Dunkel
Sunday, June 20
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951NY METS -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 42-19 SU (21.1 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.
953MIAMI -954 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2 SU (9.3 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
955MILWAUKEE -956 COLORADO
COLORADO is 25-9 SU (18.8 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.
957PHILADELPHIA -958 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-11 SU (20.1 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.
959CINCINNATI -960 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 131-212 SU (-102.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.
961LA DODGERS -962 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 19-31 SU (-14.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.
965TORONTO -966 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 5-14 SU (-12.4 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
967OAKLAND -968 NY YANKEES
OAKLAND is 10-0 SU (10 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.
969BOSTON -970 KANSAS CITY
BOSTON is 23-15 SU (9.1 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.
971CHI WHITE SOX -972 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 11-3 SU (9.8 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.
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Sunday’s 6-pack
Best road records in MLB:
23-11— Boston
19-10— Oakland
24-15— Tampa Bay
22-16— San Francisco
19-14— Milwaukee
20-15— LA Dodgers
Quote of the Day
“There’s no such thing as a sure thing, that’s why they call it gambling.”
Oscar Madison, The Odd Couple
Sunday’s quiz
What year did the Dodgers move to Los Angeles?
Saturday’s quiz
Parts of the famous movie Animal House were filmed at the University of Oregon.
Friday’s quiz
Bob Melvin manages the Oakland A’s; he also managed Seattle and Arizona.
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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday
13) Bucks 115, Nets 111 (OT)
— Milwaukee wins series in seven games.
— Last time a Game 7 went to OT? 2006, Dallas-San Antonio.
— Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 40 points for the Bucks.
— Kevin Durant played all 53:00, scored 48 points.
12) Durant’s performance was totally amazing; the guy tore his Achilles June 10, 2019, yet he played 47:00/game in Games 5-7 here, and at a really high level. Achilles injuries are difficult to come back from.
11) Blue Jays 10, Orioles 7:
— Mountcastle hit three HR’s, Mullins hit two, but Baltimore still lost.
— Toronto scored six runs in the 9th for the comeback win.
— Orioles’ first six hits in this game were all home runs.
10) Dodgers 9, Arizona 3— How depressing must it be to be in the Arizona traveling party these days? They’ve lost 16 games in a row, 30 of last 32. Hard to believe any of the coaches will be back next year; those are lucrative jobs.
Just a bad year overall for Arizona; the GM’s wife has cancer, which is way worse, obviously, than the baseball stuff, but they could use something good to happen in the desert.
9) Walker Buehler had a no-hitter until the 8th inning of that game; there were lot of people wearing blue in Phoenix this weekend, rooting on the world champs.
8) Padres 7, Reds 5— Joey Votto/David Bell got tossed in the first inning for arguing balls and strikes. I mean, San Diego is throwing a bullpen game and you get tossed in the first inning?
7) Mets split a doubleheader in Washington; they host Atlanta for a twinbill on Monday, then host the Phillies for another one Friday. Three doubleheaders in seven days, with the health of star pitcher Jacob deGrom a big ???? Could be a long week in Flushing.
6) Mariners 6, Rays 5— Tampa Bay won Tyler Glasnow’s last start Monday, but they’re 0-5 since he went on the IL with a UCL problem. Without Glasnow to anchor their rotation, they have been stretching out the starters who usually only face the opposing lineup twice a game.
5) Statistical oddity; Milwaukee is 39-32, but they’ve given up four more runs than they’ve scored this season.
4) Tuesday there is a big meeting about expanding the college football playoff system from four teams to 12. Too much money to be made for it not to happen, but if it does happen, apparently it won’t be until 2023. It’ll be a big deal when it happens.
Imagine the politics inside that meeting? All those highly-paid administrators trying to get guarantees for their leagues. Lot of weasels in that room, for sure.
3) Los Angeles Lakers fired their trainer for second time in three years; before that, the previous trainer had been there for 30+ years. Maybe they should bring him back?
2) Cardinals-Braves are not only a day/night doubleheader today, but the night game is on ESPN; Sunday Night Baseball has a seven-inning game. No bueno.
Braves fly to New York after and play a twinbill against the Mets Monday; that should be fun.
1) A newspaper writer from Mississippi finished last in his fantasy football league last year; the penalty for finishing last is that you have to spend 24 consecutive hours in a Waffle House restaurant, with an hour taken off the sentence for every waffle you eat.
I love waffles, but Waffle House waffles are large, about the size of a plate. This guy winds up downing nine waffles, spending 15 hours inside the restaurant this week.
Some quick thoughts:
— This guy gave Waffle House so much free publicity, he should get free waffles for a year.
— Is it strange that they didn’t care that he sat there for 15 consecutive hours?
— I’m curious when the last time he ate was before going to Waffle House.
— You have to use maple syrup, right? Dry waffles might not go down well.
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DAILY PICKS RECORD:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/19/2021......12-15-1......44.64%..........-22.20
06/18/2021.....14-12-0........53.84%..........+7.55
06/17/2021.......7-12-1........37.50%.........-30.65
06/16/2021.....18-12-0........60.00%........+28.70
06/15/2021.....12-17-1.........40.74%.........-27.80
06/14/2021.....11-12-1.........47.92%...........-6.15
06/13/2021.......9-19-2.........33.33%.........-50.20
06/12/2021.....15-15-0.........50.00%..........+1.40
06/11/2021.....14-12-0..........53.84%.........+9.70
06/10/2021.......6-12-0..........33.33%.........-30.00
06/09/2021......13-13-2.........50.00%...........-3.70
06/08/2021......17-13-0.........56.67%........+21.80
06/07/2021 ........2-4-0 .........33.33% ........-11.00
06/05/2021 .....14-14-0 ........50.00% .........+4.20
06/04/2021 .....17-13-0 ........56.67%........+16.30
06/03/2021....... 11-9-0 ........55.00% ........+ 8.05
06/02/2021 .......7-12-1 ........37.50% ........-29 60
06/01/2021 ......11-19-0 .......36.67% ........-53 95
Totals...........210-235-5.........47.19%.........-167.55
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BEST BETS:
06/19/2021............4 - 7 - 0..............-16.20
06/18/2021............7 - 8 - 0...............- 2.55
06/17/2021............2 - 6 - 0..............- 19.00
06/16/2021............9 - 7 - 0.............+ 14.65
06/15/2021............7 - 9 - 0................- 8.20
06/14/2021............6 - 8 - 0................- 7.35
06/13/2021............3 - 16 - 0..............-48.15
06/12/2021............8 - 8 - 0..............+ 17.80
06/11/2021............6 -12 - 0................- 8.80
06/10/2021............4 -10 - 0................-29.05
06/09/2021............5 - 5 - 1................+ 0.20
06/08/2021............7 - 6 - 0...............+ 10.00
06/07/2021............0 - 4 - 0...............- 21.50
06/05/2021............8 - 5 - 0..............+ 23.00
06/04/2021............5 - 8 - 0...............- 15.40
06/02/2021............2 - 5 - 1...............- 14.60
06/01/2021............5 - 6 - 0................- 3.70
Totals:..................85- 128-2................-128.67Leave a comment:
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SATURDAY, JUNE 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
NYM at WAS 01:05 PM
NYM +116
O 6.5
+500 +500
OAK at NYY 01:05 PM
OAK +118
O 9.5
+500 +500
MIA at CHC 02:20 PM
MIA +106
U 9.0
+500 +500
MIN at TEX 04:05 PM
TEX -114
O 9.0
+500 +500
CLE at PIT 04:05 PM
CLE -126
O 9.0
+500 +500
TOR at BAL 04:05 PM
TOR -170
U 10.0
+500 +500
PHI at SF 04:05 PM
SF -121
O 7.5
+500 +500
BOS at KC 04:10 PM
KC +126
O 10.5
+500 +500
CHW at HOU 07:15 PM
HOU -122
O 8.0
+500 +500
CIN at SD 07:15 PM
CIN +160
O 8.5
+500 +500
STL at ATL 07:15 PM
ATL -127
U 9.5
+500 +500
MIL at COL 09:10 PM
COL -108
O 10.5
+500 +500
DET at LAA 10:07 PM
LAA -205
O 9.5
+500 +500
LAD at ARI 10:10 PM
ARI +196
U 9.0
+500 +500
TB at SEA 10:10 PM
TB -137
O 8.0
+500 +500
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Diamond Trends for Saturday June 19
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Colorado (9:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockies are 9-0 SU since Apr. 21, 2021 at home off a game as an underdog in which they scored 6+ runs.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (10:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Diamondbacks are 0-10 SU since Apr. 28, 2021 after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Houston (7:15 p.m. ET)
-- The White Sox are 11-0-1 OU (3.12 ppg) since Sept. 23, 2015 as a road underdog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at N.Y. Yankees (1:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Yankees are 0-7 OU (-4.21 ppg) since Aug. 31, 2019 when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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MLB
Saturday, June 19
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Trend Report
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Oakland @ NY Yankees
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami @ Chi Cubs
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Miami
Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Minnesota @ Texas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia @ San Francisco
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Boston @ Kansas City
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Kansas City's last 24 games at home
NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox @ Houston
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chi White Sox's last 18 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati @ San Diego
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis @ Atlanta
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of St. Louis's last 17 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Milwaukee @ Colorado
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 24 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit @ LA Angels
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, June 19
NL games
Mets (35-27) @ Washington (31-35)
— Peterson is 1-2, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 2-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Washington.
Nightcap is a bullpen game
— Mets won eight of their last 12 games.
— Mets are 3-2 in their last five road games.
— over 7-3 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-62
— record in first 5 innings: 33-22-7
— Ross is 1-3, 4.76 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 8-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1
— He is 3-4, 5.27 in 12 games (9 starts) vs New York.
— Lester is 0-0, 4.37 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He is 7-1, 3.20 in ten starts vs New York.
— Washington won its last five games.
— Nationals won six of their last seven home games.
— under 19-5 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-66
— record in first 5 innings: 26-25-15
St Louis (35-35) @ Atlanta (32-35)
— Wainwright is 2-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-4
— He is 9-4, 3.63 in 19 games (14 starts) vs Atlanta.
— Cardinals won three of their last five games.
— St Louis is 1-8 in its last nine road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-70
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-13
— Smyly is 1-1, 6.48 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He gave up 2 runs in four IP, in one start vs St Louis.
— Braves lost six of their last nine games
— Atlanta is 9-5 in its last 14 home games.
— over 5-2 in last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-67
— record in first 5 innings: 33-23-11
Miami (30-39) @ Cubs (39-31)
— Lopez is 1-1, 3.10 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-5
— He gave up 2 runs in five IP, in his one start vs Chicago.
— Marlins are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
— Miami is 2-11 in its last 13 road tilts.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-67
— record in first 5 innings: 25-28-14
— Arrieta is 0-3, 9.19 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 10-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1
— He is 8-1, 3.64 in 12 starts vs Miami
— Cubs lost four of their last five games.
— Chicago is 16-4 in its last 20 home games.
— Under is 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-70
— record in first 5 innings: 33-28-9
Milwaukee (38-32) @ Colorado (30-41)
— Houser is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-5 in his starts.
— over 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-1
— He threw 4 shutout innings, in his one start vs Colorado.
— Brewers lost their last five games.
— Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
— under 3-2-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-70
— record in first 5 innings: 30-24-16
— Gomber is 3-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
— He is 0-1, 6.23 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee.
— Colorado won its last five games.
— Rockies are 25-14 at home, 5-27 on road.
— under 6-5-1 last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-71
— record in first 5 innings: 27-35-9
Dodgers (42-27) @ Arizona (20-51)
— Buehler is 5-0, 1.38 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 8-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He is 2-0, 2.47 in nine starts vs Arizona.
— Dodgers won eight of their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-69
— record in first 5 innings: 36-23-10
— Peacock is 0-3, 7.94 in his last three starts.
— Diamondbacks are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He gave up a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Los Angeles.
— Arizona lost 15 in row, 28 of its last 30 games.
— Arizona is 2-12 in its last 14 home games.
— over 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 13-71
— record in first 5 innings: 24-42-5
Philadelphia (33-34) @ San Francisco (44-25)
— Nola is 2-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 7-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 1-2, 6.20 in four starts vs San Francisco.
— Phillies won seven of their last 11 games.
— Phillies are 21-12 at home, 12-22 on road.
— under 5-0 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-67
— record in first 5 innings: 24-27-16
— Wood is 3-3, 4.73 in his last seven starts.
— Giants are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-3
— He is 3-3, 3.36 in 14 games (9 starts) vs Philly.
— Giants are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
— Giants are 14-6 in last 20 home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-70
— record in first 5 innings: 39-21-10
Cincinnati (35-33) @ San Diego (40-32)
— Gutierrez is 3-1, 2.74 in four starts.
— Reds are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— Cincinnati is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
— Reds won 8 of their last 10 road games.
— under 9-6 last 15 road games
— scored run in first inning: 18-68
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-11
— Lamet is 0-2, 3.68 in seven starts (22 IP).
— Padres are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He gave up 2 runs in five IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.
— Padres lost 12 of their last 18 games.
— San Diego is 3-4 in its last seven home games.
— over last four games
— scored run in first inning: 19-72
— record in first 5 innings: 26-35-11
AL games
Oakland (44-27) @ Bronx (36-33)
— Bassitt is 4-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 11-3 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— A’s won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 8-3 in its last 11 road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-71
— record in first 5 innings: 31-26-14
— German is 0-2, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— New York is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4
— He is 0-1, 6.05 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Oakland.
— New York won three of its last four games overall.
— New York is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-69
— record in first 5 innings: 28-27-14
Toronto (33-35) @ Baltimore (23-46)
— Manoah is 1-0, 3.10 in four starts.
— Toronto is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.
— Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— Toronto is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— under 5-2-1 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 21-68
— record in first 5 innings: 30-28-10
— Kremer is 0-3, 7.41 in his last four starts.
— Baltimore is 3-6 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.
— Orioles lost 8 of their last 9 games.
— Baltimore is 11-25 on the road, 12-21 at home.
— over is 21-11-1 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-69
— record in first 5 innings: 22-34-13
Minnesota (28-41) @ Texas (25-44)
— Dobnak is 0-3, 9.37 in three starts.
— Twins are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.
— Minnesota lost six of its last ten games.
— Twins are 4-6 in their last ten road games.
— over 34-13-1 last 48 games
— scores run in first inning: 25-69
— record in first 5 innings: 23-33-13
— Allard is 1-2, 2.57 in three starts.
— Texas is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He gave 3 runs in 2.1 IP, in one relief stint vs Minnesota.
— Texas lost eight of its last ten games.
— Texas is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
— over 9-6-1 last 16 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-69
— record in first 5 innings: 22-37-10
Boston (42-28) @ Kansas City (31-37)
— Perez allowed 11 runs in 3.1 IP, in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-3
— He is 1-1, 5.28 in eight starts vs Kansas City.
— Boston won five of its last eight games.
— Red Sox won six of their last seven road games.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 23-70
— record in first 5 innings: 32-28-10
— Bubic is 0-2, 10.38 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.
— Royals lost 10 of their last 12 games.
— Royals are 9-6 in their last 15 home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 14-68
— record in first 5 innings: 26-34-8
White Sox (43-27) @ Houston (41-28)
— Lynn is 3-1, 1.74 in his last five starts
— Chicago is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 7-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-1
— He is 5-6, 3.94 in 13 games (12 starts) vs Houston.
— Chicago is 15-7 in its last 22 games.
— White Sox won three of their last five road games.
— under 15-7-3 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-70
— record in first 5 innings: 40-16-14
— Valdez is 3-0, 1.78 in four starts.
— Astros are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.
— Astros won 13 of their last 17 games.
— Astros are 8-1 in their last nine home games.
— over 9-6 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-69
— record in first 5 innings: 38-22-9
Detroit (29-41) @ Angels (35-35)
— bullpen game
— Detroit won three of its last five games.
— Detroit is 4-3 in its last seven road games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 15-70
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1 last 18 on road
— Sandoval is 1-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.
— Halos lost three of their last five games.
— Angels are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— over 11-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-70
— record in first 5 innings: 31-32-7
Tampa Bay (43-28) @ Seattle (36-36)
— Fleming is 6-4, 3.20 in 11 games (5 starts) this year.
— Tampa Bay is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.
— Tampa Bay lost its last four games.
— Rays are 13-7 in last 20 road games.
— over is 11-6-2 in last 19 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-71
— record in first 5 innings: 30-25-16
— Gilbert is 2-0, 2.04 in his last four starts.
— Mariners won his last four starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Seattle won five of its last six games.
— Seattle is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-72
— record in first 5 innings: 32-34-6
Interleague games
Cleveland (38-29) @ Pittsburgh (24-43)
— Quantrill is 0-1, 9.00 in three starts.
— Cleveland is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh.
— Cleveland is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
— Indians are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— over 23-10 last 33 games
— scores run in first inning: 26-67
— record in first 5 innings: 25-32-10
— Crowe is 0-4, 7.68 in eight starts.
— Pirates are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.
— Pirates lost 10 of their last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh lost four of its last five home games.
— under 11-8 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-68
— record in first 5 innings: 19-38-11
Saturday’s umpires
NY-Wsh- Home side won 10 of last 12 Hamari games.
Visitor won 10 of last 13 Bucknor games.
Mia-Chi- Over is 6-1 in last seven Livensparger games.
Phil-SF- Home side won nine of 11 Merzel games.
Cin-SD- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Guccione games.
StL-Atl- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Wendelstedt games.
Mil-Colo- Over is 5-2 in last seven Wills games.
LA-Az- Under is 8-3 in last 11 Eddings games.
A’s-NY- Over is 8-1 in last nine Barber games
Minn-Tex- Favorites won 7 of last 8 Blaser games.
Tor-Balt- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Ortiz games.
Bos-KC- All four Ceja games went over the total.
Chi-Hst- Over is 7-6 in Tosi games, in 2+ years as a sub umpire.
Det-LAA- Over is 6-2 in last eight Hoye games.
TB-Sea- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Lentz games.
Clev-Pitt- Under is 7-3 in last ten Marquez games.
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901NY METS -902 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 42-18 SU (22.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.
903MIAMI -904 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-1 SU (10.3 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
905PHILADELPHIA -906 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-7 SU (17.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
907NY METS -908 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 42-18 SU (22.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.
909CINCINNATI -910 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 72-101 SU (-38.5 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.
911ST LOUIS -912 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 27-15 SU (13.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
913MILWAUKEE -914 COLORADO
COLORADO is 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 in the current season.
915LA DODGERS -916 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 1-13 SU (-13.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better in the current season.
917OAKLAND -918 NY YANKEES
OAKLAND is 38-25 SU (16.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
919MINNESOTA -920 TEXAS
MINNESOTA is 7-26 SU (-24.2 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.Leave a comment:
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Saturday’s 6-pack
MLB leaders in RBI:
56— Rafael Devers, Bos/Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
53— Jose Abreu, CWS
50— Olson, Meadows, Ohtani, Tatis
49— Jesus Aguilar Mia/Trey Mancini Balt
48— Duvall, YGurriel, Walsh
47— Adolis Garcia, Tex
Quote of the Day
“If he’s a good hitter, why doesn’t he hit good?”
Billy Beane, Moneyball
Saturday’s quiz
On which college campus where parts of the famous movie Animal House filmed?
Friday’s quiz
Bob Melvin manages the Oakland A’s; he also managed Seattle and Arizona.
Thursday’s quiz
Nate McMillan played his college basketball at North Carolina State.
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Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….
13) Clippers 131, Jazz 119:
— Utah led 72-50 at halftime.
— LA outscored Jazz 81-47 in second half.
— Clippers are in NBA’s Final Four for first time ever.
12) 76ers 104, Hawks 99:
— Game 7 is Sunday in Philadelphia.
— Seth Curry, who has a famous brother, scored 24 for the 76ers.
— Atlanta was 13-24 on foul line, lost by five points.
11) Pirates 11, Indians 10— Pittsburgh is just second team in last 100 years to end a losing streak of 10+ games, by winning a game in which they allowed 10+ runs.
’82 Cubs were the other team, if you were wondering.
10) There have been 15 unassisted triple plays in MLB history, last of which was in 2009, by Eric Bruntlett of the Phillies. 8 shortstops, 5 second basemen and 2 first basemen have pulled this off.
In 1968, Washington Senators’ SS Ron Hansen pulled off an unassisted triple play; it was the first one in the majors since 1927- there wasn’t another one until 1992.
9) I am told there have been 726 triple plays in major league history.
8) This is just random weirdness.
— Orioles lost their last 19 road games; their last road win was May 5, when John Means threw a no-hitter in Seattle. Means is currently on the IL.
— Diamondbacks lost their last 23 road games; their last road win was April 25, when Madison Bumgarner threw a 7-inning no-hitter in Atlanta. Bumgarner is also currently on the IL.
7) Guy on ESPN’s Daily Wager gave out Brewers-Rockies under 9 runs on Thursday’s show; if you’re getting paid to give out picks, preferably winning picks, why give out an under play for a game at Coors Field, especially when Brandon Woodruff is now 0-1, 9.24 in three career starts vs Colorado, and that ERA actually came down during this game, a 7-3 Colorado win???
6) Giants’ IF Wilmer Flores’ walk-up song is the theme from the old TV show Friends; back when Flores was coming up thru the minor leagues, he learned most of his English by watching lots and lots of Friends episodes (Flores is from Venezuela). He’s not the only one either; have heard that story about a few big league ballplayers.
5) Mets have doubleheaders today, Monday and Friday, which is probably why they hesitated to put Jason deGrom on the IL; they could use his help during this difficult time in their schedule.
4) July is going to be a fascinating month in baseball; what teams give up and trade players, and which teams will be adding salary to try and win now?
3) Celtics traded G Kemba Walker to Oklahoma City in an oddly-timed trade; I didn’t even know you could announce trades during the playoffs.
Boston gets Al Horford, Moses Brown and some payroll flexibility; Walker will make $73M over the next two years, Horford $53M. There were also draft picks exchanged.
Oklahoma City now owns 18 first round picks to use in the next seven drafts.
2) Something to watch for in tonight’s Game 7 in the NBA: Milwaukee had 26 fast break points in Game 6, Brooklyn only 4. Can the Nets stop Milwaukee from running?
1) If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Cubs, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Dodgers
AL— Rays, White Sox, A’s. Wild Card: Houston @ Boston
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DAILY PICKS RECORD:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/18/2021.....14-12-0........53.84%........+7.55
06/17/2021.......7-12-1........37.50%........-30.65
06/16/2021.....18-12-0........60.00%.......+28.70
06/15/2021.....12-17-1.........40.74%........-27.80
06/14/2021.....11-12-1.........47.92%..........-6.15
06/13/2021.......9-19-2.........33.33%........-50.20
06/12/2021.....15-15-0.........50.00%.........+1.40
06/11/2021.....14-12-0..........53.84%........+9.70
06/10/2021.......6-12-0..........33.33%........-30.00
06/09/2021......13-13-2.........50.00%..........-3.70
06/08/2021......17-13-0.........56.67%........+21.80
06/07/2021 ........2-4-0 .........33.33% ........-11.00
06/05/2021 .....14-14-0 ........50.00% .........+4.20
06/04/2021 .....17-13-0 ........56.67%........+16.30
06/03/2021....... 11-9-0 ........55.00% ........+ 8.05
06/02/2021 .......7-12-1 ........37.50% ........-29 60
06/01/2021 ......11-19-0 .......36.67% ........-53 95
Totals...........198-220-4.........47.36%.........-145.35
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BEST BETS:
06/18/2021............7 - 8 - 0..............- 2.55
06/17/2021............2 - 6 - 0..............- 19.00
06/16/2021............9 - 7 - 0.............+ 14.65
06/15/2021............7 - 9 - 0................- 8.20
06/14/2021............6 - 8 - 0................- 7.35
06/13/2021............3 - 16 - 0..............-48.15
06/12/2021............8 - 8 - 0..............+ 17.80
06/11/2021............6 -12 - 0................- 8.80
06/10/2021............4 -10 - 0................-29.05
06/09/2021............5 - 5 - 1................+ 0.20
06/08/2021............7 - 6 - 0...............+ 10.00
06/07/2021............0 - 4 - 0...............- 21.50
06/05/2021............8 - 5 - 0..............+ 23.00
06/04/2021............5 - 8 - 0...............- 15.40
06/02/2021............2 - 5 - 1...............- 14.60
06/01/2021............5 - 6 - 0................- 3.70
Totals:..................81- 121-2................-112.47Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Friday June 18
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Twins are 2-0 SU since Aug. 24, 2009 as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a road favorite iin which they won by 5+ runs.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Rays are 0-7 SU since Aug. 02, 2020 after suffering a walk off loss last game .
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)
-- The Giants are 10-01 OU (2.82 ppg) since Aug 01, 2020 as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Mariners are 0-7 SU since Jul 14, 2019 when Yusei Kikuchi starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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