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NFL Team Win total Wager and Writeup

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  • NFL Team Win total Wager and Writeup

    San Francisco 49ers UNDER 4.5, -125

    San Francisco was 2-14 in 2004. The schedule this year includes STL, DAL, IND, TB, NYG, SEA, ARI and HOU at home and PHI, ARI, WAS, CHI, TEN, SEA, JAC and STL on the road.

    Where are the 5 wins needed to go OVER this total going to come from? MAYBE Houston at home but no guarantee. Are there four more wins on the San Francisco schedule? San Francisco has the toughest home schedule in their division this season, even with the worst record in the NFL last year.
    Brandon Lloyd, Arnaz Battle, Johnnie Morton and P.J. Fleck are the wide receivers for this team and the best pass catcher they have is the TE, Eric Johnson. This is not good. Morton was worthless in a pass-happy offense in KC and they were willing to let him walk. These other guys are marginal starters on any other NFL team.

    Tim Rattay will start the year for SF but once this season is in the toilet (around Week 7), Alex Smith will get his shot. Who are either of these guys going to throw to? The offensive line will be an issue, as they lost the best tackle they had in Kyle Kosier to Detroit in Free Agency. They did get Jonas Jennings from Buffalo and drafted David Baas so the line will improve once they learn cohesion and can work together but I don't think that Mike Nolan will allow Alex Smith to get punished until he has some confidence that the O-Line can protect him.

    Kevan Barlow is penciled in as the starter, but only gained 800+ yards last year with a YPC of 3.4, below the league average. He was benched for being a malcontent and may not last if the new staff decides that they want to plan for the future and a top pick in 2006. If he opens his mouth, he will get cut.

    The defense needs a healthy Julian Peterson and everyone stepping up bigtime if they have any hope of improving the worst defense in the entire NFL. They were statistaclly worse than anyone else in the league and will be hard pressed to keep opponents below 20 PPG, which will be a stretch for the offense to match.

    San Fran is setting themselves up the 2006 draft. Four and a half games seems way beyond capability. UNDER 4.5 and I actually think 3 will be an accomplishment. Play this UNDER 4.5 and enjoy watching a SF team that is totally gearing up for the future, with an owner that is known throughout the league as being cheap. If you need any proof that the Eddie DeBartolo days and Super Bowl Championships are only a memory, watch this year's edition of the Forty Niners.

    If you wish to read the other writeups for NFL, preseason win totals and observations, send me an email from the website link and I will be glad to add you to the mailing list. No charge!

    Thanks as always,
    Mychal
    www.AdvantagePlays.com
    Football Only Handicappers since 1991
    (877)NFL-NCAA (Toll Free)

  • #2
    I like the call a lot.

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    • #3
      Thanks, BigWiener

      Nice view, by the way. if you wish for more stuff, just drop me a note. It's free and no obligation.
      Mychal
      www.AdvantagePlays.com
      Football Only Handicappers since 1991
      (877)NFL-NCAA (Toll Free)

      Comment


      • #4
        Good write up. I figure them to get a split with Dal, Tam, Gia, Ari at home for 2 wins, and then a split AT BEST with Ari, Was, Chi, Ten on the road...looks like 3-4 wins this season.

        So far I like OVER 9.5 +150 with the Panthers and OVER 8.0 -125 with the Bills...

        gl,
        dave

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        • #5
          NE Patriots Info

          It is way too early to make this a play but I will say now that I will be keeping a close watch on the Patriots' opener with the Raiders, both side and total. If it stays at 7.5/49 and no major issues come up during preseason with injuries and other stuff, Oakland may be a play down the road on the opening weekend.

          With the adjustments that will need to be made with the NE coordinators on both sides of the ball and now with their linebacker situation depleted further with Bruschi and Ted Johnson, there will be some solid opportunities to fade the defending SB Champs. I am not impressed with the FA signings they made defensively but we shall see how that plays out over the next few weeks.

          I will have more posted here later in the month of August on this game, stay tuned!
          Mychal
          www.AdvantagePlays.com
          Football Only Handicappers since 1991
          (877)NFL-NCAA (Toll Free)

          Comment


          • #6
            Pix, i have no problem with you joining in on the main forum but pls take the advertising off your post when you do ...

            Thanks

            Comment


            • #7
              Sorry Spark. It is in the signature.
              My bad, boss!
              Mychal
              www.AdvantagePlays.com
              Football Only Handicappers since 1991
              (877)NFL-NCAA (Toll Free)

              Comment

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