The Best Bowl System I Have Seen 12-3 So Far !! - Please Take A Look!!

[jmarty6969]

greek u r the man

i remember someone posting something like this and for the life of me....................i couldnt remember what it had to do with but it was money won like 65-70 % that yr

i truley was hopeing to see this again million times over thanks

[ravenmaniac]

Here is one Bowl game I found that fits the criteria and may be the best bowl bet this year.

Independence Bowl: Louisiana Tech +2 over Northern Illinois.

La. Tech Offense is averaging 4.8 yards per rush while their defense is allowing 3.0 yards per rush.

Northern Illinois Offense is averaging 4.4 yards per rush while the defense is giving up 4.2 yards per rush.

Factor in that La. Tech is getting points, the game is being played in Shreveport, LA. which is about 65 miles from the LA. Tech campus, making it almost a home game, LA. Tech is 5-1 at home this year and is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against MAC opponents. LA. Tech + 2 look like a good bet to me.

[ravenmaniac]

Quick look at the other games that fall into this system are these. Since I did this in 15 minutes I may have missed 1 or 2.

BYU +3 over Arizona
Oregon +3.5 over Oklahoma St.
Western Michigan +3 over Rice
Virginia Tech +1 over Cincy
Nebraska + 3 over Clemson
Kentucky + 2 over East Carolina
Tulsa +3 over Ball State

[SPREADWINNA]

greek..will you be using this system as you post the bowl games...?
cause i come up with navy...fresno...& byu in the first few games..mem/sfla is a no play
correctamundo ?

[SPREADWINNA]

Here is one Bowl game I found that fits the criteria and may be the best bowl bet this year.

Independence Bowl: Louisiana Tech +2 over Northern Illinois.

La. Tech Offense is averaging 4.8 yards per rush while their defense is allowing 3.0 yards per rush.

Northern Illinois Offense is averaging 4.4 yards per rush while the defense is giving up 4.2 yards per rush.

Factor in that La. Tech is getting points, the game is being played in Shreveport, LA. which is about 65 miles from the LA. Tech campus, making it almost a home game, LA. Tech is 5-1 at home this year and is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against MAC opponents. LA. Tech + 2 look like a good bet to me.

yes latech looks huge

[harold_bush]

Thanks for the reminder. I've got some bowl pools with some nice pots that I'd like to use this system for. Keep the numbers coming folks.

[Pitt37]

this system looks solid!

[slappy's son]

Can somebody tell me how the DOGS faired last year in system #1? They went (11-2) in 2006, and were (7-1) at one point last year. Just not sure how the "rushing dogs" ended up.

[slappy's son]

Quick look at the other games that fall into this system are these. Since I did this in 15 minutes I may have missed 1 or 2.

BYU +3 over Arizona
Oregon +3.5 over Oklahoma St.
Western Michigan +3 over Rice
Virginia Tech +1 over Cincy
Nebraska + 3 over Clemson
Kentucky + 2 over East Carolina
Tulsa +3 over Ball State

In addition to these 7, I came up with.........

Navy +3 over Wake Forest
Fla Atlantic +7 over C. Michigan
La Tech +2 over N. Illinois
Mississippi +6.5 over Texas Tech

(11) "Running dog" plays total. If North Carolina becomes the favorite, add WVU (+) as another play!

[slappy's son]

Unranked teams as a Dog to ranked teams, I only came up with -

LSU +4 versus Ga Tech
Tulsa +2.5 versus Ball State

All the remaining ranked teams play each other.

[drsho01]

I saw a similar system that used running dogs but the criteria was that the running dog had to at least average at least 150 on the ground.

[GOLDENGREEK]

HOW TO FIGURE OUT SYSTEM # 1 "RUNNING DOG "


1. (Team's offensive ypr) - (opponents this year defensive ypr allowed)


2. (Opponents this year offensive ypr) - (Team's defensive ypr)


3. Add 1 @ 2 to get teams rushing number.

4. Do same for their opponent .

5. The team with the higher number is the better rushing team.


I will do the Navy/Wake Forest game as an example.

Navy's ypr on offense is 5.4, their opponents ypr allowed is 4.7so (5.4 - 4.7 = 0.7).

Just to be clear, opponent's ypr allowed is the average of all the teams they've played this year and not the team they're currently playing.

Their opponents ypr on offense is 3.7 and Navy's ypr allowed is 3.6 so (3.7 - 3.6 = 0.1).

Navy's rushing number is (0.7 + 0.1 = 0.8).

Wake's ypr on offense is 2.9 and their opponents ypr allowed is 3.6 so (2.9 - 3.6 = -0.7).

Wake's opponents offensive ypr is 4.2 while their ypr allowed is 3.4 so (4.2 - 3.4 = 0.8).

Wake's rushing number is (-0.7 + 0.8 = 0.1). Navy (0.8) - Wake (0.1) shows navy to be the better rushing team with an 0.7 ypr advantage which is expected, the only thing keeping the number from being bigger is Wake's rush defense which only allows 3.4 ypr to teams that would normally average 4.2 ypr.

If you want to be more precise you would delete any non div. 1A teams.

[slappy's son]

Goldengreek - I did this differently. The reason I don't subtract is because what happens if one team's rushing value is less than what the other team gives up? Do you get a negative number?

I used the ( Offensive YPC + oppenent's defensive YPC ) / 2 = Avg yds per carry for team A. I did the same for the opposing team to get an Avg yds per carry. Simply look at the differential to see who will run the ball better per carry. It probably comes out close either way, but subtracting the numbers gets confusing because again, what do you do if Team A rushers for only 2.9 ypc, but the opponent's D gives up 3.5 ypc? Will this be a +0.6 or -0.6 for Team A? It just doesn't make sense doing it this way. IMHO. You need to use the "average" ypc. Team A would have a value of 3.2 ypc for this example.

[fighten ram]

Ok Greek I am sold on it how does it look for this years bowls? We keep going over last year nobody can make any money on that now. As they say that ship sailed...

Who are our running dogs??????????

[SteinDallas]

Ok Greek I am sold on it how does it look for this years bowls? We keep going over last year nobody can make any money on that now. As they say that ship sailed...

Who are our running dogs??????????

Fighten ram the Formula is 2 post above run the numbers and lets us know what you come up with..