Da Bum's 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, September 21




 

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 21
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

KC at CLE 06:10 PM
CLE -146
+500

PIT at CIN 06:40 PM
PIT +178
+500

WAS at MIA 06:40 PM
WAS +125
+500

TEX at NYY 07:05 PM
NYY -258
+500

TOR at TB 07:10 PM
TB -106
+500

NYM at BOS 07:10 PM
NYM +116
+500

MIN at CHC 07:40 PM
CHC -117
+500

STL at MIL 07:40 PM
STL +180
+500

LAD at COL 08:40 PM
COL +189
+500

HOU at LAA 09:38 PM
HOU -208
+500

SEA at OAK 09:40 PM
SEA +122
+500

ATL at ARI 09:40 PM
ARI +142
+500
 

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Early line moves on this week’s college games:
— Texas Tech @ Texas— Texas opened -13.5; they’re -8 as I type this.
— Missouri @ Boston College— Mizzou opened +1; they’re -2.5 now.
— Georgia State @ Auburn— War Eagle opened -23; now they’re -27.
— Boise State @ Utah State— Broncos opened -12; they’re -9 now.
— San Jose State @ Western Michigan— Game opened pick ‘em; WMU is now -3.
— Kansas @ Duke— Duke opened -13; they’re up to -16.5.

Quote of the Day
“The biggest generator of long-term results is learning to do things when you don’t feel like doing them.”
Shane Parrish

Wednesday’s quiz
Who managed the Red Sox when they won the World Series in 2004 and 2007?

Tuesday’s quiz
When baseball split into divisions in 1969, Atlanta Braves won the National League West that year; they lost to the Mets in the NLCS.

Monday’s quiz
Brian Billick was the Baltimore Ravens’ coach before John Harbaugh.

************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) If I was the football coach for the Cal Bears, would’ve made a ton of recruiting calls Monday night, especially to recruits on the offensive side of the ball.

Monday Night Football: Lions-Packers, Jared Goff, Aaron Rodgers, both Cal grads.

12) FP Santangelo is the analyst on Washington Nationals baseball games; he played seven years in the major leagues, mostly with the Montreal Expos.

Last night. Miami Marlins’ rookie catcher was struggling to catch pitches; he had three passed balls. Santangelo started telling a story about his playing days, when one of his teammates had six passed balls in one game.

Guy’s name was Jerry Goff, Jared Goff’s dad- he also hit a home run in that game.

11) Rookie QB Davis Mills will make his first NFL start on Thursday night, when his Houston Texans host 2-0 Carolina.

Curious how the TV crew will handle this situation; Deshaun Watson is on the Texans’ roster, but he won’t be active, because of his pending legal issues. Mills/Jeff Driskel will be the two active QB’s, with Tyrod Taylor out for 3-4 weeks. Not an ideal situation.

10) San Diego Padres fired their pitching coach a few weeks ago; this week they fired their farm director, who had been in his job for seven years. Another scapegoat for a team that has gone in the ashcan the second half of the season. Padres are 18-32 in their last 50 games, will probably miss the playoffs.

When does ownership hold GM AJ Preller responsible for the team’s failures? Padres have made the playoffs once in Preller’s seven years, last year’s shortened season. He’s been suspended for 30 days (in 2016) for hiding medical records from other teams in trade talks.

But hey, he went to an Ivy League school (Cornell), so he keeps his job. Oy.

9) Oldest rosters in the NFL:
4) Arizona (average 27.06 years old)
3) Houston 27.09
2) Chicago 27.13
1) Tampa Bay 27.20

8) Cardinals 2, Brewers 1— St Louis has won ten games in row, their best winning streak in 20 years. Looks like Cardinals will visit the NL West runner-up in a Wild Card game.

7) Anthony Gose is 31 years old; he was the Phillies’ 2nd round pick in 2008, played parts of five seasons for Detroit, hitting .240, with 19 triples, 57 stolen bases. Very good athlete.

Gose had pitching in his background; when the outfield thing didn’t work out, he went back to the minors and became a pitcher. This week, Gose got into a big league game on the mound, throwing 1.2 innings for the Indians against Kansas City, five years after his last appearance in the majors.

Pretty cool story that a guy worked that hard to re-boot his career; lefty relievers hang around for a long time if they’re effective. We’ll see how this goes.

6) JJ Redick retired this week after a 15-year NBA career, during which he made 41.5% of his 3-point shots; he played for six different teams, scoring 12,028 points.

5) After being benched in his third game this season, QB Charlie Brewer has bolted the Utah Utes’ program; he is still eligible to play somewhere else next season. A four-year starter at Baylor, Brewer announced he would transfer to Utah back in December, but now a transfer from Texas is the #1 QB at Utah.

Brewer ain’t starting, so he’ll be departing.

4) Minnesota Vikings drafted 11 players last spring; in Sunday’s 34-33 loss at Arizona, none of those 11 guys played on offense or defense (few of them played on special teams), which isn’t a good look for the team’s front office.

3) Been a rough few weeks for everyone in Louisiana, because of the hurricane; the basketball team at U of New Orleans was displaced, but an old friend came thru for UNO athletic director Tim Duncan (not THAT Tim Duncan).

Duncan played ball at Memphis with Penny Hardaway, who is now the Tigers’ coach; UNO’s hoop team moved up to Memphis for most of the last three weeks— they were expected to ho back home sometime this week, where they hopefully can resume a normal existence.

2) Florida State’s football team is 0-3 for the first time since 1976.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Toronto @ Boston

[Udog]

PITTSBURGH is 4-18 SU (-17.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the curr...

DETROIT is 18-7 SU (15.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current ...

TAMPA BAY is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) in home games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 9-21 SU (-16.9 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 17-29 SU (-19.3 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

TEXAS are 14-26 SU (-19.7 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 37-60 SU (-28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

NY METS are 7-20 SU (-15.3 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in the...

MILWAUKEE is 47-24 SU (27.8 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 15-45 SU (-31.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the current season.

COLORADO is 45-22 SU (28 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 37-54 SU (-29.1 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

ARIZONA is 19-41 SU (-24.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

SEATTLE is 54-26 SU (21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 25-5 SU (18.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, September 22

NL games
Pittsburgh (57-94) @ Cincinnati (78-74)
— bullpen game

— Pirates are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
— over 11-7-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— record in first 5 innings: 46-85-18

— Castillo is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-31
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-3
— He is 5-3, 2.35 in 11 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Reds are 4-7 in last 11 home games.
— under 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-152
— record in first 5 innings: 70-61-21

Washington (62-89) @ Miami (64-87)
— Gray is 0-1, 6.35 in nine starts.
— Washington is 3-6 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in one start vs Miami.

— Washington is 20-46 in its last 66 games.
— Nationals are 3-7 in last ten road games.
— over 30-15-3 last 48 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-153
— record in first 5 innings: 63-64-26

— Hernandez is 1-1, 3.91 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 4-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-4
— He is 2-2, 6.61 in 10 games (5 starts) vs Washington.

— Marlins are 7-6 in last 13 games.
— Miami is 8-5 in last 13 home games.
— under 18-11-2 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-152
— record in first 5 innings: 57-71-24

St Louis (81-69) @ Milwaukee (91-60)
— Mikolas is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 4-1, 4.06 in six starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won 17 of last 24 games.
— St Louis is 8-3 in its last 11 road games.
— Over is 4-3 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 57-150
— record in first 5 innings: 71-57-22

— Anderson is 0-3, 7.36 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-11 in his starts.
— under 9-1-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-4
— He is 2-3, 3.04 in five starts vs St Louis.

— Brewers are 38-21 in last 59 games.
— Milwaukee is 10-6 in last 16 home games.
— over 6-3 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 76-47-28

Los Angeles (97-54) @ Colorado (70-80)
— Buehler is 1-1, 5.09 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 20-10 in his starts.
— over 16-12-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5
— He is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts vs Colorado this year.

— Dodgers are 38-14 in last 52 games.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in last 11 road games.
— under 22-8-3 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 83-46-22

— Marquez is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 12-4 in his last 16 starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-2
— He is 2-1, 2.52 in ten starts vs Los Angeles.

— Colorado is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Rockies are 45-28 at home, 25-52 on road.
— under 11-3-2 last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-150
— record in first 5 innings: 60-68-22

Atlanta (79-70) @ Arizona (48-103)
— Anderson is 2-0, 4.66 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 4-9 in his last 13 starts.
— over 3-0-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Braves are 4-5 in last nine games.
— Atlanta is 5-7 in last 12 road games.
— under 18-8-4 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-149
— record in first 5 innings: 75-52-22

— Kelly is 0-3, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 10-15 in his starts.
— over 4-1-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-3
— He allowed 3 runs in 7 IP, in one start vs Atlanta.

— Arizona lost 18 of last 22 games.
— Arizona is 0-7 in its last seven home games.
— over 16-6-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-151
— record in first 5 innings: 55-82-14

San Francisco (98-53) @ San Diego (76-74)
— bullpen game

— Giants are 14-4 in last 18 games.
— Giants are 7-0 in last seven road games.
— Over is 10-5 in last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-151
— record in first 5 innings: 80-52-19

— Velasquez gave up 4 runs in 4 IP in his first start for San Diego.
— Padres are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-4, 4.02 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Padres lost 24 of last 34 games.
— San Diego is 3-7 in last ten home games.
— over 14-6-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-149
— record in first 5 innings: 61-69-19

AL games
Kansas City (69-83) @ Cleveland (74-76)
— Hernandez is 2-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 7-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He threw 3.2 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Cleveland.

— Royals are 10-13 in its last 23 games.
— Royals are 5-2 in last seven road games.
— under 36-19-6 last 61 games.
— scores run in first inning: 40-155
— record in first 5 innings: 57-75-23

— Allen is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 2-8 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in two starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Cleveland is 16-15 in last 31 games.
— Indians are 2-8 in last ten home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scores run in first inning: 44-150
— record in first 5 innings: 59-70-21

White Sox (85-66) @ Detroit (74-78)
— Lopez is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 4-4, 3.42 in 13 starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago is 12-11 in last 23 games.
— White Sox are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 82-44-25

— Mize is 1-2, 4.74 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 15-13 in his starts.
— under 17-8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-5
— He is 0-3, 4.24 in three starts vs Chicago this year.

— Detroit is 9-3 in its last 12 games.
— Detroit is 6-1 in last seven home games.
— under 30-15-3 last 48 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-152
— record in first 5 innings: 26-24-8 last 58

Texas (54-96) @ Bronx (86-66)
— Hearn is 4-0, 4.01 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs New York.

— Texas is 1-6 in last seven games.
— Texas is 6-3 in last nine road games.
— under 5-0 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-151
— record in first 5 innings: 52-82-17

— Kluber is 1-0, 3.95 in his last three starts.
— New York is 8-6 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
— He no-hit Texas May 19th in Arlington.

— New York is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— New York is 4-8 in last 12 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 34-152
— record in first 5 innings: 65-55-32

Toronto (85-66) @ Tampa Bay (93-59)
— bullpen game

— Toronto is 19-5 in last 24 games.
— Blue Jays are 10-2 in last 12 road games.
— Over is 6-4-2 in last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-150
— record in first 5 innings: 35-20-8 last 63

— Patino is 2-0, 4.74 in his last five starts.
— Tampa Bay is 7-7 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9
— He is 0-1, 7.88 in two starts vs Toronto this year.

— Tampa Bay is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Rays are 14-7 in last 21 home games.
— over 23-15-5 last 43 games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-152
— record in first 5 innings: 64-56-32

Houston (90-61) @ Angels (72-79)
— Garcia is 2-1, 3.25 in his last five starts.
— Houston is 15-11 in his starts.
— under 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 17-7-2
— He is 1-1, 5.21 in four starts vs Anaheim this year.

— Astros are 13-9 in last 22 games.
— Astros are 5-1 in last six road games.
— over 10-4-3 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-151
— record in first 5 innings: 82-48-21

— bullpen game

— Angels lost their last five games.
— Angels are 5-8 in last 13 home games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 44-151
— record in first 5 innings: 62-71-18

Seattle (82-69) @ Oakland (82-69)
— Flexen is 2-1, 3.72 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 19-9 in his starts.
— over 15-13
— allowed run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-2
— He is 1-2, 4.00 in three starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 14-8 in last 22 games.
— Seattle is 11-3 in last 14 road games.
— over 12-4-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-151
— record in first 5 innings: 66-63-22

— Irvin is 1-1, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 14-15 in his starts.
— under 11-7-2 last 20
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-2
— He is 0-3, 8.49 in three starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s won five of last seven games.
— Oakland is 5-5 in last ten home games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-151
— record in first 5 innings: 69-59-23

Interleague games
Baltimore (48-103) @ Philadelphia (77-74)
— Akin is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 4-12 in his starts.
— over 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 2-12-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Orioles are 9-37 in their last 46 games.
— Baltimore is 25-52 on road, 23-51 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 48-84-19

— Wheeler is starts.
— Mets are 15-16 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-2
— He is 1-0, 2.04 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— Phillies are 6-8 in last 14 games.
— Phillies are 43-33 at home, 34-41 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 64-57-30

Mets (73-78) @ Boston (87-65)
— Walker is 0-7, 7.24 in his last 12 games.
— Mets are 2-8 in his last 10 starts.
— over 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-4
— He is 0-0, 1.79 in two starts vs Boston.

— Mets lost seven of last nine games.
— Mets are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— over 6-4 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-151
— record in first 5 innings: 58-75-18

— Sale is 4-0, 3.64 in six starts.
— Boston is 5-1 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts against the Mets.

— Boston is 8-6 in its last 14 games.
— Red Sox are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— over 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 51-152
— record in first 5 innings: 67-61-24

Minnesota (66-85) @ Cubs (67-84)
— Ryan is 1-1, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP vs Chicago September 1.

— Minnesota is 8-8 in its last 16 games.
— Twins are 6-4 in last ten road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-150
— record in first 5 innings: 48-75-27

— Hendricks is 0-1, 8.77 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 17-13 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-2
— He is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Cubs are 10-9 in last 19 games.
— Chicago is 1-5 in last six home games.
— Over is 17-8 in last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-150
— record in first 5 innings: 58-74-18

[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, September 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

Chi White Sox @ Detroit
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Washington @ Miami
Washington
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington

Texas @ NY Yankees
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Texas

Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore

NY Mets @ Boston
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Chi Cubs
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Angels's last 25 games when playing Houston

Atlanta @ Arizona
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Arizona's last 19 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Seattle @ Oakland
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 22

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, September 22




 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Wednesday September 22
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 15-0 since June 1 as a road favorite of more than -185.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-29 since May 12, 2021 in the last game of a series if they did not lose by 9+ runs last game and the last game did not go under by 4+ runs.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago Cubs (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 0-6 OU since September 2019 when they had at least 15 hits last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- Walker Buehler is 9-0 since August 27, 2019 as a road favorite of more than -185.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


 

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

PIT at CIN 12:35 PM
PIT +239
+500

CHW at DET 01:10 PM
CHW -165
+500

TOR at TB 03:10 PM
TB -113
+500

KC at CLE 06:10 PM
CLE -101
+500

WAS at MIA 06:40 PM
WAS +112
+500

BAL at PHI 07:05 PM
PHI -314
+500

TEX at NYY 07:05 PM
NYY -262
+500

NYM at BOS 07:10 PM
NYM +153
+500

MIN at CHC 07:40 PM
CHC +111
+500

STL at MIL 07:40 PM
STL +119
+500

LAD at COL 08:40 PM
COL +174
+500

HOU at LAA 09:38 PM
HOU -192
+500

SEA at OAK 09:40 PM
SEA +128
+500

ATL at ARI 09:40 PM
ATL -173
+500

SF at SD 10:10 PM
SF +103
+500
 

[StarDust Bum]

MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/22/2021.......10-2-0.......83.33%......+46.80
09/21/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%.......+19.10
09/20/2021........6-5-0.......54.54%........+5.75
09/19/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%......+13.50
09/18/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%.......-10.55
09/17/2021........9-5-0.......64.29%......+19.15
09/16/2021........2-5-0.......28.57%........-25.75
09/15/2021........6-9-0.......40.00%........-22.75
09/14/2021.......6-10-0.......37.50%.......-39.90
09/13/2021........4-3-0.......57.14%..........-4.65
09/12/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-36.25
09/11/2021........8-8-0.......50.00%.........-17.95
09/10/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-30.85
09/09/2021........6-2-0.......75.00%........+20.75
09/08/2021........9-6-0.......60.00%........+13.90
09/07/2021........9-7-0.......56.25%........+24.75
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70

Totals:...........149-136-1.......52.28%......-29.50


Best Bets:

09/22/2021.......5-0-0......100.00%......+31.80
09/21/2021.......4-3-0.......57.14%.......+15.25
09/20/2021.......3-2-0.......54.54%.......+16.40
09/19/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+18.55
09/18/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%..........+4.55
09/17/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%.........- 0.10
09/16/2021.......0-3-0........00.00%........-15.00
09/15/2021.......2-4-0........33.33%.........- 3.30
09/14/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%........+ 2.25
09/13/2021.......1-3-0........25.00%.........- 9.65
09/12/2021.......1-3-0 .......25.00%........- 12.40
09/11/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%........+ 3.95
09/10/2021.......2-5-0........28.57%........- 13.25
09/09/2021.......3-0-0......100.00%.......+ 20.05
09/08/2021.......5-1-0.......83.33%........+ 26.60
09/07/2021.......4-4-0.......50.00%........+ 16.85
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%........+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%........+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%.........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%.........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%........- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%........- 10.70


Totals.............60-65-0.......48.00%.......+101.40

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
817— Derek Carr, LV
689— Kyler Murray, Ariz
680— Patrick Mahomes, KC
675— Justin Herbert, LAC
655— Tom Brady, TB
640— Dak Prescott, Dal

Quote of the Day
“Belichick wanted him out the door, and last year he threw 56 touchdowns. I think that’s a pretty good year.”
Tom Brady Sr, talking about his son’s leaving New England

Thursday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Carolina Panthers in their two Super Bowls?

Wednesday’s quiz
Terry Francona managed the Red Sox when they won the World Series in 2004 and 2007.

Tuesday’s quiz
When baseball split into divisions in 1969, Atlanta Braves won the National League West that year; they lost to the Mets in the NLCS.


****************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Tampa Bay Rays clinched their third straight playoff spot Wednesday; they’re 94-59 this year, are jogging to the AL East title. Kevin Cash has done a hell of a job managing them; too bad they don’t draw very well. Have a feeling that when baseball expands in a couple years, the Rays could wind up north of the border, in Montreal maybe?

12) Since 1990, NFL teams that started a season 0-2 made the playoffs only 11.6% of the time; those odds will go up, since the season is now 17 games instead of 16, but still, 0-2 ain’t good.

11) Since 2000, these NFL teams have started the most different QB’s:
29— Cleveland
26— Chicago (Justin Fields will be #26 this week)
24— Washington
23— Miami

10) Jeff Driskel is the backup QB for Houston tonight; technically he is their #4 QB, but Tyros Taylor is hurt and Deshaun Watson has other issues, so rookie Davis Mills and Driskel are it for the Texans this week.

Hopefully Driskel writes a book someday; he played four years for the Florida Gators, then played his last year of college at Louisiana Tech. 49ers drafted him in the 6th round of the 2016 draft, but he never played for them. Here is Driskel’s resume:

2018: Bengals 1-4 as starter, 1,003 PY, 6 TD’s, 2 INT
2019: Lions 0-3 as starter, 685 PY, 4 TD’s, 4 INT
2020: Broncos 0-1 as starter, 432 PY, 3 TD’s, 2 INT

Four years, four teams. Quite an experience.

9) Kyle Schwarber has nine home runs in 10 games against the Mets this year.

8) Speaking of the Mets, Taijuan Walker gave up six runs in 2+ IP in Boston Wednesday; Walker was 7-3, 2.06 at the All-Star break this year, made the All-Star team, but in 13 starts since then, Walker is 0-8, 8.03 in 13 starts. A disturbing reversal of fortune.

7) Cardinals 10, Brewers 2— St Louis won its 11th straight game, have a 4.5 game lead over the Reds/Phillies for the second Wild Card spot.

6) Giants 8, Padres 6— Buster Posey had four hits, scored three runs; Giants have a 2-game lead over the Dodgers in the NL West.

5) NFL QB changes:
— Davis Mills gets his first NFL start for Houston tonight.
— Jacoby Brissett starts for Miami this week when they visit Las Vegas.
— Justin Fields gets his first NFL when the Bears visit Cleveland.

4) Minnesota Timberwolves fired President of Basketball Operations Gersson Rosas; weird time to do it, so close to the start of training camp.

Timberwolves will switch ownership to Alex Rodriguez and Marc Lore in 2023; you wonder if they wanted Rosas out, and let current owner Glen Taylor do the dirty work for them.

3) Braves’ OF Eddie Rosario hit for the cycle the other night; in the four at-bats where he got his hits, he saw a total of five pitches, which has to be some kind of a record.

2) Raiders’ kicker Daniel Carlson admitted his 14-point performance in Pittsburgh LW led to his losing a fantasy football game where he was playing against himself.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: New York @ Boston


 

[Udog]

CLEVELAND is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 47-26 SU (25.8 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

COLORADO is 47-22 SU (30.4 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 56-26 SU (23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

ARIZONA is 11-31 SU (-21.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-6 SU (18.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season...

CLEVELAND is 32-18 SU (16.1 Units) vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in the ...

WASHINGTON is 19-29 SU (-17.3 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 5-18 SU (-16.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the curr...

TEXAS are 4-17 SU (-14.7 Units) in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs in the last 3 ...

MINNESOTA is 10-37 SU (-26 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

HOUSTON is 20-8 SU (14 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.


 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 23




 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 23

NL games
St Louis (82-69) @ Milwaukee (91-61)
— Wainwright is 5-0, 1.73 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 20-10 in his starts.
— under 17-12-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-5
— He is 1-1, 2.60 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year.

— Cardinals won 11 in row, 18 of last 25 games.
— St Louis is 9-3 in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 58-151
— record in first 5 innings: 72-57-22

— Houser is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 17-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-2
— He is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

— Brewers lost their last four games.
— Milwaukee is 10-7 in last 17 home games.
— over 7-3 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 76-48-28

Los Angeles (97-55) @ Colorado (71-80)
— Scherzer is 4-0, 0.25 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 9-0 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 9-0
— He is 0-3, 5.88 in five starts at Coors Field.

— Dodgers are 38-15 in last 53 games.
— Dodgers are 6-6 in last 12 road games.
— under 22-9-3 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 83-47-22

— Freeland is 1-2, 6.06 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 11-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-5
— He is 1-2, 3.00 in three starts vs Los Angeles this year.

— Colorado is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Rockies are 46-28 at home, 25-52 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-151
— record in first 5 innings: 61-68-22

Atlanta (80-70) @ Arizona (48-104)
— Morton is 1-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 18-9-3
— He is 5-1, 3.67 in ten starts vs Arizona.

— Braves won their last four games.
— Atlanta is 6-7 in last 12 road games.
— under 18-9-4 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-150
— record in first 5 innings: 76-52-22

— Bumgarner is 0-3, 6.30 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 9-15 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 10-24
— record in first 5 innings: 19-13-2
— He is 8-3, 2.52 in 14 starts vs Atlanta.

— Arizona lost 19 of last 23 games.
— Arizona is 0-8 in its last eight home games.
— over 17-6-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-152
— record in first 5 innings: 55-83-14

San Francisco (99-53) @ San Diego (76-75)
— Webb is 5-0, 2.36 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 16-1 in his last 17 starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-4
— He is starts vs San Diego.

— Giants are 15-4 in last 19 games.
— Giants are 8-0 in last eight road games.
— Over is 11-5 in last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 81-52-19

— Darvish is 1-4, 7.62 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 16-12 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-9
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in three starts vs San Francisco this year.

— Padres lost 25 of last 35 games.
— San Diego is 3-8 in last 11 home games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-70-19

Washington (63-89) @ Cincinnati (78-74)
— Corbin is 1-3, 7.96 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 12-17 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 13-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-4
— He is 2-4, 4.53 in nine starts vs Cincinnati.

— Washington is 21-46 in its last 67 games.
— Nationals are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— over 31-15-3 last 49 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-154
— record in first 5 innings: 64-64-26

— Castillo is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-31
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-3
— He is 0-3, 5.48 in four starts vs Washington.

— Cincinnati is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Reds are 4-7 in last 11 home games.
— under 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-152
— record in first 5 innings: 70-61-21

Pittsburgh (57-94) @ Philadelphia (78-74)
— bullpen game

— Pirates are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
— over 11-7-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— record in first 5 innings: 46-85-18

— Wheeler is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 14-16 in his starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-1
— He is 2-0, 2.22 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 6-2 in last eight games.
— Phillies are 44-33 at home, 34-41 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 64-57-31

AL games
White Sox (85-66) @ Cleveland (74-76)
— Lopez is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 2-3, 3.71 in seven starts vs Cleveland.

— bullpen game

— Chicago is 12-11 in last 23 games.
— White Sox are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 82-44-25

— Allen is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 2-8 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Civale is 1-2, 3.93 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 13-5 in his starts.
— over 11-7
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 4-2, 3.51 in six starts vs Chicago

— Cleveland is 16-15 in last 31 games.
— Indians are 2-8 in last ten home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scores run in first inning: 44-150
— record in first 5 innings: 59-70-21

Seattle (83-69) @ Oakland (82-70)
— Kikuchi is starts.
— Mariners are 19-9 in his starts.
— over 15-13
— allowed run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-2
— He is starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 15-8 in last 23 games.
— Seattle is 12-3 in last 15 road games.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-152
— record in first 5 innings: 67-63-22

— Bassitt is 2-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— His last start was August 17; he got his cheekbone broken by a line drive.
— A’s are 17-8 in his starts.
— under 14-11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-7
— He is 0-0, 8.00 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s are 14-21 in their last 35 games.
— Oakland is 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— Under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-152
— record in first 5 innings: 69-60-23

Texas (54-97) @ Baltimore (48-104)
— Otto allowed 15 runs in 6.2 IP in his last two starts.
— Rangers are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings:1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Texas is 1-7 in last eight games.
— Texas is 6-4 in last ten road games.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-152
— record in first 5 innings: 53-82-17

— Lowther is 0-2, 11.85 in four starts.
— Baltimore is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Orioles are 9-38 in their last 47 games.
— Baltimore is 25-53 on road, 23-51 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 48-84-20

Toronto (85-67) @ Minnesota (67-85)
— Matz is 3-0, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 14-13 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-8-3
— He is 1-0, 3.72 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Toronto is 19-6 in last 25 games.
— Blue Jays are 10-3 in last 13 road games.
— Over is 6-5-2 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 35-21-8 last 64

— Pineda is 2-0, 3.38 in his last two starts.
— Twins are 8-11 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 3-5, 4.29 in 15 starts vs Toronto.

— Minnesota is 9-8 in its last 17 games.
— Twins are 2-7 in last nine home games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-151
— record in first 5 innings: 49-75-27

Houston (91-61) @ Angels (72-80)
— McCullers is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 16-10 in his starts.
— over 14-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-3
— He is 1-1, 2.10 in four starts vs Anaheim this year.

— Astros are 14-9 in last 23 games.
— Astros are 6-1 in last seven road games.
— over 11-4-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-152
— record in first 5 innings: 83-48-21

— Cobb is 3-0, 1.65 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 11-5 in his starts.
— over 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-1
— He is 1-3, 8.50 in four starts vs Houston.

— Angels lost their last six games.
— Angels are 5-9 in last 14 home games.
— under 6-4-1 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 44-152
— record in first 5 innings: 62-72-18