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Da Bum's 2018 NHL Picks/News/Trends/Best Bets - Thru The Stanley Cup !

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  • Blues vs Sharks NHL betting picks and predictions: San Jose a good bet to take big bite out of Blues in Game 1
    Monty Andrews

    Sharks have scored double-digit goals in all three periods this postseason and are averaging a whopping 3.88 goals at home in the playoffs.

    It wasn't easy for either team, but you won't hear the St. Louis Blues or San Jose Sharks complain as they prepare for Game 1 of the Western Conference final Saturday night at HP Center. The host Sharks needed seven games to dispatch the Colorado Avalanche, prevailing 3-2 in a thrilling Game 7 at home. The St. Louis Blues had an even more dramatic time of it, with Patrick Maroon's goal in double-overtime lifting the Blues past the Dallas Stars.

    San Jose comes in as a -125 favorite to advance to the Stanley Cup final, but it won't be easy against a Blues side (+105) that has routinely saved its best for last.We break the best ways to wager Game 1 of the Western Conference Final.

    ST. LOUIS BLUES AT SAN JOSE SHARKS (-130, 5.5)

    Series Price: Blues +120/Sharks -175

    QUICK-HITTER

    It was true in the regular season, and it remains a fact in the Stanley Cup playoffs: The San Jose Sharks are one dangerous team in the opening period. The Sharks scored a league-best 102 first-period goals during the season, and their 14 goals in the first 20 minutes of their 14 playoff games sits tied with the Stars for the most in the league. And while San Jose's defense hasn't been nearly as successful, the team is still plus-3 for the postseason while the Blues, who allowed just 58 first-period goals during the season, are a minus-4. Give us the home team to own a lead after the opening stanza of Game 1.

    PREDICTION: Sharks -0.5 first-period line (+170)

    PERIOD BET

    Here are some numbers for you: 23, 17, 34. It's not the combination to our gym locker (though it's probably the combination to someone's gym locker), but rather, the total goals scored by these two teams by period. Notice the outlier? The Blues and Sharks rank 1-2 in third-period goals through the first two rounds of the postseason, while the Sharks have been equally porous on the defensive end with a league-high 16 third-period goals allowed. Once they get past the nerves, expect both teams to bring the scoring chances as the game goes on; we like the third as the highest-scoring period.

    PREDICTION: Highest scoring period - Period 3 (+225)

    TEAM/PLAYER BET

    It's no surprise that Tomas Hertl and Logan Couture have identical odds to score in Game 1; after all, they've had a nearly dead-even postseason so far in terms of offensive production. Both players have nine goals and five assists, and both skaters scored six goals against Vegas in the opening round and three more against Colorado in Round 2. So why are we leaning toward Hertl over Couture? Hertl scored eight more regular-season goals in four fewer games, has eight more shots than Couture in the playoffs, and has scored eight of his nine goals at home. We're leaning toward the Czech dynamo to convert Saturday.

    PREDICTION: Tomas Hertl anytime goal (+135)

    FULL-GAME TOTAL

    After opening their postseason run against two teams who liked to play an up-tempo game, the Sharks will face a very different opponent in the Blues, who have seen five or fewer goals scored in eight of their 13 postseason contests. The teams have also trended toward the under, with each of their previous five games producing five or fewer total goals. We expect things to tighten up as this series moves along, but with the Sharks looking to make a statement and the Blues averaging an impressive 3.17 goals on the road, there could be a little money to be made with the O5.5.

    PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+110)

    FULL-GAME SIDE

    The Blues were able to overcome early- and mid-game offensive shortcomings in the first two rounds of the postseason by being so prolific in the final period – but that strategy likely won't work against the host Sharks, who have scored double-digit goals in all three periods and are averaging a whopping 3.88 goals at home in the playoffs. It's also notable that the home team has won each of the past five head-to-head meetings between the teams, with three of those contests decided by multiple goals. Neither team has a rest edge, so we're rolling with home-ice advantage here; take the Sharks -1.5 for a nicer payout.

    PREDICTION: Sharks -1.5 (+210)
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • 3St Louis -4 San Jose
      ST LOUIS are 19-4 ATS (15.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.


      NHL
      Dunkel

      Saturday, May 11



      St. Louis @ San Jose

      Game 3-4
      May 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St. Louis
      10.967
      San Jose
      12.390
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Jose
      by 1 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Jose
      -125
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Jose
      (-125); Over



      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Saturday, May 11


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ST LOUIS (53-32-0-10, 116 pts.) at SAN JOSE (54-32-0-10, 118 pts.) - 5/11/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST LOUIS is 38-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
      ST LOUIS is 16-10 ATS (+26.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
      ST LOUIS is 32-21 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ST LOUIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST LOUIS is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      ST LOUIS is 5-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      NHL

      Saturday, May 11


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      St. Louis Blues
      St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
      St. Louis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
      St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
      St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing San Jose
      St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
      San Jose Sharks
      San Jose is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
      San Jose is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
      San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose's last 12 games at home
      San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
      San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
      San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • SATURDAY, MAY 11
        GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


        STL at SJ 08:00 PM

        SJ -123

        U 5.5
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Timo Meier scores 2 to lead Sharks past Blues 6-3 in Game 1
          May 11, 2019
          ShareFacebookTwitterDiggMySpace


          SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) Timo Meier scored twice and set up one of Logan Couture's two goals with a hard hit, sending the San Jose Sharks to a 6-3 victory over the St. Louis Blues in Game 1 of the Western Conference final Saturday night.

          Meier's hit on Alex Pietrangelo led to Couture's goal that opened the scoring in the first period and he then scored twice in the second to give the Sharks a comfortable lead and their third straight Game 1 win this postseason.

          Couture added an empty-net goal to give him an NHL-leading 11 in the postseason. Joe Pavelski and Kevin Labanc also scored for San Jose and Martin Jones made 28 saves.

          Game 2 is Monday night at the Shark Tank.

          Joel Edmundson, Ryan O'Reilly and Tyler Bozak scored for the Blues but the team gave little help to rookie goalie Jordan Binnington to get off to a rough start in the conference final. Binnington made 19 saves but was left exposed by his defense on numerous occasions.

          This series is a matchup between two franchises seeking their first championships after years of playoff disappointments. They endured tough roads to get here with the Sharks needing to win a pair of seven-game series and the Blues needing a double-overtime win in Game 7 against Dallas to make it to their fourth conference final in the past 49 years.

          The teams traded goals midway through the second period with Labanc converting after a turnover by Edmundson and O'Reilly answering 1:17 later with a nifty move to get around Jones and tuck a rebound into the open net.

          Meier then took over with his two goals in the second half of the period that gave the Sharks breathing room. His first came after Couture poke-checked Colton Parayko coming out of the zone. Meier got the puck, deked past Jay Bouwmeester and then used his quick hands to get a backhand past Binnington.

          Meier then got his first two-goal game in the postseason late in the period when his centering pass from behind the goal line deflected off Vince Dunn's skate and into the net to make it 5-2.

          Bozak scored with 6:59 left in the third for the Blues but they couldn't get any closer despite pulling Binnington with more than four minutes remaining. Couture then sealed it with an empty-netter.

          Both teams expected a physical series between two teams with big players who like to get on the forecheck. That's just the way it started with the Blues delivering several hard hits in the opening period in sharp contrast to the type of series San Jose played last round against the speedy Colorado.

          But the Sharks turned one hit of their own into an early goal as Meier separated Pietrangelo from the puck in the neutral zone to send Gustav Nyquist in on a two-on-one. Nyquist slid the puck to Couture, who one-timed it into the open net.

          The Blues answered after Couture was sent hard into the boards by Jaden Schwartz with no call at one end. That led to a rush and Edmundson deflected Schwartz's shot from the circle past Jones.

          Then St Louis committed two penalties in a span of 57 seconds after going more than 136 minutes without one in the playoffs. That gave San Jose a two-man advantage that Pavelski converted into a goal when he batted his own rebound out of midair into the net.

          NOTES: Couture also had 10 goals in the playoffs in 2016, joining Evgeni Malkin, Alex Ovechkin, Patrick Kane, Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel as the only active players with at least two seasons of 10 or more postseason goals. ... Blues D Carl Gunnarsson (lower-body injury) was scratched and Robert Bortuzzo played in his place.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 12, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            3:08 PM Carolina Hurricanes Boston Bruins TD Garden

            SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 13, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            9:08 PM St. Louis Blues San Jose Sharks SAP Center at San Jose

            SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY MAY 14, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            8:08 PM Boston Bruins Carolina Hurricanes PNC Arena

            SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 15, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            8:08 PM San Jose Sharks St. Louis Blues Enterprise Center

            SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MAY 16, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            8:08 PM Boston Bruins Carolina Hurricanes PNC Arena

            SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 17, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            8:08 PM San Jose Sharks St. Louis Blues Enterprise Center

            SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 18, 2019
            Time (ET) Away Home Site
            7:15 PM Carolina Hurricanes Boston Bruins TD Garden


            *******************************


            DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

            05/11/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
            05/09/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50
            05/08/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
            05/07/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
            05/06/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -11.55
            05/05/2019 1-0-1 100.00% +5.45
            05/04/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
            05/03/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -13.00
            05/02/2019 2-2-0 50.00% +0.35
            05/01/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00

            Totals..............13-16-1 ......44.82% -22.25


            ******************************


            BEST BETS:


            DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS


            05/11/2019..............0 - 0 .................. +0.00...................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
            05/09/2019..............0 - 1.....................-5.00.................. 0 - 1.................-5.50..............-10.50
            05/08/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.00
            05/07/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.00..................0 - 1..................-5.50..............-0.50
            05/06/2019..............0 - 1......................-5.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50..............-5.50
            05/05/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.45..................0 - 0................. -0.00.............+5.45
            05/04/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00
            05/03/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50...............-0.50
            05/02/2019..............1 - 1.....................+0.85..................1 - 1..................-0.50 ..............+0.35
            05/01/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00


            Totals..................... 4 - 3.....................+6.30..................4 - 10................-35.00.............-28.70


            *************************************


            APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS


            Totals....................10 - 12.................+3.00..................30 - 19.............+45.50...............+48.50
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-12-2019, 08:24 PM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Sunday’s 6-pack

              Odds to win the college football title next fall:

              2-1— Clemson Tigers

              5-2— Alabama Crimson Tide

              7-1— Georgia Bulldogs

              12-1— Ohio State Buckeyes

              14-1— Michigan, Oklahoma

              20-1— LSU, Auburn

              Quote of the Day
              “First walk-off homer ever. I never thought I’d ever do it, so it felt pretty good. I didn’t even know what to do around the bases. I didn’t even know what to do with my hands.”
              A’s 3B Matt Chapman, after his walk-off homer Friday night

              Sunday’s quiz
              Which actress who was on the Charlie’s Angels TV show also played Hodges’ mother on CSI?

              Saturday’s quiz
              Mark Jackson was Golden State’s coach the last time they didn’t make the playoffs, in 2012.

              Friday’s quiz
              Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State.

              ******************************

              Sunday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

              13) Tip of the cap to Dick Vitale, whose V Foundation gala raised $4.3M this week to fight pediatric cancer. Vitale works very hard on this fundraising effort; good for him.

              12) Cubs 2, Brewers 1 (15)— Milwaukee is first team since the 1984 Indians to have their first two extra-innings games of a season go at least 15 innings.

              It was the Cubs’ third walk-off win in their last five games.

              11) Lakers signed Frank Vogel as their new head coach; he went 250-181 in six years as coach of the Pacers, then had two rough years in Orlando, going 54-110.

              Apparently Tyronn Lue passed on the job because he didn’t want Jason Kidd as an assistant.

              When Vogel was a kid, he appeared on Late Night with David Letterman, because he could spin a basketball on a toothbrush, while he was brushing his teeth. Wonder if he can still do that.

              10) Pro golfer Taylor Duncan hit his wife in the head with a shot this week; hope he wins a lot of money this week, to make up for it.

              9) I traded Luis Castillo in my fantasy league (for Corey Seager) which looks like a terrible trade, but how about the Miami Marlins trading Castillo TWICE?

              First the Marlins traded him to San Diego, but that deal got voided because one of the pitchers they got back from the Padres was hurt. Then they traded Castillo to Cincinnati, as part of a package for Dan Straily; I’m kicking myself for screwing up a fantasy league trade, and these geniuses bungle a deal when they run a franchise that is worth a billion dollars? Brilliant!!!

              8) Lakers/Knicks are having a pretty good duel to see which team can be more dysfunctional, and right now, LA might be winning. Hard to tell who is making the decisions for the Lakers, but whoever it is, they’re also doing a terrible job.

              When Luke Walton was gobbled up by Sacramento about ten minutes after the Lakers let him go, you got the idea that LA is a complete mess.

              7) Baseball injuries:
              — Tampa Bay put P Tyler Glasnow (forearm) on the IL; he is out 4-6 weeks.
              — Phillies put P Vince Velasquez (forearm) on the 10-Day IL.

              6) SouthPoint casino in Las Vegas put up an interesting college football prop bet Saturday:
              Odds to win national title this coming season:
              8-5: Alabama-Oklahoma-Ohio State
              3-2: Clemson-Georgia-Michigan
              12-5: Everyone else

              5) College basketball transfer portal:
              — California transfer Justice Sueing commits to Ohio State. Sit one year, play two. Averaged 14.3 ppg, 6.0 rpg. Someone wrote “Needs to work on his motor,” which really means “He doesn’t try hard all the time.” Pretty bright red flag right there.
              — Pacific G Ajare Sanni is transferring to UC Santa Barbara.
              — Memphis poached Little Rock grad transfer G Rayjon Tucker (41% of 3’s).
              — Mbacke Diong removed his name from the portal, will stay at UNLV.

              4) San Francisco Giants claimed OF Aaron Altherr on waivers from the Phillies.

              A’s traded P Edwin Jackson to Toronto for cash; Blue Jays will be Jackson’s 14th team.

              3) Golden State Warriors won three of the last four NBA titles, and the year they didn’t win was the year they went 73-9 in the regular season. Go figure.

              2) A’s 3, Indians 2— Oakland’s third walk-off win in last four days.

              1) The guy in Detroit who caught Albert Pujols’ home run Thursday (Pujols’ 2,000th RBI) had a change of heart and will give the ball to Pujols. Originally the guy had declined, saying he would just keep the ball. Apparently he turned down a few good offers of memorabilia combinations on Thursday, from both the Angels and Tigers.

              One small problem…….now Pujols says he doesn’t want the ball; I’m wondering if he thinks a switch has been made, and wouldn’t be 100% this was the actual baseball he hit.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • McAvoy back for Bruins, easy part ahead
                May 11, 2019
                By The Associated Press


                BOSTON (AP) When he's playing, Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy said, it's easy for him to maintain his composure and concentrate on the game in front of him.

                Up in the press box, that's the hard part.

                ''I'm not a very good hockey watcher,'' McAvoy said as he prepared to return from his one-game suspension for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Carolina Hurricanes. ''The game seems like it's much longer.''

                McAvoy was suspended for a shoulder to the head of Columbus forward Josh Anderson in the second-round finale. So instead of taking the ice in his usual pairing with Zdeno Chara, McAvoy was wandering around the media dining area before Game 1, wondering if he had to pay or not. (He didn't.)

                And while his teammates were beating the Hurricanes 5-2 in the conference final opener, McAvoy was in street clothes on the very top level of the TD Garden, trying to keep his emotions under control.

                ''Here on this level, I'm like this,'' McAvoy said, holding out his hand, palm down, and moving it in a steady and straight line in front of his face.

                ''But up there,'' he said, pumping his fist and bouncing out of his imaginary seat. ''I'm glad I get to play tomorrow.''

                A 21-year-old first-round draft choice from Boston University, McAvoy had seven goals and 21 assists from the blue line this year, his second full season in the NHL. He missed six weeks early in the season with a concussion and another two over Christmas because of a foot injury.

                But he hadn't had to sit out healthy, for just one game.

                McAvoy said he would try to use the forced break to his advantage.

                ''Whenever you're out, you can use it as an opportunity to get other things feeling right,'' he said, adding that watching the game from above game him a perspective that would be beneficial. ''I feel like I picked up on some things.''

                Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy said McAvoy was missed for his physical play and his ability to start the transition to offense.

                ''Those up-the-middle passes that maybe the other guys just don't have the vision or confidence, or both, to make,'' he said. ''Those quick-strike plays where forwards are getting the pucks in their hands in good spots with a better chance to attack.''

                Steven Kampfer, who replaced McAvoy in the lineup, had Boston's first goal, and the Bruins scored four times in the third period on Thursday night to take a 1-0 lead in the best-of-seven series. Game 2 is Sunday at the TD Garden, with the series moving to Carolina for Games 3 and 4 on Tuesday and Thursday.

                The Hurricanes fell behind 2-0 in their first-round series against the Washington Capitals before eliminating the defending Stanley Cup champions in seven games. In the second round, they swept the New York Islanders.

                ''We don't want to get down 2-0,'' Carolina coach Rod Brind'Amour said. ''If we get to that point, that's what everyone will be saying. We have some things to draw on, no matter what, no matter which way this thing goes.''

                INJURY UPDATE

                Cassidy said forward Noel Acciari won't play in Game 2 but may be on track to return for Tuesday's Game 3 in Carolina. Acciari (undisclosed injury) returned to non-contact practice on Saturday and was expected to be cleared for full practice on Monday, Cassidy said.

                Saku Maenalanen is skating, but he still can't shoot because of his hand injury, Brind'Amour said. Forward Jordan Martinook ''is going to play,'' Brind'Amour said. ''He's banged up, a little gimpy out there. But we want him in the lineup.''
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Hurricanes vs Bruins NHL betting picks and predictions: Expect plenty of lamp lighting in Game 2
                  Monty Andrews

                  The Hurricanes have been a sensational over play of late, exceeding the total in six of their previous eight games, including their previous three

                  A dominant third period in Game 1 has the Boston Bruins out in front in the Eastern Conference final – but the Carolina Hurricanes should make Game 2 a lot more competitive as the teams renew acquaintances Sunday at TD Garden.

                  Carolina actually led 2-1 after 40 minutes, but surrendered four third-period goals to a Bruins team that has now won four consecutive Stanley Cup playoff games. That said, the Hurricanes haven't trailed in the postseason since dropping the first two games of their first-round best-of-seven to Washington – and reeled off eight wins in the next nine games after that.
                  Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins (-160, 5.5)

                  Bruins lead series 1-0
                  Series Price: Hurricanes +225/Bruins -333

                  QUICK-HITTER

                  Boston has been truly dominant in the opening period so far in the postseason, scoring 14 goals in the first 20 minutes while surrendering only six goals over that span. It was well on its way to controlling the opening frame Thursday night, opening the scoring just 2:55 in, but Sean Kuraly's costly roughing penalty less than 45 seconds later set the stage for Carolina to even the score. The Hurricanes are a minus-7 in the opening 20 minutes, and with the Bruins still enjoying home-ice advantage, we like Boston to go into the first intermission with a lead.

                  PREDICTION: Bruins -0.5 first period line (+165)

                  PERIOD BET

                  While the Hurricanes have been largely inferior in the opening period, they've been an unstoppable force in the middle stanza in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Carolina has scored 12 times in the second period while surrendering an unfathomable five goals; it held Boston off the scoresheet in the second period of Game 1 en route to a 2-1 advantage after 40 minutes. The Bruins, meanwhile, are actually a minus-one in the second stanza so far in the postseason, and have seen just 10 total goals scored in the second period of their last 10 playoff games. We like a repeat of the Game 1 result at sky-high odds.

                  PREDICTION: Second period correct score: Hurricanes 1-0 (+550)

                  TEAM/PLAYER BET

                  The Bruins have been on a tear in the final period of their past four playoff games, scoring a whopping 11 goals while surrendering only three. They've converted multiple times in the final frame of all four of those games, and have kept the opponent from scoring in the third period of five of their past six contests overall. Carolina won't be pushed around like it was over the final 20 minutes of Game 1, but it's hard to bet against Boston closing out the scoring given how it has played of late – and it doesn't hurt, either, that Boston leads all playoff teams with 20 goals in the third period.

                  PREDICTION: Team to score last - Bruins (-145)

                  FULL-GAME TOTAL

                  The Hurricanes have been a sensational over play of late, exceeding the total in six of their previous eight games, including their previous three (averaging seven goals per game over that span). And these teams know a thing or two about putting the puck in the net, having combined for seven or more goals in seven of their past eight head-to-head encounters. Carolina should be able to generate enough shots to keep Rask and the Bruins' defense on its heels, while Boston's dangerous top-six and potent power play are a threat to put up big numbers every game. We like the O5.5 play in Game 2.

                  PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+110)

                  FULL-GAME SIDE

                  Game 1 was certainly closer than the score would suggest, with Carolina actually outshooting the hosts while also winning the faceoff battle. But that third-period meltdown speaks to a larger issue that could the the Hurricanes' undoing: While Petr Mrazek has been mostly terrific in the postseason, his .907 save percentage doesn't look all that great. Boston counterpart Tuukka Rask, by comparison, has a .929 save percentage at home in the playoffs and has helped the Bruins post a plus-7 goal differential through eight games in Boston. It'll be close, but we favor the home side to come away with a one-goal win.

                  PREDICTION: Bruins winning margin - 1 goal (+225)
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • Preview: Hurricanes (46-29) at Bruins (49-24)

                    Brad Marchand isn't known for keeping his cool.

                    The Boston Bruins' "Little Ball of Hate" has been suspended six times and fined on five more occasions during his NHL career, but it was his poise that helped his team take the lead in the series heading into Game 2 Sunday afternoon in Boston.

                    On Thursday night in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against Carolina, with his Bruins trailing by a goal early in the third period, Marchand showed a different side.

                    The Hurricanes' Jordan Staal was called for boarding against Boston's Chris Wagner just 49 seconds into the period. Rookie Bruins defenseman Connor Clifton took exception, giving Staal a cross-check and then trying to put him in a headlock.

                    Marchand stepped in and pulled Clifton away to avoid offsetting penalties.

                    The Bruins tied the score on the ensuing power play and, after another Carolina penalty, converted again 28 seconds later to take the lead. They added two late goals for a 5-2 victory.

                    "He's turning over a new leaf, eh?" Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy joked when asked about Marchand. "Marchy ... listen, he's been in these big games. He's a Stanley Cup champion, so he understands maybe a little more than meets the eye sometimes. There's a time and a place where you really have to be disciplined."

                    The Bruins outscored Carolina 4-0 in the third period.

                    "I thought the third was the way we want to play," said assistant captain Patrice Bergeron, who scored the go-ahead goal off an assist from Marchand. "And not going to lie, the second goal got us going and got the momentum on our side, and then we got rolling."

                    Carolina defenseman Dougie Hamilton, who started his career with the Bruins after being selected by them in the first round of the 2011 draft, was whistled for two minor penalties in the third period -- including the one that led to the go-ahead goal.

                    "We had the lead in the third, took some penalties and gave them the lead," Hamilton said. "Tough to come back from that."

                    The Hurricanes had their six-game winning streak snapped, which dated to the final two games of the opening-round series against the defending Stanley Cup champion Washington Capitals, which

                    Carolina won in seven games. The Hurricanes then swept the New York Islanders in four straight in the second round.

                    "This playoff, we've been successful holding leads, and we got kicked in the pants a little bit (Thursday)," Carolina captain Justin Williams said. "That hasn't happened in a while, and we've got to get the next one."

                    The Hurricanes missed an opportunity in the opener as Boston was without defenseman Charlie McAvoy, who leads the Bruins' skaters in ice time. McAvoy was suspended one game after a hit to the head of Columbus' Josh Anderson in the finale of the second-round series.

                    To make matters worse for the Hurricanes, McAvoy's replacement, Steven Kampfer, scored the opening goal in Game 1 less than three minutes in.

                    "We're not going to win if we don't play better than that," Carolina coach Rod Brind'Amour said. "We had spurts, but that's not going to be good enough at this time of the year. So we'll regroup and try to get better for the next game."
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • 5Carolina -6 Boston
                        CAROLINA is 31-14 ATS (14.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.


                        NHL
                        Long Sheet

                        Sunday, May 12


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        CAROLINA (54-32-0-8, 116 pts.) at BOSTON (58-29-0-9, 125 pts.) - 5/12/2019, 3:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        CAROLINA is 19-48 ATS (+82.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                        BOSTON is 25-8 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                        CAROLINA is 38-18 ATS (+14.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
                        CAROLINA is 19-11 ATS (+31.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
                        BOSTON is 295-247 ATS (-105.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
                        BOSTON is 7-12 ATS (-12.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        BOSTON is 7-3 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        BOSTON is 7-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        NHL

                        Sunday, May 12


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Carolina Hurricanes
                        Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                        Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
                        Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games on the road
                        Carolina is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
                        Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Boston
                        Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                        Boston Bruins
                        Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
                        Boston is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
                        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        Boston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
                        Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Carolina
                        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        NHL
                        Dunkel

                        Sunday, May 12



                        Carolina @ Boston

                        Game 5-6
                        May 12, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Carolina
                        14.127
                        Boston
                        12.560
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Carolina
                        by 1 1/2
                        4
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Boston
                        -155
                        5 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Carolina
                        (+135); Under
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • SUNDAY, MAY 12
                          GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                          CAR at BOS 03:00 PM

                          BOS -147

                          O 5.5
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • Bruins thump 'Canes 6-2, take 2-0 lead
                            May 12, 2019
                            ShareFacebookTwitterDiggMySpace


                            BOSTON (AP) Matt Grzelcyk scored twice - his first career multigoal game - and Tuukka Rask made 21 saves Sunday to lead the Bruins to a 6-2 victory over the Carolina Hurricanes and a 2-0 lead in the Eastern Conference finals.

                            Connor Clifton had his first career NHL goal, Jake DeBrusk, David Backes and Danton Heinen also connected, and Torey Krug and Charlie Coyle had three assists apiece. The Bruins have won five straight games and need two more wins to reach the Stanley Cup Final for the third time in nine seasons.

                            Petr Mrazek stopped just 19 shots. Justin Williams and Teuvo Teravainen scored after Carolina fell behind 6-0 in the third period and deprived Rask of a seventh career postseason shutout.

                            The series moves to Carolina for Games 3 and 4 on Tuesday and Thursday nights. The Hurricanes need to win at least one to force a fifth game back in Boston on Saturday night.

                            The Bruins won 5-2 in Game 1, but the Hurricanes led early in the third period and it was still 3-2 with 4 minutes to play.

                            This one wasn't ever close.

                            Nearly a half century after Bobby Orr soared through the air on Mother's Day to finish off the 1970 Stanley Cup, the Hall of Famer was in the building as a pregame hype man known as the banner captain. The crowd gave him a standing ovation, and the team responded as well.

                            Grzelcyk and DeBrusk scored late in the first, and Clifton made it 3-0 early in the second. With two minutes left in the middle period and Boston back on the power play, Danton Heinen took a long pass out of the Boston zone from Marcus Johansson and drew two defenders with him before sliding it into the slot.

                            Grzelcyk slipped the puck over to his backhand and beat Mrazek to make it 4-0. Backes scored 1:10 into the third period, leaving Mrazek looking over to the bench to see if he would be replaced. Heinen finished on a feed from Patrice Bergeron to give Boston a six-goal lead with 15 minutes left before Williams got Carolina on the scoreboard.

                            Notes: Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski made a hype video for the Hurricanes. ... Brad Marchand appeared in his 99th career playoff game. ... 19 different players have scored for the Bruins this postseason, tying a franchise record. ... Carolina's Sebastian Aho was held without a goal for the first time in four games, leaving Bates Battaglia (2002) and Ray Sheppard (1999) the only players to score in four straight for the franchise. ... Krug is the fifth Bruins defenseman with three or more assists in multiple playoff games. Orr and Ray Bourque did it five times apiece.

                            UP NEXT

                            Game 3 is Tuesday night in Raleigh, North Carolina.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 13, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              9:08 PM St. Louis Blues San Jose Sharks SAP Center at San Jose

                              SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY MAY 14, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              8:08 PM Boston Bruins Carolina Hurricanes PNC Arena

                              SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 15, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              8:08 PM San Jose Sharks St. Louis Blues Enterprise Center

                              SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MAY 16, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              8:08 PM Boston Bruins Carolina Hurricanes PNC Arena

                              SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 17, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              8:08 PM San Jose Sharks St. Louis Blues Enterprise Center

                              SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 18, 2019
                              Time (ET) Away Home Site
                              7:15 PM Carolina Hurricanes Boston Bruins TD Garden


                              *******************************


                              DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                              05/12/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
                              05/11/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
                              05/09/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50
                              05/08/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
                              05/07/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
                              05/06/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -11.55
                              05/05/2019 1-0-1 100.00% +5.45
                              05/04/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
                              05/03/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -13.00
                              05/02/2019 2-2-0 50.00% +0.35
                              05/01/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00

                              Totals..............15-16-1 .....48.38% -12.25


                              ******************************


                              BEST BETS:


                              DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

                              05/12/2019..............1 - 0....................+5.00...................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.00
                              05/11/2019..............0 - 0 .................. +0.00...................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
                              05/09/2019..............0 - 1.....................-5.00.................. 0 - 1.................-5.50..............-10.50
                              05/08/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.00
                              05/07/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.00..................0 - 1..................-5.50..............-0.50
                              05/06/2019..............0 - 1......................-5.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50..............-5.50
                              05/05/2019..............1 - 0.....................+5.45..................0 - 0................. -0.00.............+5.45
                              05/04/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00
                              05/03/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50...............-0.50
                              05/02/2019..............1 - 1.....................+0.85..................1 - 1..................-0.50 ..............+0.35
                              05/01/2019..............0 - 0.....................+0.00..................0 - 2.................-11.00.............-11.00


                              Totals..................... 5 - 3.....................+11.30..................5 - 10................-30.00.............-18.70


                              *************************************


                              APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS


                              Totals....................10 - 12.................+3.00..................30 - 19.............+45.50...............+48.50
                              [/I][/B]
                              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019, 02:25 AM.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                                Odds to win the college football title next fall:

                                2-1— Clemson Tigers

                                5-2— Alabama Crimson Tide

                                7-1— Georgia Bulldogs

                                12-1— Ohio State Buckeyes

                                14-1— Michigan, Oklahoma

                                20-1— LSU, Auburn


                                **********

                                Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

                                13) Raptors 92, 76ers 90— Kawhi Leonard hit one of the most dramatic shots in NBA history at the buzzer; he scored 41 points as Toronto advances to the Eastern finals against Milwaukee.

                                As Leonard was dribbling around the perimeter with :02 or :03 left, some imbecile at the bar I was at (me) says “We’re heading to overtime.” Not so much.

                                Leonard made $23,114,067 this season; he earned every penny Sunday night.

                                12) Portland 100, Denver 96— Trailblazers play Golden State in western finals, which will make for a long few days for the Curry family. Seth Curry plays for Portland- they trailed by 17 in this game.

                                11) If you like listening to podcasts and you like football and you like movies, there is a MMQB NFL Podcast that is periodically going to analyze football movies- they’ve already done Draft Day and Any Given Sunday. Good stuff. It is available in the iTunes store for free.

                                One thing though, it is weird hearing a podcast when the people doing the podcast are maybe half your age, and they’re talking about a 20-year old movie like Any Given Sunday.

                                10) Podcasts are fun, especially late at night, but they also make me a little sad, because they’re slowly replacing writing as a way of communicating, and writing is a great skill we should cultivate in young people. If we stop reading and writing, thats not a good thing.

                                Podcasts are a lazy way of communicating; instead of sitting at your keyboard and thinking about what to type, you just blurt out whatever comes into your mind. It is faster and a lot less strenuous.

                                Some podcasts aren’t so good, but some are really, really good- you have to be a good consumer so you don’t waste your own time.

                                9) Madison Bumgarner is likely to get traded in the next couple months; he’s posted an 8-team no-trade list, with every team on the list a contender.

                                Bumgarner’s in the walk year of his contract, and probably wants to get a contract extension before he’d agree to approve a trade to one of the eight contenders.

                                8) Meanwhile, today is May 13 and Dallas Keuchel, Craig Kimbrel are still free agents.

                                7) Baseball injuries:
                                — Mariners put P Felix Hernandez (shoulder) on the IL.

                                — Astros put Jose Altuve (hamstring) on the IL.

                                6) Dodgers 6, Nationals 0— Hyun-Jin Ryu didn’t allow a hit until the 8th inning.

                                5) Astros 15, Rangers 5— Houston scored 26 runs the last two days.

                                4) Red Sox 11, Mariners 2— Boston outscored Seattle 34-8 in this series.

                                3) Pirates 10, Cardinals 6— St Louis lost seven of its last nine games.

                                2) Bruins 6, Hurricanes 2— Boston grabs 2-0 series lead in eastern final.

                                1) Further evidence the world may be going nuts: an American Airlines pilot was dragged from a plane in Kentucky and arrested this weekend for the 2015 triple-homicide of three of his former neighbors. Oy.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

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