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  • #16
    Shockers could finally get shot at Kansas in NCAA Tourney

    March 16, 2015

    KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) -Wichita State coach Gregg Marshall may finally get his wish.

    Marshall has been trying for years to schedule a game against Kansas, the basketball powerhouse just a couple hours' drive from the Shockers' campus. The Jayhawks have balked, insisting they have nothing to gain from a series against the Missouri Valley school.

    But if the seventh-seeded Shockers take care of Indiana, and the second-seeded Jayhawks beat New Mexico State, the schools will meet in the third round of the NCAA Tournament.

    ``You get ready to play Indiana,'' Marshall said, when asked for his reaction to the road ahead. ``If we're fortunate enough to play in the third round, if it's Kansas or New Mexico State, we get ready to play them. We take it one round at a time.''

    Kansas coach Bill Self follows the same approach. But that doesn't mean he was oblivious to the potential matchup when the bracket flashed on the screen Sunday night.

    ``How in the world they're a seven seed blows my mind,'' he said, pointing to the Shockers' 28-4 record and regular-season conference championship. ``I thought the Missouri Valley, to be honest, deserved a little more credit than what they got. I thought they'd be a higher seed.''

    Depending on how things shake out, the tantalizing matchup between Wichita State and Kansas isn't the only possible third-round game sure to spark some interest next weekend.

    ---

    STEVE FISHER VS. COACH K: If top-seeded Duke handles its opening game against the winner of North Florida-Robert Morris, and No. 8 seed San Diego State beats St. John's, it would set up a rematch of the coaches involved in the 1992 national championship game.

    Mike Krzyzewski is still in charge of the Blue Devils, and Steve Fisher is with the Aztecs after he coached Michigan in that title matchup. Duke won that game at the Metrodome, and the Wolverines later had to vacate their runner-up finish following a series of NCAA violations.

    Fisher was fired as a result of the scandal. Two years later, he took over San Diego State, and has led the program to six consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances.

    ---

    NOTRE DAME VS. BUTLER: Sure, the Hoosiers are in the tournament, too. But all eyes in the Hoosier State would be on this matchup between the Fighting Irish, the ACC Tournament champions from South Bend, and the Bulldogs, who call Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis home.

    Despite playing numerous times, the schools have never met in the NCAA Tournament.

    Notre Dame would merely have to take care of Northeastern to reach the next round, but the Bulldogs face a taller task in Texas - and its imposing front line of Myles Turner, Cameron Ridley and Prince Ibeh. But hey, the Bulldogs have chopped down plenty giants this time of year.

    ``We really didn't focus on what our seed was going to be,'' said the Fighting Irish's Jerian Grant. ``It was all about just seeing our name there, and especially last year not being there, we wanted to hear our name and we didn't care who we matched up.''

    ---

    VIRGINIA VS. MICHIGAN STATE: Once again, the Cavaliers did enough in the regular season to earn a top-two seed. Once again, their road to the Final Four could include Michigan State.

    The Spartans were a No. 4 seed when they knocked off top-seeded Virginia in the regional semifinals last season. This time, Michigan State is a No. 7 seed and will have to beat Georgia in its opening game for the chance to play the second-seeded Cavaliers.

    Virginia would have to beat Belmont to set up the rematch.

    ---

    EASTERN WASHINGTON VS. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN: Both will be underdogs in their openers, but the potential for a high-scoring, up-and-down clash in the South Region is alluring.

    The No. 13 seed Eagles, who play Georgetown in the second round, are third nationally in scoring at more than 80 points per game. They're led by Tyler Harvey, a sophomore guard who led the nation in scoring, and Venky Jois, a 6-foot-8 forward who is just as effective.

    The 12th-seeded Lumberjacks, meanwhile, were ninth nationally in scoring behind the potent duo of Thomas Walkup and Jacob Parker. Stephen F. Austin opens up against Utah.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Names, teams and matchups to watch in the NCAA Tournament

      March 16, 2015

      March Madness can feel a bit like sensory overload. Games are happening at sites all over the country, often several at a time, and keeping track of everything can be nearly impossible.

      Fear not. Here is your NCAA Tournament primer, a look at the movers, shakers and potential noisemakers as the college basketball season heads down the home stretch.

      ---

      THE BIG BOYS: The tournament's top seeds were never really in question, especially after Wisconsin took care of Michigan State in the Big Ten title game Sunday.

      The biggest of the big boys is overall No. 1 seed Kentucky, which is trying to become the first team since Indiana in 1976 to cap a perfect season with a national title. The Wildcats open against Hampton or Manhattan, then would face the winner of Cincinnati-Purdue. But the road to 40-0 won't be easy - Notre Dame and Kansas are among the schools in the Midwest Region.

      ''Regardless if we were perfect or not, it's still we're only guaranteed one game,'' Kentucky forward Willie Cauley-Stein said. ''So it's really the slate is clean, whether we're 34-0 or got five losses. From here on out, you're 0-0.''

      The Badgers earned the top seed in the West, opening against Coastal Carolina in a region that includes No. 2 seed Arizona. Villanova is tops in the East, and Duke tops in the South.

      ---

      STAR POWER: Sure, there's no superstar like Andrew Wiggins this season. But that hardly means this year's dance is devoid of big-time scorers and dynamic defenders.

      Kentucky has a handful of players who could be headed to the NBA, and the Blue Devils' Jahlil Okafor is the potential No. 1 pick. Jerian Grant of Notre Dame proved that seniors can still make headlines in an era of one-and-done prospects, while many believe Wisconsin's Frank Kaminsky deserves the national player of the year award.

      ''We have a lot of goals and aspirations in the NCAA Tournament,'' said Kaminsky, who helped the Badgers to the Final Four a year ago, ''so we're going to prepare for our first game and be ready when we tip the ball up and get ready to go.''

      ---

      CINDERELLA WATCH: These days, with thousands of games televised every season, there are few secrets in college basketball by the time March rolls around. But that doesn't mean there aren't a few players who are envisioning their own Bryce Drew moment, or a few teams that can put together an inspired run like George Mason or Butler of years past.

      Want some off-the-radar players to watch? Try someone from Drew's own team, Valparaiso, such as 6-foot-10 Jamaican center Vashil Fernandez or high-scoring forward Alex Peters. Tyler Harvey of Eastern Washington led the nation in scoring, while Stephen F. Austin's Jacob Parker is one of the best 3-point shooters in the country.

      How about a couple of teams that could make a run? Duke icon Bobby Hurley has coached Buffalo to a No. 12 seed opposite West Virginia in the Midwest region, and everyone knows the history of the 12-5 upset. Harvard, the No. 13 seed in the West, has been to four straight NCAAs and could make fourth-seeded North Carolina a tad uncomfortable.

      ---

      INTRIGUING MATCHUPS: The selection committee lined up several interesting matchups early in the tournament - coaches facing former teams, in-state rivals harboring plenty of hatred.

      Take sixth-seeded SMU against No. 11 seed UCLA in the South. Mustangs coach Larry Brown is back in the tournament for the first time since guiding Kansas to the 1988 title, and his opener is against the team he led to the 1980 finals - a runner-up finish later vacated.

      Or, take a potential third-round game in the Midwest. If second-seeded Kansas and No. 7 seed Wichita State each win, the schools would meet for the first time since 1993, despite only a few hours of highway separating their campuses. The Shockers have been trying to schedule the Jayhawks for years, but Kansas administrators believe they have nothing to gain from the matchup.

      ''You get ready to play Indiana,'' Shockers coach Gregg Marshall said of his team's opening game. ''If we're fortunate enough to play in the third round, if it's Kansas or New Mexico State, we get ready to play them. We take it one round at a time.''
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        Win your pool: Here's some tips on how to fill your bracket

        March 15, 2015

        President Barack Obama fills one out, so does just about everyone you know.

        Yes, the NCAA Tournament begins this week and that means it's bracket-picking time. We're here to help make sense of March Madness.

        We want to provide you some insight on the 68 teams that were slotted into four regional brackets for the annual sports spectacle that culminates in Indianapolis on April 7. However, be advised that most people win bracket contests by picking the better mascot or team color, so use the following information with caution.

        Good luck.

        ---

        MIDWEST REGION

        FAVORITE: Kentucky gets to open with either Manhattan - coached by Steve Masiello, who played for the Wildcats - or Hampton, which got in by winning the Mid-Eastern title with a 16-17 record.

        UPSET WATCH: Many will pick 12th-seeded Buffalo over 5th-seeded West Virginia, with good reason. First of all, the Bulls are coached by Bobby Hurley, who went 18-2 in NCAA Tournament games when he starred at Duke. Plus, it's only a five-hour drive from Buffalo to Columbus, Ohio, so Bulls fans will travel well. (Then again, Ohio State made that same drive to Buffalo last year and lost to THE University of Dayton, prompting one of the greatest front-page headlines in Dayton Daily News history.)

        THEY MIGHT DO IT: Butler was picked seventh in the Big East, changed coaches unexpectedly and then gave Chris Holtmann the job on a permanent basis. They'll have to beat two big-name programs in Texas and (probably) Notre Dame, but why not?

        WORTH NOTING: Wichita State won't be happy about its No. 7 seed. Indiana will be ecstatic to just get in as a 10th-seed. Upset watch here, too.

        SEMIFINALISTS: Kentucky, Kansas, Maryland, Butler.

        TITLE GAME: Kentucky vs. Kansas. It's a rematch of a game from Nov. 18, when Kentucky won 72-40. This one will be closer, but not much.

        TO THE FINAL FOUR: Kentucky.

        ---

        EAST REGION

        FAVORITE: Villanova, which opens with Lafayette in an all-Pennsylvania matchup. Villanova and Lafayette are barely an hour apart, and they play in Pittsburgh - basically 4-1/2 hours from both schools.

        UPSET WATCH: Take a flyer on 13th-seeded UC-Irvine (and 7-foot-6 Mamadou Ndiaye) against fourth-seeded Louisville. One, it's cool to always pick teams with nicknames like Anteaters. Two, Louisville is only 5-5 in its last 10 games and just doesn't look as good as it did a few weeks ago, for many reasons.

        AUSSIE, AUSSIE, AUSSIE: The Great Danes will have fans from Albany (their city) to Australia (which may as well be their adopted country). Peter Hooley left the team for a few weeks to go back to his native Australia and spend as much time as he could with his mother, who died of cancer. He then returned to Albany ... and hits the 3-pointer with about 2 seconds left to put his team in the tournament. It'll be daunting to face third-seeded Oklahoma, but New York's Capital Region loves NCAA magic (see Siena).

        WORTH NOTING: Tom Izzo's seventh-seeded Michigan State team could see second-seeded Virginia this weekend. Never count out Izzo in the NCAAs, ever. ... Dayton gets a home game in the play-in against Boise State.

        SEMIFINALISTS: Villanova, Virginia, Northern Iowa, Providence.

        TO THE FINAL FOUR: Villanova.

        ---

        WEST REGION

        FAVORITE: Wisconsin, which could see Oregon in its second game (a rematch of a 2-7 game last season, won by the Badgers 85-77) but should escape the first weekend pretty easily.

        UPSET WATCH: 13th-seeded Harvard over fourth-seeded North Carolina is tempting, but we'll go really off the board. Kevin Ware (you remember the young man who broke his leg playing for Louisville) is in the field with Georgia State, a 14th-seed taking on third-seeded Baylor. If you believe in made-for-Hollywood stuff ...

        NEVER YIELD: Arkansas is probably the best No. 5 seed in the tourney.

        WORTH NOTING: BYU has the triple-double machine in Kyle Collingsworth, with six of them already this season. The rest of Division I basketball - combined - has 11.

        SEMIFINALISTS: Wisconsin, Arizona, Arkansas, Xavier.

        TO THE FINAL FOUR: Wisconsin.

        ---

        SOUTH REGION

        FAVORITE: Duke. The Blue Devils might see North Florida in their first game; North Florida won the Atlantic Sun, the team whose champion (Mercer) ousted Duke last year in Game 1.

        UPSET WATCH: UCLA was maybe the most questionable pick of all the at-large teams. Watch the 11th-ranked Bruins now knock out sixth-ranked SMU ... coached by Larry Brown ... who used to coach at UCLA. Of course.

        MAGIC MCCAFFERY: Fran McCaffery has done a fine job at Iowa this season, and gets rewarded with a opening game against Davidson in a 7-10 matchup. But if the Hawkeyes survive that one, they figure to have a shot - even in Seattle - of taking down second-seeded Gonzaga. The Zags have been two-and-out in the NCAAs in each of the last five years.

        WORTH NOTING: Duke's opening game will be the Devils' 22nd in North Carolina this season.

        SEMIFINALISTS: Duke, Iowa State, Utah, Iowa.

        TO THE FINAL FOUR: Duke.

        ---

        FINAL FOUR

        Yes, we picked four No. 1 seeds.

        Kentucky over Wisconsin, Villanova over Duke.

        Your national champion: In an all-Wildcat battle ... Kentucky.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          Thanks bum!!
          Questions, comments, complaints:
          [email protected]

          Comment


          • #20
            Sixty-eight need-to-know betting notes for 68 NCAA tournament teams

            It's tough to track all the teams vying for the national title when the NCAA tournaments gets underway this week. If you need a quick crash course in college hoops, here's one defining stat for all 68 teams doing the Big Dance this March.

            • Kentucky Wildcats (1) - The Wildcats limited opponents to a minuscule 0.117 assists per possession - easily the best mark in the NCAA.

            • Villanova Wildcats (1) - The Wildcats generate just 42.8 percent of their scoring from 2-point shots - the 13th-lowest mark in the country.

            • Duke Blue Devils (1) - The Blue Devils lead the NCAA with a whopping +15.6 first-half scoring margin at home, but post a pedestrian +3.5-point first-half differential on the road.

            • Wisconsin Badgers (1) - Point guard Traevon Jackson (foot) is on track to return in time for the Badgers' tournament opener. Jackson hasn't played since Jan. 11.

            • Virginia Cavaliers (2) - The Cavaliers have held foes to nine made free throws per game - the third-lowest total in the nation.

            • Kansas Jayhawks (2) - The Jayhawks are prepared to play without freshman forward Cliff Alexander, who has been sidelined by what is being reported as eligibility issues.

            • Arizona Wildcats (2) - The Wildcats use the charity stripe to their advantage, ranking fifth in the NCAA in free throws made per 100 possessions (26.24).

            • Gonzaga Bulldogs (2) - The Bulldogs are shooting a sizzling 52.2 percent from the field on the road. Only one other school (UC Davis) is above 50 percent for the season.

            • Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3) - Senior guard Jerian Grant was named MVP of the ACC conference tournament and leads Notre Dame in both scoring (16.8) and assists (6.6).

            • Oklahoma Sooners (3) - The Sooners allow opponents to score 29.4 percent of their total points from long range – 213th in the NCAA.

            • Baylor Bears (3) - Junior guard/forward Taurean Prince earned Big 12 second-team all-conference and sixth man of the year honors, averaging 13.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.5 steals.

            • Iowa State Cyclones (3) - The Cyclones commit a foul on just 19.3 percent of their defensive plays, the fifth-best mark in the country.

            • Maryland Terrapins (4) - The Terrapins are the only team ranked in the Top 12 with an assist-to-turnover ratio below 1.000, ranked 232nd at 0.907.

            • Louisville Cardinals (4) - The Cardinals are a dismal 11-18-2 ATS for the year - the second-worst mark of any team earning at least 24 SU wins.

            • North Carolina Tar Heels (4) - The Tar Heels were without freshman swingman Theo Pinson (foot), though he felt healthy enough to play and should return for the tournament opener.

            • Georgetown Hoyas (4) - The Hoyas prepared themselves for the NCAA tournament with the 11th toughest schedule in the country, boasting a SOS of 0.5883. That included non-conference opponents Kansas and Wisconsin.

            • West Virginia Mountaineers (5) - Guards Gary Browne (leg) and Juwan Staten (knee) both missed the Mountaineers' last three games and their status for the tournament opener is unknown.

            • Northern Iowa Panthers (5) - The Panthers enter the NCAA tournament on a 13-3-3 ATS stretch, with one of those losses coming courtesy an 11-point win over Evansville as a 12-point fave.

            • Arkansas Razorbacks (5) - The Razorbacks lead the SEC in assists per game (16.5) and fewest turnovers (11.7), good for a 1.41 assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 10th in the nation.

            • Utah Utes (5) - The Utes have one of the biggest home-road scoring margin discrepancies in college hoops, outscoring opponents by an average of 23.4 points at home but just 4.9 points on the road.

            • Butler Bulldogs (6) - Bulldogs forward Andrew Chrabascz has averaged 11 points in three games since returning from surgery to repair a broken hand.

            • Providence Friars (6) - The Friars are 18-11-1 ATS and 16-11 O/U for the year - making them one of only seven schools to go plus-5 or better in the win column in both categories.

            • Xavier Musketeers (6) - The Musketeers are 2-8 O/U in their previous 10 games, with one of their Overs exceeding the total by just two points.

            • SMU Mustangs (6) - The Mustangs record an assist on 24.3 percent of their possessions - good for seventh overall.

            • Wichita State Shockers (7) - The Shockers shoot just 62.1 percent from the free-throw line at home compared to 74.8 percent on the road. It's the largest negative home/road discrepancy in the country.

            • Michigan State Spartans (7) - The Spartans average 0.257 assists per possession. Only Pittsburgh (0.260) has a better rate among Division I teams.

            • VCU Rams (7) - The Rams are the only team in the NCAA with 20 ATS losses (12-20-0) and more than 20 SU victories (26-9).

            • Iowa Hawkeyes (7) - The Hawkeyes rank outside the Top 200 in 2-point shooting (46.9 percent) and 3-point shooting (33.2 percent), but are 23rd overall from the free-throw line (74.5 percent).

            • Cincinnati Bearcats (8) - The Bearcats have limited opponents to 17.3 defensive rebounds per game. Only New Mexico State (17.1) has permitted fewer.

            • North Carolina State Wolfpack (8) - Wolfpack guard Anthony Barber has been cleared to play in the tournament after suffering a spasm in his neck muscles during an ACC tournament loss to Duke.

            • Oregon Ducks (8) - The Ducks average better than 75 points but attempt just 0.295 free throws for every field goal attempt - the 15th-worst rate in the land.

            • San Diego State Aztecs (8) - The Aztecs surrender just 23.4 first-half points per game, the second-best performance in the country.

            • Purdue Boilermakers (9) - The Boilermakers are one of only four programs to register at least 20 ATS wins (20-10-0), but have posted the fewest Overs of the bunch (10-18).

            • LSU Tigers (9) - The Tigers are one of the most careless teams in the nation, turning the ball over 14.6 times per game (326th) and on 17.5 percent of their offensive plays (260th).

            • Oklahoma State Cowboys (9)- The Cowboys allow opponents to secure 31 percent of their missed shots - the worst mark among Big 12 teams.

            • St. John’s Red Storm (9) - Forward Chris Obekpa, ranked fifth in the nation with 3.13 blocks per game, won't be going to the tournament after being suspended for violating team rules.

            • Indiana Hoosiers (10) - The Hoosiers will likely be without forward Hanner Mosquera-Perea, who suffered a scary-looking knee injury in Thursday's 71-56 win over Northwestern.

            • Georgia Bulldogs (10) - The Bulldogs are 10-4-2 ATS in 16 games away from Stegeman Coliseum, including a 7-3-2 ATS mark as road/neutral underdogs.

            • Ohio State Buckeyes (10) - The Buckeyes' plus-2.2 road scoring differential is the lowest of any team in the Top 20 in overall average scoring margin.

            • Davidson Wildcats (10) - The Wildcats are this season's ATS darlings, posting a stunning 22-6-0 ATS mark for the season, including an 11-2-0 ATS record on the road and a 7-0 ATS mark as road underdogs.

            • Texas Longhorns (11) - The Longhorns are one of the top Under plays of any team from a major conference (9-17-0 O/U) thanks to a defense ranked fourth in field-goal percentage against (36.8).

            • Boise State Broncos (11) - The Broncos were a scorching 15-5-0 ATS against the Mountain West conference, covering the spread by an average of 5.5 points per game.

            • Dayton Flyers (11) - The Flyers rank ninth last in the NCAA in offensive rebounding at 5.8 per game, reclaiming a paltry 21.2 percent of their misses.

            • BYU Cougars (11) - The Cougars are dealing with a pair of significant injuries, as Anson Winder is sidelined with a sprained knee and Skyler Halford left the WCC championship loss to Gonzaga with a lower leg nerve contusion.

            • Ole Miss Rebels (11) - The Rebels lead the NCAA in road free-throw shooting at 79 percent, but attempt just 20.8 per game away from Oxford.

            • UCLA Bruins (11) - The Bruins are one of the worst road teams in the tournament, going just 2-8 away from Pauley Pavilion while being outscored by an average margin of 6.8 points.

            • Buffalo Bulls (12) - The Bulls draw 21 fouls per game and make those extra shots count - ranking fifth in the nation in made free throws per contest (17.9).

            • Wyoming Cowboys (12) - Passing is a critical component of the Cowboys' offense. They average 0.666 assists per made field goal, the third-highest rate in the country.

            • Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (12) - The Lumberjacks rank second in the NCAA at 17.6 assists per game, the third straight season they've increased their assist total.

            • Wofford Terriers (12) - The Terriers limit the opposition to 8.9 assists per game, good for seventh in the nation, and 0.424 assists per field goal made, which ranks sixth.

            • Valparaiso Crusaders (13) - The Crusaders have some key players nursing injuries going into March Madness as Tevonn Walker (knee), Darien Walker (nose) and Keith Carter (toe) are all banged up.

            • UC Irvine Anteaters (13) - The Anteaters rank outside the Top 300 in free throws made per game (11.5), free throws attempted (16.7) and free throws per field goal attempt (0.310).

            • Harvard Crimson (13) - The Crimson limit opponents to 26.4 first-half points and 30.4 second-half points per game - both marks rank 13th in the NCAA.

            • Eastern Washington Eagles (13) - Sophomore guard Tyler Harvey leads the nation in scoring at 22.9 points per game, highlighted by a 42-point performance against Idaho on March 12.

            • Northeastern Huskies (14) - The Huskies were 8-1-0 O/U as a home favorite, going Over by an absurd average of 15.6 points.

            • Albany Great Danes (14) - The Great Danes did a sensational job of keeping foes off the foul line, ranking 13th in opposing attempts per game (15.2) and 17th in makes (10.6).

            • Georgia State Panthers (14) - Sun Belt No. 2 scorer Ryan Harrow made a brief appearance in the conference title game as he recovers from an injured hamstring, though he's expected to play in the NCAA tournament opener.

            • UAB Blazers (14) - The Blazers have been a solid bet in conference play, going 15-6-0 ATS versus C-USA foes while covering by an average of five points.

            • New Mexico State Aggies (15) - The Aggies boast a 13-1 conference record despite ranking 321st in 3-point makes per game (4.7) and 344th in attempts (12.8).

            • Belmont Bruins (15) - The Bruins rank sixth in the nation with a 56.5-percent success rate from 2-point range, but are just 166th overall in shot attempts per game at 54.3.

            • Texas Southern Tigers (15) - The Tigers are great at getting to the free throw line, ranking 16th at 24.4 attempts per game, but struggle once there, shooting just 66.2 percent (272nd overall).

            • North Dakota State Bison (15) - The Bison grab 79.2 percent of defensive boards, good for second in the NCAA, and limit opponents to 6.2 offensive rebounds per game - fourth-fewest overall.

            • Manhattan Jaspers (16) - The Jaspers get to the line like few other teams, ranking in the Top 10 in attempts (25.2), makes (17.5) and free throw attempts per field goal attempts (0.479).

            • Hampton Pirates (16) - The Pirates finished the season a perfect 7-0 ATS, covering the spread by an average of 14.4 points in their limited lined games.

            • Lafayette Leopards (16) - The Leopards are one of the most dangerous teams in the country from deep, ranking second in 3-point percentage (41.4) and eighth in shooting efficiency (1.181).

            • Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (16) - The Chanticleers are one of the top teams after halftime in the NCAA, ranked 31st overall in second-half scoring (38.6 points per game).

            • Robert Morris Colonials (16) - The Colonials struggled to contain opposing big men, allowing foes to grab nearly 35 percent of misses - 338th in the nation.

            • North Florida Ospreys (16) - The Ospreys earned their first trip to the NCAA tournament on the strength of a 53.6-percent effective field-goal percentage - 31st in the country.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              Handicapping No. 5 vs. No. 12

              March 16, 2015


              Since 1990, No. 5 seeds are just 59-37 straight up (61.5%) and 44-51-1 (45.8%) against the spread vs. 12-seeds.

              There have been just two years since 1990 that a No. 12 seed hasn't upset a No. 5 seed.

              Three No. 12 seeds won in the 2014 NCAA Tournament as Stephen F. Austin, Harvard, and North Dakota State all captured victories.

              Let's take a closer look at the candidates to continue the trend this season.

              West Regional - No. 12 Wofford Terriers (+7.5) vs. No. 5 Arkansas
              Date: Thursday, Mar. 19
              Venue: Veterans Memorial Arena
              Location: Jacksonville, Florida

              The Terriers notched the regular season title in the Southern Conference and locked up a Big Dance berth for the fourth time in the past six years under coach Mike Young. Prior to breezing through the Southern Conference slate they played a gauntlet of a non-conference schedule, traveling to Stanford, NC State, West Virginia, and Duke.

              That’s solid experience that they can rely on prior to this week’s matchup with Arkansas. Their top four players are upperclassmen who were around when they lost to 2nd-seeded Michigan in last year’s tournament. Defensively they rank 27th in PPG allowed and 31st in opponents three-point field goal percentage – two aspects that will be challenged by the hot shooting, high-octane offense of Arkansas. The Razorbacks have dropped three of their last six games, but two of those were against No. 1 Kentucky.

              South Regional - No. 12 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (+6.5) vs. No. 5 Utah
              Date: Thursday, Mar. 19
              Venue: Moda Center
              Location: Portland, Oregon

              The Lumberjacks are 26-1 in their last 27 games, easily notching the Southland Conference regular season title and cruising through the conference tournament. They’ve notched their 2nd straight NCAA Tournament appearance after defeating VCU as a 12 seed last season.

              Defensively this team can be a nightmare matchup. They force 16.6 turnovers per game (6th nationally) and are able to capitalize on those turnovers (19th in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency). Five players average at least 8.4 PPG, including top scorers Walkup and Parker, who led the way in the upset of VCU last year. The Lumberjacks will have their hands full with 5th-seeded Utah, who enter the tournament as one of six teams that rank in the top 20 in both offensive & defensive efficiency.

              Midwest Regional - No. 12 Buffalo Bulls (+4.5) vs. No. 5 West Virginia
              Date: Friday, Mar. 20
              Venue: Nationwide Arena
              Location: Columbus, Ohio

              Many people took note of the Bulls after two strong non-conference showings. First at Kentucky (led at halftime over the Wildcats) then at Wisconsin (lost by 12 in a competitive game). This Buffalo team can score fast (25th in PPG) and efficiently (49th in adjusted offensive efficiency). They don’t turn the ball over much and they rebound well, both factors will be important against West Virginia in the round of 64.

              The Mountaineers thrive when they force turnovers (1st nationally forcing 19.6 TO/G) as it leads to easy buckets off takeaways. Their aggressive play leads to a lot of silly fouls (23.2 fouls per game – first in NCAA) and they struggle to score in the half-court (41.2% from the field). WVU has dropped three of its last four games while Buffalo is riding an eight-game winning streak.

              East Regional - No. 12 Wyoming Cowboys (+7) vs. No. 5 Northern Iowa
              Date: Friday, Mar. 20
              Venue: Key Arena
              Location: Seattle, Washington

              The Cowboys got to the tournament the old fashioned way: notching the automatic bid by winning the Mountain West Conference Tournament. They knocked off streaking Boise State and outlasted San Diego State in back-to-back nights. Leading scorer Larry Nance Jr. missed a string of games in February, causing Wyoming’s offense to struggle for a long stretch.

              Nance appears to be back at full strength (17.8 PPG & 7.0 RPG over the last 5) and it’s no coincidence that Wyoming is playing its best ball of the year. For the first game in the tournament, Wyoming gets Northern Iowa, who many believe is under-seeded after finishing 30-3 and winning the MVC Conference Tournament.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                Beware of No-Name Teams

                March 16, 2015

                It's that time of year again: Basketball games night and day, day and night and after a few hours of sleep, we wake up the next day and go through it all over again. College tournament play is one of the most enjoyable times of the year for sports fans and bettors, with a seemingly endless stream of action and excitement.

                Big name schools often end up playing for the title. The champions the last ten years have been UConn (twice), Louisville, Kentucky, Duke, North Carolina (twice), Kansas and Florida (twice). But let’s pay some respect to the smaller schools who got there, with tiny Butler of the Horizon League. going back to back in 2009-10.

                We’ve seen big name programs lose the title game in Ohio State, Illinois, Kansas, UCLA and Michigan. Big names, all of them, with no surprise schools like Pacific, Winthrop, Ohio or Stony Brook ever sneaking in. Large, high profile schools have big athletic budgets and enough scholarships to attract some of the top basketball talent, which is a key to their success.

                However, this doesn't mean smaller, lesser-known schools can't compete with the big boys at times, especially when you look at one 40-minute game. There are countless examples for sports bettors, including last season. Butler is one example of many the last two seasons as this is the time of year for upsets and surprises.

                Think for a moment: Before winning the title in 2010 you don't remember seeing Duke much in the Big Dance the previous three years ago, did you? That's because the Blue Devils got upset in the first round, losing to VCU, 79-77. One year they nipped Belmont, 71-70, then lost to West Virginia, and in 2009 Duke survived two games before Villanova blew them out, 77-54.

                Don’t forget George Mason out of the Colonial Athletic Association. The Patriots made it to the Final Four by knocking off Michigan State, North Carolina and UConn. They were 5, 6 and 8 point dogs in those games. A few years ago in the first round alone, Wisconsin-Milwaukee upset Alabama 83-73, UConn squeaked by Central Florida 77-71 as a 19-point favorite, Bucknell stunned Kansas 64-63, and Vermont took Syracuse to overtime and won 60-57.

                Did you forget all those surprises? With so many games in March and the big names that usually end up in the Final Four, it is easy to forget the early rounds. How about tiny Holy Cross a few years ago? The Crusaders had to face Dwyane Wade and Marquette in the tournament opener and as a 10-point dog, Holy Cross covered in a 72-68 game. Holy Cross also gave mighty Kansas, with Drew Gooden and Nick Collison, a run for their money. At first glance, some of the games look like mismatches, but a good handicapper is skilled in the art of careful analysis and patience.

                Every year one or two little known teams make memorable runs. Which brings up a good point for serious sports bettors: It is not wise to take big favorites on the money-line. The payoff is poor, and successful sports wagering is as much about money management as it is picking winners. Taking a shot with a big dog who you think might be able to hang in there is much smarter than wagering $900 to win $100, for example, on a minus-900 favorite. Surprising upsets happen all the time.

                Several things are happening. One is the old NFL axiom, "On any given Sunday" one team can beat another, regardless of record or talent. Sometimes the better team simply has a bad night shooting the basketball, or the big underdog can't miss. One of the most memorable upsets came in the 1985 NCAA Finals when Villanova, a 10-point 'dog, upset mighty Georgetown, 66-64. The Wildcats hit 22-of-28 field goals, a sizzling 78%. It would be tough to beat ANY underdog that shoots 78%!

                Another reason is that some smaller schools happen to have NBA-caliber talent, such as current star Stephen Curry who starred at Davidson. You never know: schools like Albany, SMU and Florida Gulf Coast just might be showcasing future NBA talent this month.

                Other times a small school has a great coach or a collection of talented kids who play tough defense and believe in themselves enough to upset traditional powers. You may recall a March tourney where the Detroit Titans upset UCLA 56-53 and Weber State beat mighty North Carolina 76-74 as a +14 dog. Teams are generally motivated to play in the NCAA tournament, but this isn't always the case with the NIT. Some teams that were hoping to get to the Big Dance are disappointed at being selected for lower-seeded tournies and aren't always focused for their best effort.

                Sometimes there are look-ahead spots, where a high-seeded team might be looking past an opponent it might not take seriously. That's what appeared to happen in the game I mentioned earlier, Kansas against Holy Cross. Kansas needed a second half push to top the Crusaders 70-59 as a 29-point favorite. It also wouldn't have been the first time a small school upset a big-name program. Don't take big favorites on the money-line and don't simply lay the points on the more famous conference or school without doing your homework, because tourney time is loaded with surprises.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  NCAAB
                  Long Sheet

                  Tuesday, March 17

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  HAMPTON (16 - 17) vs. MANHATTAN (19 - 13) - 3/17/2015, 6:40 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  MANHATTAN is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
                  MANHATTAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                  MANHATTAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                  MANHATTAN is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
                  MANHATTAN is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
                  MANHATTAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
                  HAMPTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
                  HAMPTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
                  HAMPTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
                  HAMPTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game this season.


                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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                  OLE MISS (20 - 12) vs. BYU (25 - 9) - 3/17/2015, 9:10 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  BYU is 204-153 ATS (+35.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
                  OLE MISS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
                  OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
                  OLE MISS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
                  OLE MISS is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
                  BYU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
                  BYU is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
                  BYU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
                  BYU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
                  BYU is 76-119 ATS (-54.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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                  CAL DAVIS (25 - 6) at STANFORD (19 - 13) - 3/17/2015, 11:00 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
                  STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                  NORFOLK ST (20 - 13) at E KENTUCKY (19 - 11) - 3/17/2015, 7:00 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  E KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NCAAB
                    Short Sheet

                    Tuesday, March 17

                    2015 March Madness Betting Trends: NCAA College Basketball Tournament

                    #1 SEEDS - Round #1 (vs #16)
                    30-0 SU & 17-13 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 4-0 SU & 1-3 ATS all as 17 point or more Favorites

                    #2 SEEDS - Round #1 (vs #15)
                    27-3 SU & 17-13 ATS
                    Last Year (2014) 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS all as 10-point or more Favorites

                    #3 SEEDS - Round #1 (vs #14)
                    27-3 SU & 19-11 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS all as 9 point or more Favorites

                    #4 SEEDS - Round #1 (vs #13)
                    23-7 SU & 17-13 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 4-0 SU & 2-2 ATS all as 8 point or more Favorites

                    #5 SEEDS - Round #1 (vs #12)
                    15-15 SU & 10-20 ATS
                    1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS all as 3 point or more Favorites

                    #6 SEED - Round #1 vs (#11)
                    16-14 SU & 12-18 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS with three Favorites or 3 points or more & 1 Dog

                    #7 SEED - Round #1 (vs #10)
                    18-12 SU & 15-14-1 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 2-2 SU & 2-1-1 ATS as three Favorites & one Dog

                    #8 SEED - Round #1 (vs #9)
                    18-12 SU & 18-12 ATS
                    Last Year (2014): 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS with two Favorites & two Dogs


                    MENS TOP 25 COLLEGE BASKETBALL RANKINGS & ROUND #1 BETTING TRENDS (as of March 2, 2015

                    #1 Kentucky 29-0
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 12-1 SU & 6-7 ATS in round 1

                    3-0 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances

                    1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS as a round 1 Dog

                    2-5 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last year: Beat Kansas State, 56-49, in round 1 as -6 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #2 Virginia 27-1
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances, all as Favorites

                    1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Beat Coastal Carolina, 70-59, as -20 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #3 Duke 26-3
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 12-3 SU & 6-9 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances, all as 10-point or more Favorites

                    7-2 SU & 3-6 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Upset by Mercer, 78-71, as -12point Favorites (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #4 Villanova 27-2
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 5-3 SU & 3-6 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances

                    1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    0-1 SU & ATS as Dogs

                    Last Year: Beat Wisconsin-MIL, 73-53, as -17 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #5 Arizona 26-3
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 10-3 SU & 6-7 ATS in round 1

                    3-0 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances, all as Favorites

                    5-0 SU & 2-3 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS as Favorites of -6 points or less

                    Last Year: Beat Webber, 68-59, as -20 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #6 Wisconsin 26-3
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in round 1

                    2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances

                    4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS as Favorites of -14 points or less

                    Last Year: Beat American University, 75-35 as -14 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #7 Gonzaga 29-2
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 12-3 SU & 8-7 ATS in round 1

                    5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in round 1 last 5 appearances

                    4-0 SU & ATS as Dogs

                    3-0 SU & 0-3 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Beat Okie State, 85-77, as +3.5 point Dogs (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #8 Wichita State 27-3
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in round 1

                    2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances, all as Favorites

                    1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Beat Cal-Poly, 64-37, as -17 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #9 Kansas 23-6
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 13-2 SU & 7-8 ATS in round 1

                    5-0 SU & 1-4 ATS in round 1 last 5 appearances, all as Favorites

                    5-0 SU & 1-4 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Beat Eastern Kentucky, 80-69, as -13 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS

                    #10 Maryland 24-5
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 8-0 SU & 4-4 ATS in round 1

                    3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in round 1 last 3 appearances, all as Favorites

                    2-0 SU & 0-2 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last Year: Beat Houston, 89-77, as -9.5 point Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #11 Northern Iowa 27-3
                    Since the 2004 College Basketball Tourney: 1-4 SU & 4-1 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances

                    Last appearance: 2010, when they beat UNLV, 69-66, in round 1 as +1 point Dogs (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #12 Notre Dame 24-5
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 5-4 SU & 3-6 ATS in round 1

                    1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in round 1 the last 4 appearances

                    1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS as a round 1 Favorites of -5 points or less

                    1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last appearance: 2013, when they lost to Iowa State, 76-58, in round 1 as 1 point Dogs (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #13 Utah 22-6
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances, all as Favorite

                    3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS as a round 1 Favorite of 7 points or less

                    4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last year: Upset by Arizona, 84-71, as -1.5 Favorites (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #14 Baylor 22-7
                    Since the 2008 College Basketball Tourney: 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS in round 1

                    3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances, all as Favorite

                    1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last year: Beat Nebraska 74-60 as -3.5 Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #15 Oklahoma 20-8
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 6-4 SU & 4-6 ATS in round 1

                    1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances, all as Favorite

                    1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS as a round 1 Favorite of 4 points or less

                    5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in round 1

                    Last year: Upset by North Dakota St, 80-75, as -3.5 Favorites (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #16 Louisville 23-6
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 8-4 SU & 5-7 ATS in round 1

                    3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in round 1 the last 3 appearances, all as Favorite

                    5-1 SU & 2-4 ATS as a Round 1 Favorite of 10 points or more in Round 1

                    0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS as Pickem or Dogs in Round 1

                    Last year: Beat Manhattan University, 71-64, as -16 Favorites (1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #17 Iowa State 20-8
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in Round 1

                    4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in Round 1 the last 4 appearances

                    3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS as a Round 1 Dogs in all tourney appearances

                    1-1 SU & 0-2 ATS as Favorites of 10-points or more in Round 1

                    Last year: Beat by NC Central, 93-75, as -8.5 Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #18 Arkansas 23-6
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in Round 1

                    1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in Round 1 the last 5 appearances

                    1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS as a Round 1 Favorites of 5.5 points or less

                    Last appearance: 2008, when they beat Indiana, 86-72, as -2 Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #19 North Carolina 20-9
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 12-0 SU & 7-4-1 ATS in Round 1

                    3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in Round 1 the last 3 appearances all as Favorites

                    8-0 SU & 4-3-1 ATS as a Round 1 Favorites of 10 points or more

                    4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as Round 1 Favorites of 9 points or less

                    Last year: Beat Providence, 79-77, as -4.5 Favorites (1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #20 West Virginia 22-7
                    Since the 2005 College Basketball Tourney: 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in Round 1

                    2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS in Round 1 the last 3 appearances

                    0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS as Dogs in Round 1

                    1-1 SU & 1-1 ATS as Round 1 Favorites or 10 points or more

                    Last appearance: 2012, when they lost to Gonzaga, 77-54, as +2 Dogs (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #21 Butler 21-8
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in Round 1

                    3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in Round 1 the last 3 appearances

                    1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS as a Round 1 Dogs in all tourney appearances

                    6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS as Favorites of 6 points or less in Round 1

                    Last appearance: 2013, when they beat Bucknell, 68-56, as -3.5 Favorites (1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                    #22 SMU 23-6
                    Has not appeared in the NCAA March Madness Tourney since 1993.

                    Went 4-1 SU in the N.I.T Tourney games in 2014, losing last year's N.I.T Finals, 65-63, to Minnesota.

                    #23 Ohio State 21-8
                    Since the 2000 College Basketball Tourney: 8-3 SU & 5-6 ATS in Round 1

                    3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in Round 1 the last 4 appearances

                    5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS as a Round 1 Favorites of 10 points or more

                    0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS as Round 1 Favorites of 6.5 points or less

                    Last year: Upset, 60-59, by Dayton as 6.5 point Favorites (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #24 Providence 20-9
                    Since the 2001 College Basketball Tourney: 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in Round 1

                    0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in Round 1 the last 3 appearances, last two as Favorites

                    0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS as a Round 1 Dogs in all tourney appearances

                    Never been double digit Favorites in Round 1 games

                    Last year: Upset by North Carolina, 79-77, as -5 point Favorites (0-1 SU & 0-1 ATS)

                    #25 Murray State 26-4
                    Since the 2002 College Basketball Tourney: 2-3 SU & 3-2 ATS in Round 1

                    2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in Round 1 the last 3 appearances

                    Last appearance: 2012, when they beat Colorado State 58-41
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Wednesday, March 18

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                      ROBERT MORRIS (19 - 14) vs. N FLORIDA (24 - 10) - 3/18/2015, 6:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      N FLORIDA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
                      ROBERT MORRIS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      BOISE ST (25 - 8) at DAYTON (25 - 8) - 3/18/2015, 9:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      N ARIZONA (19 - 14) at GRAND CANYON (17 - 14) - 3/18/2015, 8:00 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      N ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against GRAND CANYON over the last 3 seasons




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      SACRAMENTO ST (20 - 11) at PORTLAND (17 - 15) - 3/18/2015, 10:00 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      PORTLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
                      PORTLAND is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Thursday, March 19

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      WOFFORD (28 - 6) vs. ARKANSAS (26 - 8) - 3/19/2015, 9:50 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      ARKANSAS is 65-108 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
                      ARKANSAS is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
                      ARKANSAS is 77-121 ATS (-56.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                      ARKANSAS is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      HARVARD (22 - 7) vs. N CAROLINA (24 - 11) - 3/19/2015, 7:20 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      HARVARD is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
                      HARVARD is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
                      N CAROLINA is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                      N CAROLINA is 148-112 ATS (+24.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
                      N CAROLINA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      GEORGIA ST (24 - 9) vs. BAYLOR (24 - 9) - 3/19/2015, 1:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      GEORGIA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      GEORGIA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      NORTHEASTERN (22 - 12) vs. NOTRE DAME (29 - 5) - 3/19/2015, 12:15 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      NOTRE DAME is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
                      NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      NORTHEASTERN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      NOTRE DAME is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      TEXAS (20 - 13) vs. BUTLER (22 - 10) - 3/19/2015, 2:45 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      TEXAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 61-30 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 61-30 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                      BUTLER is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
                      BUTLER is 185-147 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                      TEXAS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      LAFAYETTE (20 - 12) vs. VILLANOVA (32 - 2) - 3/19/2015, 6:50 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      VILLANOVA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
                      VILLANOVA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      VILLANOVA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
                      VILLANOVA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      VILLANOVA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      VILLANOVA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
                      VILLANOVA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
                      VILLANOVA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      LSU (22 - 10) vs. NC STATE (20 - 13) - 3/19/2015, 9:20 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      NC STATE is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
                      NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
                      NC STATE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
                      NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 57-31 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
                      NC STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      NC STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                      LSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
                      LSU is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
                      LSU is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      LSU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      PURDUE (21 - 12) vs. CINCINNATI (22 - 10) - 3/19/2015, 7:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      PURDUE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
                      PURDUE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      PURDUE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      PURDUE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      PURDUE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      CINCINNATI is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
                      CINCINNATI is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                      CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
                      CINCINNATI is 102-138 ATS (-49.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      UAB (19 - 15) vs. IOWA ST (25 - 8) - 3/19/2015, 12:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      IOWA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1997.
                      IOWA ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                      IOWA ST is 213-164 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                      IOWA ST is 135-104 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
                      UAB is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                      UAB is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      UAB is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
                      UAB is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
                      UAB is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      UAB is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      UCLA (20 - 13) vs. SMU (27 - 6) - 3/19/2015, 3:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      UCLA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                      SMU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                      UCLA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      UCLA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      SMU is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
                      SMU is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
                      SMU is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      SF AUSTIN ST (29 - 4) vs. UTAH (24 - 8) - 3/19/2015, 7:25 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      UTAH is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
                      UTAH is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      UTAH is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                      UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      UTAH is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      E WASHINGTON (26 - 8) vs. GEORGETOWN (21 - 10) - 3/19/2015, 9:55 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      GEORGETOWN is 93-57 ATS (+30.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
                      E WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
                      E WASHINGTON is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      TEXAS SOUTHERN (22 - 12) vs. ARIZONA (31 - 3) - 3/19/2015, 2:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      ARIZONA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
                      ARIZONA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      ARIZONA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
                      ARIZONA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      ARIZONA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
                      ARIZONA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
                      ARIZONA is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      OHIO ST (23 - 10) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 9) - 3/19/2015, 4:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      OHIO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                      VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
                      VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
                      OHIO ST is 226-182 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      TENN-MARTIN (18 - 12) at NORTHWESTERN ST (19 - 12) - 3/19/2015, 7:30 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Friday, March 20

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      BELMONT (22 - 10) vs. VIRGINIA (29 - 3) - 3/20/2015, 3:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      VIRGINIA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      VIRGINIA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                      VIRGINIA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BELMONT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                      VIRGINIA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      GEORGIA (21 - 11) vs. MICHIGAN ST (23 - 11) - 3/20/2015, 12:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      MICHIGAN ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      GEORGIA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
                      GEORGIA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      ST JOHNS (21 - 11) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (26 - 8) - 3/20/2015, 9:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      ST JOHNS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
                      ST JOHNS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      BUFFALO (23 - 9) vs. W VIRGINIA (23 - 9) - 3/20/2015, 2:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      W VIRGINIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
                      BUFFALO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BUFFALO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                      W VIRGINIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      VALPARAISO (28 - 5) vs. MARYLAND (27 - 6) - 3/20/2015, 4:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      VALPARAISO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
                      MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
                      MARYLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                      MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
                      MARYLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
                      VALPARAISO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
                      VALPARAISO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      VALPARAISO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      MARYLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      ALBANY (24 - 8) vs. OKLAHOMA (22 - 10) - 3/20/2015, 7:25 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      ALBANY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                      ALBANY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                      ALBANY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      NEW MEXICO ST (23 - 10) vs. KANSAS (26 - 8) - 3/20/2015, 12:15 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      NEW MEXICO ST is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
                      NEW MEXICO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      INDIANA (20 - 13) vs. WICHITA ST (28 - 4) - 3/20/2015, 2:45 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      WICHITA ST is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WICHITA ST is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      COASTAL CAROLINA (24 - 9) vs. WISCONSIN (31 - 3) - 3/20/2015, 9:20 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      OKLAHOMA ST (18 - 13) vs. OREGON (25 - 9) - 3/20/2015, 6:50 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      OKLAHOMA ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA ST is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                      OREGON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA ST is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
                      OREGON is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
                      OREGON is 1-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
                      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      WYOMING (25 - 9) vs. N IOWA (30 - 3) - 3/20/2015, 1:40 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      N IOWA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
                      N IOWA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      N IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
                      N IOWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      N IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
                      N IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
                      N IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
                      N IOWA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
                      N IOWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      N IOWA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
                      N IOWA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
                      N IOWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
                      N IOWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      UC-IRVINE (21 - 12) vs. LOUISVILLE (24 - 8) - 3/20/2015, 4:10 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      LOUISVILLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                      LOUISVILLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                      LOUISVILLE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                      UC-IRVINE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      UC-IRVINE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      UC-IRVINE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      UC-IRVINE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      N DAKOTA ST (23 - 9) vs. GONZAGA (32 - 2) - 3/20/2015, 9:50 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      N DAKOTA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
                      N DAKOTA ST is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      DAVIDSON (24 - 7) vs. IOWA (21 - 11) - 3/20/2015, 7:20 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      DAVIDSON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
                      DAVIDSON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      DAVIDSON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
                      DAVIDSON is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
                      DAVIDSON is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      DAVIDSON is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
                      DAVIDSON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
                      IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
                      IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NCAAB

                        Tuesday, March 17

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        TUESDAY, MARCH 17

                        6:40 PM
                        HAMPTON vs. MANHATTAN
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Manhattan's last 6 games
                        Manhattan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 17, 9:10 PM
                        MISSISSIPPI vs. BYU
                        No trends available
                        BYU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


                        WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 18, 9:10 PM
                        BOISE STATE vs. DAYTON
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dayton's last 10 games
                        Dayton is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games


                        THURSDAY, MARCH 19

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 12:15 PM
                        NORTHEASTERN vs. NOTRE DAME
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games
                        Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 12:40 PM
                        UAB vs. IOWA STATE
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 6 games
                        Iowa State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 1:40 PM
                        GEORGIA STATE vs. BAYLOR
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games
                        Baylor is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 2:10 PM
                        TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. ARIZONA
                        No trends available
                        Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 2:45 PM
                        TEXAS vs. BUTLER
                        No trends available
                        Butler is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
                        Butler is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 3:10 PM
                        UCLA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
                        No trends available
                        Southern Methodist is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 4:40 PM
                        OHIO STATE vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
                        No trends available
                        Virginia Commonwealth is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
                        Virginia Commonwealth is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 6:50 PM
                        LAFAYETTE vs. VILLANOVA
                        No trends available
                        Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 7:10 PM
                        PURDUE vs. CINCINNATI
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
                        Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 7:20 PM
                        HARVARD vs. NORTH CAROLINA
                        No trends available
                        North Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 7:27 PM
                        STEPHEN F. AUSTIN vs. UTAH
                        No trends available
                        Utah is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
                        Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 9:20 PM
                        LSU vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
                        No trends available
                        North Carolina State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 9:50 PM
                        WOFFORD vs. ARKANSAS
                        No trends available
                        Arkansas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 7 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 19, 9:57 PM
                        EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. GEORGETOWN
                        No trends available
                        Georgetown is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                        Georgetown is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games


                        FRIDAY, MARCH 20

                        12:15 PM
                        NEW MEXICO STATE vs. KANSAS
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games
                        Kansas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 12:40 PM
                        GEORGIA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan State's last 7 games
                        Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 1:40 PM
                        WYOMING vs. NORTHERN IOWA
                        No trends available
                        Northern Iowa is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 2:10 PM
                        BUFFALO vs. WEST VIRGINIA
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
                        West Virginia is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 2:45 PM
                        INDIANA vs. WICHITA STATE
                        No trends available
                        Wichita State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 3:10 PM
                        BELMONT vs. VIRGINIA
                        No trends available
                        Virginia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
                        Virginia is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 4:10 PM
                        UC IRVINE vs. LOUISVILLE
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisville's last 12 games
                        Louisville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 4:40 PM
                        VALPARAISO vs. MARYLAND
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
                        Maryland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 6:50 PM
                        OKLAHOMA STATE vs. OREGON
                        No trends available
                        Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon's last 9 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 7:20 PM
                        DAVIDSON vs. IOWA
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games
                        Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 7:27 PM
                        ALBANY vs. OKLAHOMA
                        No trends available
                        Oklahoma is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 9:20 PM
                        COASTAL CAROLINA vs. WISCONSIN
                        No trends available
                        Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wisconsin's last 12 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 9:40 PM
                        ST. JOHN'S vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
                        No trends available
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games
                        San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        MARCH 20, 9:50 PM
                        NORTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
                        No trends available
                        Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NCAAB

                          Tuesday, March 17


                          Texas A&M biggest fave of Day 1 of NIT

                          Texas A&M faces the most chalk of any team in action on the opening day of the NIT Tournament.

                          The Aggies opened as 12-point favorites over Montana and currently sit at -11.5.

                          Texas A&M was 17-12 against the spread this season and were 4-2 ATS as double digit faves. Montana was 14-11-4 ATS this season.


                          Pittsburgh a terrible bet heading into NIT

                          Pittsburgh is currently a 3-point favorite for their NIT opener today against George Washington, but the Panthers are ice cold ATS heading into the NIT tournament, failing to cover in five straight games.

                          In fact, the Pittsburgh has one of the worst records against the spread of any Div. 1 team, going just 8-20-1 ATS this season.

                          However, George Washington wasn't much better at 11-18-1 ATS.


                          Miami has history of crushing North Carolina Central

                          The Miami Hurricanes and North Carolina Central Eagles have gone head-to-head just three times, but the Hurricanes won by an average of 29 points in each of those meetings.

                          The Canes are presently 9.5-point favorites for the showdown in the first round of the NIT.

                          The most recent meeting between the two programs came on Nov. 19, 2010 as Miami won 88-65. The Canes prevailed 83-53 on Nov. 14, 2009 and 76-42 on Jan. 3, 2009.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • #28
                            Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

                            -- Heat 106, Cavaliers 92-- Four teams are tied for last two playoff spots in East.

                            -- Celtics 108, 76ers 89-- Boston won nine of its last 12 games.

                            -- NJIT 84, New Hempshire 77-- America East won't take NJIT as a member.

                            -- Why wouldn't Jameis Winston go to the NFL Draft? He is an unusual guy.

                            -- Pete Rose applied for reinstatement to baseball; come on Commish, let him back in. Think of the positive press it'll generate and it'll help Cooperstown.

                            -- Georgia Tech, UNLV decided to keep their hoop coaches for next year, which is a nice way of saying they didn't want to write big checks to buy them out.



                            **********

                            Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

                            13) Kevin Pillar is an outfielder for Blue Jays; he is out for 7-10 days after pulling an oblique muscle.........while sneezing. I kid you not.

                            12) Colorado is still playing basketball, they're in the CBI but their best player Askia Booker decided to call it a season and won't play. Not sure if Spencer Dinwiddie's injury last year had any impact on this decision- that cost Dinwiddie a lot of money when the draft came around, but how do you walk out on your teammates?

                            11) Oliver Purnell is out after five years coaching DePaul; why can't anyone win with the Blue Demons? They've had the same AD for over a decade; maybe that is the problem. Team in Chicago shouldn't have problems recrutiing good players.

                            10) Enjoyed watching Cal-Irvine players/coaches celebrating late Saturday night when they won their first Big West title. Lot of times coaches act so cool and unemotional when they win. Too bad; its a great moment in their life-- show some emotion!!!

                            9) Surprising fact: Duke hasn't won any of the last four ACC tournaments.

                            8) Cardinal catcher Yadier Molina has lost 25-30 pounds and looks a lot different.

                            7) Kids should watch Notre Dame play offense and Hawai'i play defense. Rainbows really get after it on defense; its good to see.

                            6) Eastern Washington guard Tyler Harvey leads the country is scoring; his dad is a D-I ref, working WCC and Big Sky games. Harvey and his friends play Georgetown in the first round of the NCAA tournament this week.

                            5) David Wright's last home run was July 11. Hard to believe. Michael Cuddyer is on the Mets because he is Wright's friend. Wright chose Cuddyer over Giancarlo Stanton for Home Run Derby couple years ago-- brilliant decision.

                            4) Catchers must hate spring training; too many pitchers to warm up.

                            3) RIP Eugene Patton, 82, better known as Gene Gene the Dancing Machine on one of the great TV shows of all-time, the Gong Show. Mr Patton was an NBC stagehand who became slightly famous for his cameo spots dancing as the show went into commercial breaks. If you've never seen the Gong Show, find it on the Internet; great stuff.

                            2) Watched Good Will Hunting again the other night; still sad to realize that as much joy as Robin Williams brought to other people's lives, he couldn't be happy himself.

                            1) 45 minutes before brackets are announced Sunday, Alabama announced it fired coach Anthony Grant; 15 minutes later, Charlotte announces it fired Alan Major. Now burying bad news under bigger headlines has become an art form. If Pete Rose ever gets put in the Hall of Fame, there will be a lot of headline burying going on that day.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • #29
                              Long Shots to Watch

                              March 17, 2015


                              Another March, another Selection Sunday. By now we have stopped trying to analyze, at least too much, the machinations of the NCAA Selection Committee. In the end, irrespective of seeding arguments, as long as the proper 68 teams are in the field, complaints should be few. And, with the exception of some angry Colorado State and Temple fans, we suspect there were not many around the country who were too upset with the composition of the brackets when they were announced by Greg Gumbel this past Sunday on CBS.

                              (Seeding questions, however, were another matter; something we will discuss in a moment.)

                              If we have a problem, however, it's the slant once again back toward the power conferences, who not unexpectedly dominated the at-large contingent. While this did not seem a deep year for the mid-majors, that designation seems to be spreading further and further in the college ranks. It is a term used too loosely and now seems to even encompass the American, which produced last year's NCAA champion UConn, which up until two years ago campaigned in the Big East. The A-10, which appeared to have five potential invitees, instead got only three, with one of those (Dayton) forced into an at-large play-in game, albeit on its own court, vs. Boise State.

                              The American and Mountain West also had two of the teams that might feel most-aggrieved by the process, as aforementioned Temple and Colorado State had to feel as if their expected bids were stolen by the Selection Committee. It would appear as if the Owls were the last team bypassed, thanks to a rare bit of candor by Selection Committee chairman Scott Barnes, the Utah State AD who once upon a time was a star forward on some of Boyd Grant's better Fresno State teams in the early '80s. Barnes, breaking ranks with past committee chairs who would refrain from discussing committee specifics as if they were national security secrets, admitted that bubble-buster Wyoming, the Mountain West Tourney champ, had effectively bumped Temple from the field. Continuing on that path, Barnes also admitted that if UConn had beaten SMU in Sunday's American finale, it would have replaced Dayton in the field of 68. After listening to past committee chairs bob and weave like Floyd Mayweather in the face of pointed questions from the talking heads on CBS or ESPN, it was actually a bit refreshing to see Barnes not treat the process as if he were representing the CIA rather than the NCAA.

                              As for CSU, it would outwardly seem as if it got caught in a number crunch that would prevent the committee from inviting more than three Mountain West reps, though if Barnes is to be believed, CSU was probably finished after it lost in a Mountain West Tourney semifinal vs. San Diego State, as he said that Temple, not CSU, was the team bumped by Wyoming. In the bigger picture, the Mountain West ought to think twice about continuing to include weak link San Jose State, which rarely competed equally while in the lesser WAC, or even the much-lesser Big West in the '80s and '90s, and whose wretched 2-27 season would cost the Mountain West dearly in conference power ratings. Thanks in good part to the weak-link Spartans, the conference as a whole was downgraded, rated as only 12th best in the land. For other reasons we will discuss at a later time, San Jose's continuing inclusion in the Mountain West could continue to damage the league's power rating. And, as might have been the case on Selection Sunday, helped cost the league an extra spot in the field of 68.

                              The Committee's power-conference bias seemed to be reflected in granting straight passage to the likes of Texas, UCLA, and Indiana, all without having to even participate in one of the two at-large play-in games at Dayton. The SEC's Ole Miss is the only power conference rep that is among the four at-large play-in combatants. In the end, the next power conference team to miss the cut was probably Miami-Florida, which most conceded had little chance of securing an invitation. And after only seven mid-major at-large bids in 2014 after 11 each in the past two years, seven in 2011, and eight in 2010, there were just seven again this season, which counts former Big East member Cincinnati, from the American, Davidson and Dayton from the A-10, Boise State and San Diego State from the Mountain West, BYU from the WCC, and Wichita State (in the Final Four two years ago) from the Missouri Valley.

                              Speaking of the Missouri Valley, many "Bracketologists" (including ourselves) were a bit SUprised to see both of its powerhouse reps, Northern Iowa and Wichita State, seeded outside of "protected territory" (1 thru 4 in the regions), especially UNI, which was 30-3 SU and won Arch Madness in St. Louis, but was only rewarded with a five seed in the East and a sub-regional trip out to Seattle to face a dangerous Wyoming. Wichita was placed as a 7 in the Midwest, though we are not too concerned about the seed, as the Shockers can finally get a chance to play in-state Kansas, which never wants to schedule Wichita in the regular season, if each advance beyond opening sub-regional action. Sometimes, there is devilish streak in the Committee that we rather enjoy, and this could be one of those instances.

                              The process, however, remains stacked for the power conference sides, whose teams eventually play one another in league games, which helps strengthen the computer numbers for all of conference members. All because the data, fed into the computers by people, rate the power conference teams as stronger. Those bases for comparison are thus always going to be slanted toward the power conference teams, justifying their dominance of the at-large bids.

                              The basis for all of those calculations is nothing more, however, than the old "eye test." It does not take a computer to figure out that the ACC is a stronger league than the Atlantic Sun. But for the computer programs to supposedly see through straight won-loss records and divine the better teams and conferences, and whether Indiana is better than Temple or Colorado State, the calculations had to begin with a human opinion, or assumption, built into the program.

                              Whatever, as within a couple of days no one will remember anything about Colorado State or Temple being bypassed and will instead sit down and enjoy the Big Dance. While many of the recent fields have been well-balanced, we suspect it might be even more so this season...at least beyond the top line or two. Once the regions got down to the three line, the teams all began to look rather similar, and we suggest that no result involving any teams seeded three thru sixteen is going to be much of an upset at all. With the exception of games involving 1 vs. 16 seeds, and 2 vs. 15 seeds (though we see a couple of potential scraps in those quartets of games), we would not base any handicap of the upcoming games on tourney seeding.

                              ANY SURPRISES IN THE HOUSE?

                              The unexpected runs of mid-majors such as George Mason, Butler, and Virginia Commonwealth into the Final Four in recent years, and SUprise packages like Florida Gulf Coast storming the Sweet 16 two years ago, have prompted us to offer a "mid-major alert," highlighting teams to watch that could emerge and deliver a similar-like run in the Dance. Following are a handful of those sides that we would watch closely...

                              Eastern Washington (SU 26-8; seeded 13th in South)...The Big Sky tourney champ Eagles have popped up on the national radar a few times this season, first when upsetting Indiana at Bloomington on November 24, and then with volume-shooting G Tyler Harvey (22.9 ppg) leading the nation in scoring at various times throughout the campaign. Harvey, who pumped in 42 points in last week's tourney quarterfinal win over Idaho, has been compared by some regional observers to another Eagle alum, Rodney Stuckey, currently scoring points in the NBA for the Indiana Pacers. Harvey, whose HS teammate from Bishop Montgomery in Torrance, CA is third-leading scorer, 6-7 F Ognjen Miljkovic (10 ppg), has also maintained a 43% clip from the beyond the arc for the past two seasons, but is not the only threat for EWU, which has a good inside-outside combo with rugged 6-8 PF Venky Jois (16.6 ppg) doing most of his scoring work around the bucket. The Eagles like to run, tallying 80.8 ppg (ranked 3rd nationally), hit 48% from the floor and slightly better than 40% beyond the arc for well-respected HC Jim Hayford, a disciple of legendary NAIA HC Bill Odell from Azusa-Pacific. The Eagles got a slight break from the selection committee, sent within the region to Portland to face Georgetown on Thursday in sub-regional action.

                              Stephen F. Austin (SU 29-4; seeded 12th in South)...Last year we warned about the Lumberjacks, who proceeded to stun Virginia Commonwealth in the sub-regional at San Diego before getting KO'd by UCLA in the Round of 32. Three starters return from that team led by slashing 6-4 jr. G Thomas Walkup (15.7 ppg) and 6-6 sr. F Jacob Parker (14.1 ppg and 47% beyond the arc). Totally unselfish team coached by Brad Underwood, in his second year on the job in Nacogdoches after working as an assistant for Frank "The Bouncer" Martin at Kansas State and South Carolina following a decorated juco head coaching career. The Lumberjacks' only non-league losses came against Big Dance-bound teams (Northern Iowa in OT, and heavier losses to Xavier and Baylor), with a 12-point win at Memphis the best result.

                              North Dakota State (SU 24-9, seeded 15th in South)...If these guys sound familiar, they should, after the Bison knocked off Oklahoma in the sub-regional before losing to San Diego State in the Round of 32 last March. But the team has a slightly different look from last year's senior-dominated group coached by Saul Phillips, who moved to Ohio U after last season. Former assistant David Richman was promoted to take Phillips' place and oversaw a bumpy beginning to the season, as three new starters were in place for early lopsided losses at Texas and Iowa and more road defeats a few weeks later at Southern Miss and Montana.

                              But a mid-December win over Akron signaled a turnaround, and Richman was able to uncover a 6-6 frosh perimeter scoring force in shooting guard A.J. Jacobson (11.9 ppg), who had several big games as the season progressed and took some of the scoring burden from do-everything 6-3 senior. PG Lawrence Alexander (18.9 ppg), who shoots 44% from beyond the arc. The Bison, who prefer to control the pace, survived a bristling Summit race and tourney in Sioux Falls with a nervy 57-56 win over rival South Dakota State in the tourney finale. By the end of the season, NDSU looked a lot like last year's Big Dance entrant.

                              New Mexico State (SU 23-10, seeded 15th in South)...The Aggies might look familiar on these pages, as we used to cover them regularly when WAC games were included on the "big board" until 2013. While the rest of the WAC splintered, NMSU remained in the fold and has continued as the dominant team in the far-flung loop, making its fourth straight Big Dance appearance for HC Marvin Menzies, who has been able to use his worldwide connections (through Ag outfitter Adidas) to put together another international squad featuring two players from France, another from Cameroon, another from South Africa, and five from Canada (all from Toronto).

                              Among those imports are almost all of the Ags' key players, including smooth-stroking 6-8 Frenchy F Remi Barry (13.3 ppg), 6-9 Cameroonian frosh F Pascal Siakam (13 ppg; brother James plays at Vanderbilt), skywalking 6-2 Canadian Daniel Mullings, and imposing 6-10 C Chili Nephawe, a product of Johannesburg. With the exception of Siakam, the others have multiple NCAA games under their belts, and the team has great size and length, covering lots of ground on the defensive perimeter and being intimidating under the bucket. Took San Diego State into OT in the sub-regionals last season, and played another daunting non-league slate, part of which without key cogs Mullings and Nephawe, both injured for chunks of the season. They're both healthy now, and this intriguing blend of imposing athleticism could be a tough test for Kansas on Friday at Omaha.

                              Coastal Carolina (SU 24-9, seeded 16th in West)...Most observers believe the Chanticleers are one of the better 16 seeds in recent memory...or at least since last season, when the same Chants were also a 16 and gave East top seed Virginia a big scare before finally succumbing in the final minutes by a 70-59 count. Last season marked a milestone for vet HC Cliff Ellis, who took his fourth different school (earlier South Alabama, Clemson, and Auburn) to the Dance. With much the same look as a year ago with four starters back in the mix, the Chants impressed in pre-league play, beating Ellis' former Auburn as well as ULM, coming close at Ole Miss, and losing honorably at UCLA, before dealing with a better-than-advertised Big South Conference and once again stealing the league tourney crown in Myrtle Beach.

                              Most of the offense is generated from a veteran backcourt featured in last year's Dance and highlighted by Gs Warren Gillis (13.1 ppg), Josh Cameron (12.9 ppg), and Elijah Wilson (11.1 ppg). The Chants can spread the floor and attack from the wings, and after last year's upset big vs. Virginia, will have no fear of another 1 seed, Wisconsin, in sub-regional action at Omaha on Friday.

                              Wofford (SU 28-6, seeded 12th in West)...Another one of the 12 seeds given a good chance by the TV pundits, who note an 8-4 SU record by the 12s against the 5s over the past three years. Wofford is also familiar to Big Dance fans for several tourney visits in recent seasons, including a year ago, for vet HC Mike Young, who has almost the same team from last season, including all five starters, that lost to Michigan, 57-40, in sub-regional action. The Terriers are still led by smooth and savvy G Karl Cochran, again the leading scorer at 14.6 ppg, and backcourt mate Spencer Collins, an explosive 6-4 jr. who scored 26 in a key late-season win at Mercer that helped wrap up the SoCon regular-season crown for Wofford.

                              The Terriers, who took every team's best shot in league play, SUvived a tense conference tourney in Asheville for the second year in a row, and had earlier beaten the likes of NC State and Iona in non-league play, while losing to higher-profile Stanford, West Virginia, and Duke. In other words, the Terriers have played some people this season. Steady team, with ballhandlers at every position and able to control pace and tempo, Wofford is a hard to "speed up" and presents a fascinating sub-regional matchup vs. high-pressure Arkansas on Thursday at Jacksonville.

                              Let's hope we're still talking about one or more of these teams next week for the Sweet 16; the tourney is always a bit more memorable when at last one Cinderella side emerges! Start the music...let the Big Dance begin!
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • #30
                                SBPI - Tournament Analysis

                                March 17, 2015


                                2015 NCAA Tournament – Field Analysis

                                We are coming off projecting 66 of the Field of 68: we had in Temple & Colorado State vs. the committee awarding bids to UCLA & Boise State, who were our last two cuts.

                                Here we test each region’s strength using the SportsBoss Power Index (SBPI) on three levels:

                                1. Entire region (taking the top SBPI rating of the teams involved in the 4 play-in games)
                                2. Top 8 in each region
                                3. Top 4 in each region

                                2015 NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL RATINGS
                                Region AVG RANK TOP 8 AVG RANK TOP 4 AVG RANK
                                SOUTH 78.8 23.8 16.5
                                EAST 84.3 22.0 10.3
                                WEST 66.2 20.0 8.0
                                MIDWEST 66.1 30.3 30.8

                                For comparison purposes here is what the 2014 NCAA Tournament field appeared:

                                2014 NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL RATINGS
                                Region AVG RANK TOP 8 AVG RANK TOP 4 AVG RANK
                                SOUTH 72.8 20.8 14.0
                                EAST 76.4 20.0 12.0
                                WEST 70.8 21.9 13.0
                                MIDWEST 65.7 24.4 14.3

                                The lower a score above the tougher the region – meaning we see some interesting scenarios.

                                We can really see numerically here how EASY the Midwest, Kentucky’s region sets up.

                                Why does it appear as such on in the Top 4 & Top 8 categories?

                                Because #3 seed Notre Dame is ranked #54 in SBPI & #4 seed Maryland checks in at #57.

                                Let’s also check in on the mid/low major teams that are making their 2nd straight appearance in the NCAA Tournament via earning an automatic berth & compare their SBPI rating this year to last year:

                                2015 NCAA TOURNAMENT - MID-MAJOR RATINGS
                                Region 2015 2014
                                ALBANY 167.4 151.2
                                COASTAL CAROLINA 190.4 130.6
                                GONZAGA 327.2 287.9
                                HARVARD 248.5 273.1
                                MANHATTAN 179.4 244.8
                                NEW MEXICO STATE 187.2 199.3
                                NORTH DAKOTA STATE 170.2 253.6
                                STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 233.7 190.4
                                TEXAS SOUTHERN 144.7 118.0
                                VCU 366.6 362.5
                                WOFFORD 208.0 175.6
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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