NFL Formula III Tracking

[Warrior]

I have recently developed 3 NFL Formulas that I want to put to the test.

Usually I research my Formulas versus past results. For these 3 new NFL Formulas, I want to test them FIRST against virgin data this season. If they do okay, THEN I will go back in past seasons without altering the criteria.

That way there will be no tweaking or backfitting--just posting the games here according to the criteria of the formula(s).

What I want to do is test 3 different formulas and track them this season at the forum by posting the games. These are not Spread Report games and have nothing to do with the other formulas that will be in my SRO.

In addition to tracking them separately, I want to also track how they do when 2 or more agree. And of course, I'll do the usual and break down the results into Dogs, Faves, Division, and Non-Division.

In addition, I will break down the results according to categorical ratings. The plays begin Week Seven.

I do not recommend wagering on the games, but I do expect that--overall--they will either win or break even. These are simply experimental. Here's the blueprint...




NFL FORMULA III Tracking


1.) FORMULA III-Y

RATE 1-99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 100-299:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 300-499:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 500-999:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 1000>:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

ALL RATINGS FORMULA III-Y:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0




2.) FORMULA III-T

RATE 0.01-0.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 1.00-1.49:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 1.50-1.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 2.00-2.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 3.00>:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

ALL RATINGS FORMULA III-T:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0




3.) FORMULA III-P

RATE 1.00-2.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 3.00-5.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 6.00-6.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 7.00-9.99:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

RATE 10.00>:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

ALL RATINGS FORMULA III-P:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0




*ALL 3 AGREE:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

*ANY 2 AGREE:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

*Y+T AGREE:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

*Y+P AGREE:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0

*T+P AGREE:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0


*ALL 3 AGREE, EACH HAVING A LEVEL 3 RATING OR HIGHER:

HM: 0-0; RD: 0-0; FV: 0-0; DG: 0-0; DV: 0-0; NO: 0-0
HF: 0-0; HD: 0-0; RF: 0-0; RD: 0-0
DHF: 0-0; DHD: 0-0; DRF: 0-0; DRD: 0-0
NHF: 0-0; NHD: 0-0; NRF: 0-0; NRD: 0-0
ALL: 0-0




I'll be posting the games for tracking each week in a separate 'reply' to this thread and therefore bumping it up each week. No editing will be done to the replys anytime after the games start, but I'll edit this tracking page each week to update the records. Feel free to post in this thread with any questions, concerns, comments, etc. See ya' Week Seven...

dave

[CoverBoy]

Warrior

Hey Dave - A little while back you put out 7 team over / under futures for wagering purposes.

Were those definite plays or have you revised your thinking ?

Please let me know before I play these futures.

They were:

Ravens over 9
Cincy under 8
Dallas over 9
Denver over 9
G.B. over 9
Jets over 9
Seattle over 9

Thanks,
-CB

[Warrior]

CB,

Those were not final plays. I will make my final selections after pre-season has ended and they are a part of my SRO (the first Issue).

Regarding those specific seven, at this point I'm pulling off the Bengals and Packers...

...I'm sold on the Ravens, Jets, Seahawks...

...and I"m on the fence with the Broncos and Cowboys.

Hope that helps...but until the last pre-season games come in, I wont' have the final decisions.

I have PULLED OFF the Packers as my choice to go to the SB in the NFC, and that won't change with their last pre-season game. The Packers ain't goin'...I mean it could happen, but they are no longer my choice and that's final as far as that goes...

dave