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  • Wednesday's free selection

    Today's free plays of the day
    YTD 70-55 +22.46 Unit

    Some "EZ" Analysis

    Warriors @ Knicks 2-12-03



    -From time to time a situational play comes
    along where I like a play but don't have
    enough "inside" information to make an informed
    play. Rather than guess what's going on in
    the Knicks' clubhouse.....it's better to wait
    until pre-game (if necessary) and learn the
    true situation before making a play.

    -Tonight the over in the GS/NY game caught
    my attention. With the way Chaney's team
    has played defense......you'd have to like
    the over with this young, running and gunning
    Warrior team coming into Madison Sq.

    -The "fly-in-the-ointment" comes with Allen
    Houston's (Knicks' leading scorer at 21.2
    ppg) status for tonight's tilt.

    -Houston injured his wrist making a defensive
    play against the LAL's Fox last Thursday night.

    -Even though he has had 5 days to heal up....they
    still have him listed as "day-to-day"!

    -Whether Houston plays or not is pivotal to which
    position one should take. If he's not available
    tonight I like the under.....if he can play then
    you'd think he has been cleared for play and can
    be effective.

    -Therefore.....I like the over if Houston plays
    but I like the under if Houston is out!!

    -Wait until the picture is clear before making
    this a play.....even if it requires waiting right
    up until the line ups for each team are announced!

    -The teams' combined numbers tend to favor an over
    the total line of 201 for this tilt:

    Seasonal ppg scored........193'
    Home/Away ppg scored.......191'
    Last 5 games ppg scored....203'

    Seasonal ppg allowed.......191
    Home/Away ppg allowed......192
    Last 5 games ppg allowed...199

    -I believe if Houston is out......the under is
    a very solid play. Without Houston....GS just
    has to keep Spree's three's under control and
    play within themselves.

    -I believe if Houston plays......we'll see a
    faster up and down the court high scoring game.
    Especially, the way Spree has been connecting
    with the long balls to open up Houston for
    scores inside the arc. The Knicks need both
    Houston and Spree to score consistently and
    be effective on the offensive end of the court.

    -Last 7 games....the Knicks from 3 pt. land:

    *60% LAL
    *58% LAC
    *28% Mil
    *52% Mem
    *32% Mia
    *44% Atl
    *37% Pho

    -But without Houston (if he's out) the Warriors
    will concentrate on guarding Spree...decreasing
    NY's long ball threat and obviously the score!

    -Neither of these teams are playing defense very
    well at this stage of the season:

    *GS allowing 105 in their last 5
    *NY allowing 99' in their last 5

    -So.....when Houston's status becomes clearer
    than just "day-to-day".....I play:



    GS/NY over 201 with Houston

    OR

    GS/NY under 201 without Houston



    *** Coming next week we will have our early bird MLB packages. Make sure you come and check us out. We ended up the MLB season +300 units last year. All plays were documented at the madjack sports forum.

    www.kc-wolf.com
    Last edited by Kc-Wolf.com; 02-12-2003, 06:32 PM.
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