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  • Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Some NFL trends to ponder, with Week 16 upon us........

    -- Patriots covered once in last eight games as a double digit favorite.

    -- Bucs covered eight of last 29 non-divisional home games.

    -- Oakland is 3-7 in last ten games as a home underdog.

    -- Chiefs covered 12 of last 17 non-divisional games.

    -- Cowboys are 7-24 as home favorites in Garrett era.

    -- Chicago is 2-10 in last dozen games as a divisional underdog.

    **********


    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here........

    13) Russell Wilson still only makes $667,000 from the Seahawks; haven’t heard much about this, but they have to have tried to sign him up to a long-term contract, right? He’s going to break the bank when his contract is up, one way or the other. Hard to believe they’d let him walk.

    12) Too bad about Bucks’ rookie Jabari Parker, who messed up his leg and is done for the year. Milwaukee is a fun team to watch with a good core of young players; this injury really hurts.

    11) Bears benched Jay Cutler for Jimmy Clausen? Really? Wonder what Packers think about that, since they’re tied for first place with Detroit, could use a Bears win. Inserting a new QB on a short work week usually doesn’t wind up going very well.

    10) Guy on ESPN the other night made a good point about how since the NCAA went with a softer, composite basketball, rather than a leather ball, now and then you see shots take odd bounces off the rim, especially the back rim and go in.

    9) Michigan offered Jim Harbaugh six years, $49M; they play 12 games a year, plus a bowl game. That’s a lot of cabbage to coach 13 games, but that must be how much money the Wolverines’ program generates when they’ve got it rolling. Been a while since they had it rolling.

    8) Islanders are 9-0 in overtime/shootouts this year, first team ever to win their first nine such games in a season; Blackhawks are 5-1, Edmonton is sadly 0-6, which helped cost their coach his job.

    7) Going to see Mark Wahlberg’s new movie The Gambler next week; I’m assuming this is a remake of James Caan’s 1974 movie, which was very good. One advantage of being retired from my day job will be matinee movies. Popcorn tastes better in the afternoon, although it is still ridiculously expensive.

    6) Angels still owe Josh Hamilton $83M over the next three years; ha!!!! Hamilton knocked in 128 runs in 2012, then knocked in a total of 123 the last two seasons, while missing 84 (25.9%) out of 324 Halo games.

    5) Of the 26 basketball teams in the AAC and ACC, only seven of them are in the top 200 in strength of schedule; they schedule stiffs in December because they know their conference schedule will be enough to raise their power ratings to acceptable levels. AAC is in danger of having one team in the NCAAs this season.

    4) Bo Pelini is an adult; therefore, he has to know that in this day and age, there is no such thing as a truly “private” meeting. What he said on his way out the door in Nebraska will hurt his chances of getting another D-I head coaching job and it could hurt him wherever he recruits.

    3) There is a new movie out called Wedding Ringer; the father-in-law in the movie is Ken Howard, who played Coach Reeves in The White Shadow, one of the all-time great TV shows. Haven’t seen him on TV much lately, but he is an excellent actor who nailed the part of a former NBA player who became a high school basketball coach in LA in the early 80’s.

    2) Listening to Hubie Brown on NBA telecasts is like taking an online course in basketball coaching; highly educational, he is still sharp as a tack and a pleasure to listen to. Learn a lot every game.

    1) When your football team is going to have its fifth coach in six years next season, the man who hired all those coaches comes under scrutiny, which is why Pitt fired AD Steve Pederson this week, after Paul Chryst bolted for Wisconsin (his alma mater).

    Pitt expects better than 6-6 from its once-storied football program, they’re going to have to hire the new AD before they hire a new coach which is going to cripple this year’s recruiting, unless they move very quickly.

    How odd is life? Pederson basically got fired because Gary Andersen surprisingly bolted Wisconsin for Oregon State. Chryst wouldn’t have left Pitt for any other job.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

      Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week:

      T6) Rams -4.5/Ravens -5.5-- Houston's starting QB was on Rams' practice squad six days ago; Ravens need the win.

      5) Cardinals +8-- Arizona is undefeated at home.

      4) Broncos, -3-- Cincinnati has struggled in primetime games.

      3) Panthers +1.5-- Manziel making first NFL road start.

      2) Vikings, +6.5-- Minnesota seems to play a close game every week.

      1) Lions -6.5-- Clausen has a 1-9 record as an NFL starter.

      Season record of six most popular picks each week: 51-29-1

      2013 season record of six most popular picks each week: 42-57-4

      **********

      Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

      13) Kentucky 83, UCLA 44-- Wildcats led 24-0; it was 41-7 at the half. This is same team that trailed Columbia and Buffalo at halftime. Kentucky has played much better against the bigger-name opponents.

      12) Get well soon, Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin, who was found to have a problem with an unruptured aneurysm. He's a lucky man; those things can be fatal. There is no word when Cronin can resume coaching.

      11) Villanova 82, Syracuse 77 OT--- Wildcats trailed by 15 in the first half, rallied to win a game Syracuse might need on Selection Sunday.

      10) Big East/FOX Sports1 have a great idea, starting league play with five consecutive games on New Year's Eve; they did it last year too. Get to see the whole league in one day without switching the channel.

      9) Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT-- Huh? Tigers are 2-8, losing by 40 at Gonzaga, 26 at Eastern Washington and Baylor. Terrible loss for the Spartans.

      8) Gotham Classic was an odd twinbill at Madison Square Garden; first game was Pepperdine-Richmond, nightcap was West Virginia-NC State. They had a crowd of 8,088 in the supposed "....Mecca of college basketball". They draw 10,000+ for the play-in games in Dayton. New York City is more of an NBA city.

      7) Gas is $1.99 a gallon in San Antonio; it is $2.89 here in upstate New York; we must be getting much higher quality gasoline, huh? Nah, probably not.

      6) Former Texas football coach Mack Brown is very good on TV; listened to him on the New Orleans Bowl Saturday. Former coaches generally make better analysts.

      5) Big day for some mid or low-majors Saturday: check out these upsets:
      -- Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT
      -- SC-Upstate 53, Mississippi State 51
      -- St Francis 73, Rutgers 68
      -- South Carolina State 71, Houston 63
      -- Lehigh 84, Arizona State 81, 3OT
      -- South Dakota State 68, Utah State 65 OT

      4) I missed the whole nine-year Stephen Colbert run; supposedly he is a funny guy who takes his talents to CBS now. Colbert was once an understudy for Steve Carell at Second City Chicago- he is the youngest of 11 children, two of whom died in a plane crash with their father. Lot of comics have sadness inside them.

      3) Roger Goodell announced there won't be an NFL team in Los Angeles next year, so that soap opera will continue next season. Supposedly for a new stadium to get built, two teams have to move, so they'll share the new stadium like Jets/Giants do in the New Jersey swamp.

      2) Redskins 27, Eagles 24-- Philly ran 30 more plays, gained 190 more yards, but had 13 penalties, while Washington had three. Sanchez has turned the ball over 13 times in seven games-- you cannot win that way. Eagles aren't dead yet, but they're close.

      1) Chargers 38, 49ers 35 OT-- Niners ran for 355 yards, led 28-7 at the half but lost with Rivers throwing ball for 356 yards. Gutty performance by the Chargers to stay alive in the playoff hunt. 49ers have fallen apart, losing last four games.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Sunday, December 21

        Hot Teams
        -- Raptors won their last five games (9-6 HF).
        -- Grizzlies won six of last seven games (3-1 AU).
        -- Celtics won last three games, covered eight of last ten (4-3 AU).
        -- Washington won ten of its last eleven games (4-2 last six HF). Suns won last two games after losing previous six (3-4 AU).
        -- Thunder won eight of last nine games (5-2 HF). Pelicans won five of last eight games (5-6 AU).

        Cold Teams
        -- Knicks lost 14 of their last 15 games (5-3 last eight AU).
        -- Cavaliers lost three of last five games, are 0-6 vs spread in last six.
        -- Detroit lost 16 of last 18 games (5-6 AU). Nets lost six of their last eight games (1-4 last five HF).
        -- Miami lost eight of its last eleven games (0-4-1 last five HF).
        -- 76ers lost their last five games (4-7 AU). Magic lost five of their last six games (1-1 HF).
        -- Lakers lost last two games by 1-19 points (6-3 last nine AU). Kings lost last five games (1-4 last five HF).
        -- Pacers lost ten of their last eleven games (4-3-1 F). Minnesota also lost ten of its last eleven (3-6 HU).

        Series Records
        -- Knicks are 5-3 in last eight visits to Toronto.
        -- Grizzlies won five of last six games vs (Lebron-less) Cavaliers.
        -- Nets won six of last nine games with Detroit.
        -- Heat won six of last nine games with Boston.
        -- Magic won six of last seven games with Philly.
        -- Wizards won three of last four games with Phoenix.
        -- Lakers won six of last seven games with Sacramento.
        -- Pacers won four of last six games with Minnesota.
        -- Pelicans won last two games vs Thunder, after losing previous ten.

        Totals
        -- Five of last six New York road games went over total.
        -- Four of last five Memphis road games went over.
        -- Five of last six Brooklyn home games stayed under; four of last five Detroit games went over.
        -- Six of last seven Miami home games went over.
        -- Seven of 76ers' last eight road games stayed under.
        -- Five of last six Washington home games stayed under.
        -- Four of last five Laker road games stayed under.
        -- Eight of last ten Indiana road games went over.
        -- Over is 8-1-1 in Oklahoma City home games.

        Back-to-Backs
        -- Knicks are 3-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
        -- Suns are 1-4 vs spread if they played night before.
        -- Indiana covered three of four on road if they played night before.
        -- Pelicans are 6-0 vs spread if they played night before.

        East vs West
        SU: West 90-48 ATS: West 74-64
        East teams HF vs West: 17-22
        East teams HU vs West: 16-22
        West teams HF vs East: 23-29
        West teams HU vs East: 7-2
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA

          Sunday, December 21

          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          3:30 PM
          NEW YORK vs. TORONTO
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
          New York is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
          Toronto is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against New York

          4:30 PM
          MEMPHIS vs. CLEVELAND
          Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
          Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

          6:00 PM
          BOSTON vs. MIAMI
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Miami
          Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
          Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

          6:00 PM
          DETROIT vs. BROOKLYN
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
          Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
          Brooklyn is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit

          6:00 PM
          LA LAKERS vs. SACRAMENTO
          The total has gone OVER in 14 of the LA Lakers last 20 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing Sacramento
          The total has gone OVER in 14 of Sacramento's last 20 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
          Sacramento is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

          6:00 PM
          PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Washington
          Phoenix is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home

          6:00 PM
          PHILADELPHIA vs. ORLANDO
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Orlando
          Philadelphia is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games at home
          Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

          7:00 PM
          INDIANA vs. MINNESOTA
          Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Indiana is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
          Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
          Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

          7:00 PM
          NEW ORLEANS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
          New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games at home
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NBA

            Sunday, December 21


            Deron Williams, Brooklyn - Doub Sun

            Williams left Friday's game with a right calf strain and did not return. He is not expected to play Sunday against the Pistons.


            Zach Randolph, Memphis - Ques Sun

            Randolph is dealing with swelling in his right knee and is questionable for Sunday's game against the Cavaliers.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NBA
              Long Sheet

              Sunday, December 21

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NEW YORK (5 - 24) at TORONTO (21 - 6) - 12/21/2014, 3:35 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MEMPHIS (21 - 5) at CLEVELAND (15 - 10) - 12/21/2014, 4:35 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
              MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
              2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              DETROIT (5 - 22) at BROOKLYN (10 - 15) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BROOKLYN is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (10 - 14) at MIAMI (12 - 15) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
              MIAMI is 108-145 ATS (-51.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
              MIAMI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BOSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
              MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PHILADELPHIA (2 - 23) at ORLANDO (10 - 19) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              PHILADELPHIA is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
              ORLANDO is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
              ORLANDO is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
              ORLANDO is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              ORLANDO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
              ORLANDO is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
              7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PHOENIX (14 - 14) at WASHINGTON (19 - 6) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              PHOENIX is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 329-397 ATS (-107.7 Units) in home games since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
              WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              LA LAKERS (8 - 18) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 15) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LA LAKERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              SACRAMENTO is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
              SACRAMENTO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              LA LAKERS is 7-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
              LA LAKERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              INDIANA (8 - 19) at MINNESOTA (5 - 20) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              INDIANA is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
              INDIANA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
              MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
              MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
              MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
              2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NEW ORLEANS (13 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 14) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

                Six of the more intriguing games on the Week 17 NFL card

                -- Panthers @ Falcons-- Winner gets to playoffs with sub-.500 record.

                -- Lions @ Packers-- Detroit's last win at Lambeau was in 1991.

                -- Bengals @ Steelers-- Winner takes AFC North title; both are in playoffs.

                -- Chargers @ Chiefs-- San Diego gets into playoffs with a win; KC needs a win and some help to get in.

                -- Bills @ Patriots-- NE is #1 seed in AFC; will Brady/Gronkowski play?

                -- Rams @ Seahawks-- Seattle wins NFC West if they avenge an earlier loss.


                **********

                Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Random stuff on a rainy day......

                13) Bengals 37, Broncos 28-- Cincy is in playoffs after this rainy win, which also clinched #1 seed in AFC for New England. Peyton Manning looked old in this game.

                12) Temple 77, Kansas 52-- Huh? Owls lost to UNLV, St Joe's two mediocre teams, but they spanked the young Jayhawks here.

                11) Providence 76, Miami 62-- Hurricanes had been unbeaten but have now lost three of their last four games. Good win for the Big East here.

                Oklahoma had a 39-0 run in its win over Weber State, which apparently is down this year. Weber is usually one of the better teams in the Big Sky Conference.

                10) Oregon 82, UCSB 78 OT-- For what I pay for DirecTV, they should carry the damn Pac-12 Network. Ducks are 9-3. Gauchos are a little disappointing.

                9) Gardner-Webb 89, Purdue 84-- Runnin' Bulldogs from Boiling Springs, NC have wins over Clemson, Purdue, also have a loss to #340 Jacksonville- they're 8th-worst free throw shooting team in America, at 58.3%. .

                8) Loyola Marymount has kids from six different countries on its basketball team this year. It is unfair to compare current LMU teams to the Kimble/Gathers team from the late 80's that made the Elite 8-- those two went to USC originally and transferred to Loyola after a coaching change with the Trojans.

                7) Memphis 55, BYU 48 OT-- First Miami Beach Bowl had a thrilling end followed by a vicious brawl; do these nitwits realize the games are televised, so everything they do is on film? If you see the replay, check out #61 on Memphis, who looks around at the fisticuffs, quickly puts his helmet on and adjusts the chinstrap. Smart man.

                Jake Elliott is the Memphis kicker; he drilled a 54-yarder in OT to keep Memphis alive; ball hit the net, might have been good from 64 yards. Clutch kick.

                6) Colorado State replaced Jim McElwain with former Georgia QB Mike Bobo, who was most recently the Dawgs' OC. Hard for a Mountain West school to keep a good coach; if he wins big, the megabucks schools start calling and the mid-major has to go head-hunting all over again. .

                5) Detroit Pistons cut Josh Smith, despite still owing him $26M for the rest of his contract. You know a coach has clout when he convinces management to eat $26M.

                4) NFL suspended Lions' OL Dominic Raiola for stomping on another opponent this week; Detroit has to be relieved he didn't get suspended for two games, second of which would've been a playoff game. Last time the Lions won in Green Bay, the QB for Green Bay was Mike Tomczak and I still had most of my hair.

                3) NFL teams who won field position by 10+ yards are 84-4 this season.

                2) Seattle Seahawks won their last five games by a combined score of 114-33, but I do not think they're winning this Super Bowl. Its been nine years since the defending Super Bowl champ even won one playoff game.

                1) Think about Russell Wilson being a 3rd round draft pick, just like Joe Montana was; Tom Brady was a 6th-round pick, Kurt Warner wasn't even drafted, while Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick in the whole draft. Scouting is an inexact science, for sure.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Long Sheet

                  Tuesday, December 23

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  BOSTON (10 - 15) at ORLANDO (10 - 20) - 12/23/2014, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  ORLANDO is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                  ORLANDO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                  ORLANDO is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                  ORLANDO is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                  ORLANDO is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  BOSTON is 7-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                  BOSTON is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CHICAGO (18 - 9) at WASHINGTON (19 - 7) - 12/23/2014, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  CHICAGO is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 329-398 ATS (-108.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
                  WASHINGTON is 77-116 ATS (-50.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  WASHINGTON is 9-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  WASHINGTON is 8-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  NEW ORLEANS (14 - 13) at INDIANA (9 - 19) - 12/23/2014, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  INDIANA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                  INDIANA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                  INDIANA is 143-103 ATS (+29.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  INDIANA is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                  INDIANA is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  MINNESOTA (5 - 21) at CLEVELAND (16 - 10) - 12/23/2014, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
                  MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
                  MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
                  MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                  MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                  CLEVELAND is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                  CLEVELAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                  MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  DENVER (12 - 16) at BROOKLYN (11 - 15) - 12/23/2014, 7:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PHILADELPHIA (3 - 23) at MIAMI (13 - 15) - 12/23/2014, 7:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                  MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  LA CLIPPERS (19 - 9) at ATLANTA (20 - 7) - 12/23/2014, 7:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                  ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                  2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PORTLAND (22 - 7) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 15) - 12/23/2014, 8:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CHARLOTTE (9 - 19) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 14) - 12/23/2014, 8:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  CHARLOTTE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
                  MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
                  MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
                  MILWAUKEE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                  MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                  CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
                  CHARLOTTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                  CHARLOTTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                  CHARLOTTE is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  DALLAS (20 - 9) at PHOENIX (15 - 14) - 12/23/2014, 9:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  PHOENIX is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                  PHOENIX is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                  PHOENIX is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                  PHOENIX is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                  PHOENIX is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                  PHOENIX is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 110-87 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 281-230 ATS (+28.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 169-125 ATS (+31.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                  DALLAS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                  DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  GOLDEN STATE (23 - 3) at LA LAKERS (8 - 19) - 12/23/2014, 10:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                  GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                  6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Tuesday, December 23

                    Hot Teams
                    -- Charlotte won last two games by 7-18 points (4-5 HF). Nuggets won last two games by 3 points each (1-4 last five AU).
                    -- Portland won its last five games (4-1 last five AU).
                    -- Bulls won eight of last eleven games (3-7 H). Toronto won its last six games (8-3 A).
                    -- Atlanta won 12 of last 13 games, covered eight of last ten (5-0 last five AU). Mavericks won last three games (1-5 last six HF).
                    -- Clippers won three of last four games, but lost last three on road.
                    -- Warriors won 17 of last 18 games (6-3 HF).

                    Cold Teams
                    -- Rockets lost last two games, by 9-7 points (3-6 last nine HF).
                    -- Utah lost 13 of last 16 games, but covered four of last five. Memphis lost last two games, by 6-14 points (5-3 last eight HF).
                    -- Spurs lost last three games, last two both in triple OT (4-8 HF).
                    -- Kings lost five of last six games (7-2 AU).

                    Series Records
                    -- Hornets beat Denver twice LY, by 3-7 points, after losing previous four games with Nuggets.
                    -- Portland beat Houston in six games in playoffs LY, with four of the six games decided by one point or in OT.
                    -- Grizzlies won seven of last eight games with Utah.
                    -- Bulls won 11 of their last 16 games with Toronto.
                    -- Mavericks are 5-3 in last eight games with Atlanta.
                    -- Clippers lost five of last six games with San Antonio.
                    -- Warriors won last five games with Sacramento.

                    Totals
                    -- Seven of last nine Charlotte home games went over; six of Denver's last eight road games stayed under.
                    -- 12 of 14 Houston home games stayed under total.
                    -- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Memphis home games.
                    -- Over is 8-2-1 in Toronto's road games.
                    -- Seven of last eight Atlanta road games went over total.
                    -- Over is 9-2-2 in Clipper road games.
                    -- Five of last six Golden State home games stayed under.

                    Back-to-Backs
                    -- Memphis is 1-2 vs spread if it played night before.
                    -- Raptors are 4-1 vs spread if they played night before.
                    -- Sacramento is 2-2 vs spread if it played night before.

                    East vs West
                    SU: West 91-50 ATS: West 75-66
                    East teams HF vs West: 18-23
                    East teams HU vs West: 16-22
                    West teams HF vs East: 23-29
                    West teams HU vs East: 7-3
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NBA

                      Tuesday, December 23

                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      7:00 PM
                      MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
                      Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                      Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                      Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

                      7:00 PM
                      NEW ORLEANS vs. INDIANA
                      New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
                      New Orleans is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games at home
                      Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

                      7:00 PM
                      CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
                      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington
                      The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games when playing Washington
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chicago
                      Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

                      7:00 PM
                      BOSTON vs. ORLANDO
                      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Boston's last 21 games when playing on the road against Orlando
                      Boston is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
                      Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
                      Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

                      7:30 PM
                      PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
                      Philadelphia is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
                      Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                      Miami is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                      7:30 PM
                      LA CLIPPERS vs. ATLANTA
                      LA Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
                      LA Clippers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Atlanta
                      Atlanta is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home

                      7:30 PM
                      DENVER vs. BROOKLYN
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
                      Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games at home
                      Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

                      8:00 PM
                      PORTLAND vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
                      Portland is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
                      Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                      Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
                      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oklahoma City's last 15 games when playing at home against Portland

                      8:00 PM
                      CHARLOTTE vs. MILWAUKEE
                      Charlotte is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
                      Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
                      Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Charlotte
                      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games

                      9:00 PM
                      DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
                      Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                      Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                      Phoenix is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
                      Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                      10:30 PM
                      GOLDEN STATE vs. LA LAKERS
                      Golden State is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
                      LA Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
                      LA Lakers are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games at home
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • LeBron set for Christmas game at Miami

                        December 24, 2014

                        MIAMI (AP) - LeBron James doesn't have any apprehension for this homecoming.

                        There's nothing to fear, no real worries about his safety, unlike what awaited him the last time he had one of these return games. Then again, this might not even classify as a homecoming - because, it turns out, Miami was never truly his home, just a place he called home for four years while playing with the Heat.

                        He came. He won. He left.

                        On Thursday, James returns to face the Heat, the team that turned him from a superstar to a two-time NBA champion superstar. And as he and the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare for what will certainly be an emotional Christmas visit, James said he's expecting to be flooded with positive vibes.

                        ''To say I haven't thought about going back, I would be lying,'' James said in Cleveland on Tuesday night after he and the Cavaliers beat Minnesota. ''It's going to be great to be back in that building around those unbelievable fans and the memories will definitely come back, being a part of the organization for four years.''

                        For their part, the Heat insist that they're looking forward to the reunion.

                        It goes without saying that some in the organization were angry when James left this past summer, in large part because of how long it took him to tell Miami that he would not be returning. But the building has hardly been scrubbed of reminders: Heat coach Erik Spoelstra still has photos of James in his office, and huge prints of some of his most memorable moments still adorn the walls of ''Championship Alley'' - the hallway leading from the Miami locker room.

                        James remains in contact with some Heat players, and his close friendship with Dwyane Wade continues.

                        ''It hasn't changed,'' Wade said. ''It won't change. ... We have a great friendship and great respect for each other. It won't change.''

                        The homecoming drama was so different four years ago.

                        When James returned to Cleveland on Dec. 2, 2010, for the first time after signing as a free agent with Miami, the city that adopted the Akron native as one of its own turned on him. He was booed incessantly by Cavs fans who felt that he had betrayed them despite seven great seasons.

                        The Heat won that night. And they knew they would never face an atmosphere that daunting again.

                        ''It was just us,'' James said.

                        James has spent the past few days downplaying his return to South Florida, but the four-time MVP has found himself reminiscing about what he accomplished alongside Wade, Udonis Haslem, Chris Bosh, Mario Chalmers and those former Heat teammates who remain in Miami.

                        They became a family, and for James, family is everything.

                        ''I'm one person who understands being home, being able to stay home and making sacrifices to be home,'' said Haslem, a Miami native who has spent his entire NBA career there despite the chance to make more elsewhere. ''I've done it my whole career and I can't fault him for that. We had a great four years together, we had a lot of success together and we'll continue to be friends.''

                        Like James, Haslem is downplaying the Heat vs. James story line. After all, they've already played once - at Brazil, in the preseason.

                        ''It ain't about Bron,'' Haslem said. ''It ain't about beating Cleveland because he left to go to Cleveland. It's about the Miami Heat against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and we'd want to win that game whether it was last year's Cleveland Cavaliers who won 25 games or whatever, or this year's Cleveland Cavaliers who everyone thinks are going to win it all.''

                        It's anyone's guess what crowd reaction awaits.

                        Some will boo. Some will cheer. Some will probably do both.

                        The Heat will honor James with a video tribute that's planned for one of the early timeouts, as they do with many returning players, and will have another for former Miami guard James Jones.

                        ''I don't really get involved in what to expect,'' James said. ''My job is to go down there and win a basketball game and live in the moment.''

                        There was scorn when James left this past summer, of course. Some fans felt like James could have at least publicly thanked Heat fans who welcomed him in 2010, though it could also be argued that those fans getting to enjoy four consecutive trips to the NBA Finals were thanks enough.

                        But it was nothing like the venom that came from Cleveland when he left there in 2010, and that's why whatever scene awaits James when he takes the court for warmups around 4:40 p.m. on Thursday won't come remotely close to matching that avalanche of negativity when Miami visited the Cavaliers for the first time four years ago.

                        ''It's a different blow when you lose the best player in the world,'' Haslem said. ''But life goes on. Basketball goes on.''
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • Cavaliers center Varejao out for season

                          December 24, 2014

                          CLEVELAND (AP) - A person familiar with the injury says Cavaliers starting center Anderson Varejao tore his Achilles tendon and will miss the rest of the season.

                          Varejao was injured in Wednesday night's win over Minnesota, and an MRI confirmed the tear, said the person who spoke Wednesday to the Associated Press on condition of anonymity because the team has not released information on the injury.

                          Varejao was positioning under the basket for a rebound in the third quarter when he crumpled to the floor in pain. He was assisted off the floor and left Quicken Loans Arena following the game on crutches with his leg in an immobilizing air cast.

                          With Varejao out, Tristan Thompson will likely move into a starting role and the Cavs will sharpen their pursuit of another big man.

                          Varejao, who signed a three-year, $30 million contract extension in October, averaged 9.8
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • Christmas Tips - Early Action

                            December 24, 2014


                            The NBA continues its annual tradition of playing on Christmas this Thursday as 10 teams take to the hardwood. The matchups were set back in the summer and the league tries to do its best job to have competitive games, plus they lean to bigger markets too.

                            Handicapping these games isn’t easy but there a couple trends that might help your leans for this year’s holiday card. Listed below are the outcomes and betting results for the 15 games played on Christmas the past three seasons.

                            2013

                            Chicago (+4) 95 at Brooklyn 78 - Under 189
                            Oklahoma City (-10.5) 123 at New York 94 - Over 201
                            Miami (-9.5) 101 at L.A. Lakers 95 - Under 206
                            Houston (+8) 111 at San Antonio - Under 212
                            L.A. Clippers 103 at Golden State (-3) 105 - Over 207

                            Home/Away: 1-4
                            Favorites/Dogs: 3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS
                            Total (O/U): 2-3

                            2012

                            Boston (+2.5) 93 at Brooklyn 76 - Under 184
                            New York 94 at L.A. Lakers (-4) 100 - Under 211
                            Oklahoma City 97 at Miami (-2.5) 103 - Under 203.5
                            Houston (+4.5) 120 at Chicago 97 - Over 198
                            Denver 100 at L.A. Clippers (-6.5) 120 - Over 204.5

                            Home/Away: 3-2
                            Favorites/Dogs: 3-2 SU. 3-2 ATS
                            Total (O/U): 2-3

                            2011

                            Boston 104 at New York (-5) 106 - Over 191
                            Miami (-4.5) 105 at Dallas 94 - Over 189
                            Chicago (-4.5) 88 at L.A. Lakers 87 - Under 183.5
                            Orlando 89 at Oklahoma City (-7.5) 97 - Under 194.5
                            L.A. Clippers (-6) 105 at Golden State 86 - Under 191

                            Home/Away: 2-3
                            Favorites/Dogs: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS
                            Total (O/U): 2-3

                            Based on the above sample, it appears that playing away from home isn’t as tough as expected on the holiday with visitors owning a 9-6 mark the last three seasons on X-Mas.

                            During this same span, favorites have prospered to an 11-4 record but they only managed to go 8-7 against the spread.

                            Total bettors have watched the ‘under’ produce a 9-6 record the last three years on Christmas.

                            Similar to past seasons, we have two early games followed by an evening matchup and the late-night double-header.

                            With that being said, let’s break down the first two games and hope you and yours have a Merry Christmas.

                            Washington at New York (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

                            The Wizards (19-8 SU, 11-16 ATS) and Knicks (5-25 SU, 12-18 ATS) will tip off the holiday festivities from Madison Square Garden. In early August, oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag released X-Mas Props and they had New York listed as a one-point favorite in this matchup.

                            Fast forward to December and the Wizards are now 6 ½-point road favorites, which is fair. Washington has been a solid team all season while New York has been an embarrassment, especially at home (3-12 SU, 4-11 ATS).

                            NBA expert Kevin Rogers believes Washington is a good team but be careful with the club on the road.

                            “The Wizards have played 10 of the past 13 games at home, while failing to cover their last three road contests. Washington has cleaned up against below .500 competition on the highway, winning six of eight times, but is 4-3 ATS as a road favorite. However, the Knicks have dropped seven straight home games, while breaking the 100-point mark just twice in 15 games at the Garden this season,” explained Rogers.

                            The Wizards have won and covered four straight encounters against the Knicks, which includes a 98-83 road win earlier this season on Nov. 4 as 1 ½-point underdogs.

                            The ‘under’ has cashed in three of four during this span and total bettors are looking at a number of 194 ½ on Thursday. As Rogers mentioned, New York can’t score at home and that’s helped the ‘under’ produce a 10-4 record.

                            New York has played the most games (22-27) on Christmas and they haven’t fared well. Washington is a respectable 14-7 but it hasn’t been featured on the holiday since 2008.

                            Oklahoma City at San Antonio (ABC, 2:30 p.m. ET)

                            The Spurs (18-11 SU, 14-15 ATS) defeated the Thunder (13-16 SU, 15-14 ATS) in six games of last year’s Western Conference finals in a series that was somewhat marred by injuries (Serge Ibaka).

                            Unfortunately for fans and bettors, injuries could play a role for the first meeting between the two teams this season. OKC forward Kevin Durant (ankle) has missed the last three games and is ‘questionable’ for Thursday. For the Spurs, they could be without Kawhi Leonard (hand) for the holiday. He’s missed four straight for San Antonio, who has dropped three of those games.

                            Without knowing the status of these players, it’s tough to handicap this matchup. We asked Kevin Rogers for his take and he looked at last year’s results in the regular season and playoffs.

                            He said, “The Thunder have always played the Spurs tough, sweeping them in the four-game regular season series last year. However, San Antonio blew out OKC in three home games, while the only underdog cover in the series came in the Game 6 clincher at Oklahoma City. In the three home playoff wins, the Spurs put up 112, 122, and 117 points, while knocking down 35 three-pointers in those victories.”

                            The Thunder started the season 5-12 without Durant. Since he debuted in early December, Oklahoma City won seven of first eight games. And after he tweaked his ankle, they’ve dropped three of four.

                            The Spurs have gone 9-4 SU and 5-8 ATS at home this season and have been struggling lately, losing three of their last five at the AT&T Center.

                            San Antonio has gone 4-5 in Christmas Day games while Oklahoma City is 3-12 but most of those games were played when the team was formerly known as the Seattle SuperSonics.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • Christmas Tips - Late Action

                              December 24, 2014

                              Cavaliers at Heat – 5:30 PM EST

                              The obvious storyline on Christmas is LeBron James making his return to South Florida after opting out of his contract in July to sign with Cleveland. However, this much of a drop-off with the four-time defending Eastern Conference champion Heat is staggering, as Miami has started 13-16 in the post-LeBron era, while coming off their most embarrassing loss of the season.

                              The Heat blew a 23-point third quarter lead in a 91-87 setback to the 76ers, who entered the game with just three wins in their first 26 tries. Miami was limited to nine points in the final quarter, as Chris Bosh sat out his sixth straight contest with a calf strain (2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS). Bosh is questionable for Thursday’s game, as the Heat is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a home underdog this season, which includes back-to-back covers against the Celtics and Wizards in this role.

                              The Cavaliers have had their ups and downs in their first season back with James, owning a 17-10 record, as Cleveland has won four of its previous five games since back-to-back losses at Oklahoma City and New Orleans. David Blatt’s team blew out the Timberwolves on Tuesday, 125-104 as 14-point favorites to improve to 11-5 at Quicken Loans Arena. Kevin Love put up 20 points and 10 rebounds in his first game against his former team, just the second cover in the past eight contests for the Cavaliers.

                              Chris David gives his spin on this matchup, “Bettors should be real careful playing the emotional angle for this game, especially with the Heat. Most of us would like to believe that Miami will get up for this game but it’s hard for me to back a team that has been embarrassing to watch at home this season. Scoring just nine points in the fourth quarter in Tuesday’s loss to the 76ers was pathetic and I’m being nice. To put things in perspective, Miami is 5-10 at home this season. Last year, they were 32-9 and two years prior 37-4 at American Airlines Arena.”

                              The Cavs are 0-3 ATS this season on the road off a home win, while posting a 2-5 ATS record as an away favorite. Anderson Varejao is done for the season after tearing his Achilles’ tendon, as Cleveland looks to snap a 10-game losing streak to Miami dating back to 2012.

                              Lakers at Bulls – 8:00 PM EST

                              Chicago returns home looking for its 20th win of the season, as the Bulls try to maintain their hold atop the Central Division. Tom Thibodeau’s club is riding a four-game winning streak, coming off a solid back-to-back sweep of the Raptors and Wizards. The 99-91 victory at Washington on Tuesday had extra meaning for the Bulls, who were eliminated in the opening round by the Wizards this past spring.

                              The Lakers upset the Warriors as 10-point home underdogs on Tuesday without Kobe Bryant, 115-105 to end a three-game skid. Los Angeles spread out the scoring as Bryant rested, as seven players put up double-figures, while the team shot 52% from the floor. In each of the past four games, Byron Scott’s squad has cashed the ‘over,’ while the Lakers have won each their last three openers to start a road trip of at least two games, including victories at Atlanta and San Antonio of 8 ½ points or higher.

                              David believes that the total is a strong look in the Windy City, “While I would lean to Chicago as the side, I believe there is more value with the total. This year’s Bulls squad has improved immensely on offense, averaging 103 PPG compared to 93 PPG. The scoring has helped the ‘over’ go 15-12, which includes a 9-2 mark at the United Center. The Lakers are the worst defensive team (109 PPG) in the league and they still like to play fast, ranked second in attempts per game (87.1). As long as L.A. doesn’t go ice cold from the floor, both teams should easily see triple digits in this game.”

                              The Bulls have struggled as a home favorite of 9 ½ points or more this season, covering just twice in six opportunities. The Lakers have dropped five of the past six meetings in the series, while losing three straight visits to the United Center. Chicago opened up as 8 ½-point favorites when this line came out in August at Sportsbook.ag, as the adjustment for Thursday from the oddsmakers was just two points.

                              Warriors at Clippers – 10:30 PM EST

                              Golden State and Los Angeles played a heated first round playoff series this past spring as the Clippers eliminated the Warriors in seven games. This season, the Warriors picked up a modicum of revenge with a 121-104 blowout of the Clippers at Oracle Arena in November as five-point favorites. The home team has won eight of the past 10 meetings between these Pacific Division rivals, while Golden State has covered five of the previous seven matchups when listed as an underdogs.

                              The Clippers should be happy to return home following back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Hawks, as Los Angeles has dropped four consecutive road contests. Doc Rivers’ team has won seven straight games at Staples Center since the start of December, but only victory came against a squad that is currently above .500 (Phoenix). Since covering five consecutive games in late November and early December, the Clips have stumbled to a 2-8 ATS record the past 10 games.

                              The Warriors suffered just their fourth loss in 27 games this season in Tuesday’s 115-105 setback to the Lakers. Since winning 10 straight road games, Golden State has lost each of its past two contests away from Oracle Arena, while owning a 2-2 ATS record in the road underdog role. Steve Kerr’s club has won four of six away games against teams owning .500 records or better, including victories at Portland, Houston, and Dallas.

                              David mentions that backing the road team may be the way to go, “I do like the revenge angle for L.A. because this series has become very hostile at times. However, if your handicapping style relies heavily on current form, then you shouldn’t be backing the Clippers in this spot. Los Angeles is 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS in its last eight games and the defense has been a mess during this stretch. In the seven games they failed to cover, they gave up 100-plus in every game. It’s very possible they step up on the holiday but I would be very hesitant.”
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • As Warriors rise, so does Curry's stardom

                                December 24, 2014

                                OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry was driving in a car with his wife, Ayesha, over the summer when they put on a song by a popular rapper that everybody had been telling them to play.

                                ''Been Steph Curry with the shot,'' Drake called out in the song ''0 to 100.''

                                The stunned couple looked at each other, smiled and broke out in laughter.

                                ''It was pretty cool,'' Curry said.

                                Sure, fans voted him into the All-Star Game as a starter, media selected him second-team All-NBA and a major car insurance company created a fictional twin for a popular commercial series last season. But the shoutout from a renowned recording artist might have been the moment Curry realized he had truly made it big.

                                As his stardom continues to rise, Curry is still surprised by the celebrity treatment - even though nobody else is.

                                Coaches, players and executives have taken notice of the growth in Curry's game by strategizing everything they do around him. Marketers in the NBA league office and sponsors across the country have, too, putting his boyish face on national television and social media advertisements to promote their brands.

                                And with the Warriors (23-4) atop the NBA standings, Curry's case for MVP is starting to echo around the league as loud as the chants do nightly at rowdy Oracle Arena.

                                Another chance to showcase his skills comes Thursday night, when Curry and the Warriors visit Chris Paul and the rival Los Angeles Clippers on Christmas for what might be the best game on the biggest day of the NBA regular season.

                                ''There's big moments throughout the course of the season that you enjoy,'' Curry said, ''and you have fun showing what you can do.''

                                This is one of them.

                                Paul, the lead man in those commercials, has been considered among the best point guards for years. Curry, long labeled ''just a shooter,'' has added to his repertoire - and stayed healthy - each of the past three seasons to enter the debate alongside Tony Parker, Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Mike Conley and others.

                                While the qualifying criteria might be a matter of preference, this much is indisputable: nobody is running the show the way Curry is for the Warriors now.

                                In a game dominated by big men and played by some of the world's greatest athletes, the 6-foot-3, 190-pound Curry controls the flow without physically overpowering defenders. His shooting stroke can seem unstoppable at times, and when he gets going, nobody can seem to slow him down.

                                ''His range is unlimited. Like, literally, when he crosses half court - 30, 35 footers are like layups,'' Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks said before Curry had 34 points, nine assists and seven rebounds in a 114-109 win over the Thunder last week.

                                Cleveland's LeBron James and reigning NBA MVP Kevin Durant are among those who already have called Curry the best shooter of their generation. In the next breath, they also credit Curry for improving his all-around game.

                                The process began when Curry returned for his senior season at tiny Davidson College. He has gone from a shooting guard who dazzled during the NCAA tournament to a polished professional point guard who can dribble and distribute with the best of them.

                                Even before Curry's evolution, first-year Warriors coach Steve Kerr saw the potential. As general manager of the Phoenix Suns, Kerr tried to orchestrate a draft-night trade in 2009 to acquire Curry from Golden State.

                                ''We were watching Steve Nash every night in Phoenix as a 6-1 point guard who could shoot and pass, and Steph looked like another version of Steve,'' Kerr said. ''They're different. Steph's more offensive-minded. Steve was more of a playmaker first. But the skillset is very similar, just the incredible hand-eye coordination and the ability to beat you with the pass, the dribble and the shot is a pretty rare combination.''

                                Nearly three years since the Warriors sent combo guard Monta Ellis to Milwaukee for center Andrew Bogut, Curry has blossomed with Klay Thompson to form arguably the NBA's best backcourt.

                                Curry is averaging 23.4 points, 7.7 assists, 5.0 rebounds and two steals this season. He's also becoming a pest for Golden State's smothering defense after being challenged by Kerr to guard his position - a major shift from the past few years under former coach Mark Jackson, who usually used Thompson to defend elite point guards.

                                ''He's awesome to play alongside with, he knows when to pass and take the big shots,'' said Thompson, who teamed with Curry to help the U.S. win gold at the FIBA World Cup in Spain this summer. ''He should definitely be mentioned in the MVP talks with the way he has been playing.''

                                Getting to that level often requires attention away from the court, and Curry is starting to get his share of it.

                                He left shoe giant Nike for a lucrative deal with Under Armour in 2013. He moved into the top five of the NBA's most-sold jerseys at the end of last season. And in November, Sports Illustrated named Curry one of the top 100 sports figures to follow on Twitter.

                                Henry Schafer, executive vice president of The Q Scores Company, said Curry's popularity stacks up with the NBA's most notable names.

                                Q Scores measure awareness and likability, assigning an overall value that provides a gauge for marketers who are seeking celebrity endorsers. In the latest figures taken this year, Curry had a 53 percent awareness among sports fans and a 26 Q Score, Schafer said.

                                Only Durant and San Antonio's Tim Duncan had a higher Q Score (29) for an NBA player. James had the highest awareness at 82 percent among sports fans with a 25 Q Score.

                                Curry also had a 21 percent awareness rating and a 19 Q Score among the general population, Schafer said. The average general Q Score is 15 for sports personalities.

                                ''What that signals is as his awareness grows in and out of the sport,'' Schafer said, ''he looks like he has the potential to become more of an athlete that's transcending basketball.''
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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