Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Kentucky Derby BEST BET Thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #16
    Bob Baffert, trainer of Lookin At Lucky, has won the Kentucky Derby three times, but never with the favorite. He finished fourth with 9-5 favorite Point Given in 2001, and fifth (Excellent Meeting) and 11th (General Challenge) in 1999 with the favored entry.

    Call it bad luck or a propensity to find trouble but in most of his races, he has gotten into trouble. The experience he picked up in those races is invaluable, but the Kentucky Derby is a race where you want to avoid trouble. With 20 horses set to run, jockeys and their horses have the challenge of avoiding the pitfalls that comes with the largest group of horses in one race. To Lucky’s credit, he has dealt with adversity well in his career but those were against much smaller fields and not the caliber of horses he will face Saturday. To compound things, a bad post position draw added to his woes. The bottom line is that Lucky will need his four leaf clover to win the greatest race in America.

    Comment


    • #17
      Originally posted by wayne1218 View Post
      In a 20 horse field???

      He said that was the difference in this one.

      Chung, His wins in those races came in a field of 7, 8, 9 or 10 horses. As Baffert said, it is a whole new ballgame racing 6 or 7 other horses than it is having 19 horses racing and squeezing you to the rail and trying to get to that 1st turn. I just don't see it but i'm by no means an expert either!

      Comment


      • #18
        60% chance of rain and i still love Baffert's "Other" horse coming from the 12 hole. He loves the bad weather and i think he is under the radar while everyone is focusing on Baffert's top dog, Lucky!

        Comment


        • #19
          My top 3, in order: 16 - 4 - 14
          O..H.........I..O!

          2010 NCAA Football: 4-3-1

          2010 NFL: 0-0

          2009-2010 NCAA Basketball: 30-23-1

          Comment


          • #20
            Not too sure why he is bitching about post position 1.

            Here’s the breakdown for Kentucky Derby 1st place finishers – by post position at Churchill Downs

            Post Position – Number of 1st Place Kentucky Derby Finishers

            PP#1 – 12 first place finishers
            PP#2 – 9 first place finishers
            PP#3 – 8 first place finishers
            PP#4 – 10 first place finishers
            PP#5 – 12 first place finishers
            PP#6 – 6 first place finishers
            PP#7 – 8 first place finishers
            PP#8 – 10 first place finishers
            PP#9 – 4 first place finishers
            PP#10 – 10 first place finishers
            PP#11 – 3 first place finishers
            PP#12 – 3 first place finishers
            PP#13 – 4 first place finishers
            PP#14 – 2 first place finishers
            PP#15 – 3 first place finishers
            PP#16 – 3 first place finishers
            PP#17 – 0 first place finishers
            PP#18 – 1 first place finishers
            PP#19 – 0 first place finishers
            PP#20 – 2 first place finishers

            Comment


            • #21
              Best bet is for 5 inches of rain
              Questions, comments, complaints:
              [email protected]

              Comment


              • #22
                Originally posted by jcindaville View Post
                Best bet is for 5 inches of rain
                If Al "daville" Roker is right about the rain I will be betting:

                10 Paddy O'Prado 20-1 ML

                Good luck everyone

                Comment


                • #23
                  Stately Victor I think may be live in heavy slop and already took Paddy O Prado. But still looking
                  2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                  21 - 20 - 0

                  2012 - 2013 NFL

                  14 - 10 - 1

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    FYI - I think now most of the rain is supposed to be out of the Louisville area by around 2 and the track has a great drainage system. It's still possible, but don't assume an off track in this one.
                    O..H.........I..O!

                    2010 NCAA Football: 4-3-1

                    2010 NFL: 0-0

                    2009-2010 NCAA Basketball: 30-23-1

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Here is what I like..

                      $.50 Tri Box

                      1-2-4-10-15-20

                      $60
                      Let's Hammer the Book.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by longnex View Post
                        not too sure why he is bitching about post position 1.

                        Here’s the breakdown for kentucky derby 1st place finishers – by post position at churchill downs

                        post position – number of 1st place kentucky derby finishers

                        pp#1 – 12 first place finishers
                        pp#2 – 9 first place finishers
                        pp#3 – 8 first place finishers
                        pp#4 – 10 first place finishers
                        pp#5 – 12 first place finishers
                        pp#6 – 6 first place finishers
                        pp#7 – 8 first place finishers
                        pp#8 – 10 first place finishers
                        pp#9 – 4 first place finishers
                        pp#10 – 10 first place finishers
                        pp#11 – 3 first place finishers
                        pp#12 – 3 first place finishers
                        pp#13 – 4 first place finishers
                        pp#14 – 2 first place finishers
                        pp#15 – 3 first place finishers
                        pp#16 – 3 first place finishers
                        pp#17 – 0 first place finishers
                        pp#18 – 1 first place finishers
                        pp#19 – 0 first place finishers
                        pp#20 – 2 first place finishers
                        was going to type the same thing
                        MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
                        HUGE PLAYS 2-1

                        NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
                        0-0TOP PLAYS

                        NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

                        4-1 TOP PLAYS


                        GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

                        AS of 6/3/12

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Originally posted by longnex View Post
                          Not too sure why he is bitching about post position 1.

                          Here’s the breakdown for Kentucky Derby 1st place finishers – by post position at Churchill Downs

                          Post Position – Number of 1st Place Kentucky Derby Finishers

                          PP#1 – 12 first place finishers
                          PP#2 – 9 first place finishers
                          PP#3 – 8 first place finishers
                          PP#4 – 10 first place finishers
                          PP#5 – 12 first place finishers
                          PP#6 – 6 first place finishers
                          PP#7 – 8 first place finishers
                          PP#8 – 10 first place finishers
                          PP#9 – 4 first place finishers
                          PP#10 – 10 first place finishers
                          PP#11 – 3 first place finishers
                          PP#12 – 3 first place finishers
                          PP#13 – 4 first place finishers
                          PP#14 – 2 first place finishers
                          PP#15 – 3 first place finishers
                          PP#16 – 3 first place finishers
                          PP#17 – 0 first place finishers
                          PP#18 – 1 first place finishers
                          PP#19 – 0 first place finishers
                          PP#20 – 2 first place finishers

                          Not sure man, i was just repeating what was said in the interview.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Originally posted by wayne1218 View Post
                            Not sure man, i was just repeating what was said in the interview.
                            #1 post is not a bad thing for a speed horse(like sidneys candy} but is not good at all for a horse that sits off the pace and comes late{ looking for lucky} so this means looking for lucky will have to become a speed horse to get to the first turn or he will be shuffled back to far off the pace. All this means is Lucky will have to run somewhat different than he is used to.Not a big deal but not what he wanted either.
                            MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
                            HUGE PLAYS 2-1

                            NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
                            0-0TOP PLAYS

                            NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

                            4-1 TOP PLAYS


                            GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

                            AS of 6/3/12

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              640 am in da ville, rain started at 5 am, heavy as he'll. Still raining now and hard, shit was so loud woke me at 5 am

                              just sharing info. Fwiw
                              Questions, comments, complaints:
                              [email protected]

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by jcindaville View Post
                                640 am in da ville, NEIGHBORS started FUCKING at 5 am, heavy as he'll. Still FUCKING now and hard, shit was so loud woke me at 5 am

                                just sharing info. Fwiw
                                Maybe you can join in next time

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X