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[InsiderEdge]

We lose a tough one on Friday in 17 innings bringing our weekly record to 3-2 +2.55 units.

Service Play For Saturday June 28, 2003

Oakland – Zito –132 (3 Units)

While many consider Barry Zito’s season not up to par because of his 7-5 record, a look closer shows how much he is dominating. In his last 12 starts, he is just 4-4 but he has allowed more than 5 hits only once; the only game over 5 was when he allowed 7 hits to the Royals back on June 1st. That is a remarkable number and the reason he hasn’t won more is due to run support. In his losses and no-decisions in that span, the A’s have given him only 3 rpg, something even he can’t overcome. He is pitching very well with a season ERA of 2.84 and a BAA of .197. His counterpart Kirk Rueter is allowing nearly 100 points higher BA of .293. While Rueter sports a solid 7-2 record, his run support has been much better as he has been given 5 or more runs in 5 of his 7 wins and 4 of his 7 no-decisions. His 1.43 WHIP doesn’t compare to that of Zito’s 1.11. Oakland is playing great baseball, winning 10 of their last 14 games and doing their best to keep pace with the American League West leading Mariners. The A’s are 6-4 against the Giants the last 10 meetings. Run support should pick up for Zito as the A’s are averaging 5.8 rpg their last 10 games while San Francisco is averaging just 3.1 rpg their last 10.

[InsiderEdge]

Disappointing loss on Saturday as Zito had the benefit of a 6 run lead after 4 innings but allowed a season high 10 hits and the normal dependable closer Keith Foulke suffered his first loss of the season.

Service Play For Sunday June 29, 2003

Colorado – Chacon –120 (5 Units)

We’re going with a big 5-unit play on the Rockies as Chacon has been pitching brilliant this season despite a 3.91 ERA. While Colorado has the 2nd worst road record in the National League, the Pirates have the 2nd worst home record in the league. Chacon started out strong at Coors Field this year but a shellacking at the hands of the Royals pushed his home ERA up to 4.21 while he has remained consistent on the road with a 3.43 ERA. The Rockies are 13-3 in his 16 starts this season including 8-1 his last 9 starts. Chacon is 7-1 his last 8 starts with his only loss coming in that Royals game. He became the first 11-game winner in the league with his win on Monday and is in position to possibly start this year’s All-Star game. "He's been our savior," Larry Walker said of Chacon. "If we're doing good, he keeps us on a roll. If we are on a losing streak, he snaps it. I'm sure he will be joining Todd Helton and Preston Wilson in Chicago during the all-star break." After a great start to the season, Jeff Suppan has had his struggles of late. He has won just once since April 22nd and Pittsburgh is just 3-8 in his 11 starts since. After a 1.89 ERA in April, he has put together ERA’s of 6.15 and 4.44 in May and June respectively. Colorado has a chance to take their second consecutive road series with a win, something they haven’t accomplished yet this season. The strength of Chacon coupled with the recent troubles for Suppan should equate into an easy Rockies win on Sunday.

[InsiderEdge]

Certainly a difficult way to end the week with Colorado coming up small in our lone 5-unit play. Please visit our website at Insider Edge Sports to receive our service play for today and for the remainder of the week. All plays are posted by 10:00 am EST. Don’t forget about our early bird football special for only $299 that includes both NFL and NCAA football selections right through the Super Bowl. Make your 2003 football season a profitable one by joining Insider Edge Sports today!

[InsiderEdge]

Insider Edge Sports takes a look at our Top 10 NFL Super System Angles going into 2003.

Trends and/or systems can be very effective in handicapping if used correctly but should not be the sole reason for making a play, as many other factors need to be considered as well. All trends date back to 1990 unless otherwise noted.

1. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive road game if they lost the 1st game and won the 2nd game. 15-4-1 ATS 79% (see results)

This is a successful system since it is based on straight up wins and losses in previous games, thus the more likely a team will have a letdown spot. At the end of the 2001 season, Buffalo lost at Atlanta and then bounced back to defeat the Jets at New York. Their 3rd game came at Miami where they were soundly defeated 34-7. This is a pretty rare system since it is uncommon for teams to play 3 in a row on the road but one to keep an eye out for, as Cincinnati and San Diego will each play 3 straight away from home in 2003.

2. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive home game if they are an underdog of more than 3 points and they lost their 2 previous games straight up. 10-4 ATS 72% (see results)

This is another uncommon system but one that is very effective. The most recent example of this came at the end of the 2001 season when Carolina hosted New England after coming off consecutive home losses to St. Louis and Arizona. The Patriots went on to blow out the Panthers 38-6. Teams that could fall into this system in 2003 are Arizona, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, Minnesota and St. Louis.

3. Play against teams coming off 2 straight games of scoring 30+ points at home that are now playing on the road. 28-14-1 ATS 67% (see results)

This system is based on the theory that coming off two big home games will lead to a mediocre effort on the road. In 2002, Kansas City scored 49 points against both Arizona and St. Louis. They then traveled to Denver losing 31-24. This system is on a 13-5 run since 1998.

4. Play on a team that scored 9 points or less in their last 2 games both of which were at home and are now an underdog. 9-2 ATS 82% (see results)

This falls into the same category at the above system but in reverse. A team that had two very bad games at home is expected to pick up their play in their next game whether they are home or away. This system hasn’t come into play since 2000 and is very rare but very effective. The last time this came into play, Cleveland scored 3 points against both Cincinnati and New York and then came back in their 3rd game against New England and won 19-11 as a 7 point underdog.

5. Play on a home underdog of more than 7 points. 93-57-3 62% (see results)

This is a common but effective system. A home underdog is always worth taking a look at and if they are getting more than a touchdown, a look ahead by the favorite is very possible. Playing this system on every game has resulted in a profit every season since 1997 and is 43-20 69% during that time.

6. Play on a team as a home underdog of more than 7 points who is coming off a straight up loss in their previous game. 49-29 63% (see results)

This is a more defined system as the one above. This system was just 3-3 in 2002, missing a 4-2 mark by 1 point. It was 8-2 the previous 2 seasons. Of the 49 ATS wins, 21 were outright wins by the underdog.

7. Play on a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are at home. 8-2 80% (see results)

A team that is a double-digit favorite is obviously a very good team and if they lose, they have the capability to take it out on the next opponent at home. In 2002, Pittsburgh lost at home to Houston 24-6 and came back the following week to defeat Carolina 30-14. However...

8. Play against a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are on the road. 8-1 89% (see results)

Looking at teams in the same scenario who are playing on the road in the their next game aren’t quite as fortunate and without their home crowd tend to play down once again. In 2001, Green Bay lost to Atlanta 23-20 as a DD favorite and then traveled on the road and narrowly defeated the Lions 29-27 as a 7-point favorite.

9. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is an underdog once again. 28-12-2 70% (see results)

A team that won as a double-digit dog is most likely considered a bad team and for them to win again is not likely. They happened to catch their opponent in a look ahead situation. In 2001, New England (who turned out not to be a bad team after all) defeated the Colts in Indianapolis 38-17 and then traveled to Denver losing 31-20. This system is 10-2-1 84% since 1997. Now if this team is returning home and is a favorite….

10. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is now a home favorite or pickem’. 16-8-1 67% (see results)

This can be looked at as the linesmakers are over adjusting the lines due to the big upset win in their previous game. In 2002, Houston went to Jacksonville and won 21-19 and then returned home the following week as a favorite only to get blown out by the Bengals 38-3. Of the 16 ATS wins, 13 were outright wins by the underdog. This system is 7-1-1 88% since 1999.