Big Monday Tip Sheet
January 31, 2016
The month of February gets off to a hot start in men’s college basketball with a pair of huge matchups featuring a trio of nationally ranked teams as part of ESPN’s Big Monday slate.
Starting in the ACC, the No. 2 North Carolina Tar Heels will head to Kentucky to face the No. 16 Louisville Cardinals and the backend of Monday’s ESPN double-header is a Big 12 battle between the Texas Longhorns and the No. 17 Baylor Bears in Waco.
No. 2 North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 16 Louisville Cardinals (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: North Carolina -1 ½
Betting Matchup
North Carolina is riding a 12-game straight-up winning streak following Saturday’s 88-62 win against Boston College, but it was just the third time the Tar Heels covered against the spread in their last eight games. The total went OVER the 146 ½-point line in that game and it has gone OVER in 10 of their last 13 outings. North Carolina is the fourth-highest scoring team in the nation with an average of 85.8 points a game and it is also ranked fourth in assists with 18.8 a game.
The Cardinals fell to 6-2 SU in conference play following Saturday’s 63-47 loss to Virginia as five-point home favorites. They are now just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and they have failed to cover in their last three games as favorites. The total stayed UNDER the closing 129 ½-point line in that game after going OVER in their previous three contests. Louisville’s defense is still one of the best in the nation in points-allowed; giving-up an average of just 60.2 points a game,
Betting Trends
-- The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 road games.
-- The Cardinals are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games played on Monday, but they have failed to cover in six of their last seven games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven home games.
-- North Carolina is 4-1 SU in the last four meetings and it has a 3-2 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last two meetings after going OVER in the previous six games between the two.
Texas Longhorns at No. 17 Baylor Bears (EPSN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Baylor - 6
Betting Matchup
Texas has won five of its last six games both SU and ATS following Saturday’s 72-58 victory against Vanderbilt in a non-conference clash as a 2 ½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER 136 in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Longhorns opened-up a 15 point lead over the Commodores at the half and guards Eric Davis and Kerwin Roach Jr. came off the bench to combine for 28 points to help pace the win. Texas is averaging 73.2 points a game and it is shooting 43.5 percent from the field.
The Bears have won seven of their last eight games SU, but after failing to cover in this past Saturday’s 83-73 victory against Georgia as 11 ½-point home favorites in another Big 12/SEC showdown they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four outings. The total went OVER 138 ½ points in that win and it has gone OVER in three of their last four games. Baylor is the top team in the nation went it comes to assists with 20.2 a game and senior guard Lester Medford has led the way with 7.1 assists a game.
Betting Trends
-- The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 14 conference games.
-- The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and the have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at home.
-- Head-to-head in this Big 12 tilt, the road team has covered in eight of the last 11 meetings and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine games played at Baylor.
Bonus Game
No. 13 SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars (CBS Sports Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: SMU -4
Betting Matchup
SMU bounced back from a stunning 89-80 loss to the Temple Owls on Jan. 24 as a six-point road favorite with a solid 80-68 victory over Memphis this past Saturday as an 11-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER 149 ½ points in that win and it has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games. The loss to the Owls snapped a SU winning streak of 18 games and the Mustangs are now 19-1 SU with a 12-0 record at home. Their lineup boasts six players scoring in double figures led by senior guard Nic Moore’s 15.7 points a game. SMU is averaging 80 points a game and it is shooting an effective 50.6 percent from the field and 40.8 percent from three-point range.
Houston comes into this AAC tilt with a two-game SU winning streak after dropping its previous four conference matchups. The Cougars are 5-4 SU in the AAC this season with a 4-4-1 record ATS. They knocked-off East Carolina in a wild 97-93 victory this past Saturday in a game that ended as a PUSH. The total went OVER the closing 144-point line and it has now gone OVER in three of their last four games. Houston is averaging 78.6 points a game, but this average has fallen to 71.3 points in its first nine conference games.
Betting Trends
-- The Mustangs have failed to cover in five of their last seven games following a SU win and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.
-- The Cougars are 8-3 in their last 11 home games and they are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five home games.
-- The underdog in this AAC matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between the two.
January 31, 2016
The month of February gets off to a hot start in men’s college basketball with a pair of huge matchups featuring a trio of nationally ranked teams as part of ESPN’s Big Monday slate.
Starting in the ACC, the No. 2 North Carolina Tar Heels will head to Kentucky to face the No. 16 Louisville Cardinals and the backend of Monday’s ESPN double-header is a Big 12 battle between the Texas Longhorns and the No. 17 Baylor Bears in Waco.
No. 2 North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 16 Louisville Cardinals (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: North Carolina -1 ½
Betting Matchup
North Carolina is riding a 12-game straight-up winning streak following Saturday’s 88-62 win against Boston College, but it was just the third time the Tar Heels covered against the spread in their last eight games. The total went OVER the 146 ½-point line in that game and it has gone OVER in 10 of their last 13 outings. North Carolina is the fourth-highest scoring team in the nation with an average of 85.8 points a game and it is also ranked fourth in assists with 18.8 a game.
The Cardinals fell to 6-2 SU in conference play following Saturday’s 63-47 loss to Virginia as five-point home favorites. They are now just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and they have failed to cover in their last three games as favorites. The total stayed UNDER the closing 129 ½-point line in that game after going OVER in their previous three contests. Louisville’s defense is still one of the best in the nation in points-allowed; giving-up an average of just 60.2 points a game,
Betting Trends
-- The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 road games.
-- The Cardinals are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games played on Monday, but they have failed to cover in six of their last seven games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven home games.
-- North Carolina is 4-1 SU in the last four meetings and it has a 3-2 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last two meetings after going OVER in the previous six games between the two.
Texas Longhorns at No. 17 Baylor Bears (EPSN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Baylor - 6
Betting Matchup
Texas has won five of its last six games both SU and ATS following Saturday’s 72-58 victory against Vanderbilt in a non-conference clash as a 2 ½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER 136 in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Longhorns opened-up a 15 point lead over the Commodores at the half and guards Eric Davis and Kerwin Roach Jr. came off the bench to combine for 28 points to help pace the win. Texas is averaging 73.2 points a game and it is shooting 43.5 percent from the field.
The Bears have won seven of their last eight games SU, but after failing to cover in this past Saturday’s 83-73 victory against Georgia as 11 ½-point home favorites in another Big 12/SEC showdown they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four outings. The total went OVER 138 ½ points in that win and it has gone OVER in three of their last four games. Baylor is the top team in the nation went it comes to assists with 20.2 a game and senior guard Lester Medford has led the way with 7.1 assists a game.
Betting Trends
-- The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 14 conference games.
-- The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and the have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at home.
-- Head-to-head in this Big 12 tilt, the road team has covered in eight of the last 11 meetings and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine games played at Baylor.
Bonus Game
No. 13 SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars (CBS Sports Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: SMU -4
Betting Matchup
SMU bounced back from a stunning 89-80 loss to the Temple Owls on Jan. 24 as a six-point road favorite with a solid 80-68 victory over Memphis this past Saturday as an 11-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER 149 ½ points in that win and it has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games. The loss to the Owls snapped a SU winning streak of 18 games and the Mustangs are now 19-1 SU with a 12-0 record at home. Their lineup boasts six players scoring in double figures led by senior guard Nic Moore’s 15.7 points a game. SMU is averaging 80 points a game and it is shooting an effective 50.6 percent from the field and 40.8 percent from three-point range.
Houston comes into this AAC tilt with a two-game SU winning streak after dropping its previous four conference matchups. The Cougars are 5-4 SU in the AAC this season with a 4-4-1 record ATS. They knocked-off East Carolina in a wild 97-93 victory this past Saturday in a game that ended as a PUSH. The total went OVER the closing 144-point line and it has now gone OVER in three of their last four games. Houston is averaging 78.6 points a game, but this average has fallen to 71.3 points in its first nine conference games.
Betting Trends
-- The Mustangs have failed to cover in five of their last seven games following a SU win and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.
-- The Cougars are 8-3 in their last 11 home games and they are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five home games.
-- The underdog in this AAC matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between the two.
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