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[StarDust Bum]

MLB (PROFESSIONAL)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Cleveland at Minnesota - Saturday September 7, 2019
The Minnesota Twins come into today’s contests with a Dunkel home rating of 15.697. Minnesota is 16-5 in Jake Odorizzi’s last 21 home starts. The Cleveland Indians come in with a Dunkel road rating of 14.170. Cleveland is 1-6 in its last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Minnesota Twins come in with a Dunkel O/U home rating of 8.209. The Twins have gone under in each of Odorizzi’s last seven starts. Dunkel’s Pick: Minnesota (-165; Under).

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 8, 2019

Arizona
@
Cincinnati
Game 901-902
September 8, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Arizona
(Leake) 16.516
Cincinnati
(DeSclfni) 14.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cincinnati
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona
(+110); Under

Philadelphia
@
NY Mets
Game 903-904
September 8, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Philadelphia
(Velasquez) 15.550
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 16.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: NY Mets
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Mets
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets
(-160); Over

Toronto
@
Tampa Bay
Game 917-918
September 8, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Toronto
(Wguespck) 15.700
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 14.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Tampa Bay
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto
(+170); Under

Kansas City
@
Miami
Game 929-930
September 8, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Kansas City
(Mntgmry) 14.601
Miami
(Alcntara) 13.243
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Kansas City
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Kansas City
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City
(-115); Over

Washington
@
Atlanta
Game 905-906
September 8, 2019 @ 1:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Washington
(Scherzer) 17.449
Atlanta
(Soroka) 15.814
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Washington
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(-130); Under

St. Louis
@
Pittsburgh
Game 907-908
September 8, 2019 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating: St. Louis
(Flaherty) 16.808
Pittsburgh
(Marvel) 13.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: St. Louis
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: St. Louis
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis
(-200); Over

Chicago Cubs
@
Milwaukee
Game 909-910
September 8, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.912
Milwaukee
(Houser) 14.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Milwaukee
-120
9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs
(+100); Over

Seattle
@
Houston
Game 923-924
September 8, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Seattle
(Hernandez) 14.614
Houston
(Cole) 16.260
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Houston
-420
9
Dunkel Pick: Houston
(-420); Under

LA Angels
@
Chicago White Sox
Game 919-920
September 8, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: LA Angels
(Barria) 15.893
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 12.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Angels
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Angels
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels
(-115); Over

Cleveland
@
Minnesota
Game 921-922
September 8, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
(Clevnger) 15.760
Minnesota
(Dbbnak) 15.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Cleveland
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cleveland
-160
9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland
(-160); Under

Detroit
@
Oakland
Game 925-926
September 8, 2019 @ 4:07 pm

Dunkel Rating: Detroit
(Norris) 15.981
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Detroit
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Oakland
-300
9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit
(+250); Over

San Francisco
@
LA Dodgers
Game 911-912
September 8, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: San Francisco
(Rodriguez) 13.732
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 15.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Dodgers
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Dodgers
-240
9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers
(-240); Under

Colorado
@
San Diego
Game 913-914
September 8, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Colorado
(Lambert) 12.345
San Diego
(Lauer) 14.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: San Diego
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: San Diego
-155
9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego
(-155); Under

NY Yankees
@
Boston
Game 927-928
September 8, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 17.755
Boston
(Porcello) 13.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: NY Yankees
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Yankees
-115
11
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees
(-115); Under

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TEX at BAL 01:05 PM
BAL +140
O 9.0

TOR at TB 01:10 PM
O 8.5

PHI at NYM 01:10 PM
O 8.5

ARI at CIN 01:10 PM
ARI +115
U 9.5

KC at MIA 01:10 PM
MIA +100
O 8.0

WAS at ATL 01:20 PM
ATL +120
U 8.5

STL at PIT 01:35 PM
U 8.5

CLE at MIN 02:10 PM
O 9.0

SEA at HOU 02:10 PM
SEA +374
U 8.5

LAA at CHW 02:10 PM
CHW +108
O 9.5

CHC at MIL 02:10 PM
CHC +111
U 9.0

DET at OAK 04:07 PM
O 9.0

SF at LAD 04:10 PM
SF +196
O 9.0

COL at SD 04:10 PM
U 9.0

NYY at BOS 08:05 PM
BOS +108
U 11.0

[Udog]

Uh-oh! Now I'm worried. I've got the Dodgers for the first 5. Good luck today, Bum!

[StarDust Bum]

Lorenzen's 9th-inning pinch double lifts Reds over D-Backs
September 8, 2019
By The Associated Press

CINCINNATI (AP) Relief pitcher Michael Lorenzen lined a game-ending, pinch-hit double in the ninth inning to lift the Cincinnati Reds over Arizona Diamondbacks 4-3 Sunday and stop the Diamondbacks' five-game winning streak.

Lorenzen became the first Cincinnati pitcher with a walk-off hit since Randy Keisler in May 2005. It was Lorenzen's fifth career pinch hit and occurred four days after the reliever became the first player since Babe Ruth in 1921 to homer, play the outfield and earn a victory on the mound in the same game.

Pinch-hitter Jose Peraza and Phillip Ervin singled with one out off Yoan Lopez (2-6) before Lorenzen delivered against T.J. McFarland.

Arizona lost for the second time in the 13 games and remained 1+ games behind the Cubs for the second NL wild card.

Eugenio Suarez homered twice and has 44, one behind leaders Mike Trout and Pete Alonso.

Raisel Iglesias (3-11) pitched the ninth.

INDIANS 5, TWINS 2

Mike Clevinger (11-2) allowed two runs and four hits in 6 1/3 innings to win his 10th straight decision, and Cleveland closed within 5+ games if AL Central-leading Minnesota and remained 1+ games behind Oakland for the second wild card.

Brad Hand pitched around a walk and a hit batter in the ninth for his 34th save.

Franmil Reyes hit a two-run single in the second off Randy Dobnak (0-1). Carlos Santana homered against Devin Smeltzer in the third and Francisco Lindor went deep in the fifth for a 4-1 lead.

RAYS 8, BLUE JAYS 3

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) - Tyler Glasnow struck out five over two innings in his return from a four-month layoff caused by a strained right forearm. Tampa Bay's four-game sweep left the Blue Jays as the fifth major league team on pace to lose 100 games.

Austin Meadows and Avisail Garcia homered for the Rays, who remained one game ahead of Oakland for the top AL wild card.

Toronto has lost seven straight, its longest skid since April 2017. At 55-89, the Blue Jays are on pace to lose 100 games for the first time since 1977-79, their first three seasons. Detroit, Baltimore, Miami and Kansas City also are on pace to lose 100 games. The most teams to finish with 100 losses was four in 2002.

Trevor Richards (5-12) allowed one hit in 2 2/3 innings scoreless innings. Jacob Waguespack (4-4) gave up six runs in seven hits in 4 1/3 innings.

YANKEES 10, RED SOX 5

BOSTON (AP) - Gleyber Torres, Mike Tauchman, Aaron Judge hit home runs as New York broke the franchise record for homers in a season in a win over Boston.

The Yankees won for the fourth time in five games and improved to 94-50, keeping pace with Houston for the top record in the majors.

The Yankees entered the game two homers shy of the club record of 267, set last year. Torres' two-run shot in the second was No. 266, Tauchman went deep with a man on in the fourth and Judge added the record-breaker by leading off the fifth with his 21st of the season.

Torres went 3 for 5 with four RBIs. His 35th homer moved him one ahead of Gary Sanchez for the club lead.

Jackie Bradley Jr. and Mookie Betts homered for the Red Sox, who lost for the third time in four games. Boston fell eight games behind Oakland for the second AL wild-card spot with only 19 games remaining.

Chad Green (3-4) pitched three perfect innings of relief for New York and got the victory. Rick Porcello (12-12) lasted just four innings for Boston, which used eight pitchers before it was finally over.

ATHLETICS 3, TIGERS 1

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Sean Manaea (1-0) matched his career high by striking out 10 in his second start following shoulder surgery, and Oakland gave Detroit its first 100-loss season since 2003.

Manaea (1-0) allowed two hits over seven innings and has a 0.75 ERA after two starts. Yusmeiro Petit pitched around a walk in the eighth and Liam Hendriks threw a perfect ninth for his 19th save, completing a two-hitter.

Khris Davis had a two-run double for Oakland.

At 42-100, Detroit is headed to its poorest record since going 43-119 in 2003.

Detroit starter Daniel Norris (3-12) was removed after three innings for his sixth straight start, part of the Tigers' plan to limit his workload.

CARDINALS 2, PIRATES 0

PITTSBURGH (AP) - Jack Flaherty (10-7) scattered five hits over eight innings and struck out 10 to help St. Louis widen its NL Central lead to 4+ games over the second-place Cubs.

Flaherty won for the sixth time in eight starts and dropped his post All-Star break ERA to 0.76. Carlos Martinez worked a perfect ninth for his 19th save. St. Louis has won eight of 11 overall.

Pittsburgh rookie James Marvel (0-1) gave up two runs and five hits over five-plus innings in his first major league start.

Carlos Martinez worked a perfect ninth for his 19th save as St. Louis finished the season series 14-5.

NATIONALS 9, BRAVES 4

ATLANTA (AP) - Max Scherzer (10-5) won for the first time in two months, Juan Soto homered and Washington stopped Atlanta's nine-game winning streak, the Braves' longest in five years.

Scherzer (10-5) allowed one run and two hits in six innings with nine strikeouts. He had not gotten a decision in four starts since beating Kansas City on July 6, a span that included nearly a month on the injured list because of a bad back.

Yan Gomes homered twice, and Adam Eaton and Asdrubal Cabrera each had three RBIs to help Washington end a four-game skid. The Nationals are nine games back of the NL East-leading Braves wbut opened a three-game lead over the Cubs for the top NL wild card.

Mike Soroka (11-4) gave up four runs and seven hits in six innings.

PHILLIES 10, METS 7

NEW YORK (AP) - Maikel Franco, Scott Kingery and Adam Haseley homered as Philadelphia overcame a 3-0 deficit and closed within two games of Chicago for the second NL wild-card spot. The Mets stayed four back of the Cubs.

The game took 4 hours, 29 minutes - a minute short of matching the longest nine-inning game in NL history.

Bryce Harper drew a bases-loaded walk as a pinch-hitter, capping a three-run seventh to put the Phillies ahead 10-6. That came shortly after a sensational catch by right fielder Sean Rodriguez preserved a slim lead.

Ranger Suarez (5-1) got two outs for the win and Hector Neris closed for his 24th save. Paul Sewald (0-1) took the loss.

BREWERS 8, CUBS 5

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Tyler Austin drove a pinch-hit, three-run homer during the a five-run fourth against Jon Lester (12-10), and Milwaukee pulled within two games of the Cubs.

Staked to a 3-1 lead, Lester (12-10) allowed RBI hits to Ryan Braun and Hernan Perez before Austin's fourth pinch homer this season.

Lester allowed eight runs, seven hits and three walks in 5 1/3 innings.

Brent Suter (1-0) gave up one hit in two scoreless innings, and Josh Hader struck out two batters for his 29th save.

Chicago's Addison Russell was hit in the face by a 94 mph fastball from Adrian Houser in the third and left in the middle of the inning. He had a bruised nose and was under evaluation for a possible concussion.

DODGERS 5, GIANTS 0

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Corey Seager and Matt Beaty homered off Dereck Rodriguez (5-9) as Los Angeles (93-52) cut its magic number to clinch the NL West to two.

Kenta Maeda (9-8) gave up one hit and struck out six during four innings of relief, and four pitchers completed a four-hitter.

Giants manager Bruce Bochy was on the bench for the last time in a game at Dodger Stadium. He finished 107-108 in the ballpark and has the most victories of any visiting manager there.

ASTROS 21, MARINERS 1

HOUSTON (AP) - Gerrit Cole (16-5) celebrated his 29th birthday by allowing one hit with 15 strikeouts in a season-high eight innings and winning his 12th straight decision. He joined Pedro Martinez as the only pitchers in major league history with 14 or more strikeouts in three straight games. Cole leads the major league with a career-high 281 strikeouts.

Chris Devenski struck out two in a perfect ninth, finishing a series in which Houston outscored the Mariners 41-15 in a four-game sweep.

Felix Hernandez (1-6) tied his career high, allowing 11 runs. He lasted just two-plus innings and gave up seven hits.

Jake Marisnick and George Springer homered, and rookie Yordan Alvarez had six RBIs and hit three of Houston's team-record 11 doubles. The Astros are 16-1 against Seattle this year, winning 11 in a row.

MARLINS 9, ROYALS 0

MIAMI (AP) - Sandy Alcantara (5-12) threw a four-hitter and became the first Marlins pitcher with two shutouts in his rookie season since Dontrelle Willis in 2003.

Starlin Castro hit his 18th home run and drove in two runs.

Mike Montgomery (3-8) allowed five runs and eight hits in four innings.

RANGERS 10, ORIOLES 4

BALTIMORE (AP) - Rookie Nick Solak had three hits and four RBIs, Ronald Guzman and Rougned Odor homered and Texas completed its first four-game sweep at Baltimore since July 1972 at Memorial Stadium.

Playing in his 19th big league game, Solak has six RBIs against Baltimore and five against everyone else.

Mike Minor (13-8) allowed two runs over eight innings.

Texas had 20 hits off Asher Wojciechowski (2-8) and six relievers.

WHITE SOX 5, ANGELS 1

CHICAGO (AP) - Danny Mendick hit his first career home run and Jose Abreu got his 31st this season.

Mendick, Matt Skole and James McCann had two hits apiece for the White Sox, who avoided a three-game sweep.

Michael Hermosillo had two hits in the ninth spot for the Angels, who finished with five hits without the injured Mike Trout and have lost 17 of their last 22 road games.

Josh Osich (2-0) threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings to pick up the victory.

Jaime Barria (4-8) allowed both home runs in 4 1/3 innings.

PADRES 2, ROCKIES 1

SAN DIEGO (AP) - Wil Myers singled off Yency Almonte with one out in the 10th to drive in Manny Machado, who walked against Jesus Tinoco (0-2).

Craig Stammen (8-7) pitched a perfect 10th for the win.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY SEPTEMBER 9, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies Citizens Bank Park
7:10 PM Arizona Diamondbacks New York Mets Citi Field
7:10 PM Milwaukee Brewers Miami Marlins Marlins Park
7:10 PM New York Yankees Boston Red Sox Fenway Park
8:10 PM Oakland Athletics Houston Astros Minute Maid Park
9:45 PM Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants Oracle Park
10:07 PM Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Angels Angel Stadium of Anaheim
10:10 PM Chicago Cubs San Diego Padres PETCO Park


************************************


MLB SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/08/2019 9-15-0 37.50% -33.60
09/07/2019.......15-7-0......68.18%....+4800
09/06/2019.......13-7-1 .....65.00% ...+40.20
09/05/2019.......11-9-0..... 55.00%... +13.90
09/04/2019.......6-11-0......35.29%... -26.50
09/03/2019.......8-10-0..... 44.44%... -17.25
09/02/2019...... 9-8-1.......52.94%... +4.30
09/01/2019.... 13-14-1.....48.15%.... -6.65

Totals.............84-81-1.... 50.90%......+22.40


*****************************


BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


09/08/2019............2 - 7.............-24.60.............7 - 8...............-9.00...............-33.60
09/07/2019............5 - 2............+26.15............10 - 4.............+28.00............+54.15
09/06/2019............7 - 0............+49.55.............7 - 6..............+2.00..............+51.55
09/05/2019............5 - 3............+17.40.............6 - 6..............-3.00...............+14.40
09/04/2019............2 - 5.............-13.50.............3 - 7...............-23.50..............-37.00
09/03/2019............2 - 2.............+4.00..............6 - 7...............-8.50...............-4.50
09/02/2019............1 - 4.............-13.70.............5 - 3...............+13.50.............-0.20
09/01/2019............4 - 6.............-6.35...............9 - 7...............+7.00..............+0.65

Totals....................28 - 29..........+38.95...........53 - 51.............+6.50.............+45.45

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 1 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Panthers +2.5, 845- L

5) Broncos even, 856

4) Buccaneers even, 862- L

3) Texans +7, 904

2) Colts +6.5, 1,052- W

1) Ravens -6.5, 1,080- W

2019 record: 2-2


**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Eagles 30, Redskins 27:
— Washington led 20-7 at the half.
— Redskins threw 45 passes, ran ball only 13 times.
— Washington is 1-6 vs spread in last seven NFC East road games.

— Eagles had TD plays of 51-53 yards, both on 3rd and 10 passes.
— Philly converted 11-17 third down plays.
— Eagle offense in 2nd half: four drives, 43 plays, 272 yards, 25 points.

Bills 17, Jets 16:
— Buffalo’s first seven drives: 35 plays, 165 yards, outscored 8-0 by Jet defense.
— Buffalo’s last four drives: 28 plays, 220 yards, 17 points.
— 38-yard pass from Allen to Brown with 3:00 left was the game-winner.

— Jets were outgained 370-223; they averaged only 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Jets’ new kicker missed a PAT and a 45-yard FG.
— Not many teams are +3 in turnovers and lose; Jets had four takeaways (+3).

Vikings 28, Falcons 12:
— Atlanta turned ball over three times, was only 2-8 on third down.
— Falcons had punt blocked on first series, threw INT on second series.
— Last 2+ years, Atlanta is now 4-13 vs spread on road (1-7 as road dog).

— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 23-7-1 vs spread as a HF, 17-2-1 outside NFC North.
— Minnesota threw only 10 passes the whole game; that doesn’t happen much.
— Vikings won/covered their last five home openers.

Ravens 59, Dolphins 10:
— Baltimore had ball 10 times, scored eight TD’s, kicked a FG.
— Jackson was 17-20/324 passing; he is 7-1 as an NFL starter.
— Ravens won last four Week 1 games by combined score of 139-20.

— Miami ran only 12 times for 21 yards; they were -3 in turnovers.
— Dolphins gave app 643 yards, were down 42-10 at halftime.
— 2020 NFL Draft begins April 23rd in Las Vegas.

Chiefs 40, Jaguars 26:
— McCoy carried ball 10 times for 81 yards in his KC debut.
— KC had a 14-yard advantage in starting field position.
— Five of KC’s seven plays of 20+ yards came on first down.

— Foles got hurt; backup Minshew was 22-25/275 passing, with two TD’s.
— Jaguar defense gave up TD plays of 68, 49 yards.
— Both teams averaged 10+ yards/pass attempt, which doesn’t happen much.

Titans 43, Browns 13:
— Tennessee defense scored nine points, gave up only 13.
— Titans were +3 in turnovers (3-0), had 11-yard edge in field position.
— Tennessee won/covered six of last seven road openers.

— Cleveland were called for 18 penalties for 182 yards.
— Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-19-1 SU in Week 1
— Last 9+ years, Cleveland is 7-15-2 as a home favorite.

Rams 30, Panthers 27:
— 89 of Gurley’s 97 rushing yards came in second half.
— LA converted 9-17 third down plays.
— Rams had one punt blocked, another deflected; no bueno.

— McCaffery had 29 touches for 209 yards; their WR’s caught only 11 passes.
— Newton ran ball only three times, for minus-2 yards.
— First time in six years that Carolina lost its home opener.

49ers 31, Buccaneers 17—
— Five TD’s in this game: three scored by the defenses, two by offenses.
— Teams who were +2 or better in turnovers this week are 7-2-1 ATS.
— First time in five years 49ers won their road opener.

— Tampa Bay scored only 10 points in four drives into red zone.
— Last 5+ years, Bucs are now 16-25 vs spread at home.
— TB started eight drives 75+ yards from goal line; on those eight drives, their offense was outscored 14-7 by SF’s defense.

Lions 27, Cardinals 27, OT:
— Detroit led 24-6 with 11:30 left in the game.
— Stafford threw for 385 yards, had two guys with 100+ receiving yards.
— Last 5+ years, Lions are 11-5-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points

— First three quarters, Murray was 9-25 passing for 70 yards.
— 4th quarter and OT, Murray was 20-29 passing for 239 yards.
— Last 3+ years, Cardinals are 8-16-1 SU at home.

Seahawks 21, Bengals 20:
— Cincy threw ball for 395 yards but lost three fumbles (minus-2 in turnovers).
— Bengals scored only six points in three trips to the red zone.
— Since ’11, Bengals are 23-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs.

— Seattle was outgained 429-273 but pulled out the win.
— Seahawks won their last 11 home openers (8-3 vs spread).
— Under is 16-2-1 in Seattle’s last 19 home openers.

Chargers 30, Colts 24 OT:
— Indy ran ball for 203 yards, threw for 173; they converted 7-13 on 3rd down.
— Colts start season 0-1 for the sixth year in a row.
— Viniatieri missed two FG’s and an extra point.

— Chargers led 17-6 at half; they took opening kick of OT and drove 75 yards for a TD.
— 14 of Chargers’ last 17 home openers went over the total.
— Bolts had eight plays of 20+ yards, 2nd-most in NFL on Sunday (Ravens).

Cowboys 35, Giants 17:
— Giants lost eight of their last nine season openers.
— Total yardage was 494-470 Dallas; NYG was only 2-11 on third down.
— Teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 2-8 SU this week.

— Cowboys have now won five games in a row against the Giants.
— Dallas averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt; Prescott threw for 405 yards
— Elliott ran ball 13 times for 53 yards a couple days after he reported.

Patriots 33, Steelers 3:
— Steelers were only one of 24 teams that played Sunday who didn’t score a TD.
— Since 1997, Steelers are 1-9-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener.
— Pittsburgh ran ball 13 times, dropped back to pass 48 times, a losing ratio.

— NE averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt, outgained Steelers 465-308.
— Since ’13, Patriots are 29-13-3 as home favorites, 18-8-1 outside AFC East.
— Last six Super Bowl champs are 4-1-1 vs ATS in their season opener the next year.

[StarDust Bum]

951ATLANTA -952 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 52-44 SU (12.5 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

953MILWAUKEE -954 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 24-47 SU (-27.3 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

955ARIZONA -956 NY METS
ARIZONA is 44-23 SU (19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

957PITTSBURGH -958 SAN FRANCISCO
PITTSBURGH is 17-27 SU (-16.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

959CHICAGO CUBS -960 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 10-20 SU (-14.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.

961NY YANKEES -962 BOSTON
BOSTON is 18-42 SU (-27.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

963OAKLAND -964 HOUSTON
OAKLAND is 31-13 SU (19.4 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

965CLEVELAND -966 LA ANGELS
CLEVELAND is 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 9

National League
Braves (89-55) @ Phillies (74-68)
Foltynewicz is 1-0, 2.16 in his last three starts; he is 7-3, 3.14 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Philly. Team in his starts: won last nine
5-inning record: 6-6-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17 Over/under: 11-6

Nola is 0-1, 4.67 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 3.51 in four starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 18-12
5-inning record: 17-6-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30 Over/under: 18-12

Braves won nine of last ten games; they’re 11-11 in road series openers- under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Philly is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 13-10 in home series openers- under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-2 last eight games.

Brewers (74-68) @ Marlins (51-91)
Lyles is 3-0, 1.33 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 5.76 in six games (4 starts) vs Miami. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 6-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-7 Over/under: 2-5

Dugger is 0-1, 5.50 in three starts. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3 Over/under: 2-1

Brewers won six of last eight games; they’re 1-5 in last six road series openers- under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Miami lost nine of last 13 games; they’re 6-4 in last ten home series openers- over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight games.

Diamondbacks (75-68) @ Mets (72-70)
Kelly is 3-1, 5.54 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 12-16
5-inning record: 11-14-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 11-15-2

deGrom is 1-1, 3.21 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.74 in three starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 11-17
5-inning record: 12-9-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-28 Over/under: 16-12

Arizona won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 17-7 in road series openers- under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Mets lost eight of their last nine home games; they’re 10-12 in home series openers- over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 last 11 home games.

Pirates (62-81) @ Giants (69-74)
Williams is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 1.42 in three starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 13-9
5-inning record: 7-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: over 9-1 last ten

Bumgarner is 1-1, 5.09 in his last four starts; he is 3-5, 3.22 in eight starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 12-2 last 14
5-inning record: 13-12-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-30 Over/under: last three over

Pirates lost three of last four games; they’re 8-15 in road series openers- over is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-4 last 11 road games.

San Francisco is 4-9 in its last 13 games; they’re 9-13 in home series openers- over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Cubs (76-66) @ Padres (66-76)
Hendricks is 2-0, 2.92 in his last four starts; he is 5-2, 2.98 in nine starts vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 13-13
5-inning record: 12-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26 Over/under: 7-18-1

Quantrill is 0-3, 11.15 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 6-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Cubs lost three last three games; they’re 10-13 in road series openers- under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1 last four games.

San Diego is 5-8 in its last 13 home games; they’re 13-10 in home series openers- under is 5-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0-1 last five games.

American League
New York (94-50) @ Boston (76-67)
Paxton is 7-0, 2.98 in his last seven starts; he is 2-1, 4.50 in three starts vs Boston this year. Team in his starts: 16-9
5-inning record: 16-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 14-25 Over/under: over 7-1-1 last nine

Rodriguez is 4-0, 1.03 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 4.50 in three starts vs NY this year. Team in his starts: 22-7
5-inning record: 20-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven

New York won 10 of last 13 games; under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-2 last nine games.

Red Sox are 8-6 in their last 14 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-4 last 13 home games.

A’s (84-59) @ Astros (94-50)
Fiers is 4-0, 3.41 in his last six starts; he is 0-0, 3.98 in his last three starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: won last eight
5-inning record: 18-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

Greinke is 1-1, 5.89 in his last three starts; he is 7-2, 2.97 in 17 games (13 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 4-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6 Over/under: 2-4

Oakland is 15-7 in its last 22 games; they’re 10-12 in road series openers- under is 4-2 in their last six road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Houston won 13 of last 16 games; they’re 20-3 in home series openers- over is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Indians (83-61) @ Angels (67-77)
Bieber is 1-1, 3.54 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 2.45 in two starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: 1-4 last five
5-inning record: 15-7-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-29 Over/under: 8-19-2

Sandoval is 0-2, 5.23 in five starts. Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 0-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 2-3

Indians are 5-4 in last nine road games; they’re 13-10 in road series openers- under is 4-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Angels lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 10-11 in home series openers- over is 9-3 in their last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
Colo 17-72……26-66……43
LA 20-67……25-73……45
Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
StL 17-68…..20-70……37
SD 19-68……21-68…..40
SF 10-71……15-66……25
Wash 22-69…..21-67……43

Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
Det 21-71……18-65……..39
Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
Twins 28-71……18-68……46
NYY 21-66……27-75……48
A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
TB 24-70…..22-70……46
Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL– 65-60 NL, favorites -$1,439 over 68-55-7
Total: 140-114 NL, favorites -$2,652 Over 128-116-10

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, September 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Boston Red Sox
Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
Boston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 14 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Yankees's last 14 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Yankees's last 14 games when playing on the road against Boston

Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 19 games at home
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Mets
NY Mets is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
NY Mets is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games
NY Mets is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
NY Mets is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Arizona
NY Mets is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Arizona is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing NY Mets
Arizona is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing NY Mets
Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets

Houston Astros
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 13 games at home
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Angels is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
LA Angels is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Indians
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games at home
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Diego is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
San Diego is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Chi Cubs is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Chi Cubs is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 9


Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 951-952
September 9, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 17.054
Philadelphia
(Nola) 14.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+115); Over

Milwaukee @ Miami

Game 953-954
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Lyles) 16.720
Miami
(Dugger) 14.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-190
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-185); Under

Arizona @ NY Mets

Game 955-956
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Kelly) 17.171
NY Mets
(deGrom) 15.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-240
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+200); Over

NY Yankees @ Boston

Game 961-962
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Paxton) 14.963
Boston
(Rodriguez) 16.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Over

Oakland @ Houston

Game 963-964
September 9, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Fiers) 16.179
Houston
(Greinke) 17.796
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-180
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-180); Under

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco

Game 957-958
September 9, 2019 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 11.264
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 16.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 5
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-155); Under

Cleveland @ LA Angels

Game 965-966
September 9, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.005
LA Angels
(Sandoval) 15.716
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+140); Over

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego

Game 959-960
September 9, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 15.702
San Diego
(Quantrill) 14.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-145); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (89 - 55) at PHILADELPHIA (74 - 68) - 7:05 PM
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-46 (+6.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 888-934 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 464-465 (+52.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 89-55 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 42-29 (+13.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-27 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 41-22 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 68-42 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 67-45 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 73-55 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-25 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 21-11 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FOLTYNEWICZ is 26-15 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 64-73 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-79 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6 (+0.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.7 Units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 7-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 7-6 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.7 units)

AARON NOLA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLA is 10-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 11-5 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-8. (-0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (74 - 68) at MIAMI (51 - 91) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ROBERT DUGGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 15-32 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-18 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 176-139 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 73-54 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 120-115 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-9 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 115-82 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 127-93 (+23.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+3.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. MIAMI since 1997
LYLES is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

ROBERT DUGGER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (75 - 68) at NY METS (72 - 70) - 7:10 PM
MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-120 (-48.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 75-68 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 39-35 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 51-43 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 29-25 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 37-30 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 72-70 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 14-17 (-19.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 75-73 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 140-152 (-56.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 97-105 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 3-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.
NY METS are 32-37 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 33-47 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 216-270 (-77.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
DEGROM is 10-18 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 1-7 (-13.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 4-10 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 6-16 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 3-10 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 1-13 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

MERRILL KELLY vs. NY METS since 1997
KELLY is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.782.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DEGROM is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.74 and a WHIP of 0.968.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (62 - 81) at SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 74) - 9:45 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-74 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-21 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 223-173 (+44.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-41 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-49 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-35 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-23 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BUMGARNER is 19-11 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 12-4 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 14-7 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 13-6 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 12-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 65-47 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-18 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 29-24 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 10-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 8-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BUMGARNER is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.062.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 66) at SAN DIEGO (66 - 76) - 10:10 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. CAL QUANTRILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1866-1898 (-272.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 86-84 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-42 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-43 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1386-1413 (-203.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-25 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 901-822 (-153.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 66-76 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 33-38 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 27-45 (-22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-29 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-32 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HENDRICKS is 5-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 0.889.
His team's record is 6-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

CAL QUANTRILL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (94 - 50) at BOSTON (76 - 67) - 7:10 PM
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
RODRIGUEZ is 22-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 22-4 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 20-4 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 20-5 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 94-50 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 50-17 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 26-11 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 62-32 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 44-25 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 76-67 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 4-13 (-9.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
BOSTON is 36-36 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 162-148 (-52.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 32-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 54-42 (-6.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 20-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 25-38 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 10-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 13-5 (+8.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.3 Units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAXTON is 4-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 5-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (84 - 59) at HOUSTON (94 - 50) - 8:10 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 55-17 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 46-15 (+21.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
GREINKE is 66-30 (+20.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 151-82 (+46.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 115-59 (+38.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 83-58 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 78-49 (+23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-17 (+13.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-66 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-28 (+11.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 51-36 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 122-88 (+30.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-34 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 38-23 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 21-13 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FIERS is 19-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 21-8 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 18-6 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 14-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 21-5 (+19.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 17-9 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 36-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 13-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-5 (+3.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
FIERS is 1-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GREINKE is 7-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.296.
His team's record is 7-6 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (83 - 61) at LA ANGELS (67 - 77) - 10:07 PM
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. PATRICK SANDOVAL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 174-135 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 81-72 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 104-86 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-37 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 117-87 (+42.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 67-77 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 46-57 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-55 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-45 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-98 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BIEBER is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

PATRICK SANDOVAL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: Cubs' Russell hit in face, D-backs face deGrom
September 9, 2019
By The Associated Press

A look at what's happening around the majors today:

SHORT STUFF

The Cubs are awaiting word on Addison Russell after the infielder was hit in the face by a fastball Sunday. Russell remained in the game for a bit before being pulled as a precaution. The Cubs say he has a nasal contusion and is under evaluation for a possible concussion, although he was set to travel with the club to San Diego. Russell was slated to be Chicago's everyday shortstop with starter Javier Baez out indefinitely with a hairline fracture in his left thumb. David Bote could fill in for Russell if he misses time.

GETTING WILD

Mets ace Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.76) starts as New York hosts playoff-contending Arizona and right-hander Merrill Kelly (10-13, 4.69) to begin a four-game series. The Diamondbacks are 1+ games behind the Cubs for the final NL wild card, with New York trailing by four games. Arizona had won 11 of 12 before losing to Cincinnati in walk-off fashion Sunday, while the Mets have cooled following a stunning second-half surge to rejoin the October race. New York has lost each of deGrom's past three starts, and the NL Cy Young Award winner has allowed at least four earned runs in consecutive starts for the first since August of 2017.

ON FIER

A's right-hander Mike Fiers takes aim an at Oakland record as he starts a series opener against AL West-leading Houston. Fiers has won 12 straight decisions, one shy of Hall of Famer Catfish Hunter's run in 1973 for the best since the club moved to the Bay Area. Fiers (14-3, 3.51) will take on right-hander Zack Greinke (14-5, 3.09), who is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA in six starts since being acquired from Arizona. Oakland leads Cleveland by 1 1/2 games for the final AL wild card.

UNTIL 2020

The Yankees and Red Sox conclude their season series at Fenway Park with a rare Monday series finale. New York left-hander James Paxton is rolling toward October with the AL East leaders, most recently striking out 12 while throwing one-hit ball over seven scoreless innings against Texas. He's won his last seven starts dating to Aug. 2. Boston lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (17-5, 3.81) has also been cruising. He's 4-0 with a 1.03 ERA in his past four starts.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Monday
September 9, 2019
By Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Astros are 18-0 SU when hosting a divisional opponent that has at least twelve fewer wins, including 15-0 this season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Phillies are 0-18 SU after a game as a road dog in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter.

OU Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 15-0 OU as a road favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Cubs are 12-0 SU as a favorite with Kyle Hendricks when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at PHI 07:05 PM
ATL +125
O 8.5

NYY at BOS 07:10 PM
NYY -112
U 9.5

ARI at NYM 07:10 PM
ARI +203
U 7.5

MIL at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +192
U 9.0

OAK at HOU 08:10 PM
OAK +160
U 9.5

PIT at SF 09:45 PM
O 7.5

CLE at LAA 10:07 PM
LAA +162
U 8.5

CHC at SD 10:10 PM
CHC -141
U 8.5

[Udog]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya


STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Eduardo Rodriguez, Boston Red Sox (17-5, 3.81, $1428): The No. 1 money starter in baseball is actually beginning to pitch as well as his record suggests. He hasn't allowed a single run in three of his last four starts and the one outing where he didn't pitch a shutout was at Coors Field (and he allowed a respectable three runs in that contest as well). The Red Sox are 10-2 over Rodriguez's last 12 starts.

Tonight, Rodriguez and the BoSox are the slim underdogs (+102) at home against the Yankees. Given that New York will be starting James Paxton, 7-0 with a 2.98 ERA since the beginning of August, it might be worthwhile to look at the Under 9.5 on the total.

SLUMPING

Cal Quantrill, San Diego Padres (6-6, 4.57 ERA, $-556): The Padres' rookie was sitting pretty by the middle of August with a 6-3 record and a 3.23 ERA. But three consecutive losses later and he's looking like a good fade for tonight's contest against the Chicago Cubs.

Quantrill has given up eight runs in back-to-back starts and is facing a Cubs team that has won eight of the last 11 meetings in San Diego.



3 STRIKES

GENEROUS TO A FOLT

Mike Foltynewicz isn't exactly throwing well this year with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 17 starts, but the Braves keep winning with him on the mound. Atlanta is 9-0 in his last nine starts. The main reason for that? Generous run support. Over that span Atlanta is averaging 8.22 runs per game.

The Braves will be hard-pressed to give him that kind of run support today as they face Aaron Nola and the Phillies on the road. Nola has gone 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA and he's even better at home where he is 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA. Nola has the Braves number this year, going 3-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a batting average allowed of .211 against Atlanta.

Philadelphia holds good value at -130.

FADING DEGROM DAY

The first five innings Under when Shane Bieber starts has been very profitable this year but last year Jacob deGrom's starts were cashing at an even better rate. This year though, the first five innings Under in deGrom's starts has gone a more modest 14-12-2.

We don't recommend backing that play tonight as the Mets host the Diamondbacks. Arizona is starting the unreliable Merrill Kelly who has a 7.36 ERA over his last eight starts while the D-Backs plate 5.31 runs per game on the road the sixth-highest number in the majors.

With the first five innings total set at 4, this might be a bet to avoid or even consider the Over on.

CHANGE OF SCENERY

The Brewers might end up missing the playoffs but if they do it will be despite the efforts of Jordan Lyles. Lyles was acquired just before the trade deadline and has impressed, going 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA in seven starts with his new team.

Lyles and the Brewers should have the easy task of handling the Marlins tonight. Miami has the lowest OPS in the majors at .668 and they are the second-lowest scoring team with 3.75 runs per game. Milwaukee is a -233 favorite and the total is installed at 9.