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Insider Edge Sports – Report For Sunday, September 19, 2004
Football goes 6-1 yesterday and we have nailed 12 of our last 13 football releases. Last week, we ended up 6-0 in the NFL and we look to make it 10-0 after today with 4 solid winners. Included in these is a 3-Unit TOP PLAY. Nobody does it better and the proof is in the results.
*** Click Here For Sunday’s One Day Pass - $14.95 ***
Get all of today plus Monday Night Football with our Two Day Pass!
*** Click Here For This Weekend’s Three Day Pass - $24.95 ***
And of course, our season package is still a steal at $299.
***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***
What is included besides winning NFL and NCAA Seasons?
Members get access to our highly sought after “Inside The Boxscores” College Football Weekly Recap. Looking inside the boxes of every game every weekend is the first step in capping the following weekend slate of games – we do that for you. No other service provides this information to you on a weekly basis:
Inside The Boxscores - NCAA Week 3
Detailed Game Writeups with every football play we release. We don’t throw darts like most and we prove why.
We have started the NFL 6-0 after the first week and a lot of that can be attributed to our offseason hard work. We have uncovered some incredible systems that go into our handicapping. Please note that these are systems and not useless trends.
Taking our NFL Insider Power™ Systems, we concluded that combining 5 of our top systems gave us a 2003 winning percentage of 66.4%. The record ended 71-36 and while that is outstanding, it is a lot of games to be playing on a weekly basis. An average of 6.3 games per week to be exact. Playing too many games can be the death of a gambler so we decided to tighten the systems by using a minimum z-rating which in turn would give us less plays overall but would in turn be much stronger.
The results once again are remarkable. Tightening our 5 strongest systems gives us an even better 71.4% winning percentage while playing much less games (67 – less than 4 per week). Decreasing the games lessens the risk but our ROI actually increases by over 16%. The difference in profit ended up being only $100 based on $1100 bets. There were just 3 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks in the regular season.
Regular Systems Run – 71W-36L 66.4%
Investment $117,700 – Return $31,400 = ROI 26.7%
Tightened Systems Run – 50W-17L 74.6%
Investment $73,700 – Return $31,300 = ROI 42.5%
These numbers look way to good to be true so it is possible 2003 was a very “lucky” year for the systems. In order to find out, we went back 4 more years through 1999 and crunched the same Insider Power™ Systems in the tighter version. What did we find? Much of the very same success.
1999 50-20 71.4%
2000 48-23 67.6%
2001 59-15 79.7%
2002 61-20 75.3%
Only in 2000 did we receive a ROI under 30% while the total ROI for the 5-year span was a generous 40.9%!
1999 Investment $77,000 – Return $28,000 = ROI 36.4%
2000 Investment $78,100 – Return $22,700 = ROI 29.1%
2001 Investment $81,400 – Return $42,500 = ROI 52.2%
2002 Investment $89,100 – Return $39,000 = ROI 43.8%
5-year Investment $399,300 – Return $163,500 = ROI 40.9%
We are ecstatic at these findings and the best thing about it is that there are no judgment calls on the games – they either qualify or they don’t. The ones that do qualify will receive many more lookovers based on our other handicapping techniques such as injuries, weather and statistics. The remaining systems come into play when deciding on unit values.
Hopefully we have your attention now. Our Preseason Football Package gets all of these winners through the Super Bowl, which also includes the NFL Preseason, the NCAA Football Season, the remaining MLB Season and the start of the NBA and NCAA Hoops Seasons. All for only $299. Come and join our big group of members that will reap the benefits of these sensational NFL Insider Power™ Systems!!
***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***
Free Service Play For Sunday, September 19, 2004
Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 –110 (2 Units)
The Jaguars return home after their come from behind win over the Bills last Sunday. not only did it give them an unexpected win, it also gave them a ton of confidence heading into this battle against the Broncos. Denver looked great against the Chiefs on Sunday night but that was on their home turf and against a defense nowhere near as good as the one they will face this week.
RB Quentin Griffin looked good in his debut as Denver's primary back, but this week he faces a much stouter Jacksonville run defense. The Jags' reigning No. 2 run defense poses a much bigger challenge for the Broncos. The Jaguars have gone 16 consecutive games without allowing an opposing rusher to reach the 100-yard mark. The defense contained Buffalo’s duo of Travis Henry (75 yards) and Willis McGahee (31 yards) last week. The Broncos' offense starts with the ground attack, which sets up their passing game. "I wasn't satisfied," coach Jack Del Rio asked when asked to assess his team's run defense. "I think we were solid and effective but we can be better. We're going to be better." Not to take anything away from Griffin’s performance but take away two long carries of 25 and 47 yards, and Griffin’s numbers come down a little more respectable 84 yards. Staying conservative and crowding the short-to-intermediate routes puts more pressure on Denver to either pound the ball between the tackles or have Jake Plummer throw into tight spaces. Plummer made some mistakes, getting intercepted twice in the third quarter, which helped Kansas City erase a 17-7 halftime deficit. He is known for mistakes and we expect to see some against the stout stop unit of Jacksonville.
One factor that could work in Jacksonville's favor is second-year quarterback Byron Leftwich going into this game feeling confident after he helped pull off a dramatic comeback win in the opener. As for the running game, Fred Taylor and the Jaguars' offensive line will have success working against a Denver front seven that has had some problems stopping the run. Taylor faced a tough Bills run defense and was held to only 61 yards on 17 carries. An explosive runner, he needs his touches, at least 20 per game. Staying committed to Taylor and the ground game will take some pressure off Leftwich, who will be working against a Denver secondary that gave Kansas City all kinds of problems last week. Denver won't have great depth inside and Taylor should be able to wear the interior front down over the course of the game. It doesn't help the Broncos that DT Luther Elliss missed last week's game with a partially torn pectoral muscle and it's unknown if he'll be able to play in this game or how effective he'll be if he does play.
With both defenses expected to have success stopping the run, whichever quarterback, Leftwich or Plummer, limits his mistakes and executes his respective coach's game plan most efficiently will likely get the victory. Denver is stuck in a divisional sandwich as well with a game vs. San Diego next week. Jacksonville, looking to open 2-0 for the fifth time in seven years, won its last four home games in 2003. The Jaguars are remarkably healthy. Tight end Kyle Brady, who had surgery on the tendon on his middle finger, is the only player who's out. Temperatures for Sunday's game are expected to be in the high 80s to low 90s with high humidity, which worries Broncos coach Mike Shanahan. "People don't realize [the intensity of the heat] until they go down there,'' Shanahan said Wednesday from Denver. "We were on the turf in Tampa one time, and it was 120 degrees. The game was over at halftime because our players weren't used to that type of heat."
Football goes 6-1 yesterday and we have nailed 12 of our last 13 football releases. Last week, we ended up 6-0 in the NFL and we look to make it 10-0 after today with 4 solid winners. Included in these is a 3-Unit TOP PLAY. Nobody does it better and the proof is in the results.
*** Click Here For Sunday’s One Day Pass - $14.95 ***
Get all of today plus Monday Night Football with our Two Day Pass!
*** Click Here For This Weekend’s Three Day Pass - $24.95 ***
And of course, our season package is still a steal at $299.
***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***
What is included besides winning NFL and NCAA Seasons?
Members get access to our highly sought after “Inside The Boxscores” College Football Weekly Recap. Looking inside the boxes of every game every weekend is the first step in capping the following weekend slate of games – we do that for you. No other service provides this information to you on a weekly basis:
Inside The Boxscores - NCAA Week 3
Detailed Game Writeups with every football play we release. We don’t throw darts like most and we prove why.
We have started the NFL 6-0 after the first week and a lot of that can be attributed to our offseason hard work. We have uncovered some incredible systems that go into our handicapping. Please note that these are systems and not useless trends.
Taking our NFL Insider Power™ Systems, we concluded that combining 5 of our top systems gave us a 2003 winning percentage of 66.4%. The record ended 71-36 and while that is outstanding, it is a lot of games to be playing on a weekly basis. An average of 6.3 games per week to be exact. Playing too many games can be the death of a gambler so we decided to tighten the systems by using a minimum z-rating which in turn would give us less plays overall but would in turn be much stronger.
The results once again are remarkable. Tightening our 5 strongest systems gives us an even better 71.4% winning percentage while playing much less games (67 – less than 4 per week). Decreasing the games lessens the risk but our ROI actually increases by over 16%. The difference in profit ended up being only $100 based on $1100 bets. There were just 3 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks in the regular season.
Regular Systems Run – 71W-36L 66.4%
Investment $117,700 – Return $31,400 = ROI 26.7%
Tightened Systems Run – 50W-17L 74.6%
Investment $73,700 – Return $31,300 = ROI 42.5%
These numbers look way to good to be true so it is possible 2003 was a very “lucky” year for the systems. In order to find out, we went back 4 more years through 1999 and crunched the same Insider Power™ Systems in the tighter version. What did we find? Much of the very same success.
1999 50-20 71.4%
2000 48-23 67.6%
2001 59-15 79.7%
2002 61-20 75.3%
Only in 2000 did we receive a ROI under 30% while the total ROI for the 5-year span was a generous 40.9%!
1999 Investment $77,000 – Return $28,000 = ROI 36.4%
2000 Investment $78,100 – Return $22,700 = ROI 29.1%
2001 Investment $81,400 – Return $42,500 = ROI 52.2%
2002 Investment $89,100 – Return $39,000 = ROI 43.8%
5-year Investment $399,300 – Return $163,500 = ROI 40.9%
We are ecstatic at these findings and the best thing about it is that there are no judgment calls on the games – they either qualify or they don’t. The ones that do qualify will receive many more lookovers based on our other handicapping techniques such as injuries, weather and statistics. The remaining systems come into play when deciding on unit values.
Hopefully we have your attention now. Our Preseason Football Package gets all of these winners through the Super Bowl, which also includes the NFL Preseason, the NCAA Football Season, the remaining MLB Season and the start of the NBA and NCAA Hoops Seasons. All for only $299. Come and join our big group of members that will reap the benefits of these sensational NFL Insider Power™ Systems!!
***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***
Free Service Play For Sunday, September 19, 2004
Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 –110 (2 Units)
The Jaguars return home after their come from behind win over the Bills last Sunday. not only did it give them an unexpected win, it also gave them a ton of confidence heading into this battle against the Broncos. Denver looked great against the Chiefs on Sunday night but that was on their home turf and against a defense nowhere near as good as the one they will face this week.
RB Quentin Griffin looked good in his debut as Denver's primary back, but this week he faces a much stouter Jacksonville run defense. The Jags' reigning No. 2 run defense poses a much bigger challenge for the Broncos. The Jaguars have gone 16 consecutive games without allowing an opposing rusher to reach the 100-yard mark. The defense contained Buffalo’s duo of Travis Henry (75 yards) and Willis McGahee (31 yards) last week. The Broncos' offense starts with the ground attack, which sets up their passing game. "I wasn't satisfied," coach Jack Del Rio asked when asked to assess his team's run defense. "I think we were solid and effective but we can be better. We're going to be better." Not to take anything away from Griffin’s performance but take away two long carries of 25 and 47 yards, and Griffin’s numbers come down a little more respectable 84 yards. Staying conservative and crowding the short-to-intermediate routes puts more pressure on Denver to either pound the ball between the tackles or have Jake Plummer throw into tight spaces. Plummer made some mistakes, getting intercepted twice in the third quarter, which helped Kansas City erase a 17-7 halftime deficit. He is known for mistakes and we expect to see some against the stout stop unit of Jacksonville.
One factor that could work in Jacksonville's favor is second-year quarterback Byron Leftwich going into this game feeling confident after he helped pull off a dramatic comeback win in the opener. As for the running game, Fred Taylor and the Jaguars' offensive line will have success working against a Denver front seven that has had some problems stopping the run. Taylor faced a tough Bills run defense and was held to only 61 yards on 17 carries. An explosive runner, he needs his touches, at least 20 per game. Staying committed to Taylor and the ground game will take some pressure off Leftwich, who will be working against a Denver secondary that gave Kansas City all kinds of problems last week. Denver won't have great depth inside and Taylor should be able to wear the interior front down over the course of the game. It doesn't help the Broncos that DT Luther Elliss missed last week's game with a partially torn pectoral muscle and it's unknown if he'll be able to play in this game or how effective he'll be if he does play.
With both defenses expected to have success stopping the run, whichever quarterback, Leftwich or Plummer, limits his mistakes and executes his respective coach's game plan most efficiently will likely get the victory. Denver is stuck in a divisional sandwich as well with a game vs. San Diego next week. Jacksonville, looking to open 2-0 for the fifth time in seven years, won its last four home games in 2003. The Jaguars are remarkably healthy. Tight end Kyle Brady, who had surgery on the tendon on his middle finger, is the only player who's out. Temperatures for Sunday's game are expected to be in the high 80s to low 90s with high humidity, which worries Broncos coach Mike Shanahan. "People don't realize [the intensity of the heat] until they go down there,'' Shanahan said Wednesday from Denver. "We were on the turf in Tampa one time, and it was 120 degrees. The game was over at halftime because our players weren't used to that type of heat."
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