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Vegas Money Moves - Week 5
October 7, 2016
The betting public in Las Vegas is showing just how excited they are about Tom Brady making his regular season debut Sunday, or maybe they're just showing how much they hate the winless Browns. Either way, New England laying -10.5 at Cleveland has been a popular wager during Week 5 action through Friday.
William Hill's 108 sports book across Nevada reported they have the most money bet on the Brady return-game among all 12 Sunday games and 90 percent of that cash has been laying the points with the Patriots. They've also got one of the most one-sided ticket counts of the week at 89 percent. The only team with larger ticket ratio than New England's is Philadelphia at a 91 percent clip for its road game at Detroit.
Needless to say, but I will anyway, most sports books will be rooting hard for the popular Patriots-Eagles two-team parlay not to come through. If those two sides hit, they'll be key to the majority looking to cash three, four and five team parlays. They are the root two-teamer to a disastrous weekend for the books. Last week those two sides were Denver and Dallas and bettors cleaned up.
Let's take a look at all the movement from the week with the help of the South Point's veteran sports book director Chris Andrews, who has one of the most unique mix of wagers at his property between sharps and Joe Public. And he's also found his book some Cleveland money.
The Vikings have been impressive and public likes them too now after not believing so much the first four weeks -- all Vikings wins and covers. Minnesota tickets are being wagering at a 4.5-to-1 clip over the Texans and money large enough to matter has bet the Vikings from -6 up to a high of -7 on Friday. The total has stayed at 40 all week.
In a battle of woeful 1-3 teams, not many seem to have an opinion on the Dolphins being 3.5-point home favorites over the Titans. It hasn't moved all week, despite Andrews taking a wager on Tennessee from a sharp. The Titans are seeing a few more tickets written on them. The total has also been stagnant at 43.
It's easy to understand why the public hates the Browns, who have yet to win and have covered only once despite looking competitive in their last three. Tom Brady is back and that's all that matters. It's been a steady -10.5 with the exception Boyd Gaming and the Golden Nugget currently at -11 hoping that some large money shows on the Browns to lessen the risk. "We were at 11 and and took a good size bet from a wise guy," Andrews said. "The public is all over the Patriots, but if the game kicked off now, we'd need the Patriots a little bit." The total has dropped from 47 down to 46.5.
The South Point opened the Steelers as 7.5-point home favorites over the Jets and settled at -7 Monday night before going back to -7.5 on Friday. "We had wise-guy money on the Jets early on, but since going back to 7.5, we haven't seen anything," Andrews said. "Revis and Decker are both expected to miss so maybe the game is no longer attractive to them." The total dropped from 48.5 to 48 on Wednesday.
Baltimore was steady at -4 for its home game against Washington until Friday when Andrews moved them to -3.5. "Sharps took the +4, but it's an otherwise dead game as far as interest goes," he said. The total has gone from from 46.5 down to 46. The Redskins have gone Over in all four of their games.
"We've got lots of Eagles money from small money to large money," Andrews said. "Wise guys laid -2.5 and -3 with them and the public has been playing parlays throughout the week on them. The 3-0 Eagles are now 3.5-point road favorites at Detroit and the total is 46.
The Colts are 4.5-point home favorites against the Bears with a total at 47.5. "There's nothing there," Andrews said while scanning his bookmaking screen. "What little play there is is evenly split with a shade high on the Colts."
"We had great play on the Falcons which kind of surprises me," Andrews said of the Falcons who play at 4-0 Denver this week. "Sharps took +6 and even +5.5, and we're even getting the parlay action believing in Atlanta. We need Denver right now." Books love being in position to need good teams when the masses are betting the other way. It's rare, though. The total is sitting at 47.
"The public is split on the Rams, but wise-guys like Buffalo." They took +3 on Monday and took +2.5 on Friday. The total has dropped from 40 to 39.
We've got a classic old AFL match-up with the Raiders as 3.5-point home favorites over San Diego, which Andrews says he's "seen decent play both ways -- it's a good number."
"It's been all Bengals so far with the wise-guys and the public is on them as well." Andrews opened Dallas as 1-point home favorites, but the Bengals are now -1.5. The total hasn't moved off of 45.5. The Bengals have covered nine of their last 10 road games.
"The public likes the Pack and wise guys like the Giants," said Andrews. "This will be a big game for us not just because it's the final game on Sunday, but also because of all the teaser and parlay risk we'll have on Green Bay." Sharps took +7.5 and the South Point is sitting at -7 and 48.
BLUE LIGHT SPECIAL TO BOOKMARK
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook is offering a great special to reward bettors for getting their plays in early. Every Thursday from 3-11 p.m. PT, bettors can lay -105 juice, as opposed to the standard -110, on all pro and college football sides.
It may not sound like a big deal for the bettor saving $1 while laying $21 to win $20, but for the bettor that saves $500 on a bet to win $10,000, it's huge. The info doesn't help you out this week, but file it away as something to take advantage of next week and every week after through football season.
October 7, 2016
The betting public in Las Vegas is showing just how excited they are about Tom Brady making his regular season debut Sunday, or maybe they're just showing how much they hate the winless Browns. Either way, New England laying -10.5 at Cleveland has been a popular wager during Week 5 action through Friday.
William Hill's 108 sports book across Nevada reported they have the most money bet on the Brady return-game among all 12 Sunday games and 90 percent of that cash has been laying the points with the Patriots. They've also got one of the most one-sided ticket counts of the week at 89 percent. The only team with larger ticket ratio than New England's is Philadelphia at a 91 percent clip for its road game at Detroit.
Needless to say, but I will anyway, most sports books will be rooting hard for the popular Patriots-Eagles two-team parlay not to come through. If those two sides hit, they'll be key to the majority looking to cash three, four and five team parlays. They are the root two-teamer to a disastrous weekend for the books. Last week those two sides were Denver and Dallas and bettors cleaned up.
Let's take a look at all the movement from the week with the help of the South Point's veteran sports book director Chris Andrews, who has one of the most unique mix of wagers at his property between sharps and Joe Public. And he's also found his book some Cleveland money.
The Vikings have been impressive and public likes them too now after not believing so much the first four weeks -- all Vikings wins and covers. Minnesota tickets are being wagering at a 4.5-to-1 clip over the Texans and money large enough to matter has bet the Vikings from -6 up to a high of -7 on Friday. The total has stayed at 40 all week.
In a battle of woeful 1-3 teams, not many seem to have an opinion on the Dolphins being 3.5-point home favorites over the Titans. It hasn't moved all week, despite Andrews taking a wager on Tennessee from a sharp. The Titans are seeing a few more tickets written on them. The total has also been stagnant at 43.
It's easy to understand why the public hates the Browns, who have yet to win and have covered only once despite looking competitive in their last three. Tom Brady is back and that's all that matters. It's been a steady -10.5 with the exception Boyd Gaming and the Golden Nugget currently at -11 hoping that some large money shows on the Browns to lessen the risk. "We were at 11 and and took a good size bet from a wise guy," Andrews said. "The public is all over the Patriots, but if the game kicked off now, we'd need the Patriots a little bit." The total has dropped from 47 down to 46.5.
The South Point opened the Steelers as 7.5-point home favorites over the Jets and settled at -7 Monday night before going back to -7.5 on Friday. "We had wise-guy money on the Jets early on, but since going back to 7.5, we haven't seen anything," Andrews said. "Revis and Decker are both expected to miss so maybe the game is no longer attractive to them." The total dropped from 48.5 to 48 on Wednesday.
Baltimore was steady at -4 for its home game against Washington until Friday when Andrews moved them to -3.5. "Sharps took the +4, but it's an otherwise dead game as far as interest goes," he said. The total has gone from from 46.5 down to 46. The Redskins have gone Over in all four of their games.
"We've got lots of Eagles money from small money to large money," Andrews said. "Wise guys laid -2.5 and -3 with them and the public has been playing parlays throughout the week on them. The 3-0 Eagles are now 3.5-point road favorites at Detroit and the total is 46.
The Colts are 4.5-point home favorites against the Bears with a total at 47.5. "There's nothing there," Andrews said while scanning his bookmaking screen. "What little play there is is evenly split with a shade high on the Colts."
"We had great play on the Falcons which kind of surprises me," Andrews said of the Falcons who play at 4-0 Denver this week. "Sharps took +6 and even +5.5, and we're even getting the parlay action believing in Atlanta. We need Denver right now." Books love being in position to need good teams when the masses are betting the other way. It's rare, though. The total is sitting at 47.
"The public is split on the Rams, but wise-guys like Buffalo." They took +3 on Monday and took +2.5 on Friday. The total has dropped from 40 to 39.
We've got a classic old AFL match-up with the Raiders as 3.5-point home favorites over San Diego, which Andrews says he's "seen decent play both ways -- it's a good number."
"It's been all Bengals so far with the wise-guys and the public is on them as well." Andrews opened Dallas as 1-point home favorites, but the Bengals are now -1.5. The total hasn't moved off of 45.5. The Bengals have covered nine of their last 10 road games.
"The public likes the Pack and wise guys like the Giants," said Andrews. "This will be a big game for us not just because it's the final game on Sunday, but also because of all the teaser and parlay risk we'll have on Green Bay." Sharps took +7.5 and the South Point is sitting at -7 and 48.
BLUE LIGHT SPECIAL TO BOOKMARK
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook is offering a great special to reward bettors for getting their plays in early. Every Thursday from 3-11 p.m. PT, bettors can lay -105 juice, as opposed to the standard -110, on all pro and college football sides.
It may not sound like a big deal for the bettor saving $1 while laying $21 to win $20, but for the bettor that saves $500 on a bet to win $10,000, it's huge. The info doesn't help you out this week, but file it away as something to take advantage of next week and every week after through football season.
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