Da Bum's 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[StarDust Bum]

MLB Aug Record Opinions & Best Bets !!

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/03/2021......7-8-0 ......46.66%.....-19.25
08/02/2021......4-3-0......57.14%......+8.05
08/01/2021..... 6-9-0 .....40.00% .....-24.35

Totals............17-20-0......45.94%.....-35.55


Best Bets:

08/03/2021............2 - 2...................+ 5.05
08/02/2021............2 - 1...................+13.60
08/01/2021............1 - 6....................-24.90

Totals.....................5 - 9....................- 5.95

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds of FedEx PGA event in Memphis this week:
12-1— Brooks Koepka
14-1— Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele
16-1— Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas
18-1— Rory McIlroy
20-1— Dustin Johnson
22-1— Daniel Berger, Louis Oosthuizen

Quote of the Day.
“Crazy. Crazy’s the understatement, too. It was a lot easier before kids and dogs and everything, but now with three kids and four dogs, life’s a lot more hectic. We’re picking the circus up from D.C. and trying to get it to L.A. as soon as possible.”
Max Scherzer, on being traded to the Dodgers

Wednesday’s quiz
How many home runs did Babe Ruth hit for the Red Sox?

Tuesday’s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State

Monday’s quiz
Jose Abreu led the major leagues in total bases last year.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Lot of money being thrown around by NBA teams this week; Stephen Curry signed a 4-year contract extension with Golden State worth $215M, as in $51.25M a year, $625,000 a game, whether he plays or not. Being a great shooter is profitable these days.

12) Atlanta Braves’ last 17 games:
WLWLWLWLWLWLWLWL.W

Braves are trying to get back to .500 today; they haven’t been over .500 yet this year.

11) USA 95, Spain 81— Game was tied at the half, but the Americans pulled away in the second half and even covered the 12-point spread.

Next up for Team USA is a date with Australia, which whacked Argentina 97-59 Tuesday.

10) Pirates 8, Brewers 5 (10):
— Pirates RF Gregory Polanco made a game-saving catch in 9th inning, robbing Eduardo Escobar of a walk-off home run.
— Polanco also drove in the go-ahead run in the 10th inning.
— Adrian Houser no-hit Pirates for 6.1 innings, but was taken out after throwing 104 pitches.

9) Las Vegas sportsbooks adjusted the total on the Week 1 Seattle-Indy game, moving the total down from 52 to 45.5, upon hearing about Carson Wentz’s injury. Lot of places took the spread on the game off the board.

8) Retired QB Philip Rivers is making noise about un-retiring; right now, Rivers is the new football coach at St. Michael Catholic HS in Fairhope, AL,

“I’m not quite there,. I’m getting back there. I wouldn’t have made weight if I had to report last week, that’s for sure. But I am getting back into the lifting and running, and shoot, I occasionally throw a ball around out here in this heat. It’s not too hard to get a good lather going.”

“I want to make sure I’m very clear: I’m not predicting I will play in December or January, for that matter. One, you’ve got to have somebody who wants you, and two, it’s got to be right. But I have not completely ruled that out.”

Rivers played for the Colts last year; Carson Wentz has an injured foot, will miss the start of the season. St Michael’s may need an interim football coach pretty soon.

7) I’m told that quarterback is an important position in the NFL; in the three years that Baker Mayfield has played for Cleveland, he is 23-22 as the starting QB. Cleveland has +4 turnover ratio in those three years. Big improvement.

Year before Mayfield joined the Browns, Cleveland had a minus-28 turnover ratio.

6) I’m very, very curious how Urban Meyer will handle Jacksonville’s preseason games:

— Will he try to win, to “establish a winning culture”?
— How much will rookie QB Trevor Lawrence play?
— Winning/losing the three preseason games DOES NOT MATTER, but Meyer has to get used to the differences between college and NFL games. Those three games will help.

5) 42 years ago this week, Tony LaRussa began his managerial career, leading the White Sox in a game against Toronto. Blue Jays’ 2nd baseman that day was Danny Ainge, better known for his basketball exploits.

Ainge ht .220 in 221 MLB games, then played 14 years in the NBA, before becoming a coach and front office executive in the NBA.

4) Over weekend, Texas Rangers’ C Jonah Heim hit walk-off homers in consecutive games; he is the first rookie EVER to do that.

3) Willie Adames was hitting .197 when Tampa Bay traded him to the Brewers, but he’s been a big help for Milwaukee, hitting .295, with 43 RBI in 64 games with the Brewers.

2) Marlins’ P Jesus Luzardo is the first major leaguer who was born in Peru.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Boston

[Udog]

951PITTSBURGH -952 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 23-5 SU (17.5 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 17-33 SU (-22.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

955NY METS -956 MIAMI
NY METS are 4-16 SU (-16.9 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

957ATLANTA -958 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 230-230 SU (35.2 Units) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1996.

959CHICAGO CUBS -960 COLORADO
COLORADO is 33-15 SU (21.8 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

961SAN FRANCISCO -962 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 8-31 SU (-26.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

963SEATTLE -964 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 SU (7.5 Units) in home games when the money line is -100 to -150 in the current season.

965BALTIMORE -966 NY YANKEES
BALTIMORE is 25-37 SU (-19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

967CLEVELAND -968 TORONTO
TORONTO is 30-19 SU (10 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

969BOSTON -970 DETROIT
DETROIT is 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) when playing on Wednesday in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, August 4

NL games
Philadelphia (54-53) @ Washington (49-58)
— Anderson is 2-4, 6.96 in eight starts this year.
— His last start was May 16.
— Phillies are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is 1-2, 10.47 in four starts vs Washington.

— Phillies are 8-9 in their last 17 games.
— Phillies are 31-21 at home, 23-32 on road.
— over 19-7 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-107
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-23

— Espino is 1-0, 2.35 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 8 IP in 4 games (1 start) vs Philly.

— Washington is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Nationals are 5-10 in last 15 home games.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 35-106
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-20

Mets (55-51) @ Miami (46-61)
— Carrasco allowed one run in 4 IP (58 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Mets are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 0-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in two starts (11.1 IP) vs Miami.

— Mets are 20-26 in their last 46 games.
— Mets are 3-7 in last ten road games.
— under 8-5-2 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-106
— record in first 5 innings: 45-49-12

— Thompson is 0-2, 3.92 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Marlins are 17-25 in their last 42 games.
— Miami is 5-8 in last 13 home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-107
— record in first 5 innings: 40-47-20

Pittsburgh (41-66) @ Milwaukee (64-44)
— Brault is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 12-15, 4.68 in 100 career games (45 starts)
— He is 1-3, 3.64 in 12 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates are 5-14 in last 19 games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-10 in last 15 road games.
— over 18-9-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-106
— record in first 5 innings: 34-60-12

— Peralta is 2-1, 1.91 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-6 in his starts.
— under 9-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
— He is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts vs Pittsburgh this year.

— Brewers are 11-5 in last 16 games.
— Milwaukee is 3-7 in last ten home games.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-108
— record in first 5 innings: 54-34-20

Atlanta (53-54) @ St Louis (53-53)
— Smyly is 0-0, 3.95 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 13-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-2
— He is 1-0, 1.86 in two starts vs St Louis.

— Braves’ last 17 games: WLWLWLWLWLWLWLWLW.
— Atlanta is 9-5 in last 14 road games.
— under 7-4-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-107
— record in first 5 innings: 54-39-14

— Happ is making his St Louis debut here.
— He was 0-2, 11.25 in his last three starts for Minnesota.
— Twins were 9-10 in his starts.
— over 13-6
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2
— He is 4-0, 2.72 in eight starts vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals are 17-12 in last 29 games.
— St Louis is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— Under is 24-16-2 in their last 42 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-106
— record in first 5 innings: 42-45-19

Cubs (51-57) @ Colorado (47-60)
— Mills is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Cubs are 9-24 in last 33 games.
— Chicago is 2-7 in its last nine road games.
— Under is 8-6 in last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-108
— record in first 5 innings: 45-50-13

— Gray is 2-0, 2.59 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 9-10 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-6
— He is 1-1, 5.25 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Colorado is 22-19 in its last 41 games.
— Rockies are 34-20 at home, 13-40 on road.
— under 18-11 last 29 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-108
— record in first 5 innings: 43-49-16

San Francisco (66-40) @ Arizona (34-73)
— Gausman is 0-2, 8.49 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 13-8 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-3
— He is 2-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

— Giants are 9-8 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— Over is 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-106
— record in first 5 innings: 57-36-13

— Gallen is 0-2, 3.38 in his last four home starts.
— Arizona is 3-9 in his starts.
— over 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6
— He is 0-2, 13.50 in two starts (4.2 IP) vs San Francisco this year.

— Arizona is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
— Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— over 11-8 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-106
— record in first 5 innings: 39-59-8

AL games
Cleveland (52-52) @ Toronto (55-49)
— Mejia is 0-4, 10.71 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 3-7 in his starts.
— over 5-5
— allowed run in first inning: 6-10
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-2
— He threw 1.2 scoreless IP in relief stint vs Toronto.

— Cleveland is 12-22 in last 34 games.
— Indians are 5-11 in last 16 road games.
— over 9-6-1 last 16 road games
— scores run in first inning: 32-104
— record in first 5 innings: 38-50-16

— Matz is 1-3, 5.00 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 4-10 in his last 14 starts.
— over 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 2-0, 1.47 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Toronto won five of last six games.
— Blue Jays are 4-1 in Toronto so far.
— Under is 8-2-2 in last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-104
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6 last 18

Baltimore (38-68) @ Bronx (57-49)
— Harvey is 4-0, 1.14 in his last four starts.
— Orioles won his last six starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-1
— He is 2-0, 1.60 in five starts vs New York.

— Orioles are 10-6 in last 16 games.
— Baltimore is 21-37 on road, 17-31 at home.
— over is 44-25-1 in their last 70 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-106
— record in first 5 innings: 35-55-16

— Taillon is 6-0, 2.53 in his last seven starts
— New York is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 12-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.2 IP, in one start vs Baltimore.

— New York is 16-7 in last 23 games.
— New York is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— over 8-3-1 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-106 (0 of last 21)
— record in first 5 innings: 44-41-21

Boston (63-45) @ Detroit (52-57)
— Rodriguez is 1-2, 6.60 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 13-7 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He is 4-1, 2.91 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Boston lost its last five games.
— Red Sox are 8-13 in last 21 road games.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-108
— record in first 5 innings: 48-44-16

— Mize is 2-1, 3.14 in his last six starts.
— Tigers are 12-8 in his starts.
— under 14-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in one start vs Boston.

— Detroit is 5-6 in its last 11 games.
— Detroit is 4-9 in last 13 road games.
— over 28-20-1 last 49 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-109
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6 last 16

Seattle (58-50) @ Tampa Bay (64-44)
— Gilbert is 3-0, 3.92 in his last four starts.
— Mariners won his last 11 starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 5.2 IP, in a June 19 start vs Tampa Bay.

— Seattle is 27-14 in its last 41 games.
— Seattle is 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-108
— record in first 5 innings: 50-49-9

— Fleming is 8-5, 4.15 in 17 games (9 starts).
— Rays are 4-5 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He gave up 5 runs in 6.1 IP, in one start vs Seattle.

— Tampa Bay won four of last six games.
— Rays are 15-7 in last 22 home tilts.
— under is 9-6 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-108
— record in first 5 innings: 42-40-26

Angels (52-53) @ Texas (38-68)
— Ohtani is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts (9 IP) vs Texas this year.

— Angels lost five of last eight games.
— Angels are 4-5 in last nine road games.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-107
— record in first 5 innings: 47-47-13

— Allard is 0-7, 8.83 in his last seven starts.
— Rangers are 1-10 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 1-9-1
— He is 0-0, 3.95 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Anaheim.

— Texas won three of last four games, after a 1-15 skid.
— Texas is 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 7-5-1 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-107
— record in first 5 innings: 34-59-14

Kansas City (45-60) @ White Sox (63-44)
— Hernandez is 1-1, 4.97 in three starts.
— Kansas City is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He blanked Chicago for 6 IP last week.

— Royals lost their last four games.
— Royals are 2-13 in last 15 road games.
— under 11-1-2 last 14 games.
— scores run in first inning: 21-105
— record in first 5 innings: 38-54-13

— Giolito is 2-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 10-11 in his starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
— He is 1-1, 3.71 in three starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— White Sox are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-107
— record in first 5 innings: 59-31-17

Interleague games
Minnesota (45-62) @ Cincinnati (56-51)
— Barnes allowed a run in 4.2 IP (68 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Detroit is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Reds.

— Minnesota is 6-12 in its last 18 games.
— Twins are 5-12 in last 17 road games.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 37-107
— record in first 5 innings: 32-53-22

— Castillo is 3-0, 1.81 in his last seven starts.
— Reds are 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2
— He gave up 9 runs in 5 IP in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Cincinnati is 9-8 in its last 17 games.
— Reds are 4-6 in last ten home games.
— over 7-3 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-107
— record in first 5 innings: 49-43-16

San Diego (62-47) @ Oakland (60-48)
— Musgrove is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Padres are 11-9 in his starts.
— under 10-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
— He is 1-2, 3.13 in 8 games (4 starts) vs Oakland.

— Padres are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— over 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 45-47-17

— Montas is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-4
— He gave up 1 run in 6.2 IP, in one start vs San Diego.

— A’s won four of last six games.
— Oakland is 11-7 in last 18 home games.
— Under is 21-12 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-108
— record in first 5 innings: 47-41-20

Houston (65-42) @ Dodgers (64-43)
— Odorizzi is 1-1, 6.92 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 6-7 in his starts.
— over 8-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5
— He hasn’t pitched against LA.

— Astros are 9-4 in last 13 games.
— Astros are 10-4 in last 14 road games.
— over 15-10 in last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-107
— record in first 5 innings: 59-34-14

— Scherzer makes his Dodger debut here.
— He was 3-0, 4.01 in his last six starts for Washington.
— Nationals were 11-8 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-6
— He is 3-1, 3.38 in six starts vs Houston.

— Dodgers are 5-4 in last nine games.
— Dodgers are 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-107
— record in first 5 innings: 55-34-18

[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, August 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Cincinnati
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Tampa Bay is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh

San Diego @ Oakland
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Toronto
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 23 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Boston @ Detroit
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games on the road
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Atlanta @ St. Louis
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Colorado
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 13 games at home

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

Houston @ LA Dodgers
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 4

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, August 4

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at CIN 12:35 PM
MIN +208
+500

SEA at TB 01:10 PM
TB -150
+500

PIT at MIL 02:10 PM
PIT +220
+500

SD at OAK 03:37 PM
OAK -118
+500

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Wednesday August 4
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 9-0 SU since May 22, 2018 as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they lost by 5+ runs.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Yankees are 0-11 SU since May 16, 2021 after Aaron Judge hit a home run last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. ET)

-- The Braves are 0-10 OU (-3.45 ppg) since Oct 12, 2020 on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 15-0-1 SU since Jul 26, 2015 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of at least -137 when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

Evening Opinions and Best Bets !

PHI at WAS 07:05 PM
PHI +100
+500

BAL at NYY 07:05 PM
NYY -255
+500

CLE at TOR 07:07 PM
TOR -201
+500

BOS at DET 07:10 PM
DET +136
+500

NYM at MIA 07:10 PM
NYM -151
+500

LAA at TEX 08:05 PM
LAA -175
+500

KC at CHW 08:10 PM
CHW -261
+500

ATL at STL 08:15 PM
ATL -105
+500

CHC at COL 08:40 PM
COL -166
+500

SF at ARI 09:40 PM
SF -182
+500

HOU at LAD 09:40 PM
HOU +187
+500

[StarDust Bum]

MLB Aug Record Opinions & Best Bets !!

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/04/2021......9-6-0.......60.00%....+ 3.65
08/03/2021......7-8-0 ......46.66%.....-19.25
08/02/2021......4-3-0......57.14%......+8.05
08/01/2021..... 6-9-0 .....40.00% .....-24.35

Totals............26-26-0......50.00%.....-31.90


Best Bets:

08/04/2021............1 - 4...................- 15.00
08/03/2021............2 - 2...................+ 5.05
08/02/2021............2 - 1...................+13.60
08/01/2021............1 - 6....................-24.90

Totals.....................6 - 10.................- 20.95

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in RBI:
85— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
82— Shohei Ohtani, LAA, Rafael Devers, Bos
81— Jose Abreu, CWS
76— Jesus Aguilar Mia, Austin Meadows TB
75— Manny Machado, SD
73— Bo Bichette, Tor

Quote of the Day.
“Look, they know what we don’t want. It doesn’t mean we’re not going to have a couple of heated battles in there, but to me, where you end up having a problem is when you start having all-out brawls all practice long, and it’s like, ‘Oh my God, here we go. We got a 10-minute period, and eight minutes of it is fighting amongst the team?’ It’s counterproductive, and you got to do something about it because you’re not getting work done.”
Detroit Lions coach Dan Campbell

Thursday’s quiz
Who played in the first Super Bowl?

Wednesday’s quiz
Babe Ruth hit 49 home runs for the Red Sox

Tuesday’s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State

***************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) USA 97, Australia 78:
— Americans advance to the gold medal game.
— Australia led 41-26 in 2nd quarter.
— Down 45-42 at the half, USA outscored Australia 32-10 in 3rd quarter.
— Other semi-final is France-Slovenia at 7am, when I will be sound asleep

12) Next week is the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas, which is great fun to watch, but for the love of God, please do not wager on these games. I’ve told this story before, but…….

Several years ago, I’m in Cox Pavilion at UNLV with my friend Dennis watching summer league games. Guy who looks like a bodybuilder sits in front of us, drink in hand, talking loudly about the team he wagered on. “Team A won by 20 yesterday; they’re GOING TO KILL this team” and so on and so on, until right before the opening tap.

One small problem; Team A didn’t play the same guys that day they did in their last game, and they got spanked pretty badly. The guy in front of us was steaming; not even sure if he knew different guys were playing, but we moved our location for the second half, to get away from the inevitable explosion when he lost.

NBA teams need to see all the guys on their summer league roster to see who they want to invite to training camp; they also don’t overwork the guys they know are keepers, so the scrubs get a good look in front of scouts for pro leagues overseas. Lot of the people in the strands at summer league are scouts for pro leagues in other countries.

11) Miami Heat signed G Duncan Robinson to a 5-year, $90M contract, which is amazing, seeing how Robinson once played D-III college ball at Williams College, before he transferred to D-I at Michigan. Nowadays, skilled shooters get paid major money.

In the 2013-14 season, Robinson played D-III ball, which is really good at the highest level, but no one there has any delusions about becoming a millionaire playing hoops. D-III teams don’t give scholarships, kids pay to go to school and play ball. They play because they love it.

Seriously, someone needs to make a movie out of this guy’s career someday.

10) Speaking of career paths, here is PJ Tucker’s:
2006-07— Toronto Raptors, NBA
2007— Colorado in the G-League
2007-08— Hapoel Holon in Israel
2008-10— Donetsk in Ukraine
2010— Bnei Hasharon in Israel
2010-11— Aris Thessaloniki in Greece
2011— Sutor Montegranaro in Italy
2011-12— Brose Baskets in Germany
2012-17— Phoenix Suns, NBA
2017— Toronto Raptors, NBA
2017-21— Houston Rockets, NBA
2021— Milwaukee Bucks, NBA

PJ Tucker just signed a 2-year contract worth $15M with Miami. Hard work pays off.

9) Tucker is 36 years old; he scored 98 points in 23 playoff games for the Bucks this year, but they won the NBA title in large part because Tucker does the little things that help teams win, and smart guys like Pat Riley/Erik Spoelstra value that.

8) Minnesota Twins are 42-20 when they allow 5 or fewer runs, 3-43 when they allow 6+ runs.

7) 37-year old Cole Hamels is going to sign on with the Dodgers; Hamels has started 422 MLB games, has a 163-122 record- he only pitched one game for Atlanta LY before getting hurt. He is 7-6, 3.41 in 16 playoff games. Dodgers can use him if he is healthy.

6) A’s 5, Padres 4 (10)
— A’s scored 2 in ninth to tie game; Yan Gomes had a huge hit.
— Matt Olson won with a 2-run double in the 10th.

5) Angels’ 3B Anthony Rendon (hip) will have surgery, is out for the year.

4) Can the Miami Dolphins equal their 29 takeaways from last year? When a team has a +9 turnover ratio, it can be difficult to replicate that- they were minus-19 the previous three years. Dolphins just missed out of the playoffs LY; they’ll need better QB play this season.

3) Since 2015, Canadian Football League underdogs are 48-26-2 (65%) ATS in Weeks 1-4

2) Jimmy V Classic in New York City December 7; Villanova-Syracuse, an old Big East rivalry and Tennessee-Texas Tech.

One of these years, Jimmy V Classic has to include an Iona-NC State game, the two teams Jim Valvano was head coach of.

1) There is an NFL game on TV tonight, Cowboys-Steelers from the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton. Summer is going by way too fast.

[Udog]

901NY METS -902 MIAMI
NY METS are 4-17 SU (-18.1 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 COLORADO
COLORADO is 34-15 SU (23.3 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

905SAN FRANCISCO -906 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 8-31 SU (-26.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

907PHILADELPHIA -908 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 18-33 SU (-21.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

909PITTSBURGH -910 CINCINNATI
PITTSBURGH is 2-13 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

911ATLANTA -912 ST LOUIS
ATLANTA is 33-26 SU (7.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

913BOSTON -914 DETROIT
DETROIT is 12-2 SU (12.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

915LA ANGELS -916 TEXAS
TEXAS are 14-33 SU (-25.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917SEATTLE -918 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 61-40 SU (17 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

919CLEVELAND -920 TORONTO
TORONTO is 31-19 SU (11 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 5

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 5

NL games
Mets (56-51) @ Miami (46-62)
— Hill is 0-0, 6.30 in two starts for the Mets.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 12-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— He is 2-1, 5.48 in 5 games (4 starts) vs Miami.

— Mets are 21-26 in their last 47 games.
— Mets are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— under 8-6-2 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-107
— record in first 5 innings: 46-49-12

— Marlins haven’t named a starter.

— Marlins are 17-26 in their last 43 games.
— Miami is 5-9 in last 14 home games.
— under 6-4 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-108
— record in first 5 innings: 40-48-20

Cubs (52-57) @ Colorado (47-61)
— Arrieta is 0-4, 11.95 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 6-12 in his starts.
— under 12-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-1
— He is 2-3, 5.82 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Cubs are 10-24 in last 34 games.
— Chicago is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 9-6 in last 15 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 46-50-13

— Marquez is 5-2, 2.26 in his last eight starts.
— Rockies are 13-9 in his starts.
— under 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-1
— He is 1-2, 6.66 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Colorado is 22-20 in its last 42 games.
— Rockies are 34-21 at home, 13-40 on road.
— under 19-11 last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-109
— record in first 5 innings: 43-50-16

San Francisco (67-40) @ Arizona (34-74)
— Wood is 3-0, 3.95 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

— Giants are 10-8 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— Over is 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-107
— record in first 5 innings: 58-36-13

— Kelly is 2-1, 4.03 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 10-12 in his starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3
— He is 1-1, 5.06 in three starts vs San Francisco this year.

— Arizona is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
— over 12-8 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-107
— record in first 5 innings: 39-60-8

Philadelphia (55-53) @ Washington (49-59)
— Nola is 2-1, 3.81 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 10-11 in his starts.
— over 10-10-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-1
— He is 6-7, 3.89 in 22 starts vs Washington.

— Phillies are 4-0 in last four games.
— Phillies are 31-21 at home, 24-32 on road.
— over 20-7 last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-108
— record in first 5 innings: 43-42-23

— Ross is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 5-12 in his starts.
— under 12-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He is 0-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Washington is 7-16 in its last 23 games.
— Nationals are 5-11 in last 16 home games.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 36-107
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-20

Pittsburgh (41-67) @ Cincinnati (57-51)
— Crowe is 2-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Pirates are 5-15 in last 20 games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-11 in last 16 road games.
— over 18-10-1 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-107
— record in first 5 innings: 34-60-13

— Gray is 2-2, 6.86 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 7-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
— He is 3-3, 3.83 in seven starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati is 10-8 in its last 18 games.
— Reds are 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— over 8-3 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-108
— record in first 5 innings: 50-43-16

Atlanta (54-54) @ St Louis (53-54)
— Muller is 2-3, 1.88 in six starts.
— Braves are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

— Braves won three of last four games.
— Atlanta is 10-5 in last 15 road games.
— under 7-5-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-108
— record in first 5 innings: 54-40-14

— LeBlanc is 0-2, 2.93 in six starts.
— Cardinals are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-4
— He is 0-4, 6.28 in 12 games (4 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals are 17-13 in last 30 games.
— St Louis is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— Under is 24-17-2 in their last 43 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-107
— record in first 5 innings: 43-45-19

AL games
Boston (64-45) @ Detroit (52-58)
— Perez is 0-3, 7.64 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 12-9 in his starts.
— under 12-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 2-4, 6.33 in eight starts vs Detroit.

— Boston lost five of last six games.
— Red Sox are 9-13 in last 22 road games.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-109
— record in first 5 innings: 49-44-16

— Skubal is 1-3, 5.96 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 8-12 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Detroit is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Detroit is 4-10 in last 14 road games.
— over 28-21-1 last 50 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-110
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7 last 17

Angels (53-53) @ Texas (38-69)
— Bundy is 0-2, 10.22 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 5-10 in his starts.
— under 10-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
— He is 5-2, 3.51 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Texas.

— Angels lost five of last nine games.
— Angels are 5-5 in last ten road games.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-108
— record in first 5 innings: 48-47-13

— Howard is making his first start for Texas.
— He was 0-3, 6.59 in eight starts for Philly.
— Phillies were 3-5 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Texas lost 17 of last 20 games.
— Texas is 6-8 in last 14 home games.
— under 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-108
— record in first 5 innings: 34-60-14

Seattle (58-51) @ Bronx (58-49)
— TAnderson is 2-0, 3.09 in his last four starts.
— Mariners lost his first start for them.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Seattle is 27-15 in its last 42 games.
— Seattle is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 50-50-9

— Cortes is 0-0, 1.38 in three starts (13 IP)
— New York is 3-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He gave up a run in 1.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Seattle.

— New York is 17-7 in last 24 games.
— New York is 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-107 (0 of last 22)
— record in first 5 innings: 44-41-22

Cleveland (52-53) @ Toronto (56-49)
— McKenzie is 0-1, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Cleveland is 12-23 in last 35 games.
— Indians are 5-12 in last 17 road games.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 road games
— scores run in first inning: 32-105
— record in first 5 innings: 38-51-16

— Stripling is 1-0, 2.61 in his last two starts.
— Toronto is 8-9 in his starts.
— under 8-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 6.2 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Cleveland.

— Toronto won six of last seven games.
— Blue Jays are 5-1 in Toronto so far.
— Under is 8-3-2 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-105
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6 last 19

Kansas City (46-60) @ White Sox (63-45)
— Lynch is 1-1, 1.93 in his last two starts.
— Kansas City is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 8 runs in 0.2 IP vs Chicago May 8.

— Royals lost four of last five games.
— Royals are 3-13 in last 16 road games.
— under 11-2-2 last 15 games.
— scores run in first inning: 22-106
— record in first 5 innings: 39-54-13

— Keuchel is 1-1, 4.63 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 12-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-2
— He is 6-2, 2.76 in 12 starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— White Sox are 11-5 in last 16 home games.
— over 11-4 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-108
— record in first 5 innings: 59-32-17

Minnesota (45-63) @ Houston (65-42)
— Jax is 0-1, 5.14 in three starts.
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Minnesota is 6-13 in its last 19 games.
— Twins are 5-13 in last 18 road games.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 38-108
— record in first 5 innings: 32-54-22

— Valdez is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 9-3 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 7 IP vs Minnesota June 13.

— Astros are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Astros are 6-1 in last seven home games.
— over 16-10 in last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-108
— record in first 5 innings: 59-35-14