The Bum's March Madness Hoops March 1st / Trends,Stats,News All You Need To Know !!

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Georgetown at Butler
The Hoyas head to Butler tonight following an 81-70 loss at St. John's on Saturday and come into the contest with a 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU defeat. Georgetown is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 3

Game 513-514: Maryland at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 67.080; Rutgers 55.234
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 12
Vegas Line: Maryland by 9
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-9)

Game 515-516: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 70.080; Georgia Tech 61.177
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-5 1/2)

Game 517-518: Rhode Island at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 64.066; Dayton 63.157
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 1
Vegas Line: Dayton by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+3 1/2)

Game 519-520: Georgetown at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.836; Butler 69.076
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1
Vegas Line: Butler by 3
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3)

Game 521-522: Iowa at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 69.959; Indiana 68.481
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+2 1/2)

Game 523-524: Eastern Michigan at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 51.534; Ball State 52.346
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 2
Dunkel Pick:Ball State (+2)

Game 525-526: Ohio at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 46.997; Buffalo 65.184
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-14 1/2)

Game 527-528: Akron at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 56,544; Miami (OH) 52.122
Dunkel Line: Akron by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2 1/2)

Game 529-530: Toledo at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 60.620; Central Michigan 59.215
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+3)

Game 531-532: Kent State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 56.428; Bowling Green 58.335
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+2)

Game 533-534; Mississippi at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 63.927; Alabama 68.586
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-2)

Game 535-536: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 54.735; Northern Illinois 61.501
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 7
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-2 1/2)

Game 537-538: Michigan at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 62.238; Northwestern 60.767
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+3)

Game 539-540: Auburn at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 59.015 Missouri 57.220
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+5)

Game 541-542: Kentucky at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 81.305; Georgia 66.767
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-10)

Game 543-544: West Virginia at Kansas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 66.089; Kansas 77.523
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-9 1/2)

Game 545-546: NC State at Clemson (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.123; Clemson 69.107
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Clemson

Game 547-548: Texas A&M at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 67.780; Florida 64.832
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3
Vegas Line: Florida by 4
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4)

Game 549-550: Villanova at Creighton (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 76.043; Creighton 63.387
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 10
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-10)

Game 551-552: Youngstown State at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 45.377; Detroit 56.199
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 11
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9)

Game 553-554: Wright State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 45.717; Illinois-Chicago 52.958
Dunkel Line: Illinois Chicago by 7
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago

Game 555-556: NE-Omaha at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 50.423; North Dakota 45.425
Dunkel Line: NE-Omaha by 5
Vegas Line: NE-Omaha by 1
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (-1)

Game 571-572: Lipscomb at Northern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 45.116; Northern Kentucky 50.809
Dunkel Line: Northern Kentucky by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Kentucky by 7
Dunkel Pick: Lipscomb (+7)

Game 573-574: Kennesaw State at USC Upstate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kennesaw State 341.655; USC Upstate 51.948
Dunkel Line: USC Upstate by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: USC Upstate by 15
Dunkel Pick: Kennesaw State (+15)

Game 575-576: Jacksonville at Florida Gulf Coast (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 45.781; Florida Gulf Coast 53.702
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 8
Vegas Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 14
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+14)

Game 577-578: Stetson at North Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 40.457; North Florida 56.699
Dunkel Line: North Florida by 16
Vegas Line: North Florida by 18
Dunkel Pick: Stetson (+18)

Game 579-580: Loyola-MD at Holy Cross (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 45.355; Holy Cross 52.760
Dunkel Line: Holy Cross by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Holy Cross by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Holy Cross (-5 1/2)

Game 581-582: Army at Navy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 44.078; Navy 52.601
Dunkel Line: Navy by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Navy by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-2 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

Mid-Major Tournaments

March 3, 2015


After recently providing a look-ahead to the postseason extravaganzas conducted by the major conferences two weeks ago, we provide a quick preview for the conference tournaments of the lower-echelon Division I leagues in this edition.

The rather recent introduction of two events (the CollegeInsider.com Tourney, or CIT, and the College Basketball Invitational, or CBI) has provided more postseason slots and thus more opportunities for entries from the low-major leagues to have teams participate in tourneys other than the NCAA and NIT. Several of these loops are now sending multiple entries to the postseason, so it behooves handicappers to begin paying attention to these sides before they enter either the Big Dance, NIT, CBI, or CIT.

Many Las Vegas sports books, which routinely post numbers on several "added" conferences (Big Sky, Metro-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, Summit, SoCon), will be including prices on almost all of these minor conference tournaments as well. Note that many of the upcoming conference tournaments will also be televised (the introduction of ESPN-3, which streams on computers, has added countless more college hoops viewing opportunities and will be providing added coverage for many of the lower-rung D-I conference tourneys).

We've listed below, by conference alphabetical order, upcoming tournament specifics for those lower-profile Division I leagues. Also included are any teams that enjoy home-court tourney edges; the top contenders in each loop, noted by italics, with any clear-cut favorite or co-favorite accompanied by an *; and last season's conference results in the NCAA, NIT, CBI, and CIT. Before Selection Sunday, we'll also review how these leagues have fared in recent Big Dance action.

March Madness...it's here!

AMERICA EAST...Top 8 teams qualify. Quarterfinals, semis, and final March 6, 8, 14 at home of highest seed for each matchup. Albany enters as the top seed. UMass-Lowell remains in its transition period from Div. II and is ineligible for the conference tournament.

Top contenders - Albany*, Stony Brook, Vermont, New Hampshire.

Notes...Defending tourney champ Albany turned on the jets once conference play commenced and proceeded to run away with the regular-season crown, earning home-court edge for as long as it stays alive in this event. Coach Will Brown's Great Danes have the ability to balance the floor because of the interior scoring threat provided by 6-6 PF Sam Rowley (14.3 ppg & 53% from floor; one of two returning starters from last season), which prevents foes from ganging up on Gs Peter Hooley (13.7 ppg) and 6-2 juco sparkplug Evan Singletary (12.7 ppg). Albany also didn't allow an A-E foe to crack the 70-point barrier until Vermont did it in the final regular-season game.

Stony Brook was the only league rep to beat the Great Danes (and did so on the road) and was good enough to win at Washington in pre-league play when the Huskies were still undefeated and ranked just outside of the national top ten. Beastly 6-8, 260-lb. jr. C Jameel Warney ranks among the nation's rebound leaders (5th at 11.5 pg) and recently exploded for a 32-point, 18-rebound stat line against Hartford. Warney's presence has helped the Seawolves to the nation's No. 4 ranking in rebound margin (+8.8 rpg). Puncher's chances go to Vermont, whose airtight defense allows only 57.6 ppg (ranking 13th nationally), and New Hampshire, which played Albany to the wire in both regular-season meetings, losing by 1 and 2 points, respectively.

Last year...NCAA - Albany lost vs. Florida, 67-55. NIT - Vermont lost at Georgia, 63-56. CBI - Stony Brook lost to Siena, 66-55.

ATLANTIC SUN...Tourney March 3-8 at homecourts of higher seeds. Florida Gulf Coast is the top seed.

Top contenders - North Florida, Florida Gulf Coast, South Carolina-Upstate.

Notes...By virtue of last week's 76-62 win over FGCU in Jacksonville, North Florida has earned home-court edge in the A-Sun Tourney. The Ospreys were flying down the stretch, winning five straight to close the regular-season and catch Gulf Coast, relying on a balanced lineup featuring four DD scorers, led by soph G Dallas Moore (15.4 ppg). UNF can be very hard to beat when its triples are falling, as the Ospreys hovered near 40% beyond the arc all season and rank 20th nationally in three-point accuracy (39.6%). Everyone in the lineup can step back and hit 3s. FGCU still has some of the remnants of Andy Enfield's "Dunk City" team that made a longshot run to the Sweet 16 two years ago and made it to the NIT last season for HC Joey Dooley. Senior Gs Bernard Thompson (13.6 ppg) and Brett Comer (12.4 ppg) both played key roles in the unexpected run for Enfield two years ago.

USC-Upstate should at least return to another minor postseason event after winning 21 games this season following advancement to the CIT last March. Note that the Spartans beat North Florida in both regular-season meetings, won at Georgia Tech in pre-league play, and possess the Sun's top scorer in sr. G Ty Greene (20.1 ppg).

Last year...NCAA - Mercer won vs. Duke, 78-71; lost vs. Tennessee, 83-63. NIT - FGCU lost at Florida State, 58-53. CIT - East Tennessee State won vs. Chattanooga, 79-66; lost vs. Towson, 63-60; USC-Upsate lost vs. Towson, 63-60.

BIG SKY...Tourney March 12-14 at home of regular-season champion, unless that happens to be Sacramento State, which will not be able to host at its home Hornet's Nest Gym (capacity 1200) because of size limitations. If Sac State wins the Sky, the tourney could be held at any of three other locations, including the Reno Events Center, San Joaquin Delta College, or McClellan Park Gym. Top eight teams qualify.

Top contenders - Sac State, Eastern Washington, Montana, Northern Arizona.

Notes...The Sky's regular-season race remains up for grabs into the final games this weekend. Note that Sky notched a couple of eye-opening non-league wins before New Year's when Eastern Washington won at Indiana and Northern Arizona won at Saint Mary's. For most of the season, regional observers have regarded EWU as the team to beat, with G Tyler Harvey (22.8 ppg) leading the nation in scoring and PF Venky Jois (16.8 ppg) providing the interior scoring threat for the Eagles, who shoot almost 48% from the floor. But seasoned Sac State, with four seniors and a junior in a starting lineup that returned all five starters from a year ago for HC Brian Katz, has stayed near the top of the table all season. The Hornets have a crackling backcourt led by Gs Mikh McKinney (19 ppg), Dylan Garrity (13.6 ppg), and defensive stopper Cody Demps, shoots even better from the floor (48.4%; ranks 13th) than EWU, and also hits 40.5% beyond the arc (ranks 6th).

Montana has been a pleasant surprise for first-year HC and alum Travis DeCuire, who returned only one regular starter, G Jordan Gregory, now scoring a Grizzlies-best 17.2 ppg, but has also been able to benefit from former Washington and juco transfer PF Martin Breuning, a German import who has emerged as an interior force (16.9 ppg). The darkhorse to watch is Jack Murphy's NAU, which has been able to win on the road this season and can play a variety of different styles, but would prefer to run with a pair of former jucos, slashing wing Quinton Upshur (14.6 ppg) and go-go G Aaseem Dixon (12.6 ppg), while 6-4 soph G Kris Yanku has emerged as a difficult matchup and has been on a scoring tear (20.8 ppg last five) in recent weeks. Perennial contender Weber State still has to qualify for the event, and appears unlikely to make a late run with top scorer G Jeremy Senglin (15.4 ppg) currently out with a jaw injury.

Last year...NCAA - Weber State lost vs. Arizona, 68-59. CIT - North Dakota lost at UN-Omaha, 91-75; Northern Colorado lost vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, 82-71; Portland State lost at San Diego, 87-65.

BIG SOUTH...Tourney March 4-8 at HTC Center, Conway, SC (home court of Coastal Carolina Chanticleers). The top five finishers receive byes into the quarterfinals; seeds 6 thru 11 compete in a play-in round.

Top contenders - High Point, Coastal Carolina, Charleston Southern, Radford, Winthrop, Gardner-Webb, UNC-Asheville.

Notes...Absolutely wide-open event with the top seven teams separated by just three games in the league standings, which is similar to the logjam a season ago when Cliff Ellis' Chants of Coastal Carolina took advantage of the Myrtle Beach locale to win this event before giving No. 1 regional seed Virginia a mighty scare in the Big Dance sub-regionals. Ellis is back with a similar-looking team with four starters from a year ago, featuring a well-balanced, guard-heavy offense with four DD scorers led by sr. G Josh Cameron (13.2 ppg). The "wow" factor in the loop belongs to Scott Cherry's High Point and its highlight-reel 6-8 F John Brown (18.6 ppg), an ACC-caliber recruit whose windmill dunks have been featured on ESPN Sports Center and who has NBA scouts flocking to the Point. Cherry is also on the coaching radar of several higher-profile suitors likely to come calling after the season (many believe he ends up at George Mason, where he once coached under Jim Larranaga). But the Panthers have lost twice to Coastal Carolina, blowing a big lead at this venue on Feb. 6.

Charleston Southern also just dumped the Point in 3 OTs last Saturday to tie for the reg.-season title, and is regarded as a co-favorite with electrifying league high scorer Saah Nimley (21.5 ppg), a 5'8 bundle of energy who has scored 30 ppg over his last four outings. Gardner-Webb, with high-scoring F Jerome Hill (19.1 ppg), and UNC-Asheville, with explosive G Andrew Rowsey (18.9 ppg; lit up High Point for 39 last week), cannot be dismissed, while Winthrop boasts of one of the nation's top three-point threats in G Keon Moore (3.24 triples pg ranks 6th nationally).

Last year...NCAA - Coastal Carolina lost vs. Virginia, 70-59. NIT-High Point lost at Minnesota, 88-81. CBI - Radford won at Oregon State, 96-92; lost at Old Dominion, 82-59. CIT - VMI won at Canisius, 111-100; won vs. IPFW, 106-95; won at Ohio, 92-90; lost vs. Yale, 92-75.

METRO ATLANTIC...Tourney March 5-9 at Trans Union Center, Albany, NY. The top five seeds get byes in the first round; games will pit 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9, with winners advancing to quarterfinal round.

Top contenders - Iona, Rider, Manhattan, Monmouth.

Notes...Iona enters Albany as the top seed, but the Gaels have not been stretching many margins against MAAC foes, with most league wins by single-digit margins and with no spread covers in their last four. They're also off a loss at St. Peter's in Sunday's regular-season finale. But HC Tim Cluess has navigated through this event several times before, and Iona is once again among the nation's highest scoring teams (79.6 ppg ranks 7th). Four DD scorers include F David Laury (20.1 ppg), G A.J. English (19.5 ppg), and frosh firecracker G Schadrac Casimir (15.2 ppg and 43.8% beyond the arc), who pace the league's most-explosive outfit. Rider might be the hottest Metro-Atlantic entry, with wins in 7 of its last 8 games, and the Broncs have kept winning in recent weeks despite the absence of 6-11 C Matt Lopez, a Utah State transfer and leading scorer at 12.3 ppg...but apparently not yet missed.

Most regional observers believe the Manhattan Jaspers and entertaining HC Steve "Mini Vince Vaughn" Masiello have a shot at replicating last year's tourney upset if top scorer F Emmy Andujar (16.5 ppg) continues to get scoring help from G Ashton Pankey, hitting 56% from the floor over the past five games. King Rice's Monmouth played Iona very tough, winning once and losing by a point on the other occasion, and presents an interesting backcourt contrast with mini 5'8 G Justin Washington (13.4 ppg) and big 6-6 G Deon Jones (17.5 ppg last six). If a longshot is to emerge in Albany, most regional sources are warning about HC John Dunne's defense-tough St. Peter's, off of that Sunday upset over the Gaels.

Last year...NCAA - Manhattan lost vs. Louisville, 71-64. NIT - Iona lost at La Tech, 89-88. CIT - Canisius lost vs. VMI, 111-100; Quinnipiac lost at Yale, 69-68. CBI - Siena (champs) won vs. Stony Brook, 66-55; won vs. Penn State, 54-52; won vs. Illinois State, 61-49; won at Fresno State, 61-57; lost vs. Fresno State, 89-75; won vs. Fresno State, 81-68.

MEAC...Tourney March 9-14 at The Scope, Norfolk, VA (not the home court of Norfolk State, which plays its games at Echols Hall); First round pits seeds 5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9; winners advance to quarterfinals, and so forth. Florida A&M is ineligible due to APR penalties.

Top contenders - NC Central*, Norfolk State, Maryland-Eastern Shore.

Notes... Like last year when winning this event and advancing to the Big Dance, Levelle Moton's NC Central is the clear favorite entering Norfolk next week, as the Eagles have lost just one league game over the past two seasons (and none yet in the 2014-15 campaign). Only two starters are back from last year's NCAA team, but NCC has been able to benefit from former reserve 6-7 F Jordan Parks, scoring 14.3 ppg and shooting 63.4% from the floor, plus transfer Gs Anthony McDonald (via Mississippi Valley State; 12.9 ppg) and well-traveled all-name Nimrod Hilliard (via South Dakota and Lamar; 11.0 ppg), plus Florida Gulf Coast transfer Dante Holmes (10.6 pgp). The Eagles shoot better than 49% from the floor and are clear favorites in Norfolk. If any team is to challenge, perhaps it will be hometown Norfolk State, with a potent scoring combo of 6-4 G Jeffrey Short (19.3 ppg) & rugged 6-9 PF RaShid Gaston (15.3 ppg & 9.65 rpg), and within four of NCC on Jan. 17. UMES also might be worth watching with its dynamic duo of 6-8 juco F Mike "SNL" Myers (16.2 ppg) and 6-4 combo G Devin Martin (14.2 ppg).

Last year...NCAA - North Carolina Central lost vs. Iowa State, 93-75. CBI - Hampton lost at Penn State, 69-65. CIT - Norfolk State lost at Eastern Michigan, 58-54.

NORTHEAST...Quarterfinals March 4, semis March 7, final March 10, all at home of highest seed.

Top contenders - St. Francis (NY), Robert Morris, Bryant, Mount Saint Mary's.

Notes...The Big Apple might have another NCAA Tourney entrant in Brooklyn-based St. Francis, which emerged as the team to beat in the NE Tourney when running away with the regular-season title. All after beginning the season with five straight losses. The Terriers start no one taller than 6'6 but get a lot of mileage from workhorse PF Jalen Cannon (16.5 ppg & 10.2 rpg), though Cannon played only ten minutes in the regular-season finale vs. Bryant, a game SFC lost by 10, ending its 9-game win streak. Barring Cannon's absence, the Terriers still rate as the favorite in this event. But that result gives Bryant and explosive sr. G Dyami Starks (18.5 ppg) some confidence heading into the conference tourney. Of course, we never want to dismiss the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, which has been to the postseason numerous times under HC Andy Toole and won at SFC on Jan. 24. The recent return to active duty of all-name sr. F Lucky Jones (14 ppg) is a boost for the Colonials.

Last year...NCAA - Mount Saint Mary's lost play-in game vs. Albany, 71-64. NIT - Robert Morris won at St. John's, 89-78; lost at Belmont, 82-71.

OHIO VALLEY...Tourney March 4-7 at Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN (not the home court of Nashville-based Tennessee State, which plays its games at the Gentry Complex, or Nashville-based Belmont, which plays its games at the Mike Curb Events Center).

Top contenders - Murray State*, UT-Martin, Eastern Kentucky, Belmont, Morehead State.

Notes...Steve Prohm's Murray State enters this week's tourney with the longest non-Kentucky win streak in the country (24 games), the last 16 of those vs. OVC foes. Postseason-savvy after last year's run to the CIT title, and with four starters back from that team, the Racers have the most efficient and effective attack in the Valley, led by soph G Cameron Payne (20.2 ppg) and an offense that scores 78.8 ppg (ranks 13th), hits 48.3% from the floor (ranks 16th), and 39% beyond the arc. But keep in mind that the Racers enter the postseason having covered just 3 of their last 10 vs. the line. On their best night, the UT-Martin Skyhawks, coached by former Wyoming HC Heath Schroyer, have proven they can be a handful. (Note the UNLV connection at Martin, where Skyhawk AD Julio Friere was asst. AD, and from where he brought Schroyer from the Dave Rice staff, and from where Schroyer brought transfer G "Coupe" Deville Smith. scoring a UTM-best 14 ppg).

EKU was an upset winner in this event last season and recently got top scorer G Corey Walden (18.6 ppg; scored 35 last Saturday vs. Tennessee Tech) back from injury, while hometown Belmont and HC Rick Byrd, with several previous Big Dance visits, cannot be dismissed, especially with jr. G Craig Bradshaw (17.8 ppg) still in the fold. If looking for a longshot, perhaps take a peek at SE Missouri State, close in most of its losses and with one of the OVC's most-dangerous threats in versatile 6-5 swingman Jarekious Bradley (15.9 ppg; scored 28 in last Saturday's romp past Austin Peay).

Last Year...NCAA - Eastern Kentucky lost vs. Kansas, 80-69. NIT - Belmont won at Green Bay, 80-65; won vs. Robert Morris, 82-71; lost at Clemson, 73-68. CBI - Morehead State lost at Illinois State, 77-67. CIT - Murray State (champs) won at Missouri State, 66-63; won vs. UN-Omaha, 86-62; won vs. Towson, 85-73; won vs. Pacific, 98-75; won vs. Yale, 65-57.

PATRIOT...Tourney March 3, 5, 8, 11 all at home of higher seeds. Top four seeds receive byes in first round.

Top contenders - Bucknell, Colgate, Lehigh.

Notes...Most in the region figured Lafayette or Holy Cross would be the teams to beat in the Patriot this season, but instead it was the alma mater of CBS head honcho Les Moonves, Bucknell, emerging from nowhere to steal the regular-season crown and earn top seed in the conference tourney. Though, upon inspection, competitive losses to Villanova, Penn State, and Wake Forest in pre-league play hinted that the Bison were better than their 5-8 SU non-Patriot record. Bucknell (38.9% triples) can shoot it from deep, though top scorer G Chris Hass (15.4 ppg) has gone stone cold in a handful of recent games. The Bison are not untouchable. Colgate also took its lumps in a bumpy 3-10 non-conference SU ride, but its collection of sharpshooters hits 48.4% from the floor (15th nationally) and almost 40% beyond the arc. Looming ominously is preseason favorite Lafayette, sitting at mid-table at the conclusion of the season but with the most-explosive offense in the league (73.8 ppg and 40.2% beyond the arc), though it's 6-9 Aussie Dan Trist (17.7 ppg and 58% from floor while working solely near the bucket) that differentiates the Leopards from other contenders.

Last Year...NCAA - American lost vs. Wisconsin, 75-35. NIT - Boston U lost vs. Illinois, 66-62. CIT - Holy Cross won at Brown, 68-65; lost vs. Yale, 71-66.

SOUTHERN...Tourney March 6-9 at U.S. Cellular Center, Asheville, NC.

Top contenders - Wofford, Chattanooga, Mercer, ETSU.

Notes...Defending conference tourney champ Wofford no longer had Davidson (off to the A-10) to worry about this season and quickly took charge of the league race. Vet HC Mike Young has taken several Terrier teams to the Dance, and the current version once again spins around savvy sr. G Karl Cochran (15 ppg), with jr. backcourt mate Spencer Collins often providing needed relief (such as Collins' 26-point effort in last week's crucial win at Mercer). Wofford, however, needs to be wary of stretch-running Chattanooga, coached by former Shaka Smart VCU aide Will Wade, who is going to be on many short lists of higher-profile schools looking for a coach in the offseason. The well-balanced Mighty Mocs won at Wofford on Feb. 12 and enter Greenville on a 6-game SU win streak. At 6'5, jr. G Casey Jones is a matchup headache and leads UTC at 14.2 ppg, with three others also averaging double-digit scoring. Mercer is over this season from the A-Sun, from where it qualified for the Dance and beat Duke a year ago, and vet HC Bob Hoffman also took the Bears to the CIT title a few years ago. All new starters this season, but Mercer remains a tough out with its deliberate style and solid defense.

Last year...NCAA - Wofford lost vs. Michigan, 57-40. NIT - Davidson lost at Missouri, 85-77. CIT - Chattanooga lost at East Tennessee (then a member of the Atlantic Sun), 79-66.

SOUTHLAND...Tourney March 11-14 at Merrell Center, Katy, TX. Central Arkansas, Houston Baptist, and Lamar are all ineligible for the postseason due to APR penalties.

Top contenders - Stephen F. Austin*, Sam Houston State, Northwestern State, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.

Notes...SFA and Sam Houston are once again the top seeds in this event, and the Lumberjacks need no introduction after making some noise in the Big Dance last March when upsetting VCU in the sub-regionals at San Diego. Coach Brad Underwood, a onetime Frank Martin aide, has a deadly-shooting team that hits 49.1% from the floor (7th best nationally) and three starters, including LY's Southland MVP Jacob Parker, still in the fold from the noisemakers of last March. Note that SFA took highly-ranked Northern Iowa into OT at Cedar Falls in November. Sam Houston gets another crack at the Lumberjacks in the regular-season finale on Saturday, and the Bearkats like to do it with defense, allowing only 58.4 ppg (ranks 16th). The team Southland onlookers are keeping an eye on is dangerous Corpus Christi, the only league rep to beat SFA over the past two seasons (the Islanders turned the trick on Feb. 14) and for good measure having dumped Sam Houston last week. AMCC, coached by former Rice HC Willis Wilson, is led by do-everything sr. G John Jordan (15.2 ppg & 5.2 apg).

Last Year...NCAA - Stephen F. Austin won vs. VCU in OT, 77-75; lost vs. UCLA, 77-60. CIT - Sam Houston State won vs. Alabama State, 71-49; lost vs. San Diego. 77-72; Texas A&M-Corpus Christi won at Northern Colorado, 82-71; lost at Pacific, 89-60.

SWAC...Tourney March 10-14 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX. Alabama State is ineligible for the postseason due to APR penalties; Southern U is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament due to failure to supply usable academic data to the NCAA, but will participate in the SWAC Tournament.

Top contenders - Texas Southern, Southern Prairie View, Jackson State.

Notes...The ineligibility of Alabama State has taken a top contender out of the league tourney. Thus, the path is paved for Texas Southern, which will have a hometown edge in the conference tourney that is being played a few miles from campus at the Houston Rockets' fancy Toyota Center. The Tigers opened some eyes in December with upset wins on the road at Michigan State and Kansas State, although this is one team that does not rely on the 3-ball, converting only 29.8% beyond the arc. The recent return of Nebraska transfer G Deverell Biggs (10.1 ppg) has given familiar HC Mike Davis his full complement of players, however, and the deepest roster in the SWAC deserves to be favored in Houston. With a 16-12 overall SU record, and with Alabama State ineligible, the Tigers are going to be the only team with a winning SU record next week at the Toyota Center.

Last year...NCAA - Texas Southern lost play-in game vs. Cal Poly, 81-69. CIT - Alabama State lost at Sam Houston State, 71-49.

SUMMIT...Tourney March 7-10 at the brand new Denny Sanford PREMIER Center, Sioux Falls, SD (not the home court of nearby, Brookings-based South Dakota State, which plays its home games at Frost Arena, or nearby, Vermillion-based South Dakota, which plays its home games at the Dakota Dome). Nebraska-Omaha remains in its transition period from Division II and is ineligible for the conference tourney, but can participate in the NIT, CBI, or CIT. The Summit League was formerly known as Mid-Continent Conference.

Top contenders - North Dakota State, South Dakota State, Oral Roberts, IPFW.

Notes...This wildly-supported event in Sioux Falls moves into the new 13,000-seat Denny Sanford PREMIER Center and promises one of the most crackling atmospheres of all postseason events. Regional observers believe there is no clear-cut favorite, though they expect the final might come down to a border war between the "States" of North Dakota and South Dakota. Both have recent NCAA Tourney pedigrees, with the Bison of NDSU having qualified a year ago (and upsetting Oklahoma in the sub-regionals), though HC Saul Phillips moved to Ohio after last season. Star Bison sr. G Lawrence Alexander (19.3 ppg) might be the top player in the loop. The teams split their regular-season meetings, though Scott Nagy's SDSU Jackrabbits enter Sioux Falls off a stunning 80-64 upset at the hands of state rival South Dakota. Oral Roberts, back in the Summit after a recent stint in the Southland, and stretch-running IPFW, which lost to NDSU in the Summit final a year ago and owns one of the most intriguing weapons in the league in 6'9, 295-lb., C Steve "Not That Steve Forbes" Forbes (13.9 ppg), should be watched closely.

Last year...NCAA - North Dakota State beat Oklahoma in OT, 80-75; lost to San Diego State, 63-44. CBI - South Dakota State lost at Old Dominion, 72-65. CIT - IPFW won vs. Akron, 97-91; lost at VMI, 106-95; UN-Omaha won vs. North Dakota, 91-75; lost at Murray State, 86-62.

WAC...Tourney March 12-14 at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV. Grand Canyon remains in its transition period from Division II and will be ineligible for the conference tournament, but can participate in the NIT, CBI, or CIT.

Top contenders - New Mexico State*, UMKC, Seattle, CS Bakersfield.

Notes...The exception to the rule of conference tourneys, as no one shows up for this event at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas unless NMSU happens to be playing. And it should be an Aggie show once more, even with the Las Cruces bunch not as big or as formidable as recent seasons. But the rest of the league is suspect, and thus NMSU is an overwhelming favorite once more (and the WAC's only chance to have its champ avoid a 16 vs. 16 play-in game). The latest international discovery of HC Marvin Menzies, 6-9 Cameroonian frosh F Pascal Siakam (13.5 ppg; brother James plays at Vanderbilt), has emerged as a new Aggie star alongside 6-8 Parisian F Remi Barry (13.4 ppg) and 6-4 Canadian skywalker Daniel Mullings (13.2 ppg), back after missing more than a month due to injury. Cameron Dollar's Seattle U is the only WAC team to beat NMSU this season, and it would be a shocker if Menzies and the Aggies don't qualify for their fourth straight Big Dance.

Last year...NCAA - New Mexico State lost in OT vs. San Diego State, 73-69. NIT - Utah Valley lost at Cal, 77-64. CIT - Grand Canyon lost vs. Pacific, 69-67.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Kentucky 72, Georgia 64-- Dawgs gave Kentucky everything they had, but in the end, poor foul shooting doomed them. Wildcats are now 30-0.

-- Navy 56, Army 52-- Middies end a 14-game losing streak in conference tourney games.

-- Ill-Chicago 60, Wright State 57-- Flames were down 39-20 at the half.

-- Villanova 76, Creighton 72-- Wildcats didn't look like a #1 seed in this game.

-- Northwestern 82, Michigan 78, 2OT-- Chris Collins' team is finishing strong.

-- Kansas 76, West Virginia 69, OT-- Jayhawks were 0-15 on arc, 34-43 on line; they were down 18 at one point. WVU played without both its starting guards.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Great night of basketball on TV, but when midnight struck, all the favorites got out with a win; Kentucky, Kansas, Villanova. Its late in the year; everyone is tired-- players, coaches, refs. Conference tournaments will re-energize people.

12) Kentucky is good for other SEC teams; how many basketball sellouts do they get in Athens, Georgia? Wildcats most always win, but they put some big money in their rivals' pockets. Mark Fox signed a contract extension Tuesday; he is making progress, but its a big hill he is climbing.

11) It just dawned on me that I feel sorry for the poor bastard who takes Calipari's place at Kentucky; talk about impossible shoes to fill. he does a tremendous job, but has created a monster that is almost impossible to satisfy.

10) Iowa 77, Indiana 63-- Spoiled fanbase in Indy isn't thrilled with Tom Crean; on July 1, his buyout goes down from $12M to $7.5M. If Brad Stevens ever decides the NBA isn't for him, the coffers will open to lure Stevens to Bloomington.

9) Maryland 70, Rutgers 60-- Thirteen losses in a row for Rutgers, whose move to the Big 14 hasn't gone well. Lot of good ballplayers in New Jersey; how about recruiting some of them? Maryland on the other hand; they're a pleasant surprise.

8) Middle Tennessee is 15-14, 8-8 in C-USA, but they could be a lot better. Here are the Blue Raiders' last three losses:
-- Lost 71-68 at Rice, in double overtime.
-- Lost 57-56 at North Texas; led by 19 at the half.
-- Lost 100-95 at UAB, in triple overtime.

7) Chip Kelly already has nine ex-Oregon players on the Eagles, after he traded his star running back LeSean McCoy to Buffalo for Kiko Alonso. Kelly dumped DeSean Jackson last year, now McCoy is gone. Will he try to trade up to take former Oregon QB Mariota in the draft? If he does, hope he trades Nick Foles to St Louis.

6) Knicks and Celtics lost Tuesday.....by a combined 69 points. Oy.

Seriously, if you charge $3,600 a seat for courtside seats, how the hell do you lose at home to Sacramento by 38 points?

5) George Karl coaches Sacramento now; he is the Kings' third coach this year. Bet he had a little chuckle when Denver fired Brian Shaw yesterday, because the Nuggets were a pretty good team when Karl coached them, but ownership got impatient with early playoff exits and cleaned house. Not all change is positive.

4) NFL went to a 16-game regular season in 1976; since then, Chicago has had the most different starting QBs, 38. Buccaneers have had 36 and #37 will be in September. ESPN had the Browns with 37, but from '76-'95, those Browns are really the Ravens' franchise, so thats not accurate.

3) Ray Rice banks $1.59M from the Ravens in a settlement; must be nice. Doubt he gets signed by another NFL team and no way would he ever have a TV career; lot of negative publicity for anyone who signs him. Invest that money wisely, sir.

2) Smart move by New York City baseball teams, delaying spring debuts of ARod and Matt Harvey until they can play in games televised by TV stations owned by the team. Harvey pitches for the Mets Friday, SNY's first broadcast of the spring. Alex Rodriguez will be in the lineup today on the YES Network. Smart move.

1) College basketball season has become so long; it starts around Veterans' Day and is still going. Most you can have is 13 scholarship players; most teams have less. You get couple injuries, a suspension and you're down to 7 or 8 players. Teams like UNLV, Southern Miss, Michigan, Marquette, even Duke have dangerously thin rosters. Indiana added a football player on January. Thats why teams are wearing down now, just before the fun starts with conference tournaments and the NCAAs.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

TCU at Oklahoma State
The Horned Frogs head to Oklahoma State tonight and come into the contest with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 Big 12 Conference games. TCU is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 727-728: Ohio State at Penn State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.568; Penn State 63.678
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-5)

Game 729-730: Notre Dame at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 66.563; Louisville 72.913
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4 1/2)

Game 731-732: Providence at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.100; Seton Hall 65.349
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 1
Vegas Line: Providence by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+2 1/2)

Game 733-734: Central Florida at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 52.242; South Florida 53.777
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+1 1/2)

Game 735-736: LaSalle at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.082; St. Joseph's 60.815
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-1 1/2)

Game 737-738: Duquesne at Fordham (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 53.517 Fordham 61.151
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Fordham by 4
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (-4)

Game 739-740: George Washington at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 59.163; George Mason 60.911
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+3 1/2)

Game 741-742: Tennessee at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 64.311; LSU 70.474
Dunkel Line: LSU by 6
Vegas Line: LSU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+8 1/2)

Game 743-744: Richmond at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.903; Massachusetts 59.277
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Richmond

Game 745-746: St. Bonaventure at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 53.928; St. Louis 56.412
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2)

Game 747-748: Wake Forest at Duke (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake forest 58.216; Duke 78.603
Dunkel Line: Duke by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-18 1/2)

Game 749-750: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 63.734; Pittsburgh 68.967
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3)

Game 751-752: Purdue at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 67.729; Michigan State 70.962
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+7)

Game 753-754: Houston at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 53.320; Tulane 55.813
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2)

Game 755-756: Cincinnati at Tulsa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 63.839; Tulsa 68.839
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 5
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-2)

Game 757-758: Utah State at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.332; Wyoming 63.899
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-5)

Game 759-760: USC at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 56.430; UCLA 71/473
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15
Vegas Line: UCLA by 13
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-13)

Game 761-762: St. John's at Marquette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 67.959; Marquette 60.932
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 7
Vegas Line: St. John's by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-1 1/2)

Game 763-764: Mississippi State at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 61.122; Vanderbilt 67.994
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 7
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+11)

Game 765-766: TCU at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 66,205; Oklahoma State 67.939
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2)

Game 767-768: Nebraska at Illinois (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 56.310; Illinois 72.452
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 16
Vegas Line: Illinois by 8
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-8)

Game 769-770: Colorado State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 63.327; Nevada 53.172
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 10
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-7 1/2)

Game 771-772: Air Force at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 53.841; Fresno State 60.776
Dunkel Line: Fresno State b 7
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-5 1/2)

Game 773-774: Boise State at San Jose State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 67.621; San Jose State 42.649
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 25
Vegas Line: Boise State by 19
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-19)

Game 775-776: San Diego State at UNLV (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 64.322; UNLV 63.247
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+4 1/2)

Game 777-778: Oregon at Oregon State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 64.248; Oregon State 64.090
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2 1/2)

Game 779-780: UC-Santa Barbara at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 54.873; Hawaii 62.290
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-2)

Game 781-782: SE Missouri State vs. Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 49.320; Morehead State 55.363
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 6
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-3)

Game 783-784: SIU-Edwardsville vs. Eastern Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 49.372; Eastern Illinois 45.176
Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 4
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville

Game 785-786: Longwood vs. Presbyterian (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Longwood 43.000; Presbyterian 38.523
Dunkel Line: Longwood by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Longwood by 2
Dunkel Pick: Longwood (-2)

Game 787-788: Campbell vs. Gardner-Webb (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 42.750; Gardner-Webb 45.153
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Gardner-Webb by 6
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (+6)

Game 789-790: Liberty vs. NC-Asheville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 39.546; NC-Asheville 43.471
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 4
Vegas Line: NC-Asheville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Liberty (+9)

Game 791-792: Long Island at St. Francis (NY) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Island 44.204; St. Francis (NY) 59.763
Dunkel Line: St. Francis (NY) by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Francis (NY) by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Francis (NY) (-10 1/2)

Game 793-794: Wagner at Robert Morris (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wagner 43.739; Robert Morris 57.196
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 9
Dunkel Pick:Robert Morris (-9)

Game 795-796: Sacred Heart at Bryant (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacred Heart 51.525; Bryant 50.729
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 1
Vegas Line: Bryant by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacred Heart (+5 1/2)

Game 797-798: St. Francis (PA) at Mt. St. Mary's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 46.703; Mt. St. Mary's 50.653
Dunkel Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 4
Vegas Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Francis (PA) (+5 1/2)

Game 799-800: Maine at Albany (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 37.601; Albany 59.566
Dunkel Line: Albany by 22
Vegas Line: Albany by 20
Dunkel Pick:

Game 801-802: MD-Baltimore County at Vermont (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Baltimore County 37.691; Vermont 60.531
Dunkel Line: Vermont by 23
Vegas Line: Vermont by 18
Dunkel Pick:

Game 803-804: Binghamton at Stony Brook (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Binghamton 44.068; Stony Brook 57.030
Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 13
Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Binghamton (+15 1/2)

Game 805-806: Hartford at New Hampshire (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hartford 44.309; New Hampshire 48.224
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 4
Vegas Line: New Hampshire by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hartford (+7 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 4

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OHIO ST (21 - 8) at PENN ST (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 224-180 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NOTRE DAME (24 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (23 - 6) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all home games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PROVIDENCE (20 - 9) at SETON HALL (16 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 4-2 against the spread versus SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 5-1 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UCF (12 - 16) at S FLORIDA (8 - 21) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 3-2 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-2 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LASALLE (15 - 14) at ST JOSEPHS (12 - 16) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 3-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DUQUESNE (10 - 17) at FORDHAM (9 - 18) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
DUQUESNE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Wednesday games this season.
FORDHAM is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FORDHAM is 1-0 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
FORDHAM is 1-1 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGE WASHINGTON (18 - 11) at GEORGE MASON (9 - 19) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGE MASON is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE MASON is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TENNESSEE (14 - 14) at LSU (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
LSU is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RICHMOND (17 - 12) at MASSACHUSETTS (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST BONAVENTURE (15 - 12) at SAINT LOUIS (11 - 18) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-1 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 2-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WAKE FOREST (13 - 16) at DUKE (26 - 3) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 90-130 ATS (-53.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 117-81 ATS (+27.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 47-76 ATS (-36.6 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 4-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIAMI (18 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (19 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 124-84 ATS (+31.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 101-65 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 100-64 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 122-84 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MIAMI is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PURDUE (19 - 10) at MICHIGAN ST (19 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-10 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 56-30 ATS (+23.0 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
PURDUE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PURDUE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PURDUE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PURDUE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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HOUSTON (10 - 18) at TULANE (14 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
TULANE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
TULANE is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CINCINNATI (20 - 9) at TULSA (21 - 7) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 39-69 ATS (-36.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TULSA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
TULSA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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UTAH ST (18 - 10) at WYOMING (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UTAH ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
UTAH ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WYOMING is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
WYOMING is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WYOMING is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
WYOMING is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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USC (11 - 18) at UCLA (18 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
UCLA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 4-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 4-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ST JOHNS (20 - 9) at MARQUETTE (11 - 17) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 124-81 ATS (+34.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
MARQUETTE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 3-1 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 3-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MISSISSIPPI ST (12 - 17) at VANDERBILT (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-2 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TCU (17 - 12) at OKLAHOMA ST (17 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 131-167 ATS (-52.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 142-189 ATS (-65.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEBRASKA (13 - 15) at ILLINOIS (18 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 69-99 ATS (-39.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 3-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO ST (24 - 5) at NEVADA (9 - 19) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 3-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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AIR FORCE (13 - 15) at FRESNO ST (14 - 15) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
AIR FORCE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
AIR FORCE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
FRESNO ST is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 3-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 4-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BOISE ST (22 - 7) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 26) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOISE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
BOISE ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
BOISE ST is 88-60 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOISE ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 3-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN DIEGO ST (22 - 7) at UNLV (16 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-2 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OREGON (22 - 8) at OREGON ST (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all home games this season.
OREGON ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 4-2 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 5-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UC-SANTA BARBARA (16 - 12) at HAWAII (19 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 12:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
HAWAII is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SE MISSOURI ST (13 - 16) vs. MOREHEAD ST (15 - 16) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
SE MISSOURI ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 3-0 against the spread versus SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 3-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SIU EDWARDSVL (12 - 15) vs. E ILLINOIS (16 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
E ILLINOIS is 3-3 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
E ILLINOIS is 4-2 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LONGWOOD (9 - 22) vs. PRESBYTERIAN (10 - 21) - 3/4/2015, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PRESBYTERIAN is 3-1 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CAMPBELL (10 - 21) vs. GARDNER WEBB (18 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
GARDNER WEBB is 1-0 against the spread versus CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons
GARDNER WEBB is 3-2 straight up against CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIBERTY (8 - 23) vs. UNC-ASHEVILLE (14 - 15) - 3/4/2015, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-ASHEVILLE is 4-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons




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LONG ISLAND (12 - 17) at ST FRANCIS-NY (21 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST FRANCIS-NY is 3-3 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAGNER (10 - 19) at ROBERT MORRIS (16 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ROBERT MORRIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
ROBERT MORRIS is 4-1 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRED HEART (15 - 16) at BRYANT (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRYANT is 3-3 straight up against SACRED HEART over the last 3 seasons




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ST FRANCIS-PA (15 - 14) at MOUNT ST MARYS (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MOUNT ST MARYS is 4-1 straight up against ST FRANCIS-PA over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MAINE (3 - 26) at ALBANY (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MAINE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
ALBANY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MAINE is 1-0 against the spread versus ALBANY over the last 3 seasons
ALBANY is 6-1 straight up against MAINE over the last 3 seasons




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MD-BALT COUNTY (4 - 25) at VERMONT (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VERMONT is 1-0 against the spread versus MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons
VERMONT is 7-0 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons




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BINGHAMTON (6 - 25) at STONY BROOK (21 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
STONY BROOK is 1-0 against the spread versus BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons
STONY BROOK is 7-0 straight up against BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons




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HARTFORD (14 - 15) at NEW HAMPSHIRE (18 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HARTFORD is 5-1 straight up against NEW HAMPSHIRE over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 4

Louisville won its last three games, by 1-2-22 points, as they move on in wake of PG Jones getting tossed; Cardinals are 5-9 as ACC faves, 2-5 at home, with home wins by 6-15-10-13-2 points, with losses to Duke and NC State. Notre Dame won three of last four games, is 6-2 on ACC road, losing by 4 at Pitt, 30 at Duke. Irish have been off for eight days- they're 1-1 as road underdogs. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-11.

Providence (-7.5) beat Seton Hall 69-62 at home Feb 14, outscoring Hall 22-14 over last 5:40 of game they led by 7 at half. Friars won three of last four games, are 4-4 on Big East road- they're 1-0 as road favorite. Seton Hall lost six of last seven games, with only win by 1 vs Creighton, cellar dwellar in league. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-7 vs spread. Underdogs are 8-0 vs spread in Seton Hall's Big East home tilts.

LaSalle (-6) beat St Joe's 53-48 at home Jan 27, after trailing by 15 in first half; Explorers outscored St Joe's 11-2 on foul line. LaSalle lost last three games by 4-15-3 points; they're 2-3 as road underdogs. Five of LaSalle's six road losses are by 7+ points. Hawks also lost four of last five games, with last three losses by 6 or less points or in OT; underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in St Joe's home games. A-14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-8 vs spread.

LSU stormed out to 47-20 halftime lead, won 73-55 at Tennessee Feb 14, shooting 57% inside arc, holding Vols to 2-14 from arc. Loss started Vols on current 5-game losing skid; they're 1-7 vs spread at home, losing last four at home by 5-18-18-8 points. SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 14-18 against the spread. LSU won five of last seven games, is 4-2-1 as a home favorite; six of their eight home games were decided by seven or less points.

Richmond won four of last six games with UMass; Spiders won/covered their last four games overall- they're 4-1 as underdogs on A-14 road. Six of Spiders' last eight losses were by 6 or less points. UMass lost three of last four games; they've allowed 74+ points in last five games. UMass is 2-4 as A-14 home favorites, but they've won five of last six at home SU. A-14 home teams are 19-16 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Senior Night for Duke team with one senior (Cook) in its rotation; it has North Carolina rematch on deck Saturday. Blue Devils (-16) won 73-65 at Wake Forest Jan 7; their biggest lead was 10. Thomas was 12-20 from floor for Wake with no FTs taken. Duke is soft inside. Blue Devils won last nine games, are 4-4 as home favorites, 3-1 in last four; four of their last six wins were by 8 or less points. ACC home favorites of 15+ points are 3-6 vs spread.

Purdue is 13-3 vs spread in Big 14 games, 6-1 as road underdogs- they're 4-4 SU on road, with no losses by more than 7 points. Boilers won eight of last ten games (9-1 vs spread). Michigan State lost its last two games, is 2-6 as home favorite; they are 5-3 SU at home, with four of five wins by 6 or less points or in OT. Spartans won last six games with Purdue, all by 13+ points. Big 14 home favorites of less than 8 points are 28-21.

Tulsa has half-game lead in AAC; they've won/covered last four games after dramatic OT win at Memphis Saturday. Hurricane is 5-2 as a home favorite; four of its last five wins are by 11+ points. Cincinnati won its last three games, all by 10+ points; they won three of last four games on road, are 2-2 as underdogs this season. AAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-3-1 vs spread. This is teams' first meeting as AAC rivals.

Utah State won its last six games with four of last five wins by 14+; they beat Wyoming 56-44 (+1.5) at home Jan 27, in game with total of only 11 free throws. Aggies are 5-3 on MW road, 4-2 as road underdogs, losing on road by 9-2-20 points. Cowboys lost last two games, are 2-6 as favorites at home; they've got Nance back, but he had mono and isn't 100% yet. Mountain West home favorites of 5+ points are 23-19 against spread.

San Diego State is tied with Boise atop Mountain West; Aztecs (-10/5) beat UNLV 53-47 at home Jan 17, in brickfest where teams were 8-28 on arc- UNLV had 11-point lead in second half. Aztecs won five of last six games, are 5-# SU on road, 2-3 as road favorites. Rebels are down to 7 scholarship players, are 2-3 in last five games, 4-1 in last five home tilts. UNLV's home losses this season are by 2-2-5 points. Mountain West home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-9 vs spread.

Oregon (-8.5) won Pac-12 opener 71-59 at home over Oregon State Jan 3, never trailing in game that was only 29-27 at half. Ducks won eight of last nine games as they push for NCAAs; they've won four of last five away games, are 1-1 as road favorites. Beavers lost four of last five games, but three of four losses were on road- they're 7-1 SU at home, losing only to Utah by 10- State is 2-1 as home underdogs. Pac-12 home underdogs of 3 or less points are 5-3 vs spread.

Ohio Valley tournament, Nashville
Morehead State won its last three games by 16-13-31 points; they won first game in OVC tourney last six years. Eagles (+3) won 70-57 at SE Missouri Jan 8, grabbing 20 offensive boards, forcing 21 turnovers (+4) in game they led 30-28 at half. SE Missouri lost three of its last four games; they've won first OVC tourney game the last four years. Morehead is 5-3 in OVC road games, SEMo is 3-5. Morehead covered its last six games as a favorite. Redhawks are 5-4 as an underdog.

Home side won both Eastern Illinois-SIUEdwardsville games this season; Panthers (-3.5) won first meeting 57-54 Jan 31, scoring last five points of game. SIUE (-3) won rematch 80-63 two weeks later, never trailing in a game where they shot 65% inside arc, 8-20 on arc. EIU is 3-7 in its last ten games after starting OVC play 6-0; over last decade, they're 1-6 in this event, with win in '10. Cougars won three of last four games; they're 1-7 away from home in OVC this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAABB

Wednesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. PENN STATE
Ohio State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Ohio State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Penn State's last 11 games when playing Ohio State

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Central Florida is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Florida is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Central Florida
South Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
LA SALLE vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of La Salle's last 7 games on the road
La Salle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing La Salle
Saint Joseph's is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against La Salle

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. LOUISVILLE
Notre Dame is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Louisville is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisville's last 11 games at home

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. FORDHAM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duquesne's last 5 games when playing on the road against Fordham
Duquesne is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Fordham
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Fordham's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fordham's last 7 games at home

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. MOREHEAD STATE
No trends available
Morehead State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing SE Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Morehead State's last 14 games

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. GEORGE MASON
George Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
George Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
George Mason is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
George Mason is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. LSU
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
LSU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee

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MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
PROVIDENCE vs. SETON HALL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Providence's last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seton Hall is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

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MARCH 4, 7:30 PM
RICHMOND vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Richmond is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Richmond is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Massachusetts is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Massachusetts is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TULANE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Tulane is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tulane's last 11 games

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. DUKE
Wake Forest is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. SAINT LOUIS
St. Bonaventure is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saint Louis
Saint Louis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Bonaventure
Saint Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
PURDUE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Purdue is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN
New Mexico State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas-Pan American is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Texas-Pan American is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State

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MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PITTSBURGH
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. WYOMING
Utah State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wyoming's last 8 games at home

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
TCU vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games on the road
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. VANDERBILT
Mississippi State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Mississippi State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. MARQUETTE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. John's last 9 games on the road
St. John's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Marquette is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. John's
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. John's

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tulsa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulsa's last 7 games at home

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MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
USC vs. UCLA
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 6 games on the road
UCLA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 7 games at home

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MARCH 4, 9:30 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS
No trends available
Eastern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing SIU Edwardsville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Illinois's last 6 games when playing SIU Edwardsville

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MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. NEVADA
Colorado State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nevada's last 11 games

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MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. FRESNO STATE
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
Air Force is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

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MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. ILLINOIS
Nebraska is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Nebraska is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Illinois is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nebraska

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MARCH 4, 10:15 PM
BOISE STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Boise State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boise State
San Jose State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boise State

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MARCH 4, 11:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UNLV
San Diego State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games when playing on the road against UNLV
UNLV is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego State
UNLV is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State

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MARCH 4, 11:00 PM
OREGON vs. OREGON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 4


Kentucky fails to cover, but improves to 30-0

The No. 1 ranked Kentucky Wildcats faced a tough test against the Georgia Bulldogs and were unable to cover the 9.5-point chalk, but did pull out the 72-64 win to improve their record to 30-0.

Kentucky has been a streaky bet this season, resulting in a 15-14-1 record against the spread.

The Wildcats will try to close out their perfect regular season when they host the Florida Gators this Saturday. Kentucky won the last meeting 68-61 in Gainesville back on Feb. 7, but failed to cover as 8-point faves.



Top 25 roundup: Kentucky improves to 30-0

ATHENS, Ga. -- No. 1 Kentucky improved its record to 30-0 Tuesday night with a 72-64, come-from-behind victory over Georgia.

But it wasn't easy.

Trailing by as many as nine points midway through the second half, Kentucky (30-0, 17-0 SEC) found itself behind by six points, 62-56, with 5:36 remaining. But from that point forward, Kentucky outscored Georgia 16-2, including a 14-0 spurt to secure the victory.

Sophomore guard Aaron Harrison started the run with a breakaway layup after a steal by junior forward Willie Cauley-Stein. Harrison was fouled on the play and missed his free throw, but Cauley-Stein grabbed the offensive rebound and dunked.

Freshman center Karl-Anthony Towns, who led the Wildcats with 19 points, scored six of Kentucky's next 12 points.

Georgia (18-10, 9-7) was paced by senior forward Nemanja Djurisic with 18 points.

Kentucky has one more regular-season game left before the start of the SEC tournament.

Villanova 76, Creighton 72

OMAHA, Neb. -- Fourth-ranked Villanova survived two intense Creighton rallies to slip away with a Big East Conference victory.

With Villanova leading by two points, Villanova guard Ryan Arcidiacono was called for an offensive foul with six seconds to play. But Creighton center Will Artino missed a layup with two seconds to play.

Arcidiacono, who finished with a game-high 23 points, got the rebound and was fouled by Bluejays guard Austin Chatman with less than one second to go. He made both free throws, sealing the win for the Wildcats (28-2, 15-2 Big East).

The Bluejays (13-17, 4-13) were led by Chatman, who had 21 points.

Kansas 76, West Virginia 69

LAWRENCE, Kan. -- No. 9 Kansas rallied from an 18-point deficit to forge overtime, then outlasted No. 20 West Virginia in Allen Fieldhouse.

Junior forward Jamari Traylor scored six of his 14 points in the overtime, including a bucket with 3:02 remaining to give the Jayhawks the lead for good. Sophomore guard Frank Mason added a team-high 19 points.

Kansas (24-6, 13-4 Big 12) claimed the conference title outright, its 11th consecutive Big 12 crown. The Jayhawks were in jeopardy, however, of losing their home finale for the first time since 1983 before extending that streak to 32 straight wins.

West Virginia (22-8, 10-7) was led by freshman guard Dexter Miles, who scored 23 points.

The Mountaineers were playing without senior guard Juwan Staten, who missed his second straight game with a knee injury, and guard Gary Browne, who was out with an ankle injury.

But West Virginia was ahead 40-22 lead late in the first half, and held an 11-point advantage with 11:43 to go in the second half.

Georgetown 60, Butler 54

INDIANAPOLIS -- Indianapolis native D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera scored 16 points, including two key free throws with 6.2 seconds remaining, to lift Georgetown to victory against 21st-ranked Butler in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

With the Hoyas (19-9, 11-6 Big East) leading 56-54, Smith-Rivera rebounded a missed free throw by teammate Joshua Smith and was fouled. The guard then made the two free throws, and after a Butler turnover, guard Isaac Copeland iced it with two more free throws with 4.8 seconds left.

Butler (21-9, 11-6), which was only 10 of 22 from the line, got 15 points and 16 rebounds from forward Kameron Woods.

Maryland 60, Rutgers 50

PISCATAWAY, N.J. - No. 10 Maryland won its sixth consecutive game, turning back Rutgers in a matchup of the Big Ten conference's two newest teams at the Louis Brown Athletic Center.

Rutgers (10-20, 2-15) lost its 13th game in a row, the second-longest skid in school history. Its last win was the upset of then-No. 4 Wisconsin on Jan. 11. The Scarlet Knights lost 16 consecutive games in 1987-88.

Swingman Dez Wells led the Terrapins (25-5, 13-4 Big Ten) with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Center Greg Lewis led Rutgers with 14 points, and he also hauled in seven rebounds. Rutgers forward Kadeem Jack grabbed a game-high 16 rebounds.

North Carolina 81, Georgia Tech 49

ATLANTA -- Guards Justin Jackson and Joel Berry II combined for 28 points to spark the No. 19 North Carolina Tar Heels to an Atlantic Coast Conference victory.

Berry was 5-for-8 and scored 15 points and Jackson was 6-for-10 and scored 13 points for the Tar Heels. They were the only two players in double figures for North Carolina (21-9, 11-6 ACC). Forward Brice Johnson led the Tar Heels with nine rebounds.

Georgia Tech (12-18, 3-15 ACC) got 13 points and eight rebounds from forward Charles Mitchell and 14 points and eight rebounds from center Demarco Cox, one of the team's three seniors who were honored before the game.

Georgia Tech has lost four straight.

[StarDust Bum]

Notre Dame at Louisville

March 4, 2015

If Louisville can win its last two ACC games, it will garner the No. 3 seed in the conference tournament. However, with just a one-half game advantage over North Carolina for the fourth slot, the Cardinals are in danger of falling into fifth place and a dreaded Wednesday game at the ACC Tournament.

Those circumstances raise the stakes for tonight's showdown vs. Notre Dame at the KFC Yum! Center. As of early this morning, most books had U of L installed as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Irish.

Playing its first game since the dismissal of starting point guard Chris Jones, Louisville (23-6 straight up, 10-16-2 against the spread) went into Tallahassee on Saturday and dealt out a woodshed beating to Florida State in the form of an 81-59 shellacking as a five-point road favorite. The 140 combined points soared 'over' the 123-point total.

Wayne Blackshear scored a game-high 18 points and also had four rebounds, three assists, two blocked shots and one steal. Montrezl Harrell finished with 16 points on 8-of-10 shooting from the field. Anton Gill came off the bench to make all five of his shot attempts, including four from 3-point range, in a 14-point effort in only 12 minutes of playing time. Finally, Terry Rozier added 10 points, six steals and nine assists compared to only one turnover.

Notre Dame (24-5 SU, 10-11 ATS) saw its three-game winning streak snapped last Tuesday when Syracuse came into South Bend and won a 65-60 decision as an eight-point road underdog. The 125 combined points stayed 'under' the 143.5-point tally.

In the losing effort, Bonzie Colson came off the bench to score a team-best 16 points in just 19 minutes of action. Pat Connaughton played all 40 minutes and produced a double-double with 13 points and 15 rebounds. Jerian Grant finished with 13 points and nine assists.

Mike Brey's team had a poor shooting night against the 'Cuse, which has been a rarity this year. Notre Dame is second in the nation in field-goal percentage (50.8%), but Jim Boeheim's zone stymied the Irish completely. They make just 34.7 percent of their shots from the field and only 3-of-22 (13.6%) from downtown. Grant and Steve Vasturia both went 0-for-6 from beyond the arc.

Grant averages team-highs in scoring (16.9 points per game), assists (6.6 APG) and steals (1.8 SPG). The senior point guard has a stellar 192/58 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Connaughton (13.1 PPG) averages a team-high 8.0 rebounds per game and has a team-best 25 blocked shots. Zach Auguste, the Irish's best post player who will draw most of the defensive assignments on Harrell, averages 12.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest.

The 'under' is 14-11 overall for U of L, 10-3 in its home games. The Cardinals have seen the 'under' go 7-2 in their last nine outings.

The 'over' is 11-8 overall for Notre Dame, 4-4 in its road assignments.

The 'over' has hit in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these ACC rivals. Six of the last 10 encounters have gone to overtime. Louisville has won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS.

ESPN2 will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Louisville closes its regular-season slate by taking on Virginia at home Saturday night. The Cavaliers clinched their second straight ACC regular-season title thanks to Monday's win at Syracuse. UVA scored just two points in the first 14 minutes of the game at the Carrier Dome, yet still won by double digits and comfortably covered the spread.

-- Georgia missed three one-and-one opportunities at crunch time to allow Kentucky to pull away for a 72-64 win in front of a raucous crowd at Stegeman Coliseum last night. The Bulldogs led 56-47 with nine minutes remaining and by six at the five-minute mark. But UK responded with a 14-0 run in which UGA went 0-for-5 at the charity stripe. And that was essentially going 0-for-10 since the three front ends would've provided an extra free throw. Nevertheless, Mark Fox's team covered the spread as a 9.5-point home underdog, improving to 9-2-2 ATS in 13 games as a 'dog this year. For those who took Kentucky minus six at halftime when the game was tied (UK -6 adjusted), a fortunate winner was the result. Karl-Anthony Towns led the Cats with 19 points and seven rebounds, as they improved to 30-0 going into Saturday's regular-season finale vs. Florida at Rupp Arena.

-- Florida's leading scorer Michael Frazier II missed his seventh straight game in Tuesday's 66-62 win vs. Texas A&M at The O-Dome. The Gators are hoping he can return for Saturday's regular-season finale at Kentucky. He has been out since suffering a high-ankle sprain against UK on Feb. 7.

-- Billy Donovan's team has won back-to-back games since Dorian Finney-Smith returned from suspension in this past Saturday's home win over Tennessee. However, the Gators immensely disappointed their backers by allowing a 16-point lead with 3:13 remaining to get away due to complete ineptitude at the free-throw line. UF missed 10 FTs in the last 1:58, with its point guards Kasey Hill and Chris Chiozza combining to make only 6-of-17 from the stripe. The Aggies covered the number as 4.5-point underdogs in the four-point defeat.

-- Miami might be without its starting point guard Angel Rodriguez for tonight's critical ACC showdown at Pittsburgh. Rodriguez left Saturday's home loss to North Carolina early with a wrist injury that has him 'questionable' against the Panthers. Rodriguez averages 12.3 points, 4.2 assists and 1.9 steals per game. The Hurricanes were three-point road underdogs early this morning.

-- Penn State has been a home underdog four times this season, going 3-1 both SU and ATS. The lone loss was this past Saturday when Iowa won an 81-77 decision in overtime as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Nittany Lions host Ohio State tonight at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on The Big Ten Network As of early this morning, the Buckeyes were favored by five points.

-- Seton Hall will get its leading scorer Sterling Gibbs back for tonight's home game vs. Providence. The Friars were favored by two early this morning.

-- Purdue owns an 8-2 spread record in 10 games as an underdog this year. The Boilermakers, who are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games, are seven-point 'dogs tonight at Breslin Center against Michigan St.

-- Boise State has won 12 of its last 13 games both SU and ATS going into tonight's road game at San Jose State. The Broncos were favored by 19 early this morning. The Spartans have lost 18 in a row and haven't beaten at Division-I opponent all season long. Nevertheless, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests.

-- The 'under' is on a 12-4 run in Boise State's last 16 outings.

-- Dayton is now along atop of the Atlantic-10 standings after handling Rhode Island last night and covering the spread as a 3.5-point home 'chalk.' Archie Miller is about to be fielding job offers from a lot of schools.

-- After a couple of bad beats Monday night (Oklahoma +6 and Baylor +150 on the money line), I bounced back with a 5-0 record last night. My winners included Georgia, Auburn, Texas A&M (lucky!), Dayton and Ole Miss.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Top Action

March 4, 2015


NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (24-5) at LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (23-6)

KFC Yum! Center - Louisville, KY
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Louisville -4

No. 12 Notre Dame visits No. 16 Louisville as longtime Big East foes meet for the first time as ACC members.

No. 16 Louisville and No. 12 Notre Dame go back at it after a year off in a series that’s had its fair share of memories as Big East heavyweights. Louisville seems to be at peace, now that troubled G Chris Jones (13.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.0 APG) is off the team. The mercurial guard, who was suspended previously on two different occasions by Head Coach Rick Pitino, had finally worn out his welcome. In his absence, the Cardinals reeled off road wins at Georgia Tech and Saturday at Florida State. The most recent win over the Seminoles, an 81-59 drubbing (the line was -5), included 21 forced turnovers and had Louisville holding Florida State to 1-for-9 shooting behind the arc.

Seven days will have passed since Notre Dame was stunned in a 65-60 home loss to Syracuse. Notre Dame is 4-0 SU following a loss this season (0-3 ATS) and 11-1 SU on 3+ days rest. The Fighting Irish really struggled against the Orange zone in the loss, as they went a horrid 3-for-22 (14%) from deep. Louisville is no picnic to play against, but the extreme contrast in defensive style and the time off could be just what Notre Dame needs to see to rebound offensively. Notre Dame is 5-3 SU (3-5 ATS) on the road in conference play so far, while Louisville is 5-2 SU (2-5 ATS) at home in conference play.

Louisville has struggled mightily to cover at home recently (3-10-1 ATS in their past 14 home games) and the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their past five games overall. Notre Dame allows eight more points per game on the road and this contributes to four of their past six road game totals going Over. Historically, Louisville is 8-5 SU (5-8 ATS) since both squads joined the Big East and played each other regularly (2006). The past two meetings between these squads both were won by Louisville (one in Louisville, one in the semifinals of the Big East Tournament), as the Cardinals covered both times as well. Notre Dame’s last win in this series was the five overtime thriller in South Bend, 104-101 where current Fighting Irish senior G Pat Connaughton (13.1 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.7 threes/game) had 16 points, 14 rebounds and 7 assists as a sophomore.

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Notre Dame boasts one of the nation’s best offenses (79.1 PPG, 9th in NCAA; 1.21 points/possession, 1st in NCAA; 1.63 A:TO ratio, 4th in NCAA; 39.4% 3PT, 22nd in NCAA), but you wouldn’t have known it from watching them struggle versus Syracuse last Tuesday. Facing Louisville’s swarming defense on the road isn’t how you draw up a bounce-back game, but Notre Dame has exceeded expectations all year. The last time the Fighting Irish faced the Louisville press, in March of 2013, star G Jerian Grant (16.9 PPG, 6.6 APG, 50% FG) struggled mightily (6 turnovers, 2-for-8 from three) and sidekick Connaughton couldn’t repeat his five overtime game magic, as he only went for nine points.

F Zach Auguste (12.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 61% FG) has been solid all season, but has struggled to find consistency and his regular allotment of playing time recently (less than 20 MPG in three of the past five games; 7.6 PPG, 4.4 RPG in that span) isn’t helping. Stepping in to replenish Auguste’s dip in production has been impressive freshman F Bonzie Colson (5.4 PPG). Colson barely played until February, but since Auguste’s one-game academic suspension has found himself part of Coach Mike Brey’s permanent rotation. In Colson’s last five games, he’s poured in 10.4 points per game in just 16 minutes per game and has given the Fighting Irish a defensive presence around the basket (1.2 BPG in that span). Notre Dame’s offense is rounded out by complementary perimeter players, G Demitrius Jackson (12.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG) who’s not looking for his shot much as of late (8.6 PPG in past five) and G Steve Vasturia (9.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG) who’s logged 36 minutes per game over his past four (2nd on team in that span).

As Louisville finds its updated identity without the departed Jones, it will have to rely on its stars, G Terry Rozier (17.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, 2 SPG) and F Montrezl Harrell (15.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 57% FG) even more (or so you would think). Rozier has actually struggled mightily from the field since early February (14.3 PPG, 31% FG, 27% 3PT) and Harrell has only scored eight and 16 points respectively in the two games since Jones was dismissed. While Rozier has struggled scoring, he’s picked up in Jones’ absence in looking to distribute and on defense, as his nine assists and six steals against Florida State will show.

Make no mistake, though, Louisville isn’t missing a beat because of their oft-overlooked supporting cast. F Wayne Blackshear (10.7 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.6 threes/game) has rebounded from his embarrassing line of zeroes (no points, assists or rebounds) at Syracuse on Feb. 18 to post three straight double-digit scoring efforts, including 18 points at Florida State on Saturday. G Quentin Snider (2.8 PPG) has seamlessly stepped into Jones’ role in the starting lineup and done an admirable job (10 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 4.0 APG in three games as starter), while Coach Pitino also may have something in reserve G Anton Gill (2.8 PPG), who popped off for 14 points against Florida State. Up front, F Chinanu Onuaku (3.3 PPG, 1.5 BPG) continues to improve game-by-game, pulling down five or more rebounds in his past five contests. A big factor in Louisville’s success will be seeing if the three-point defense without Jones (Louisville has held Georgia Tech and Florida State to a combined 2-for-21) holds up as stingy against a sharp-shooting team like Notre Dame, or whether the level of opponent propped up the Cardinals’ dominant perimeter defensive play.

USC TROJANS (11-18) at UCLA BRUINS (18-12)

Pauley Pavilion – Los Angeles, CA
Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: UCLA -13

The Bruins look to pad their NCAA tournament resume with a home win over a lousy USC team on Wednesday.

USC is coming off of a 70-55 home victory over Washington as a 5-point favorite. The Trojans are now 2-8 SU in their past 10 games, but they have covered in five of those contests. One thing that has been impressive for this team is that it has held its past three opponents to under 42% shooting from the field. If the Trojans can continue to play that type of defense then they will be in a lot more games when the final minutes come around. UCLA, meanwhile, has now won two straight games after beating Washington State 72-67 as a 15-point road favorite on Sunday. This ATS loss for the Bruins was their first in their past six games.

UCLA has dominated USC in this head-to-head series, winning-and-covering in four straight games against the Trojans and going 8-2 SU and 7-3 SU in their past 10 meetings overall. USC has, however, won-and-covered in three of their past seven trips to Pauley Pavilion. They are 4-3 ATS in those games altogether. As a road underdog this season, the Trojans are just 2-8 SU but an impressive 7-3 ATS. UCLA, meanwhile, is 15-2 SU and 10-7 ATS when playing as a favorite this season. The Bruins are also 13-0 SU and 9-4 ATS when playing as a home favorite. G Jordan McLaughlin (Shoulder) is out for the season for USC and F Darion Clark (Knee) is questionable for this game. UCLA is not currently dealing with any injuries.

USC has had issues on both ends of the floor this season, averaging just 66.6 PPG (191st in NCAA) on 41.6% shooting (276th in NCAA) and allowing a miserable 69.9 PPG (271st in NCAA). The Trojans did, however, play a solid game against Washington and will look to carry some momentum into Los Angeles. F Nikola Jovanovic (12.2 PPG, 7.1 RPG) is the most important player for this USC team. Jovanovic had 16 points (5-for-7 FG), seven rebounds, three assists and a block in the win over Washington on Saturday. The 6-foot-11 forward can score in a number of ways and is impressive with his ability to hit midrange jumpers. He put up 20 points and grabbed five rebounds the last time he faced the Bruins and will need to put up similar numbers this time around. Defensively, he’ll need to do a better job protecting the rim (0.8 BPG) on Wednesday.

G Katin Reinhardt (12.1 PPG, 1.0 SPG) will also need to come up big for the Trojans in this game. Reinhardt can really shoot well from the outside (36% 3PT), but has struggled recently (2-for-14 in past three games) for this team. Reinhardt had 10 points in 34 minutes the last time he faced UCLA and with G Jordan McLaughlin (12.1 PPG, 4.5 APG, 3.0 RPG, 1.5 SPG) out for the season, USC will be even more dependent on the sophomore’s shooting. G Julian Jacobs (8.5 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.1 SPG) has been remarkable as a passer recently. Over the past three games, Jacobs is averaging 8.7 APG and he’ll need to continue to find his teammates against a UCLA team that can really score. Jacobs has also rebounded very well for his position, grabbing 7.2 RPG over the past five contests. His toughness and ability to fill up the stat sheet has made things much easier on the Trojans since losing McLaughlin. G Elijah Stewart (5.3 PPG, 1.2 BPG, 1.0 SPG) had 14 points, nine boards, two blocks and two steals in 29 minutes against Washington Saturday. He is the toughest defender the Trojans have and will need to bring some tenacity on Wednesday.

UCLA has been a very good offensive team this season, averaging 71.0 PPG (86th in NCAA) on 43.3% shooting (189th in NCAA). The Bruins are tough on the glass (38.7 RPG, 18th in NCAA) and can also pass the ball pretty well (13.8 APG, 93rd in NCAA). Defense has been the issue for this team though, allowing 67.7 PPG (215th in NCAA). UCLA must improve on that end of the floor fast because it will need to win a few more games in order to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament. G Norman Powell (16.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG) is the guy that USC will be planning to stop. Powell is averaging 26.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG and 2.0 SPG in his past two contests and put up 22 points the last time he faced USC. He’s an explosive guard that is extremely tough to stop once he attacks the basket. He’ll create plenty of opportunities for himself at the free-throw line and can also knock down outside shots if the defense plays too far off of him (32% 3PT).

G Bryce Alford (15.2 PPG, 5.1 APG) is another guy that will give the Trojans a ton of issues. Alford is a very good shooter (35% 3PT) and has improved his ability to create his own shot off the dribble. If the defense pays too much attention to Powell than Alford will make his opponent pay for it. G Isaac Hamilton (10.0 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.1 APG) is another solid guard in this rotation. Hamilton is averaging 8.0 APG in his past two contests and has a tremendous feel for the game. He is yet another guy who can shoot (36% 3PT) in this backcourt and he’ll look to make some plays offensively in this one.

Fs Kevon Looney (12.3 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.3 SPG and 1.0 BPG) and Tony Parker (10.5 PPG, 6.8 RPG) will need to man the paint in this game. Both of them will spend a lot of time covering Jovanovic and they can’t let the big man get it going offensively. Looney is extremely athletic and has the ability to score around the basket and from behind the arc (43% 3PT). He’ll need to use his length to put pressure on USC on both ends of the floor. Parker, meanwhile, has been on a tear for the Bruins. He’s averaging 17.5 PPG and 7.5 RPG over the past two contests and will look to keep it up on Wednesday.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- San Diego State 60, UNLV 58-- Referee David Hall worked his 89th game in 111 nights this college basketball season.

-- Eight of UNLV's last nine losses were by 6 or less points or in overtime.

-- Turns out that Jim Harbaugh is a big fan of Judge Judy's TV show; who knew?

-- Odd fact: Werner Ladder is the official ladder of the NCAA tournament.

-- Dodgers apparently have offered to pay about half of the $56M they owe Andre Ethier over the next three years, if some team will trade for him.

-- Leftfield bleachers in Wrigley Field won't be available until at least May 11; ones in rightfield not until June at the earliest, as renovations at the ballpark are dragging.



**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Hard to believe its been 25 years since Hank Gathers died. Young man was a star for Loyola Marymount; he had a heart attack on the court during the WCC tournament and passed away shortly thereafter. Very sad, seems like yesterday.

12) Irony of Reggie Jackson being called Mr October: first time one of teams he played for made the World Series, in 1972, Jackson didn't play in the series because he tore his hamstring sliding into home plate in Game 5 of the playoff series with Detroit. A's replaced him with George Hendrick/Angel Mangual in that series.

11) Exhibition baseball is therapeutic, but I watch highlights Tuesday and I see Josh Donaldson playing for Toronto, Yoenis Cespedes for Detroit and for those several minutes, it is not fun to be an A's fan. No one good ever stays.

10) This goes all the way back to New Years Eve, 1974; I was 15 and went bowling. Came home and turned the sports ticker channel on, the cool channel with a light blue screen that spouted out sports stuff whenever the stock market was closed.

That night, the channel delivered me bad news: Catfish Hunter had signed with the baseball team in the Bronx. My favorite player had left the A's for money, something that has repeated itself over and over and over for the last 40 years. It sucks.

9) Side note that I mentioned here once before: that bowling alley, Sunset Lanes, will soon be turned into a warehouse for the many Asian grocery stores and restaurants in this area. America needs more bowling alleys, not less. Not all change is positive.

8) While I'm complaining about things, selling Personal Seat Licenses to stadiums should be illegal. You build a stadium with taxpayer dollars, you charge fans a fee just to have the right to buy tickets for the games there; how is this not extortion?

7) There were 14,400 pitching changes in the major leagues last year, thats 5.94 per game, or roughly 2,500 more than in 1998. How long does a pitching change take, if it is done during a half-inning? 5-7 minutes? There are two main reasons baseball games are longer now than they were 20 years ago:
-- More commercials in between innings.
-- More pitching changs, a lot more.

6) Baseball fans don't care that games are a little longer; the media does and the media influences a lot of what the average fan thinks, so the things they bitch about become the things a lot of average fans bitch about. Its too bad.

5) Saw this somewhere today, maybe an ESPN magazine I was reading: the average number of balls in play during a 2014 baseball game: 52. There are obviously 54 outs in a 9-inning game if home team bats in 9th inning; subtract strikeouts, add in hits and errors and you get 52. I had never thought about it, but it is an interesting number.

4) Peyton Manning took a $4M pay cut for next year, will play for $15M, which is not pocket change, but it is less than his brother Eli makes.

3) Peyton Manning threw 21 TDs with only four INTs at home LY; he threw 18 TDs, 11 INTs on the road.

2) Virginia is expected to get Justin Anderson back for its next game at Louisville Saturday and more importantly, the ACC and NCAA tournaments. Anderson is their best player; would be curious to see the Cavaliers play Kentucky.

1) Underrated move: Buffalo Bills traded for Matt Cassel Wednesday. Cassel once led the Patriots to an 11-5 record when Tom Brady got hurt in the season opener. He never started a game at USC, backing up Carson Palmer/Matt Leinart.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 5

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WISCONSIN (26 - 3) at MINNESOTA (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEMPLE (20 - 9) at E CAROLINA (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 127-170 ATS (-60.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 119-161 ATS (-58.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 0-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ARKANSAS (23 - 6) at S CAROLINA (14 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-108 ATS (-57.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-108 ATS (-57.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-109 ATS (-58.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 62-107 ATS (-55.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
S CAROLINA is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
S CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W KENTUCKY (18 - 10) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
W KENTUCKY is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UAB (16 - 13) at FLA ATLANTIC (8 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UAB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIDDLE TENN ST (15 - 14) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS ST (13 - 14) at APPALACHIAN ST (10 - 17) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TX-ARLINGTON (16 - 12) at GA SOUTHERN (20 - 7) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons




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RICE (10 - 18) at TX-SAN ANTONIO (13 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
RICE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 1-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 1-1 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SOUTHERN MISS (9 - 19) at LOUISIANA TECH (23 - 7) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MARSHALL (11 - 18) at OLD DOMINION (22 - 6) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MARSHALL is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 3-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 3-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGIA ST (20 - 9) at LA-MONROE (19 - 10) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGIA ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA-MONROE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
LA-MONROE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 3-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ARK-LITTLE ROCK (13 - 16) at LA-LAFAYETTE (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-2 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-2 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ALABAMA (9 - 20) at ARKANSAS ST (11 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 5-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 5-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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N TEXAS (14 - 14) at UTEP (19 - 9) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTEP is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 2-0 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 2-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CALIFORNIA (17 - 12) at ARIZONA (26 - 3) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
CALIFORNIA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-2 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MEMPHIS (17 - 12) at CONNECTICUT (17 - 11) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
MEMPHIS is 179-139 ATS (+26.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 216-173 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 143-96 ATS (+37.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VA COMMONWEALTH (21 - 8) at DAVIDSON (21 - 6) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
DAVIDSON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DAVIDSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DAVIDSON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DAVIDSON is 78-43 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO (13 - 15) at WASHINGTON (15 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UC-RIVERSIDE (14 - 14) at CAL DAVIS (22 - 5) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all home games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CAL DAVIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 3-2 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
CAL DAVIS is 3-2 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CS-NORTHRIDGE (9 - 22) at LONG BEACH ST (14 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 3-3 against the spread versus CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 4-2 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CS-FULLERTON (9 - 20) at UC-IRVINE (17 - 11) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
UC-IRVINE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 5-0 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
UC-IRVINE is 5-0 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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STANFORD (18 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (15 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 4-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 4-2 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UTAH (22 - 6) at WASHINGTON ST (12 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ILLINOIS (11 - 20) vs. MISSOURI ST (11 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
MISSOURI ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 5-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 5-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BRADLEY (8 - 23) vs. DRAKE (9 - 21) - 3/5/2015, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRADLEY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BRADLEY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
BRADLEY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BRADLEY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 4-3 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 5-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND ST (14 - 12) at N ARIZONA (16 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 5-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
N ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SACRAMENTO ST (19 - 8) at SOUTHERN UTAH (9 - 18) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E WASHINGTON (21 - 8) at IDAHO ST (6 - 22) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 161-203 ATS (-62.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 161-203 ATS (-62.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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IDAHO (13 - 14) at WEBER ST (12 - 15) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
WEBER ST is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
IDAHO is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO is 88-55 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
WEBER ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
WEBER ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 0-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-0 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NIAGARA (8 - 21) vs. SIENA (10 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
SIENA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 3-3 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-3 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FAIRFIELD (7 - 23) vs. ST PETERS (14 - 17) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST PETERS is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-3 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 4-4 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MARIST (6 - 24) vs. QUINNIPIAC (15 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
QUINNIPIAC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 4-0 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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USC UPSTATE (22 - 10) at FLA GULF COAST (22 - 9) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 straight up against USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIPSCOMB (14 - 16) at N FLORIDA (22 - 10) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N FLORIDA is 5-1 straight up against LIPSCOMB over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON U (13 - 16) at LAFAYETTE (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 2-0 against the spread versus LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON U is 4-1 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOLY CROSS (14 - 15) at BUCKNELL (18 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 1-0 against the spread versus HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 4-2 straight up against HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NAVY (14 - 17) at COLGATE (15 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 5-2 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AMERICAN (15 - 15) at LEHIGH (15 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
LEHIGH is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LEHIGH is 1-0 against the spread versus AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
LEHIGH is 3-3 straight up against AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 5

Wisconsin (-14) beat Minnesota 63-53 at home in first meeting 12 days ago; Gophers took one foul shot in whole game (Wisconsin was 11-14). Badgers lost last road game at Maryland, are 3-4 as road favorites, with four of six road wins by 8+ points. Minnesota lost three of its last four games, covered three of last four as an underdog; Gophers are 4-3 in Big 14 home games, with losses by 2-2-6 points. Big 14 underdogs of 6 or less points are 10-7 vs spread.

Arkansas (-6.5) waxed South Carolina 75-55 at home Feb 3, holding them to 27.9% from floor, forcing 20 turnovers in game that was 35-28 at half. Razorbacks won seven of last eight games, are 5-3 on SEC road, with six of eight games decided by 5 or less points (1-3 as road favorite). Carolina won three of last four home games but is 1-7 as an underdog this season. Gamecocks split last six games after starting SEC play 2-9. SEC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-7 vs spread.

Memphis (-2) beat UConn 75-72 at home two weeks ago, despite giving up 19 offensive boards in game they led by 15 early in second half. Tigers lost last two games, are 4-3 on AAC road, 0-2 as road dogs, losing games on foreign soil by 14-18-11 points. UConn won last three games, is 2-5 as home favorite, winning last seven home games by 6+ points. Senior Night for Huskies' Boatright, key guy on national title team last season. AAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 14-6-1 vs spread.

VCU (-9) beat Davidson 71-65 Jan 7, forcing only 15 turnovers (+5) but Rams had defensive ace Weber then; VCU lost its last two games, is 3-4 in its last seven, losing two of last three road games. Davidson won last seven games; its Senior Night for Wildcat squad with only one senior in rotation- they're 7-1 as home favorites, with only loss to St Bonaventure. Davidson/Dayton are tied atop A-14; VCU can tie Davidson here. A-14 home favorites of more than 8 points are 12-15-1 vs spread.

Stanford (-6.5) beat Arizona State 89-70 at home Jan 24, leading 51-41 at half, scoring 1.29 ppp; Cardinal is just 3-5 in its last eight games though, losing last three road games by 1-16-6 points- they're 0-2 as Pac-12 dogs. ASU won its last three home games by total of ten points; they're 2-5 as Pac-12 favorite, 5-5 SU in last ten games. Stanford makes 38.3% on arc; Sun Devils are worst in Pac-12 defending the arc. Pac-12 home teams are 18-15 in games where spread was less than 5 points.

Sacramento State has game lead in Big Sky with two to play; if they win regular season title, they'll host Big Sky tourney for first time next week. Hornets won last three games by 7-8-13 points; they're 4-3 on Big sky road, with one win by more than seven points. Southern Utah won four of last six games after starting league play 2-8; they've covered six of last seven games, are 4-2 as home underdogs, with one loss at home by more than 4 points. Big Sky home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-9.

MVC tournament, St Louis
Missouri State beat Southern Illinois twice this season, 53-50 (+3) Dec 31 on road, 52-46 (-3) at home a month later; Salukis shot 33% in both games, had 58-25 edge in FTs taken - they're 2-7 in MVC tourney last seven years. Missouri State is 5-5 in this event last five years; they lost six of last eight games overall, are 6-7-1 as Valley underdogs. Salukis lost nine of last eleven games, are 2-3 as MVC favorites. Bears were just 7-31 on arc in two wins over SIU.

Drake beat Bradley twice this season, 69-57 (+8) in Peoria Jan 28, then 60-54 (-2) at home two weeks late; Bulldogs made 18-36 on arc in those games, Bradley just 13-46. Drake lost four of last six games, but covered four of last six as an underdog; they're 2-5 in this event since winning it in '08. Bradley lost its last seven games (1-4-2 vs spread); they lost last four games in this event, three by 14+ points, are 0-4 as an MVC favorite this season. These are four worst teams in MVC, not lot to choose from. .

MAAC tournament, Albany
Siena swept Niagara this year, beating Eagles 79-69 (-8.5) here (ran out to 21-1 lead) Jan 11, then 74-70 (+2) on road a week later; they made 50%+ from floor in both games, but Siena comes in here on 5-game skid- they're 2-9 in last 11 games, 3-4-1 as MAAC favorite. Niagara won its last four games, with three wins by 4 or less points. after starting 3-13 in MAAC play; they're 5-3 as MAAC underdogs. Siena is 7-1 in first game of this tourney last eight years; Niagara is 5-1 the last six years.

Fairfield lost 12 of last 13 games; win was 57-43 (+3.5) over St Peter's 12 days ago, holding Peacocks to 29.6% from floor. Stags covered five of last six games overall; they won first game in this event five of last six years; St Peter's lost four of last five games, is 3-10 vs spread when favored this season; they're 2-5 in first tourney game last seven years. St Peter's beat Fairfield 69-58 (-5.5) in first meeting Feb 7; they were +8 in turnovers in that game.

Quinnipiac beat Marist twice this season, 66-54 (-13) in first meeting on Jan 11, then 72-71 (-6.5) at Marist a week later; Bobcats come in losing four of last five games- they're 4-3 against spread in last seven games as favorite. Marist lost six of last seven games but is 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as an underdog. Red Foxes lost their first tourney game last two years by 2-6 points. Quinnipiac ended last year on 1-4 skid; they're on another 1-4 skid now.

Ohio Valley tournament, Nashville
Tenn-Martin (-1.5) beat Morehead State 75-72 in OT at home Jan 10, in only meeting this season; Skyhawks were down four with 4:01 left that night. Martin lost two of last three games, covered one of last four when favored, but they had bye last night, while Morehead won tough game by 5 over SE Missouri State, with only one Eagle playing more than 27:00- they used three subs 13+ minutes. This is only third time in decade that Martin had winning record; they won first tourney game other times.

Over last nine years, Belmont is 19-3 in conference tourney games, with most of that damage done in Atlantic Sun; Bruins went 7-43 from arc in 74-63 loss at Eastern Illinois Jan 10, only meeting this season. EIU used two guys 33-38 minutes in win over Edwardsville last night; no one else played more than 29:00. Panthers lost by 19 to Belmont in only meeting LY. Bruins come in to this tourney winning last four games, covering five of last seven as a favorite.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 5

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. SIENA
Niagara is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Niagara's last 8 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Arkansas

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
UAB vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Temple is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Temple is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. CHARLOTTE
Western Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games

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MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. SAINT PETER'S
No trends available
Saint Peter's is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Fairfield
Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fairfield

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MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Wisconsin is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

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MARCH 5, 7:05 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
Missouri State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Southern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri State's last 6 games

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MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Texas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Appalachian State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Appalachian State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

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MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida International is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing at home against Middle Tennessee

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MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Texas-Arlington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

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MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. OLD DOMINION
Marshall is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 6 games on the road
Old Dominion is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
RICE vs. TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
Rice is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Rice is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Texas-San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas-San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Miss's last 8 games on the road
Southern Miss is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

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MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Georgia State is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

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MARCH 5, 8:15 PM
ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas-Little Rock's last 5 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas-Little Rock
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas-Little Rock

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MARCH 5, 8:30 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
Portland State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Portland State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland State
Northern Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland State

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MARCH 5, 8:30 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
South Alabama is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
South Alabama is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
Arkansas State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
MARIST vs. QUINNIPIAC
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games
Quinnipiac is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. TEXAS EL PASO
North Texas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas El Paso is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. DAVIDSON
Virginia Commonwealth is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Davidson is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
California is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing California
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing California

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
IDAHO vs. WEBER STATE
Idaho is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Idaho is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Weber State's last 7 games at home
Weber State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO STATE vs. SOUTHERN UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento State's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento State
Southern Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento State

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MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CONNECTICUT
Memphis is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home

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MARCH 5, 9:05 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. IDAHO STATE
Eastern Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Idaho State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Eastern Washington
Idaho State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Eastern Washington

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MARCH 5, 9:30 PM
BRADLEY vs. DRAKE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 6 games
Drake is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. UC DAVIS
UC Riverside is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UC Davis
UC Riverside is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Davis's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Davis's last 7 games when playing UC Riverside

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MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
CS NORTHRIDGE vs. LONG BEACH STATE
CS Northridge is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
CS Northridge is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Long Beach State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against CS Northridge
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Long Beach State's last 7 games when playing at home against CS Northridge

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MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
CS FULLERTON vs. UC IRVINE
CS Fullerton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Irvine is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing CS Fullerton
UC Irvine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing CS Fullerton

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MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
UTAH vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Utah's last 16 games on the road
Utah is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games
Washington State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

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MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Stanford
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 5


March Madness is NOW! Betting this week's NCAAB conference tournaments

For those that think March Madness doesn’t begin until the selection committee has their say on that tense Sunday in mid-March, we say “WRONG”.

The official and oft-forgotten kickoff to the NCAA postseason begins this week when 13 mid-major conferences open their respective conference tournaments. Starting Tuesday, these leagues will fill out the first outright selections of the national tournament and, along the way, likely burst the bubble of a few major conference programs on the NCAA fringe.

Chances are you haven’t paid attention to these little leagues during the course of the season, since many of their games go without odds. Hell, you may not know some of them even existed. So we’re giving you a head start when it comes to capping these conference tournaments, pointing out the favorites, value underdog bets and live long shots to win.

America East (March 4, 8, 14)

Favorite: Albany Great Danes (21-8, 15-1) – With the America East a campus-sites tournament – no host school – Albany has home court to the finals. The Great Danes give up just 59 points per game at home – ninth lowest in the country.

Underdog: Stony Brook Seawolves (21-10, 12-4) – The lone conference blemish on Albany’s resume comes courtesy of the Seawolves, who ride a six-game winning streak into the postseason. Momentum is worth its weight in gold come March.

Long Shot: New Hampshire Wildcats (18-11, 11-5) – The Wildcats lost twice to Albany by a combined three points and have a win over Stony Brook. New Hampshire can knock down the 3-pointer and defend against it – two very key stats for playoff basketball.

Atlantic Sun (March 3-8)

Favorite: North Florida Ospreys -130 (20-11, 12-2) – North Florida gets home-court throughout this tournament, and can pile on the points in a hurry – averaging 83 points per home game (fifth in the country). It won both meetings with Florida Gulf Coast, who many pick to win this tournament.

Underdog: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +270 (21-9, 11-3) – The Eagles stumbled at the end of the year with two straight losses. Florida Gulf Coast is known more for its defense (39.1 FG% def) then the high-flying offense it wowed the nation with two years ago.

Long shot: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +370 (21-10, 8-6) – North Florida’s two conference losses came to the Spartans, who also played FGCU tough. South Carolina Upstate has a plus-5.4 scoring margin and the conference’s top scorer Ty Greene, who dropped 39 on North Florida and 31 on FGCU.

Big South (March 3-8)

Favorite: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (19-10, 13-5) – The Buccaneers locked up the No. 1 seed with a thrilling triple-overtime win against High Point Saturday. Charleston Southern can fill it up at home (averaging 80 points) and lives by the 3-pointer, and dies by the 3-pointer (27.4 3-pt attempts – second most).

Underdog: Radford Highlanders (21-10, 12-6) – Radford grabbed the No. 4 seed with a win in its season finale. The Highlanders have two wins over High Point and a road win at Charleston and boast a deep rotation with seven players averaging 5.9 points or more.

Long shot: Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (18-13, 10-8) – The Bulldogs managed to win 18 games despite being ranked among the worst defensive programs in the country (74.2 points against). Gardner-Webb has been able to overwhelm the top teams in the conference with its explosive offense (75.1 points per game).

Colonial Athletic Association (March 6-9)

Favorite: James Madison Dukes +1,000 (19-12, 12-6) – Even though the Dukes are ranked No. 4 in the conference tournament, they take six wins in their last seven games (5-2 ATS) into the postseason. That momentum separates them from a deadlocked pack at the top of the conference. William & Mary are +200 faves to win the Colonial at the Superbook in Las Vegas but dropped three of its last five games of the season. The CAA is much more wide open than the odds would indicate.

Underdog: NC Wilmington Seahawks +600 (17-12, 12-6) – The Seahawks crapped the bed in the season finale, losing to Elon but has knocked off Northeastern and James Madison in recent weeks and sits No. 2 in the tournament seeding, and will play a banged-up Drexel team (missing CAA leading scorer Damion Lee) or a 8-23 College of Charleston squad.

Long shot: Elon Phoenix +1,200 (14-17, 6-12) – Elon came on late in the season with three straight wins to finish up, beating Northeastern and UNCW in that span. The Phoenix also beat No. 1-seed William & Mary earlier this year, who they will likely face in Round 2 of the CAA tournament.

Horizon League (March 3-10)

Favorite: Valparaiso Crusaders EVEN (26-5, 13-3) – Since Valpo won the league, it gets to host the tournament - a sweet deal for a team that went 13-1 at home. The Crusaders don’t budge much on defense and don’t give away second looks at the basket either, allowing just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game.

Underdog: Green Bay Phoenix +150 (23-7, 12-4) – Seeded No. 2, Green Bay avoided a potential meeting with Cleveland State in the semifinals (lost both games to the Vikings). The Phoenix won the regular season title last year but were upset in the opener. They’ll be cautious of a letdown this time around.

Long shot: Detroit Titans +350 (14-17, 7-9) – Detroit is sitting No. 5 in the tournament and no one ahead of them wants them to advance. The Titans have victories over Valparaiso, Cleveland State, and Oakland and was competitive in February with a 5-2 ATS record. Detroit is a dangerous 3-point threat at 39.1 percent in league games.

Metro Atlantic Athletic (March 5-9)

Favorite: Iona Gaels +120 (24-7, 17-3) – The Gaels can light up the scoreboard with an offense that posts 79.6 points per game – seventh in the country. Iona did, however, lay an egg in the season finale to St. Peter’s, marking the fourth straight game the Gaels have failed to cover.

Underdog: Rider Broncs +500 (21-10, 15-5) – Rider was one of the best bets during the regular season, going 17-9 ATS in its 26 lined games. The Broncs had a strong true road record at 11-4 and played some heavyweights in Kansas and Michigan State early in the year.

Long shot: Niagara Purple Eagles +300 (8-21, 7-13) – The Purple Eagles picked up half their wins in the final four games of the season, including a win over Rider, holding opponents to about 40 percent shooting. Niagara also played Iona to a one-point game, losing 80-79 at home. Momentum breeds upsets.

Missouri Valley Conference (March 5-8)

Favorite: Wichita State Shockers -300 (27-3, 17-1) – Wichita State is going dancing regardless of their tournament turnout. Wichita State proved it was top dog in the MVC with a convincing win over Northern Iowa and has covered in five straight heading into the postseason.

Underdog: Northern Iowa Panthers +250 (27-3, 16-2) – While UNI’s record is very close to WSU, Saturday’s 14-point defeat to the Shockers showed how much space is really between these programs. The Panthers give up just 54.6 points per game – fourth lowest in the country – and seemingly have an easier side of the bracket.

Long shot: Illinois State Redbirds +800 (15-15, 11-7) – With ranked rivals above them in the standings, Illinois State is giving great value in the MVC tournament. The Redbirds bring a four-game winning streak into the postseason and covered in both losses to Wichita State.

Northeast Conference (March 5,8,11)

Favorite: St. Francis (NY) Terriers (21-10, 15-3) – The Terriers limp into the postseason off a loss and a slim overtime victory in their final two games of the schedule. St. Francis has home court throughout the tournament, losing just one conference game in front of its fans.

Underdog: Robert Morris Colonials (16-14, 12-6) – Robert Morris takes a three-game roll into the tournament and was the lone Northeast team to come out of Peter Aquilone Court in Brooklyn with a victory. Rodney Pryor is playing the best basketball in the conference averaging 25.5 points in the last four games.

Long shot: Sacred Heart Pioneers (15-16, 9-9) – Sacred Heart closed the campaign with back-to-back wins and went 6-2 in its last eight games of the schedule. The Pioneers love to push the tempo, averaging 73.4 points on 72.3 possessions per game – running the 20th fastest tempo in college hoops.

Ohio Valley Conference (March 4-7)

Favorite: Murray State Racers -125 (26-4, 16-0) – The Racers were perfect in conference play but all that could be for nothing if Murray State can’t get the job done in the postseason. The Racers can put up the points - 78.8 per game – but do have flaws on defense and at the charity stripe.

Underdog: Belmont Bruins +260 (19-10, 11-5) – The Bruins earned the No. 3 seed in the tournament thanks to a late-season push that won four straight, including a victory over Eastern Kentucky. Belmont can also fill the stats sheet but hasn’t been its best away from home.

Long shot: Morehead State Eagles +260 (15-16, 10-6) – Morehead State also brings momentum into the postseason with three wins in a row. Those victories did come against the bottom half of the OVC East, but the Eagles have a swarming defense that turns mistakes into easy offense – forcing a league-high 14.9 turnovers per game.

Patriot League (March 3,5,8,11)

Favorite: Colgate Raiders +270 (15-16, 12-6) – Colgate finished as the No. 2 seed but has five wins in its last seven games, and those two losses have come by a combined three points. The Raiders also won both meetings with No. 1 Bucknell (+165) this season. This team can bring the rain from downtown, averaging 7.8 3-pointers per game on 40.2 percent shooting – ninth best in the country.

Underdog: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +425 (16-13, 10-8) – Lehigh takes on American U in Round 2, a team it beat in its last meeting, then would likely face Colgate in the semifinal. The Mountain Hawks have given the Raiders a tough go in their two clashes, and have a convincing win over No. 1 Bucknell. It could happen for the No. 3 seed.

Long shot: Lafayette Leopards +500 (17-12, 9-9) – The Leopards are dead eyes from downtown, shooting 40.3 percent from distance and knocking down almost eight 3-pointers per game. Lafayette ranks 26th in scoring at 75 points per game and took down Bucknell, Colgate and Lehigh this season.

Southern Conference (March 6-9)

Favorite: Wofford Terriers -125 (25-6, 16-2) – Wofford runs a very methodical offense, sucking almost every second off the shot clock. That’s helped the Terriers limit opponents to just 59.9 points per game. They bring a five-game winning streak into the postseason, going 4-1 ATS in that span.

Underdog: Chattanooga Mocs +300 (22-9, 15-3) – The Mocs run at a much quicker tempo than their Southern rivals, scoring 72.8 points per game. They won their last meeting at home versus Wofford and boast four players averaging double figures.

Long shot: Samford Bulldogs +1,500 (13-18, 6-12) – Samford has a tough slate of schedule to finish the season, playing five of its final seven games on the road. The Bulldogs went 3-4 in that span with a 5-2 ATS mark. Samford has a freshman star in Christen Cunningham, who is playing his best ball of the season.

Summit League (March 7-10)

Favorite: South Dakota State -110 /North Dakota State +500 (21-9, 12-4/20-9, 12-4) – Nearly identical records from these rivals. Since they’re seeding No. 1 and No. 2, there’s a very good chance we see them in the final. Both closed the regular season with a loss. They split the season series but No. 1 SDSU has the softer side of the bracket this March.

Underdog: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +500 (17-13, 10-6) – Oral Roberts took a win over NDSU last week and closed with a victory over Denver. The Golden Eagles are without standout guard Korey Billbury, who was suspended at the end of the year. And while they’ve done OK without him in those two games, they will miss him in the backcourt when the postseason pressure builds.

Long shot: IUPU - Ft. Wayne Mastodons +500 (16-13, 9-7) – The Mastodons have resume wins over North and South Dakota State and come into the postseason on an 8-2 run, going 9-1 ATs in that stretch. IPFW can win with offense or lock teams down on defense.

West Coast Conference (March 5-10)

Favorite: Gonzaga Bulldogs -300 (29-2, 17-1) – The Bulldogs are coming off a loss to BYU in the season finale, which probably cost them a shot at a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament. Gonzaga gets it done on both ends of the floor and that loss to the Cougars is likely a wake-up call for Mark Few’s squad.

Underdog: BYU Cougars +300 (23-8, 13-5) – The Cougars may have just punched their ticket to the Big Dance with that win over Gonzaga, and run the risk of a letdown in their opener. Brigham Young is the top scoring team in the country but doesn’t play much in the way of defense.

Long shot: Pepperdine Waves +1,000 (17-12, 10-8) – Behind the Zags, St, Mary’s and BYU, Pepperdine is playing in the shadows of those WCC heavyweights. The Waves won both games with the Cougars, knocked off the Gaels and gave the Bulldogs fits. They’ve held their last four opponents to an average of just 54 points.