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Morning Extreme Markets Report for Monday

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  • Morning Extreme Markets Report for Monday

    The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to spillover
    selling following last Friday's downside reversal and is breaking out
    below initial support marked by the 10-day moving average crossing at
    1445.10. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish again signaling
    that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below this
    month's low crossing at 1419 would confirm a breakout below the
    August-September uptrend line thereby signaling that a double top has
    been posted. Closes above last week's high crossing at 1482.50 are
    needed to keep the rally off August's low alive. The December
    NASDAQ 100 was down 10.00 pts. at 1433.50 as of 5:52 AM ET.
    Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to weaker opening by the
    NASDAQ composite index later this morning.

    The December S&P 500 index was lower overnight as it extends last
    Friday's decline and is breaking out below the 62% retracement level of
    the August-October rally crossing at 1092.90. Stochastics and the RSI
    are bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If
    December extends this month's decline, a test of the 75% retracement
    level of the August-October rally crossing at 1080.90 later this fall.
    Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1105.82 would
    signal that a short-term low has been posted. The December S&P 500
    Index was down 5.70 pts. at 1090.20 as of 5:55 AM ET. Overnight
    action sets the stage for a steady to weaker opening when the day session
    begins later this morning.

    INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=interest

    December bonds were higher overnight extending last week's breakout
    above the previous reaction high crossing at 114-08. The breakout above
    114-08 has renewed this summer's rally while opening the door for a
    possible test of weekly resistance crossing at 115-03. Stochastics and the
    RSI are diverging but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher
    prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average
    crossing at 113-16 would signal that a short-term top has likely been
    posted.
    ENERGY MARKETS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=energy

    December crude oil was slightly higher overnight as it extends last
    Friday's breakout above $55. Tight supplies, strong domestic and world
    demand continue to underpin the rally. December is trading into
    uncharted territory making it hard to project the next level of resistance.
    The daily ADX (a trend-following indicator) has turned neutral to
    bullish again signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-
    term. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 51.95 are needed to
    confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Any near-term setback is
    likely to be limited to a test of broken psychological resistance crossing
    at 50.00. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to firmer tone in
    early day session trading.

    December heating oil was slightly higher overnight as it extends last
    week's rally. The daily ADX (a trend-following indicator) is in a bullish
    mode signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible. Closes below
    the 10-day moving average crossing at 154.25 and then last Tuesday's
    low crossing at 148.80 would signal that a short-term top has likely been
    posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to firmer tone in
    early-day session trading.

    December unleaded gas was slightly higher overnight as it extends last
    Friday's breakout above the previous reaction high crossing at 142.40.
    The daily ADX (a trend-following indicator) is turning neutral but will
    need to see additional strength before renewing its bullish mode. If
    December extends this fall's rally, monthly resistance, which cross at
    147.00 is the next upside target. Closes below last week's low crossing at
    133.20 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Overnight
    action sets the stage for a steady to firmer tone in early-day session
    trading.

    December Henry Hub natural gas was slightly lower overnight and is
    working on a possible inside day. If December extends this fall's rally, a
    test of monthly resistance crossing at 10.01 is the next upside target. The
    daily ADX (a trend-following indicator) is bullish signaling that
    sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-
    day moving average crossing at 8.35 would signal that a short-term top
    has been posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to weaker
    tone in early-day session trading.
    CURRENCIES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=currencies

    The December Dollar gapped down overnight and is trading sharply
    lower as it accelerates this month's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are
    oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
    possible near-term. If this fall's decline continues, monthly support
    crossing at 84.77 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day
    moving average crossing at 87.86 would signal that a short-term low has
    been posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a weaker tone in early-
    day session trading.

    The December Euro gapped up and was sharply higher overnight as it
    accelerates this month's rally. Overnight strength has led to a breakout
    above weekly resistance crossing at 126.419. Stochastics and the RSI are
    overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices
    are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's rally, a test of
    weekly resistance crossing at 129.190 is the next upside target. Closes
    below the 10-day moving average crossing at 125.184 would signal that
    December has posted a short-term top. Overnight action sets the stage
    for a firmer tone in early-day session trading.

    The December British Pound was sharply higher overnight as it extends
    this fall's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but
    remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-
    term. If December extends the rebound off the early-October low, July's
    high crossing at 1.85 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day
    moving average crossing at 1.8023 would signal that a short-term top
    has been posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a firmer tone in
    early-day session trading.

    The December Swiss Franc was sharply higher overnight and is working
    on a possible inside day as it consolidates above July's high crossing at
    .8212. If this month's rally continues, weekly resistance crossing at
    .8475 is the next upside target. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought
    but remain bullish signaling that additional short-term gains are
    possible. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at .8151
    would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Overnight action sets
    the stage for a firmer tone in early-day session trading.

    The December Canadian Dollar was sharply higher overnight as it
    extends last Friday's breakout above weekly resistance crossing at .8060.
    Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher
    prices are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's rally, the
    75% retracement level of the 1991-2002 decline crossing at .8260 is the
    next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at
    .8007 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Overnight
    action sets the stage for a firmer tone in early-day session trading.

    The December Japanese Yen was sharply higher overnight and spiked
    above June's high crossing at .9420. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish
    signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If
    December extends this month's rally, a test of the 75% retracement level
    of this year's decline on the weekly chart crossing at .9463 is the next
    upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at .9242
    would signal that a short-term top has likely been posted. Overnight
    action sets the stage for a firmer tone in early-day session trading.
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    PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=metals

    December gold was sharply higher overnight due to weakness in the
    U.S. Dollar and rising oil prices. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging
    but remain bullish signaling that additional strength is possible. If this
    fall's rally continues, the contract high crossing at 436.50 is the next
    upside target. Multiple closes below the 10-day moving average crossing
    at 422 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Overnight
    action sets the stage for a firmer tone in early day session trading.

    December silver was higher overnight and has broken out above the
    early-October high crossing at 7.34, which coincides with the 62%
    retracement level of this spring's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are
    diverging but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
    possible near-term. If December extends this fall's rally, the 75%
    retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at 7.735 is the next
    upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 7.097
    would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Overnight action sets
    the stage for a firmer tone in early day session trading.

    December copper was slightly higher overnight as it continues to
    consolidate above the 50% retracement level of the May-October rally
    crossing at 128.40. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that
    sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December resumes
    this month's decline, the 62% retracement level of the May-October rally
    crossing at 123.73 is the next downside target. Closes above the 40-day
    moving average crossing at 132.98 would signal that a short-term low
    has likely been posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to
    firmer tone in early-day session trading.
    FOOD & FIBER http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food

    December coffee closed lower on Friday due to light profit
    taking but remains above the 10-day moving average crossing
    at 74.42. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
    opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned
    bullish signaling that a low has likely been posted. Closes
    above the 20-day moving average crossing at 77.18 would open
    the door for a larger-degree rebound into the end of
    October.

    December cocoa closed higher on Friday and above the 10-day
    moving average crossing at 1444. The mid-range close sets
    the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and
    the RSI are bullish hinting that sideways to higher prices
    are still possible near-term. If December resumes this
    fall's decline, a test of the July 7 gap crossing at 1358 is
    possible.

    March sugar closed lower on Friday and below the 20-day
    moving average crossing at 904. The low-range close sets the
    stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. If March
    extends this week's decline, the 50% retracement level of
    the September-October rally crossing at 877 is the next
    downside target. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish
    signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. Closes
    above Monday's gap crossing at 914 would temper the near-
    term bearish outlook in the market.

    December cotton lower on Friday as it extended Thursday's
    breakout below the 10-day moving average crossing at 46.30.
    The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on
    Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting
    that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If
    December extends this fall's decline, a test of August's low
    crossing at 42.60 is the next downside target. Close above
    last week's high crossing at 48.50 are needed to confirm
    that a low has been posted.
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    GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains

    December corn was fractionally higher overnight as it consolidates some
    of last Friday's decline but remains below the 10-day moving average
    crossing at 2.04 1/4. December remains locked in a trading range and
    needs to close above this month's high crossing at 2.09 1/2 or below this
    month's low crossing at 1.97 to clear up near-term direction in the
    market. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that the
    corrective rebound off the recent low might have run its course. If this
    fall's decline resumes, monthly chart support crossing at 1.91 1/2 is
    possible later this year. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to a
    1/2-cent higher opening when the day session begins trading later this
    morning.

    December wheat was fractionally higher overnight as it extends last
    Friday's breakout below support marked by the 10-day moving average
    crossing at 3.12 3/4. Multiple closes below the 10-day moving average
    would temper the near-term friendly outlook in the market. Stochastics
    and the RSI are turning neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices
    are possible near-term. Closes above the May-September downtrend line
    crossing near 3.20 are needed to confirm that a bottom and trend change
    has taken place while opening the door for a larger-degree rebound this
    fall. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady to a 1/2-cent higher
    opening when the day session begins later this morning.

    December Kansas City Wheat closed lower on Friday extending
    Thursday's close below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.39 1/4.
    The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday.
    Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to
    lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's
    setback, a test of this month's low crossing at 3.28 1/4 is the next
    downside target. Closes above the May-September downtrend line
    crossing near 3.50 are needed to confirm that a trend change has taken
    place.

    SOYBEAN COMPLEX

    November soybeans were higher overnight in quiet trading as it
    consolidates above initial resistance marked by the 10-day moving
    average crossing at 5.21 3/4. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish
    signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.
    However, it will take closes above this month's high crossing at 5.40 1/2
    to confirm that a seasonal low has been posted. If November resumes
    this fall's decline, a test of weekly support crossing at 4.98 1/2 is the
    next downside target. Overnight action sets the stage for a 1 to 3-cents
    higher opening when the day session begins later this morning.

    December soybean meal was higher overnight due to short covering as it
    consolidates some of last Friday's decline. Closes above gap resistance
    crossing at 159.80 would open the door for a possible test of this month's
    high crossing at 163.50. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling
    that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above this
    month's high crossing at 163.50 are needed to confirm that a short-term
    low has been posted. If this fall's decline resumes, a test of the January
    2002 low crossing at 145.40 is possible later this year. Overnight action
    sets the stage for a $0.75 to $1.00 higher opening when the day session
    begins later this morning.

    December soybean oil was higher overnight as it extends its short
    covering rebound off this month's low. Stochastics and the RSI are
    bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.
    Closes above the October 11th reaction high crossing at 21.02 are
    needed to temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market. If
    December resumes this fall's decline, monthly support crossing at 19.30
    is the next downside target. Overnight action sets the stage for a 15 to 20
    point higher opening when the day session begins later this morning.
    LIVESTOCK http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock

    December hogs posted a key reversal down on Friday and
    closed below support marked by the 40-day moving average
    crossing at 66.23. Profit taking and pre-Goldman rolling
    pressured the market ahead of the weekend. The low-range
    close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on
    Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling
    that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If
    December extends its rebound off last week's low, the
    reaction high crossing at 69.65 is the next upside target.
    Closes below Monday's low crossing at 64.85 would signal
    that this month's corrective rally has come to an end.

    February bellies closed lower on Friday below the 10-day
    moving average crossing at 94.41. The low-range close sets
    the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. If
    February extends this week's decline, a test of September's
    low crossing at 91.00 is the next downside target.
    Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and have turned neutral
    hinting that sideways prices are possible. Closes above
    Monday's high at 97.20 would confirm that a short-term low
    has been posted.

    December cattle gapped up and closed higher ahead of this
    afternoon's cattle-on-feed report. The report was called
    neutral although placements were a little stronger than
    expected. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady
    opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish
    signaling that sideways to lower prices is possible. Closes
    below Monday's low crossing at 87.60 are needed to renew
    this week's decline and would set the stage for a possible
    test of the late-September low crossing at 86.25 later this
    fall.

    November Feeder cattle closed higher due to short covering
    ahead of this afternoon's cattle on feed report. The high-
    range close sets the stage for a steady to firmer opening on
    Monday. However, stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish
    signaling that a short-term top has been posted. Closes
    below Thursday's low crossing at 109.90 would opening the
    door for a possible test of the late-September low crossing
    at 108.60 later this fall.

  • #2
    Good stuff for commodity lovers.

    I have a few oils but never actually traded the individual items (corn, soybeans, oj etc)

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