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Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, May 4
National League games
Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 1.27 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Nicasio is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Cubs won eight of last ten games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven road games. Pirates lost their last three games; over is 17-5 in their last 22 games.
Diamondbacks @ Marlins
De la Rosa is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under.
Fernandez is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts (over 3-2).
Arizona lost six of its last seven game; four of its last five games stayed under total. Marlins won seven of last eight games; over is 8-2-2 in its last 12 games.
Giants @ Reds
Peavy is 1-2, 8.61 in five starts this year (over 5-0).
Straily is 0-1, 3.45 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
Giants on eight of their last 11 games; ten of their last 12 overall went over the total. Reds lost ten of their last 12 games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.
Braves @ Mets
Chacin is 1-1, 3.68 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Matz is 3-0, 0.93 in his last three starts (over 3-1).
Mets won nine of last 11 games; over is 11-6 in their last 17 games. Atlanta is 3-10 in its last 13 games; four of its last five games stayed under.
Phillies @ Cardinals
Morgan allowed three runs in five IP (97 PT) in his first '16 start.
Leake is 0-3, 6.75 in five starts this year; three of his last four starts went over.
Phillies won ten of last 12 games; six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Cardinals lost five of last six games (over 7-1-2 in last ten).
Rockies @ Padres
Chatwood is 2-1, 1.56 in his last three starts (under 5-0). .
Vargas is 0-1, 0.87 in two starts this year (under 1-1).
Colorado is 8-6 on the road this year; nine of its last 12 road games stayed under. San Diego won four of its last five games; five of their last seven games stayed under.
American League games
Tigers @ Indians
Sanchez is 1-2, 9.69 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1).
Kluber is 1-0, 2.40 in his last two starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.
Detroit won five of last six games; eight of its last ten games went over. Cleveland lost five of last seven games; oer is 6-3 in its home games.
Bronx @ Orioles
Sabathia is 1-2, 5.28 in his last three starts (over 2-2).
Wilson is 1-0, 4.66 in two starts this year (over 2-0).
New York lost 14 of last 18 games; six of its last eight road games stayed under the total. Orioles won five of last seven home games; four of their last five home games went over the total.
Rangers @ Blue Jays
Lewis is 2-0, 2.88 in his last four starts (over 3-2). .
Sanchez is 2-1, 2.87 in five starts this year (under 4-1).
Texas won five of its last seven games, but they've lost five of last six on road; nine of its 12 road games stayed under. Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games; its last six games all stayed under the total.
Red Sox @ White Sox
Buchholz is 0-3, 6.59 in five starts this year (over 3-2).
Rodon is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts (under 4-1). .
Boston won nine of its last 11 games; four of their last five games stayed under. the total. Chicago won 11 of last 14 games; their last eight games at home stayed under.
Twins @ Astros
Hughes is 1-4, 4.75 in five starts this month (under 3-1-1). .
Fiers is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1).
Twins are 2-11 on road; they lost five of last six games overall. Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games overall. Houston lost ten of last 14 games; over is 6-3-1 in its last ten
Mariners @ A's
Hernandez is 2-2, 1.93 in five starts this year (under 5-0).
Manaea allowed four runs in five IP (87 PT) in his MLB debut.
Mariners won ten of last 13 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. A's lost eight of last 11 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
Interleague
Dodgers @ Rays
Wood is 0-2, 10.29 in three road starts- they all went over total.
Smyly is 1-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts stayed under. .
Dodgers lost six of last eight games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road tilts. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games; 12 of its last 15 home games stayed under.
Angels @ Brewers
Santiago is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts (under 4-1).
Davies is 0-3, 9.45 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1).
Angels lost nine of last 12 road games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Milwaukee won its last three games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven at home.
Nationals @ Royals
Strasburg is 4-0, 2.25 in five starts this year (over 3-0-1 last four).
Medlen is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts (under 3-1).
Washington won six of its last eight road games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games on foreign soil. Royals lost six of their last eight games; under is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 4-1; Nicasio 3-2
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 2-2; Fernandez 3-2
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-3; Straily 1-2
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-2; Matz 3-1
Phil-StL-- Morgan 1-0; Leake 1-4
Col-SD-- Chatwood 3-2; Vargas 1-1
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 3-2; Kluber 1-4
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 2-2; Wilson 2-0
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-2; Sanchez 2-3
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 0-5; Rodon 2-3
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 1-4; Fiers 2-3
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 2-3; Manaea 1-0
LA-TB-- Wood 2-3; Smyly 2-3
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 4-1; Davies 0-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 5-0; Medlen 1-3
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 1-5; Nicasio 1-5
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 0-4; Fernandez 3-5
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-5; Straily 0-3
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-4; Matz 0-4
Phil-StL-- Morgan 0-1; Leake 3-5
Col-SD-- Chatwood 1-5; Vargas 0-2
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 2-3; Kluber 1-5
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 0-4; Wilson 0-2
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-5; Sanchez 1-5
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 1-5; Rodon 2-5
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 3-5; Fiers 2-5
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 0-5; Manaea 0-1
LA-TB-- Wood 1-4; Smyly 0-5
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 2-5; Davies 1-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 1-5; Medlen 0-4
Umpires
Chi-Pitt-- Over is 3-1-1 in Nelson games this season.
SF-Cin-- Four of five Joyce games stayed under total.
Atl-NY-- Over is 8-2-2 in last twelve Wolf games.
Az-Mia-- Five of last seven Gibson games went over.
Phil-StL-- Five of last seven Wolcott games stayed under.
Col-SD-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Knight games.
Det-Clev-- Eight of last eleven Morales games went over.
NY-Balt-- Three of four Guccione games stayed under total.
Tex-Tor-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Drake games.
Min-Hst-- Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
Bos-Chi-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Timmons games.
Sea-A's-- Six of last nine Hamari games went over total.
LAA-Mil-- Nine of last twelve Reyburn games stayed under.
LA-TB-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight LBarrett games.
Wsh-KC-- Home side won six of last eight Bucknor games.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, May 4
National League games
Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 1.27 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Nicasio is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Cubs won eight of last ten games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven road games. Pirates lost their last three games; over is 17-5 in their last 22 games.
Diamondbacks @ Marlins
De la Rosa is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under.
Fernandez is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts (over 3-2).
Arizona lost six of its last seven game; four of its last five games stayed under total. Marlins won seven of last eight games; over is 8-2-2 in its last 12 games.
Giants @ Reds
Peavy is 1-2, 8.61 in five starts this year (over 5-0).
Straily is 0-1, 3.45 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
Giants on eight of their last 11 games; ten of their last 12 overall went over the total. Reds lost ten of their last 12 games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.
Braves @ Mets
Chacin is 1-1, 3.68 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Matz is 3-0, 0.93 in his last three starts (over 3-1).
Mets won nine of last 11 games; over is 11-6 in their last 17 games. Atlanta is 3-10 in its last 13 games; four of its last five games stayed under.
Phillies @ Cardinals
Morgan allowed three runs in five IP (97 PT) in his first '16 start.
Leake is 0-3, 6.75 in five starts this year; three of his last four starts went over.
Phillies won ten of last 12 games; six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Cardinals lost five of last six games (over 7-1-2 in last ten).
Rockies @ Padres
Chatwood is 2-1, 1.56 in his last three starts (under 5-0). .
Vargas is 0-1, 0.87 in two starts this year (under 1-1).
Colorado is 8-6 on the road this year; nine of its last 12 road games stayed under. San Diego won four of its last five games; five of their last seven games stayed under.
American League games
Tigers @ Indians
Sanchez is 1-2, 9.69 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1).
Kluber is 1-0, 2.40 in his last two starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.
Detroit won five of last six games; eight of its last ten games went over. Cleveland lost five of last seven games; oer is 6-3 in its home games.
Bronx @ Orioles
Sabathia is 1-2, 5.28 in his last three starts (over 2-2).
Wilson is 1-0, 4.66 in two starts this year (over 2-0).
New York lost 14 of last 18 games; six of its last eight road games stayed under the total. Orioles won five of last seven home games; four of their last five home games went over the total.
Rangers @ Blue Jays
Lewis is 2-0, 2.88 in his last four starts (over 3-2). .
Sanchez is 2-1, 2.87 in five starts this year (under 4-1).
Texas won five of its last seven games, but they've lost five of last six on road; nine of its 12 road games stayed under. Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games; its last six games all stayed under the total.
Red Sox @ White Sox
Buchholz is 0-3, 6.59 in five starts this year (over 3-2).
Rodon is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts (under 4-1). .
Boston won nine of its last 11 games; four of their last five games stayed under. the total. Chicago won 11 of last 14 games; their last eight games at home stayed under.
Twins @ Astros
Hughes is 1-4, 4.75 in five starts this month (under 3-1-1). .
Fiers is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1).
Twins are 2-11 on road; they lost five of last six games overall. Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games overall. Houston lost ten of last 14 games; over is 6-3-1 in its last ten
Mariners @ A's
Hernandez is 2-2, 1.93 in five starts this year (under 5-0).
Manaea allowed four runs in five IP (87 PT) in his MLB debut.
Mariners won ten of last 13 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. A's lost eight of last 11 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
Interleague
Dodgers @ Rays
Wood is 0-2, 10.29 in three road starts- they all went over total.
Smyly is 1-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts stayed under. .
Dodgers lost six of last eight games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road tilts. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games; 12 of its last 15 home games stayed under.
Angels @ Brewers
Santiago is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts (under 4-1).
Davies is 0-3, 9.45 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1).
Angels lost nine of last 12 road games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Milwaukee won its last three games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven at home.
Nationals @ Royals
Strasburg is 4-0, 2.25 in five starts this year (over 3-0-1 last four).
Medlen is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts (under 3-1).
Washington won six of its last eight road games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games on foreign soil. Royals lost six of their last eight games; under is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 4-1; Nicasio 3-2
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 2-2; Fernandez 3-2
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-3; Straily 1-2
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-2; Matz 3-1
Phil-StL-- Morgan 1-0; Leake 1-4
Col-SD-- Chatwood 3-2; Vargas 1-1
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 3-2; Kluber 1-4
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 2-2; Wilson 2-0
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-2; Sanchez 2-3
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 0-5; Rodon 2-3
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 1-4; Fiers 2-3
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 2-3; Manaea 1-0
LA-TB-- Wood 2-3; Smyly 2-3
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 4-1; Davies 0-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 5-0; Medlen 1-3
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 1-5; Nicasio 1-5
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 0-4; Fernandez 3-5
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-5; Straily 0-3
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-4; Matz 0-4
Phil-StL-- Morgan 0-1; Leake 3-5
Col-SD-- Chatwood 1-5; Vargas 0-2
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 2-3; Kluber 1-5
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 0-4; Wilson 0-2
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-5; Sanchez 1-5
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 1-5; Rodon 2-5
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 3-5; Fiers 2-5
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 0-5; Manaea 0-1
LA-TB-- Wood 1-4; Smyly 0-5
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 2-5; Davies 1-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 1-5; Medlen 0-4
Umpires
Chi-Pitt-- Over is 3-1-1 in Nelson games this season.
SF-Cin-- Four of five Joyce games stayed under total.
Atl-NY-- Over is 8-2-2 in last twelve Wolf games.
Az-Mia-- Five of last seven Gibson games went over.
Phil-StL-- Five of last seven Wolcott games stayed under.
Col-SD-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Knight games.
Det-Clev-- Eight of last eleven Morales games went over.
NY-Balt-- Three of four Guccione games stayed under total.
Tex-Tor-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Drake games.
Min-Hst-- Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
Bos-Chi-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Timmons games.
Sea-A's-- Six of last nine Hamari games went over total.
LAA-Mil-- Nine of last twelve Reyburn games stayed under.
LA-TB-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight LBarrett games.
Wsh-KC-- Home side won six of last eight Bucknor games.
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