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FSU heads to Duke
February 25, 2016
FLORIDA ST SEMINOLES (16-11) at DUKE BLUE DEVILS (20-7)
Cameron Indoor Stadium – Durham, NC
Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Duke -9, 156.5
No. 15 Duke looks to sustain its ascent up the ACC standings as it hosts reeling Florida State on Thursday.
Duke is 13-2 SU at home this season (7-6-1 ATS) and has won three straight at home since dropping back-to-back efforts in Cameron Indoor against Notre Dame and Syracuse in January. Duke had won five straight overall before dropping an emotional affair at Louisville on Saturday (71-64, Duke +7).
Coach Leonard Hamilton’s Seminoles have slipped in the standings while Duke has surged, as Florida State has dropped four straight (0-4 ATS) including road losses at Syracuse and, most recently, at Virginia Tech (83-73, FSU -3) on Saturday. The Seminoles are uncharacteristically weak on defense this season and have allowed just under 77 PPG on the road, including allowing the Hokies to shoot 58% from three in Saturday’s loss.
Historically, Duke is 14-6 SU (7-13 ATS) over its past 20 contests against the Seminoles dating back to 2003. The Blue Devils are 7-3 SU at home (3-7 ATS) in that span. Duke most recently beat Florida State 78-56 (Duke -8.5) at home in Jan. 2014, while Duke won last season’s contest in Tallahassee (73-70, Duke -10.5).
The total between Duke and Florida State has gone UNDER in the last four meetings between these two teams, and Duke’s last four games overall have also gone UNDER. Six of Florida State’s last seven games, however, have gone OVER.
Duke withstood a few injuries this past weekend, but hopes to have G Matt Jones (11.2 PPG, 41% 3PT) and G Derryck Thornton (8 PPG) available to play through ankle and shoulder injuries, respectively. Jones did not play at Louisville on Saturday.
The Seminoles have relied on the scoring punch provided by the dynamic freshman duo of G Malik Beasley (16.2 PPG, 48% FG) and G Dwayne Bacon (15.7 PPG, 45% FG). Predictably, Beasley and Bacon have run into troubles during the Seminoles’ four game slide, as the rigors of their first college basketball season – especially with an offense on their shoulders – has seemingly come to a head (Beasley – 10 PPG, 28% FG; Bacon 13 PPG, 36% FG in last four games).
If Florida State isn’t going to be able to outscore its opponents, they find themselves in tons of trouble, as they’re in the bottom third of all D1 teams in points allowed (73.7 PPG), opponent FGM per game (25.9), and opponent 3PM 7.7). They’ll have a tough time exposing Duke’s biggest weakness, rebounding, as nobody on Florida State has averaged over 5 RPG in their past four games.
Duke also does not foul often, and the young backcourt of Beasley, Bacon and G Xavier Rathan-Mayes (11.8 PPG, 4.7 APG) shouldn’t be traveling to Cameron Indoor Stadium with the intention of getting favorable calls and handfuls of trips to the free throw line. Reserve G Devon Bookert (9.6 PPG) did score 23 points (6-8 3PT) in last season’s meeting with the Blue Devils and is averaging 12 PPG (42% 3PT) over his last four.
Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s Blue Devils have jumped on the backs of G Grayson Allen (21.0 PPG, 44% 3PT) and F Brandon Ingram (17.0 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.5 3PT) to a resurgence in the national polls and an honest threat at the ACC regular season title. Just last month pundits had pushed Duke into “bubble team” fodder, but then came five straight wins (three over top 25 opponents) before Saturday’s loss at Louisville. Duke has shot better than 41.5% FG over its last eight games and scores 82.4 PPG overall (14th NCAA).
While Ingram did put up an 8-point dud at Louisville Saturday, it was his first single-digit scoring output this season since November 29th. The 10 turnovers from the lanky freshman, however, are definitely cause for concern, as while Louisville has some of the best pressure defense in the nation, Florida State does have some quick hands (7.3 SPG, 48th NCAA).
Allen was brilliant against Louisville, even in defeat, as he ended up fouling out with 29 points (5-8 from three). While defenses can take Ingram out of a game, Allen has proven to be a consistent catalyst for Duke’s offense with his fearless drives and ability to get points at the charity stripe when all else is failing (7 FT/game). Duke should welcome the return of the aforementioned Jones and Thornton to lessen their depth issues, and Duke’s Achilles heel in clearing the glass won’t be tested by Florida State’s frontcourt.
With the Seminoles’ backcourt struggling recently and the Blue Devils focused after four days to recover from the loss at Louisville, Coach Krzyzewski shouldn’t have issues getting his Blue Devils back in the winning column on Thursday night.
February 25, 2016
FLORIDA ST SEMINOLES (16-11) at DUKE BLUE DEVILS (20-7)
Cameron Indoor Stadium – Durham, NC
Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Duke -9, 156.5
No. 15 Duke looks to sustain its ascent up the ACC standings as it hosts reeling Florida State on Thursday.
Duke is 13-2 SU at home this season (7-6-1 ATS) and has won three straight at home since dropping back-to-back efforts in Cameron Indoor against Notre Dame and Syracuse in January. Duke had won five straight overall before dropping an emotional affair at Louisville on Saturday (71-64, Duke +7).
Coach Leonard Hamilton’s Seminoles have slipped in the standings while Duke has surged, as Florida State has dropped four straight (0-4 ATS) including road losses at Syracuse and, most recently, at Virginia Tech (83-73, FSU -3) on Saturday. The Seminoles are uncharacteristically weak on defense this season and have allowed just under 77 PPG on the road, including allowing the Hokies to shoot 58% from three in Saturday’s loss.
Historically, Duke is 14-6 SU (7-13 ATS) over its past 20 contests against the Seminoles dating back to 2003. The Blue Devils are 7-3 SU at home (3-7 ATS) in that span. Duke most recently beat Florida State 78-56 (Duke -8.5) at home in Jan. 2014, while Duke won last season’s contest in Tallahassee (73-70, Duke -10.5).
The total between Duke and Florida State has gone UNDER in the last four meetings between these two teams, and Duke’s last four games overall have also gone UNDER. Six of Florida State’s last seven games, however, have gone OVER.
Duke withstood a few injuries this past weekend, but hopes to have G Matt Jones (11.2 PPG, 41% 3PT) and G Derryck Thornton (8 PPG) available to play through ankle and shoulder injuries, respectively. Jones did not play at Louisville on Saturday.
The Seminoles have relied on the scoring punch provided by the dynamic freshman duo of G Malik Beasley (16.2 PPG, 48% FG) and G Dwayne Bacon (15.7 PPG, 45% FG). Predictably, Beasley and Bacon have run into troubles during the Seminoles’ four game slide, as the rigors of their first college basketball season – especially with an offense on their shoulders – has seemingly come to a head (Beasley – 10 PPG, 28% FG; Bacon 13 PPG, 36% FG in last four games).
If Florida State isn’t going to be able to outscore its opponents, they find themselves in tons of trouble, as they’re in the bottom third of all D1 teams in points allowed (73.7 PPG), opponent FGM per game (25.9), and opponent 3PM 7.7). They’ll have a tough time exposing Duke’s biggest weakness, rebounding, as nobody on Florida State has averaged over 5 RPG in their past four games.
Duke also does not foul often, and the young backcourt of Beasley, Bacon and G Xavier Rathan-Mayes (11.8 PPG, 4.7 APG) shouldn’t be traveling to Cameron Indoor Stadium with the intention of getting favorable calls and handfuls of trips to the free throw line. Reserve G Devon Bookert (9.6 PPG) did score 23 points (6-8 3PT) in last season’s meeting with the Blue Devils and is averaging 12 PPG (42% 3PT) over his last four.
Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s Blue Devils have jumped on the backs of G Grayson Allen (21.0 PPG, 44% 3PT) and F Brandon Ingram (17.0 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.5 3PT) to a resurgence in the national polls and an honest threat at the ACC regular season title. Just last month pundits had pushed Duke into “bubble team” fodder, but then came five straight wins (three over top 25 opponents) before Saturday’s loss at Louisville. Duke has shot better than 41.5% FG over its last eight games and scores 82.4 PPG overall (14th NCAA).
While Ingram did put up an 8-point dud at Louisville Saturday, it was his first single-digit scoring output this season since November 29th. The 10 turnovers from the lanky freshman, however, are definitely cause for concern, as while Louisville has some of the best pressure defense in the nation, Florida State does have some quick hands (7.3 SPG, 48th NCAA).
Allen was brilliant against Louisville, even in defeat, as he ended up fouling out with 29 points (5-8 from three). While defenses can take Ingram out of a game, Allen has proven to be a consistent catalyst for Duke’s offense with his fearless drives and ability to get points at the charity stripe when all else is failing (7 FT/game). Duke should welcome the return of the aforementioned Jones and Thornton to lessen their depth issues, and Duke’s Achilles heel in clearing the glass won’t be tested by Florida State’s frontcourt.
With the Seminoles’ backcourt struggling recently and the Blue Devils focused after four days to recover from the loss at Louisville, Coach Krzyzewski shouldn’t have issues getting his Blue Devils back in the winning column on Thursday night.
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