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  • Today's,TheMoneyPicks Plays are all Free!

    Today's, TheMoneyPicks Plays are all Free!

    www.TheMoneyPicks.com
    07/26/2005
    Yesterday The Money Picks had another winning day hitting a 5 Units Money Bag play on the under 8.5 in the Det/Seattle game. For the month of July our record is 58-27-3.

    2 Units Baltimore Orioles (Lopez) -123
    2 Units Washington / Atlanta Under 7.5 -115
    2 Units LA Angels of Anaheim (Byrd) -119

    Game: Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles 7:05 p.m. ET

    Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball

    Line: Baltimore Orioles (Lopez) -123

    Prediction: Baltimore Orioles (Lopez) -123

    Explanation: 2 Units

    Arms Must Start: Texas - Kenny Rogers / Baltimore - Rodrigo Lopez

    We are jumping back on the Orioles Tuesday as we get some great value. The Orioles have owned this series at home, winning the last nine meetings played at Camden Yards. The Rangers made a move in the American League West but have suddenly dropped under .500 and trail the Angels by 10 games. The Rangers are 3-9 and they certainly haven’t been the road warriors they were at the beginning of the season as Texas has lost 17 of its last 25 road games.

    The Orioles send Rodrigo Lopez to the mound and he has been awesome with a 2.57 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over his last three starts. He has been at the top of his game at home, posting a 2.61 ERA at home in his nine starts. He has allowed three runs or less in his last four home starts and he has given up one run or less in six of those nine home starts. He faced the Rangers twice last season, posting a 2.14 ERA including six shutout innings in a win at Camden Yards.

    Kenny Rogers is clearly not the same pitcher we saw at the beginning of the season. He has a 4.89 ERA over his last seven starts with the Rangers losing four of those including three of four on the road. His ERA is 5.72 in those four road starts and now he faces a team that has not treated him well the last couple years. In six starts against the Orioles since 2002, Rogers has a 7.57 ERA including a 7.36 ERA in his last two starts in Baltimore.

    The Rangers have allowed 6.9 rpg since the All-Star break as the pitching staff has an ERA of 6.49 during this stretch. Baltimore is seven games over .500 at home this season and have won 10 of its last 16. Offense has been the story as the Orioles averaged 5.5 rpg in those 10 victories. The pitching has been right there as well as the opposition averaged a measly 1.8 rpg in the 10 wins. Play Baltimore Orioles

    Predicted Final: Baltimore Orioles 5 Texas Rangers 4




    Game: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves 7:35 p.m. ET

    Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball

    Line: Total 7.5 under -115

    Prediction: Under 7.5 -115

    Explanation: 2 Units

    Arms Must Start: Washington - Livan Hernandez / Atlanta - John Smoltz

    Washington checks into this game at a whopping 39-55-5 (o/u) on the season. They are also 19-26-4 (o/u) on the road and 3-6-1 (o/u) their last ten games. The Nationals pathetic offense explains a great deal for their Under trends this season. Consider that they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game overall, 4.0 runs per game on the road and a meager 2.6 runs per game their last seven. In fact since the All Star Break the Nats are putting up just 2.8 runs per game while barely hitting above the Mendoza Line (.200).

    Atlanta for their part is 43-50 (o/u) on the season. They are also 4-6 (o/u) their last ten games. During this stretch, the Braves are hitting a meager .224 but boast a 3.34 ERA at the same time. John Smoltz will toe the rubber for ATL and he has been flat out dominant. He enters tonight with a 2.64 ERA overall, 2.67 ERA at home and 2.45 ERA his last three starts. He also boasts a whopping 4:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio on the season. Most importantly, his team is 8-13 (o/u) in his starts this season.

    Smoltz will be opposed by Livan Hernandez, who checks in with a 3.44 ERA overall and 3.49 ERA at home. Note further that the Nationals are a whopping 6-12 (o/u) in his starts this season. He is also backed by a bullpen that has converted 80% of their save opportunities this season. When you put it all together, we expect a very low scoring game here. Play the Under 7.5

    Predicted Final: Atlanta Braves 5 Washington Nationals 2




    Game: LA Angels of Anaheim at Toronto Blue Jays 7:05 p.m. ET

    Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball

    Line: LA Angels of Anaheim (Byrd) -119

    Prediction: LA Angels of Anaheim (Byrd) -119

    Explanation: 2 Units Free Pick

    Arms Must Start: LA Angels - Paul Byrd / Toronto - Gustavo Chacin

    The Angels look like one “hell” of a value at today’s posted price. After all, they are an angelic 59-40 for +$990 on the season, including 29-18 for a staggering +$1,395 when on the road. Anaheim, in fact, boasts the second best record in the American League and third best record in all of baseball. Moreover, the Angels have been money-in-the bank in these sorts of situations.

    Anaheim is now 11-4 in its past fifteen tilts away from Edison Field, including an incredible 13-3 as a road favorite. Note further that the Angles are a ridiculous 27-12 when priced as a favorite of -150 or less for the season overall. We should also mention that L.A.A. is coming off a loss and has been extremely resilient in this role at 28-13 for the year.

    And while some may point to the fact Toronto is playing semi-decent baseball of late at 5-5 its past ten, the level of opposition must be considered. Meaning, the Blue Jays past three respective series’ have come against AL West cellar dweller Seattle, AL East cellar dweller Tampa Bay and AL Central cellar dweller Kansas City.

    By contrast, the Angels have faced Minnesota (2nd place in the AL Central), New York (2nd Place in the AL East) and Oakland (2nd Place in the AL West) in their past three series and carry a 7-4 during this span. Note also that Halos starter Byrd has led his team to eight wins in his past ten starts and boasts a sweet 3.52 ERA when on the road.

    The Angels are simply too strong and should have no trouble soaring past the Blue Birds tonight. Play the LA Angels of Anaheim

    Predicted Final: LA Angels of Anaheim 6 Toronto Blue Jays 4
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