while Eric Bledsoe had 17 points and Tyson Chandler had 12 points and 18 rebounds.

Anthony Davis had 22 points and 11 rebounds for the Pelicans (0-6), while forward Terrence Jones, starting in place of the suspended Dante Cunningham, had 19 points. Though the Pelicans outshot the Suns 46 percent to 43 percent, they managed to shoot just 53.6 percent from the free throw line (15 of 28). The Suns finished 24 of 28 at the line.

RAPTORS 96, HEAT 87

TORONTO (AP) - DeMar DeRozan scored 34 points and reserve Terrence Ross added 20 as Toronto beat Miami.

It was a team-record fifth straight 30-plus-point game for DeRozan, the NBA's leading scorer coming into the game averaging 36.3 points. Mike James had four straight 30-plus-point games for Toronto in 2005.

According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the last player to start a season with five games with at least 30 points was Michael Jordan from Nov. 1-11, 1986.

Hassan Whiteside had 21 points and 16 rebounds and Goran Dragic added 17 points for the Heat.

HORNETS 99, NETS 95

NEW YORK (AP) - Kemba Walker scored a season-high 30 points and Charlotte improved its best start in 16 years to 4-1.

Nicolas Batum added 18 points and nine rebounds, while Marvin Williams, who missed his first 10 shots, made a 3-pointer with 1:05 left after the Nets had cut the lead to one point.

Reserve Sean Kilpatrick scored 19 points for the Nets, who didn't have starting point guard Jeremy Lin available to face his former team because of a strained left hamstring that will keep him sidelined for at least two weeks.

Brook Lopez added 18 points and Trevor Booker had 12 points and 13 rebounds for the Nets.

KNICKS 117, BULLS 104

CHICAGO (AP) - Kristaps Porzingis had 27 points and Carmelo Anthony added 25 to lead New York in the triumphant return of Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah to Chicago.

Rose, the Bulls' first-round draft pick in 2008, finished with 15 points and 11 assists, while Noah, a 2007 first-rounder, had 16 points and nine rebounds. They teamed up to play a familiar two-man game late as New York held off a Chicago rally.

Both Rose and Noah received loud ovations from the United Center crowd during pregame introductions, although there were some boos mixed in for Rose. The Chicago native also was booed every time he touched the ball in the first couple of minutes.

The Bulls played a video tribute to Rose and Noah during the first timeout.

Dwyane Wade led Chicago (3-2) with 35 points on 12-for-20 shooting and Jimmy Butler added 26 points.

CLIPPERS 99, GRIZZLIES 88

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Chris Paul had 27 points and 11 assists, Blake Griffin added 14 points and 10 rebounds to lead Los Angeles.

The Clippers built an early lead then survived a fourth-quarter Memphis rally. The Grizzlies would score nine straight points and eventually pulled within 93-86 with less than a minute left.

Memphis would get no closer.

J.J. Redick scored 12 points for Los Angeles while DeAndre Jordan grabbed 21 rebounds.

Mike Conley led Memphis with 30 points and 10 assists, while Marc Gasol aded 21 points and nine rebounds. Zach Randolph finished with 15 points and nine rebounds.

TRAIL BLAZERS 105, MAVERICKS 95

DALLAS (AP) - Damian Lillard scored 27 of his season-high 42 points in the second half as Portland sent Dallas to its first 0-5 start in franchise history.

Mason Plumlee had 19 points and Al-Farouq Aminu added 12 points and 10 rebounds for Portland.

J.J. Barea scored 23 points and Harrison Barnes had 17 for the Mavericks, who were without Andrew Bogut (personal reasons) for the game and Dirk Nowitzki (sore right Achilles) in the second half.

With backcourt mate C.J. McCollum saddled with foul trouble for most of the game, Lillard had 18 of Portland's 25 points during a 14-minute stretch of the second half.

SPURS 100, JAZZ 86

SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - Kawhi Leonard scored 29 points and grabbed 11 rebounds as San Antonio beat Utah.

The Spurs bounced back from a 15-point home loss to the Jazz on Tuesday after losing just one game in San Antonio all of last season.

The Jazz jumped out to a 10-2 lead in the first quarter and an unhappy Spurs coach Gregg Popovich called a timeout just minutes into the game. The Spurs responded with a 29-7 run and the Jazz never led again. Utah got within seven in the third quarter, but Leonard responded with five quick points and the Jazz never got within single digits the rest of the game.

Leonard continued his MVP-caliber season by shooting 9 for 18 from the field while LaMarcus Aldridge added 19 points and six rebounds.

Rodney Hood led the Jazz with 18 points, but the team shot just 37.5 percent.

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s six-pack

Football trends for Week 9….

— Dolphins are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 divisional games.

— Cleveland is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

— Titans are 4-12 vs spread in their last 16 games.

— Jacksonville is 4-9 vs spread in its last 13 games.

— New Orleans covered nine of its last twelve games.

— Buffalo Bills are 12-6-1 in last 19 games as an underdog.


DDLohaus handicaps the Breeders’ Cup………

The best racing day of the year is upon us and boy what a card. The world’s best equine stars battling it out for big money. For horse players, it doesn’t get any better than this.
Friday was a good teaser for what we are going to see today; let’s get to it!

Juvenile Fillies

1. Sweet Loretta
2. American Girls
3. Daddys Lil Darling

Bets:
$10WPS Daddys Lil Darling
$2EXBX Sweet Loretta/American Girls/Daddys Lil Darling

Filly/Mare Turf

1. Lady Eli
2. Queen’s Trust
3. Avenge

$10WPS Avenge
$2EXBX Lady Eli/Queen’s Trust/Avenge

Sprint

1. Lord Nelson
2. Drefong
3. Joking

$5WPS Joking
$5EXBX Lord Nelson/Drefong/Joking

Turf Sprint

1. Mongolian Saturday
2. A Lot
3. Om

$5WPS Om
$2EXBX Mongolian Saturday/A Lot/Om

Juvenile

1. Classic Empire
2. Klimt
3. Gormley

$10WPS Klimt

Turf

1. Found
2. Flintshire
3. Ectot

$10WPS Ectot

Filly/Mare Sprint

1. Haveyougoneaway
2. Carina Mia
3. By the Moon

$10WPS Haveyougoneaway

Mile

1. Tepin
2. Ironicus
3. Photo Call

$10WPS Photo Call

Classic

1. California Chrome
2. Arrogate
3. Melatonin

$10EX Melatonin/California Chrome, Arrogate

Should be some great racing and solid value for the horses you like.
As always, watch the course conditions and how the races progress throughout the day.

Good luck!