KANSAS CITY is 7-21 SU (-18.9 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.
PITTSBURGH is 6-14 SU (-14.6 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.
WASHINGTON is 17-28 SU (-18.3 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
DETROIT is 17-7 SU (14.4 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current ...
TEXAS are 6-17 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of t...
BALTIMORE is 36-59 SU (-28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.
TAMPA BAY is 50-25 SU (25.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-21 SU (-18.9 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-22 SU (29.9 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.
LA ANGELS are 36-53 SU (-29.1 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.
ARIZONA is 38-55 SU (-21.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.
SEATTLE is 53-26 SU (20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.
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Monday’s 6-pack
Six interesting college games this week:
— Notre Dame @ Wisconsin (-6)
— Texas A&M (-6) @ Arkansas
— Clemson (-10) @ NC State
— UCLA @ Stanford (-4.5)
— Louisville (-2.5) @ Florida State
— Kentucky (-5) @ South Carolina
Quote of the Day
“Offensively, in particular, that’s as poor as we’ve been in a long time around here, and that starts with me. We’ve gotta do a better job going in. Our protection plan wasn’t good enough. But it had nothing to do with us being short-handed with coaches or us being away or the COVID [situation].”
Saints’ coach Sean Payton
Monday’s quiz
Who was the Baltimore Ravens’ coach before John Harbaugh?
Hint: He won a Super Bowl
Sunday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, Thomas Magnum grew up in Virginia.
Saturday’s quiz
Sun Bowl football game is played in El Paso every December.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Baltimore 36, Kansas City 35:
— Chiefs averaged 8.3 yards/play; only 6 of their 49 plays were on 3rd down.
— KC turned ball over on two of their last three drives.
— Chiefs were outgained by 68 yards/game in first two games.
— Kelce caught 7 passes for 109 yards and a TD.
— Jackson ran 16 times for 107 yards, threw for 239 yards.
— On their last six drives, Ravens scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— Last 5+ years, Baltimore is 5-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Ravens snapped a 4-game skid vs Kansas City.
Arizona 34, Minnesota 33
— Vikings missed 37-yard FG at gun; they also missed a PAT.
— Vikings’ first four drives: 23 plays, 242 yards, 20 points.
— Vikings’ last seven drives: 40 plays, 176 yards, 6 points.
— Minnesota lost first two games by total of four points.
— Arizona scored 72 points in winning its first two games.
— Redbirds scored nine TD’s on 23 drives in two games.
— Murray threw for 400 yards and three TD’s.
— Matt Prater drilled a 62-yard FG for the Cardinals.
Tampa Bay 48, Atlanta 25:
— Falcons gave up 80 points in losing first two games.
— Atlanta has been outscored 44-15 in 2nd half of games.
— Tampa Bay had 13-yard edge in field position.
— Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 8-13 ATS as road underdog.
— Buccaneers won first two games, scoring 79 points.
— Brady threw for 276 yards, five TD’s in this game.
— Three of their five TD drives were less than 50 yards.
— Tampa Bay had two pick-6’s in 4th quarter.
Tennessee 33, Seattle 30, OT
— Tennessee outscored Seahawks 17-0 over final 17:32 of game.
— Henry ran ball for 182 yards, three TD’s.
— Julio Jones caught six passes for 127 yards.
— Last 6+ years, Titans are 15-10-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Seattle lost its first home opener since 2008.
— Seahawks’ last 3 drives in 1st half: 12 plays, 164 yards, 21 points.
— Seahawks rest of game: 24 plays, 150 yards, 6 points.
— Their last nine games vs Titans were decided by 7 or fewer points.
Dallas 20, LA Chargers 17
— Dallas ran ball for 198 yards, averaged 7.0 yards/play.
— Cowboys scored 17 points on three red zone drives.
— Two games this season, Dallas is 15-27 on 3rd down.
— Better balance this week; Cowboys ran ball 31 times, threw 27 passes.
— Chargers’ 7 drives: one TD, four FG’s, two INT’s.
— Bolts scored only 14 points on four red zone drives.
— Herbert threw for 338 yards, also threw two INT’s.
— Last 3+ years, Bolts are 3-14-1 ATS as home favorites.
Las Vegas 26, Pittsburgh 17:
— Raiders outgained Pittsburgh, 425-331.
— Las Vegas kicked FG’s on three of four first half drives.
— Raiders have 782 passing yards in first two games.
— Raiders are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine road openers.
— Steelers have been outscored 19-7 in first half this season.
— Pittsburgh ran ball 14 times for only 39 yards.
— Steelers have been outgained by 106.5 yards/game.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home openers.
San Francisco 17, Philadelphia 11
— 49ers’ first four drives: 20 plays, 49 yards, 3 first downs, 0 points.
— 49ers’ last four drives: 43 plays, 267 yards, 19 first downs, 17 points.
— 49er’s two TD drives were 97-92 yards.
— San Francisco has two road wins despite being minus-2 in turnovers.
— Up 3-0 in 2nd quarter, Eagles were stopped on downs on SF’s 3-yard line.
— Both teams average starting field position; their own 19-yard line.
— Hurts threw for only 190 yards, ran for 82 more.
— Last 5+ years, under is 29-12 in Eagle home games.
Chicago 20, Cincinnati 17:
— Total yardage: 248-206, Bengals.
— Cincy lost despite a 13-yard edge in field position.
— Bengals turned ball over four times (minus-3)
— Bengals are 8-14 ATS last 22 games vs NFC opponents.
— Roquan Smith had a 53-yard pick-6 to put Bears up 17-3.
— Rookie QB Fields was 6-13/60 passing, ran 10 times for 31 yards.
— Dalton got hurt; he started 133 games for Bengals (70-61-2, 2011-19)
— Under is 5-1-1 in Bears’ last seven home openers.
LA Rams 27, Indianapolis 24:
— Rams drove 70 yards in four plays to take lead for good early in 4th quarter.
— Cooper Kupp caught nine passes for 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Rams averaged 11.6 yards/pass attempt last week, 8.7 this week.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-0 SU in road openers (3-2 ATS).
— Wentz got hurt; backup QB Eason saw first NFL action in final 2:25 of game.
— Indy had two empty trips to red zone in their first three drives.
— Colts got gift TD in 3rd quarter when Rams screwed up snap on a punt.
— Indy starts 0-2 at home; their next three games are on road.
Carolina 26, New Orleans 7:
— Saints’ only TD came on a 18-yard drive early in 4th quarter.
— New Orleans ran only 43 plays for 128 yards.
— Saints had only six first downs, threw for only 80 yards.
— Saints are 2-10 ATS in last 12 road openers.
— Carolina ran 73 plays, converted 8-15 on third down.
— Panthers allowed total of 93 YR in first two games.
— McCaffrey has 59 touches in his first two games.
— Carolina beat Saints for only 2nd time in last 10 meetings.
Cleveland 31, Houston 21:
— QB Taylor got hurt; rookie Mills was 8-18/102 passing.
— Houston’s first three drives: 20 plays, 155 yards, 14 points.
— Houston’s last six drives: 39 plays, 154 yards, 7 points.
— Last 3+ years, Texans are 10-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Browns were +3 in turnovers, had 12-yard edge in field position.
— Mayfield completed 19-21 passes, for 8.7 yards/attempt.
— Cleveland is 0-8 ATS as a favorite in their home opener.
— Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite.
Buffalo 35, Miami 0:
— Last two meetings, Bills beat Miami 56-26/35-0.
— Buffalo outscored first two opponents 24-0 in first half.
— Last 3+ years, Bills are 6-3 ATS as road favorite.
— McDermott is 18-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Tagovailoa got hurt; Brissett was 24-40/169 passing.
— Miami got to red zone three times, but didn’t score.
— Dolphins were outgained 707-475 in first two games.
— Dolphins have lost six games in row vs Buffalo.
Denver 23, Jacksonville 13:
— Denver opens up 2-0, with pair of road wins.
— Broncos had 11-yard edge in field position.
— Denver outgained Jaguars 398-198.
— Broncos converted only 2-11 third down plays.
— Jaguars have now lost 17 games in a row.
— Rookie QB Lawrence was only 14-33 passing for 118 yards.
— Jaguars’ second TD came on a 102-yard kick return.
— Jaguars are already minus-5 in turnovers this year.
New England 25, NJ Jets 6:
— Patriots had 15-yard edge in field position.
— New England has three TD’s on first 19 drives this year.
— Patriots outgained first two foes 653-495
— Belichick is 21-6 vs rookie QB’s.
— Rookie QB Wilson threw four INTs, three on first four drives.
— Jets started 0-2 four of last five years.
— Jets lost 11 games in row to New England.
— Jets ran ball for 152 yards, but minus-4 in turnovers is no bueno.
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/19/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%......+13.50
09/18/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%.......-10.55
09/17/2021........9-5-0.......64.29%......+19.15
09/16/2021........2-5-0.......28.57%........-25.75
09/15/2021........6-9-0.......40.00%........-22.75
09/14/2021.......6-10-0.......37.50%.......-39.90
09/13/2021........4-3-0.......57.14%..........-4.65
09/12/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-36.25
09/11/2021........8-8-0.......50.00%.........-17.95
09/10/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-30.85
09/09/2021........6-2-0.......75.00%........+20.75
09/08/2021........9-6-0.......60.00%........+13.90
09/07/2021........9-7-0.......56.25%........+24.75
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:...........133-129-1.......50.76%......-82.05
Best Bets:
09/19/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%.......+18.55
09/18/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%.......+4.55
09/17/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%.......- 0.10
09/16/2021.......0-3-0........00.00%......-15.00
09/15/2021.......2-4-0........33.33%......- 3.30
09/14/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%......+ 2.25
09/13/2021.......1-3-0........25.00%.......- 9.65
09/12/2021.......1-3-0 .......25.00%......- 12.40
09/11/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%......+ 3.95
09/10/2021.......2-5-0........28.57%.......- 13.25
09/09/2021.......3-0-0......100.00%......+ 20.05
09/08/2021.......5-1-0.......83.33%.......+ 26.60
09/07/2021.......4-4-0.......50.00%.......+ 16.85
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%.......+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%.......+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%.......- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%.......- 10.70
Totals.............52-63-0.......45.21%.......+ 53.20
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Diamond Trends for Sunday September 19
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Brewers are 15-0 this season as a home favorite of at least -200 when facing a starter with an ERA under 7.20.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Miami (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Pirates are 0-28 since May 12, 2021 in the last game of a series if they did not lose by 9+ runs last game and the last game did not go under by 4+ runs.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Miami (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Marlins are 8-0 OU without a day of rest when they are at least -120 favorites and are not on a 3+ game winning streak..
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- Max Fried is 9-0 since July 10 in games where he is not an underdog of +120 or greater.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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MLB
Sunday, September 19
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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Colorado @ Washington
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Washington's last 24 games at home
Washington is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Colorado
Minnesota @ Toronto
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games at home
Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle @ Kansas City
Seattle
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 14 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Chi Cubs @ Milwaukee
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Diego @ St. Louis
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox @ Texas
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Atlanta @ San Francisco
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games at home
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, September 19
NL games
Colorado (70-78) @ Washington (60-88)
— Gray is 1-1, 5.71 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 10-16 in his starts.
— under 10-2-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-7
— He is 0-3, 7.15 in five starts vs Washington.
— Colorado is 7-1 in its last eight games.
— Rockies are 45-27 at home, 25-51 on road.
— under 9-3-2 last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-148
— record in first 5 innings: 60-67-21
— Espino is 1-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 5-11 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.
— Washington is 18-45 in its last 63 games.
— Nationals are 3-10 in last 13 home games.
— over 29-14-2 last 45 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-63-26
Los Angeles (95-54) @ Cincinnati (77-72)
— Kershaw is 1-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1
— He is 4-2, 2.33 in 12 starts vs Cincinnati.
— Dodgers are 36-14 in last 50 games.
— Dodgers are 4-5 in last nine road games.
— under 21-7-3 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-149
— record in first 5 innings: 82-46-21
— Miley is 2-2, 4.84 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 17-10 in his starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-3
— He is 4-5, 3.55 in 14 starts vs Los Angeles.
— Cincinnati is 6-13 in its last 19 games.
— Reds are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— under 20-6-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-149
— record in first 5 innings: 69-59-21
Philadelphia (76-72) @ Mets (72-77)
— Gibson is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 1-2, 5.12 in four starts vs New York.
— Phillies are 5-6 in last 11 games.
— Phillies are 42-32 at home, 34-40 on road.
— over 14-8-1 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-148
— record in first 5 innings: 64-55-29
— Hill is 0-3, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7
— He is 2-2, 3.48 in five starts vs Philly.
— Mets lost six of last seven games.
— Mets are 7-13 in last 20 home games.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-149
— record in first 5 innings: 58-74-17
Pittsburgh (56-92) @ Miami (62-86)
— bullpen game
— Pirates are 8-3 in last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 9-6-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-146
— record in first 5 innings: 45-83-18
— Alcantara is 2-1, 1.78 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 13-17 in his starts.
— under 6-0-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-5
— He is 1-0, 3.27 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Marlins are 5-5 in last ten games.
— Miami is 6-4 in last ten home games.
— under 17-9-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-148
— record in first 5 innings: 55-70-23
Cubs (66-83) @ Milwaukee (91-57)
— Sampson is 1-1, 3.21 in three starts.
— Cubs are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He threw 1.2 scoreless IP in 2 relief stints vs Milwaukee.
— Cubs are 9-8 in last 17 games.
— Chicago is 6-6 in last 12 road games.
— Over is 15-8 in last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-148
— record in first 5 innings: 58-72-18
— Lauer is 2-0, 0.93 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-5 in his last 13 starts.
— over 8-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He is 0-1, 9.64 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
— Brewers are 38-18 in last 56 games.
— Milwaukee is 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— over 5-1 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-148
— record in first 5 innings: 75-46-27
San Diego (76-72) @ St Louis (78-69)
— Arrieta is 0-2, 8.25 in three starts for San Diego.
— Padres are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 8-5, 2.50 in 19 starts vs St Louis.
— Padres lost 22 of last 32 games.
— San Diego is 6-16 in last 22 road games.
— over 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-147
— record in first 5 innings: 60-68-19
— Happ is 1-2, 8.74 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— He is 2-2, 2.15 in four starts vs San Diego.
— Cardinals are 14-7 in last 21 games.
— St Louis is 6-1 in its last seven home games.
— Under is 8-3-1 in last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 54-147
— record in first 5 innings: 69-57-21
Atlanta (76-70) @ San Francisco (97-52)
— Fried is 0-0, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 11-25
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-1
— He is 2-0, 2.79 in three starts vs San Francisco.
— Braves are 1-5 in last six games.
— Atlanta is 2-7 in last nine road games.
— under 16-7-4 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-146
— record in first 5 innings: 73-52-21
— DeSclafani is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 16-6 in his last 22 starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-28
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-2
— He is 1-3, 4.85 in six starts vs Atlanta.
— Giants are 13-3 in last 16 games.
— Giants are 7-3 in last ten home games.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 48-149
— record in first 5 innings: 80-51-18
AL games
Cleveland (72-74) @ Bronx (83-66)
— Morgan is 0-2, 7.27 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Cleveland is 14-13 in last 27 games.
— Indians are 10-7 in last 17 road games.
— under 7-5 last 12 games
— scores run in first inning: 42-146
— record in first 5 innings: 57-68-21
— Cole is 5-1, 1.62 in his last six starts.
— New York is 15-12 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-5
— He is 3-1, 2.50 in five starts vs Cleveland.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— New York is 2-7 in last nine home games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-149
— record in first 5 innings: 63-54-32
Minnesota (65-84) @ Toronto (83-65)
— bullpen game
— Minnesota is 7-7 in its last 14 games.
— Twins are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 53-148
— record in first 5 innings: 47-74-27
— Berrios is 3-1, 2.30 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 4-5 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.
— Toronto is 17-4 in last 21 games.
— Blue Jays are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-2-2 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-147
— record in first 5 innings: 34-19-7 last 60
Baltimore (47-101) @ Boston (85-65)
— Wells is 0-3, 8.57 in five starts.
— Baltimore is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 8 IP, in 5 relief stints vs Boston.
— Orioles are 8-35 in their last 43 games.
— Baltimore is 24-50 on road, 23-51 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-148
— record in first 5 innings: 46-83-19
— Eovaldi is 0-0, 2.35 in his last five starts.
— Boston won his last five starts.
— over 6-3 last nine.
— allowed run in first inning: 4-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-6
— He is 6-2, 3.95 in 13 starts vs Baltimore.
— Boston is 6-6 in its last 12 games.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-150
— record in first 5 innings: 65-61-24
Detroit (71-78) @ Tampa Bay (92-57)
— Peralta is 0-0, 2.57 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 8-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 3 IP, in three relief stints vs Tampa Bay.
— Detroit is 14-18 in its last 32 games.
— Detroit is 9-7 in last 16 road games.
— under 27-15-3 last 45 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-149
— record in first 5 innings: 25-24-7 last 56
— McClanahan is 5-1, 3.20 in his last seven starts.
— Tampa Bay is 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— over 12-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.
— Tampa Bay is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Rays are 13-5 in last 18 home games.
— over 22-13-5 last 40 games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-149
— record in first 5 innings: 63-55-31
White Sox (84-64) @ Texas (54-93)
— Giolito is 0-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 14-14 in his starts.
— over 12-4 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-5
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Texas.
— Chicago is 11-9 in last 20 games.
— White Sox are 5-9 in last 14 road games.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-148
— record in first 5 innings: 81-44-23
— Lyles threw 14 shutout IP in his last two games.
— Rangers are 12-16 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 12-28
— record in first 5 innings: 10-17-1
— He is 1-1, 3.75 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
— Texas is 8-5 in last 13 games.
— Texas is 5-5 in last ten home games.
— over 19-15-4 last 38 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-148
— record in first 5 innings: 52-79-17
Seattle (79-69) @ Kansas City (67-81)
— Gilbert is 0-0, 4.19 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 14-7 in his starts.
— over 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-6
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP, in one start vs Kansas City.
— Seattle is 11-8 in last 19 games.
— Seattle is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— over 12-1-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-148
— record in first 5 innings: 63-63-22
— Kowar is 0-3, 12.60 in five starts.
— Kansas City is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.
— Royals are 8-11 in its last 19 games.
— Royals are 4-8 in last 12 home games.
— under 33-18-6 last 57 games.
— scores run in first inning: 39-151
— record in first 5 innings: 55-73-23
Oakland (81-67) @ Angels (72-76)
— Montas is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 15-14 in his starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-6
— He is 2-1, 2.75 in three starts vs Anaheim this year.
— A’s won their last four games.
— Oakland is 5-5 in last ten road games.
— Over is 11-8-2 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-148
— record in first 5 innings: 68-57-23
— Ohtani is 1-1, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 13-8 in his starts.
— over 9-5 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-4
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in two starts vs Oakland this year.
— Angels are 9-9 in last 18 games.
— Angels are 5-5 in last ten home games.
— under 5-1-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 44-148
— record in first 5 innings: 62-68-18
Interleague games
Arizona (48-100) @ Houston (87-61)
— Gallen is 0-3, 4.66 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 3-17 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12
— He is 1-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Houston.
— Arizona lost 15 of last 19 games.
— Arizona is 6-16 in its last 22 road games.
— over 14-5-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-148
— record in first 5 innings: 54-80-14
— Greinke is 0-3, 9.60 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 16-12 in his starts.
— Under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-5
— He is 7-3, 3.40 in 15 starts vs Arizona.
— Astros are 10-9 in last 19 games.
— Astros are 7-3 in last ten home games.
— over 7-4-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 51-148
— record in first 5 innings: 80-47-21
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COLORADO is 14-28 SU (-22.5 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.
CLEVELAND is 30-15 SU (16.4 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in th...
MINNESOTA is 32-66 SU (-41.3 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
CINCINNATI is 5-23 SU (-18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.
PITTSBURGH is 3-18 SU (-18.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the curr...
TAMPA BAY is 25-9 SU (16.4 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.
BALTIMORE is 16-40 SU (-25.7 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-22 SU (28.9 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.
KANSAS CITY is 18-34 SU (-20.3 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.
ARIZONA is 22-10 SU (14 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.
SAN DIEGO is 13-30 SU (-22.1 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in the...
TEXAS are 15-38 SU (-26.8 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-22 SU (28.7 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.
OAKLAND is 42-22 SU (25.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
NY METS are 7-25 SU (-21.8 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.
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Sunday’s 6-pack
Most games drawing 3+ walks:
160— Barry Bonds
117— Ted Williams
115— Babe Ruth
113— Eddie Yost
95— Rickey Henderson
86— Mickey Mantle
Quote of the Day
“It’s not viewed negatively. We’re a family. We’re not going to discuss the details, but we care. There’s passion. There’s frustration. Those are all emotions that are natural, and those things happen.”
Padres’ manager Jayce Tingler, after tensions bubbled over in San Diego’s dugout Saturday
Sunday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, where did Thomas Magnum grow up?
Saturday’s quiz
Sun Bowl football game is played in El Paso every December.
Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls; Kurt Warner started two of them. Vince Ferragamo and Jared Goff started the other two.
************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday
13) Alabama 31, Florida 29:
— Gators scored with 3:10 left, failed on 2-point conversion to tie game.
— Total yardage: 440-331, Florida- they ran for 245 yards.
— Alabama converted 7-13 third down plays.
12) Penn State 28, Auburn 20:
— Clifford completed 28-32 passes for 280 yards, two TD’s.
— Auburn converted 10-17 third down plays.
11) Western Michigan 44, Pittsburgh 41:
— WMU threw for 357 yards, was +3 in turnovers in their upset win.
— Pitt QB Pickett threw for 382 yards, six TD’s in losing cause.
— MAC teams are 6-12 ATS as road underdogs, but this was a good win for them.
10) Clemson 14, Georgia Tech 8:
— Game had a 1:52 lightning delay, just before halftime.
— Tech had ball inside Clemson 10 twice in last quarter, scored only 3 points.
— Tech outgained Clemson, 309-284.
— Last year, Tigers beat Tech 73-7.
9) Cincinnati 38, Indiana 24:
— Game swung when Indiana’s best defender got tossed for targeting.
— Trailing 21-17 late in 3rd quarter, Cincy ran kick back 99 yards for a TD.
— Indiana outgained Bearcats, 376-328, but turned ball over four times (-2).
8) BYU 27, Arizona State 17:
— ASU outgained Cougars, 426-361, but turned ball over four times (-2).
— BYU led 21-7 at half; Sun Devils cut it to 21-17 after three.
— BYU WR Romney caught six passes for 95 yards and a TD.
7) This week’s upsets:
— Northern Arizona (+26) 21, Arizona 19
— Western Michigan (+14.5) 44, Pitt 41
— Colorado State (+14.5) 22, Toledo 6
— Fresno State (+11) 40, UCLA 37
— Incarnate Word (+11) 42, Texas State 34
— East Carolina (+10) 42, Marshall 38
6) West Virginia 27, Virginia Tech 21:
— Game ended with Hokies on WVU’s 4-yard line.
— Tech had three drives stall inside WVU’s 10-yard line.
— West Virginia led 27-7 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
5) Wake Forest 35, Florida State 14:
— Seminoles are 0-3 for first time since 1976.
— FSU turned ball over six times (-4).
— Wake outgained Seminoles, 484-317.
4) SMU 39, Louisiana Tech 37:
— SMU scored on a 33-yard Hail Mary on last play.
— Mustangs outgained Tech, 578-483.
— Two QB’s combined for 746 passing yards, 9 TD passes.
3) East Carolina 42, Marshall 38:
— Marshall led 38-21 with 8:00 left in game.
— Pirates scored two TD’s in last 2:31 of game.
— Marshall outgained ECU, 647-563.
2) Fresno State 40, UCLA 37:
— 34 points were scored in last 8:10 of this game.
— Fresno scored on 13-yard TD pass with 0:14 left for the win.
— Bulldogs outgained UCLA, 569-395.
1) San Diego State 33, Utah 31 OT
— Utah scored two TD’s in last 4:16 to force OT.
— San Diego State threw ball for only 44 yards the whole game.
— Took three overtimes for Aztecs to come out on top.
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/18/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%.......-10.55
09/17/2021........9-5-0.......64.29%......+19.15
09/16/2021........2-5-0.......28.57%........-25.75
09/15/2021........6-9-0.......40.00%........-22.75
09/14/2021.......6-10-0.......37.50%.......-39.90
09/13/2021........4-3-0.......57.14%..........-4.65
09/12/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-36.25
09/11/2021........8-8-0.......50.00%.........-17.95
09/10/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-30.85
09/09/2021........6-2-0.......75.00%........+20.75
09/08/2021........9-6-0.......60.00%........+13.90
09/07/2021........9-7-0.......56.25%........+24.75
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:...........125-122-1.......50.60%......-95.55
Best Bets:
Best Bets:
09/18/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%.......+4.55
09/17/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%.......- 0.10
09/16/2021.......0-3-0........00.00%......-15.00
09/15/2021.......2-4-0........33.33%......- 3.30
09/14/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%......+ 2.25
09/13/2021.......1-3-0........25.00%.......- 9.65
09/12/2021.......1-3-0 .......25.00%......- 12.40
09/11/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%......+ 3.95
09/10/2021.......2-5-0........28.57%.......- 13.25
09/09/2021.......3-0-0......100.00%......+ 20.05
09/08/2021.......5-1-0.......83.33%.......+ 26.60
09/07/2021.......4-4-0.......50.00%.......+ 16.85
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%.......+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%.......+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%.......- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%.......- 10.70
Totals.............49-60-0.......44.95%.......+ 34.65
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Diamond Trends for Saturday September 18
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. ET)
-- The Brewers are 14-0 this season as a home favorite of at least -200 when facing a starter with an ERA under 7.20.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Washington (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockies are 0-9 on the road when the total is at least 9 coming off a game where they scored at least 9 runs.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Cincinnati (2:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Reds are 7-0-1 OU since August 2017 coming off a multi-run win as a home dog where they scored no more than five runs.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. ET)
-- Corbin Burnes is 8-0 since May 31 when starting at home.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
CLE at NYY 01:05 PM
CLE +162
+500
BAL at BOS 01:10 PM
BOS -259
+500
LAD at CIN 02:10 PM
CIN +177
+500
MIN at TOR 03:07 PM
MIN +151
+500
COL at WAS 04:05 PM
COL +112
+500
DET at TB 04:10 PM
TB -175
+500
PIT at MIA 06:10 PM
PIT +117
+500
CHW at TEX 07:05 PM
CHW -240
+500
ARI at HOU 07:10 PM
HOU -282
+500
SEA at KC 07:10 PM
SEA -105
+500
CHC at MIL 07:15 PM
MIL -298
+500
PHI at NYM 07:15 PM
PHI -109
+500
SD at STL 07:15 PM
STL -116
+500
ATL at SF 09:05 PM
SF -116
+500
OAK at LAA 09:07 PM
LAA +117
+500
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MLB
Saturday, September 18
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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Cleveland is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
NY Yankees is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games
Minnesota @ Toronto
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Colorado @ Washington
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Washington's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Chi White Sox @ Texas
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas's last 18 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle @ Kansas City
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 13 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle
Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Chi Cubs @ Milwaukee
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Diego @ St. Louis
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta @ San Francisco
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
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