Tweet
www.TheMoneyPicks.com
07/28/2005
The Money Picks is coming off a disappointing day going 1-2-1. The Money Picks vows to bounce back strong on Thursday with three of top MLB plays all for FREE.
2 Units San Fran / Milwaukee under 9 even
2 Units Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
2 Units Pittsburgh / Florida over 8 -110
Game: San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers 8:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Total 9 under even
Prediction: Under 9 even
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: San Francisco - Brad Hennessey / Milwaukee - Victor Santos
San Francisco enters tonight at 3-6-1 (o/u) their last ten games and 1-5-1 (o/u) their last six games on the trail. Note further that the G-Men are 5-14-2 (o/u) vs. the NL Central this season. Note too that SF is averaging just 4.2 runs per game vs. right handed starters and a mere 3.4 runs per game over their last seven contests.
Milwaukee for their part checks in at 44-53-5 (o/u) overall and 19-25-2 (o/u) at home. Their starter Santos has been brilliant at home (and horrific on the road for future reference) with a 3.22 ERA. This has translated to a perfect 0-6 (o/u) mark when he pitches in the Cheese and Dairy State.
Santos is backed by a bullpen that boasts a 3.32 ERA and has converted 75% of their save opportunities pitching in front of the home fans this year. He will be opposed by the Giants Brad Hennessey, who certainly has not been exceptional this season but the factors as a whole in this game suggest that this total is simply too high. Play the Under 9
Predicted Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4 San Francisco Giants 3
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies 9:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: Philadelphia - Robinson Tejeda / Colorado - Byung-Hyun Kim
The Phillies look to get their offense back on track after facing three of the hottest pitchers in the National League the last three games. Prior to that, runs were not an issue as they averaged 5.6 rpg in their previous 13 games. Runs have not been an issue when traveling to Colorado either as Philadelphia averaged 8.5 rpg in its series at Coors Field last season. Prior to the series with Houston, Philadelphia had won nine of its last 12 games.
Robinson Tejeda has been a welcomed addition to the Phillies rotation as he is 2-2 with a solid 2.90 ERA on the season. He was taken out of the rotation briefly after a rough outing against Washington but he came back last Saturday with a gem against the Padres, allowing only two hits over six innings. He hasn’t started on the road since June and Coors Field is no place to start back up but he was very effective in his two starts away from home so it might not be an issue after all.
We are not sold on Byung-Hyun Kim even though he has been rather effective. He is coming off his worst start in his last five outings in a loss to the Pirates and that isn’t much to build on. The Rockies have dropped six of his last nine starts including three of five at home. He is coming off his highest pitch count of the season so the arm might be tired as well. He has allowed a ton of baserunners this season as his season WHIP stands at 1.59.
We all know Colorado is a different team at home but its run production has been down. The Rockies have scored five runs or less in nine of their last 12 home games, averaging 4.3 rpg over that span which is over a run and a half less than their season average. Colorado has not been hitting right handed pitching very well, as it has a .240 average over its last 10 games. The Phillies are itching for a pitcher to tag and they found it for Thursday. Play Philadelphia Phillies
Predicted Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7 Colorado Rockies 4
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Florida Marlins 7:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Total 8 over -110
Prediction: Over 8 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: Pittsburgh - Kip Wells / Florida - Dontrelle Willis
Florida checks into this game at a whopping 54-36-8 (u/u) on the season. Note further that they are 40-27 (o/u) vs. right handed starters and a staggering 38-20 (o/u) in night games this season. We should also point out that they are 41-30 (o/u) as a favorite in 2005. Did we mention that the Fish are also 8-2 (o/u) their last ten games?
It is certainly not hard to understand why Florida is trending Over of late. As Manager Jack McKeon recently observed, “Now, we`re hitting … The pitching hasn`t been as sharp.” The facts certainly suggest that McKeon is telling the truth. During their latest ten game stretch, Florida is averaging better than 7.5 runs per game but giving up nearly 4.5 runs per game at the same time.
They send out Dontrelle Willis to the mound today. After a blazing start where he was unhittable for much of the first half of the season, Willis has shown vulnerability down the stretch much as he did in each of the past two seasons. Perhaps he tires as the season wears on our hitters begin to catch up with his unique delivery.
In any event, he still boasts a 3.23 ERA overall and 3.03 ERA at home. That said, the D-Train has derailed of late and carries a whopping 15.92 ERA over his last three starts. And his inflated ERA is not the result of simply one bad game. In fact, Willis pitched extremely poor in all three games, surrendering 8 runs, 8 runs, and 7 runs in each of the respective contests.
Pittsburgh for their part will send out Kip Wells, who shoulders a 4.77 ERA overall, 6.91 ERA on the road and 8.59 ERA his last three starts. His team meanwhile is averaging better than five runs per game against lefties and checks in at 34-29 (o/u) in night games this year. All said, we expect this game to soar over the posted total given all of the above. Play the over 8
Predicted Final: Florida Marlins 6 Pittsburgh Pirates 4
07/28/2005
The Money Picks is coming off a disappointing day going 1-2-1. The Money Picks vows to bounce back strong on Thursday with three of top MLB plays all for FREE.
2 Units San Fran / Milwaukee under 9 even
2 Units Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
2 Units Pittsburgh / Florida over 8 -110
Game: San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers 8:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Total 9 under even
Prediction: Under 9 even
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: San Francisco - Brad Hennessey / Milwaukee - Victor Santos
San Francisco enters tonight at 3-6-1 (o/u) their last ten games and 1-5-1 (o/u) their last six games on the trail. Note further that the G-Men are 5-14-2 (o/u) vs. the NL Central this season. Note too that SF is averaging just 4.2 runs per game vs. right handed starters and a mere 3.4 runs per game over their last seven contests.
Milwaukee for their part checks in at 44-53-5 (o/u) overall and 19-25-2 (o/u) at home. Their starter Santos has been brilliant at home (and horrific on the road for future reference) with a 3.22 ERA. This has translated to a perfect 0-6 (o/u) mark when he pitches in the Cheese and Dairy State.
Santos is backed by a bullpen that boasts a 3.32 ERA and has converted 75% of their save opportunities pitching in front of the home fans this year. He will be opposed by the Giants Brad Hennessey, who certainly has not been exceptional this season but the factors as a whole in this game suggest that this total is simply too high. Play the Under 9
Predicted Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4 San Francisco Giants 3
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies 9:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (Tejeda) -120
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: Philadelphia - Robinson Tejeda / Colorado - Byung-Hyun Kim
The Phillies look to get their offense back on track after facing three of the hottest pitchers in the National League the last three games. Prior to that, runs were not an issue as they averaged 5.6 rpg in their previous 13 games. Runs have not been an issue when traveling to Colorado either as Philadelphia averaged 8.5 rpg in its series at Coors Field last season. Prior to the series with Houston, Philadelphia had won nine of its last 12 games.
Robinson Tejeda has been a welcomed addition to the Phillies rotation as he is 2-2 with a solid 2.90 ERA on the season. He was taken out of the rotation briefly after a rough outing against Washington but he came back last Saturday with a gem against the Padres, allowing only two hits over six innings. He hasn’t started on the road since June and Coors Field is no place to start back up but he was very effective in his two starts away from home so it might not be an issue after all.
We are not sold on Byung-Hyun Kim even though he has been rather effective. He is coming off his worst start in his last five outings in a loss to the Pirates and that isn’t much to build on. The Rockies have dropped six of his last nine starts including three of five at home. He is coming off his highest pitch count of the season so the arm might be tired as well. He has allowed a ton of baserunners this season as his season WHIP stands at 1.59.
We all know Colorado is a different team at home but its run production has been down. The Rockies have scored five runs or less in nine of their last 12 home games, averaging 4.3 rpg over that span which is over a run and a half less than their season average. Colorado has not been hitting right handed pitching very well, as it has a .240 average over its last 10 games. The Phillies are itching for a pitcher to tag and they found it for Thursday. Play Philadelphia Phillies
Predicted Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7 Colorado Rockies 4
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Florida Marlins 7:05 p.m. ET
Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball
Line: Total 8 over -110
Prediction: Over 8 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
Arms Must Start: Pittsburgh - Kip Wells / Florida - Dontrelle Willis
Florida checks into this game at a whopping 54-36-8 (u/u) on the season. Note further that they are 40-27 (o/u) vs. right handed starters and a staggering 38-20 (o/u) in night games this season. We should also point out that they are 41-30 (o/u) as a favorite in 2005. Did we mention that the Fish are also 8-2 (o/u) their last ten games?
It is certainly not hard to understand why Florida is trending Over of late. As Manager Jack McKeon recently observed, “Now, we`re hitting … The pitching hasn`t been as sharp.” The facts certainly suggest that McKeon is telling the truth. During their latest ten game stretch, Florida is averaging better than 7.5 runs per game but giving up nearly 4.5 runs per game at the same time.
They send out Dontrelle Willis to the mound today. After a blazing start where he was unhittable for much of the first half of the season, Willis has shown vulnerability down the stretch much as he did in each of the past two seasons. Perhaps he tires as the season wears on our hitters begin to catch up with his unique delivery.
In any event, he still boasts a 3.23 ERA overall and 3.03 ERA at home. That said, the D-Train has derailed of late and carries a whopping 15.92 ERA over his last three starts. And his inflated ERA is not the result of simply one bad game. In fact, Willis pitched extremely poor in all three games, surrendering 8 runs, 8 runs, and 7 runs in each of the respective contests.
Pittsburgh for their part will send out Kip Wells, who shoulders a 4.77 ERA overall, 6.91 ERA on the road and 8.59 ERA his last three starts. His team meanwhile is averaging better than five runs per game against lefties and checks in at 34-29 (o/u) in night games this year. All said, we expect this game to soar over the posted total given all of the above. Play the over 8
Predicted Final: Florida Marlins 6 Pittsburgh Pirates 4