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  • Nfl 5*

    Indy -6 1/2 on the buy:

    Good luck today guys. :christmas

    Mark

    You know its coming and Sunday is the day. Consider the following: Following the 2002 season, the Tennessee defense included Kevin Carter, Jevon Kearse, Andre Dyson, Samari Rolle, and Lance Schulters. The offense included Eddie George, Derrick Mason, and Frank Wycheck. After 2003, the defense lost Jevon Kearse and Robaire Smith from the trenches. FrankWycheck retired. But after 2004, the defense lost Kevin Carter, Andre Dyson, and Samari Rolle. The offense lost Derrick Mason. So arguably the Titans are in the process of rebuilding their entire defensive line and secondary. Their best remaining pass rusher, Albert Haynesworth (6 ½ sacks last year) is hampered by a knee injury (missed last week). Another defensive end, Travis LaBoy, is also a question mark with a knee injury. Safety Vincent Fuller is out while running back Travis Henry is suspended as a drug user. Steve McNair’s foot injury has already limited him to a degree (threw two picks at St. Louis). The Colts are 1-2 ATS (3-0 SU) after a winless preseason (0-5). Sooner or later this team is going to score points and I suspect Sunday will be the day. St. Louis put up 31 last Sunday against Tennessee despite four turnovers. I had the Colts opening night at Baltimore on the road and I’m coming back with them here. Indianapolis will continue to be overpriced at home, but will often be a bargain on the road. The Colts have DOMINATED the trenches. They are #2 in sacks and #1 in protection. Last year they allowed the fewest sacks. Peyton Manning and his receivers against the Tennessee defensive line and secondary is a complete mismatch. The Colts have allowed 16 points in 12 quarters and it’s only a matter of time until the offense catches up with the defense. Plus Manning owns the Titans. Last year they beat Tennessee 31-17 and 51-24. Two years ago they beat them 33-7 at home. The Colts are 4-0 SU and ATS the past two years when Tennessee had competent personnel. That’s no longer the case. You almost have to feel sorry for Brett Favre and Steve McNair. Two guys who lives so close and whose extended families have been through hell with two hurricanes, are seeing their franchises let them down dramatically. There is a ton of similarities between their professional situations at the moment. Both Tennessee and Green Bay are cash-flow casualties and have become very old very quickly. I think Peyton turns it up a notch this week. There’s something seriously wrong if the Colts don’t win this game by 10 points or more. The Colts have averaged 36 points the last four times they’ve faced Tennessee. The Tennessee weapons offensively begin and end with Drew Bennett. When Tennessee loses at home, they don’t fool around. 0-27 ATS in their last 27 home defeats. There’s no problem with Edgerrin James either with consecutive 100-yard efforts on the ground (88 against the Colts in week one). 5* BEST BET and this one should be easy. Buying Indianapolis to –6 ½ can be done at Olympic (-115) and Pinnacle (-120).
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