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baseball play for wednesday...

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  • baseball play for wednesday...

    For today, I am going to stick with my rained out pick from Tuesday. I'm taking Atlanta, home against the Phillies. They've been a good bet lately, winning 8 of their last 10. In this pitching re-match, Jaret Wright (14-6) goes to the mound for Atlanta, who has been throwing pretty good his last few starts. Vicente Padilla, up for Philly, got whacked by the Braves last week, at home(phl). There is no reason to think the outcome will be any different today. We are laying a little more juice than I ever like to do in this one, but this time of year, lines will be a little higher and choices fewer. Personally I'm not a big fan of run line bets, especially on favorites. The Braves are currently steady at -180, at the Stardust.

    Yesterday favorites went 9-4 and continue to get there, although two of the big favorites lost, Chi/-320 and Det/-240. In hindsight, I'm not sure why Detroit is a two dollar favorite to anybody. Home dogs had a relatively good day going 2-3. For me it's still a lean towards favorites.

    Good luck to all...

    No big hype, but our live service people are doing great. Our "football only" guys are 5-2 for last week. This coming week should be absolutely fantastic at JT Sports with the NFL in full gear. With the oddball records we keep, we always have some great plays in store. We are running TWO special offers, that will get you a ton of winners at a low low price!! Find out more about these great deals and what else we have available on our web site at " http://JTSports.info " or you can call the office at 1800-726-7796 and find out how we can WIN for you.

  • #2
    The other day I did a little note about underdogs, here it is;

    A note on underdogs; as Kenny Rogers said, "you gotta know when to hold 'em and know when to fold 'em", or something like that. My point is that dogs don't really suck, just sometimes they hit more frequently than other times. When they're hot, go with the folw. Earlyier in the seaosn, dogs were super hot, and if you played alot of dogs, you did great. But things have changed recently. In August, "home dogs' hit at; 34%/52-99, and this month so far home dogs are even worse; 26%/5-14. The last five days, favorites have covered 46 of 66 games, almost 70%. So what's it all mean? It's just a little "key" to help "me" lean in the right direction. Not that it can't turn around, but it's been favorites over a month now. And when I see stats like that, my first lean, is toward favorites (small to medium). But everyone has their own style.

    GL...

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