Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, MARCH 27
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYR at PHI 01:00 PM
NYR -135
O 6.5

BUF at BOS 01:00 PM
BOS -380
U 5.5

CLB at DET 03:00 PM
CLB -160
O 5.5

VEG at COL 03:00 PM
VEG +165
O 5.5

NYI at PIT 07:00 PM
NYI -115
O 5.5

EDM at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -155
O 6.5

TB at CAR 07:00 PM
TB -125
O 5.5

NAS at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -115
U 5.5

FLA at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL -110
U 5.5

SJ at ARI 10:00 PM
SJ +100
O 5.5

WIN at CAL 10:00 PM
WIN +105
O 6.0

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Active leaders in career strikeouts:
3,013— Justin Verlander
2,784— Max Scherzer
2,689— Zack Greinke
2,526— Clayton Kershaw
2,524— Felix Hernandez
2,397— Jon Lester

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 548,130
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“We really haven’t made a big deal about the 12th seed in the tournament. We were thrilled to be here. But we had a mission. I don’t want to throw too much at them. They’ll see it. And it’s cool. But we just gotta really keep our feet on the ground, stay humble and stay hungry, keep grinding away.”
Oregon State coach Wayne Tinkle

Sunday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since last time they made the playoffs?

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

Friday’s quiz
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has been in his current job the longest; this is his 11th season with the A’s.

***********************

Sunday’s Den: Trends for National League teams

Arizona
— Last made playoffs in 2017.
— Finished over .500 three of last four years.
— 5-11 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
— 9-21 on the road LY.

Atlanta
— Made playoffs the last three years.
— 19-11 at home LY.
— 8-4 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
— 11-9 vs AL teams, 24-16 vs NL teams.

Chicago
— Made playoffs four of last five years.
— 19-14 at home, 15-12 on road LY
— 7-4 vs lefty starters, 12-8 vs AL Central teams.
— Joe Maddon made playoffs four of five years with the Cubs; why did they dump him?

Cincinnati
— Braves shut them out 1-0/5-0 in two playoff games LY.
— Reds’ previous playoff appearance was in 2013.
— Reds are moving Eugenio Suarez to SS this year.
— Losing P’s Bauer, Iglesias will be hard to overcome.

Colorado
— Went combined 97-125 the last two years.
— Finished over .500 twice in last ten years.
— Were only 12-18 at Coors Field last year.
— 16-24 vs right-handed starting pitchers.

Los Angeles
— won World Series LY for first time since 1988.
— Last losing season? They were 80-82 in 2010.
— Made playoffs the last eight years.
— were 7-5 in one-run games, 36-12 in the others.

Miami
— made playoffs LY for first time since 2003.
— went 31-29, despite giving up 41 more runs than they scored.
— 24-17 vs righty starters, 7-12 vs southpaws.
— Before LY, their last winning season was in 2009.

Milwaukee
— made playoffs the last three years.
— went 29-31, despite going 11-5 in one-run games.
— 11-7 vs lefty starters, 18-24 vs righties.
— 10-10 vs AL Central, 19-21 vs NL Central rivals.

NY Mets
— Finished over .500 in 3 of last 12 seasons.
— Last made playoffs in 2016.
— Were 6-11 in one-run games LY.
— Have new owner with lot of $$$; will they re-sign Lindor?

Philadelphia
— Had great run from 2007-11, making playoffs every year.
— Haven’t made playoffs since 2011.
— 21-19 vs NL East, 7-13 vs AL East LY.
— 13-9 vs lefty starters, 15-23 vs right starters.

Pittsburgh
— Last made playoffs in 2015.
— 6-22 on road, 2-10 vs lefty starters LY.
— 16-24 vs NL Central, only 3-17 vs AL Central LY.
— were over .500 four times in 9 years under Clint Hurdle.

St Louis
— made playoffs 11 of last 17 years.
— 22-18 vs NL Central, 8-10 vs AL Central.
— 26-21 vs righty starters, 4-7 vs southpaws.
— Acquiring 3B Arenado is big upgrade to defense.

San Diego
— made playoffs LY for first time since 2006.
— 27-13 vs righty starters, 10-10 vs lefties LY.
— won all four of their extra inning games.
— 24-16 vs NL West, 13-7 vs AL West.

San Francisco
— finished under .500 the last four years.
— 19-14 at home, 10-17 on road LY.
— won three World Series from 2010-14.
— 18-22 vs NL West, 11-9 vs AL West LY.

Washington
— made playoffs 5 of last 9 years
— despite that, have had 7 managers the last 16 years
— were over .500 eight of last nine years, won 2019 WS.
— 11-7 vs lefty starters, 15-27 vs lefty starters.

[StarDust Bum]

55NY RANGERS -56 WASHINGTON
NY RANGERS are 22-12 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

57COLUMBUS -58 DETROIT
DETROIT is 10-42 ATS (-26.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

59ANAHEIM -60 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 2-10 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games against poor passing teams - averaging 4 or less assists per game in the current season.

61NEW JERSEY -62 BOSTON
NEW JERSEY is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

63FLORIDA -64 DALLAS
DALLAS are 3-15 ATS (-15 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

67NASHVILLE -68 CHICAGO
NASHVILLE is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.


---------------------------------


NHL

Sunday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Washington
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Columbus @ Detroit
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Anaheim @ St. Louis
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Anaheim is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim

New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Boston
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games

Florida @ Dallas
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

Nashville @ Chicago
Nashville
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games


----------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 28

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, MARCH 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYR at WAS 12:00 PM
NYR +130
O 6.0

CLB at DET 03:00 PM
DET +145
U 5.5

ANA at STL 05:00 PM
ANA +185
U 5.5

NJ at BOS 05:30 PM
NJ +160
U 5.5

FLA at DAL 06:00 PM
DAL -115
O 5.5

NAS at CHI 08:00 PM
NAS -105
U 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, MARCH 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYR at WAS 12:00 PM
NYR +130...........4 - 5.....LOSER
O 6.0......................WINNER

CLB at DET 03:00 PM
DET +145............1 - 4.........WINNER
U 5.5..................WINNER

ANA at STL 05:00 PM
[B]ANA +185.................3 - 2.......WINNER
U 5.5.....................WINNER

NJ at BOS 05:30 PM
NJ +160..............1 - 0....WINNER
U 5.5.................WINNER

FLA at DAL 06:00 PM
DAL -115.................4 - 1
O 5.5................LOSER

NAS at CHI 08:00 PM
NAS -105............3 - 2
U 5.5..................WINNER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR.28 2021.................8 - 2........80.00%.........+ 38.50
MAR.27 2021.................6 - 7........46.15.............- 5.25
MAR.262021..................5 - 2........71.42..............+17.35
MAR.25 2021.................6 - 13.......31.57..............-38.25
MAR.24 2021.................2 - 4.........33.33%...........-9.00
MAR.23 2021.................2 -3..........40.00%...........+4.00
MAR.22 2021.................6 - 5.........54.54%..........+5.25
MAR.21 2021.................5 - 2.........71.42%..........+22.25
MAR.20,2021.................5 - 11.......31.25..............-41.00
MAR.19,2021.................2 - 6.........25.00%...........-21.00
MAR.18.2021.................8 - 4.........66.66%...........+24.50
MAR. 17,2021................2 - 10.......16.66%............-27.50
MAR. 16,2021................4 - 6.........40.00%............-8.00
MAR. 15,2021................5 - 7.........41.66%............- 5.50
MAR. 14.2021................6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.50
MAR. 13,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+24.25
MAR. 12,2021................3 - 4.........42.85%............- 7.00
MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS.....................133 - 154.......46.34%............-53.65


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Active career leaders in OPS:
.9996— Mike Trout
.937— Joey Votto
.931— Miguel Cabrera
.924— Albert Pujols
.914— Paul Goldschmidt
.905— Giancarlo Stanton

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 548,130
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) This is the state of college basketball these days:

In February, North Carolina needed couple of games to update their resume; they added mid-week non-conference home games with Northeastern, Marquette, Won one, lost one. Didn’t seem like a big deal at the time.

When Carolina beat Northeastern 82-62 February 17, Huskies’ sophomore PG Tyson Walker scored 27 points, and showed up on the radar of the big $$$ schools who like to poach players from low and mid-major schools. Happens all the time now.

Makes college basketball a lot more like baseball, but I’m an Oakland A’s fan, and it drives me batty when players bolt for greener pa$ture$. Loyalty is in scarce supply these days.

Walker averaged 18.8 ppg and 4.8 assists/game as a sophomore at Northeastern, was named the CAA’s Defensive Player of the Year; he committed to Michigan State this weekend.

Not sure what Northeastern is going to do for a point guard next year, none of the national media seemed too interested in that.

12) UCLA 88, Alabama 78 OT:
— Crimson Tide went 11-25 on foul line, in an overtime loss.
— UCLA scored 23 points in the 5:00 overtime.
— This is Mick Cronin’s 12th NCAA tourney, his first regional final.

11) Baylor 62, Villanova 51:
— Villanova led 30-23 at halftime.
— Baylor was +10 in turnover margin (16-6)
— Teams combined to make 6-36 on the arc.

10) Arkansas 72, Oral Roberts 70:
— ORU led 46-34 with 15:24 left in the game.
— Eric Musselman is 5-3 in NCAA tourney games; his team trailed by 10+ points in all five of the wins.
— Oral Roberts were almost first-ever #15-seed to make a regional final.

9) Gonzaga 83, Creighton 65:
— Gonzaga is 29-0, has one win by fewer than 10 points.
— Zags took 33 shots inside arc, made 25 of them (75.8%)
— Gonzaga had 23 assists on 32 made field goals.

8) Oregon State 65, Loyola Chi 58:
— Beavers are 2nd-ever #12-seed (Missouri ’02) to make a regional final.
— OSU held Ramblers to 33.3% from the floor.
— On February 20, Oregon State was 11-11; they’ve gone 9-1 since then.

7) Michigan 76, Florida State 58:
— Surprisingly easy win for the Wolverines.
— FSU shot only 40%, looked lost on offense.
— Michigan scored 81.3 ppg in first three tourney wins.

6) USC 82, Oregon 68:
— Trojans made 10-17 shots on arc, scored 1.22 ppp.
— In two games vs Oregon this year, Trojans led by 19-21 at the half.
— Pac-12 is 12-2 in NCAA Tournament, including this game.

5) Houston 62, Syracuse 46:
— Cougars won their last ten games.
— Syracuse shot 28% from floor, 5-23 on arc.
— Average total in the four Saturday games: 126.5.

4) Memphis 77, Mississippi State 64:
— Tigers win the NIT; in their last two games, they made 24-49 3-pointers.
— This game was 33-33 at halftime.
— Memphis didn’t play any seniors; they should be good next year.

3) If Houston beats Oregon State tonight, they’ll have made the Final Four by winning four games in their region, against the #15-10-11-12 seeds. That doesn’t happen often.

2) Indiana Hoosiers hired alum Mike Woodson as their basketball coach; Woodson coached the Atlanta Hawks for six years, the Knicks for three more; he scored 14 ppg in his 11-year NBA career. His last head coaching gig was 2014; he’s been an assistant coach since.

Utah poached coach Craig Smith from in-state rival Utah State to be its next head man. Few days ago, Smith told his Utah State players not to have any concerns about him leaving- he was staying right where he was, sure as sure could be.

Money does strange things to people.

1) I like the idea they enacted this year; the 2nd weekend of the tournament being Saturday-Tuesday instead of Thursday-Sunday. Not sure what next year’s schedule will be like, maybe no one does; when you change the schedule once every 35 years, people get used to the way it was.

[StarDust Bum]

1NY ISLANDERS -2 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

3EDMONTON -4 TORONTO
EDMONTON is 14-8 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

5PHILADELPHIA -6 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 1-17 ATS (-16.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

7ANAHEIM -8 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 3-15 ATS (-10.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

9LOS ANGELES -10 VEGAS
VEGAS are 23-5 ATS (15.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

11WINNIPEG -12 CALGARY
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days in the current season.

13MINNESOTA -14 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.


-----------------------------------


NHL

Monday, March 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Islanders's last 12 games on the road
NY Islanders is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Edmonton @ Toronto
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 15-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Anaheim is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Calgary
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

Los Angeles @ Vegas
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Vegas
Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ San Jose
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Jose is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota


-------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 29

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYI at PIT 07:00 PM
NYI -110
U 5.5

EDM at TOR 07:00 PM
EDM +120
O 6.5

PHI at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +170
U 6.0

ANA at COL 09:00 PM
ANA +350
O 5.5

LA at VEG 10:00 PM
LA +180
O 5.5

WIN at CAL 10:00 PM
WIN -105
U 6.0

MIN at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +145
O 5.5



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR.28 2021.................8 - 2........80.00%.........+ 38.50
MAR.27 2021.................6 - 7........46.15.............- 5.25
MAR.262021..................5 - 2........71.42..............+17.35
MAR.25 2021.................6 - 13.......31.57..............-38.25
MAR.24 2021.................2 - 4.........33.33%...........-9.00
MAR.23 2021.................2 -3..........40.00%...........+4.00
MAR.22 2021.................6 - 5.........54.54%..........+5.25
MAR.21 2021.................5 - 2.........71.42%..........+22.25
MAR.20,2021.................5 - 11.......31.25..............-41.00
MAR.19,2021.................2 - 6.........25.00%...........-21.00
MAR.18.2021.................8 - 4.........66.66%...........+24.50
MAR. 17,2021................2 - 10.......16.66%............-27.50
MAR. 16,2021................4 - 6.........40.00%............-8.00
MAR. 15,2021................5 - 7.........41.66%............- 5.50
MAR. 14.2021................6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.50
MAR. 13,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+24.25
MAR. 12,2021................3 - 4.........42.85%............- 7.00
MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS.....................133 - 154.......46.34%............-53.65


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYI at PIT 07:00 PM
NYI -110.............1 - 2
U 5.5...................WINNER

EDM at TOR 07:00 PM
EDM +120.................3 - 2....WINNER
O 6.5.........................LOSER

PHI at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +170.................4 - 3....LOSER
U 6.0..................LOSER

ANA at COL 09:00 PM
ANA +350...........2 - 5.......LOSER
O 5.5......................WNNER

LA at VEG 10:00 PM
LA +180...........1 - 4......LOSER
O 5.5...........................LOSER

WIN at CAL 10:00 PM
WIN -105..........5 - 1
U 6.0.........................PUSH

MIN at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +145...................3 - 4 S/O...WINNER
O 5.5......................WINNER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR.29 2021.................5 - 6........45.45%.........- 4.75
MAR.28 2021.................8 - 2........80.00%.........+ 38.50
MAR.27 2021.................6 - 7........46.15.............- 5.25
MAR.262021..................5 - 2........71.42..............+17.35
MAR.25 2021.................6 - 13.......31.57..............-38.25
MAR.24 2021.................2 - 4.........33.33%...........-9.00
MAR.23 2021.................2 -3..........40.00%...........+4.00
MAR.22 2021.................6 - 5.........54.54%..........+5.25
MAR.21 2021.................5 - 2.........71.42%..........+22.25
MAR.20,2021.................5 - 11.......31.25..............-41.00
MAR.19,2021.................2 - 6.........25.00%...........-21.00
MAR.18.2021.................8 - 4.........66.66%...........+24.50
MAR. 17,2021................2 - 10.......16.66%............-27.50
MAR. 16,2021................4 - 6.........40.00%............-8.00
MAR. 15,2021................5 - 7.........41.66%............- 5.50
MAR. 14.2021................6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.50
MAR. 13,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+24.25
MAR. 12,2021................3 - 4.........42.85%............- 7.00
MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS.....................138 - 160.......46.30%............-58.40


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2000, biggest upsets in March Madness:
+14— Bucknell over Kansas, 2005
+15— Oral Roberts over Ohio State, 2021
+16.5— Middle Tennessee State over Michigan State, 2016
+17.5— Hampton over Iowa State, 2001
+20.5— UMBC over Virginia, 2018
+21— Norfolk State over Missouri, 2012

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 549,664
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I would for sure, 100 percent, do that deal again. Again, you guys don’t have the advantages of knowing everything I know, but literally no part of me regrets doing that deal. I have not second-guessed it for a moment.”
Houston Rockets’ GM Rafael Stone, on trading James Harden.
Last four years, Houston was 217-101; under this genius’s leadership this year, they’re 13-32.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, who was he coaching?

Monday’s quiz
Washington’s Bradley Beal is leading the NBA in scoring this season, at 31.3 ppg.

Sunday’s quiz
Seattle Mariners have gone the longest without making the playoffs- last time they made the postseason was 2001.

-------------------------------

Tuesday’s Den: American League trends and notes…….

Baltimore
— Last made playoffs in 2016.
— combined record, last 3 years: 126-258
— went 11-9 vs NL East LY, 14-26 vs their division rivals.
— 7-12 in one-run games LY,

Boston
— Made playoffs 10 of last 18 years.
— 11-20 at home, 13-16 on road LY.
— 7-17 vs lefty starting pitchers LY, 17-19 vs righties.
— Why did they trade Mookie Betts?

Chicago White Sox
— Made playoffs LY for first time since 2008; their last winning season was 2012.
— went 2-8 in last 10 games, then lost in playoffs, then fired the manager.
— 76-year old Tony LaRussa is the old/new skipper; he last managed in 2011.
— 14-0 vs lefty starters, 21-25 vs righties LY. 14-0!!!!
— New closer Hendriks had 39 saves last two years; in the 8 years before that, he had one.

Cleveland
— Last losing season was in 2012.
— Made playoffs four of last five years.
— Letting SS Lindor bolt to the Mets will obviously hurt them.
— Won 8 of last 10 games LY, then lost 12-3/10-9 in playoffs.

Detroit
— Went combined 198-345 the last four years.
— Last made the playoffs in 2014.
— 11-7 vs NL Central LY, went 12-28 vs division rivals.
— 7-4 vs lefties, 16-31 vs righties LY.

Houston
— 29-31 LY, still made playoffs for 5th time in six years.
— went 2-7 in extra innings last year.
— 12-10 vs lefties, 17-21 vs righties LY.
— Will miss departed Springer, injured Verlander.

Kansas City
— won World Series six short years ago.
— last three years, they’re a combined 143-241
— 15-15 at home, 11-19 on road LY.
— Adding 1B Carlos Santana should upgrade the offense.

LA Angels
— haven’t made made playoffs since 2014.
— last time they won a playoff game? 2009.
— 16-15 at home, 10-19 on road last year.
— went 7-13 vs NL West, 19-21 vs their division rivals.

Minnesota
— Lost an amazing 18 playoff games in a row.
— made playoffs three of last four years.
— Were 24-7 at home, 12-17 on road last year.
— Last two years, went a combined 137-85.

A’s
— made playoffs last three years, and six of last nine.
— were 22-10 at home, 14-14 on road LY.
— went 6-0 in extra-inning games last year.
— 11-3 vs lefty starters, 25-21 vs right starters.

Bronx
— made playoffs 22 of last 26 years.
— 11-18 on road, 22-9 at home LY.
— 26-19 vs righty starters, 7-8 vs lefties LY.
— need Judge/Stanton to both stay healthy for once.

Seattle
— Last made playoffs in 2001, longest active drought in MLB
— have been over .500 three times in last seven years.
— 20-20 vs division rivals, 7-13 vs NL West LY.
— 14-10 at home, 13-23 on road last year.
— Have already committed to using 6-man rotation at start of this year.

Tampa Bay
— made playoffs last two years, lost World Series 4-2 LY.
— went 40-20 LY, best record in American League.
— went 14-5 in one-run games, which suggests regression this year.
— 31-12 vs righties, 9-8 vs lefties LY.

Texas
— last made playoffs in 2016.
— Last four years, they’re combined 56 games under .500.
— went 6-24 on road LY; were 16-14 in their new domed stadium.
— minus-88 run differential LY was worst in major leagues.

Toronto
— made playoffs 3 of last 6 years
— from 2017-19, were a combined 54 games under .500.
— were 17-9 at home, 15-19 on road LY.
— went 13-10 in one-run games LY, T2 for most in MLB.

[StarDust Bum]

17WASHINGTON -18 NY RANGERS
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game in the current season.

19NEW JERSEY -20 BOSTON
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

21DETROIT -22 FLORIDA
DETROIT is 6-39 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

23COLUMBUS -24 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 93-34 ATS (29.5 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the last 3 seasons.

25CAROLINA -26 CHICAGO
CAROLINA is 15-5 ATS (9.8 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

27DALLAS -28 NASHVILLE
DALLAS are 3-17 ATS (-17.5 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

71EDMONTON -72 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 9-15 ATS (-13.2 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.


-----------------------------------


NHL

Tuesday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Detroit @ Florida
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Florida
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ NY Rangers
Washington
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Rangers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Edmonton @ Montreal
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home

Carolina @ Chicago
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Nashville
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


-------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 30

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -110
U 6.0

NJ at BOS 07:00 PM
NJ +175
U 5.5

EDM at MON 07:00 PM
EDM +100
O 6.0

DET at FLA 07:00 PM
DET +190
O 5.5

CLB at TB 07:00 PM
CLB +185
U 5.5

CAR at CHI 07:30 PM
CAR -155
U 6.0

DAL at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -105
O 5.5




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR.29 2021.................5 - 6........45.45%.........- 4.75
MAR.28 2021.................8 - 2........80.00%.........+ 38.50
MAR.27 2021.................6 - 7........46.15.............- 5.25
MAR.262021..................5 - 2........71.42..............+17.35
MAR.25 2021.................6 - 13.......31.57..............-38.25
MAR.24 2021.................2 - 4.........33.33%...........-9.00
MAR.23 2021.................2 -3..........40.00%...........+4.00
MAR.22 2021.................6 - 5.........54.54%..........+5.25
MAR.21 2021.................5 - 2.........71.42%..........+22.25
MAR.20,2021.................5 - 11.......31.25..............-41.00
MAR.19,2021.................2 - 6.........25.00%...........-21.00
MAR.18.2021.................8 - 4.........66.66%...........+24.50
MAR. 17,2021................2 - 10.......16.66%............-27.50
MAR. 16,2021................4 - 6.........40.00%............-8.00
MAR. 15,2021................5 - 7.........41.66%............- 5.50
MAR. 14.2021................6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.50
MAR. 13,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+24.25
MAR. 12,2021................3 - 4.........42.85%............- 7.00
MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS.....................138 - 160.......46.30%............-58.40

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -110.............2 - 5
U 6.0.................LOSER

NJ at BOS 07:00 PM
NJ +175..............4 - 5 LOSER
U 5.5.................LOSER

EDM at MON 07:00 PM
EDM +100...........0 - 4.....LOSER
O 6.0................LOSER

DET at FLA 07:00 PM
DET +190............1 - 4 ....LOSER
O 5.5..................LOSER

CLB at TB 07:00 PM
CLB +185.............3 - 1...WINNER
U 5.5.......................WINNER

CAR at CHI 07:30 PM
CAR -155.............1 - 2
U 6.0............................WINNER

DAL at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -105
O 5.5...........2 - 3........LOSER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR.30 2021.................3 - 7........30.00%.........-19.25
MAR.29 2021.................5 - 6........45.45%.........- 4.75
MAR.28 2021.................8 - 2........80.00%.........+ 38.50
MAR.27 2021.................6 - 7........46.15.............- 5.25
MAR.262021..................5 - 2........71.42..............+17.35
MAR.25 2021.................6 - 13.......31.57..............-38.25
MAR.24 2021.................2 - 4.........33.33%...........-9.00
MAR.23 2021.................2 -3..........40.00%...........+4.00
MAR.22 2021.................6 - 5.........54.54%..........+5.25
MAR.21 2021.................5 - 2.........71.42%..........+22.25
MAR.20,2021.................5 - 11.......31.25..............-41.00
MAR.19,2021.................2 - 6.........25.00%...........-21.00
MAR.18.2021.................8 - 4.........66.66%...........+24.50
MAR. 17,2021................2 - 10.......16.66%............-27.50
MAR. 16,2021................4 - 6.........40.00%............-8.00
MAR. 15,2021................5 - 7.........41.66%............- 5.50
MAR. 14.2021................6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.50
MAR. 13,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+24.25
MAR. 12,2021................3 - 4.........42.85%............- 7.00
MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS.....................141 - 167.......45.77%............-77.65

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds for the Masters next week:
8-1— Dustin Johnson
9-1— Bryson DeChambeau
11-1— Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas
14-1— Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth
20-1— Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka
22-1— Patrick Cantlay

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“A thief is a thief, whether he steals a diamond or a cucumber.”
Old Indian proverb

Wednesday’s quiz
When was last time three #1-seeds made the Final Four?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, he was coaching Oklahoma.

Monday’s quiz
Washington’s Bradley Beal is leading the NBA in scoring this season, at 31.3 ppg.

*************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) UCLA 51, Michigan 49:
— UCLA lost their last four games before the NCAA’s; they were down 5 with 1:27 left in the play-in game, against Michigan State.
— Michigan was 6-11 on foul line in a 2-point loss.
— Bruins have played six OT games this year; two of them were in the NCAA’s.
— Here’s the thing: if Mick Cronin’s relatives filled out brackets, no way they picked the Bruins.

12) Baylor 81, Arkansas 72:
— Bears are 9-2 since their 21-day COVID pause in February.
— Baylor never trailed, led 29-11 right off the bat, made 8-15 on the arc.
— Bears are diverse; they force ton of turnovers, are best in country shooting on the arc.

11) Houston 67, Oregon State 61:
— Each region has teams seeds from #1-16: Houston beat seeds #15-10-11-12
— Cougars have won 11 games in a row.
— Houston shot only 32.3% from floor, but had 19 offensive rebounds.

10) Gonzaga 85, USC 66:
— Gonzaga is 30-0, with ONE WIN by less than 10 points.
— Zags never trailed in this game, led 49-30 at halftime.
— USC has #7 eFG% defense in country; Zags shot 57.8% inside arc.

9) Tip of the cap to Oral Roberts sophomore Max Abmas, who led ORU to a Summit League title, then two wins in the NCAA Tournament. Kid led the country in scoring, at 24.2 ppg.

In Oral Roberts’ six postseason games, the Summit/NCAAs, Abmas NEVER came out of the game, played the whole 245:00 (one game went OT). In those six games, Abmas:
— shot 32-57 inside arc
— shot 13-45 on the arc
— shot 40-46 on foul line
— also had 34 assists
— 23.8 ppg, 5-1 record on the biggest stage. Good for him.

Next question is, unfortunately, how many phone calls has the kid gotten about transferring to a higher-profile program? Come on, kids who are way worse than Abmas have bolted low or mid-majors to be role players for the $$$ teams. Loyalty is becoming obsolete.

We’ll see what happens.

8) Speaking of which, Kentucky poached grad transfer Kellen Grady away from Davidson; Grady 2,000 points+ in his Davidson career and is a career 36.6% 3-point shooter.

Three years ago, Grady scored 16 points against Kentucky in an NCAA tourney game.

7) NFL is upgrading its schedule to 17 games next season; AFC teams will all get the extra home game next year, then NFC teams get the extra home game in even-numbered years.

The extra game will pit division vs division; for 2021:
— NFC West vs AFC North
— NFC East vs AFC East
— NFC North vs AFC West
— NFC South vs AFC South

6) Here is how the length of NFL schedules have worked over the years:
1947-60— 12 games
1961-77— 14 games; from 1966-77, 14 games in 15 weeks
1978-89— 16 games/season
1990-2020— 16 games in 17 weeks.

5) Final Four is set:
— two #1-seeds, a #2-seed and a #11-seed
— 7th year in a row, a team seeded #5 or lower wins a region.
— Third time in five years a double-digit seed goes to the Final Four.

4) This year was first time since 2001 that the Pac-12 had three teams in Elite 8.

3) Pac-12 has done so well in the NCAA tournament that the Washington Huskies have moved up 43 spots in the kenpom.com rankings, since they played their last game.

2) I can’t help it, every time I see Dick Vitale’s GEICO commercial, I laugh/smile; the guy dumps a cooler of water over his head— he is 81 years old. The commercial has been on TV a lot, but it never stops being funny. Hope I live as long as Coach Vitale, and would love to have his energy.

1) Was watching Daily Wager on ESPN2; good program, but they’re talking about betting NFL futures already and it is freakin’ March 30. Too early.

— Haven’t had the draft yet.
— Trading may not be over yet.
— The freakin’ schedule hasn’t been released yet.
— How can you wager on things when so much is still unknown?

[StarDust Bum]

29TORONTO -30 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games in the current season.

31PHILADELPHIA -32 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 1-18 ATS (-17.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

33ARIZONA -34 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 19-14 ATS (3.6 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

35LOS ANGELES -36 VEGAS
LOS ANGELES are 3-21 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals in the last 3 seasons.

39CALGARY -40 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.


------------------------------


NHL

Wednesday, March 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Winnipeg
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Toronto

Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games

Los Angeles @ Vegas
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles

Minnesota @ San Jose
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Jose is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota

Calgary @ Vancouver
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games


--------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 31