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Insider Edge Sports – Report For Friday, August 27, 2004
Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams 8:00 PM ET
St. Louis Rams –3 +100 (2 Units)
We look to get some value here as the public is well aware of the Rams performance on Monday night against the Chiefs and I’m sure they want no part of this team. That’s fine by us. According to offshore reports, we are exactly right as Washington is getting heavy action as of this morning. Starters will get a longer look and returning home after that disaster on Monday night can only help things. Washington is coming off a shutout at Miami but trying to win two straight on the road might be too much too ask, especially with the second coming against a hungry squad.
As bad as the Rams and QB Marc Bulger looked against the Chiefs, Bulger had several factors working against him: a patchwork offensive line; a blitz-heavy defensive plan by Kansas City; and consistently poor field position. The Rams' six first-half drives had an average starting point of just past the 20-yard line. Excessive blitzing used to be frowned upon in preseason games, but that unwritten rule apparently doesn't apply anymore. "We didn't expect that much pressure, but we got it," Bulger said. "It wasn't completely out of the ordinary, though. It was working, and they stuck with it. ... When you play Kansas City it's almost like a regular-season atmosphere." The Rams should be more focused heading into this game against the Redskins. "We're upset," Bulger said. "We're embarrassed with the way we played, but at the same time, we didn't game plan." The game plans begin this weekend. "I did a very poor job getting this football team ready to play," coach Mike Martz said. "This is my fault as a head coach. We came out here and flopped around and acted like we didn't know where we were. And that's a coaching issue. Always is. Always will be. You can blame the players, but that's my responsibility. That won't happen again. We'll make sure these guys are ready to play." Martz said Bulger and Chris Chandler probably will handle the quarterback duties the rest of the preseason, even though rookie Jeff Smoker was much improved Monday against Kansas City. Having veterans play this whole game is a nice edge.
Patrick Ramsey gets the start tonight against the Rams. Because Mark Brunell (a 71.9 rating on 17 completions in 32 attempts) has performed better than Ramsey (35.5 rating on 10 of 27), there is a presumption that Ramsey has one more shot to win the job. Not a good spot to do it on the road in a loud environment with a lot of pressure on his shoulders. "I'm just going to try to run our offense efficiently," said Ramsey, who was only 3 for 8 against Miami after taking over in the waning moments of the first half. There is no real indication of how long the starters will go for Washington. "We're going to go hard the next two weeks and we'll just see what happens," Gibbs said, adding he will continue to rotate players based on feel and with no predetermined playing time. Washington rushed for 181 yards and compiled a nearly 23-minute edge in time of possession against the Dolphins. While that sounds good, the Dolphins weren’t able to keep the offense on the field as they gained under 100 yards of offense. Good Washington defense or bad Miami offense? We’ll go with the latter.
Starting linebackers Mike Barrow and LaVar Arrington will both be out for this game. The Rams fit into a very solid preseason situation. Since 1994, teams in Week 3 coming off two consecutive losses (both SU and ATS) and return home after an away loss are 14-5-2 (73.7%).
Grab our One Day Pass for $14.95 and get all of today’s action – NFL Seattle/San Diego Plus 4 MLB Winners – 5 more plays in total. Guaranteed to profit or you get a full refund plus a week of service absolutely FREE! First game today is at 7:05 PM ET
*** Click Here For Friday’s One Day Pass - $14.95 ***
The college football season starts tomorrow with the BCA Classic between Virginia Tech and USC. We have your winner all set to go in that matchup along with our world-renowned game analysis. Get this game along with every other winner we release through the 2005 Super Bowl for only $299. This Special offer ends after kickoff of the Virginia Tech/USC so act now. You also receive all baseball selections through the World Series and the remainder of the NFL Preseason.
***Click Here For Our Preseason Football Special - $299.00***
What is included besides winning NFL and NCAA Seasons?
Members get access to our highly sought after “Inside The Boxscores” College Football Weekly Recap. Looking inside the boxes of every game every weekend is the first step in capping the following weekend slate of games – we do that for you. No other service provides this information to you on a weekly basis:
Inside The Boxscores - NCAA Week 10
Detailed Game Writeups with every football play we release. We don’t throw darts like most and we prove why.
If you haven’t checked out our preseason articles, here they are for you now:
The Significance of the Running Game - 2004 Update
10 Most Significant Spring Injuries Heading Into 2004
2004 NCAA Football Coaching Changes
2004 NCAA Football Transfers Who Will Make an Early Impact
2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Rise
2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Decline
Looking at the NFL upcoming season, we have uncovered some incredible systems that will go into our handicapping. A couple examples:
Since 1995, NFL home underdogs getting 7.5 points or more who have a winning percentage of 10% or below and are off a loss are 23-1-1 ATS!
Since 2000, Tampa Bay is 0-16 ATS as a home favorite when they are coming off a win and their opponent allowed between 13 and 25 points in their previous game!
And there are 162 others that are just as strong.
Taking our NFL Insider Power™ Systems, we concluded that combining 5 of our top systems gave us a 2003 winning percentage of 66.4%. The record ended 71-36 and while that is outstanding, it is a lot of games to be playing on a weekly basis. An average of 6.3 games per week to be exact. Playing too many games can be the death of a gambler so we decided to tighten the systems by using a minimum z-rating which in turn would give us less plays overall but would in turn be much stronger.
The results once again are remarkable. Tightening our 5 strongest systems gives us an even better 71.4% winning percentage while playing much less games (67 – less than 4 per week). Decreasing the games lessens the risk but our ROI actually increases by over 16%. The difference in profit ended up being only $100 based on $1100 bets. There were just 3 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks in the regular season.
Regular Systems Run – 71W-36L 66.4%
Investment $117,700 – Return $31,400 = ROI 26.7%
Tightened Systems Run – 50W-17L 74.6%
Investment $73,700 – Return $31,300 = ROI 42.5%
These numbers look way to good to be true so it is possible 2003 was a very “lucky” year for the systems. In order to find out, we went back 4 more years through 1999 and crunched the same Insider Power™ Systems in the tighter version. What did we find? Much of the very same success.
1999 50-20 71.4%
2000 48-23 67.6%
2001 59-15 79.7%
2002 61-20 75.3%
Only in 2000 did we receive a ROI under 30% while the total ROI for the 5-year span was a generous 40.9%!
1999 Investment $77,000 – Return $28,000 = ROI 36.4%
2000 Investment $78,100 – Return $22,700 = ROI 29.1%
2001 Investment $81,400 – Return $42,500 = ROI 52.2%
2002 Investment $89,100 – Return $39,000 = ROI 43.8%
5-year Investment $399,300 – Return $163,500 = ROI 40.9%
We are ecstatic at these findings and the best thing about it is that there are no judgment calls on the games – they either qualify or they don’t. The ones that do qualify will receive many more lookovers based on our other handicapping techniques such as injuries, weather and statistics. The remaining systems come into play when deciding on unit values.
Hopefully we have your attention now. Our Preseason Football Package gets all of these winners through the Super Bowl, which also includes the NFL Preseason, the NCAA Football Season, the remaining MLB Season and the start of the NBA and NCAA Hoops Seasons. All for only $299. Come and join our big group of members that will reap the benefits of these sensational NFL Insider Power™ Systems!!
***Click Here For Our Preseason Football Special - $299.00***
Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams 8:00 PM ET
St. Louis Rams –3 +100 (2 Units)
We look to get some value here as the public is well aware of the Rams performance on Monday night against the Chiefs and I’m sure they want no part of this team. That’s fine by us. According to offshore reports, we are exactly right as Washington is getting heavy action as of this morning. Starters will get a longer look and returning home after that disaster on Monday night can only help things. Washington is coming off a shutout at Miami but trying to win two straight on the road might be too much too ask, especially with the second coming against a hungry squad.
As bad as the Rams and QB Marc Bulger looked against the Chiefs, Bulger had several factors working against him: a patchwork offensive line; a blitz-heavy defensive plan by Kansas City; and consistently poor field position. The Rams' six first-half drives had an average starting point of just past the 20-yard line. Excessive blitzing used to be frowned upon in preseason games, but that unwritten rule apparently doesn't apply anymore. "We didn't expect that much pressure, but we got it," Bulger said. "It wasn't completely out of the ordinary, though. It was working, and they stuck with it. ... When you play Kansas City it's almost like a regular-season atmosphere." The Rams should be more focused heading into this game against the Redskins. "We're upset," Bulger said. "We're embarrassed with the way we played, but at the same time, we didn't game plan." The game plans begin this weekend. "I did a very poor job getting this football team ready to play," coach Mike Martz said. "This is my fault as a head coach. We came out here and flopped around and acted like we didn't know where we were. And that's a coaching issue. Always is. Always will be. You can blame the players, but that's my responsibility. That won't happen again. We'll make sure these guys are ready to play." Martz said Bulger and Chris Chandler probably will handle the quarterback duties the rest of the preseason, even though rookie Jeff Smoker was much improved Monday against Kansas City. Having veterans play this whole game is a nice edge.
Patrick Ramsey gets the start tonight against the Rams. Because Mark Brunell (a 71.9 rating on 17 completions in 32 attempts) has performed better than Ramsey (35.5 rating on 10 of 27), there is a presumption that Ramsey has one more shot to win the job. Not a good spot to do it on the road in a loud environment with a lot of pressure on his shoulders. "I'm just going to try to run our offense efficiently," said Ramsey, who was only 3 for 8 against Miami after taking over in the waning moments of the first half. There is no real indication of how long the starters will go for Washington. "We're going to go hard the next two weeks and we'll just see what happens," Gibbs said, adding he will continue to rotate players based on feel and with no predetermined playing time. Washington rushed for 181 yards and compiled a nearly 23-minute edge in time of possession against the Dolphins. While that sounds good, the Dolphins weren’t able to keep the offense on the field as they gained under 100 yards of offense. Good Washington defense or bad Miami offense? We’ll go with the latter.
Starting linebackers Mike Barrow and LaVar Arrington will both be out for this game. The Rams fit into a very solid preseason situation. Since 1994, teams in Week 3 coming off two consecutive losses (both SU and ATS) and return home after an away loss are 14-5-2 (73.7%).
Grab our One Day Pass for $14.95 and get all of today’s action – NFL Seattle/San Diego Plus 4 MLB Winners – 5 more plays in total. Guaranteed to profit or you get a full refund plus a week of service absolutely FREE! First game today is at 7:05 PM ET
*** Click Here For Friday’s One Day Pass - $14.95 ***
The college football season starts tomorrow with the BCA Classic between Virginia Tech and USC. We have your winner all set to go in that matchup along with our world-renowned game analysis. Get this game along with every other winner we release through the 2005 Super Bowl for only $299. This Special offer ends after kickoff of the Virginia Tech/USC so act now. You also receive all baseball selections through the World Series and the remainder of the NFL Preseason.
***Click Here For Our Preseason Football Special - $299.00***
What is included besides winning NFL and NCAA Seasons?
Members get access to our highly sought after “Inside The Boxscores” College Football Weekly Recap. Looking inside the boxes of every game every weekend is the first step in capping the following weekend slate of games – we do that for you. No other service provides this information to you on a weekly basis:
Inside The Boxscores - NCAA Week 10
Detailed Game Writeups with every football play we release. We don’t throw darts like most and we prove why.
If you haven’t checked out our preseason articles, here they are for you now:
The Significance of the Running Game - 2004 Update
10 Most Significant Spring Injuries Heading Into 2004
2004 NCAA Football Coaching Changes
2004 NCAA Football Transfers Who Will Make an Early Impact
2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Rise
2004 NCAA Football Teams on the Decline
Looking at the NFL upcoming season, we have uncovered some incredible systems that will go into our handicapping. A couple examples:
Since 1995, NFL home underdogs getting 7.5 points or more who have a winning percentage of 10% or below and are off a loss are 23-1-1 ATS!
Since 2000, Tampa Bay is 0-16 ATS as a home favorite when they are coming off a win and their opponent allowed between 13 and 25 points in their previous game!
And there are 162 others that are just as strong.
Taking our NFL Insider Power™ Systems, we concluded that combining 5 of our top systems gave us a 2003 winning percentage of 66.4%. The record ended 71-36 and while that is outstanding, it is a lot of games to be playing on a weekly basis. An average of 6.3 games per week to be exact. Playing too many games can be the death of a gambler so we decided to tighten the systems by using a minimum z-rating which in turn would give us less plays overall but would in turn be much stronger.
The results once again are remarkable. Tightening our 5 strongest systems gives us an even better 71.4% winning percentage while playing much less games (67 – less than 4 per week). Decreasing the games lessens the risk but our ROI actually increases by over 16%. The difference in profit ended up being only $100 based on $1100 bets. There were just 3 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks in the regular season.
Regular Systems Run – 71W-36L 66.4%
Investment $117,700 – Return $31,400 = ROI 26.7%
Tightened Systems Run – 50W-17L 74.6%
Investment $73,700 – Return $31,300 = ROI 42.5%
These numbers look way to good to be true so it is possible 2003 was a very “lucky” year for the systems. In order to find out, we went back 4 more years through 1999 and crunched the same Insider Power™ Systems in the tighter version. What did we find? Much of the very same success.
1999 50-20 71.4%
2000 48-23 67.6%
2001 59-15 79.7%
2002 61-20 75.3%
Only in 2000 did we receive a ROI under 30% while the total ROI for the 5-year span was a generous 40.9%!
1999 Investment $77,000 – Return $28,000 = ROI 36.4%
2000 Investment $78,100 – Return $22,700 = ROI 29.1%
2001 Investment $81,400 – Return $42,500 = ROI 52.2%
2002 Investment $89,100 – Return $39,000 = ROI 43.8%
5-year Investment $399,300 – Return $163,500 = ROI 40.9%
We are ecstatic at these findings and the best thing about it is that there are no judgment calls on the games – they either qualify or they don’t. The ones that do qualify will receive many more lookovers based on our other handicapping techniques such as injuries, weather and statistics. The remaining systems come into play when deciding on unit values.
Hopefully we have your attention now. Our Preseason Football Package gets all of these winners through the Super Bowl, which also includes the NFL Preseason, the NCAA Football Season, the remaining MLB Season and the start of the NBA and NCAA Hoops Seasons. All for only $299. Come and join our big group of members that will reap the benefits of these sensational NFL Insider Power™ Systems!!
***Click Here For Our Preseason Football Special - $299.00***
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