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10/23/2005
October Record: 33-19-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We want to give all of Sunday's Selection Free so that you will have a feel for our service. We do our research and unlike most service, each selection released includes a detailed write up supporting the pick. There is no reason for you to bet games based on blind faith. Those of you using services that do not offer write-ups are playing with fire. Give us a try as we are sure you will be profitable with our service.
We Went 1-4 Yesterday. We Will Bounce Back Strong For Sunday's NFL.
Today's Selection:
San Diego vs. Philadelphia 1:00 p.m. ET
3 Units Philadelphia -3.5
Dallas vs. Seattle 4:05 p.m. ET
5 Units Seattle -4
Denver vs. Ny Giants 4:15 p.m. ET
3 Units Ny Giants -2
Tennessee vs. Arizona 4:15 p.m. ET
2 Units Arizona -5
Game: Denver vs. Ny Giants 4:15 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Ny Giants -2 -110
Prediction: Ny Giants -2 -110
Explanation: 3 Units
Spots don’t get much better than this for the Giants or worse than this for the Broncos. Denver has played great football over the last month. They beat divisional rivals San Diego and Kansas City at home, then played a near flawless game in Jacksonville. Denver returned home to Invesco Field to beat Washington and knocked off the defending Super Bowl champs last week. Five straight wins, four of them coming at home, two of them against divisional foes and a third against the Patriots. It’s surely worth noting that teams have not fared well after beating New England this year – they place a considerable amount of emphasis on knocking off the Patriots dynasty. Carolina beat New England Week 2, then lost as a favorite at Miami Week 3. San Diego beat the Pats in Week 4, then lost as a home favorite against the Steelers in Week 5. Now Denver must take to the highway.
The Giants have won every home game this year by at least 17 points. This offense struggled in Dallas last week, committing four second half turnovers in an orgy of non-execution that had Tom Coughlin almost speechless following the game. But even with all of those miscues, Eli Manning led the G-men down the field during crunch time not once, but twice, putting the ball in his receivers hands to get the game tying touchdown.
Denver’s defensive weakness is in their secondary – Mark Brunell put on a passing show against them just two weeks ago, while Tom Brady came close to rallying the Pats back against them last week. We expect Jeremy Shockey, Plaxico Burress and company to lead the Giants offensive production here. New York’s defensive weakness is against the pass, but Mike Shanahan really limits what turnover prone Jake Plummer can do on the road. The G-men are stout up front, holding three of their last four opponents under 100 yards on the ground. Denver sets up their entire offense with the running game. When that running game doesn’t work as well as expected, it sets Plummer up for failure. Jake the Snake hasn’t thrown an interception in his last four games. We expect that streak to end on Sunday.
Play Ny Giants -2
Predicted Final: Ny Giants 24 Denver 17
Game: Tennessee vs. Arizona 4:15 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Arizona -5 -110
Prediction: Arizona -5 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
Expect Arizona QB McCown to get the start for the Cards, and to throw early and often to Boldin and Fitzgerald against a young Tennessee secondary. Arizona Cardinals pass rush should be able to get to Billy Volek, especially with Tennessee’s porous offensive line and their weakest-in-the-NFL receiving corps. Billy Volek has no chemistry at all with the Titans current crop of receivers, so don't expect a big day for him on his first start this year.
Play Arizona -5
Predicted Final: Arizona 31 Tennessee 20
Game: Dallas vs. Seattle 4:05 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Seattle -4 -110
Prediction: Seattle -4 -110
Explanation: 5 Units
Dallas is in a horrible spot. They are coming off back-2-back home wins against divisional rivals, beating the Eagles and Giants. In Bill Parcells three years on the job with the Cowboys, his teams have exactly ONE win on the road against a team with a winning record. They haven’t had a winning ATS record on the road in any of his three seasons at the helm, including this year. The Cowboys have bad injury problems. Their best back, Julius Jones, is hurt. Key receiver Patrick Crayton is hurt. The whole offense is predicated around protecting Drew Bledsoe, but the offensive line is a mess right now, and Bledsoe certainly can’t scramble his way out of trouble.
Dallas, surprisingly started rookie Rob Petitti at right tackle this year because Torrin Tucker got beat out in training camp. Well, left tackle Flozell Adams is out, leaving the 6th round pick Petitti at one tackle and they guy he beat out at the other tackle spot.
They are facing a solid Seahawks pass rush. This spells big time trouble for the Cowboys. Seattle is showing a strong home field edge these days, and they are showing the ability to put together four good quarters of football in one game, something they couldn’t do last year, or even at the start of this season. The Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home in 2005, now 17-3 SU in their last 20 regular season home games. The offense is balanced, now that Joe Jurevicius has stepped in as an impact receiver, giving Shaun Alexander room to run. And the Seahawks defense isn’t blowing leads these days, playing with a different level of confidence and aggression, even minus Ken Hamlin who got beat up badly in a bar fight earlier this week. The spot, the matchups and the pointspread converge on Seattle this week, making them an ideal choice for our 5 Units Play this Sunday.
Play Seattle -4
Predicted Final: Seattle 30 Dallas 17
Game: San Diego vs. Philadelphia 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Philadelphia -3.5 -110
Prediction: Philadelphia -3.5 -110
Explanation: 3 Units
This game is simple – we support Andy Reid off a bye week, we support Andy Reid coming off of a loss, and we support the Eagles against teams with weak pass defenses. The numbers don’t lie in any instance. Reid is a 67% ATS proposition coming off a loss, with an 18-9-1 record against the number following a Philadelphia defeat. The Eagles spent two weeks stewing over their awful showing at Dallas prior to the bye, and the Chargers must face their wrath as a result. Andy Reid is also a long term money winner with an extra week to prepare. The Eagles have won every game following a bye in the last five years including playoff games, a perfect 8-0 straight up. They’ve won most of those games in blowout fashion – six of those wins have come by more than a touchdown. Reid and Donovan McNabb get the credit, but defensive coordinator Jim Johnson probably deserves it – the Eagles defense has allowed 7, 9, 10, 13, 8, 14, 17 and 6 points in those eight victories. We can expect Philly’s defense to show up here after their embarrassing showing at Dallas.
There’s little positive that we can write about the Chargers pass defense. Every team they have faced has been able to move the football through the air against them. The Chargers porous pass D was the culprit in all three of their losses. There is no shutdown corner on Marty Schottenheimer’s club to contain Terrell Owens, nor is there a great coverage safety or linebacker to hang with Brian Westbrook coming out of the backfield. And this is a horrible spot for the Chargers to boot. San Diego is playing their third consecutive game against a team coming out of the bye week. They are traveling East to play an early start game against a rested foe this time, after getting the benefit of playing in California in the last two contests. The Chargers are coming off a divisional road win, and have another huge divisional game next week at home against KC.
Play Philadelphia -3.5
Predicted Final: Philadelphia 27 San Diego 17
10/23/2005
October Record: 33-19-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We want to give all of Sunday's Selection Free so that you will have a feel for our service. We do our research and unlike most service, each selection released includes a detailed write up supporting the pick. There is no reason for you to bet games based on blind faith. Those of you using services that do not offer write-ups are playing with fire. Give us a try as we are sure you will be profitable with our service.
We Went 1-4 Yesterday. We Will Bounce Back Strong For Sunday's NFL.
Today's Selection:
San Diego vs. Philadelphia 1:00 p.m. ET
3 Units Philadelphia -3.5
Dallas vs. Seattle 4:05 p.m. ET
5 Units Seattle -4
Denver vs. Ny Giants 4:15 p.m. ET
3 Units Ny Giants -2
Tennessee vs. Arizona 4:15 p.m. ET
2 Units Arizona -5
Game: Denver vs. Ny Giants 4:15 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Ny Giants -2 -110
Prediction: Ny Giants -2 -110
Explanation: 3 Units
Spots don’t get much better than this for the Giants or worse than this for the Broncos. Denver has played great football over the last month. They beat divisional rivals San Diego and Kansas City at home, then played a near flawless game in Jacksonville. Denver returned home to Invesco Field to beat Washington and knocked off the defending Super Bowl champs last week. Five straight wins, four of them coming at home, two of them against divisional foes and a third against the Patriots. It’s surely worth noting that teams have not fared well after beating New England this year – they place a considerable amount of emphasis on knocking off the Patriots dynasty. Carolina beat New England Week 2, then lost as a favorite at Miami Week 3. San Diego beat the Pats in Week 4, then lost as a home favorite against the Steelers in Week 5. Now Denver must take to the highway.
The Giants have won every home game this year by at least 17 points. This offense struggled in Dallas last week, committing four second half turnovers in an orgy of non-execution that had Tom Coughlin almost speechless following the game. But even with all of those miscues, Eli Manning led the G-men down the field during crunch time not once, but twice, putting the ball in his receivers hands to get the game tying touchdown.
Denver’s defensive weakness is in their secondary – Mark Brunell put on a passing show against them just two weeks ago, while Tom Brady came close to rallying the Pats back against them last week. We expect Jeremy Shockey, Plaxico Burress and company to lead the Giants offensive production here. New York’s defensive weakness is against the pass, but Mike Shanahan really limits what turnover prone Jake Plummer can do on the road. The G-men are stout up front, holding three of their last four opponents under 100 yards on the ground. Denver sets up their entire offense with the running game. When that running game doesn’t work as well as expected, it sets Plummer up for failure. Jake the Snake hasn’t thrown an interception in his last four games. We expect that streak to end on Sunday.
Play Ny Giants -2
Predicted Final: Ny Giants 24 Denver 17
Game: Tennessee vs. Arizona 4:15 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Arizona -5 -110
Prediction: Arizona -5 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
Expect Arizona QB McCown to get the start for the Cards, and to throw early and often to Boldin and Fitzgerald against a young Tennessee secondary. Arizona Cardinals pass rush should be able to get to Billy Volek, especially with Tennessee’s porous offensive line and their weakest-in-the-NFL receiving corps. Billy Volek has no chemistry at all with the Titans current crop of receivers, so don't expect a big day for him on his first start this year.
Play Arizona -5
Predicted Final: Arizona 31 Tennessee 20
Game: Dallas vs. Seattle 4:05 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Seattle -4 -110
Prediction: Seattle -4 -110
Explanation: 5 Units
Dallas is in a horrible spot. They are coming off back-2-back home wins against divisional rivals, beating the Eagles and Giants. In Bill Parcells three years on the job with the Cowboys, his teams have exactly ONE win on the road against a team with a winning record. They haven’t had a winning ATS record on the road in any of his three seasons at the helm, including this year. The Cowboys have bad injury problems. Their best back, Julius Jones, is hurt. Key receiver Patrick Crayton is hurt. The whole offense is predicated around protecting Drew Bledsoe, but the offensive line is a mess right now, and Bledsoe certainly can’t scramble his way out of trouble.
Dallas, surprisingly started rookie Rob Petitti at right tackle this year because Torrin Tucker got beat out in training camp. Well, left tackle Flozell Adams is out, leaving the 6th round pick Petitti at one tackle and they guy he beat out at the other tackle spot.
They are facing a solid Seahawks pass rush. This spells big time trouble for the Cowboys. Seattle is showing a strong home field edge these days, and they are showing the ability to put together four good quarters of football in one game, something they couldn’t do last year, or even at the start of this season. The Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home in 2005, now 17-3 SU in their last 20 regular season home games. The offense is balanced, now that Joe Jurevicius has stepped in as an impact receiver, giving Shaun Alexander room to run. And the Seahawks defense isn’t blowing leads these days, playing with a different level of confidence and aggression, even minus Ken Hamlin who got beat up badly in a bar fight earlier this week. The spot, the matchups and the pointspread converge on Seattle this week, making them an ideal choice for our 5 Units Play this Sunday.
Play Seattle -4
Predicted Final: Seattle 30 Dallas 17
Game: San Diego vs. Philadelphia 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Philadelphia -3.5 -110
Prediction: Philadelphia -3.5 -110
Explanation: 3 Units
This game is simple – we support Andy Reid off a bye week, we support Andy Reid coming off of a loss, and we support the Eagles against teams with weak pass defenses. The numbers don’t lie in any instance. Reid is a 67% ATS proposition coming off a loss, with an 18-9-1 record against the number following a Philadelphia defeat. The Eagles spent two weeks stewing over their awful showing at Dallas prior to the bye, and the Chargers must face their wrath as a result. Andy Reid is also a long term money winner with an extra week to prepare. The Eagles have won every game following a bye in the last five years including playoff games, a perfect 8-0 straight up. They’ve won most of those games in blowout fashion – six of those wins have come by more than a touchdown. Reid and Donovan McNabb get the credit, but defensive coordinator Jim Johnson probably deserves it – the Eagles defense has allowed 7, 9, 10, 13, 8, 14, 17 and 6 points in those eight victories. We can expect Philly’s defense to show up here after their embarrassing showing at Dallas.
There’s little positive that we can write about the Chargers pass defense. Every team they have faced has been able to move the football through the air against them. The Chargers porous pass D was the culprit in all three of their losses. There is no shutdown corner on Marty Schottenheimer’s club to contain Terrell Owens, nor is there a great coverage safety or linebacker to hang with Brian Westbrook coming out of the backfield. And this is a horrible spot for the Chargers to boot. San Diego is playing their third consecutive game against a team coming out of the bye week. They are traveling East to play an early start game against a rested foe this time, after getting the benefit of playing in California in the last two contests. The Chargers are coming off a divisional road win, and have another huge divisional game next week at home against KC.
Play Philadelphia -3.5
Predicted Final: Philadelphia 27 San Diego 17