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10/16/2005
October Record: 26-10-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We went 2-2 Yesterday.
Today's Selection:
NFL-
Carolina vs. Detroit 1:00 p.m. ET
3 Units (Side)
Washington vs. Kansas City 1:00 p.m. ET 3 Units (Side)
Miami vs. Tampa Bay 1;00 p.m. ET
3 Units (Side)
Houston vs. Seattle 8;00 p.m. ET
2 Units (Side)
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Todays Free Selection:
Game: Houston vs. Seattle 8;00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Houston +10 -120 (Buy 1/2 pts)
Prediction: Houston +10 -120 (Buy 1/2 pts)
Explanation: 2 Units
If you watched the game between Seattle and St Louis closely last week, you saw why we won’t lay points with Mike Holmgren and his staff anymore. The Seahawks had been getting pressure on Mark Bulger with their aggressive schemes all afternoon long, sacking Bulger four times and hurrying him repeatedly. They took a nine point lead halfway through the fourth quarter, meaning that the Rams needed two scored to win. Holmgren immediately changed the strategy that had been working so well, rushing only three or four while playing prevent defense. The Rams immediately marched down the field for a score, making it a one possession game. That ‘prevent defense’ strategy has killed Seattle bettors on more than a handful of occasions over the past two seasons, including the previous week at Washington where it cost them the outright win, thanks to three third and long completions in overtime from the Redskins. But Holmgren’s mismanagement gets even worse than that. Seattle got the ball back with less than four minutes on the clock and a six point lead. They had been running Shaun Alexander effectively all day: 25 rushes, 119 yards, two touchdowns. Everybody in the world knows that the most important thing to do in that situation is to run out the clock, on the ground. Instead, Holmgren, in his infinite wisdom, chose to pass on first down. And pass on second down. And pass on third down. Two incomplete passes, a sack, and a punt on a drive that took less than a minute, giving the ball back to St Louis with just under three minutes left on the clock. The Rams didn’t even burn a single timeout! Only a Rams fumble on the ensuing punt gave Seattle the win – otherwise St Louis would have marched down the field and scored the game winning touchdown. That’s what happens when you lay points with Mike Holmgren – you get poor decision making during crunch time.
Meanwhile, there’s a long standing system about betting 0-4 teams in the NFL, called the ‘Heinous Teams of the NFL’ strategy (no, we not making that up). These are teams that no public bettor wants to touch – they stink! The linesmakers know this, and adjust the pointspread dramatically to get some semblance of balance with their bets – you get extra value every time you back one of these teams. That’s why blindly betting these heinous teams produces a profit every year! Green Bay showed that an 0-4 team can be dangerous last week. Houston still plays pretty good defense, even though their offense is struggling, and they get a chance for redemption on national TV. No surprise whatsoever if the Texans keep this one very close throughout. Even if they don’t, the backdoor cover is always open against the Seahawks.
Play Houston +10
Predicted Final: Seattle 24 Houston 17
10/16/2005
October Record: 26-10-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We went 2-2 Yesterday.
Today's Selection:
NFL-
Carolina vs. Detroit 1:00 p.m. ET
3 Units (Side)
Washington vs. Kansas City 1:00 p.m. ET 3 Units (Side)
Miami vs. Tampa Bay 1;00 p.m. ET
3 Units (Side)
Houston vs. Seattle 8;00 p.m. ET
2 Units (Side)
Sign Up For the Day Pass For $15 or For The Week For $65.
Get on Board to PUT YOUR BOOKIE IN A WHEELCHAIR!!
Todays Free Selection:
Game: Houston vs. Seattle 8;00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Houston +10 -120 (Buy 1/2 pts)
Prediction: Houston +10 -120 (Buy 1/2 pts)
Explanation: 2 Units
If you watched the game between Seattle and St Louis closely last week, you saw why we won’t lay points with Mike Holmgren and his staff anymore. The Seahawks had been getting pressure on Mark Bulger with their aggressive schemes all afternoon long, sacking Bulger four times and hurrying him repeatedly. They took a nine point lead halfway through the fourth quarter, meaning that the Rams needed two scored to win. Holmgren immediately changed the strategy that had been working so well, rushing only three or four while playing prevent defense. The Rams immediately marched down the field for a score, making it a one possession game. That ‘prevent defense’ strategy has killed Seattle bettors on more than a handful of occasions over the past two seasons, including the previous week at Washington where it cost them the outright win, thanks to three third and long completions in overtime from the Redskins. But Holmgren’s mismanagement gets even worse than that. Seattle got the ball back with less than four minutes on the clock and a six point lead. They had been running Shaun Alexander effectively all day: 25 rushes, 119 yards, two touchdowns. Everybody in the world knows that the most important thing to do in that situation is to run out the clock, on the ground. Instead, Holmgren, in his infinite wisdom, chose to pass on first down. And pass on second down. And pass on third down. Two incomplete passes, a sack, and a punt on a drive that took less than a minute, giving the ball back to St Louis with just under three minutes left on the clock. The Rams didn’t even burn a single timeout! Only a Rams fumble on the ensuing punt gave Seattle the win – otherwise St Louis would have marched down the field and scored the game winning touchdown. That’s what happens when you lay points with Mike Holmgren – you get poor decision making during crunch time.
Meanwhile, there’s a long standing system about betting 0-4 teams in the NFL, called the ‘Heinous Teams of the NFL’ strategy (no, we not making that up). These are teams that no public bettor wants to touch – they stink! The linesmakers know this, and adjust the pointspread dramatically to get some semblance of balance with their bets – you get extra value every time you back one of these teams. That’s why blindly betting these heinous teams produces a profit every year! Green Bay showed that an 0-4 team can be dangerous last week. Houston still plays pretty good defense, even though their offense is struggling, and they get a chance for redemption on national TV. No surprise whatsoever if the Texans keep this one very close throughout. Even if they don’t, the backdoor cover is always open against the Seahawks.
Play Houston +10
Predicted Final: Seattle 24 Houston 17