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A Look at NFL Team Wins OVER & UNDERS

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  • A Look at NFL Team Wins OVER & UNDERS

    Winnipeg @ TORONTO (-7.5, 51.5) goes @ 3:05 CENTRAL TIME.

    Pick at: http://pro-edge.tripod.com

    The Denver Broncos were one of last season's more solid teams statistically speaking. Their achilles heel was the interception rate of Jake Plummer. Be it for that and they are a Superbowl contender in my opinion.

    The over under for team wins this season on the Broncos @ Olympic is currently 8.5 -130. I like the OVER -130 on this prop. Plummer has another year under his belt and I have no reason to believe they will not have a winning season if only to match last year's 10-6 mark...

    DENVER BRONCOS OVER 8.5 WINS -130

    Other early observations I have posted include the BUFFALO BILLS OVER 8.0 WINS -125. This line has not changed since I originally posted it.

    One line that HAS changed is the CAROLINA PANTHERS. I posted this one less than a week ago @ +150 and it is currently down to +135 which doesn't surprise me. I expect it to drop more...

    CAROLINA PANTHERS 0VER 9.5 WINS +135

    gl,
    dave

    Just a reminder that if you were on the fence regarding the PRO EDGE Tipsheet, the July Early Bird ends @ 00:01 a.m. Central Tuesday, August 2nd; that is, at Midnight Monday Night, August 1st.

    The sheet is $3.29 per issue at the July Early Bird rate of 89.00. I ran the numbers from last year...

    thanx,
    dave


    2004 NFL RESULTS for PRO EDGE Excell Program
    (Written by David Toop 2005)


    WEEK 5 (3-0/3-0)

    Ravens (pk) 17, REDSKINS 10.....WIN

    CHARGERS (+3) 34, Jaguars 21.....WIN

    Titans (+3') 48, PACKERS 27.....WIN



    WEEK 6 (4-0/7-0)

    Steelers (+3) 24, COWBOYS 20.....WIN

    Chargers (+5) 20, FALCONS 21.....WIN

    Redskins (+1') 13, BEARS 10.....WIN

    Vikings (-4) 38, SAINTS 31.....WIN



    WEEK 7 (3-1/10-1)

    Chargers (+3) 17, PANTHERS 6.....WIN

    Falcons (+3') 10, CHIEFS 56.....Lose

    Saints (+3) 31, RAIDERS 26.....WIN

    PACKERS (-3') 41, Cowboys 20.....WIN



    WEEK 8 (1-2/11-3)

    Cardinals (+4') 14, BILLS 38.....Lose

    Lions (+3') 21, COWBOYS 31.....Lose

    BEARS (-2) 23, 49ers 13.....WIN



    WEEK 9 (3-0/14-3)

    Patriots (+2') 40, RAMS 22.....WIN

    Cardinals (+3) 24, DOLPHINS 23.....WIN

    Redskins (+3') 17, LIONS 10.....WIN



    WEEK 10 (2-1/16-4)

    JAGUARS (-3') 23, Lions 17.....WIN

    Chiefs (-3') 20, SAINTS 27.....Lose

    Panthers (+1') 37, 49ERS 27.....WIN



    WEEK 11 (3-0/19-4)

    Patriots (-3) 27, CHIEFS 19.....WIN

    Jets (-1') 10, BROWNS 7.....WIN

    Packers (-3) 16, TEXANS 13.....Push

    Falcons (-3) 14, GIANTS 10.....WIN



    WEEK 12 (3-0/22-4)

    Jets (-3) 13, CARDINALS 3.....WIN

    Dolphins (+1) 24, 49ERS 17.....WIN

    COWBOYS (-3') 21, Bears 7.....WIN



    WEEK 13 (0-1/22-5)

    Cardinals (+6) 12, LIONS 26.....Lose



    WEEK 14 (2-0/24-5)

    Chiefs (-2') 49, TITANS 38.....WIN

    Seahawks (+6') 27, VIKINGS 23.....WIN



    WEEK 15 (2-1/26-6)

    Bills (-3) 33, BENGALS 17.....WIN

    Texans (+1') 24, BEARS 5.....WIN

    Titans (+3') 35, RAIDERS 40.....Lose



    WEEK 16: (1-0/27-6)

    Broncos (-4) 37, TITANS 16.....WIN



    WEEK 17:

    No Plays



    PRO EDGE is an Online Tipsheet. This year it will feature NFL Picks based on an Excell Program I wrote using 20 key statistical categories.

    After 25 years of technical handicapping, I have made the switch to a statistical form of capping the pigskin--keeping us on SOLID plays.

    The power ratings from last season had a record of 52-30 ATS (63.4%) on NFL teams that were either underdogs or small favorites.

    The Non-Division record was a stronger 37-17 ATS, and that record improved to 27-6 ATS (listed above) when catching their opponent off a loss.

    The plays are statistically sound and are based on 20 key statistical categories which are weighted for most recent performance--a logical mathematical formula I designed.

    In addition, my New Excell Program is designed to factor in Strenth of Schedule to give an overall "Level of Play" in EACH of the 20 statistical categories.

    If you would be interest in my PRO EDGE Tipsheet this year, check out the site for details on how to order. The July Early Bird is 1/2-off (only $89.00 for Full Season) and it ends soon. Hope to have you on board...

    thanx,
    dave
    http://pro-edge.tripod.com
    Last edited by Warrior; 07-31-2005, 11:23 PM.

  • #2
    Remind me never to take the UNDER in a CFL game again!

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