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  • Both NFL and NCAA Sides For Thursday!

    Insider Edge Sports – Report For Thursday, September 9, 2004

    For Thursday, we have both sides in football action between Indianapolis/New England and Missouri/Troy. Two additional MLB plays round out the card.

    Grab our One Day Pass for $14.95 and get all of today’s action - Guaranteed to profit or you get a full refund plus a week of service absolutely FREE! First game today is at 5:05 PM ET

    *** Click Here For Thursday’s One Day Pass - $14.95 ***

    Free Member Selection For Today

    Houston Astros (Hernandez) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Perez) 5:00 PM ET

    Houston Astros (Hernandez) +115 (2 Units)

    Our Football Special is still intact – get the entire football season for $299 – this includes all selections in all sports through the 2005 Super Bowl!

    ***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***


    What is included besides winning NFL and NCAA Seasons?

    Members get access to our highly sought after “Inside The Boxscores” College Football Weekly Recap. Looking inside the boxes of every game every weekend is the first step in capping the following weekend slate of games – we do that for you. No other service provides this information to you on a weekly basis:

    Inside The Boxscores - NCAA Week 2

    Detailed Game Writeups with every football play we release. We don’t throw darts like most and we prove why.

    If you haven’t checked out our preseason articles, here they are for you now:

    The Significance of the Running Game - 2004 Update


    10 Most Significant Spring Injuries Heading Into 2004


    2004 NCAA Football Coaching Changes


    2004 NCAA Football Transfers Who Will Make an Early Impact


    2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Rise


    2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Decline


    Looking at the NFL upcoming season, we have uncovered some incredible systems that will go into our handicapping. A couple examples:

    Since 1995, NFL home underdogs getting 7.5 points or more who have a winning percentage of 10% or below and are off a loss are 23-1-1 ATS!

    Since 2000, Tampa Bay is 0-16 ATS as a home favorite when they are coming off a win and their opponent allowed between 13 and 25 points in their previous game!

    And there are 162 others that are just as strong.

    Taking our NFL Insider Power™ Systems, we concluded that combining 5 of our top systems gave us a 2003 winning percentage of 66.4%. The record ended 71-36 and while that is outstanding, it is a lot of games to be playing on a weekly basis. An average of 6.3 games per week to be exact. Playing too many games can be the death of a gambler so we decided to tighten the systems by using a minimum z-rating which in turn would give us less plays overall but would in turn be much stronger.

    The results once again are remarkable. Tightening our 5 strongest systems gives us an even better 71.4% winning percentage while playing much less games (67 – less than 4 per week). Decreasing the games lessens the risk but our ROI actually increases by over 16%. The difference in profit ended up being only $100 based on $1100 bets. There were just 3 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks in the regular season.

    Regular Systems Run – 71W-36L 66.4%

    Investment $117,700 – Return $31,400 = ROI 26.7%

    Tightened Systems Run – 50W-17L 74.6%

    Investment $73,700 – Return $31,300 = ROI 42.5%

    These numbers look way to good to be true so it is possible 2003 was a very “lucky” year for the systems. In order to find out, we went back 4 more years through 1999 and crunched the same Insider Power™ Systems in the tighter version. What did we find? Much of the very same success.

    1999 50-20 71.4%
    2000 48-23 67.6%
    2001 59-15 79.7%
    2002 61-20 75.3%


    Only in 2000 did we receive a ROI under 30% while the total ROI for the 5-year span was a generous 40.9%!

    1999 Investment $77,000 – Return $28,000 = ROI 36.4%
    2000 Investment $78,100 – Return $22,700 = ROI 29.1%
    2001 Investment $81,400 – Return $42,500 = ROI 52.2%
    2002 Investment $89,100 – Return $39,000 = ROI 43.8%

    5-year Investment $399,300 – Return $163,500 = ROI 40.9%


    We are ecstatic at these findings and the best thing about it is that there are no judgment calls on the games – they either qualify or they don’t. The ones that do qualify will receive many more lookovers based on our other handicapping techniques such as injuries, weather and statistics. The remaining systems come into play when deciding on unit values.

    Hopefully we have your attention now. Our Preseason Football Package gets all of these winners through the Super Bowl, which also includes the NFL Preseason, the NCAA Football Season, the remaining MLB Season and the start of the NBA and NCAA Hoops Seasons. All for only $299. Come and join our big group of members that will reap the benefits of these sensational NFL Insider Power™ Systems!!

    ***Click Here For Our Football Special - $299.00***
    Matt Fargo Sports
    Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

  • #2
    Early Kickoff Tonight

    Missouri Tigers at Troy Trojans 7:00 PM ET

    Indianapolis Colt at New England Patriots 9:00 PM ET

    Get 'em both here!
    Matt Fargo Sports
    Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

    Comment


    • #3
      2 FREE WINNERS FROM A MONITORED SERVICE !!!

      JCDSPORTS started off the football last weekend going 5-3 and winning our only 2 premium plays.
      Call toll free at 1-866-868-UWIN (8946) and receive all of baseball and football from Thursday thru Sunday for only 29.99 and PAY AFTER YOU WIN !!! Plus if you don't win, the next week is free !!!
      Tonight we have 3 plays in baseball and 2 in football including 2 PREMIUM winners.
      Call toll free at 1-866-868-UWIN (8946) and we will not ask for a name, phone number, or an address. Just call and start winning tonight.
      Free selections in baseball are Seattle over and in NFL New England over.
      Thanks and good luck.
      Dave
      JCDSPORTS

      Comment


      • #4
        Thanks to everyone who signed up last night - 4-1 overall including a 2-0 football sweep.

        Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots 9:00 PM ET

        Indianapolis +3.5 –118 (2 Units)

        The Colts have an early chance to try and get back at New England for their defeat in the AFC Championship last year. Neither team changed much in the offseason and neither team looked particularly sharp in the preseason, but just that, it’s preseason. These are two of the top teams in the conference and both are expected to be in the hunt come year-end.

        Offensively, the Patriots did get Corey Dillon from the Bengals. He will give the offense some other options but he is coming off his worst season ever as a pro and to make matters worse, his new offensive line has question marks. The offensive line must prove that it can withstand the loss of Damien Woody and still be a consistent, productive group. They rotated 9 in and out during the preseason so depth isn’t an issue. It’s cohesiveness that is a concern. The Patriots will have just two running backs, Dillon and Patrick Pass on Thursday. They signed Korey Chapman for their practice squad, but the release of Mike Cloud, who was subsequently signed by the Giants, could hurt in this situation. Tom Brady is coming off another spectacular season but he is also coming off some offseason shoulder surgery. It showed in the preseason, as he did not look himself. There were times when he made bad decisions and either had passes intercepted or deflected.

        You can make the argument that Edgerrin James is the key to Indianapolis' success against the Pats, even if they don't realize it. Of course, what makes the Colts so dangerous is Manning's ability to play-action fake to James and then hit Harrison down the hash marks. It's a staple play of the Colts' offense. New England was not very good in the preseason in stopping the run while most quarterbacks they faced found success against them. Opposing quarterbacks completed 57 percent of their throws with five touchdowns and no interceptions while being sacked only twice and compiling a passer rating of 92.2. Opponents also averaged 4.1 yards per carry on the ground and that wasn't inflated by NFL hopefuls struggling in the second half of preseason games. The defense has yet to prove that it can stop the run consistently without Ted Washington manning the nose. The line of the Colts is getting more experienced and DeMulling, Saturday and Diem are all proven veterans who, along with Glenn, form one of more underrated offensive lines in the NFL.

        The Colts were flat out on fire offensively over the last nine weeks of the season before the AFC Championship game. They averaged 30 points a game. James topped 100 yards rushing in four of the Colts' final seven regular-season games and had 97 and 88 yards in two others. Manning completed better than 60 percent of his passes in eight of the nine games before the AFC Championship and had 17 touchdown passes and two interceptions. They remain one of the best and now is the time they step it up against New England after a dreadful past against the Patriots.

        Missouri Tigers at Troy Trojans 7:00 PM ET

        Troy Trojans +11 –102 (2 Units)

        We doubt Missouri comes into this game looking past the Trojans but what we do see is a sky high Troy team coming off a huge win and playing their first home game this season against a BSC school no less. Troy's win was only the seventh home loss for Marshall since its stadium opened in 1991 so it is a big deal.

        The Troy defense was talked as one of the best ever at the school and they didn’t disappoint in their first game this season. The Trojans held the Thundering Herd to 177 yards on 62 plays, including 25 rushing yards on 34 attempts (0.7 ypc). They buckled down in their own territory as they held Marshall to 3 field goals in 4 trips in the redzone. Marshall came in with one of the best offenses around (according to preseason predictions) and the Trojans shut them down. They can do the same to Missouri although Brad Smith will be a little more difficult to contain. The defense the Tigers saw last week with the Indians is way below what they will experience tonight. The biggest challenge will come from Troy’s defensive line, which sacked Marshall quarterback Stan Hill eight times Saturday. The defense held Marshall to its least amount of points since 1991. The Trojans are accustomed to flashy defensive statistics, finishing 39th in the nation in total defense last season and fourth in 2002. Troy is ranked fifth in rushing defense and seventh in total defense after one game this year.

        The offense of Missouri had their way with Arkansas St. but the defense didn’t look sharp. Missouri outgained the Indians by only 68 total yards and Arkansas St. held a 38:24-21:36 TOP edge. They were able to throw the ball all over the Tigers secondary with a very unproven quarterback who came into the game with a career resume of 8-31 with 7 interceptions. Troy doesn’t have a great offense but the Missouri defense should help them out just enough so they can let their own defense keep this one within reach. Troy's offense is similar to Arkansas State’s, as the Trojans like to spread the field with the pass. Trojans QB Aaron Leak sustained an ankle injury on the second play of the game and wasn't able to put weight on his plant foot. He said if he hadn't been injured, the total yardage for the game would have been much larger. Leak will be fine for this week’s game.

        Troy went into Missouri two years ago and came away with a 44-7 defeat. "They had one of the best offenses we've ever faced," highly touted defensive end Demarcus Ware said. "When we played there two years ago, they put a beating on us. We just want to show that it's not going to be easy to beat us this year.” Missouri is just 4-11 on the road in road games under head coach Gary Pinkel. Pinkel might not be too enthused about the quick turnaround this week. "We are not in a position to turn that opportunity down," Pinkel said. "Not from a dollar standpoint, but [for] exposure. I know there is an NFL game on, but as we build this program, we're not in a position to turn a game like that away." Troy expects to sell out its 30,000-seat stadium.
        Matt Fargo Sports
        Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

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