Tweet
I have been looking at some of the NFL team win totals at Pinnacle for the last few days and I have formed some opinions of the numbers based on returning starters, free agent signings and losses, offensive and defensive draft picks and development, along with coaching changes and coaching philosophies. I also factor in injury potential and upgrades to other teams within the respective divisions. Mind you, these are only my opinions but it's a way to start focusing on the upcoming season... any feedback is always welcome. I will try to offer some reasons why I perceive the teams the way I do but again, these are "first looks" and training camps will provide more insight. One other thing, unless you have a healthy bankroll or just want to throw a few dollars in it for fun, betting futures is a tough way to tie up your money for the long term... but fun to talk about.
Arizona UNDER 5.5
Even with Dennis Green, this team has very little offensive talent and very thin at most positions. The cheapest owner in the NFL won't help nor will the desert heat.
Jacksonville OVER 6.5
It seems like every year a team comes out of nowhere and I think that the Jag's D will be greatly improved after a year in Del Rio's systems. He is a great defensive mind and I think Leftwich plays much better offensively. Maybe this year's Panthers?
New York Jets UNDER 8.5
This team has a very weak defense and a very poor secondary particularly. I see a lot of shootouts that they can not win. Pennington needs to take a major step in order to keep them competitive IMHO.
Tough division won't help.
Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 10.5
I will probably get some flack for this one, but every year seems to be the year they "take the next step"... the addition of Owens will help as long as he gets the ball, but I think Staley is a big loss and the secondary is a huge question mark with the loss of both starters on the corner. Another receiver needs to step up or Owens will get doubled all day long. Kearse hasn't stayed healthy for the last couple of seasons so I am wary that he will this year. Tough division with improvements in Washington (coaching mainly) and Dallas. I am thinking 9 wins if all goes right. McNabb has also started slowly the last couple of years and I feel there is a certain amount of pressure to win it all this season or maybe some changes will occur. Reid is likely on the hot seat.
Seattle Seahawks OVER 8.5
As of now I feel that this team is the best in the division. St. Louis has not improved and losing the D coordinator(Smith)to the head coaching job in Chicago won't help. It seems to me that the rest of the league is catching up to the philosophy of Martz and he can be counted on to lose at least one game due to bonehead calls and ego. Their defense seems to wear down as the season goes on due to being quick but undersized. I think the Seahawks win the division with 9 or 10 wins. Hasselbeck made great strides in Holmgren's system last year... maybe it is starting to sink in.
I am also looking at Detroit OVER 6.5, Washington UNDER 8.5 (too much stock put in Gibbs but short on talentleftover from Spurrier)... again, just some preliminary views and my opinions. Hope it is interesting and helpful!
Arizona UNDER 5.5
Even with Dennis Green, this team has very little offensive talent and very thin at most positions. The cheapest owner in the NFL won't help nor will the desert heat.
Jacksonville OVER 6.5
It seems like every year a team comes out of nowhere and I think that the Jag's D will be greatly improved after a year in Del Rio's systems. He is a great defensive mind and I think Leftwich plays much better offensively. Maybe this year's Panthers?
New York Jets UNDER 8.5
This team has a very weak defense and a very poor secondary particularly. I see a lot of shootouts that they can not win. Pennington needs to take a major step in order to keep them competitive IMHO.
Tough division won't help.
Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 10.5
I will probably get some flack for this one, but every year seems to be the year they "take the next step"... the addition of Owens will help as long as he gets the ball, but I think Staley is a big loss and the secondary is a huge question mark with the loss of both starters on the corner. Another receiver needs to step up or Owens will get doubled all day long. Kearse hasn't stayed healthy for the last couple of seasons so I am wary that he will this year. Tough division with improvements in Washington (coaching mainly) and Dallas. I am thinking 9 wins if all goes right. McNabb has also started slowly the last couple of years and I feel there is a certain amount of pressure to win it all this season or maybe some changes will occur. Reid is likely on the hot seat.
Seattle Seahawks OVER 8.5
As of now I feel that this team is the best in the division. St. Louis has not improved and losing the D coordinator(Smith)to the head coaching job in Chicago won't help. It seems to me that the rest of the league is catching up to the philosophy of Martz and he can be counted on to lose at least one game due to bonehead calls and ego. Their defense seems to wear down as the season goes on due to being quick but undersized. I think the Seahawks win the division with 9 or 10 wins. Hasselbeck made great strides in Holmgren's system last year... maybe it is starting to sink in.
I am also looking at Detroit OVER 6.5, Washington UNDER 8.5 (too much stock put in Gibbs but short on talentleftover from Spurrier)... again, just some preliminary views and my opinions. Hope it is interesting and helpful!
Comment